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'Giant have rough road ahead'

San Francisco at Washington August 5, 7:05 EST

N.L. West leading San Francisco Giants and N.L. East leading Washington Nationals open a three-game series at Nationals Park.

The Giants have collapsed since the All-Star break with 13 losses in 18 games behind 3.5 runs/game. No reason to think they'll turn things around in the Nation's Capital. San Francisco as a team has had its problems of late in an opposing park with just two wins the past eleven away from home. Giants have certainly followed in that same vein in Washington with the club compiling a 2-10 record the past twelve visits.

Adding to the problem, Giants starter, Jeff Samardzija has fallen on hard times with just one win in six attempts surrendering four or more runs in all but one game. Additionally, Samardzija is not your typical August Guy going 0-7 recently and compiling a 1-9 record his last ten during the month. One final betting nugget. Samardzija has a 1-4 Team Start skid vs Washington including a loss in San Francisco his last outing.
 
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MLB

Friday’s games

National League

Reds @ Pirates
DeSclafani is 4-0, 4.06 in his last five starts; under is 4-1-2 in his last seven. Reds split his six road starts.

Taillon is 1-1, 3.00 in his last four starts (over 5-3).

Reds won their last six series (12-6); they’re 6-3 in last nine road series openers. Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Pittsburgh lost five of last six games; they’re 10-7 in home series openers. Last four Pittsburgh home games went over.

Giants @ Nationals
Samardzija is 0-2, 7.56 in his last three starts; over is 9-3 in his last 12. Giants are 6-5 in his road starts.

Gonzalez is 2-1, 3.00 in his last four starts; over is 10-5-1 in his last 16 starts. Washington is 5-4 in his home starts.

Giants lost nine of last 11 road games; six of their last eight games stayed under. SF is 8-10 in road series openers. Washington won six of its last eight games; they’re 10-6 in home series openers. Four of last five Washington home games went over.

Braves @ Cardinals
De la Cruz is 0-2, 5.51 in his three starts (under 2-1).

Garcia is 0-2, 9.35 in his last two starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven. Cardinals are 3-7 in his home starts.

Cardinals lost four of last five games, over is 6-1-1 in their last eight. St Louis is 7-11 in home series openers. Atlanta won four of last six games; they’re 6-12 in home series openers. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Marlins @ Rockies
Phelps is making his first ’16 start; he is 5-5, 2.65 in 54 IP this year, in 50 relief stints. He’s started 59 major league games, 19 LY, when he was 4-8, 4.50 for Miami.

De la Rosa is 1-0, 2.91 in his last two starts; three of his last four went over. Colorado split his six home starts.

Marlins lost five of last seven games; they’re 10-7 in road series openers. Six of last eight Miami games went over. Colorado won 11 of last 14 games; under is 12-5-2 in their last 98 games. Rockies are 9-3 in last 12 home series openers.

Brewers @ Diamondbacks
Anderson is 2-0, 2.70 in his last two starts; he hasn’t finished the 6th inning in any of his last eight starts (over 5-2-1). Milwaukee is 3-6 in his road starts.

Shipley is 1-1, 4.77 in his first two MLB starts (under 2-0).

Brewers are 7-4 in last 11 games, 5-12 in road series openers. Under is 11-6 in their last 17 games. Arizona lost eight of last ten games; they’re 3-15 in home series openers. Last four Diamondback games went over.

Phillies @ Padres
Hellickson is 2-0, 1.83 in his last three starts; seven of his last eight stayed under. Phillies are 5-4 in his road starts.

Friedrich is 0-4, 7.36 in his last six starts (over 10-4). San Diego is 4-2 when he starts at home.

Phillies lost six of last nine road games; they’re 8-10 in road series openers. Three of Phils’ last four games stayed under. San Diego is 8-4 in last 12 home games, 11-7 in home series openers. Under is 9-6 in their last fifteen games.


American League

Indians @ Bronx
Tomlin is 2-1, 3.05 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Cleveland is 8-2 in his road starts.

Pineda is 2-1, 2.84 in his last thee starts; six of his last seven stayed under the total. New York is 6-5 in his home starts.

Indians lost three of last four games; they’re 10-8 in road series openers. Last four Cleveland games went over. New York lost six of its last eight games; they’re 10-4 in last 14 home series openers. Under is 11-1 in New York’s last 12 home games.

