Hitman26 said:
All you are asking is what price do I put on a 1/2. No problem. Certain 1/2's or key numbers are more valueable than others. In your case I would have laid the 5 -.10 A kiss with sis for the 5 cents. A big difference laying 10 cents for the extra 1/2 that paying a nickel for it. My goal would be to get -5 -.07. In the long run those kisses should pay for the lost juice. But then the numbers are more important. I did not say there were no key numbers. There are. In my order, I value 7, 6, 2, 3, 4, 8, 5, 9-12. Your example is pretty tight. Tough to go wrong adding 5 cents to save a bet. Flip side, you save none and get burned on wrong side for the nickel extra. Basic formula to keep in mind, how often do you have to kiss sis to make up for lost juice. And then factor in probability of number hitting. Last year in playoffs, higher numbers ruled. Off the top of my head I remember a 6, 7, 8, 8, 11, and 11. To directly answer your question, I would pay the extra 5 cents, no more for the better number. 5 -1.10.
Best Wishes..OF:howdy:
Hope you got that over...
Thanks Frog man.
I think I understand. You are saying that the half is worth roughly 7 cents (on the 5 of course). So would you be splitting hairs if you were given the choice of -5 -110 or -5.5 -103? But you would definetly rather have -5.5 -102 rather than -5 -110?
I think I understand. You are saying that the half is worth roughly 7 cents (on the 5 of course). So would you be splitting hairs if you were given the choice of -5 -110 or -5.5 -103? But you would definetly rather have -5.5 -102 rather than -5 -110?
Well the suggestion was made in lieu of the fact Wilhiem is not letting you do write ups. I know you like to do them, that's why I made the suggestion.OMNIVOROUS FROG said:Sorry Rob, that was last year, and some found it offensive. I have been directed by the people who run the forum to post in the Tracker. I see the point, except for the King, if everybody did it the forum would be ruined. I play be the rules.
Win here or there, still a win...OF
But I see your reasoning.
I think you should be able to do them given your popularity and the grey area in the rule, but that's just cuz I'm sharp thinker
In any event OF, good luck with that Pacers play
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I do not buy points in the nba........reduced juice is always a plus, and should be used when advantageous.........in the long run your better off.
system plays based on 1 and 2 units w/home and away formats have been around for years and can produce profits.......at worse losses are minimal
"The truth, you can't handle the truth!"
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Planet Earth
Posts: 2,316
</TD><TD class=alt1><!-- icon and title -->
<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->I never, repeat never buy in the NBA.
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I do not buy points in the nba........reduced juice is always a plus, and should be used when advantageous.........in the long run your better off.
system plays based on 1 and 2 units w/home and away formats have been around for years and can produce profits.......at worse losses are minimal
Hitman26 said:
That one I would lean towards the .02. But we are splitting hairs here. I think what I am trying to say is not buying over 10 cents, rule of thumb. Best number still applies, but do not exceed 7 cents getting it. I would lay -1.10 to take +2 vs. -1.03 for +1 1/2. But I would not lay -1.15 to take +2, if -1.07 +1 1/2. If I can get a better 1/2, for a nickel,, and pay less than 10 cents juice total, I will normally take the better number. I hope that clears up what my general guidelines are on number comparision. It might not be the best method, but it is what I am comfortable with. I think you have to ask, every time you shop, what are my parameters, and at what price do I purchase the better number. Although rough, I adhere to these.
Best Wishes...OF:digit:
Nimue: Seen too many gimme buckets off the 5. Teams more concerned about giving up the trey allow easier shots in close.
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RobFunk said:Well the suggestion was made in lieu of the fact Wilhiem is not letting you do write ups. I know you like to do them, that's why I made the suggestion.
But I see your reasoning.
I think you should be able to do them given your popularity and the grey area in the rule, but that's just cuz I'm sharp thinker
In any event OF, good luck with that Pacers play
Rob, I misread your question. Even though I still hold a grudge against wil for his incorrect past post accusation he is not the bad guy here. It has nothing to do with him I am using the Tracker. Other members wanted it that way, so I could be documented. I thought you meant posting up front here. That is what I was told not to do by the RX. The Tracker is what the RX suggested I use. The NBA Forum is a different can of worms. Concerned individuals expressed dismay when I posted something that would not balance. Something about many of their players read the RX. So my agreement is sides and totals, except for Pinny. So if I see a specific weak Pinny prop...
Nope, wil never bothered me in NBA forum, that became external to the RX.
Back to work the 1/2...OF:howdy:
Shrink:
When you ask a question and get no response do you find yourself asking this?
:notlisten
Followed by this?
:headbeat:
If so, I know exactly how you feel. Perhaps no one wants to be presumptious by stepping forward. Specifics of handicapping methods and details would truly be a very valuable addition to the RX. There are a wide range of sports that could be covered as well as a myriad of approaches in handicapping that can be taught. Would be a welcome addition.
When you ask a question and get no response do you find yourself asking this?
:notlisten
Followed by this?
:headbeat:
If so, I know exactly how you feel. Perhaps no one wants to be presumptious by stepping forward. Specifics of handicapping methods and details would truly be a very valuable addition to the RX. There are a wide range of sports that could be covered as well as a myriad of approaches in handicapping that can be taught. Would be a welcome addition.
