Lets remind them
“1.2% growth, the weakest so-called recovery since the great depression.”
Since the US recovery began in mid-2009, the economy has grown at an annual rate of 2.1%, according to data from the commerce department. That is the slowest recovery since 1949, by which point the US had emerged from the great depression; the financial crisis of 2008 was the worst since the stock market crash that began the great depression.
Lets remind them
“More than 12 million people have been added to the food stamp.”
As of April 2016, 43,571,080 people were enrolled in the Snap assistance program, according to the Food Research and Action Center, meaning an increase of about 12 million from December 2008, when 31.5 million Americans were enrolled.
Former NYC mayor Rudy Giuliani says Wisconsin riots prove Trump's right that 'law and order is out of control in America'
By GEOFF EARLE, DEPUTY U.S. POLITICAL EDITOR FOR DAILYMAIL.COM IN NEWARK, NEW JERSEY
PUBLISHED: 14:30, 15 August 2016 | UPDATED: 15:04, 15 August 2016
Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani condemned overnight riots in Wisconsin and said they were proof that law and order was 'out of control,' while defending the black officer who shot a black man at a traffic stop in Milwaukee.
'Now we have two black men – a black perpetrator running away and a black police officer,' the former mayor said on Fox and Friends Monday.
'What was the black police off supposed to do, wait and get shot and then shoot back? Doesn’t his life matter? Doesn’t the fact that he had to take action in self defense matter?' Giuliani asked.
He then turned to Donald Trump's call for 'law and order' during his presidential campaign.
'Is the new rule I have to get shot first before I shoot back? Of course it isn’t if they can riot over something like this It makes Donald Trump’s point that law and order is out of control in America,' said Giuliani, who during his time in office oversaw a crackdown on serious as well as petty offenses.
+3
'Is the new rule I have to get shot first before I shoot back?' Rudy Giuliani said in an appearance on Fox News
During a second night of riots in Milwaukee Sunday one person was shot and a police officer was injured after riots triggered by the fatal shooting of a suspect by an officer.
Sylville Smith, 23, who was shot while fleeing a traffic stop according to police.
Giuliani, an advisor to Trump, says he golfed with the candidate Sunday, and pushed back on a weekend New York Times story that described the candidate as frustrated and exhausted, and unable to heed staff advice to settle down.
+3
Donald Trump and Ruday Giuliani at a fashion show in New York in 2000
+3
DRILLING DOWN: Giuliani said Trump will talk about his plan to defeat ISIS and 'radical Islamic terrorism' during a speech today in Ohio
'He is in better shape than anybody else in the campaign in terms of focus in terms of being totally optimistic that he’s gonna win.
Does he kid around and tease?' Giuliani said. 'Nobody can do that in politics sometimes. Yes.'
'And his effort against the press is not for him. His effort against the press is fighting for the American people,' Giuliani said, following tweets by Trump that he would be leading Hillary Clinton by 20 points were it not for the 'dishonest' media.
'Our team won. I played with him,' Giuliani said, declining to add who rounded out the foursome.
Giuliani also previewed Trump's speech about ISIS in Youngstown Monday.
'He’s going to talk about how to deal with Islamic terrorism – unlike the president and Mrs. Clinton. He’s going to talk about the war of ideas. Not only are we not fighting a military war … but w’ere not fighting the war of ideas,' he said.
'We are not doing what we did during the Cold War. We’re not proclaiming and sending into countries that disagree with us the values of our country, the values of our civilization.'
- Faults 'disgusting anti-police rhetoric' for unrest after black officer shoots a black man at traffic stop
- 'Is the new rule I have to get shot first before I shoot back?'
- Former New York mayor golfed with Trump Sunday, proclaims nominee 'in great shape'
- Blasts New York Times story depicting an exhausted, frustrated candidate who can't take direction
- Says flurry of anti- press tweets are 'fighting for the American people'
- Trump to deliver speech on combating ISIS today
- Will discuss 'war of ideas' raging
By GEOFF EARLE, DEPUTY U.S. POLITICAL EDITOR FOR DAILYMAIL.COM IN NEWARK, NEW JERSEY
PUBLISHED: 14:30, 15 August 2016 | UPDATED: 15:04, 15 August 2016
Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani condemned overnight riots in Wisconsin and said they were proof that law and order was 'out of control,' while defending the black officer who shot a black man at a traffic stop in Milwaukee.
'Now we have two black men – a black perpetrator running away and a black police officer,' the former mayor said on Fox and Friends Monday.
'What was the black police off supposed to do, wait and get shot and then shoot back? Doesn’t his life matter? Doesn’t the fact that he had to take action in self defense matter?' Giuliani asked.
He then turned to Donald Trump's call for 'law and order' during his presidential campaign.
'Is the new rule I have to get shot first before I shoot back? Of course it isn’t if they can riot over something like this It makes Donald Trump’s point that law and order is out of control in America,' said Giuliani, who during his time in office oversaw a crackdown on serious as well as petty offenses.
+3
'Is the new rule I have to get shot first before I shoot back?' Rudy Giuliani said in an appearance on Fox News
During a second night of riots in Milwaukee Sunday one person was shot and a police officer was injured after riots triggered by the fatal shooting of a suspect by an officer.
Sylville Smith, 23, who was shot while fleeing a traffic stop according to police.
Giuliani, an advisor to Trump, says he golfed with the candidate Sunday, and pushed back on a weekend New York Times story that described the candidate as frustrated and exhausted, and unable to heed staff advice to settle down.
+3
Donald Trump and Ruday Giuliani at a fashion show in New York in 2000
+3
DRILLING DOWN: Giuliani said Trump will talk about his plan to defeat ISIS and 'radical Islamic terrorism' during a speech today in Ohio
'He is in better shape than anybody else in the campaign in terms of focus in terms of being totally optimistic that he’s gonna win.
Does he kid around and tease?' Giuliani said. 'Nobody can do that in politics sometimes. Yes.'
