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the republican leading candidate firing a barrage at Mr Bush, on twitter....of course.....



Donald J. Trump@realDonaldTrump 8h8 hours ago
I have an idea for @JebBush whose campaign is a disaster. Try using your last name & don’t be ashamed of it!



Donald J. Trump@realDonaldTrump 7h7 hours ago
Weak & ineffective @JebBush is doing ads where he shows his statement in the debate but not my response. False advertising!



Donald J. Trump@realDonaldTrump 6h6 hours ago
.@JebBush has embarrassed himself & his family with his incompetent campaign for President. He should remain true to himself.



Donald J. Trump@realDonaldTrump 6h6 hours ago
The last thing our country needs is another BUSH! Dumb as a rock!

all that within 2 hours....guess he got angry and instead of doing push-ups hit twitter?..........very nice............
 

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Why don't betting markets believe in Donald Trump?

James Pethokoukis

Trum_gambling_12_15.jpg
REUTERS/Jonathan Drake

December 16, 2015​
What do gamblers know that pollsters don't about the Republican presidential race?​
With the exception of a few days in early November, Donald Trump has consistently led the polling averages since late July. What's more, Trump's current 33 percent vote share and nearly 17-point lead over the runner-up — currently Ted Cruz — are his high-water marks. No wonder he spends as much time talking about polls as policy. With just six weeks to go before the Iowa caucuses, the strength and stamina of Trump's numbers — like his health, apparently — are astonishingly excellent.
But betting markets aren't yet buying into Trumpapalooza 2016. London-based Betfair has Marco Rubio as the favorite at 39 percent, followed by Ted Cruz at 22 percent, and Trump at 21 percent. The billionaire developer and reality show celebrity is even further behind according toPredictIt, a New Zealand-based prediction market where candidates are bought and sold like stocks. Trump trades at 25 cents, compared to 38 cents for Rubio and 34 cents for Cruz. Prediction aggregator PredictWiseputs the numbers for Rubio at 42 percent, Cruz at 22 percent, and Trump at 21 percent.
Indeed, if there's a place where support for Trump seems to have a hard ceiling, it's the betting markets.
A bit of history: Between the Civil War and World War II, New York was the center of an active election betting market that sometimes surpassed trading on stocks and bonds. Indeed, a 2012 study found that before scientific polling, "betting market prices reflected the final outcome with remarkable accuracy," competitive with late-campaign polls today. But today, in the modern age of ubiquitous polling, markets are believed to "simply follow the polls."
So why then are speculators strangely unmoved by Trump's polling prowess? In the Iowa caucus polls, Trump is neck-and-neck with Ted Cruz, while betting markets make Cruz the clear favorite there over Trump, 52-31 percent, according to PredictWise. In New Hampshire, the first primary, Trump has a wide polling lead but bettors have him tied with Rubio. If state polls are close, bettors give the non-Trump candidate the edge. And if polls show a clear Trump lead, bettors have it a toss-up. What gives?
That skepticism is probably driven partially by history. Over the past century, presidential nominations have typically been won by experienced politicians or former generals who defeated Hitler. The last nominee who was neither was Republican utilities executive Wendell Willkie in 1940. Then again, Mitt Romney was the GOP nominee in 2012 and ran almost exclusively on his business record rather than on one term as Massachusetts governor. (Thanks, RomneyCare!) A businessman nominee, at least in the GOP, isn't so far fetched.
So maybe there is something else going on here. I call it the Awakenings Syndrome, named after the 1990 film starring Robin Williams.Awakenings tells a fictionalized version of how neurologist Oliver Sacks found a drug in 1969 to "awaken" patients put into a catatonic state by a 1920s encephalitis epidemic. In the film, an old doctor is asked how he can be certain the patients are unthinking and unaware of the passage of time. His response: "Because the alternative is unthinkable."
Perhaps that explains why bettors aren't buying the pro-Trump polls. A GOP nominee — and thus potential next president — who crassly insults his rivals, offers barely considered policy proposals, and seems to have no respect for the basic freedoms and values that have made America great? Maybe it's just unthinkable.

 

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Why don't betting markets believe in Donald Trump?

