Friday 7/4/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Louisiana Downs Race 2 for Friday, July 04, 2014
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Louisiana Downs - Race #2 - Post: 3:15pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $5,000 Class Rating: 59

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 CRYPTO BROAD (ML=2/1)


CRYPTO BROAD - Hodges drops her down to this class level. You don't need too much more handicapping info to figure that this one has a shot at this level.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 LEESTOWN FLASH (ML=9/5), #5 KISSIN STAR (ML=7/2), #4 MISSING CAROLYN (ML=4/1),

LEESTOWN FLASH - This probable favorite probably needs at least one race to get back into shape. Pass on her today. Unlikely that this horse can take the punishment of another rigorous run down the stretch after the last two efforts. KISSIN STAR - Hard to put your dough on the win end of any mount that finishes second and third as often as this thoroughbred does. MISSING CAROLYN - Speed figs of 50/41/37 are going downward.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 CRYPTO BROAD is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream - Race #9 - Post: 5:33pm - SO - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,875 Class Rating: 98

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 DADDYS JEWEL (ML=9/2)
#1 PICK THE DOUBLE (ML=20/1)


DADDYS JEWEL - This mare should be at the fitness peak, this far into her form cycle. Personally, I wouldn't worry about where she finished in her last race (fourth). Should rebound in this race, with some respectable odds. PICK THE DOUBLE - Leyva comes to race again after getting to know the mare in the last event. Based on this mare's recent efforts, she should be aided by today's shorter distance.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SYDNEY RULES (ML=4/5), #3 SHERRY ANGEL (ML=4/1), #5 SILVER SASHAY (ML=6/1),

SYDNEY RULES - Going to have a hard go of it with all the other front-runners in this race. SHERRY ANGEL - When scrutinizing today's class figure, she will have to garner a much better speed figure than last race out to compete in this dirt sprint. SILVER SASHAY - Pace is so significant, and this front-runner is going to have an early battle on her hands. The rating last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class figure of today's event. Mark this horse as a questionable contender.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #4 DADDYS JEWEL to win if we can get at least 7/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gillespie Cnty Fair

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $3800 Class Rating: 47

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 SERIOUS PLAY 4/1

# 4 PLACER 9/5

# 7 COOL FRENCH SAFARI 10/1

I've got to go with SERIOUS PLAY. Will almost certainly come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved speedily to the front end recently. This bunch is much easier than the last one he faced. Have to wager on this money-making jock and handler duo. PLACER - He has to be considered given the solid speed figs. Had one of the best speed figures of this group of animals in his last race.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Thistledown - Race #8 - Post: 4:31pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 CHERYLWITHANS (ML=6/1)
#3 STACKEDNDELIVERED (ML=4/1)
#2 FIONA WILL WIN (ML=3/1)


CHERYLWITHANS - Traditional handicapping angle - 3rd or 4th start after a layoff generally leads to a big effort. Today's the day. Jock jumped on this filly's back for the 1st attempt on June 11th. Should 'know' the horse even better this time. Ranks number one in EPS (earnings per start). A strong effort right here in this race will add to that total. STACKEDNDELIVERED - This mare is in good form, having run a nice race on June 15th, finishing second. The last figure of 71 is the highest last race speed rating in the bunch. FIONA WILL WIN - I like to bet on this angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a good effort within the last month. Trainer, Morales, has been deliberate with this mare off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. The jock has had great success with this equine in the past. Didn't ride last time but gets back in the saddle today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 MARVELOUS MAVEN (ML=5/1), #8 RUN THE COURT (ML=6/1), #9 ROCKIN HUMOR (ML=8/1),

MARVELOUS MAVEN - Not probable for this entrant to make an impact with no success lately in a short distance affair. RUN THE COURT - Didn't meet expectations when favored back to back. ROCKIN HUMOR - This filly hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two outings.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #6 CHERYLWITHANS to win if we can get at least 4/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,3,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 70

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 4 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 4 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 NO IT'S NOT ME 2/1