'And his effort against the press is not for him. His effort against the press is fighting for the American people,' Giuliani said, following tweets by Trump that he would be leading Hillary Clinton by 20 points were it not for the 'dishonest' media.
'Our team won. I played with him,' Giuliani said, declining to add who rounded out the foursome.
Giuliani also previewed Trump's speech about ISIS in Youngstown Monday.
'He’s going to talk about how to deal with Islamic terrorism – unlike the president and Mrs. Clinton. He’s going to talk about the war of ideas. Not only are we not fighting a military war … but w’ere not fighting the war of ideas,' he said.
'We are not doing what we did during the Cold War. We’re not proclaiming and sending into countries that disagree with us the values of our country, the values of our civilization.'
[h=6]- AUGUST 15, 2016 -[/h][h=1]ICYMI: MR. TRUMP MAKES SOME GOOD POINTS ON TRADE[/h]Please read the following letter from Wilbur Ross on Mr. Trump's economic plan.
"Your editorial “Trump on the Economy” (Aug. 9) suggests that Donald Trump is wrong to be worried about imports because such increases are associated with a strong economy. It’s Econ 101 that GDP equals the sum of domestic economic activity plus “net exports,” i.e., exports minus imports. Therefore, when we run massive and chronic trade deficits, it weakens our economy. This relationship is often reported on your news pages, along with the negative stock-market reactions typically associated with such reports of widening trade deficits.
Mr. Trump’s free-trading policy is intended to boost our economy by increasing exports and overall trade while reducing our trade deficit through tougher and smarter trade negotiations. That is in sharp contrast to his opponent Hillary Clinton who has supported three of the worst trade deficit-inducing deals in the last 23 years: 1993’s Nafta, China’s 2001 entry into the World Trade Organization and a 2012 South Korean deal which has more than doubled our trade deficit with that country and hammered our auto industry."
"Your editorial “Trump on the Economy” (Aug. 9) suggests that Donald Trump is wrong to be worried about imports because such increases are associated with a strong economy. It’s Econ 101 that GDP equals the sum of domestic economic activity plus “net exports,” i.e., exports minus imports. Therefore, when we run massive and chronic trade deficits, it weakens our economy. This relationship is often reported on your news pages, along with the negative stock-market reactions typically associated with such reports of widening trade deficits.
Mr. Trump’s free-trading policy is intended to boost our economy by increasing exports and overall trade while reducing our trade deficit through tougher and smarter trade negotiations. That is in sharp contrast to his opponent Hillary Clinton who has supported three of the worst trade deficit-inducing deals in the last 23 years: 1993’s Nafta, China’s 2001 entry into the World Trade Organization and a 2012 South Korean deal which has more than doubled our trade deficit with that country and hammered our auto industry."
Wilbur Ross
[h=6]- AUGUST 15, 2016 -[/h][h=1]HILLARY CLINTON’S REFUGEE PROBLEM[/h]Hillary Clinton Wants To Admit Thousands Of Syrian Refugees, But Recent History Suggests This May Be An Extremely Dangerous Decision
Hillary Clinton Wants To Admit Thousands Of Syrian Refugees Into The United States:
In September 2015 Clinton Said She Wanted The United States To Accept 65,000 Refugees From Syria. “Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton said Sunday that the United States should accept 65,000 refugees from Syria to help alleviate the humanitarian crisis created by the war there.” (Rebecca Kaplan, “Hillary Clinton: U.S. Should Take 65,000 Syrian Refugees,” CBS News, 9/20/15)
Wall Street Journal Headline: “Hillary Clinton: U.S. Should Accept 65,000 Syrian Refugees” (Wall Street Journal, 9/20/15)
CBS News Headline: “Hillary Clinton: U.S. Should Take 65,000 Syrian Refugees”(CBS News, 9/20/15)
Clinton’s State Department Admitted Five Refugees And One Translator Who Were Later Charged With Terrorism And Related Crimes:
In January, Federal Authorities Arrested Two Men In California On Terror Related Charges; Both Entered The Country As Refugees. “Federal authorities arrested two refugees on terror-related charges Thursday. The arrests in Sacramento, California, and Houston did not appear to be directly related, but the cases had several similarities. Both men were Palestinians born in Iraq and living as refugees in the United States, according to the U.S. Justice Department. And both of them are accused of lying to immigration officials about their alleged ties to terrorist organizations.” (Catherine E. Shoichet, “Feds Arrest 2 Middle East Refugees On Terror-Related Charges,” CNN, 1/8/16)
The National Counterterrorism Center Said That The Refugee System Is Susceptible To “Exploitation From Extremist Groups.” “The National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC) has identified ‘…individuals with ties to terrorist groups in Syria attempting to gain entry to the U.S. through the U.S. refugee program.’ In the same response letter, NCTC also offered that: ‘The refugee system, like all immigration programs, is vulnerable to exploitation from extremist groups seeking to send operatives to the West.’” (“McCaul Statement On Concerns Regarding Syrian Refugee Program,” Press Release, 12/7/15)
In January, Federal Authorities Arrested Two Men In California On Terror Related Charges; Both Entered The Country As Refugees. “Federal authorities arrested two refugees on terror-related charges Thursday. The arrests in Sacramento, California, and Houston did not appear to be directly related, but the cases had several similarities. Both men were Palestinians born in Iraq and living as refugees in the United States, according to the U.S. Justice Department. And both of them are accused of lying to immigration officials about their alleged ties to terrorist organizations.” (Catherine E. Shoichet, “Feds Arrest 2 Middle East Refugees On Terror-Related Charges,” CNN, 1/8/16)
