ya i mean i couldn't tell you what either teams rpi is? rpi, w/l, rankings are things i don't bother to look at because they are basically useless stats to handicappers. give me fg% def, and rebound margin and go from there. i really don't even look at records. i just look at the schedule for let downs, look aheads, and hows teams fair at home/road. hopefully isu can cash for us then, we'll let the squares take bradley
ya i mean i couldn't tell you what either teams rpi is? rpi, w/l, rankings are things i don't bother to look at because they are basically useless stats to handicappers. give me fg% def, and rebound margin and go from there. i really don't even look at records. i just look at the schedule for let downs, look aheads, and hows teams fair at home/road. hopefully isu can cash for us then, we'll let the squares take bradley
Homedawg- any take on the Kentucky/Tenn game? I love Kentucky tonight & here is may take on the game.
I will look to get back my $$ I lost on the Vols last Wednesday night. That was a nice spot there, as Tenn had revenge on their mind & had a big homecourt edge also, with it being on National TV and all..Tenn blew a double digit lead twice & actually led by 15 pts at one point, only to lose the game by double digits themselves (89-79). This Vols team got flat out outcoached in that game & the basketball IQ as a whole of this team is not good IMO. This team should not be ranked in the top 25 & they wont be there for long IMO. The Vols rebounded in their last game kind of.....beating a down Georgia team by 9 pts & even covering the -8.5 pt spread....But, they had to rally for not only the cover, but for the outright win...I love to back conference dogs in general, but I wont do it blindly, as I backed Louisville last night as 6 pt favs & they got the job done in overtime & covered easily. Kentucky comes into tonights game playing great ball & have a ton of confidence going for them. They got some revenge over Vandy on Sat. night with a 10 pt victory at home(Vandy beat Kentucky by 41 pts last year) & the game before Vandy, Kentucky played Louisville to the very end, losing by just 3 pts AT Louisville (74-71). Kentucky is 12-2 over their L/14 games & are 6-1 ATS over their L/7 games & also are 2-0-1 ATS in their L/3 road games. Kentucky has scored over 70 pts in 8 straight games & they have allowed opponents to reach that 70 pt mark, just 3 times during their nice 12-2 run. Tennessee has also allowed 77 pts or more in six of their L/7 games. Kentucky G Weeks is averaging 28 ppg & shooting 50% over the L/6 games & Tenn F Tyler Smith struggled big time vs Kentucky last year, averaging just 10 ppg & shooting just 35% over the 2 games. Bottom line for me here is, I really like the way Kentcuky is playing right now & the psyche of the team. Tennessee on the other hand, I do not trust one bit, & I think they are overrated and poorly coached, and do not have a solid baseketball IQ as a whole, & I will gladly take the 6 pts here, in a game in which I see Kentucky surely capable of winning, let alone covering the +6.
I will look to get back my $$ I lost on the Vols last Wednesday night. That was a nice spot there, as Tenn had revenge on their mind & had a big homecourt edge also, with it being on National TV and all..Tenn blew a double digit lead twice & actually led by 15 pts at one point, only to lose the game by double digits themselves (89-79). This Vols team got flat out outcoached in that game & the basketball IQ as a whole of this team is not good IMO. This team should not be ranked in the top 25 & they wont be there for long IMO. The Vols rebounded in their last game kind of.....beating a down Georgia team by 9 pts & even covering the -8.5 pt spread....But, they had to rally for not only the cover, but for the outright win...I love to back conference dogs in general, but I wont do it blindly, as I backed Louisville last night as 6 pt favs & they got the job done in overtime & covered easily. Kentucky comes into tonights game playing great ball & have a ton of confidence going for them. They got some revenge over Vandy on Sat. night with a 10 pt victory at home(Vandy beat Kentucky by 41 pts last year) & the game before Vandy, Kentucky played Louisville to the very end, losing by just 3 pts AT Louisville (74-71). Kentucky is 12-2 over their L/14 games & are 6-1 ATS over their L/7 games & also are 2-0-1 ATS in their L/3 road games. Kentucky has scored over 70 pts in 8 straight games & they have allowed opponents to reach that 70 pt mark, just 3 times during their nice 12-2 run. Tennessee has also allowed 77 pts or more in six of their L/7 games. Kentucky G Weeks is averaging 28 ppg & shooting 50% over the L/6 games & Tenn F Tyler Smith struggled big time vs Kentucky last year, averaging just 10 ppg & shooting just 35% over the 2 games. Bottom line for me here is, I really like the way Kentcuky is playing right now & the psyche of the team. Tennessee on the other hand, I do not trust one bit, & I think they are overrated and poorly coached, and do not have a solid baseketball IQ as a whole, & I will gladly take the 6 pts here, in a game in which I see Kentucky surely capable of winning, let alone covering the +6.
Good question. If you play it by the book you are really only supposed to hedge if you feel you are too exposed on on end, because ultimately all you are doing is getting off a good bet. I usually play middles under 2 circumstances; if i have a very large bet and have a nice sized middle i will usually buy back 15 -20% and try to shoot a middle. the other times i do it is if i am following a game and it just looks like the other team has a shot in the 2nd half. usually i will do this in games like app st last night. if i have a big dog, or a team that is over matched, but are playing well in the first half and have a big lead. usually don't buy back more than 25% though. it is the safe way, but can hurt you if you get off winning bets too often. i used to do this a lot until i did some reading up on it. nothing more frustrating then nailing a game, but breaking even because you tried to middle at half.
surprisingly i just did that with all 3 teams tonight. i rarely do, but i have had a lot of big dogs winning outright lately and felt that i could get 2 straight up winners tonight. i played no ill +210 for the most. i don't advise doing this generally. just in certain situations. for ex i just don't think there is anyways ball st can score enough points to blow out no ill so it should be a close games that could go either way. i guess you just have to have a real feel for the game, but this isn't something i would recommend doing on a regular basis.
GL
I think this number is pretty solid. i can really see it going either way. i think tennessee athleticism could give Kentucky problems. you also can't look past how much stronger the vols are at home. i wish someone would just throw a zone defense at tenn as i think it would really shut them down. i think guilipsee has had history of playing the 2-3 so hopefully this is something he breaks out of the bag of tricks tonight. on the other hand patterson is a beast in the paint, and meeks give them good balance from the outside. kentucky still have the tendency to go in some horrific scoring slumps against athletic teams and can possibly see that tonight. if i had to chose a side i would pick tenn, but i can def see kentucky covering. just too hard to call for me. hopefully you can cash with the cats though
GL buddy
I swear I was just about to post that. I was going to say what am I missing?
Syracuse definitley a play for me tomorrow.
Syracuse definitley a play for me tomorrow.
Wake -2.5 @ BC?
4 points to low. BC is really not that good.
4 points to low. BC is really not that good.
i just hammered wake -2.5...i don't see it being there that long, very worse i play a middle. this may be one of the few times this year i play a road favorite. you do have to worry about the whole let down thing, and to compound matters being on the road is tough. bc has shown they have the ability to knock off the best, but this wake team is just too big and athletic. they will need to totally collapse. was shocked this wasn't about 5 or 6, with 4 being the absolute lowest
syracuse +6.5 is a joke too
Ok thanks. All over BC tomorrow.