# 3 FLY SOLO 5/2

# 7 EDDIES DREAM 8/1

NO IT'S NOT ME looks to be a respectable contender. Is tough not to look at based on speed figures which have been formidable - 59 avg - of late. Acquilano has one of the best winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. Will most likely be one of the front-runners of the pack going into the halfway point of the affair. FLY SOLO - With one of the strongest jock in terms of profits at the window, don't count this mare out. The average class figure alone makes this one a definite contender. EDDIES DREAM - This mare is coming back in next to no time to race. She has put up respectable figs under today's conditions and should fare well against this field.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #7 - BELMONT PARK - 6:06 PM EASTERN POST
The Forbidden Apple Stakes
8.0 FURLONGS TURF FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $150,000.00 PURSE

#5 DAWLY
#4 ZA APPROVAL
#6 KHARAFA
#8 SAYAAD

A little "trivia note" folks ... Forbidden Apple loved Belmont Park. The near-black horse had his greatest successes over its turf courses, including victories in the Manhattan (G1), Belmont Breeders' Cup Handicap (G2), and two editions of the Kelso (G2). Forbidden Apple was trained throughout his career by Christophe Clement. The Arthur Appleton homebred was also a major reason why his dam, North of Eden, took home the prestigious Broodmare of the Year title in 2002. Here in the initial running of this stakes test ... #5 DAWLY, has produced "POWER RUNS" in five straight, hitting the board in four, including a trio of "POWER RUNS" embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency. #4 ZA APPROVAL qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three of his last five outings, winning in his 5th race back.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Friday, July 4

Trend Report

11:05 AM
CHI CUBS vs. WASHINGTON
Chi Cubs are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
Chi Cubs are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs

1:35 PM
BALTIMORE vs. BOSTON
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Boston's last 23 games
Boston is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games

3:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. MINNESOTA
NY Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees

4:05 PM
TORONTO vs. OAKLAND
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
Oakland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

5:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. PITTSBURGH
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games at home

6:40 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. SAN DIEGO
San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco

7:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. CLEVELAND
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

7:08 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. DETROIT
Tampa Bay is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Detroit is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

7:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games
Milwaukee is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Cincinnati is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 10 games on the road
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Chi White Sox are 18-5 SU in their last 23 games when playing Seattle
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games

7:10 PM
TEXAS vs. NY METS
Texas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Mets
Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of NY Mets's last 18 games
NY Mets are 1-7 SU in its last 8 games

7:15 PM
MIAMI vs. ST. LOUIS
Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of St. Louis's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of St. Louis's last 25 games

7:35 PM
ARIZONA vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games at home
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:10 PM
LA DODGERS vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Dodgers's last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
Colorado is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

9:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. LA ANGELS
Houston is 4-9 SU in their last 13 games when playing LA Angels
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
LA Angels are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games when playing Houston
LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Friday, July 4


Domonic Brown, Philadelphia - Out Fri

Brown has been placed on the paternity list and will miss his second of three games Friday against the Pirates.


Red Sox, Lester ice cold vs. O's

In Boston Red Sox pitcher Jon Lester's previous nine starts versus the Baltimore Orioles, the Sox are a paltry 1-8. Lester will try to reverse that trend when he takes the mound against the O's at Fenway Park Friday.

BoSox are -148 faves with a total of 8.5.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, July 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (37 - 46) at WASHINGTON (46 - 38) - 11:05 AM
JASON HAMMEL (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1351-1510 (-279.7 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 11-26 (-14.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1-12 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 46-72 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1294-1426 (-257.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 73-115 (-31.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 36-67 (-26.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 142-154 (-41.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 17-2 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 31-23 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
HAMMEL is 11-4 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMMEL is 52-44 (+15.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 40-43 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 92-85 (-14.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.2 Units)

JASON HAMMEL vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HAMMEL is 7-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.088.
His team's record is 8-1 (+7.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.5 units)

