Guru's Golden Picks: CFL "Non-Experiment" Week 7

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BC at the Edmonton 11 after a 52 yard catch... REALLY need this score... really bad... 3 isn't enough. Need the tuddy
 

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2:30 left, timeout on the field BC facing a really big 2nd and medium from the Edmonton 7... GOTTA get this TD on this next play... no choice, as a failed play will force the Lions to kick to put them up 9 points, meaning a missed FG for a safety would be our only chance.
 

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They screwed it up... my worst nightmare in this game appears to be happening, even though the last couple minutes goes by really slowly... but they missed the FG! 26-19 Lions, and a TD can put us into OT, which would be HUGE for me


Whoops... hit the crossbar... so no point and I'm totally screwed... 25-19 Lions still
 

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WOW. Hit the upright from 14 yards so they don't even get the single.

NO POINT for a FG attempt that hits the upright or crossbar, cause the other team does not get a chance to get the ball out of the EZ.
 

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I'm clearly a victim of circumstance tonight... glad I bought back at least one of these units... Printers sucks...
 

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Printers had a hurt shoulder and had not prepped to start. Glad I bought back as much as I did.
 

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Books are rejoicing at a horrible opening line that worked to their advantage...
 

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Scott, watching the CFL, would Edmonton attempt to concede a single and gain yardage in hopes to tie the game, or trying taking it out of the end zone and drive for the win?
 

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There's your answer. With Tompkins back there, and conceeding the single putting the game on 7, no way do you conceed, especially on a 42 yarder where the BC guys have to run a long way.
 

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That answers that question...

Only thing in question is whether or not the Lions hang onto this one, a game I don't believe they deserve to win. Edmonton is the better holistic team with Printers in... with Dickenson it might be a different case, but Edmonton played a better "game" than BC did in my opinion
 

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Great, BC victory in the worst possible fashion for me... totally got blasted tonight.
 

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If I had kept my original bets, I would have gone 1-2.

Instead, I push with 2 units EDM +6, win with 1 unit BC -3, win 1 unit under 59, lose 2 units over 55. Pushed everything.
 

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Edmonton (+9)/Over 26.5 1st half L (-1 unit)
BC over 31 L (-1.57 units)
BC over 15.5 1st half W (+1 unit)

Edmonton/BC over 55 L (-3 units)**
Edmonton (+3) @ BC 1st half L (-1.10 units)

Note that I'm going to count the game over 55 as a loss instead of a 1-1 mark since I bought back a unit. The holistic result of that bet was losing 3 units. That brought me to 1-4 on the night in horrible fashion, losing 5.67 units... It was bound to happen at some point to me on one of these games, but hopefully tomorrow night with Calgary I can get some, if not all of that back. This is a play that gets a massive * next to it in my records, as it was impossible to know before these bets were placed that Printers was starting... absolute bad luck that I know comes with the territory of betting at times. Just a matter of recouping for tomorrow and later weeks, taking lumps, and moving on.

--AFLGuru:toast:
 

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Calgary's beating this BC team next week, Dickinson or not... and I'll be on all of the same plays I was last week when these teams hooked up in hopes for a similar result.
 

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Here's what I'm working with for tonight's matchup...

Stamps (-4) vs. Winnepeg (3 units -104)
Stamps (-3) 1st half (0.5 units -115)
Stamps (ml) 1st half (1 unit -166)

Stamps (-1) 1st quarter (1 unit -108)

Probably going to take to the side of caution and not put any more on this game after last night's debacle. As I said last week, I need to begin limiting plays now that I've got the hang of this a bit better, and though I still believe if healthy I'm on the right side of that wager, that's too many units to drop on a night for me. Here's my recap thus far...

Montreal (-4) vs. Saskatchewan W (+2 units)
Montreal (-2) vs. Saskatchewan 1st half W (+1.5 units)
Saskatchewan under 14 1st half W (+1 unit)
Saskatchewan under 28 W (+1 unit)

Saskatchewan @ Montreal over 28 2nd half W (+1 unit)

Edmonton (+9)/Over 26.5 1st half L (-1 unit)
BC over 31 L (-1.57 units)
BC over 15.5 1st half W (+1 unit)
Edmonton/BC over 55 L (-3 units)**

Edmonton (+3) @ BC 1st half L (-1.10 units)

ATS: 9-6 (+10.08 units)
Totals: 6-4 (+1.76 units)
Team Totals: 9-4 (+5.53 units)
Moneylines: 6-6 (+2.20 units)
Props: 0-1 (-1 unit)
Teasers: 0-1 (-1 unit)
1st half: 10-9 (+1.86 units)
2nd half: 10-6 (+11.87 units)
Overall: 50-37 (+31.30units)
 

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Got the over 52 tonight, with a 1/2 unit each for fun on CAL -6.5 and WIN +8.
 

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Under the "high scoring game must be coming eventually this week" logic, you're probably right Scott... however, I think we're gonna see a good ol' fashion butt-whipping tonight and that the Bombers are gonna struggle to score... but I've been massively wrong before, and as long as the Stamps win at all intervals by given numbers, I could care less if the Bombers score 60 themselves... best of luck
 

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Just added another fun 1/2 unit each on CAL-3 at PIN and WIN +4 at OLY in the first half.

I just hope the WIN offense I saw vs. MON and TOR shows up tonight. If so, it goes over. Reynolds should run wild vs. WIN defense; just hope WIN offense can do something.
 

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