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Greek Picks
- Thread starter JackDee
- Start date
This has been one very rewarding and profitable weekend.
Units Won/Lost:
For the day: 5.628
For the weekend/round +5.278 units.
Ofi - Panionios Draw at 3.1 for 1.25 units. Won. +2.625 units.
Ofi - Panionios Under at 1.65. Won.
Olympiakos - Proodeftiki 1 at 1.1. Won.
for 1.5 units. Won +1.23 units.
Aek - Iraklis 1 at 1.4 Won.
Kalithea - Panathinaikos 2 at 1.3 Won.
for 1.75 units
(cover bet aek draw at 3.5 and panathinaikos at 1.3 for 0.25 units)
Won. +1.185 units.
Aek - Iraklis Under at 1.9 Loss.
Olympiakos - Proodeftiki 1 at 1.1
for 1 unit.
Loss. -1 units.
Kalithea - Panathinaikos Under at 1.9 for 1.25 units. Loss -1.25 units.
Olympiakos -1.5 at 1.85 over Proodeftiki for 1.75 units. +1.489 units.
Kalithea - Panathinaikos Ng at 1.8
Olympiakos 1.1
Club Brugge 1x 1.05
Won. + 1.349 units
Units Won/Lost:
For the day: 5.628
For the weekend/round +5.278 units.
Ofi - Panionios Draw at 3.1 for 1.25 units. Won. +2.625 units.
Ofi - Panionios Under at 1.65. Won.
Olympiakos - Proodeftiki 1 at 1.1. Won.
for 1.5 units. Won +1.23 units.
Aek - Iraklis 1 at 1.4 Won.
Kalithea - Panathinaikos 2 at 1.3 Won.
for 1.75 units
(cover bet aek draw at 3.5 and panathinaikos at 1.3 for 0.25 units)
Won. +1.185 units.
Aek - Iraklis Under at 1.9 Loss.
Olympiakos - Proodeftiki 1 at 1.1
for 1 unit.
Loss. -1 units.
Kalithea - Panathinaikos Under at 1.9 for 1.25 units. Loss -1.25 units.
Olympiakos -1.5 at 1.85 over Proodeftiki for 1.75 units. +1.489 units.
Kalithea - Panathinaikos Ng at 1.8
Olympiakos 1.1
Club Brugge 1x 1.05
Won. + 1.349 units
My selections for tommorows games are as follows:
(all odds from gamebookers or expekt)
13:45 CET (Central European Time)
Panionios - Kalithea.
Kalithea + 1 1/4 at 1.77 for 1.25 units. (at 1.7 right now)
Panionios -1 Draw at 3.75 for 0.5 units.
Under at 1.75 & Olympiakos at 1.2 for 1.5 units. (0.25 units cover on 2-1 exact score for Panionios at 7)
Proodeftiki - Paok
Paok -1 Draw at 3.4 for 0.5 units.
Paok at 1.7 & Olympiakos at 1.2 for 1 unit
Xanthi - Aris
Draw at 3.25 for 1 unit.
Under at 1.75 for 1 unit.
16:00 CET
Egaleo - Akratitos
Egaleo -1 at 3.8 Draw for 0.25 units
Chalkidona - OFI Crete
Chalkidona -1 Draw at 3.6 for 0.5 units
Under at 1.9 for 1.25 units.
Paniliakos - Olympiakos
Over at 1.55 and Paok X2 at 1.1 for 1 unit
18:30 CET
Panathinaikos - Aek
Draw at 3.2 for 1.5 units.
bol. Jack.
(all odds from gamebookers or expekt)
13:45 CET (Central European Time)
Panionios - Kalithea.
Kalithea + 1 1/4 at 1.77 for 1.25 units. (at 1.7 right now)
Panionios -1 Draw at 3.75 for 0.5 units.
Under at 1.75 & Olympiakos at 1.2 for 1.5 units. (0.25 units cover on 2-1 exact score for Panionios at 7)
Proodeftiki - Paok
Paok -1 Draw at 3.4 for 0.5 units.
Paok at 1.7 & Olympiakos at 1.2 for 1 unit
Xanthi - Aris
Draw at 3.25 for 1 unit.
Under at 1.75 for 1 unit.