Twins @ Rays
Santana is 2-2, 2.48 in his last five starts; six of his last seven stayed under. Twins are 2-6 in his road starts.

Snell is 2-0, 2.00 in his last three starts; four of his last five stayed under. Tampa Bay is 2-3 in his home starts.

Twins won five of last seven road games; they’re 6-11 in road series openers. Last six Minnesota games went over. Tampa Bay won six of its last eight games, is 7-11 in home series openers. Under is 8-3 in Rays’ last eleven home games.

Orioles @ White Sox
Gallardo is 0-2, 5.57 in his last six starts; four of his last five stayed under. Orioles are 3-5 in his road starts.

Former Oriole Gonzalez is 1-1, 3.03 in his last five starts; his last three went over total. White Sox split his six home starts.

Orioles won three of last four games, are 8-9 in road series openers. Under is 9-2-1 in their last 12 road games. Chicago is off a 2-6 road trip but they’ve won four in row at home; White Sox are 9-8 in home series openers. Four of last five Chicago games went over.

Rangers @ Astros
Perez is 0-3, 9.42 in his last five starts; six of his last eight road starts went over. Texas is 4-6 in his road starts.

Keuchel is 0-2, 4.15 in his last four starts; four of his last five stayed under. Houston is 4-5 in his home starts.

Rangers won five of last seven games; they lost last five road series openers (8-10). Five of last seven Texas road games stayed under. Houston lost eight of last ten games, is 11-7 in home series openers; under is 13-4-1 in last 18 Astro home games.

Blue Jays @ Royals
Liriano makes his Toronto debut here; he was 1-3, 7.29 in his last four starts for Pittsburgh (under 3-1).

Gee is 0-3, 7.36 in his last three starts; four of his last five starts went over. He is 1-3, 7.11 at home.

Blue Jays are 7-3 in last ten games, 10-7 in road series openers (1-4 in last five). Five of last six Toronto road games stayed under. Kansas City lost 11 of last 15 games; they’re 14-3 in home series openers. Six of their last eight games stayed under.

Angels @ Mariners
Lincecum is 1-5, 10.55 in his last seven starts (over 4-4). He is 0-2, 10.58 in his last three road starts.

Hernandez is 1-0, 5.60 in three starts since coming off DL; three of his last four starts went over. Seattle split his six home starts.

Angels are 6-4 in last ten games, 8-9 in road series openers. Halos’ last three games went over total. Seattle won four of last six home games; they’re 9-8 in home series openers. Five of last seven Mariner home games stayed under.


Interleague

Mets @ Tigers
Syndergaard is 0-2, 4.03 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Mets are 6-2 when he starts on the road.

Verlander is 3-0, 1.80 in his last four starts; his last six stayed under. Tigers won six of his last eight home starts.
Mets lost six of last nine games; they’re 9-8 in road series openers. Five of their last six games went over. Detroit won nine of last ten games; they’re 11-6 in home series openers. Five of Tigers’ last seven games went over.

Cubs @ A’s
Lester is 2-0, 2.55 in his last three starts; five of his last six went over. Cubs are 7-4 in his road starts.

Overton is 1-2, 9.33 in his four starts (over 2-1-1).

Cubs won seven of last eight games; they’re 4-8 in last 12 road series openers. Over is 13-4-1 in their last 18 road games. Oakland lost five of last six games; they’re 7-2 in last nine home series openers. Five of their last six home games stayed under.

Red Sox @ Dodgers
Wright is 4-0, 6.75 in his last six starts; Boston scored 47 runs in those six games. Under is 7-1-1 in his last nine road starts. Boston is 6-4 in his road starts.

Kazmir is 3-1, 3.58 in his last five starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten. Dodgers won five of his last seven home starts.

Red Sox is 4-9 in its last 13 games; under is 11-1 in their last 12 road games. Boston is 10-6 in road series openers. Dodgers are 7-9 in last 16 games, 7-3 in last ten home series openers. Over is 6-2-1 in their last nine road games.


