Iran Brags Nuclear Goals and Programs Still Intact

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Iranian Navy Missile Boat Harasses Three U.S. Navy Ships, Marine Helicopter in Strait of Hormuz - Sam LaGrone
Three U.S. Navy ships and a Marine helicopter were harassed during a night transit of the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday by an Iranian Navy Houdong-class guided-missile boat, U.S. 5th Fleet officials said Wednesday. The Iranian boat came within 800 yards of the U.S. ships and harassed the formation with a spotlight, then trained a laser on a helicopter that accompanied the ships. (U.S. Naval Institute News)
 

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[FONT=verdana, sans-serif] U.S. Deploys Long-Range Artillery in Southern Syria - Ryan Browne (CNN)
[/FONT][FONT=verdana, sans-serif] The U.S. military has moved its High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS) from Jordan into southern Syria for the first time, positioning it near the U.S.-Coalition training base at Al-Tanf, three U.S. defense officials confirmed Tuesday.
HIMARS, a truck-mounted system which can fire missiles as far as 300 km., represents a major boost to U.S. combat power in southern Syria.
HIMARS has been used to strike ISIS targets from firing positions in Turkey, Jordan and Iraq.[/FONT]
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Iran's Plans in Syria - Ahmed Eleiba (Al-Ahram-Egypt)
[FONT=verdana, sans-serif][/FONT] Iranian news agencies have featured photographs of Maj.-Gen. Qassem Suleimani, commander of the Al-Quds Force of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, together with members of the Fatimid Brigade and the Syrian army at a location on the Iraqi-Syrian border.
They reflect an Iranian-Syrian plan to link the Shia militias on both sides of the border as part of Tehran's larger plan to create a land corridor from Tehran through Iraq and Syria to the Mediterranean.
U.S. forces on the ground in Syria are obstructing this scheme, however, and have launched three attacks against Iranian-affiliated contingents near the Iraqi and Jordanian borders.
The Americans have fortified a 55 km. area around Al-Tanf to create a no-go zone.
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Iran Wants to Send a Message
[h=3]Iran says its ballistic missile strike targeting the Islamic State group in Syria was not only a response to deadly attacks in Tehran, but a powerful message to archrival Saudi Arabia and the United States.[/h] June 19, 2017, at 9:43 a.m.

By NASSER KARIMI and JON GAMBRELL, Associated Press

TEHRAN, Iran (AP) — Iran says its ballistic missile strike targeting the Islamic State group in Syria was not only a response to deadly attacks in Tehran, but a powerful message to archrival Saudi Arabia and the United States, one that could add to already soaring regional tensions.

The launch, which hit Syria's eastern city of Deir el-Zour on Sunday night, appeared to be Iran's first missile attack abroad in over 15 years and its first in the Syrian conflict, in which it has provided crucial support to embattled President Bashar Assad.

It comes amid the worsening of a long-running feud between Shiite powerhouse Iran and Saudi Arabia, with supports Syrian rebels and has led recent efforts to isolate the Gulf nation of Qatar.

It also raises questions about how U.S. President Donald Trump's administration, which had previously put Iran "on notice" for its ballistic missile tests, will respond.

Iran's powerful Revolutionary Guard, a paramilitary force in charge of the country's missile program, said it launched six Zolfaghar ballistic missiles from the western provinces of Kermanshah and Kurdistan. State television footage showed the missiles on truck missile launchers in the daylight before being launched at night.

The missiles flew over Iraq before striking what the Guard called an Islamic State command center and suicide car bomb operation in Deir el-Zour, over 600 kilometers (370 miles) away. The extremists have been trying to fortify their positions in the Syrian city in the face of a U.S.-led coalition onslaught on Raqqa, the group's de facto capital.

Syrian opposition activist Omar Abu Laila, who is based in Germany but closely follows events in his native Deir el-Zour, said two Iranian missiles fell near and inside the eastern town of Mayadeen, an Islamic State stronghold. He said there were no casualties from the strikes. The IS group did not immediately acknowledge the strikes.