James Pethokoukis

Trum_gambling_12_15.jpg
REUTERS/Jonathan Drake

December 16, 2015​
What do gamblers know that pollsters don't about the Republican presidential race?​
With the exception of a few days in early November, Donald Trump has consistently led the polling averages since late July. What's more, Trump's current 33 percent vote share and nearly 17-point lead over the runner-up — currently Ted Cruz — are his high-water marks. No wonder he spends as much time talking about polls as policy. With just six weeks to go before the Iowa caucuses, the strength and stamina of Trump's numbers — like his health, apparently — are astonishingly excellent.
But betting markets aren't yet buying into Trumpapalooza 2016. London-based Betfair has Marco Rubio as the favorite at 39 percent, followed by Ted Cruz at 22 percent, and Trump at 21 percent. The billionaire developer and reality show celebrity is even further behind according toPredictIt, a New Zealand-based prediction market where candidates are bought and sold like stocks. Trump trades at 25 cents, compared to 38 cents for Rubio and 34 cents for Cruz. Prediction aggregator PredictWiseputs the numbers for Rubio at 42 percent, Cruz at 22 percent, and Trump at 21 percent.
Indeed, if there's a place where support for Trump seems to have a hard ceiling, it's the betting markets.
A bit of history: Between the Civil War and World War II, New York was the center of an active election betting market that sometimes surpassed trading on stocks and bonds. Indeed, a 2012 study found that before scientific polling, "betting market prices reflected the final outcome with remarkable accuracy," competitive with late-campaign polls today. But today, in the modern age of ubiquitous polling, markets are believed to "simply follow the polls."
So why then are speculators strangely unmoved by Trump's polling prowess? In the Iowa caucus polls, Trump is neck-and-neck with Ted Cruz, while betting markets make Cruz the clear favorite there over Trump, 52-31 percent, according to PredictWise. In New Hampshire, the first primary, Trump has a wide polling lead but bettors have him tied with Rubio. If state polls are close, bettors give the non-Trump candidate the edge. And if polls show a clear Trump lead, bettors have it a toss-up. What gives?
That skepticism is probably driven partially by history. Over the past century, presidential nominations have typically been won by experienced politicians or former generals who defeated Hitler. The last nominee who was neither was Republican utilities executive Wendell Willkie in 1940. Then again, Mitt Romney was the GOP nominee in 2012 and ran almost exclusively on his business record rather than on one term as Massachusetts governor. (Thanks, RomneyCare!) A businessman nominee, at least in the GOP, isn't so far fetched.
So maybe there is something else going on here. I call it the Awakenings Syndrome, named after the 1990 film starring Robin Williams.Awakenings tells a fictionalized version of how neurologist Oliver Sacks found a drug in 1969 to "awaken" patients put into a catatonic state by a 1920s encephalitis epidemic. In the film, an old doctor is asked how he can be certain the patients are unthinking and unaware of the passage of time. His response: "Because the alternative is unthinkable."
Perhaps that explains why bettors aren't buying the pro-Trump polls. A GOP nominee — and thus potential next president — who crassly insults his rivals, offers barely considered policy proposals, and seems to have no respect for the basic freedoms and values that have made America great? Maybe it's just unthinkable.


He is actually one of the few journalists I respect and have read many of his articles. If no one has never heard of him, he is a good journalist to follow and read. He has very good insights on the political markets and some very solid opinions based on fact, and not emotions.
 

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Heard parts of his speech today mocking Bush, which is so easy to do because really, have you ever seen a POLITICIAN so uncomfortable in his own skin? How was he elected governor? Anyway, Trump knew he was not speaking to an audience comprised of people of high intellect.
 

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It's kind of amazing how mind-fucked dimocrap voters are.

I had to take my bro in law to a doctor's appointment this week. He's a brother and unfortunately a lifelong dim voter. For a few seconds, the conversation turned to politics. He started by saying "You know, I can actually see where Trump is coming from on this Muslim ban issue...it makes sense." Then right after that, he talked about moving to Canada if Trump wins. Wtf...how the hell does that jive? Is Trump right on one issue but somehow dangerous on everything else? Dim voters just don't seem capable of thinking for themselves. They're programmed robots... "Must vote dimocrap, must not vote R..." One of these days, I'll get real with him and find out exactly how the hell he thinks his life has gotten better by voting for this shitstain of a party.

I'll rip the Stuttering Clusterfuck to shreds on anything...his low level of intellect, his idiotic policies, his blatant lies, his hypocritical behavior. Except I'll do the exact same thing to the dumb fuck GOP elite when they pull the same crap...like I did a few days ago with this disastrous Omnibus bill. Trump is a giant middle finger to both parties, and I really hope American voters can deliver him. He's going to be running against two parties, so I'm still bracing myself to see how low the Washington establishment can sink. Would not at all be surprised to see an attempt on his life at some point...that's how threatened these pricks are.
 