Teams’ record when this pitcher starts

Cin-Pitt: DeSclafani 7-3; Taillon 5-3
SF-Wsh: Samardzija 11-11 (0-3 last 3); Gonzalez 8-13
Atl-StL: De la Cruz 1-2; Garcia 10-11
Mia-Colo: Phelps 0-0; De la Rosa 7-8
Mil-Az: Anderson 8-12; Shipley 1-1
Phil-SD: Hellickson 12-10; Friedrich 7-7

Cle-NY: Tomlin 15-4; Pineda 10-11
Min-TB: Santana 5-15; Snell 3-6
Blt-Chi: Gallardo 8-5; Gonzalez 8-8
Tex-Hst: Perez 12-10; Keuchel 9-13
Tor-KC: Liriano 0-0/9-12; Gee 2-5
LAA-Sea: Lincecum 3-5; Hernandez 7-6

NYM-Det: Syndergaard 13-7; Verlander 13-9
Chi-A’s: Lester 15-6; Overton 2-2
Bos-LA: Wright 13-8; Kazmir 12-9


Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:

Cin-Pitt: DeSclafani 5-10; Taillon 3-8
SF-Wsh: Samardzija 7-22; Gonzalez 6-21
Atl-StL: De la Cruz 0-3; Garcia 8-21
Mia-Colo: Phelps 0-0; De la Rosa 7-15
Mil-Az: Anderson 7-20; Shipley 1-2
Phil-SD: Hellickson 6-22; Friedrich 5-14

Cle-NY: Tomlin 9-19; Pineda 7-21
Min-TB: Santana 6-20; Snell 3-9
Blt-Chi: Gallardo 6-13; Gonzalez 6-16
Tex-Hst: Perez 9-22; Keuchel 5-22
Tor-KC: Liriano 5-21; Gee 4-7
LAA-Sea: Lincecum 3-8; Hernandez 2-13

NYM-Det: Syndergaard 4-20; Verlander 8-22
Chi-A’s: Lester 6-21; Overton 2-4
Bos-LA: Wright 6-21; Kazmir 12-21 (5 of last 7)
 
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Friday’s 6-pack

Major league hitters who have come up with most men on base this year, and %age of those runners they knocked in……

— Albert Pujols, 374 runners, knocked in 16.8% of them

— Anthony Rizzo, 345 runners, knocked in 15.9%

— Juan Encarnacion, 319 runners, knocked in 19.1%

— Carlos Correa, 318 runners, knocked in 16.7%

— Xander Bogaerts, 313 runners, knocked in 16.9% of them

— Chris Carter, 311 runners, knocked in 11.6% of them
 
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Sharp Bettor

Sharp Bettor's Free Pick for Saturday, August 6, 2016 8:10 PM

(917) BALTIMORE (GALLARDO) VS (918) WHITE SOX (GONZALEZ)

Play OVER the total.
 
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Roz Wins

Roz's Friday, August 5, 2016, Free Pick: 8:15 PM

(921) TORONTO (LIRIANO) VS (922) ROYALS (GEE)

Play Toronto.
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Friday

BREWERS (Anderson) at DIAMONDBACKS (Shipley) 9:40 PM

Take: BREWERS +120

Milwaukee righty Chase Anderson goes back to Chase for the first time, although he did face his former team recently and did pretty well. The Diamondbacks rookie Shipley pitched very well in his second big league start following a rough debut. I don’t see much either way here on the pitching.

But while these are each weak teams, watching the games indicates a Brewers team that seems to at least be having fun. The Diamondbacks look like they’re ready for the season to end right now. Lifeless team, and they have been beyond pathetic at home.

I just don’t see how Arizona can be justified as a favorite at this point, basically against anyone, and especially at home. They really don’t have a home field edge here, as no one is showing up for the games, and their record at Chase speaks for itself. I look at this game as a virtual tossup, and it’s not priced that way. Value city here in my opinion, and I’ll take the Brewers.
 
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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday, August 5, 2016 10:40 PM

(911) PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS (912) SAN DIEGO PADRES

Take: UNDER

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Friday, August 5, 2016 is in the baseball contest between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Padres in San Diego. Philadelphia heads out on the road with an average offense, 15th in runs, 19th in slugging. Petco Park is huge, great for pitchers, and the Under is 7-1 in Jeremy Hellickson's last 8 starts overall. San Diego is no offensive dynamo either, 16th in runs, 22nd in slugging. Christian Friedrich is off a 2-1 win here against the Reds and the Under is 7-3 in the Padres last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Play the Philadelphia/San Diego Under the total.
 

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