UCONN-South Florida (UNDER 49) *
Offensively, neither of these teams are offensive juggernauts. And UCONN only averages scoring a little over 19 ppg on the road..Take the 39 points away that they scored last week against a weak Syracuse defense and they only score 15 ppg on the road. And UCONN gives up only 19 ppg on defense. If you take the uncharacteristic game last week where USF gave up 49 to Rutgers in a very turnover prone day by USF, they also give up just 19 ppg on defense. And more importantly USF has only averaged scoring 22 ppg in their last 5 games..And I think this is the important stat here because USF has really been banged up on the OL and RB positions in the last month, which has led to their losing 4 out of their last 5 games...Without a running game to speak of, Grothe will really have to have a huge game passing to surpass the 24 points of their share of the total. On the other side UCONN has RB Brown, who is the nations leading rusher..So I can see a clock eating ground oriented attack tonight. USF is pretty good against the run. So I don't expect UCONN to score at will either in this game..It takes two teams to get to this total. And I don't see a blowout by either team. Which should favor the under play.
Good luck!