JETPLANE: NCAAF Plays

[howar054]

i am on a horrible roll the wrong way this f-ing week man, i hope my weekend picks pan out. What is your strongest JP?

 

[Sea-Urchin]

I like Bowling Green at home -4. It might be a close game.

 

[Selectrick]

I like Bowling Green at home -4. It might be a close game.

If you think it may be a close game wouldn't it make more sense to take +4 instead of laying -4? Just an observation. Good Luck whatever you do!:toast:

 

[howar054]

If you think it may be a close game wouldn't it make more sense to take +4 instead of laying -4? Just an observation. Good Luck whatever you do!

good point

 

[Sea-Urchin]

It makes more sense to take the +4 yes, but I think BG will cover the 4pts.

 

[howar054]

Does BG still have that Black QB with the braids or is he gone? I think he is gone. Not sure

 

[Jetplane]

Well, either the books are laying it out as pub perception and making BG -4... or they are fishing us in... I don't think it's THAT fishy--BUFF is the play IMO. sys2 says so, sys1 doesn't care. I'm not gonna go too deep in it... they aren't huge plays for me.

 

[Sea-Urchin]

Well, either the books are laying it out as pub perception and making BG -4... or they are fishing us in... I don't think it's THAT fishy--BUFF is the play IMO. sys2 says so, sys1 doesn't care. I'm not gonna go too deep in it... they aren't huge plays for me.

Here what I've found out.

The Falcons (5-5) are on a two game winning streak . BG won their last two games 77-33. The defense has been shutting down teams and the offense has been explosive and shown what they are capable of. They are peaking a little late. Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November. Over is 6-1 in Falcons last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

The Bulls (6-4) are on a four game winning streak.

Offense:
Buffalo - 404.2, Rank 40th in nation
Bowling Green - 356.6/ 76th in nation

Passing:
Buffalo - 252.2/34th
BG - 239.1/47th

Rushing:
Buffalo - 152/57th
BG - 117.5/95th

Points:
Buffalo - 30.1/39th
BG - 26.0/65th

Buffalo leads in all the above catagories and yet they are underdog by 4. I'm playing it small, taking BG -4.

 

[Jetplane]

Nice work Urchin! Yeah, I've seen all of that too... I forgot how BG is at home but yeah... it's still a little weird that buff is getting 4 points still. The locals are thinking it's gonna head to 5.

 

[C-LO]

So, you dont like BG?? I think they win this by 10+ brotha. GL with your decision though!!

 

[Sea-Urchin]

Nice work Urchin! Yeah, I've seen all of that too... I forgot how BG is at home but yeah... it's still a little weird that buff is getting 4 points still. The locals are thinking it's gonna head to 5.

BG is 1-4 at home and 1-3 against the line at home. They are 3-3 in conference plays.

Buffalo is 2-3 away and 5-0 against the line away....ouch! And they're 4-2 in conference plays. They are 5-0 as road dog, and BG is 1-3 as home fav.

Line heading to 5? People are pounding on BG because they think it's a trap game.

 

[Jetplane]

Well that's just the word from the guys around here... i see them still handing out 4's.. no 4.5's yet even so they could be talking out there ass.

 

[howar054]

Buffalo +4. loving it

 

[boyzfan]

i don't know what to make of this line. public is pounding spread and moneyline of buffalo, yet the line goes from buff +3.5 to +4. my system for this shows to take bg -4. not a real big play for me though. jet thanks for the great picks and hard work. lets get them this weekend. you have any thoughts on the miami oh / toledo game?

 

[Jetplane]

I see a little value on TOLEDO and the UNDER. I'm gonna lay a decent amount on BUFF and then a small 3 teamer to cover incase they lose (BG, TOL, TOL UNDER)

 

[boyzfan]

how does this teaser sound
buffalo +11
miamo o +10

 

[Jetplane]

That would be a good teaser...are u able to do it on totals? Cuz I think I can find you a better option.

 

[ZJP6050]

That would be a good teaser...are u able to do it on totals? Cuz I think I can find you a better option.

jet - pm that option to me if you could, or post it here need to dig back a portion of my winnings that i took a hit to yesterday with those fucking canes!

 

[C-LO]

You always gotta follow what you do best and what got you here!! GL

 

[Jetplane]

Today 1-0
Oveall 75-55

To go:
Boise State OVER 61.5
Oklahoma OVER 76
Washington UNDER 48.5