16:00 CET
Egaleo - Akratitos
Egaleo -1 at 3.8 Draw for 0.25 units
Chalkidona - OFI Crete
Chalkidona -1 Draw at 3.6 for 0.5 units
Under at 1.9 for 1.25 units.
Paniliakos - Olympiakos
Over at 1.55 and Paok X2 at 1.1 for 1 unit
18:30 CET
Panathinaikos - Aek
Draw at 3.2 for 1.5 units.
bol. Jack.
Panionios - Kalithea. 0-0
Kalithea + 1 1/4 at 1.77 for 1.25 units. (at 1.7 right now) Won +0.963 units.
Panionios -1 Draw at 3.75 for 0.5 units. -0.5 units
Under at 1.75 & Olympiakos at 1.2 for 1.5 units. (0.25 units cover on 2-1 exact score for Panionios at 7) Won & Pending for (+1.65 units)
Proodeftiki - Paok 1-3
Paok -1 Draw at 3.4 for 0.5 units. Loss -0.5 units.
Paok at 1.7 & Olympiakos at 1.2 for 1 unit Won and pending (+1.04 units)
Xanthi - Aris
Draw at 3.25 for 1 unit. Loss -1 unit.
Under at 1.75 for 1 unit. Won +0.75 units.
so far,
-0.287 units (pending bets not included)
+2.403 units (Olympiakos win for 1.2 and pending bets included)
Kalithea + 1 1/4 at 1.77 for 1.25 units. (at 1.7 right now) Won +0.963 units.
Panionios -1 Draw at 3.75 for 0.5 units. -0.5 units
Under at 1.75 & Olympiakos at 1.2 for 1.5 units. (0.25 units cover on 2-1 exact score for Panionios at 7) Won & Pending for (+1.65 units)
Proodeftiki - Paok 1-3
Paok -1 Draw at 3.4 for 0.5 units. Loss -0.5 units.
Paok at 1.7 & Olympiakos at 1.2 for 1 unit Won and pending (+1.04 units)
Xanthi - Aris
Draw at 3.25 for 1 unit. Loss -1 unit.
Under at 1.75 for 1 unit. Won +0.75 units.
so far,
-0.287 units (pending bets not included)
+2.403 units (Olympiakos win for 1.2 and pending bets included)
+2.403 units (Olympiakos won for 1.2 nd pending bets settled)
Egaleo - Akratitos 2-1
Egaleo -1 at 3.8 Draw for 0.25 units. Won. +0.7 units.
Chalkidona - OFI Crete
Chalkidona -1 Draw at 3.6 for 0.5 units Won. + 1.3 units.
Under at 1.9 for 1.25 units. Loss. -1.25 units.
Paniliakos - Olympiakos 0-3
Over at 1.55 and Paok X2 at 1.1 for 1 unit Won. 0.705 units.
Chalchidona - Ofi Ng 1.95
Aek +3/4 at 1.85
Aris + 3/4 at 1.85
0.35 units. Loss -0.35 units.
Aigaleo - Akratitos Ng at 1.7
Olympiakos 1.2
Aek x2 at 1.95
0.35 units. Loss -0.35 units.
Egaleo at 1.35
Olympiakos -1.5 at 1.85
Chalkidona 1x at 1.2
for 1.25 units. Won. +2.496 units.
so far,
Units Profit/Loss this weekend
+5.564
One bet pending:
18:30 CET
Panathinaikos - Aek
Draw at 3.2 for 1.5 units.
Egaleo - Akratitos 2-1
Egaleo -1 at 3.8 Draw for 0.25 units. Won. +0.7 units.
Chalkidona - OFI Crete
Chalkidona -1 Draw at 3.6 for 0.5 units Won. + 1.3 units.
Under at 1.9 for 1.25 units. Loss. -1.25 units.
Paniliakos - Olympiakos 0-3
Over at 1.55 and Paok X2 at 1.1 for 1 unit Won. 0.705 units.
Chalchidona - Ofi Ng 1.95
Aek +3/4 at 1.85
Aris + 3/4 at 1.85
0.35 units. Loss -0.35 units.
Aigaleo - Akratitos Ng at 1.7
Olympiakos 1.2
Aek x2 at 1.95
0.35 units. Loss -0.35 units.