Iraqi lawmaker Abdul-Bari Zebari said his country agreed to the missile overflight after coordination with Iran, Russia and Syria.

The Guard described the missile strike as revenge for attacks on Tehran earlier this month that killed at least 18 people and wounded more than 50, the first such IS assault in the country.

But the missiles sent a message to more than just the extremists in Iraq and Syria, Gen. Ramazan Sharif of the Guard told state television in a telephone interview.

"The Saudis and Americans are especially receivers of this message," he said. "Obviously and clearly, some reactionary countries of the region, especially Saudi Arabia, had announced that they are trying to bring insecurity into Iran."

Sunday's missile strike came amid recent confrontations in Syria between U.S.-backed forces and pro-government factions. The U.S. recently deployed a truck-mounted missile system into Syria as Assad's forces cut off the advance of America-backed rebels along the Iraqi border. Meanwhile, the U.S. on Sunday shot down a Syrian aircraft for the first time, marking a new escalation of the conflict as Russia warned it would consider any U.S.-led coalition planes in Syria west of the Euphrates River to be targets.

The Zolfaghar missile, unveiled in September 2016, was described at the time as carrying a cluster warhead and being able to strike as far as 700 kilometers (435 miles) away.

That puts the missile in range of the forward headquarters of the U.S. military's Central Command in Qatar, American bases in the United Arab Emirates and the U.S. Navy's 5th Fleet in Bahrain.

The missile also could strike Riyadh, the capital of Saudi Arabia. While Iran has other ballistic missiles it says can reach longer distances, Sunday's strike appears to be the furthest carried out abroad. Iran's last foreign missile strike is believed to have been carried out in April 2001, targeting an exiled Iranian group in Iraq.

Iran has described the Tehran attackers as being "long affiliated with the Wahhabi," an ultraconservative form of Sunni Islam practiced in Saudi Arabia. However, it stopped short of directly blaming the kingdom for the attack, though many in the country have expressed suspicion that Iran's regional rival had a hand in the assault.

Since Trump took office, his administration has put new economic sanctions on those allegedly involved with Iran's missile program as the Senate has voted for applying new sanctions on Iran. However, the test launches haven't affected Iran's 2015 nuclear deal with world powers.

Israel is also concerned about Iran's missile launches and has deployed a multilayered missile-defense system. When Iran unveiled the Zolfaghar in 2016, it bore a banner printed with a 2013 quote by Khamenei saying that Iran will annihilate the Israeli cities of Tel Aviv and Haifa should Israel attack Iran.

Israeli security officials said Monday they were studying the missile strike to see what they could learn about its accuracy and capabilities. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak to reporters.

"We are following their actions. And we are also following their words," Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said. "And I have one message to Iran: Do not threaten Israel."

Iranian officials meanwhile offered a series of threats of more strikes, including former Guard chief Gen. Mohsen Rezai. He wrote on Twitter: "The bigger slap is yet to come."
 

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And we want China to reign in NK???

Iran and China Conduct Naval Drill in Gulf (Reuters)
Iran and China began a joint naval exercise in the Gulf on Sunday, the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) reported.
An Iranian destroyer and two Chinese destroyers are among the vessels that will participate in the exercise in the Strait of Hormuz and the Sea of Oman.
 

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Iranian Revolutionary Guards Commanders: Our Main Aim Is Global Islamic Rule (MEMRI)
In recent statements and speeches, Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) commanders have emphasized that the Islamic Revolution in Iran is only the first stage on the path to the spread of the rule of Shi'ite Islam in the Middle East and worldwide.
They argue that the U.S. opposes Islam, and thus also Iran, the standard-bearer of the Revolution and its global vision.
 

