How to Beat the NFL : Teasers 2012

[cdsmoney]

if you dont believe me
check 5 dimes for yourself, just try and play the teasers i recommend.
{you cant}

Absolutely believe you (you've done all the legwork). Plus, I've noticed 5dimes trimming their offerings over the years (nothing like only being able to place $100 prop bets). Quick question you might previously have answered: I know getting the sharp line is what we want (the reason for the wait). But, have you ever looked at data sets using the opening lines? In either way, I'll definitely be following this thread (albeit with no 'outs' it appears

 

[Cubsfan301]

My local does 3 teamers at +180 and 2 teamers at -100. My only question is..if you have 3 teams that qualify how are you structuring the 2-teamers? And if you have 4 or 5 qualifiers how do you structure that?

 

[Akillies]

I will post the plays late sat. nite or Sunday early

Here is a rundown of the possibilities as of now:

Bears- good for a 10-pt tease
Bills- possible if line stays below 3, not likely
Saints- very good play, may want to get in now as line is moving up
lions - may want to get in now as line is moving up
chiefs- home dog, do not play
bucs- home dog, do not play
cards- home dog, do not play
Steelers - i will play even at +1, at +1.5 and above pure gold
Ravens- if line goes to -7.5
chargers - play @+1.5

 

[Akillies]

My local does 3 teamers at +180 and 2 teamers at -100. My only question is..if you have 3 teams that qualify how are you structuring the 2-teamers? And if you have 4 or 5 qualifiers how do you structure that?

wheel them, which means play every combination.

 

[bigtease]

1vice offers 3 teamer 6 pt bet 100 win 170

2 teamer 6pt 110 to win 100

 

[Cubsfan301]

I'm new to this so bear with me....I thought you said were only playing RD at 1.5-2.5 and HF at 7.5-8.5 and 6pt tease? you say bears are a good 10pt tease?

 

[Akillies]

Absolutely believe you (you've done all the legwork). Plus, I've noticed 5dimes trimming their offerings over the years (nothing like only being able to place $100 prop bets). Quick question you might previously have answered: I know getting the sharp line is what we want (the reason for the wait). But, have you ever looked at data sets using the opening lines? In either way, I'll definitely be following this thread (albeit with no 'outs' it appears

the idea is that teasers are better when the line is more accurate, so you want to wait until it has adjusted as much as possible. idk if the data was ever published

 

[bigtease]

what abouth the Texans Love em myself

10 pt tease has been good to me but it is -120

 

[Akillies]

I'm new to this so bear with me....I thought you said were only playing RD at 1.5-2.5 and HF at 7.5-8.5 and 6pt tease? you say bears are a good 10pt tease?

u cant use the bears in a 6-pt, but u could if u play 10-pt teasers. They are beatable, the problem lies in finding 3 teams which qualify [10 - 12.5 pt. fav]

 

[Cubsfan301]

Got it thanks!

 

[Akillies]

what abouth the Texans Love em myself

10 pt tease has been good to me but it is -120

interesting game, i avoiding mentioning to try not to confuse anyone. Why has the line moved so much? I have hous teased to -2, but at -13 i would recommend staying away completely. Also have hous -11 and will play back all of it at +14 or more [hopefully]

 

[Akillies]

1vice offers 3 teamer 6 pt bet 100 win 170

2 teamer 6pt 110 to win 100

not good but that is about the best u can get. make sure they dont move the lines like 5dimes

 

[Akillies]

confirmed justbet does offer 2 team @ -110 and 3 team @+180
so you can play there

sbg globalhttp://www.sbgglobal.eu/wc/clicks.php?aff=312_25_213_312
offers the same odds

 

[boatboatboat]

Akillie is it safe to say you never play a teaser that doesnt cross the 3 and the 7?

I played

Pitts and GB and teased them 6 1/2.

 

[Akillies]

Akillie is it safe to say you never play a teaser that doesnt cross the 3 and the 7?

I played

Pitts and GB and teased them 6 1/2.

i do, i havent mentioned them so as to not confuse to many people. But to do this effectively you will need more plays. Most weeks simple bs teasers wont give more than a couple of plays. Therefore if you want more action or need additional teams to fill out your card, road dogs [RD] of +4.5 - +6 cover at 74%. Home dogs again are not any good, and these road dogs also cover at a profitable rate with no teaser, just a straight bet.

this week SF qualifies under the above criteria. I am not playing it. I like Green bay

 

[boatboatboat]

this week SF qualifies under the above criteria. I am not playing it. I like Green bay

Ok, so that answers my next question. Even if the numbers show it as a play, if you don't like the side, you skip it.

 

[GordonGekko]

Good luck Akilles and look forward to the plus even teasers as my books offer the 1.8 on 1 unit for at least one more season.

 

[TearTrax]

Akillies,
Really appreciate your taking the time to create this thread and answer questions. I did very well with teasers last year and hope to do the same this year. Your analysis plays a big part in my decision making process. BOL this week.

Tim

 

[187Sports]

Akillies,
What time are you posting the plays?
Thanks

 

[Akillies]

Akillies,
Really appreciate your taking the time to create this thread and answer questions. I did very well with teasers last year and hope to do the same this year. Your analysis plays a big part in my decision making process. BOL this week.

Tim

thanks and i hope we do close to as well this year