Egaleo at 1.35
Olympiakos -1.5 at 1.85
Chalkidona 1x at 1.2
for 1.25 units. Won. +2.496 units.
so far,
Units Profit/Loss this weekend
+5.564
One bet pending:
18:30 CET
Panathinaikos - Aek
Draw at 3.2 for 1.5 units.
the early bird gets the worm part II.
some downright moronic lines in the under overs courtesy of betoto, almost all bookmakers on the web so far disagree with them and i do to.
Paok - Paniliakos Under at 2.75, this is ridiculous, it would be criminal if i didn't bet 2 units here. (cover: 2-1 at 12 3-1 at 9 for 0.15 units each and 2-2 at 20(!!!!) for 0.1 units)
Ionikos - Panathinaikos Under at 1.97 for 1 unit.
And a marvelous linemaker misestimation courtesy of eurobet, the no goal bet for the olympiakos game, aka xanthi not to score at 1.75, they have us bet triples though, so i ll parley it with aek at 1.4 and panathinaikos at 1.3 for 1 unit.
bol. more to come when bookmakers dare post some real handicaps, and with more accurate info nearing the games.
jack.
some downright moronic lines in the under overs courtesy of betoto, almost all bookmakers on the web so far disagree with them and i do to.
Paok - Paniliakos Under at 2.75, this is ridiculous, it would be criminal if i didn't bet 2 units here. (cover: 2-1 at 12 3-1 at 9 for 0.15 units each and 2-2 at 20(!!!!) for 0.1 units)
Ionikos - Panathinaikos Under at 1.97 for 1 unit.
And a marvelous linemaker misestimation courtesy of eurobet, the no goal bet for the olympiakos game, aka xanthi not to score at 1.75, they have us bet triples though, so i ll parley it with aek at 1.4 and panathinaikos at 1.3 for 1 unit.
bol. more to come when bookmakers dare post some real handicaps, and with more accurate info nearing the games.
jack.
well it looks that luck turned its back on us for -3.5 units so far, but it's not to worry, betting hasn't got much to do with luck,at least not more than anything else, it's got more to do with ability, so the better selections are going to get us around the bend it seems.
or are they?
i am sure they will.
bol. jack.
or are they?
i am sure they will.
bol. jack.
Actually -4.5 units so far.
Adding:
Iraklis - Aigaleo Halftime draw at 2.15
Olympiakos at 1.12
(expekt)
1.5 units
13 out 19 Iraklis games have been half time draws.
13 out 19 Egaleo have been half time draws as well.
Trend anyone?
Egaleo score a staggering 12% (!!!) of their goals in the first half and Iraklis is not much better with 24%.
Egaleo has got both one of the best defences and one of the worst offenses, they are an unders team that is with, ready?, just 1.89 goals per game (including opponents goals of course.
Then why is the the halftime draw favoured here? Gamebookers are more accurate with their 2.05, but still both bookmakers are clearly on the wrong side. I am coupling this bet with Olympiakos win here, which is pretty much a sure thing for a number of reasons: a. They outclass Xanthi by far, who have horrible 1-2-6 away record. b. a very important day for the team with the comemoration of the 21 olympiakos fans that died some twenty years ago or so in a dreadful accident in the stadium. c. the referee, 3 penaltis awarded by this guy to olympiakos last year.
Adding:
Iraklis - Aigaleo Halftime draw at 2.15
Olympiakos at 1.12
(expekt)
1.5 units
13 out 19 Iraklis games have been half time draws.
13 out 19 Egaleo have been half time draws as well.
Trend anyone?
Egaleo score a staggering 12% (!!!) of their goals in the first half and Iraklis is not much better with 24%.
Egaleo has got both one of the best defences and one of the worst offenses, they are an unders team that is with, ready?, just 1.89 goals per game (including opponents goals of course.
Then why is the the halftime draw favoured here? Gamebookers are more accurate with their 2.05, but still both bookmakers are clearly on the wrong side. I am coupling this bet with Olympiakos win here, which is pretty much a sure thing for a number of reasons: a. They outclass Xanthi by far, who have horrible 1-2-6 away record. b. a very important day for the team with the comemoration of the 21 olympiakos fans that died some twenty years ago or so in a dreadful accident in the stadium. c. the referee, 3 penaltis awarded by this guy to olympiakos last year.
