L2KA College Football

Search

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Jan 18, 2017
Messages
9,200
Tokens
Please do:

Mine as simply this:

texas, Alabama, Florida state, Oregon all have to lose. Ohio state gets in as the 4th team behind uga, michigan, and Washington

Texas, Alabama, Florida state lose. Oregon wins. Michigan, Georgia, Oregon all get in, and Ohio state wins the 4th spot over Washington.

guess if you want a 3rd you’re argument would be them getting in over a 1 loss Georgia but I don’t consider that a real option
Not true. Totally incorrect. In that group of teams Oregon doesn't have to lose. In that instance in bold the order would be Ga, Mich, Oregon, OSU
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Jan 18, 2017
Messages
9,200
Tokens
Not true. Totally incorrect. In that group of teams Oregon doesn't have to lose. In that instance in bold the order would be Ga, Mich, Oregon, OSU
Sorry you mentioned that in your comment.
 

New member
Joined
Nov 19, 2023
Messages
136
Tokens
Good info. So 4 OSU possibilities lol. That saves me alot of time 😆
Well I guess there are 4 if we throw in Iowa beating Michigan. I think there are 2 realistic scarnios. And that’s with the debatably even noted in the post that 11-1 Ohio state trumps 12-1 Washington.

so again imho, there is always a chance, but 8 percent seems about right
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Jan 18, 2017
Messages
9,200
Tokens
Win some, lose some. Its called gambling. Last season I nailed it big.
 

MLB

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Dec 14, 2010
Messages
2,527
Tokens
Ohio St has a path, albeit a slim one. I guess that is the point of this conversation. There are many scenarios that we as fans want to believe to make our case, but simply doesn't work out in real life!

A FSU team that goes 13-0 is in.....with or without a QB!

What happens if UGA wins and their QB breaks his leg in the process? Do they get in? And why? Same with Bo Nix, Oregon wins a laugher but nix breaks his throwing hand. In or not in?

We can play these scenarios all day. We can debate all week. I would go as far as saying if Alabama wins with Michigan holding serve and Oregon, Texas and FSU winning you're getting:

Alabama
UGA
FSU
Michigan

But I don't think FSU is going to win. Because for being 12-0....they aren't that good!
 

Member
Joined
Dec 15, 2017
Messages
16,730
Tokens
Ohio St has a path, albeit a slim one. I guess that is the point of this conversation. There are many scenarios that we as fans want to believe to make our case, but simply doesn't work out in real life!

A FSU team that goes 13-0 is in.....with or without a QB!

What happens if UGA wins and their QB breaks his leg in the process? Do they get in? And why? Same with Bo Nix, Oregon wins a laugher but nix breaks his throwing hand. In or not in?

We can play these scenarios all day. We can debate all week. I would go as far as saying if Alabama wins with Michigan holding serve and Oregon, Texas and FSU winning you're getting:

Alabama
UGA
FSU
Michigan

But I don't think FSU is going to win. Because for being 12-0....they aren't that good!
Oregon very likely in with win
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Jan 18, 2017
Messages
9,200
Tokens
Ohio St has a path, albeit a slim one. I guess that is the point of this conversation. There are many scenarios that we as fans want to believe to make our case, but simply doesn't work out in real life!

A FSU team that goes 13-0 is in.....with or without a QB!

What happens if UGA wins and their QB breaks his leg in the process? Do they get in? And why? Same with Bo Nix, Oregon wins a laugher but nix breaks his throwing hand. In or not in?

We can play these scenarios all day. We can debate all week. I would go as far as saying if Alabama wins with Michigan holding serve and Oregon, Texas and FSU winning you're getting:

Alabama
UGA
FSU
Michigan

But I don't think FSU is going to win. Because for being 12-0....they aren't that good!
Bama is not automatically in with a win vs Georgia
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Jan 18, 2017
Messages
9,200
Tokens
Some time you have to stop drinking the KOOL AID and look at the facts. I was helping you out. That's all.
I must have missed your posted picks. Can you post them again please? Thank you
 

Member
Joined
Dec 15, 2017
Messages
16,730
Tokens
I think if you're Ohio State, you hope that Georgia wins to erase any possibility of the SEC getting two teams.

