~J.J. Bascus Power Rating "Updated" For >NFL Sept 10 2015- Sept 14 2015 & J.J.Bascus Crew Picks & Bets & Notes~

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Great to see back Harry, hope everyone has their note pads out.
Cause hes dropping some knowledge. Might tail ya on cowboys,
Liked them before after seeing this i should man up and play them.
Thank You From our crew~ MoneyMiller ~Best Of Luck To You in Beginning Of NFL Season~MoneyMiller
 
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hi harry,
lets say i bet for spread bets, e.g. dal-6 to win $100
should i for money line bets, also bet to win $100?
e.g.new eng 300 to win 100?
Only If You Bet Money Line 1st kaiser73 on NE press it all[ Original bet and whats you won all on money line with NE To Dal... Decision is yours kaiser73 ?, I really don't like to tell how to bet your money on any game, if you know what mean my friend kaiser73. There are no guarantees, no “locks” and certainly no promises that any one game will end as predicted. The main point is to trust that the games played are the most advantageous, and will yield the highest result over the long-term . Looking at all different perspectives to win our bets is all about our crew picks and bets, using different strategy's to win.
I surround my self with as a professional gambler of NFL that I have know for years. I consider them family all through the NFL season. very close communications with the old school and the new school. Sometimes as professional NFL gamblers and that's all us. we do not agree on certain games we bet on and this is why? My betting system is heavily dependent on statistics, requiring some data gathering and assumption building regarding future performance. While history does not always repeat itself perfectly, it does provide some valuable insight into behaviors and/or outcomes of certain sporting events like NFL games.



 

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Mr. H/hat............never looked at press betting before..........looking forward to see how this works for me............appreciate showing how this works for a 3/1 money..........BOL this week end...............indy
 

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Mr. Hat......I am totally impressed with your knowledge and experience. Thank you for sharing your Philosophy and Mission Statement about wagering. It is a classic and very priceless! Have a great week of wagering with many glorious blessings!

Happy Trails!

We Be Bad
 

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last 2 questions
1. did u bet miami moneyline press to ariz -2.5?
2. if philly has one of the best chances to win by the most pts., why did you not bet them?
thx u harry
 
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Mr. Hat......I am totally impressed with your knowledge and experience. Thank you for sharing your Philosophy and Mission Statement about wagering. It is a classic and very priceless! Have a great week of wagering with many glorious blessings!

Happy Trails!

We Be Bad
Thank You From our crew~We be Bad~ and your support ~Best Of Luck To You in Beginning Of NFL Season~We be Bad~ There is Late Bob Martin saying that I like to share with you, who was best numbers man in history of Las Vegas when it came to betting the NFL. "There is a fountain of youth: it is your mind, your talents, the creativity you bring to your life and the lives of people you like & Identify with. When you learn to tap this source, you will truly have defeated age."The greatest discovery of all time is that a person can change his future by merely changing his attitude"".!!!!!!!! Also I would like to share this thought to you ~We be Bad~ that late Bob Martin told me, If you that good handicapping games for wagering kid, you make every one else around you look good, its makes you look better. I Guess that's what are crew is all about my friend.
Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT
 
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last 2 questions
1. did u bet miami moneyline press to ariz -2.5?
2. if philly has one of the best chances to win by the most pts., why did you not bet them?
thx u harry
Winning a high percentage of your wagers doesn't necessarily equate to making money. It isn't the number of predictions you get right which determines your success, it's the relative quality of your predictions. I pick my spots to bet certain games then others. I evaluate my picks, you want to keep your risk to a minimum as much as possible when it comes to betting on NFL football. Sometimes as professional NFL gamblers and that's all us. we do not agree on certain games we bet on and this is why? My betting system is heavily dependent on statistics, requiring some data gathering and assumption building regarding future performance. While history does not always repeat itself perfectly, it does provide some valuable insight into behaviors and/or outcomes of certain sporting events like NFL games.
 

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Mr Harry, totally confused on the wagering. \Not addressing your team Pool Play, just yours as an individual.

Mr.HarryTheHat[ Las Vegas N.V./// [Crew Pool Bet] Also-> ARI -2 1/2 Press to DAL-6 & GB -6 1/2[not a pressbet] & Miami-$185[ money line] Press->ARI

This is how I interpret the above and please advise where I am astray.

First wager ($110 as an example bet) Green Bay -6.5 (if wins press to Miami-$185) If GB is a loss then start over with Miami-$185 and press to ARI if Miami wins, should Miami lose once again start over $110 on Ari.

