4 Unit Play. #621. Take Iona +5 over Boston University (Saturday @ 1pm est). Most received a win with VCU +1.5 yesterday, but it will count as a push just in case some recieved +1 early in the morning. It's more important to use the lowest common denominator to make sure it is fair to everyone and not just most. Let's take the early game in this interconference showdown as we back the Gaels. I have followed Iona as I do all Metro teams for quite some time over the past few years. They have certainly come a long way and by no means are they the laughing stock of division one basketball anymore. This team now sits at 12-15 and certainly if they win out the rest of this season they can be .500. One of the best things about Iona is the fact they handle adversity so well. This is a team that when they need to step up in the toughest of circumstances they do - and when things are a bit easier, they let down. Well, today is such a case when they face a very competent Boston team on the road. But, note that Iona is the same team that went on the road to defeat Hofstra earlier this year by 3, they defeated Niagara on the road as well, took care of Manhattan by 20 on neutral footing and come off a horrible 15 point loss to Siena at home in a game they really weren't competitive in until the late second half. Even at that point, Siena began pulling away near the end. This team has to be furious with that loss and I think they bounce-back well here. Boston is a good looking team, but they to come off a series of losses as they have lost their last three contests. The thing about Boston is, I'm not sure how they will do against a team like Iona who has faced such tougher competition throughout the year. Iona's SOS this year was in the top 150's while Boston's was only around the top 250. Sure, Boston has a PR ranking, but that is because they played more cupcake teams as well. I feel that Iona has the motivation, has played a tougher schedule all year, I like the 5 points, this is an afternoon game where I don't think the crowd will be all that too much of a factor and I think Iona's has showed time and time again they can step up in adversity and I think they get it done here after the really disappointing loss to Siena. Iona likely for the Outright here, if not, I'll take them to stay inside the 5.
*Added analysis (11:05am): It seems since the morning, the line has come down and it is +4.5 and +4 in other books, this play still goes on, similar to when Amare was out for the Suns yesterday, regardless, we still make the play b/c there are several factors that usually work for us with the pod.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.