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  • Iran Has Squandered Its Chance to Avoid Sanctions - Joseph I. Lieberman and Mark S. Kirk
    The Financial Action Task Force (FATF), meeting this week in Spain, is the international governing body on combating money laundering and terrorism financing. Iran received a 12-month reprieve from sanctions at last year's FATF meeting following the nuclear deal.
    One year later, Iran remains the world's leading state-sponsor of terrorism, with no change in either Iran's money-laundering policies or in winding down its terror funding. Therefore, FATF must bring back the sanctions against Iran.
    The nuclear deal provided the opportunity for Iran to demonstrate its commitment to stopping the flow of funds to terror groups and rolling back its money-laundering operations. But Iran squandered this opportunity. The writers are former U.S. senators.
    (Wall Street Journal)
 

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U.S. on Collision Course with Syria and Iran - Karen DeYoung and Greg Jaffe
Trump administration officials, anticipating the defeat of the Islamic State in its Syrian capital of Raqqa, are planning for the next stage of the war, a fight that will bring them into direct conflict with Syrian government and Iranian forces in eastern Syria. Unprecedented recent U.S. strikes against regime and Iranian-backed militia forces have been intended as warnings to Syrian President Assad and Tehran that they will not be allowed to impede the Americans and their local proxy forces.
Senior White House officials have been pushing the Pentagon to establish outposts in the region to prevent a Syrian or Iranian military presence that would interfere with the U.S. military's ability to break the Islamic State's hold on the Euphrates River valley and into Iraq - where the militants could regroup and continue to plan terrorist operations against the West. In a report Wednesday, the Institute for the Study of War said that the Islamic State in Raqqa had already relocated "the majority of its leadership, media, chemical weapons, and external attack cells" south to the town of Mayadin in Deir al-Zour province.
Senior White House officials involved in Syria policy see what's happening through a lens focused as much on Iran as on the Islamic State. The Iranian goal, said one, "seems to be...to control lines of communication and try to block us from doing what our commanders and planners have judged all along is necessary to complete the ISIS campaign."
(Washington Post)


 

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  • The ISIS Attack on Iran's Parliament - A Challenge to Rouhani - Lt. Col. (ret.) Michael Segall
    The Islamic State claimed responsibility for the coordinated simultaneous terror attacks on Iran's parliament and on the tomb of Iran's first Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Khomeini, on June 7, 2017, that killed 13 people and wounded more than 40. In March, the group issued a video that called on Iran's Sunni minority to form terror cells and carry out attacks against Shiite forces.
    It is possible that, as the Islamic State loses land in Syria and Iraq, its fighters will make their way eastward toward Iran and Pakistan. Terror of the Islamic State variety will probably aim for a sympathetic response from Iran's many ethnic minorities.
    The Islamic State attack in Tehran will add considerably to the difficulties of President Rouhani. Elected to a second term on promises of reform in the domain of individual and citizens' rights, the security forces will exploit the incident to beef up security measures, and will crack down harder on any show of opposition to the Islamic regime by the reformist camp.
    The writer is a senior analyst at the Jerusalem Center. (Institute for Contemporary Affairs-Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs)
  • How Iran Fights the Islamic State - Dina Esfandiary
    The writer is a Centre for Science and Security Studies fellow in the War Studies Department at King's College London. (Washington Post)
  • Iran's Islamic State Problem Isn't Going Away - Alex Vatanka
    The writer is a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute. (Foreign Policy)