In 2013, An Uzbek Refugee Was Arrested In Idaho For Conspiring to Support A Terrorist Organization. “The third is an Uzbek refugee who was arrested in 2013 in Boise, Idaho, accused of conspiring to support a terrorist organization, gathering explosive materials, and plotting to carry out an attack on U.S. soil.” (Michelle Ye Hee Lee, “The Viral Claim That ‘Not One’ Refugee Resttled Since 9/11 Has Been ‘Arrested On Domestic Terrorism Charges,’” CNN, 11/19/15)
In 2011, Two Iraqi Refugees Were Arrested In Kentucky On Charges That They Were Plotting To Send Weapons To Kill American Soldiers. “MPI analyzed the number of refugees resettled through the U.S. Refugee Admissions Program, and found just three people were arrested on terrorism charges. Two were Iraqi refugees arrested in Bowling Green, Ky., in 2011 on suspicion of plotting to send weapons to insurgents to kill American soldiers abroad.” (Michelle Ye Hee Lee, “The Viral Claim That ‘Not One’ Refugee Resttled Since 9/11 Has Been ‘Arrested On Domestic Terrorism Charges,’” CNN, 11/19/15)
In Germany, Officials Arrested Two Suspected ISIS Terrorists Who Entered The Country Under The Guise Of Syrian Refugees. “An Algerian couple, suspected of planning a terrorist attack in Berlin and arrested on suspicion of belonging to the Islamic State, entered Germany late last year and applied for asylum as Syrian refugees — part of a pattern of terrorism suspects entering Europe under the guise of fleeing war, the German authorities said Friday.” (Alison Smale, “Terrorism Suspects Are Posing As Refugees, Germany Says,” The New York Times,2/5/16)
The Washington Post Headline: “Senior Obama Officials Have Warned Of Challenges In Screening Refugees From Syria” (The Washington Post, 11/17/15)
Hillary Clinton Wants To Admit Thousands Of Syrian Refugees Into The United States:
In September 2015 Clinton Said She Wanted The United States To Accept 65,000 Refugees From Syria. “Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton said Sunday that the United States should accept 65,000 refugees from Syria to help alleviate the humanitarian crisis created by the war there.” (Rebecca Kaplan, “Hillary Clinton: U.S. Should Take 65,000 Syrian Refugees,” CBS News, 9/20/15)
Wall Street Journal Headline: “Hillary Clinton: U.S. Should Accept 65,000 Syrian Refugees” (Wall Street Journal, 9/20/15)
CBS News Headline: “Hillary Clinton: U.S. Should Take 65,000 Syrian Refugees”(CBS News, 9/20/15)
Clinton’s State Department Admitted Five Refugees And One Translator Who Were Later Charged With Terrorism And Related Crimes:
In January, Federal Authorities Arrested Two Men In California On Terror Related Charges; Both Entered The Country As Refugees. “Federal authorities arrested two refugees on terror-related charges Thursday. The arrests in Sacramento, California, and Houston did not appear to be directly related, but the cases had several similarities. Both men were Palestinians born in Iraq and living as refugees in the United States, according to the U.S. Justice Department. And both of them are accused of lying to immigration officials about their alleged ties to terrorist organizations.” (Catherine E. Shoichet, “Feds Arrest 2 Middle East Refugees On Terror-Related Charges,” CNN, 1/8/16)
- Aws Mohammed Younis Al-Jayab Was Charged With Making False Statements Involving Terrorism. “Aws Mohammed Younis Al-Jayab, 23, of Sacramento is charged with making a false statement involving international terrorism.” (Catherine E. Shoichet, “Feds Arrest 2 Middle East Refugees On Terror-Related Charges,” CNN, 1/8/16)
- Al-Jayab Entered The Country As An Iraqi Refugee And Fought With Terror Groups In Syria. “But federal authorities say Al-Jayab has another, darker side. They say the Iraqi refugee, who came to the United States in 2012, went back to the Middle East two years later to join up and fight with terror groups in Syria before returning to this country and settling in Sacramento.”(Sam Stanton, Stephen Magagnini and Denny Walsh, “Sacramento Junior College Student Ordered Held Without Bail In Terror Case,” The Sacramento Bee, 1/8/16)
- Hardan Entered The Country As An Iraqi Refugee And Received Legal Permanent Resident Status. “Hardan entered the United States as an Iraqi refugee in November 2009 and was granted legal permanent resident status in August 2011, the Justice Department said.” (Catherine E. Shoichet, “Feds Arrest 2 Middle East Refugees On Terror-Related Charges,” CNN, 1/8/16)
- Abood Previously Worked As A Translator For The American Military And Was A Naturalized American Citizen. “Department said that the man, Bilal Abood, 37, a naturalized American citizen who lives in Mesquite, a Dallas suburb, was charged with lying to an agent after he denied last month that he had pledged loyalty to Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the head of the self-described Islamic State. (Scott Shane, “Iraqi Who Worked For The U.S. Military Is Arrested In Texas In Link To Islamic State,”The New York Times, 5/14/5)
- Waad Ramadan Alwan Was An Iraqi Refugee Resettled In Bowling Green, Kentucky.“An ABC News investigation of the flawed U.S. refugee screening system, which was overhauled two years ago, showed that Alwan was mistakenly allowed into the U.S. and resettled in the leafy southern town of Bowling Green, Kentucky, a city of 60,000 which is home to Western Kentucky University and near the Army's Fort Knox and Fort Campbell. Alwan and another Iraqi refugee, Mohanad Shareef Hammadi, 26, were resettled in Bowling Green even though both had been detained during the war by Iraqi authorities, according to federal prosecutors.” (James Gordon Meek, Cindy Galli And Brian Ross, “Exclusive: US May Have Let ‘Dozens’ Of Terrorists Into Country As Refugees,” ABC News, 11/20/13)
- Kurbanov Was A Refugee From Uzbekistan. “As a refugee from Uzbekistan, Kurbanov would have gone through the federal screening process we mentioned earlier. However, based on court testimony, it does not appear there should have been any red flags in the vetting process because there is no indication Kurbanov was involved in terrorism when he first arrived in the U.S. Testimony shows it wasn't until after Kurbanov set foot on U.S. soil he became involved with the Taliban-affiliated group.” (“A look back at Kurbanov's Terrorism Case,” 7 KTVB, 11/17/15)
