Guru's Golden Picks: Arena League Week 9

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You play... to win... the game
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INT... Oh well... Man, I'm sorry folks. These big 5 unit plays haven't paid off this year (2-3 if memory serves... didn't track that part of it to be honest)... but the game stayed well under and Columbus covered, so we didn't do too bad today... recap coming in a bit.
 

You play... to win... the game
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This was our 2nd "day to forget" in the AFL. I suppose it's gonna happen at times, and I guess considering things in perspective, it's not so bad, especially considering we can still turn this into a winning week. But I feel real badly because I know some of you probably went a wee overboard on Nashville and they crapped the bed in the 4th quarter on us. Had it at least covered, if not won the entire way, and then the offense just collapsed. Defense played a tremendous game. But the offense just died in the 4th quarter. As far as Grand Rapids... I'm just disgusted with the game. I get what I deserve betting on the Rampage. I know they're gonna cover at times, but this game was never really close from the sounds of it, which is the really depressing part about it all.

Anyway though... Monday still gives us Vegas and a shot at a winning week. And don't discount the possibility of a second half play in this Tampa/LA game. I think I've got a pretty good read on the 2nd half of this one if the numbers turn out coming in alright. But for now, this is the recap.

Saturday Card
Grand Rapids (+9 and ml) @ Philadelphia L (-5 units)
Columbus (+10.5 and ml) vs. New York W (+2.36 units)
Nashville (+6.5) vs. Arizona L (-5 units)
Arizona/Nashville under 99.5 W (+1.90 units)

Added to yesterday....
Colorado (+4.5) vs. Dallas W (+2.86 units)
Orlando vs. Austin over 97.5 L (-2.5 units)

Clay Rush successful FG (+8.5 yards) vs. longest TD pass W (+2.78 units)
Colorado (+45 NET passing yards) vs. Dallas W (+1.39 units)

Record: 5-3 (-1.21 units)

YTD
Against the opening line: 26-11
Against that same closing line: 23-13-1

Sides Record: 17-12 (+18.95 units)
Totals Record: 19-10 (+24.03 units)
Parlays: 1-2 (+0.55 units)
2nd half: 4-7 (-6.16 units)
Teasers: 0-1 (-3 units)
Props: 3-3 (+1.69 units)

Composite Record

YTD: 44-35 (55.7%)
Net: +39.07 units

Units Wagered: 225 units
Units Won: 39.07 units
Net %: 17.36% profit per unit wagered
 

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Had to check in. Keep driving 55 guru and things will always be good. Good nite, and good luck tommorrow.....:toast:
 

You play... to win... the game
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Yeah, I'm sold...

Tampa @ Los Angeles over 52.5 (2nd half, 3 units -105)
 

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This game is 17-7 LA at the half...

But upon closer inspection, both teams have had TDs called back for dumb penalties. Onside kicks coming for Tampa because they're down so much and the ball. And we're due. It's a percentage play... I'm not gonna lie to you. Big time percentage play. Lots of unders in this week, and though this one is also gonna be under, I'll take my shots with this one getting to 77 just like I did last week with Tampa under in the 2nd half when the first half had a billion scored in it. I expect this to fly over.
 

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Alright MathProf, we're cashing this one to close the day out right.

Not reaching for this... I was praying this to be a low scoring first half after the first two drives were high flyin'. I except to see more high flyin' and less dumb penalties in the 2nd half of this one.
 

You play... to win... the game
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3 minutes and 7 points MathProf. LA came out firing bullets to the end zone. Hope Tampa does the same here.
 

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Why does every team play their crappiest game against LA, the team I have 2 units on for season wins under 9.5? LA only gets 17 first half points against a team averaging 57.9 per game. How many does TB get? 7. SEVEN. Bastards.
 

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TB now one TD in five possessions. THIS TEAM BLOWS. 57.9 points per game? Yeah, right. WTF is wrong with these jerks? And don't tell me Marcum. He doesn't play.
 

You play... to win... the game
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Tampa sucks dude... They beat up on Philly and Arizona. Nice job... also Grand Rapids and Tampa... so tell me who they've beat? San Jose in week 1... nicely done. And they'll probably beat Orlando in two weeks because it's Orlando.

14 in 7 minutes... all LA's... Makes me smile even though I have LA under 9.5 too...
 

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sorry, should read Austin and Grand Rapids, not Grand Rapids and Tampa... whatever
 

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Woot... Another Stafford INT.... Should've been a TD too if not for holding. LA should make it 21 in the quarter shortly.

Was that not a great throw by Kaleo before on the TD or what?
 

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Since when did Bobby Pesavento hop a plane to LA and suit up wearing Stafford's jersey? I mean, THIS TEAM AVERAGES 58 A GAME, AND LA GAVE UP 72 LAST WEEK. SEVEN POINTS THRU ALMOST THREE QUARTERS? What a bunch of losers. Losers. No heart. No rallying around the team thru the adversity. Oh well, our coach is suspended, we'll just tank it a couple of weeks and play hard again when he comes back. Think ol' Marcum is watching this on TV and planning an ass kicking in two weeks?
 

You play... to win... the game
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Got 28 with 13 minutes and change to go after the Stafford TD and bullcrap spot in the end zone for 6... But I'll take it. Onsider probably coming, which should lead to a quick LA score.

And shut your mouth Scott... I don't wanna lose to Tampa... lol... But Pesavento in the Stafford uniform... priceless. Funny man Scott. Funny man.
 

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What a sick run after catch by Ford... Marcum's gotta be pulling his hair out at the effort here...

35 with 10 left
 

You play... to win... the game
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Sweet, 2 more scores needed... 42 now in the 2nd half.
 

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