TANNER ROARK vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
ROARK is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (37 - 48) at PITTSBURGH (44 - 41) - 5:05 PM
ROBERTO HERNANDEZ (R) vs. GERRIT COLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 110-137 (-28.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 110-135 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 79-106 (-30.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HERNANDEZ is 15-27 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 6-17 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 141-112 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 139-111 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 32-21 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 117-93 (+22.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 64-47 (+17.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 77-51 (+16.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 120-102 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-5 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 374-348 (+41.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 46-50 (-33.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ROBERTO HERNANDEZ vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 1-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

GERRIT COLE vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
COLE is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.07 and a WHIP of 1.689.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (47 - 38) at SAN DIEGO (38 - 47) - 6:40 PM
MATT CAIN (R) vs. ERIC STULTS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 59-66 (-20.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-19 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 49-62 (-29.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CAIN is 15-28 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 9-19 (-15.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 3-11 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 15-28 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 4-14 (-16.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 41-27 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 14-7 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 25-17 (+13.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 39-29 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 22-15 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 110-78 (+24.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 22-15 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 42-32 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 55-43 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 26-35 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAN DIEGO is 29-40 (-12.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 5-4 (+2.4 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.7 Units)

MATT CAIN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
CAIN is 7-13 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.19 and a WHIP of 1.145.
His team's record is 12-21 (-13.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 14-17. (-5.4 units)

ERIC STULTS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
STULTS is 7-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.52 and a WHIP of 1.445.
His team's record is 10-7 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-6. (+3.4 units)

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MILWAUKEE (51 - 35) at CINCINNATI (43 - 41) - 7:10 PM
KYLE LOHSE (R) vs. ALFREDO SIMON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 34-14 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SIMON is 14-3 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SIMON is 7-0 (+7.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
SIMON is 14-3 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 51-35 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 23-11 (+15.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 27-17 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 51-33 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 32-21 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 93-87 (+10.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 34-29 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LOHSE is 13-4 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
LOHSE is 13-4 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
LOHSE is 23-11 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 5-2 (+3.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

KYLE LOHSE vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LOHSE is 5-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.184.
His team's record is 8-8 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-9. (-3.6 units)

ALFREDO SIMON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
SIMON is 0-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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MIAMI (41 - 44) at ST LOUIS (46 - 40) - 7:15 PM
NATHAN EOVALDI (R) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 114-171 (-42.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 22-4 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 118-74 (+23.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 36-10 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 31-26 (+7.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 342-390 (+40.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 20-25 (-10.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NATHAN EOVALDI vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
EOVALDI is 0-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

LANCE LYNN vs. MIAMI since 1997
LYNN is 2-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)

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ARIZONA (36 - 51) at ATLANTA (47 - 38) - 7:35 PM
JOSH COLLMENTER (R) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 36-51 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 36-51 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 11-2 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
ATLANTA is 37-15 (+17.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

JOSH COLLMENTER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
COLLMENTER is 1-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 0.873.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. ARIZONA since 1997
SANTANA is 2-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 0.82 and a WHIP of 1.045.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

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LA DODGERS (49 - 39) at COLORADO (36 - 50) - 8:10 PM
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. JAIR JURRJENS (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 7-3 (+2.8 Units) against COLORADO this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. COLORADO since 1997
KERSHAW is 12-5 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.188.
His team's record is 17-8 (+7.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-13. (-2.0 units)

JAIR JURRJENS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
JURRJENS is 3-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.99 and a WHIP of 1.618.
His team's record is 4-3 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-1. (+5.1 units)

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BALTIMORE (46 - 39) at BOSTON (38 - 47) - 1:35 PM
MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 8-16 (-11.5 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 69-46 (+16.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LESTER is 18-7 (+10.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 47-39 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 19-13 (+12.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 19-14 (+16.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 24-18 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 23-16 (+9.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 44-29 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 206-163 (+46.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 97-68 (+19.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 38-48 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 16-22 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BOSTON is 20-23 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 41-52 (-27.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 36-44 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 24-32 (-13.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 189-181 (-44.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
LESTER is 12-18 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 5-5 (+0.4 Units) against BOSTON this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.7 Units)

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
GONZALEZ is 3-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.179.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