Alabama winning would at least open the door for two SEC teams, though I think Georgia definitely could be left out.

I don't think the SEC is going to get shut out completely. Just don't see it happening.

If Alabama beats Georgia I think they're in. 12-1 SEC Champ with head-to-head win over Georgia.

The weird element of all of this is what happens between Alabama and Texas if both win Saturday. To me, I can see Alabama jumping Texas despite the H2H loss
 

Member
Joined
Dec 15, 2017
Messages
16,730
Tokens
Washington after starting 4-0 against crappy schedule:

at Arizona, won by 7
Oregon, won by 3
Arizona State, won by 8
at Stanford, won by 9
at USC, won by 10
Utah, won by 7
at Oregon State, won by 2
Washington State, won by 3


Ohio State after starting 4-0 against a better schedule that included a road win at Notre Dame:

Maryland, won by 20
at Purdue, won by 34
Penn State, won by 8
at Wisconsin, won by 14
at Rutgers, won by 19
Michigan State, won by 35
Minnesota, won by 34
at Michigan, lost by 6


Washington had the tougher schedule, but the consistent struggling against BAD teams (Stanford, ASU, Washington State) to me is pretty glaring
 

Member
Joined
Dec 15, 2017
Messages
16,730
Tokens
^^^^

Point of that being Washington doesn't have the most impressive "resume" to me. Playing a tough schedule is one thing, but you gotta look dominant doing so

Ohio State gets in over Washington IMO if both have 1-loss
 

New member
Joined
Nov 19, 2023
Messages
136
Tokens
Washington went undefeated in the regular season. Has two top 20 road wins both which are better than winning at notre dame plus the most impressive win by a long shot by beating what would be a top 3 team in Oregon (if they lose in the pac 12) which is way better than any win Osu has.

committee showed last year with tcu losing and not dropping that losing on championship weekend isn’t as damning as not playing in it.

We’ll see where the committee puts OSU tonight. But to me. Undefeated regular season, more quality wins, best win, and a narrow loss in a conference championship game would give them the edge.


realize it won’t come to that in all likelihood so we are debating a nothing. I personally think Ohio state drops to at least 7 and frankly deserves to be 8.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
19,400
Tokens
World famous Ohio might get in if they were just Ohio they wouldn’t
 

Member
Joined
Dec 15, 2017
Messages
16,730
Tokens
Washington went undefeated in the regular season. Has two top 20 road wins both which are better than winning at notre dame plus the most impressive win by a long shot by beating what would be a top 3 team in Oregon (if they lose in the pac 12) which is way better than any win Osu has.

committee showed last year with tcu losing and not dropping that losing on championship weekend isn’t as damning as not playing in it.

We’ll see where the committee puts OSU tonight. But to me. Undefeated regular season, more quality wins, best win, and a narrow loss in a conference championship game would give them the edge.


realize it won’t come to that in all likelihood so we are debating a nothing. I personally think Ohio state drops to at least 7 and frankly deserves to be 8.
If Washington's resume is so good, why were they behind Florida State as an undefeated team with a win against Oregon for 3 consecutive weeks? Washington only jumped ahead of Florida State because Florida State lost their QB

Ohio State was #1 for two weeks, Washington was #5. They had the same record. To think that has no impact is asinine

Washington has been behind Ohio State several spots because the committee believes Ohio State is better than Washington. Again, you are looking at "resume" but not considering the fact that Washington has basically been scraping by for majority of the season and has been very unimpressive.

Also teams from the Big Ten and SEC have gotten into the playoff not playing in a conference championship game before. Ohio State did it just last year, after losing by 22 at home in their final game. Alabama has gotten in this way as well. The reason they can do this is because their conferences are based on divisional alignment and not just top 2 teams

If the Big Ten/SEC followed the Pac 12/Big 12 rules, then Ohio State would be playing against Michigan this weekend instead of Iowa. The committee is smart enough to realize that the Big Ten Championship was last weekend in Ann Arbor, not in Indianapolis this weekend. That's why they probably don't care that Washington is going to have 12 wins compared to 11 for Ohio State
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,118,688
Messages
13,558,319
Members
100,668
Latest member
willsonjames480
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com