2,355
2,355
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lots of chalk, sooners, but i agree with all your writeups. what scares me is backdoor covers. gl2u!
I don't know why I was thinking it was at College Station. Not that it would make any difference. The Aggies seem to be losing just as bad at home.
jb...Everybody has their opinions on how a team is going to react after their first loss..It's just a gamble we have to take. I'm one who is more inclined to think that more teams have letdowns after big wins than they do big losses. Especially when there is still so much to play for this season. Look at how bad Missouri got trounced by Texas. They came back the next week and handed Colorado their worst defeat of the year. I would hate to base my entire bet on what you think is a team's state of mind. Truth is, we simply don't know. I just know that Baylor so far hasn't been competetive against the major players in the Big 12 South. And I think it continues here...I can hear Mike Leach right now telling his team "if you let up and lose this game to Baylor and then OSU beats OU, you'll regret not making it to the Big 12 Championship for the rest of your lives".Ewwwwww, as a guy on Gameday says..."Not so fast my friend". Now i know all the numbers will add up to an ass whooping in Lubbock on Saturday, but for the same reasons I like Okie Lite on Saturday, I'm also going to be on Baylor (small) for this game. Reason 1) Baylor was off this past weekend, so the've had 2 weeks to prepare for this game. Reason 2) this IS Baylor's bowl game. They will take this as serious as any game this season. They realize they have ZERO to lose. Reason 3) There is absolutely NO WAY Tech will be over what just happened to them, NO WAY. Their world was just thrown upside down and shaken about for 4 hours. If you noticed before the game, the Red Raiders were actually talking shit to the OU players. This to me signified that they truly thought they belonged on the same field....uhhhhhh, no, sorry. It's going to take a whole off-season to get over this game. Reason 4) See reason 3. This reason counts as 2. They will be mind fucked after getting throttled like they did. Leach is not the kind of coach (see Stoops, Brown) that can restart the engines of these kids like those coaches can. Reason 5) Art Briles, Baylor's head coach...I'm a freaking believer in this guy. And reason 6) Injuries. My Tech buddy said that the team, including Harrell and Crabtree, came physically limping off the bus in Lubbock upon their return from the ass-raping that OU put on them. They're physically banged up. I don't see them being ready.
You are right about the matchups though. If Tech can somehow erase from their memory the nightmare that just occurred, then they should take care of them fairly easily. I just think Tech will mail this game in. They pretty much know that the ball's in the air at 10 a.m. on New Year's Day morning for them (Cotton Bowl).
Funny, they said the exact same things about the Texas Tech offense all week before OU stuffed it.Exactly. On paper, technical, situational, any kind of bet, Oklahoma -7 (bought half) is the play. There was no defense in the country that can stop that offense.
Silver...I'm also playing it small because you never know for sure how a team is going to play after that big of an effort. If OU played like they did the other night they'll win this game by a couple TD's. But that was the most perfect game that i've seen OU play in years. The chances of repeating that performance is pretty remote. Especially their defensive performance. And I think this is where OU is going to run into problems in Stillwater..It is very hard to defense on the road the most balanced offense in the country with a mobile QB. I'm afraid what is going to happen here is OSU's offense is going to keep Bradford & company on the sidelines. I think we're probably in for a close game that's going to fall pretty close to the spread. The homefield advantage in the South Division has been gold this year.They go strictly by what they saw last wk. Not taking into consideration the age and emotional maturity of these kids. This a natural "let down" spot, one of the keys when looking for an upset. Pokes @ home, +7-, big rivalry, VERY good team, etc, all could lead to SU W. LW was LW, OU was in the same spot OSU is in this wk, except of course they were favs., which didn't matter much. I'm playing OSU small $$, but hope Sooners get to play Fla. in the NC game. BOL GS:toast:
Maven...I don't play parlays very often because I always seem to miss that third game. But whenever I have played them I've always hedged my last play if I hit the first two legs of a bet. Better to come out even than to not come out at all...Good luckI have a 3 team parlay with A&M left to cover (Ball St. and Navy already did). I love the Aggies, but the insight and discussion on this thread has made me hedge the bet to take the guaranteed money!!! Thank you!
GL to all... Personally, I am not making any BIG 12 bets this weekend.
