Guru's Golden Picks: AFL Week 4

[AFLGuru]

you know who it was... they're probably getting suspended and that's good information to know for next week.

 

[AFLGuru]

Great, the best defensive player on the field for either team... oh well... Tampa played a HELL of a game in the Graveyard massively shorthanded.

 

[TampaLuke]

2nd and goal back to 18

 

[TampaLuke]

3rd down

 

[AFLGuru]

Moye-Moore goes out for the Preds with a cramp or hammy injury it looks like... under 2:00 left.

 

[TampaLuke]

4th down

 

[AFLGuru]

C'mon Voodoo....

 

[AFLGuru]

Raymond Philyaw just threw the ball away on 4th down... Preds take over at 48-35 with our over all but sealed unless the Preds do something dumb. 1 minute warning.

 

[AFLGuru]

what happened Luke???

 

[TampaLuke]

Voodoo win 48-42. Storm was in the endzone but did not get the call

 

[AFLGuru]

Nice... Orlando needs one more forward play and the game is over. Final should read 48-35 Preds.

 

[noodnick]

this play-by-play is fantastic...keep it goin'!!

 

[AFLGuru]

Preds win by 13, well under the total... 11-2 against the opening line, 9-3-1 against the closing line.

Recap... Note on the Orlando game... when I went back and bet Chicago, it was a bet of 3.17 units to win 4 units... This is going to cause a slight discrepancy in the numbers, but please note that I am going to count it as I bet it and apologize if anyone took this the wrong way. I was just covering myself on this bet to the point where I couldn't lose. Again, my apologies on the book-keeping error. If there's an uproar about it, I'll take the loss in my credit.

Orlando (-2) @ Chicago W (+3.81 units)
Chicago (+4) vs. Orlando L (-3.17 units)
Orlando @ Chicago under 101.5 (+3.81 units)

Daily/weekly recap: 2-1 (+4.45 units)

YTD...

Sides Record: 7-6 (+5.37 units)
Totals Record: 10-3 (+16.12 units)
Parlays: 1-2 (+0.55 units)
2nd half: 2-3 (-1.87 units)
Teasers: 0-1 (-3 units)
Props: 0-1 (-1 unit)

Composite Record

YTD: 20-16
Net: +16.17 units

 

[HinesWard86]

nice job guru

 

[LakersFan4Life]

wtg AG as usual you were right on tonight.keep up the good work and carry us through the weekend

 

[AFLGuru]

Since there's no links in here, I'll just advise you all to visit ArenaFan and check out their article on gambling and the AFL. It's a pretty informative article about line movements and such, and why you NEED to get your best line possible. I do my best to try putting those best lines here, but even then, I'm not guaranteed the best line possible either. Thanks for the notes.

--AFLGuru:toast:

 

[AFLGuru]

Note on tonight's game...

Tony Zimmerman is going to start tonight for Nashville, with Leon Murray serving as his backup in case Zim gets injured. Dangerous spot for Murray... if Zimmerman outplays him, his days as a starter might be numbered.

As for Las Vegas, no one knows who their starting QB is going to be yet... Not going to be Clint Dolezel though, that's for certain. Either guy they've got starting sucks... but remember that this is still the same team that beat New York a couple weeks back.

 

[AFLGuru]

Arz line drops to 2 after what I presume is an "official" report that Shredrick Bonner is going to start. Under still a good play. Still a decent percentage play on the moneyline for Arizona as long as they're a dog.

 

[KillerInstinct]

Thanks for all your afl insight guru!!!

 

[buzz21]

AG - that was a great article on ArenaFan....my only problem is getting to a computer when that first line comes out!