L2KA College Football

[ERockMoney]

I suspect if Alabama wins a tight game versus Georgia and either FSU or WSH lose, they’ll both make it. Not saying I agree with that, but it’ll probably happen. Leaving Michigan v Georgia and whoever wins between FSU/WSH v Alabama. OSU/ORE/TEX would likely get fucked.

I really thought OSU had a better chance, but it appears that line of thinking was wrong, but if you stack up a one loss OSU/ORE/TEX you could certainly make a strong case for OSU.

OSU two big wins versus highly ranked teams, one a big non-conference road game and the best loss by far of the three. Late loss and no conference title big negatives.

TEX a conference champion, a monster non-conference win at Alabama, the best win of the three. Only negative is losing their marquee conference game.

ORE a conference champion and biggest accomplishment is splitting two games with WSH. Negatives also losing their marquee conference game and terrible non-conference schedule. Best non-conference win was a nail bitter at six loss Texas Tech, who lost by half a hundred to Texas.

 

[dimeplayers]

Georgia won’t get in with a loss and Alabama be left out. And I don’t see many scenarios where Georgia still gets in with a loss although it could happen with some chaos

again all this debate is fun but it’s not coming to fruition this week. And the only way anything will happen that messes up the masses is for Alabama to win.

and if that happens, Alabama will be in, and the committee will justify it somehow.

 

[Avocado33]

Personally I think see this happening

Oregon beats Washington
Texas beats Oklahoma State
Georgia beats Alabama
Michigan beats Iowa
Louisville beats Florida State

You end up with:

1 Georgia
2 Michigan
3 Oregon
4 Texas
5 Ohio State
6 Washington

 

[Avocado33]

0 (zero) chance there is not an SEC team in the playoffs.

I tend to agree

The issue is Alabama win means they have to get in over Georgia, and Alabama has a decent climb from 8 to make if teams above them don’t lose

They may have to leapfrog Texas despite H2H

 

[XENO]

Ga will get in with loss -they cannt drop below 4 with 1 loss no way -computer has them up 100 points won 43 in row-+ bama is there 9-1 opponent imho

 

[XENO]

Latest poll Ga 55 points over mich

 

[dimeplayers]

Ga will get in with loss -they cannt drop below 4 with 1 loss no way -computer has them up 100 points won 43 in row-+ bama is there 9-1 opponent imho

Don’t care what a computer has. Neither does anyone in the committee room would be my guess. Ohio state went from 2 to 6, a 4 spot drop, after losing on the road to the number 3 team. Georgia would take a 4 spot drop as well. End of story. If the other teams hold serve.

Georgia can’t lose to Bama and get in while Bama is left out.

and if Bama wins and chaos happens. It would take a lot of chaos for Georgia to stay in at 4.

again arguing pointless stuff for the most part. I too think the chalk holds. Georgia wins, Michigan wins, Texas wins, fsu wins. The debate will be a 1 loss Texas and a 0 loss fsu with a back up qb.

 

[Avocado33]

Don’t care what a computer has. Neither does anyone in the committee room would be my guess. Ohio state went from 2 to 6, a 4 spot drop, after losing on the road to the number 3 team. Georgia would take a 4 spot drop as well. End of story. If the other teams hold serve.

Georgia can’t lose to Bama and get in while Bama is left out.

and if Bama wins and chaos happens. It would take a lot of chaos for Georgia to stay in at 4.

again arguing pointless stuff for the most part. I too think the chalk holds. Georgia wins, Michigan wins, Texas wins, fsu wins. The debate will be a 1 loss Texas and a 0 loss fsu with a back up qb.

Committee rooting for this except maybe FSU loss

 

[dimeplayers]

Committee rooting for this except maybe FSU loss

Agree.

they are first and foremost pulling for an Alabama loss followed by an fsu loss. Then their jobs are easy

 

[Loves2kickass]

0 (zero) chance there is not an SEC team in the playoffs.

Why is that

 

[Avocado33]

Agree.

they are first and foremost pulling for an Alabama loss followed by an fsu loss. Then their jobs are easy

Yes and this could produce the best match ups

Georgia/Texas and Michigan/Oregon

If Texas somehow lost, then throw Ohio State in there and still get a nice match up

 

[Loves2kickass]

Ga will get in with loss -they cannt drop below 4 with 1 loss no way -computer has them up 100 points won 43 in row-+ bama is there 9-1 opponent imho

Computer?

 

[Loves2kickass]

Latest poll Ga 55 points over mich

The AP poll has NOTHING to do with the CFP rankings

 

[Avocado33]

Ok what about this scenario:

-Oregon barely beats Washington
-Texas beats the shit out of Oklahoma State
-Alabama barely beats Georgia
-Michigan beats Iowa pretty comfortably
-Florida State barely beats Louisville


This to me is the "chaos" scenario

Michigan would be the #1 seed

To me Alabama and Texas both get in here, if they honor the H2H here plus Alabama is the SEC Champ. I would put Texas #2, Alabama #3 -- though that doens't matter much


Then you have 3 teams for the final spot:
-13-0 ACC champ Florida State
-12-1 Pac 12 champ Oregon
-12-1 non-champ Georgia

That to me is the only scenario where maybe they throw Georgia in based on resume, and people probably would understand that to some level. But you would have to snub two conference champs, one of which is undefeated

I personally would put in Oregon in that scenario. I feel like they should make it in with a win

 

[ERockMoney]

I can’t see them leaving an undefeated power conference team out it under any circumstance.

 

[XENO]

well they do use a computer to see strenght of schedule scores againts rank opponents, etc so mostv of you agree that if ga looses they fall out /who the heck has ohio st played 1 tuff team mich -texas plays the hardest imho sec is so so but has bama ole miss fl st is the weakest should hav lost to clem missed fg n got scare versus weak fl but if ga looses i say they still in bama isxranked behind texas as well

 

[Avocado33]

I can’t see them leaving an undefeated power conference team out it under any circumstance.

It’s definitely challenging

The committee wants them to lose

Or all four undefeated teams to win and Texas loses or something like that

 

[MotorCityMadman]

No chance? Lol

Kool Aid reply. What will it take to see the light? The ripping up of tickets? Wake up and smell the roses, man.

 

[XENO]

Bama shoukd hav lost last week so i doubt they can jump texas but its crazy

 

[bookiereport]

Ok what about this scenario:

-Oregon barely beats Washington
-Texas beats the shit out of Oklahoma State
-Alabama barely beats Georgia
-Michigan beats Iowa pretty comfortably
-Florida State barely beats Louisville


This to me is the "chaos" scenario

Michigan would be the #1 seed

To me Alabama and Texas both get in here, if they honor the H2H here plus Alabama is the SEC Champ. I would put Texas #2, Alabama #3 -- though that doens't matter much


Then you have 3 teams for the final spot:
-13-0 ACC champ Florida State
-12-1 Pac 12 champ Oregon
-12-1 non-champ Georgia

That to me is the only scenario where maybe they throw Georgia in based on resume, and people probably would understand that to some level. But you would have to snub two conference champs, one of which is undefeated

I personally would put in Oregon in that scenario. I feel like they should make it in with a win

Would be nightmare for committee