The National Counterterrorism Center Said That The Refugee System Is Susceptible To “Exploitation From Extremist Groups.” “The National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC) has identified ‘…individuals with ties to terrorist groups in Syria attempting to gain entry to the U.S. through the U.S. refugee program.’ In the same response letter, NCTC also offered that: ‘The refugee system, like all immigration programs, is vulnerable to exploitation from extremist groups seeking to send operatives to the West.’” (“McCaul Statement On Concerns Regarding Syrian Refugee Program,” Press Release, 12/7/15)
In January, Federal Authorities Arrested Two Men In California On Terror Related Charges; Both Entered The Country As Refugees. “Federal authorities arrested two refugees on terror-related charges Thursday. The arrests in Sacramento, California, and Houston did not appear to be directly related, but the cases had several similarities. Both men were Palestinians born in Iraq and living as refugees in the United States, according to the U.S. Justice Department. And both of them are accused of lying to immigration officials about their alleged ties to terrorist organizations.” (Catherine E. Shoichet, “Feds Arrest 2 Middle East Refugees On Terror-Related Charges,” CNN, 1/8/16)
In 2013, An Uzbek Refugee Was Arrested In Idaho For Conspiring to Support A Terrorist Organization. “The third is an Uzbek refugee who was arrested in 2013 in Boise, Idaho, accused of conspiring to support a terrorist organization, gathering explosive materials, and plotting to carry out an attack on U.S. soil.” (Michelle Ye Hee Lee, “The Viral Claim That ‘Not One’ Refugee Resttled Since 9/11 Has Been ‘Arrested On Domestic Terrorism Charges,’” CNN, 11/19/15)
In 2011, Two Iraqi Refugees Were Arrested In Kentucky On Charges That They Were Plotting To Send Weapons To Kill American Soldiers. “MPI analyzed the number of refugees resettled through the U.S. Refugee Admissions Program, and found just three people were arrested on terrorism charges. Two were Iraqi refugees arrested in Bowling Green, Ky., in 2011 on suspicion of plotting to send weapons to insurgents to kill American soldiers abroad.” (Michelle Ye Hee Lee, “The Viral Claim That ‘Not One’ Refugee Resttled Since 9/11 Has Been ‘Arrested On Domestic Terrorism Charges,’” CNN, 11/19/15)
In Germany, Officials Arrested Two Suspected ISIS Terrorists Who Entered The Country Under The Guise Of Syrian Refugees. “An Algerian couple, suspected of planning a terrorist attack in Berlin and arrested on suspicion of belonging to the Islamic State, entered Germany late last year and applied for asylum as Syrian refugees — part of a pattern of terrorism suspects entering Europe under the guise of fleeing war, the German authorities said Friday.” (Alison Smale, “Terrorism Suspects Are Posing As Refugees, Germany Says,” The New York Times,2/5/16)
The Washington Post Headline: “Senior Obama Officials Have Warned Of Challenges In Screening Refugees From Syria” (The Washington Post, 11/17/15)
[h=6]- AUGUST 15, 2016 -[/h][h=1]DONALD J. TRUMP ADDRESSES RADICAL ISLAM AND THE AGE OF TERROR[/h]Donald Trump delivered remarks today on Radical Islam which can be read with footnotes here:
Understanding The Threat: Radical Islam and the Age of Terror
Understanding The Threat: Radical Islam and the Age of Terror
'Exhausted,' 'sullen,' 'erratic,' 'volatile,' 'frustrated,' 'bewildered,' 'confused,' 'scared'
By brooklynbadboy
Sunday Aug 14, 2016 · 6:39 AM PDT
These were the adjectives used by people close to Donald Trump in describing his personal crisis as it unfolds before our eyes as reported in the New York Times.
Yesterday, campaigning in Connecticut (?!) Trump responded to the article. His response, more than anything, lent the piece more legitimacy than if he had said nothing at all:
Trump assailed the newspaper for what he alleged was dishonest reporting in a newly published story that cited both named and unnamed sources in showing him shunning the advice of top aides. "Maybe we will start thinking about taking their press credentials away from them," Trump said. “Maybe we’ll do it. I think so. I think so.”
Just like an angry little boy.
Trump should look on the bright side. At least his campaign staff didn't leak he was 'low energy.'
By brooklynbadboy
Sunday Aug 14, 2016 · 6:39 AM PDT
These were the adjectives used by people close to Donald Trump in describing his personal crisis as it unfolds before our eyes as reported in the New York Times.
Yesterday, campaigning in Connecticut (?!) Trump responded to the article. His response, more than anything, lent the piece more legitimacy than if he had said nothing at all:
Trump assailed the newspaper for what he alleged was dishonest reporting in a newly published story that cited both named and unnamed sources in showing him shunning the advice of top aides. "Maybe we will start thinking about taking their press credentials away from them," Trump said. “Maybe we’ll do it. I think so. I think so.”
Just like an angry little boy.
Trump should look on the bright side. At least his campaign staff didn't leak he was 'low energy.'
Ahh, the friendly-to-Republicans Wall Street Journal chimes in:
[h=1]Trump’s Self-Reckoning[/h] [h=2]The GOP nominee and his supporters face a moment of truth.[/h]
Aug. 14, 2016 6:18 p.m. ET 2721 COMMENTS
Donald Trump lashed out at the media on Sunday after more stories describing dysfunction inside his presidential campaign. “If the disgusting and corrupt media covered me honestly and didn’t put false meaning into the words I say, I would be beating Hillary by 20%,” Mr. Trump averred on Twitter.
Mr. Trump is right that most of the media want him to lose, but then that was also true of George W. Bush, George H.W. Bush and Ronald Reagan. It’s true of every Republican presidential nominee. The difference is that Mr. Trump has made it so easy for the media and his opponents.
The latest stories comport with what we also hear from sources close to the Trump campaign. Mr. Trump’s advisers and his family want the candidate to deliver a consistent message making the case for change. They’d like him to be disciplined. They want him to focus on growing the economy and raising incomes and fighting terrorism.
They think he should make the election a referendum on Hillary Clinton, not on himself. And they’d like him to spend a little time each day—a half hour even—studying the issues he’ll need to understand if he becomes President.