Also, let's say you have 2 selections that by chance are in the same time zone and your starting over, not pressing, do you make a parlay? As can happen, if a Press bet is part of 2 same time zone games, how would you handle that? I know your very selective and that may or may not occur during the season.

Not criticizing in any way, just trying to learn from the master.......grasshopper here. Thanks

 
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Mr Harry, totally confused on the wagering. \Not addressing your team Pool Play, just yours as an individual.

Mr.HarryTheHat[ Las Vegas N.V./// [Crew Pool Bet] Also-> ARI -2 1/2 Press to DAL-6 & GB -6 1/2[not a pressbet] & Miami-$185[ money line] Press->ARI

This is how I interpret the above and please advise where I am astray.

First wager ($110 as an example bet) Green Bay -6.5 (if wins press to Miami-$185) If GB is a loss then start over with Miami-$185 and press to ARI if Miami wins, should Miami lose once again start over $110 on Ari.

Also, let's say you have 2 selections that by chance are in the same time zone and your starting over, not pressing, do you make a parlay? As can happen, if a Press bet is part of 2 same time zone games, how would you handle that? I know your very selective and that may or may not occur during the season.

Not criticizing in any way, just trying to learn from the master.......grasshopper here. Thanks

Miami and GB play at the same time so you cant press on either one unless you bet tonight's game.

In your example you bet GB -6.5 $110 and Miami ML -185, (lets say you put $110 on this also)If you win both you press the $220+ $169.46= $389.46 on Ari -2.5
ARI-2.5 $110>> Win= $220 on DAL -6.
That is how I read it.
 

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I read it a little differently. There are three separate bets. All bets are listed as the amount risked not the amount to win assuming 10% juice on spread wagers.

ARI -2.5 Press to DAL -6 ===> Bet $110 on ARI -2.5. If you win, bet another $110 (total of $220) on DAL -6. If you lose, bet $110 on DAL -6.
GB -6.5 (No Press) ===> Bet $110 on GB -6.5. Simple one-time bet.
Miami ML Press to ARI -2.5 (or ARI ML?) ===> Bet $185 on MIA ML. If you win, bet another $110 (total of $295) on ARI -2.5. If you lose, bet $110 on ARI -2.5.
 

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Harry your table seems off on a few.. please see cinn game... you have the score oak29 cinn 14........??? is that right?
 
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Harry your table seems off on a few.. please see cinn game... you have the score oak29 cinn 14........??? is that right?
J.J.BASCUS POWER LINE IS NOT SCORE OAK +12 [ J.J.BASCUS PREDICTION POINT SPREAD CAUALATED FROM HIS POWER RATING. LOWER THE NUMBER MORE THE POWER RATE, HIGHER NUMBER LESS POWER RATE J.J.Bascus Power Line =Power points [ Lower Number Better comparison in Power Points] &Plus+ Points, ECCO % Rating P/R power line against the point spread *Home field advantage point spread is factored in with the forecast for how many points J.J.Bascus picks will win the game by


5> Blowout Games> CIN9/13Sun 4:25pmCIN-15CIN 22
OAK 10
OAK +12
CIN at OAKCINCIN - -3 1/ 2CIN -$170
J.J.> CIN -5.5
Vegas> CIN -3.5


System Smitty Ryann Jr. %[Percentage] Rating Against Vegas Point Spread
5-CIN at OAKSun Sept 134:25CIN-3 1/290% at -3CIN-3OAK 29 CIN 14
> CIN -15
If You Notice> Smitty line is lot lower then J.J. Smitty uses a different concept using his power rating against spread, but both agree that CIN will win with a big percentage rating

SYSTEM SMITTY RYANN JR...PREDICTION POINT SPREAD CAUALATED FROM HIS OWN POWER RATING. CIN -15
ECCO % Rating P/R Power line against the point spread *Home field advantage point spread is factored in with the forecast for how many points System Smitty Ryann Jr.picks will win the game by.

Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT


 
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We as crew also has some old time friends around the country that check out this site periodically, I don't know if they are members or not? Our friends have easy access to this forum that want see J.J. Bascus power rating and our crew picks. Thought be a good idea to post our picks here on great sports forum like Rx, so they could check it out. I talked to J.J. Bascus about posting his power rating on this site. He said it would be his pleasure. Why not every body and their grandmothers post his rating all over the web and using there affiliated names as their power rating. J.J. does not really care because its all about us in our group that matters.His rating is free always will be!!! We are NFL gamblers that handicappers. I also asked System Smitty Ryan and Back Room Benny The Jew [ which I stated in prior threads here about us] They have no problem with posting there picks on RX. They all want me post the threads of our predictions because of my ability with my lab top computer experties//LOL/LOL/LOL.. If I stay sober enough having cocktails at the grand piano[ sports book]LOL!!LOL!!LOL!!! Just kidding of course!! LOL !!. So RX members this is how it all started. Believe me, we as a group are hopeing for money making season this year in NFL picks like last season with our bets. If you been following our threads that I posted. Maybe we can all win together? ~Thank you for your reply and feedback its always welcome ~!!!!!

