Thanks for the support guys!
To answer the DirectTV question, the answer is no, with the possible exception of your local team being picked up on a Fox Sports Net affiliate.
Regarding live scoring, the AFL decided to try to hide their crappy live scoring system this year... It's awfully inconsistent, but it's the best we've got unless someone local is watching the game. Access http://www.arenafootball.com. On the right hand side you'll find a box that has some game listings in it. On the left-most tab you'll see Game Day. Click on that tab and then click game info. It'll direct you to another screen. There'll be an option on that screen for live game stats or something of the sorts. It's set up in Macromedia this year, which I guess is okay, though last year's "refresh every 2 seconds" mode worked just as well. Just make sure you turn off pop-up blockers or it's gonna go nuts on you.
Hope that takes care of the questions.
--AFLGuru:toast:
To answer the DirectTV question, the answer is no, with the possible exception of your local team being picked up on a Fox Sports Net affiliate.
Regarding live scoring, the AFL decided to try to hide their crappy live scoring system this year... It's awfully inconsistent, but it's the best we've got unless someone local is watching the game. Access http://www.arenafootball.com. On the right hand side you'll find a box that has some game listings in it. On the left-most tab you'll see Game Day. Click on that tab and then click game info. It'll direct you to another screen. There'll be an option on that screen for live game stats or something of the sorts. It's set up in Macromedia this year, which I guess is okay, though last year's "refresh every 2 seconds" mode worked just as well. Just make sure you turn off pop-up blockers or it's gonna go nuts on you.
Hope that takes care of the questions.
--AFLGuru:toast:
Well maybe there is life after the NFL...good analysis/good results Guru..will follow you along and see if I can learn about capping Arena ball. Quick question for when you have time..what factors do you consider most important ..kicking game,coaching, QB's and how do you weigh them...in the NFL emotion is a big factor for me.
Pam
Pam
Pam--
At the current moment, my trends in terms of capping are pretty simple... to the point where they're probably going to disappoint people. I look at trends of coaches from the previous season (and if there is no head coaching experience, at least their track records as assistants and who they coached under), any important individual's achievements from the previous season (see: Tony Graziani in Philly), and places where I believe the o/u is too high or too low by Arena standards (though we were lucky last night... Arizona and Grand Rapids... 90 should RARELY be a number to hit in the AFL).
As the season progress, I came up with some formulas that include a tremendous amount of stats... Personally adjusted QB ratings, PATs for kickers, defensive stops, sacks, yards per play, dropped passes, and a whole boat load other things that some of the typical viewers don't get a great feel of just by watching stats... And let's face it... with the exception of Sunday's, no one's watching these games in Vegas.
In terms of momentum... I try to fend off the temptation to bet with momentum, though I do assign each stadium a "point differential" that I take into consideration. Not every stadium gets the designed 3.5 points that Vegas gives. For example, I give Orlando a swing of 5 points, and Grand Rapids no swing at all unless it's a long road trip, in which case I'll maybe award a point. A team that bad with that small of a crowd doesn't get bonus points for being at home. With the teams that have been around a long time, history gets factored in as well.
I know that was a vague answer, but at this point, without going into a monologue, it's the best I can do. Come week 5 I'll go forth and see if I can't describe what's going on with these lines in any given game.
Thanks again for the support!
--AFLGuru:toast:
At the current moment, my trends in terms of capping are pretty simple... to the point where they're probably going to disappoint people. I look at trends of coaches from the previous season (and if there is no head coaching experience, at least their track records as assistants and who they coached under), any important individual's achievements from the previous season (see: Tony Graziani in Philly), and places where I believe the o/u is too high or too low by Arena standards (though we were lucky last night... Arizona and Grand Rapids... 90 should RARELY be a number to hit in the AFL).
As the season progress, I came up with some formulas that include a tremendous amount of stats... Personally adjusted QB ratings, PATs for kickers, defensive stops, sacks, yards per play, dropped passes, and a whole boat load other things that some of the typical viewers don't get a great feel of just by watching stats... And let's face it... with the exception of Sunday's, no one's watching these games in Vegas.
In terms of momentum... I try to fend off the temptation to bet with momentum, though I do assign each stadium a "point differential" that I take into consideration. Not every stadium gets the designed 3.5 points that Vegas gives. For example, I give Orlando a swing of 5 points, and Grand Rapids no swing at all unless it's a long road trip, in which case I'll maybe award a point. A team that bad with that small of a crowd doesn't get bonus points for being at home. With the teams that have been around a long time, history gets factored in as well.
I know that was a vague answer, but at this point, without going into a monologue, it's the best I can do. Come week 5 I'll go forth and see if I can't describe what's going on with these lines in any given game.
Thanks again for the support!
--AFLGuru:toast:
ok im set with the numbers you liked earlier guru. i have orlando-3.5 philadelphia-7.5 and the avengers/gladiators under 104. i nearly took vegas too but with so many changes to the avenger roster its best to observe them for now.the afl2 season is around the corner and i'll be at the san diego riptide tryouts next saturday to cheer on a good friend who hopes to make the team.i love this game!
~RG
~RGGame Day!
Okay, yesterday was a DISASTEROUS day for me (I really need to stop betting college basketball on Saturdays...), so I believe I'm due for something nice to happen. That being said, I feel a 2 for 3 coming on, and I'm starting to get a lot better feeling about Orlando. That would be real nice. I added another unit to them on the moneyline, but I'm not going to recommend that, nor add it in with my final analysis here... Early games start in about 45 minutes. Late games at 3:00. Be back with some in-games later. By the way, if someone out there has the Philly game on NBC, PLEASE share in-game. If you all want, I'll do an in-game on the Preds. Just let me know.
--AFLGuru
Okay, yesterday was a DISASTEROUS day for me (I really need to stop betting college basketball on Saturdays...), so I believe I'm due for something nice to happen. That being said, I feel a 2 for 3 coming on, and I'm starting to get a lot better feeling about Orlando. That would be real nice. I added another unit to them on the moneyline, but I'm not going to recommend that, nor add it in with my final analysis here... Early games start in about 45 minutes. Late games at 3:00. Be back with some in-games later. By the way, if someone out there has the Philly game on NBC, PLEASE share in-game. If you all want, I'll do an in-game on the Preds. Just let me know.
--AFLGuru
