Jeff Benton
Complimentary Selection
Took a shot with the Padres as a huge underdog on Thursday and it didn’t pan out – oddly enough, San Diego was the only underdog that didn’t come through in MLB yesterday. Still, I’m on a 32-19 run with freebies, including 6-3 over the past nine days. For Friday, we’ll take a shot with another pup, backing the Pirates at Milwaukee.
That Milwaukee is actually favored in this game is pretty astonishing. The Brewers just got swept at home by the lowly Reds, all as a chalk, and they gave up 20 runs in the three defeats. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh just took two of three from the defending-champion Phillies, with the two wins coming in late-inning, come-from-behind fashion. The Pirates completed a nine-game homestand with a 7-2 record, starting with a three-game sweep of Milwaukee last week.
In fact, while Pittsburgh has won seven of nine, the Brewers have lost eight of 11, including six of nine at home (where Milwaukee is now under .500 for the season at 30-32). And since ripping off 17 consecutive wins over the Pirates, the Brewers have now lost five of the last six meetings (including the last four in a row).
As for this pitching matchup, you’ve got Pittsburgh lefty Zach Duke facing Milwaukee southpaw Manny Parra. Duke, who was the Pirates’ lone All-Star, has a 3.33 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in 25 starts and a 2.91 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP in his last three outings. Parra is 8-10 with a 6.54 ERA overall and 1-2 with an 8.40 ERA in his last three (including a 5-2 loss at Pittsburgh 10 days ago).
So to summarize, you’ve got the hotter team (Pittsburgh) with the superior pitcher (Duke) and you’re giving me plus money to boot? Good enough for me!
(based on a 1♦ to a 10♦ Rating)
3♦ PITTSBURGH