JON LESTER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
LESTER is 15-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.304.
His team's record is 17-9 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-11. (-1.7 units)

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NY YANKEES (42 - 42) at MINNESOTA (38 - 46) - 3:10 PM
CHASE WHITLEY (R) vs. KYLE GIBSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 15-21 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 20-27 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NY YANKEES are 37-21 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-23 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 44-76 (-27.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 (+0.5 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

CHASE WHITLEY vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
WHITLEY is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

KYLE GIBSON vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GIBSON is 1-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 8.71 and a WHIP of 2.033.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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TORONTO (47 - 40) at OAKLAND (52 - 33) - 4:05 PM
MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. TOM MILONE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 52-33 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 21-7 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 129-77 (+32.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 35-17 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 50-29 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 162-114 (+43.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 90-58 (+20.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 68-49 (+17.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 51-36 (+21.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MILONE is 44-29 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILONE is 12-1 (+10.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILONE is 42-27 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILONE is 30-16 (+15.2 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against OAKLAND this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.1 Units)

MARCUS STROMAN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

TOM MILONE vs. TORONTO since 1997
MILONE is 0-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 7.62 and a WHIP of 1.385.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

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TAMPA BAY (38 - 50) at DETROIT (48 - 34) - 7:05 PM
ALEX COBB (R) vs. DREW SMYLY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 38-50 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 22-33 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 9-16 (-10.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 19-30 (-18.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TAMPA BAY is 19-26 (-12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 23-6 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-15 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 42-35 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 22-24 (-12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SMYLY is 1-7 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SMYLY is 6-12 (-12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

ALEX COBB vs. DETROIT since 1997
COBB is 0-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.41 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)

DREW SMYLY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SMYLY is 1-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.222.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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KANSAS CITY (44 - 40) at CLEVELAND (41 - 43) - 7:05 PM
YORDANO VENTURA (R) vs. JOSH TOMLIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 133-114 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 74-46 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 127-108 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 77-55 (+17.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 65-57 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 48-41 (+16.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 59-52 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-3 (+0.0 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

YORDANO VENTURA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
VENTURA is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 1.026.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

JOSH TOMLIN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
TOMLIN is 5-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.229.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+4.0 units)

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SEATTLE (47 - 38) at CHI WHITE SOX (40 - 46) - 7:10 PM
ROENIS ELIAS (L) vs. CHRIS SALE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 52-61 (-20.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 320-296 (-72.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
SEATTLE is 47-38 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 26-16 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SEATTLE is 32-21 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 23-15 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 39-38 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 20-11 (+11.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 27-20 (+10.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 103-145 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 11-27 (-17.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 98-139 (-28.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ROENIS ELIAS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

CHRIS SALE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
SALE is 2-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.22 and a WHIP of 1.075.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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HOUSTON (36 - 51) at LA ANGELS (48 - 36) - 9:05 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. C.J. WILSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 9-44 (-27.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 86-179 (-49.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 31-92 (-38.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-43 (-23.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 264-196 (+47.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 18-4 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LA ANGELS are 49-62 (-27.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 118-118 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 7-4 (+0.9 Units) against HOUSTON this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.5 Units)

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
KEUCHEL is 3-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.34 and a WHIP of 1.483.
His team's record is 3-2 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

C.J. WILSON vs. HOUSTON since 1997
WILSON is 5-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.05 and a WHIP of 1.292.
His team's record is 7-3 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-3. (+2.8 units)

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TEXAS (37 - 48) at NY METS (37 - 48) - 7:10 PM
YU DARVISH (R) vs. JON NIESE (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

YU DARVISH vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

JON NIESE vs. TEXAS since 1997
NIESE is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.411.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Friday, July 4


Hitters up against the wind at Nationals Park

The Chicago Cubs will be taking a piece of the Windy City with them when they visit the Washington Nationals Friday. At game-time, there will be winds blowing in from leftfield at 24 km/h.


Jays-Athletics bettors need to know ump

Victor Carapazza, who will be calling balls and strikes for the Toronto Blue Jays-Oakland Athletics game Friday, has the second highest strike percentage in baseball (65.7 percent).