Is that so hard? Apparently so. Mr. Trump prefers to watch the cable shows rather than read a briefing paper. He thinks the same shoot-from-the-lip style that won over a plurality of GOP primary voters can persuade other Republicans and independents who worry if he has the temperament to be Commander in Chief.
He also thinks the crowds at his campaign rallies are a substitute for the lack of a field organization and digital turnout strategy. And he thinks that Twitter and social media can make up for being outspent $100 million to zero in battleground states.
By now it should be obvious that none of this is working. It’s obvious to many of his advisers, who are the sources for the news stories about dysfunction. They may be covering for themselves, but this is what happens in failing campaigns. The difference is that the recriminations typically start in October, not mid-August.
These stories are appearing now because the polls show that Mr. Trump is on the path to losing a winnable race. He is now losing in every key battleground state, some like New Hampshire by double digits. The Midwest industrial states he claimed he would put into play—Wisconsin, Pennsylvania—have turned sharply toward Mrs. Clinton.
More ominously, states won by John McCain and Mitt Romney are much closer than they should be. If Mr. Trump is fighting to hold Georgia, Arizona and even Utah by September, a landslide defeat becomes all too possible.
The tragedy is that this is happening in a year when Republicans should win. The political scientist Alan Abramowitz has spent years developing his “time for a change” forecasting model. The model looks at the rate of GDP growth in the second quarter of an election year (1.2% this year), the incumbent President’s approval rating, and the electorate’s desire for change after one party has held the White House for eight years.
No model is perfect, but Mr. Abramowitz’s has predicted the winner of the major-party popular vote in every presidential election since 1988. His model predicts that Mr. Trump should win a narrow victory with 51.4%. A mainstream GOP candidate who runs a reasonably competent campaign would have about a 66% chance of victory.
Mr. Trump has alienated his party and he isn’t running a competent campaign. Mrs. Clinton is the second most unpopular presidential nominee in history—after Mr. Trump. But rather than reassure voters and try to repair his image, the New Yorker has spent the last three weeks giving his critics more ammunition.
Even with more than 80 days left, Mr. Trump’s window for a turnaround is closing. The “Trump pivot” always seemed implausible given his lifelong instincts and habits, but Mr. Trump promised Republicans. “At some point I’ll be so presidential that you people will be so bored, and I’ll come back as a presidential person, and instead of 10,000 people I’ll have about 150 people and they’ll say, boy, he really looks presidential,” he said in April.
Those who sold Mr. Trump to GOP voters as the man who could defeat Hillary Clinton now face a moment of truth. Chris Christie, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Paul Manafort and the talk-radio right told Republicans their man could rise to the occasion.
If they can’t get Mr. Trump to change his act by Labor Day, the GOP will have no choice but to write off the nominee as hopeless and focus on salvaging the Senate and House and other down-ballot races. As for Mr. Trump, he needs to stop blaming everyone else and decide if he wants to behave like someone who wants to be President—or turn the nomination over to Mike Pence.
[h=1]Trump’s Self-Reckoning[/h] [h=2]The GOP nominee and his supporters face a moment of truth.[/h]
Aug. 14, 2016 6:18 p.m. ET 2721 COMMENTS
Donald Trump lashed out at the media on Sunday after more stories describing dysfunction inside his presidential campaign. “If the disgusting and corrupt media covered me honestly and didn’t put false meaning into the words I say, I would be beating Hillary by 20%,” Mr. Trump averred on Twitter.
Mr. Trump is right that most of the media want him to lose, but then that was also true of George W. Bush, George H.W. Bush and Ronald Reagan. It’s true of every Republican presidential nominee. The difference is that Mr. Trump has made it so easy for the media and his opponents.
The latest stories comport with what we also hear from sources close to the Trump campaign. Mr. Trump’s advisers and his family want the candidate to deliver a consistent message making the case for change. They’d like him to be disciplined. They want him to focus on growing the economy and raising incomes and fighting terrorism.
They think he should make the election a referendum on Hillary Clinton, not on himself. And they’d like him to spend a little time each day—a half hour even—studying the issues he’ll need to understand if he becomes President.
Is that so hard? Apparently so. Mr. Trump prefers to watch the cable shows rather than read a briefing paper. He thinks the same shoot-from-the-lip style that won over a plurality of GOP primary voters can persuade other Republicans and independents who worry if he has the temperament to be Commander in Chief.
He also thinks the crowds at his campaign rallies are a substitute for the lack of a field organization and digital turnout strategy. And he thinks that Twitter and social media can make up for being outspent $100 million to zero in battleground states.
By now it should be obvious that none of this is working. It’s obvious to many of his advisers, who are the sources for the news stories about dysfunction. They may be covering for themselves, but this is what happens in failing campaigns. The difference is that the recriminations typically start in October, not mid-August.
These stories are appearing now because the polls show that Mr. Trump is on the path to losing a winnable race. He is now losing in every key battleground state, some like New Hampshire by double digits. The Midwest industrial states he claimed he would put into play—Wisconsin, Pennsylvania—have turned sharply toward Mrs. Clinton.
More ominously, states won by John McCain and Mitt Romney are much closer than they should be. If Mr. Trump is fighting to hold Georgia, Arizona and even Utah by September, a landslide defeat becomes all too possible.
The tragedy is that this is happening in a year when Republicans should win. The political scientist Alan Abramowitz has spent years developing his “time for a change” forecasting model. The model looks at the rate of GDP growth in the second quarter of an election year (1.2% this year), the incumbent President’s approval rating, and the electorate’s desire for change after one party has held the White House for eight years.
No model is perfect, but Mr. Abramowitz’s has predicted the winner of the major-party popular vote in every presidential election since 1988. His model predicts that Mr. Trump should win a narrow victory with 51.4%. A mainstream GOP candidate who runs a reasonably competent campaign would have about a 66% chance of victory.
Mr. Trump has alienated his party and he isn’t running a competent campaign. Mrs. Clinton is the second most unpopular presidential nominee in history—after Mr. Trump. But rather than reassure voters and try to repair his image, the New Yorker has spent the last three weeks giving his critics more ammunition.