Recap, all pending bets: (-4.5 units so far)
Paok - Paniliakos. Paok -1 Draw at 4.6 for 1 unit.
Paok - Paniliakos. Under at 2.75 for 2 units (cover: 2-1 at 12 3-1 at 9 for
0.15 units each and 2-2 at 20 for 0.1 units)
Iraklis - Egaleo Under at 2.15 for 1.25 units.
Iraklis - Egaleo. Egaleo + 1/2 at 1.8 for 1.5 units.
Ionikos - Panathinaikos Under at 1.97 for 1 unit.
Iraklis - Aigaleo Halftime draw at 2.15 & Olympiakos at 1.12 for 1.5 units.
Kalithea - Chalchidona Draw at 3.4 for 0.5 units.
Olympiakos at 1.12 & Panathinaikos at 1.35 for 2.5 units.
Olympiakos Over at 1.5 for 1.5 units
[This message was edited by JackDee on February 08, 2004 at 11:48 AM.]
Paok - Paniliakos. Paok -1 Draw at 4.6 for 1 unit.
Paok - Paniliakos. Under at 2.75 for 2 units (cover: 2-1 at 12 3-1 at 9 for
0.15 units each and 2-2 at 20 for 0.1 units)
Iraklis - Egaleo Under at 2.15 for 1.25 units.
Iraklis - Egaleo. Egaleo + 1/2 at 1.8 for 1.5 units.
Ionikos - Panathinaikos Under at 1.97 for 1 unit.
Iraklis - Aigaleo Halftime draw at 2.15 & Olympiakos at 1.12 for 1.5 units.
Kalithea - Chalchidona Draw at 3.4 for 0.5 units.
Olympiakos at 1.12 & Panathinaikos at 1.35 for 2.5 units.
Olympiakos Over at 1.5 for 1.5 units
[This message was edited by JackDee on February 08, 2004 at 11:48 AM.]
The bayern game is a quarter or more underway, but i ve already bet the over 3 goals, and posted it in another thread, parleyd as follows with the panathinaikos game.
Bayern over 3 at 1.95
Panathinaikos Half time Full time at 1.75
for 1.5 units.
Bayern over 3 at 1.95
Panathinaikos -1 at 2
for 1 unit.
Panathinaikos over Ionikos at 1.35
Olympikos over Iraklio (first basketball selection this year) at 1.22 for 2.5 units.
[This message was edited by JackDee on February 08, 2004 at 12:22 PM.]
Bayern over 3 at 1.95
Panathinaikos Half time Full time at 1.75
for 1.5 units.
Bayern over 3 at 1.95
Panathinaikos -1 at 2
for 1 unit.
Panathinaikos over Ionikos at 1.35
Olympikos over Iraklio (first basketball selection this year) at 1.22 for 2.5 units.
[This message was edited by JackDee on February 08, 2004 at 12:22 PM.]
Panathinaikos over Ionikos at 1.35
Olympikos over Iraklio (first basketball selection this year) at 1.22 for 2.5 units.
Won +1.617
Bayern over 3 at 1.95
Panathinaikos Half time Full time at 1.75
for 1.5 units. Loss -1.5 units.
Bayern over 3 at 1.95
Panathinaikos -1 at 2
for 1 unit. Won +0.95 units.
Olympiakos at 1.12 & Panathinaikos at 1.35 for 2.5 units.
Won +1.28 units.
Paok - Paniliakos. Paok -1 Draw at 4.6 for 1 unit. Loss -1 unit.
Paok - Paniliakos. Under at 2.75 for 2 units (cover: 2-1 at 12 3-1 at 9 for
0.15 units each and 2-2 at 20 for 0.1 units) Loss -2.4 units
Iraklis - Egaleo Under at 2.15 for 1.25 units. Loss -1.25 units
Iraklis - Egaleo. Egaleo + 1/2 at 1.8 for 1.5 units. Loss -1.5 units.