I am always open to constructive criticism of our crews threads & discussions!!! Thanks for reading my thread RX members[ Very good luck to you all in NFL season. When we win, you win too!!!!!!!! All our crews Threads & Predictions are exclusively posted on RX sports Forum

Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT Thank You From Crew
~OurCrew~

J.J. Bascus Reno NV.[Power Rating & Predictions ]//// System Smity Ryann II[ Las Vegas N.V. [ J.J. Bascus NFL Analyst] /// Mr.HarryTheHat[ Las Vegas N.V./// Back Room Benny The Jew [ Brooklyn N.Y./// Sammy Sea Way [ Boston Mass] ///.Bee Bee Black widow [ Henderson N.V.]/// Little Bobby Lancer[ St. Paul Minnesota ] Angelo[ Pee-Wee] Moretti [Cicero Chicago] Guest Handicapper






 
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J.J. Bascus [Reno NV.//// [Crew Pool Bet] System Smity Ryann II, J.J. Bascus NFL Analyst [ Las Vegas N.V.]/// [Crew Pool Bet] called this game to win by NE to cover the money line by 6 or less points He was 1 point off the mark at 7 point win NE. So how good J.J. Bascus [Reno NV.//// [Crew Pool Bet] System Smity Ryann II, J.J. Bascus NFL Analyst [ Las Vegas N.V.???????????
Opening Money Lines & Win Percentages% Based On the Point Spread >> NE -$280 J.J.> NE -9.9 Vegas NE -3.0 NE + 6.9 J.J Bascus[ J.J. Bascus .9% off his prediction New England Patriots 28 Pittsburgh Steelers 21 finial score
~J.J.Bascus Crew Picks & Bets~ Vegas Lines
J.J.Bascus Crew Pool Bet [ 15k ]
NE -opened at- $150 Now- $280
J.J.> NE -3.9
Vegas NE -3.0
J.J-.9 difference
NE 29 PIT 23 with Brady playing
NE - 6 Adjustment
System Smitty Ryann Jr.77% Win by NE to cover the money line by 6 or less points
Pre-season stats

Rush Yards Per Game NE- 107.2 PIT-109.5 = difference 2.3

Passing Yards Per Game NE-257.6 PIT-301.6 difference 44

Total Yards Per Game
NE-265.5 PIT-411.1 difference 145.6

Pool Bet-> 15k our crew [not including Angelo[ Pee-Wee] Moretti [Cicero Chicago] Guest Handicapper]. 7 of us in crew split the press bet, If we win on the press we will split the pool 7 ways, which is separate bet from our picks[ System Smitty RyannJr has our percentage win pool with the press> System Smitty Ryann Jr.75% Win > New England Patriots money line-$ 280. Pool Bet-> New England Patriots wins money line the 20k + win will be pressed to Dallas -6 at home against G-Men
Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT







 
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Mr Harry, totally confused on the wagering. \Not addressing your team Pool Play, just yours as an individual.

Mr.HarryTheHat[ Las Vegas N.V./// [Crew Pool Bet] Also-> ARI -2 1/2 Press to DAL-6 & GB -6 1/2[not a pressbet] & Miami-$185[ money line] Press->ARI

This is how I interpret the above and please advise where I am astray.

First wager ($110 as an example bet) Green Bay -6.5 (if wins press to Miami-$185) If GB is a loss then start over with Miami-$185 and press to ARI if Miami wins, should Miami lose once again start over $110 on Ari.

Also, let's say you have 2 selections that by chance are in the same time zone and your starting over, not pressing, do you make a parlay? As can happen, if a Press bet is part of 2 same time zone games, how would you handle that? I know your very selective and that may or may not occur during the season.