Even with more than 80 days left, Mr. Trump’s window for a turnaround is closing. The “Trump pivot” always seemed implausible given his lifelong instincts and habits, but Mr. Trump promised Republicans. “At some point I’ll be so presidential that you people will be so bored, and I’ll come back as a presidential person, and instead of 10,000 people I’ll have about 150 people and they’ll say, boy, he really looks presidential,” he said in April.
Those who sold Mr. Trump to GOP voters as the man who could defeat Hillary Clinton now face a moment of truth. Chris Christie, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Paul Manafort and the talk-radio right told Republicans their man could rise to the occasion.
If they can’t get Mr. Trump to change his act by Labor Day, the GOP will have no choice but to write off the nominee as hopeless and focus on salvaging the Senate and House and other down-ballot races. As for Mr. Trump, he needs to stop blaming everyone else and decide if he wants to behave like someone who wants to be President—or turn the nomination over to Mike Pence.
[h=6]- AUGUST 15, 2016 -[/h][h=1]AMERICA’S MERKEL PLANS 620,000 REFUGEES[/h]Please read the following excerpts from “Clinton Refugee Plan Could Bring In 620,000 Refugees In First Term At Lifetime Cost Of Over $400 Billion” by The Senate Subcommittee on Immigration and The National Interest, 6/27/16
An analysis by the Subcommittee on Immigration and The National Interest finds the refugee plan of presumptive presidential nominee Hillary Clinton could cost hundreds of billions of dollars.
Presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton has announced her desire to admit at least 65,000 refugees from Syria – on top of the existing refugee flow already entering the United States. What Clinton has not explained, however, is that in addition to the clear national security implications related to accepting more refugees, there are massive financial costs that would be borne by federal, state, and local governments.
Assuming Clinton's desire to bring in 65,000 Syrian refugees is in addition to the Obama Administration's current goal of admitting 10,000 this fiscal year (out of 85,000 total refugees), that would amount to an increase of 55,000 refugees. 55,000 on top of 85,000 totals 140,000 refugees. The Obama Administration's target for FY 2017 is actually 100,000 refugees, meaning that adding 55,000 refugees to that would result in 155,000 refugees each year. Due to statutory flaws in our Refugee Admissions Program, the number could be as high as Hillary Clinton desires. Assuming her goal is to admit 155,000 refugees each year during a hypothetical first term in office, a Clinton Administration would admit at least 620,000 refugees in just four years – a population roughly the size of Baltimore.
…
Undoubtedly, the resulting costs of admitting the refugees under Clinton’s plan will be enormous. Robert Rector at the Heritage Foundation has estimated that the total lifetime cost of admitting 10,000 refugees is $6.5 billion. This estimate encompasses costs to taxpayers at the federal, state, and local levels. Using Mr. Rector’s numbers as a baseline, admitting 155,000 refugees in one year would result in a total lifetime cost to the taxpayers of $100,750,000,000. If those levels were sustained over the course of four years – a hypothetical first term in office – the lifetime cost to the taxpayers according to Mr. Rector’s analysis would be $403 billion.
Importantly, Mr. Rector’s numbers reflect an estimate of the net taxpayer cost for admitting a defined number of refugees to the United States. As such, they do not account for aliens granted asylee status in the United States (approximately 25,000 are granted asylee status every year), nor do they account for the fact that refugees will be able to – and do – bring in additional family members after being admitted to the United States… One year after being admitted to the United States, refugees are eligible to adjust to Lawful Permanent Resident status (i.e. obtain a “green card”), enabling them to petition for additional family members. And assuming that a refugee becomes a Lawful Permanent Resident, he or she is further eligible to naturalize five years after being admitted to the United States, enabling them to bring in additional relatives. Thus, the total cost of admitting a certain number of refugees in any given year could be even higher than Mr. Rector predicts.
An analysis by the Subcommittee on Immigration and The National Interest finds the refugee plan of presumptive presidential nominee Hillary Clinton could cost hundreds of billions of dollars.
Presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton has announced her desire to admit at least 65,000 refugees from Syria – on top of the existing refugee flow already entering the United States. What Clinton has not explained, however, is that in addition to the clear national security implications related to accepting more refugees, there are massive financial costs that would be borne by federal, state, and local governments.
Assuming Clinton's desire to bring in 65,000 Syrian refugees is in addition to the Obama Administration's current goal of admitting 10,000 this fiscal year (out of 85,000 total refugees), that would amount to an increase of 55,000 refugees. 55,000 on top of 85,000 totals 140,000 refugees. The Obama Administration's target for FY 2017 is actually 100,000 refugees, meaning that adding 55,000 refugees to that would result in 155,000 refugees each year. Due to statutory flaws in our Refugee Admissions Program, the number could be as high as Hillary Clinton desires. Assuming her goal is to admit 155,000 refugees each year during a hypothetical first term in office, a Clinton Administration would admit at least 620,000 refugees in just four years – a population roughly the size of Baltimore.
…
Undoubtedly, the resulting costs of admitting the refugees under Clinton’s plan will be enormous. Robert Rector at the Heritage Foundation has estimated that the total lifetime cost of admitting 10,000 refugees is $6.5 billion. This estimate encompasses costs to taxpayers at the federal, state, and local levels. Using Mr. Rector’s numbers as a baseline, admitting 155,000 refugees in one year would result in a total lifetime cost to the taxpayers of $100,750,000,000. If those levels were sustained over the course of four years – a hypothetical first term in office – the lifetime cost to the taxpayers according to Mr. Rector’s analysis would be $403 billion.
Importantly, Mr. Rector’s numbers reflect an estimate of the net taxpayer cost for admitting a defined number of refugees to the United States. As such, they do not account for aliens granted asylee status in the United States (approximately 25,000 are granted asylee status every year), nor do they account for the fact that refugees will be able to – and do – bring in additional family members after being admitted to the United States… One year after being admitted to the United States, refugees are eligible to adjust to Lawful Permanent Resident status (i.e. obtain a “green card”), enabling them to petition for additional family members. And assuming that a refugee becomes a Lawful Permanent Resident, he or she is further eligible to naturalize five years after being admitted to the United States, enabling them to bring in additional relatives. Thus, the total cost of admitting a certain number of refugees in any given year could be even higher than Mr. Rector predicts.