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Rowdy...Barry Switzer used to say there isn't an offense out there that can't work if you have the right players to run it..With the quick defenses that we have today you have to have a little variance to your option attack. But there is basically no reason why it won't work. The only reason more major colleges don't use it as an exclusive attack is because your better receivers in the country more than likely won't go to a school that plays the option as their exclusive offense. But it's great for the smaller schools like Air Force and Navy. These teams have been consistently good every year for the past few years. I'm curious to see what kinds of players Paul Johnson at Ga Tech can draft for his option offense in the next few years..His offense is only averaging 96 yards passing a game..So in all liklihood none of your name NFL prospect wide receivers are going to want to come to that school if they can't get any action. As for Nebraska this weekend, I have a lean towards the Huskers to cover in this game. I just wish the line hadn't moved up so high. I feel the same way about Missouri. The original line looked much better than the line looks now. But I still have a lean to both teams.Best of luck again this week GS. I think NU will roll the Buffs Friday, not sure how much CU will be able to score and don't see CU's defense slowing down NU's offense.
You know its's funny, back in the late 90's when NU was still running the option everyone said that they needed to junk it, it was outdated, top recruits wouldn't want to come here, etc. Now, especially after watching the ESPN announcers gush over Georgia Tech's triple option a couple of Thursdays ago,it seems that the option is now some wonderful "new" offense that run right no one can stop. The spread offense is similar to option in that it tries to get mismatches on the outside. I guess the more things change, the more they stay the same.
Two-Niner...There seems to be alot of disagreement in here about the Texas Tech-Baylor game. But I'm one of those in the corner that believes one game doesn't make or destroy a season. I believe TT will come back this week. Can you imagine before the OU game how many people would have jumped on this -21 line after Texas Tech beat OSU 52-20. Amazing what a difference a week makes.I agree on your BCS analysis.. it really might even be inferior to what we had before. At least we could watch all bowl games before judging the champ then. I kind of lean towards Baylor in the Tech game though. I think an early game in Lubbock is a little different when fans and players are deflated. If you have any book that lets you play "pleasers".. Texas and OU are great candidates!![]()
Two-Niner...There seems to be alot of disagreement in here about the Texas Tech-Baylor game. But I'm one of those in the corner that believes one game doesn't make or destroy a season. I believe TT will come back this week. Can you imagine before the OU game how many people would have jumped on this -21 line after Texas Tech beat OSU 52-20. Amazing what a difference a week makes.
AA....I have a pretty strong feeling that Texas Tech is going to be in the Big 12 Championship Game. So their not going to screw the pooch against Baylor...I'm also waiting for the Bookmaker Moneyline plays to come out. I'm going to have a small one unit wager on the OSU ML this weekend. Just call it a bad feeling I have on the game.I don't know about the Tech team for certain, but Mike Leach has already snapped back to his regular arrogant ways. There's a story in the Lubbock A-J (and maybe on the wires now) where he's lobbying for higher ranking for his team, saying they're the best one-loss team in the country.
For those of us betting Tech this is good news.
'm going to have a small one unit wager on the OSU ML this weekend. Just call it a bad feeling I have on the game.
Interested on your thoughts if any on this game. I find alot of value and love LSU in this spot. Will be my largest wager this year by far. I have a 30-13 win for the Tigers hope I'm right and so does my bankroll.:toast:
Here's an article I pulled up on the LSU situation. Personally I think it's an iffy play. But I did notice the other day that when freshman QB Jefferson is in the game, the hurry up offense works pretty well for LSU. If I was Miles I would stick to that gameplan this week against a weak Arkansas defense. Problem is both pass defenses are weak by SEC standards. But the big difference between Ole Miss last week and Arkansas, is Arky can't run the ball. So if the LSU DL can take care of business, they can probably keep 7 men back and play the pass all day. Something they weren't able to do against Ole Miss. Arky is also weak against the run. So LSU needs to keep it on the ground and stay away from mistakes..Really a close call, because we don't know the exact mindset of the LSU team going into the game. I know that whether LSU wins or loses, they'll still just be going to some minor bowl named after a hamburger joint or a hardware store. So LSU doesn't have just a whole lot to play for here. But Arky really doesn't either.Interested on your thoughts if any on this game. I find alot of value and love LSU in this spot. Will be my largest wager this year by far. I have a 30-13 win for the Tigers hope I'm right and so does my bankroll.:toast:
You got a good number..I think it's up over 6 now...I wished I had been home this afternoon to play on Texas...I knew they were going to roll Oregon. It's hard for me to get that excited about B-Ball until the regular season football is over..But I am looking forward to going to a few OU games. I think they could be a top 10 team this year.how do you feel about the sooners basketball team tonight? i think they roll. hopped on them -3