Bettors have been capitalizing with a 6-10 over/under in his last 16 with teams averaging 6.69 runs per game.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

MLB Comp Pick for Friday July 04, 2014: 7:10 PM ET

MLB (975) SEATTLE MARINERS VS (976) CHICAGO WHITE SOX

Take: UNDER

Reason: Your free pick for Friday, July 4th, 2014, comes in baseball as Mariners and the White Sox meet in Chicago. Seattle brings a lousy offense into this park, 18th in baseball in runs scored, 28th in on base percentage with little power. At least they have a good young arm going in 25-year old Cuban Roenis Elias (7-6, 3.96 ERA). Opponets are hitting just .233 off him and he is 5-2 on the road with a 3.46 ERA. Seattle is on a 16-6 run under the total and the under is 15-5-2 in the Mariners last 22 vs. a team with a losing record. Chicago has ace Chris Sale (7-1, 2.30 ERA) going and he will have no trouble shutting down this pop-gun seattle offense. Sale gave up two runs on four hits and five walks, while striking out six over seven innings, in a win over the Blue Jays on Saturday. Play Seattle/Chicago Under the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

#1 Sports

Friday's free selection

Seattle Mariners + 165

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Totals4U

Friday's Free Selection

San Francisco Giants/San Diego Padres over 7

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mike Wynn

Bonus Play

St Louis w/Lynn -145 Over Miami

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Friday Bonus Play 7:05 PM MLB

(973) KANSAS CITY ROYALS at (974) CLEVELAND INDIANS

Take: (973) KANSAS CITY ROYALS +106

There’s a pretty solid angle in play tonight as the Royals and Indians open a weekend set in Cleveland. Beyond that, it’s a big divisional series for these two teams, and getting a leg up with a win in the opener is always key, so this is a pretty important early July hookup for two teams trying to work their way into at least wild card contention.

Josh Tomlin is off the best start of his career. Tomlin was brilliant in a nearly perfect game against Seattle last time out. The system here is to play against a pitcher off his first ever complete game shutout. This has been pretty much break even this year, but is a long term winner. Tomlin is the type that I would find more likely to bounce to some extent as opposed to an ace accomplishing the feat, as the game vs. the Mariners was simply off the charts.

The cautionary note here is that Tomlin has emerged to some extent this season. He’s got good numbers. The key metrics I like to focus on indicate he’s pitching at what amounts to a pretty high level. I’ve never put Tomlin in that upper class of pitchers, but aside from one lousy stretch that covered about three starts, the righty is having a very good season for the Indians. Nevertheless, I can see him declining here off the sensational effort, and it should be noted Tomlin’s better numbers have been achieved on the road this season.

Hard throwing Yordano Ventura will throw for the Royals. Ventura has not been especially lucky in his rookie camping, as he’s had trouble getting run support and thus, KC is only 6-9 when he starts. But Ventura has more than lived up to advance billing and is a candidate to start grabbing some wins if he can maintain the form he’s been flashing for the most part.

I see the offenses being pretty close to a wash here. The Indians are certainly more explosive and capable of putting together big frames. But if you look at the actual run production per nine innings, this is almost dead even with the situational data that’s in play tonight.

Take away the potential flat spot for Tomlin and there’s no chance I’m playing this. In fact, I would probably lean to the Tribe winning the game, although with the price factored in, it wouldn’t be a play. But the conditions are very often the key toward determining whether a game is worth going after, and in this case a Tomlin fade seems like a decent idea. I’ll be looking to take the Royals as a small dog tonight.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Atlantic Sports

Friday's Free Selection

Yankees/Twins over 7

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Nevada Sharpshooter

Free Selection MLB

San Diego +108 over San Francisco

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Platinum Plays

Free Pick

San Francisco Giants w/Cain -120 Over San Diego

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Golden Dragon Sports

Bonus Play

San Diego Stults +108

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Huddle Up Sports

Free Winner

LA Dodgers Kershaw -165