WHAT THEY ARE SAYING: TRUMP’S “SIGNIFICANT” NATIONAL SECURITY SPEECH
“Spot On” … “Effective” … “Tough” … “Sweeping” … “Slammed The Obama Administration”
National Review’s Stephen Hayes: “Trump's Broad Indictment Of Obama National Security Strategy… Is Pretty Effective.” (Twitter.com, 8/15/16)
Journalist Joel Pollak: “Trump’s Emphasis On Assimilation Is Spot-On — New Immigrants Must Abandon Intolerance If They Want To Benefit From Residence And Citizenship” (Twitter.com, 8/15/16)
CNN: “Trump… Lit Into Clinton And Obama For Their Policies…” “Trump also lit into Clinton and Obama for their policies, blaming them for the rise of ISIS and spelling out what he would do instead.” (CNN, 8/15/16)
Fox News: “Calling For An American Foreign Policy Shift… Focus All Resources On Halting The Spread Of Radical Islam.” “Donald Trump, calling for an American foreign policy shift, vowed Monday to end ‘nation-building’ if he’s elected president – and focus all resources on halting the spread of radical Islam.” (Fox News, 8/15/16)
New York Post Headline: “Trump Ready To Talk Tough In Foreign Policy Speech”(New York Post, 8/15/16)
Townhall’s Katie Pavlich: “Trump Slammed The Obama Administration's Manipulation Of Intelligence Reports To Downplay The ISIS Threat…” “Trump slammed the Obama administration's manipulation of intelligence reports to downplay the ISIS threat and attacked Clinton as lacking the judgment to be commander-in-chief.” (Townhall, 8/15/16)
Breitbart’s Alex Swoyer: “Trump Set Himself Apart From Hillary Clinton And President Obama’s Foreign Policy Approach…” “Donald Trump set himself apart from Hillary Clinton and President Obama’s foreign policy approach during a speech in Youngstown, Ohio on Monday where he laid out his foreign policy approach to deal with the Islamic State (ISIS) and radical Islam in more detail than he has in the past while on the campaign trail.” (Breitbart, 8/15/16)
WFMJ-TV (NBC-Youngstown): “Trump Has Focused His Speech On Fighting Terrorism And ISIS.” “Republican Presidential candidate Donald Trump has taken the stage at Youngstown State University's Kilcawley Center this afternoon. As expected, Trump has focused his speech on fighting terrorism and ISIS.” (WFMJ-TV, 8/15/16)
Yahoo! News’ Holly Bailey: “Trump Says He Will Throw People Out Of The Country Who Are Here ‘Preaching Hate.’” (Twitter.com, 8/15/16)
The Washington Post: “In His Speech Monday, Trump Said His Administration Would Be A Friend To All Moderate Muslim Reformers.” (The Washington Post, 8/15/16)
West Wing Reports’ Paul Brandus: “Very Even-Toned Speech By Trump And Good Use Of Prompter.” Brandus Tweet “Very even-toned speech by Trump and good use of prompter; but the words/content are a stark departure from his usual presentation.” (Twitter.com, 8/15/16)
CNBC’s Josh Brown: “I Agree With Trump That Internet Firms/Social Media [Companies] Need To Bear More Responsibility For Shutting Down Terror Recruitment.” (Twitter.com, 8/15/16)
USA Today: “Donald Trump To Supporters: ‘We Will Reject Bigotry And Hatred And Oppression In All Of Its Many Forms.’” (Twitter.com, 8/15/16)
USA Today Headline: “Trump Calls For 'Realism' In Anti-Terror Fight” (USA Today, 8/15/16)
The New York Times: “Laid Out His Plan For Combating Global Islamic Terrorism, Invoking The Cold War Era To Try New Approaches… Calling For Significant Changes In How The United States Defines Its Allies…” “Donald J. Trump on Monday laid out his plan for combating global Islamic terrorism, invoking the Cold War era to try new approaches and accusing President Obama and Hillary Clinton of bungling the fight against terrorist threats. Calling for significant changes in how the United States defines its allies, he urged an end to ‘nation building’ and recommended overhauling how the U.S. screens people coming in to the country.” (The New York Times, 8/15/16)
Youngstown Vindicator: “Trump Said He'd Welcome Any Nation That Wants To Destroy ISIS To Join The United States.” (Youngstown Vindicator, 8/15/16)
The Week: “Donald Trump Gave A Significant Speech On Terrorism On Monday, Describing The Battle Against "Radical Islamic Terrorism" As Being As Serious As The Cold War.” (The Week, 8/15/16)
Politico Sub-Headline: “The Republican Nominee Delivers A Sweeping Foreign Policy Address In Which He Also Calls For An End To Nation-Building.” (Politico, 8/15/16)
The Hill Headline: “Trump Blames Obama, Clinton For Rise Of ISIS” (The Hill, 8/15/16)
“Spot On” … “Effective” … “Tough” … “Sweeping” … “Slammed The Obama Administration”
Ambassador John Bolton On Donald Trump's "Command of the Subject Matter"
The Blaze’s Buck Sexton: “Trump's Recitation Of Obama Administration Failures In Middle East Is Devastating, And Ties Directly To His Opponent, Hillary Clinton”(Twitter.com, 8/15/16)
National Review’s Stephen Hayes: “Trump's Broad Indictment Of Obama National Security Strategy… Is Pretty Effective.” (Twitter.com, 8/15/16)
Journalist Joel Pollak: “Trump’s Emphasis On Assimilation Is Spot-On — New Immigrants Must Abandon Intolerance If They Want To Benefit From Residence And Citizenship” (Twitter.com, 8/15/16)
CNN: “Trump… Lit Into Clinton And Obama For Their Policies…” “Trump also lit into Clinton and Obama for their policies, blaming them for the rise of ISIS and spelling out what he would do instead.” (CNN, 8/15/16)
Fox News: “Calling For An American Foreign Policy Shift… Focus All Resources On Halting The Spread Of Radical Islam.” “Donald Trump, calling for an American foreign policy shift, vowed Monday to end ‘nation-building’ if he’s elected president – and focus all resources on halting the spread of radical Islam.” (Fox News, 8/15/16)