  • Book Review - Iran: Theocracy vs. Democracy - Reuel Marc Gerecht
    Misagh Parsa's Democracy in Iran: Why It Failed and How It Might Succeed analyzes the titanic struggle underway in Iran between theocracy and democracy. Along the way, the author shows why gradual reform - the leitmotif for Western supporters of "pragmatic" Iranian President Hassan Rouhani and of the Obama administration's nuclear deal - is unlikely. The book is a comprehensive refutation of the Obama administration's hopes that increasing commerce with Iran would moderate the regime and that it was safe to put an expiration date on the regulation of Iran's nuclear program.
    Parsa, a professor of sociology at Dartmouth, argues convincingly that Iran is moving toward greater internal oppression and foreign wars. At the same time, a theocratic regime has made Shiites less observant: Few attend the ever-shrinking supply of functioning mosques where fewer and fewer young men want to become clerics. In 1980, 60.7% of the deputies in the Majles (parliament) were clerics. After the 2016 elections, their number had declined to 5.5%. The writer is a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.
    (Wall Street Journal)
 

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  • U.S. Strategy and Israel's Stake in Eastern Syria - Jonathan Spyer
    The defeat of Islamic State as an entity controlling territory is clearly only a matter of time. The actions of the Assad regime (and the Iranian and Russian interests that dominate it) equally clearly reflect their determination to confront and defeat all other armed elements within Syria.
    The U.S. is currently backing certain armed elements in Syria for the purpose of defeating Islamic State. At a certain point, Washington will need to decide whether it wishes to abandon its allies to destruction at the hands of the regime, Iran and Russia, or to help to defend the forces it has armed and trained.
    If the U.S. and its allies are eclipsed in eastern Syria, the result will be the establishment of a contiguous land link from Iran, across Iraq and Syria, to Lebanon and the Israeli border. Over the last half decade, a coalition of Tehran-aligned militias has acted in a coordinated fashion on behalf of Iranian allies and interests. Thus, the prevention of the emergence of this direct land route through eastern Syria is a direct Israeli national interest.
    The writer is a senior research fellow at the Rubin Center for Research in International Affairs, IDC Herzliya. (Jerusalem Post)

  • Trump Is on a Collision Course with Iran - Dennis Ross (Politico)

  • Assad Still Must Go - Michael J. Totten
    The U.S. is getting more involved in the Syrian war. Eventually, one way or another, Assad has to go. Assad, after all, is responsible for the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people. The Syrian war triggered the largest refugee crisis in Europe since World War II. And if it weren't for Assad, ISIS wouldn't even exist.
    The strongest case, though, is on national security grounds. Replacing the Assad regime with just about anything but a radical Islamist terrorist state will make the U.S., Europe, the greater Middle East, and even most of the world safer places than they are now. Destroying ISIS in both Iraq and Syria is our first priority. That's not going to change. The last thing the U.S. should do, though, is partner with the Assad regime that is allied with Iran.
    Support for ISIS among the general public in the Arab world is in the low single digits. The only reason terrorist armies like ISIS and the Nusra Front are tolerated by civilians right now in Syria is because so many perceive Assad as the greater of evils. Hardly anyone in Syria would even temporarily support ISIS' and the Nusra Front's deranged revolution if there were no one in Damascus to revolt against.
    (The Tower)
 

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  • Iran Gets North Korean Expertise in Building, Testing and Hiding Its Ballistic Missiles - Rowan Scarborough
    Iran has increased production and testing of ballistic missiles since the 2015 nuclear deal with the U.S. while playing permanent host to scientists from North Korea, which has the know-how to build and launch atomic weapons, a leading opposition group said Tuesday. The National Council of Resistance of Iran issued a white paper that identifies and documents work at 42 missile centers operated by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. A dozen sites had never been disclosed before.
    North Koreans have shown Iran how to dig tunnels and build "missile cities" deep inside mountains to prevent destruction by airstrikes. "The IRGC's missile sites have been created based on North Korean models and blueprints. North Korean experts have helped the Iranian regime to build them. Underground facilities and tunnels to produce, store, and maintain missiles have also been modeled after North Korean sites and were created with the collaboration of the North Korean experts."
    "Delegations of the IRGC's aerospace [industry] constantly travel to North Korea and exchange knowledge, information and achievements with North Korean specialists. North Korea's experts constantly travel to Iran."
    (Washington Times)
 

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