How to Beat the NFL : Teasers 2012

[Cutler'sThumb]

saints and 49ers ruin a lot of teasers

Yep, I was had by both games in separate teasers. Niners just had a clunker, but I can't believe the Saints let that game get away.

 

[Huego]

lets bounce back this week man

 

[yanks28]

New here, just a couple quick questions. Why don't you play the HD? Also, I see you take some -7 spreads down to -1, thought it had to be -7.5 to -8.5 to fit the system. Let me know, Thanks.

 

[Akillies]

New here, just a couple quick questions. Why don't you play the HD? Also, I see you take some -7 spreads down to -1, thought it had to be -7.5 to -8.5 to fit the system. Let me know, Thanks.

the explanation of the system is in the first few posts in the thread. Hd havent been profitable in several years according to the data. The reason i take some -7 fav's is because i have to , in other words i need more teams to make up the teaser card. using this system many weeks will have very few teams which qualify like last week.

 

[Akillies]

week 3
1-1
-+ 0

year to date
5-3
+4.3 u

teams
9-3

 

[Akillies]

plenty of choices this week, there will be a large number of plays

 

[Akillies]

all 1.0u to win 1.8u :

nyg +8.5 was +8 gb -1.5
atl -1. was +8 gb -1.5
atl -1. was +8 Mia +11
atl -1. min +10 Mia +11

 

[CFBFan]

all 1.0u to win 1.8u :

nyg +8.5 was +8 gb -1.5
atl -1. was +8 gb -1.5
atl -1. was +8 Mia +11
atl -1. min +10 Mia +11

Does it scare you to have 3 of 4 games tied to either WAS or ATL? Lose 1 of those and lose 3 bets. Not knocking the plays, just asking. Thanks

 

[zeenon53]

What about MIA and MIN not following basic strategy?

 

[Cubsfan301]

all 1.0u to win 1.8u :

nyg +8.5 was +8 gb -1.5
atl -1. was +8 gb -1.5
atl -1. was +8 Mia +11
atl -1. min +10 Mia +11

I see how you got nyg was and gb, but mia and min make no sense based on the system

 

[zeenon53]

He must be feeling good about them. I played MIA on the ML this week already. MIN scares me.

 

[Akillies]

Does it scare you to have 3 of 4 games tied to either WAS or ATL? Lose 1 of those and lose 3 bets. Not knocking the plays, just asking. Thanks

of course, but that is how to win

 

[Akillies]

What about MIA and MIN not following basic strategy?

rd of 4 to 6.5 win @ very high rate, with or without teasers. i like to play them, you could omit them if you choose not to play that subset.

 

[Akillies]

He must be feeling good about them. I played MIA on the ML this week already. MIN scares me.

personally i dont like any of those sides, notice i only used giants once, i think phi could blow them out.

 

[Akillies]

also note i moved to soon and atl is down to -6.5
so i would not play them if you can still make plays

 

[zeenon53]

BOL today! On the first 2 with you.

 

[Akillies]

BOL today! On the first 2 with you.

thanks and good luck 4 u

 

[Cutler'sThumb]

What do you think about Den (currently -7.5 at 5 Dimes) and maybe Cin for the afternoon games? Do you wait til closer to those game times to make decisions, or do you just leave it once the early games have started?

 

[Akillies]

What do you think about Den (currently -7.5 at 5 Dimes) and maybe Cin for the afternooyyn games? Do you wait til closer to those game times to make decisions, or do you just leave it once the early games have started?

i wouldnt play denver, i luv cinncy. gb and skins are also good choices

 

[Cutler'sThumb]

i wouldnt play denver, i luv cinncy. gb and skins are also good choices

Yep, already on GB and Was. Just wondering if I should cycle in another team.