Mike Hook | NBA Sides Sun, 04/04/10 - 3:30 PM
dime bet 503 SAN 6.0 (-120) Bodog vs 504 LAL
Analysis: This is the Buried Treasure for Easter Sunday!
This line is likely to close right at -6. I believe the public will keep betting into the Lakers. Fact is, this game is far more important to San Antonio than it is to the Lakers. I think this is a classic situation of 1 team wanting this game far more than the other team. The Lakers are coming off a demolishing game against the Utah Jazz, so all appears right with the Lakers. That's great and all, but when was the last time we saw the Lakers put together back to back great efforts? Let's face it, the Lakers are going to have to be great today to cover this INFLATED number.
George Hill and the BENCH are going to play key roles in todays game. I expect the Spurs to play this game like it's a playoff game. Meanwhile, the Lakers are going to get Luke Walton some playing time, and don't be surprise if some other reserves get some playing time as well. Again, this game means more to the Spurs than it does to the Lakers.
More of a writeup coming in just a bit! This IS my ONLY play for today!
I just saw that this line has dropped down to 4.5. Thats outrageous and it actually tells me sorta what we were talking about earlier. That this game means nothing to the Lakers. Don't be surprised to see the Lakers sit some of their starters. If all you can see is 4.5 across the board, i suggest a Holiday MONEYLINE play on the Spurs. Remember, this Buried Treasure is released so early that we don't see the "big move" of the day. Fact is, the past few days we've gotten the worst of the number. Today we get the best of the number. If you didn't get it right at the beginning, i strongly suggest you play the ML here for a low risk, higher reward payout.
Again, the Spurs are a veteran team that is going to bring the fight to the Lakers. The Lakers haven't put up strong efforts back to back in quite some time. They won't today, as they simply don't care about this game. THe Spurs want this game, as they don't want to face the Lakers in the 1st Round of the Playoffs. They need to keep winning to stay ahead of Portland. The urgency in this game is going to be the difference.
Behind a strong game as usual from Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobli, the bench play of the Spurs and George Hill will be the difference today. I'm backing the Spurs +6 as the BURIED TREASURE for today. For everyone that can't get a line better than +5, play the MONEYLINE for a half unit! Happy Easter everyone!