Not sure about all that Ted. Glad you stepped up. The SHRINK, I have added rule to my case for Indy.
6-BET FAVORITES EARLY & UNDERDOGS LATE- Since the Public often bets just before game time, you are much more likely to gain a much needed and appreciated half point edge when betting the Underdog close to game time. The opposite holds true if you like the Favorite. Bet them early before the Public inflates that number when they enter the market later on.
That makes 4. Not so sure this did not roll into an A play. Actually Ted, I thought this thread rocked. Lot of contributions by many. Wish they were all like this.
Go Pacers...OF:howdy:
6-BET FAVORITES EARLY & UNDERDOGS LATE- Since the Public often bets just before game time, you are much more likely to gain a much needed and appreciated half point edge when betting the Underdog close to game time. The opposite holds true if you like the Favorite. Bet them early before the Public inflates that number when they enter the market later on.
That makes 4. Not so sure this did not roll into an A play. Actually Ted, I thought this thread rocked. Lot of contributions by many. Wish they were all like this.
Go Pacers...OF:howdy:
Frog:
Agree that this thread has been informative. Was responding to the Shrink's question regarding anyone in this thread stepping forward to write a monthly piece on handicapping. Unfortunately, no one answered him. Believe it would be a valuable addition to the RX and it's many members, posters and viewers.
By the way, I hold the same position as you regarding never buying points in the NBA. Congrats on the Detroit/Philadelphia game going Over. Best of luck tonight. I have no positions either today or tomorrow as it has been my long term policy to sit out Game 1 of each series in Round 1 only, simply to get a look before moving forward. Playoffs will run approximately 7 or 8 weeks. No hurry for me.
Agree that this thread has been informative. Was responding to the Shrink's question regarding anyone in this thread stepping forward to write a monthly piece on handicapping. Unfortunately, no one answered him. Believe it would be a valuable addition to the RX and it's many members, posters and viewers.
By the way, I hold the same position as you regarding never buying points in the NBA. Congrats on the Detroit/Philadelphia game going Over. Best of luck tonight. I have no positions either today or tomorrow as it has been my long term policy to sit out Game 1 of each series in Round 1 only, simply to get a look before moving forward. Playoffs will run approximately 7 or 8 weeks. No hurry for me.
oldmanTED said:
I agree with the poster writing in a thread, just better you than me. I think all would benefit. I would probably say or do something wrong. You are much better suited for such a task. I am thinking of hopping back to the NBA forum, per Rob's request. I don't need no stinkin tracking. I hope to make a lot of money in game #1's. The units are moderate. I am thrilled to have the NBA playoffs back. 15 series. A lot of opportunity exists in all those games. This is without a doubt my last hurrah for the summer. I am dedicated and focused. Usually do well when I am motivated. You going to start posting NBA playoffs Ted? Always take the time to read your analysis...
Best Wishes...OF:digit:
OMNIVOROUS FROG said:
Understand your sentiment regarding the Tracking Forum versus the NBA Forum. Of course, you could always do both. Both have their positive features. The Tracking Forum being succinct with selections and records only and the summary of handicapper's standings as provided by Glaken. The NBA Forum provides you the opportunity to present your write-up if you so desire plus have interaction with your fellow posters should they have any questions or concerns. Do what works best for you.
As for the playoffs, I enjoy them as well and expect to be making a fair share of plays as they present themselves. The NBA Championship will end my wagering year as well, as my year begins in August with football and ends in June. As to my posting selections, not certain about that, but bound to chime in once in awhile with thoughts and opinions throughout the playoffs. Those that have read my threads and know my style will generally understand where I may stand should I have a stand. And those that don't often ask, so I'll leave it at that.
Oh, I am wondering what to do with a froggie who MOCKS my selection tonight?
Do I throw the froggie back into a pond?
Do I FRY his legs (I understand that's a delicacy to some)?
I doubt I'd like the thought of eating his feet though...
I'll just hop away and let him DEAL WITH THIS...
Thanks Froggie for almost conceding this round though it is not over just YET...
It's ironic how your words about the Celtics poor DEFENSE couldn't have been any further from the truth tonight...
They have looked great albeit, the game isn't over..
Bottom line: I love going tete a tete with you and I wish you the best of luck in all games that we don't collide in...
Feel free to post ALL your playoff selections in this forum if you'd prefer...
I think you have earned it...
THE SHRINK
Do I throw the froggie back into a pond?
Do I FRY his legs (I understand that's a delicacy to some)?
I doubt I'd like the thought of eating his feet though...
I'll just hop away and let him DEAL WITH THIS...
Thanks Froggie for almost conceding this round though it is not over just YET...
It's ironic how your words about the Celtics poor DEFENSE couldn't have been any further from the truth tonight...
They have looked great albeit, the game isn't over..
Bottom line: I love going tete a tete with you and I wish you the best of luck in all games that we don't collide in...
Feel free to post ALL your playoff selections in this forum if you'd prefer...
I think you have earned it...
THE SHRINK