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"I had to take my bro in law to a doctor's appointment this week. He's a brother and unfortunately a lifelong dim voter. For a few seconds, the conversation turned to politics. He started by saying "You know, I can actually see where Trump is coming from on this Muslim ban issue...it makes sense." Then right after that, he talked about moving to Canada if Trump wins."

Psychiatrist?
 

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Psychiatrist?


Fair point. I should have looked in the medical center and tried to book him an appt before we left.

I'm just amazed at the auto correction. "Wait, I allowed myself to agree with a Republican? How dare I? Must correct myself immediately!"

This debate is hilarious, btw. If you want to stay sober, play a drinking game where you take a shot when Hillary defends Constitutional rights. If you want to get smashed off your ass within minutes, take a shot when she suggests we should ignore them
 

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You have to love a guy who, if elected president, will consider Air Force One, Marine One and the presidential lifestyle overall a major downgrade.

I'm so sick of all these losers who go enter politics as lower middle class citizens and leave office as multi-millionaires, especially this classless undocumented community organizer from the slums of Chicago. What did the Kenyan accomplish BEFORE he became state senator? ABSOLUTELY NOTHING!

That is not how the system was set up to work.
 

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If this is what you're looking for, maybe we ought to just nominate a Saudi Prince.

I want successful people running the show - people who are accomplished and established OUTSIDE OF POLITICS and know how to get things done.

What we have now in Washington is a city full of corrupt losers - trough-feeding pigs who become rich and famous selling political snake-oil.

agriculture-politics-politicians-expenses-pay_back-government-lfon379_low.jpg
 
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I want successful people running the show - people who are accomplished and established OUTSIDE OF POLITICS and know how to get things done.

What we have now in Washington is a city full of corrupt losers - trough-feeding pigs who become rich and famous selling political snake-oil.

agriculture-politics-politicians-expenses-pay_back-government-lfon379_low.jpg

Ya, Trump's great at losing other people's money while holding onto his own. I actually give him some credit for that, he's always been able to find favorable financing to avoid getting himself into a situation where is is personally overleveraged.
 

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Ya, Trump's great at losing other people's money while holding onto his own. I actually give him some credit for that, he's always been able to find favorable financing to avoid getting himself into a situation where is is personally overleveraged.

You mean Trump is actually smart enough to get people to give him money voluntarily over and over, as opposed to the government class that has to resort to coercion and extortion to make their pie-in-the-sky theories work?

I'll say it again: ONLY successful citizens (outside of politics) should run the country and only then for a limited period of time.
 

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So, actually what Joe wants is a con man.

Least surprising thing I've ever heard.
 

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Trump: I Won't Change What I Say Even If Terrorists Use My Words To Recruit

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ajg3tyhk0dvyqmevkzcx.jpg
AP Photo / Charlie Neibergall

BySARA JERDEPublishedDECEMBER 20, 2015, 10:27 AM EST2690 Views


Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump said in an interview aired Sunday that he wouldn't change what he's saying — even if terrorists featured him in recruitment videos — because his words "represent toughness and strength."

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had said at the Democratic presidential debate that Trump had become "ISIS' best recruiter" and was featured in the organization's recruitment videos.

Politifact later ruled that there was "no evidence" to support Clinton's statement, which Trump noted in his interview with NBC News' "Meet the Press."

"She lies like crazy about everything, whether it's trips where she was being gunned down in a helicopter or an airplane, she's a liar and everybody knows that," Trump said. "But she just made this up in thin air."

Host Chuck Todd asked Trump if he would change his language if he knew his words were being used in recruitment videos.

"No, because I think that my words represent toughness and strength," Trump said. "Hillary's not strong, Hillary's weak, frankly."

cheersgif
 

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Liberal Logic 101:

Trump is the "ISIS best recruiter" - The Hildabeast LMFAO

Don't say mean or "inflammatory" stuff to tewwowists, or...the tewwowists might recruit more tewwowists! face)(*^%

Also, don't insult their phony pedophile prophet...that might make them mad and they'll blow up your business, like did with Charlie Hebdo!

Fuck are liberals ever dumb!
 

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Liberal Logic 101:

Trump is the "ISIS best recruiter" - The Hildabeast LMFAO

Don't say mean or "inflammatory" stuff to tewwowists, or...the tewwowists might recruit more tewwowists! face)(*^%

Also, don't insult their phony pedophile prophet...that might make them mad and they'll blow up your business, like did with Charlie Hebdo!

Fuck are liberals ever dumb!

Trump is clueless. He surrounds himself with kiss ass yes men.....so he never knows how idiotic he actually is. It isn't much different then what goes on here. 6 or 7 dummies that all think equally stupid and don't know it.
 

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