- Fox News Headline: “Trump: End 'Nation-Building,' Focus On Fighting Radical Islamic Terror” (Fox News, 8/15/16)
New York Post Headline: “Trump Ready To Talk Tough In Foreign Policy Speech”(New York Post, 8/15/16)
Townhall’s Katie Pavlich: “Trump Slammed The Obama Administration's Manipulation Of Intelligence Reports To Downplay The ISIS Threat…” “Trump slammed the Obama administration's manipulation of intelligence reports to downplay the ISIS threat and attacked Clinton as lacking the judgment to be commander-in-chief.” (Townhall, 8/15/16)
Breitbart’s Alex Swoyer: “Trump Set Himself Apart From Hillary Clinton And President Obama’s Foreign Policy Approach…” “Donald Trump set himself apart from Hillary Clinton and President Obama’s foreign policy approach during a speech in Youngstown, Ohio on Monday where he laid out his foreign policy approach to deal with the Islamic State (ISIS) and radical Islam in more detail than he has in the past while on the campaign trail.” (Breitbart, 8/15/16)
WFMJ-TV (NBC-Youngstown): “Trump Has Focused His Speech On Fighting Terrorism And ISIS.” “Republican Presidential candidate Donald Trump has taken the stage at Youngstown State University's Kilcawley Center this afternoon. As expected, Trump has focused his speech on fighting terrorism and ISIS.” (WFMJ-TV, 8/15/16)
Yahoo! News’ Holly Bailey: “Trump Says He Will Throw People Out Of The Country Who Are Here ‘Preaching Hate.’” (Twitter.com, 8/15/16)
The Washington Post: “In His Speech Monday, Trump Said His Administration Would Be A Friend To All Moderate Muslim Reformers.” (The Washington Post, 8/15/16)
West Wing Reports’ Paul Brandus: “Very Even-Toned Speech By Trump And Good Use Of Prompter.” Brandus Tweet “Very even-toned speech by Trump and good use of prompter; but the words/content are a stark departure from his usual presentation.” (Twitter.com, 8/15/16)
CNBC’s Josh Brown: “I Agree With Trump That Internet Firms/Social Media [Companies] Need To Bear More Responsibility For Shutting Down Terror Recruitment.” (Twitter.com, 8/15/16)
USA Today: “Donald Trump To Supporters: ‘We Will Reject Bigotry And Hatred And Oppression In All Of Its Many Forms.’” (Twitter.com, 8/15/16)
USA Today Headline: “Trump Calls For 'Realism' In Anti-Terror Fight” (USA Today, 8/15/16)
The New York Times: “Laid Out His Plan For Combating Global Islamic Terrorism, Invoking The Cold War Era To Try New Approaches… Calling For Significant Changes In How The United States Defines Its Allies…” “Donald J. Trump on Monday laid out his plan for combating global Islamic terrorism, invoking the Cold War era to try new approaches and accusing President Obama and Hillary Clinton of bungling the fight against terrorist threats. Calling for significant changes in how the United States defines its allies, he urged an end to ‘nation building’ and recommended overhauling how the U.S. screens people coming in to the country.” (The New York Times, 8/15/16)
Youngstown Vindicator: “Trump Said He'd Welcome Any Nation That Wants To Destroy ISIS To Join The United States.” (Youngstown Vindicator, 8/15/16)
The Week: “Donald Trump Gave A Significant Speech On Terrorism On Monday, Describing The Battle Against "Radical Islamic Terrorism" As Being As Serious As The Cold War.” (The Week, 8/15/16)
Politico Sub-Headline: “The Republican Nominee Delivers A Sweeping Foreign Policy Address In Which He Also Calls For An End To Nation-Building.” (Politico, 8/15/16)
- Politico Headline: “Trump Declares Clinton 'Lacks The Moral Clarity' For The White House” (Politico, 8/15/16)
The Hill Headline: “Trump Blames Obama, Clinton For Rise Of ISIS” (The Hill, 8/15/16)
I think this fits Trump also:
Wikiquote: Mr. Smith Goes to Washington
Mr. Smith Goes to Washington is a 1939 film about a naive and idealistic man who is appointed to fill a vacancy in the US Senate. His plans promptly collide with political corruption, but he doesn’t back down.
Wikiquote: Mr. Smith Goes to Washington
Mr. Smith Goes to Washington is a 1939 film about a naive and idealistic man who is appointed to fill a vacancy in the US Senate. His plans promptly collide with political corruption, but he doesn’t back down.
[h=6]AUGUST 16, 2016 -[/h][h=1]OBAMACARE’S IMPLOSION LEAVES AMERICANS AT A LOSS[/h]“Aetna’s decision to leave the Affordable Care Act’s public marketplaces is the latest blow to this broken law that is slowly imploding under its regulatory red tape. Millions of Americans have lost their health coverage under this disastrous policy, eliminating their ability to choose their doctors. Thousands of businesses have been forced to cut employment or shutter their doors in response to Obama’s signature achievement.
Mr. Trump has vowed to repeal and replace Obamacare. The bureaucratic mess is costing Americans more everyday. Affordable coverage for evey American will be the top priority, and under a Trump presidency the government will work for the people again..” – Dan Kowalski, Deputy National Policy Director
Mr. Trump has vowed to repeal and replace Obamacare. The bureaucratic mess is costing Americans more everyday. Affordable coverage for evey American will be the top priority, and under a Trump presidency the government will work for the people again..” – Dan Kowalski, Deputy National Policy Director
CBS’ Charlie Rose: Insurance Provider Aetna Leaving Exchanges Is A “Big Setback” For Obamacare
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