Not criticizing in any way, just trying to learn from the master.......grasshopper here. Thanks

Reverse bets are simply "if bets" that work in both directions grasshopper. This can be a combination of 2-4 Teams. All reverse bets are double action: the remaining bets in the sequence will be placed if the preceding bet is a win, a "push," or is canceled for any reason. An "if bet" (double action) follows the sequence "if Team 1 wins, ties or cancels then Team 2." Placing a reverse bet will include that sequence and its opposite: "if Team 1 wins, ties or cancels then Team 2" AND "if Team 2 wins, ties or cancels then Team 1." As you can see grasshopper, reverse bets contain two "if bet" sequences, and you must lay down an equal amount for each one: an if bet for $110 is $220 as a reverse bet. Example:A+B Side B+A Side
Denver -7 Miami +6 If Win, Tie or cancel To If Win, Tie or cancel To
Miami +6 Denver -7

The advantage of playing reverse bets is that you are still able to limit your exposure to losses while expanding the possible combinations that will produce winning wagers. We as crew when betting grasshopper will use this type bet if both teams we bet on are playing at the same time[ its like press bet in a reverse order. We as crew very seldom use this type bet, because you are locked in of two games you bet with point spread. Press bet we use as a crew betting games we pick as separate times of games. we have to go to betting window twice, if we win 1st bet and might have advantage on the point spread on 2nd game we pick. In Vegas where we bet, line could move 5 or 10 minutes before game with lots of last minute action if you know what I mean grasshopper ? to our advantage.
I hoped this answered your question grasshopper and very good luck to you in NFL season
Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT
 

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Some of u guys reading comprehension is a joke please go to the library asap.
The -110 eats plenty of "smart" dudes lunch every yr.
If u dont cant understand plain old ingles ur in big trouble. Post #28 is gold gents
Cheers Harry, hope u kick major bookie ass this season. Appreciate your crews hard work.
 
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J.J. Bascus [Reno NV.//// [Crew Pool Bet] System Smity Ryann II, J.J. Bascus NFL Analyst [ Las Vegas N.V.]/// [Crew Pool Bet] called this game to win by NE to cover the money line by 6 or less points He was 1 point off the mark at 7 point win NE. So how good J.J. Bascus [Reno NV.//// [Crew Pool Bet] System Smity Ryann II, J.J. Bascus NFL Analyst [ Las Vegas N.V.???????????
Opening Money Lines & Win Percentages% Based On the Point Spread >> NE -$280 J.J.> NE -9.9 Vegas NE -3.0 NE + 6.9 J.J Bascus[ J.J. Bascus .9% off his prediction New England Patriots 28 Pittsburgh Steelers 21 finial score
~J.J.Bascus Crew Picks & Bets~ Vegas Lines
J.J.Bascus Crew Pool Bet [ 15k ]
NE -opened at- $150 Now- $280
J.J.> NE -3.9
Vegas NE -3.0
J.J-.9 difference
NE 29 PIT 23 with Brady playing
NE - 6 Adjustment
System Smitty Ryann Jr.77% Win by NE to cover the money line by 6 or less points
Pre-season stats

Rush Yards Per Game NE- 107.2 PIT-109.5 = difference 2.3

Passing Yards Per Game NE-257.6 PIT-301.6 difference 44

Total Yards Per Game
NE-265.5 PIT-411.1 difference 145.6

Pool Bet-> 15k our crew [not including Angelo[ Pee-Wee] Moretti [Cicero Chicago] Guest Handicapper]. 7 of us in crew split the press bet, If we win on the press we will split the pool 7 ways, which is separate bet from our picks[ System Smitty RyannJr has our percentage win pool with the press> System Smitty Ryann Jr.75% Win > New England Patriots money line-$ 280. Pool Bet-> New England Patriots wins money line the 20k + win will be pressed to Dallas -6 at home against G-Men
Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT








Spot on Harry. Thanks again for what yall do.
 
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Some of u guys reading comprehension is a joke please go to the library asap.
The -110 eats plenty of "smart" dudes lunch every yr.
If u dont cant understand plain old ingles ur in big trouble. Post #28 is gold gents
Cheers Harry, hope u kick major bookie ass this season. Appreciate your crews hard work.
Thank you MoneyMiller for your reply and very good luck to you this Sunday with your bets and picks.
 
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Spot on Harry. Thanks again for what yall do.
​Thank you from our crew SaintsFan1977. System Smity Ryann Jr. adjusted the money line was 1 point off. Now buddy we need DAL -6 for the press.If we win, which I think so[ if you surround your self with old school handicappers like I do, we have great shot winning the pool bet. This is biggest bet we ever made on the opener of season, But look at knowledge of J.J. Bascus [Reno NV. and System Smity Ryann II, in there ratings. System Smity Ryann II, System Smitty Ryann Jr.75% Win > New England Patriots money line-$ 280 pressed to Dallas -6 at home against G-Men. Good Luck To You My Friend On Your Picks And Bets This Sunday SaintsFan1977
Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT

 

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