the 2 best plays of the year may be Saturday. Watch for let downs by both Gonzaga and St. Mary's. Both teams play capable competition. St. Mary's plays at a very good Portland team, and Gonzaga has San Diego. Regardless of the outcome tonight i will surely have a big play on Portland, and something on San Diego. As for tonight San Diego may be the play as Portland could be looking ahead to getting the Gales at home in 2 days. Just a little food for thought
Can you give a brief writeup on S Alabama? Unlike some other characters on this site, I actually appreciate the info on the big plays, as well as the confidence in the pick.
A couple weeks back you said that Denver was a great play at home, and an excellent fade on the road. I am interested in hearing what makes you side with S Bama in this one.
A couple weeks back you said that Denver was a great play at home, and an excellent fade on the road. I am interested in hearing what makes you side with S Bama in this one.
I'm on Denver as I said earlier in the post. It's not a big play but I've seen enough of South Alabama to know that they are flaky and certainly I'm not impressed with them and no one should be impressed with losing to UL Lafayette as they did in their last game. They are an over-rated team and now they have to face a team that plays their best ball on their home court. I can't count how many times they have shit the bed in games this season in which they could've won not to mention their ATS record is just 6-10 compared to a strong 11-4 ATS record for Denver. I was actually surprised to see Homedawg on this game. I wish him best of luck nevertheless but not anytime soon will you be seeing any of my money on S. Alabama
I have plenty of reasons. So Alabama has an athletic team that should give Denver all sorts of trouble on the glass and in the paint. But they also have a very good point guard in Dominic Tilford. They have actually been really good on the road, they just haven't won at home. Right now this team is actually better on the road where they don't feel the pressure to perform. I think when it's all said and done their huge athletic advantage will be too much to overcome for Denver.
How can you say that beforehand without knowing what the line is? I know a guy who is probably the best CBB handicapper in the world. If he had on-camera skills, he could be on ESPN every night in studio. And despite his great knowledge and insights, he loses games he should lay off, or bet the other side......because he circles them beforehand and then bets them, even when the line is not where it should be or what he expected. I thought Illinois St was a good play last night, if you could have gotten +5.5, which is what I was expecting. The price determines everything. There are some situations that you go into a night thinking you are gonna be all over a certain side, but then the line comes out and you do a double-take. If the price forces you to go the other way, then so be it. That's the way I see things anyway.
I mean no disrespect......I don't even know you. I've just opened a few of your threads and read some things you've written, and wanted to comment on something I disagree with.
Good luck.
obviously my post was made with the assumption that the numbers are right. I would be expecting both to be catching a decent amount of points. Just saying that it is something to look out for. Those are the type of situations that I like to capitalize on.
I also played Illinois St. I thought they would be catching 4 or so, but felt they would win straight up so I still played at +3. Obviously that extra point would have made a difference, but I never once second guessed my play.
Fair enough. Circling games beforehand can make you a lot of money, if you have have the discipline to let the line dictate your actions.
I certainly didn't expect ISU to win straight up. They are the biggest Jeckyl and Hyde team of CBB, similar to Bradley a few years ago. Play like worldbeaters in front of the home crowd, and almost an auto-fade on the road.