Ionikos - Panathinaikos Under at 1.97 for 1 unit. Loss -1 unit
Iraklis - Aigaleo Halftime draw at 2.15 & Olympiakos at 1.12 for 1.5 units. Loss -1.5 units
Kalithea - Chalchidona Draw at 3.4 for 0.5 units. Loss -0.5 units
Olympiakos Over at 1.5 for 1.5 units Won +0.75 units.
One of these days when everything goes against you, a lucrative +3.1 units from the paok under, 2-0 up until the 80th or so minute, which at least i am content i was right on the money when i said that 2.75 was way off, turned into a -2.4 units with paok scoring a pointless 3-0, the under in the iraklis game gets ripped by two early goals in the first 10 minutes, and only one more and no goals in second half, the draw for the kalithea game turns into 2-3 with a long shot in the 80th minute again, yesterday aek have 4 shots on the bars and a proper goal with the ball passing the line goes, wrongly, unmarked... At least a good end to the day with panathinaikos, lessens the losses somewhat, but only somewhat.
-10.55 units, well after 4 consecutive profitable weekends i guess it was time to give something back, about as much as won the past two weekends, despite the loss i am pretty happy with the rationale of almost all my bets, olympiakos over came easily, both olympiakos and panathinaikos had penalty shots in favour of them today, justifying my informed opinion on the offials, both my high under bets with paok and iraklis where right on the money despite their marginal loss (+1 goals in each one). Maybe i overestimated Aris, but that's about the only bet where i think i was off. Still, a losing day is a losing day. Back for more midweek with cup games, If we can get Olympiakos at prices of 1.4 upwards against panionios a hefty bet is in order.
Olympikos over Iraklio (first basketball selection this year) at 1.22 for 2.5 units.
Won +1.617
Bayern over 3 at 1.95
Panathinaikos Half time Full time at 1.75
for 1.5 units. Loss -1.5 units.
Bayern over 3 at 1.95
Panathinaikos -1 at 2
for 1 unit. Won +0.95 units.
Olympiakos at 1.12 & Panathinaikos at 1.35 for 2.5 units.
Won +1.28 units.
Paok - Paniliakos. Paok -1 Draw at 4.6 for 1 unit. Loss -1 unit.
Paok - Paniliakos. Under at 2.75 for 2 units (cover: 2-1 at 12 3-1 at 9 for
0.15 units each and 2-2 at 20 for 0.1 units) Loss -2.4 units
Iraklis - Egaleo Under at 2.15 for 1.25 units. Loss -1.25 units
Iraklis - Egaleo. Egaleo + 1/2 at 1.8 for 1.5 units. Loss -1.5 units.
Ionikos - Panathinaikos Under at 1.97 for 1 unit. Loss -1 unit
Iraklis - Aigaleo Halftime draw at 2.15 & Olympiakos at 1.12 for 1.5 units. Loss -1.5 units
Kalithea - Chalchidona Draw at 3.4 for 0.5 units. Loss -0.5 units
Olympiakos Over at 1.5 for 1.5 units Won +0.75 units.
One of these days when everything goes against you, a lucrative +3.1 units from the paok under, 2-0 up until the 80th or so minute, which at least i am content i was right on the money when i said that 2.75 was way off, turned into a -2.4 units with paok scoring a pointless 3-0, the under in the iraklis game gets ripped by two early goals in the first 10 minutes, and only one more and no goals in second half, the draw for the kalithea game turns into 2-3 with a long shot in the 80th minute again, yesterday aek have 4 shots on the bars and a proper goal with the ball passing the line goes, wrongly, unmarked... At least a good end to the day with panathinaikos, lessens the losses somewhat, but only somewhat.
-10.55 units, well after 4 consecutive profitable weekends i guess it was time to give something back, about as much as won the past two weekends, despite the loss i am pretty happy with the rationale of almost all my bets, olympiakos over came easily, both olympiakos and panathinaikos had penalty shots in favour of them today, justifying my informed opinion on the offials, both my high under bets with paok and iraklis where right on the money despite their marginal loss (+1 goals in each one). Maybe i overestimated Aris, but that's about the only bet where i think i was off. Still, a losing day is a losing day. Back for more midweek with cup games, If we can get Olympiakos at prices of 1.4 upwards against panionios a hefty bet is in order.
