Friday 08/21/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tom Freese

Game: St Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres

Prediction: under

Reason: St. Louis is 11-5 UNDER vs. NL West teams and they are 5-1-2 UNDER vs. a starter with a WHIP of over 1.30. The Cardinals are 15-6-3 UNDER their last 24 games as favorites and they are 11-4 UNDER in the last 15 starts made by Kyle Lohse after allowing 2 or less runs in their last game. San Diego starter Clayton Richard has allowed just 8 runs total in his 3 starts with the Padres. San Diego is 4-1 UNDER when the Total is 7.0 to 8.5. The Padres are 6-2-1 UNDER at home vs. the Cardinals. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Richard vs. Lohse)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Chris Jordan

Hard to believe I’d back the Sox in this one, but it might also be hard to believe the Eagles lost last night to a starter-deprived Colts team and that Chad Ochocino would kick an extra point. But, anything’s possible.

And with this one in Beantown, I believe the Red Sox will be ready for the Yankees, who are back from the West Coast after salvging their three-game series with a 3-2 victory Wednesday night. Meanwhile, Boston completed a three-game sweep at Toronto with an 8-1 rout last night, led by two J.D. Drew home runs in back-to-back at-bats. And despite being swept by the Bombers in the Bronx in their previous series, the Sox are on upticks of 22-8 at home following a road trip of seven or more days, 37-16 overall at Fenway and 36-17 in series openers. Plus, Boston is 7-0 in the last seven Fenway meetings between these two.

Now, here’s where it gets hairy … I know Andy Pettitte is on fire, much better than Brad Penny, but this game falls under one of the best systems to bet, and I’m siding with the Red Sox.

You don’t have to list either pitcher, as far as I’m concerned, but for the record, Penny is 5-2 in 12 home starts this season, and is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA in two career starts against the Yanks. Boston is also 6-2 in its last eight series openers behind Penny.

1♦ RED SOX

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Delaney

Today's Complimentary Selection

I’ve got the Rams and Steve Spagnuolo, who is making his home debut with the Rams at the Edward Jones Dome, and I’ve got Falcons coach Mike Smith, who says he will continue to use the preseason games for evaluation of his players. He said Wednesday morning that these games are less about winning and more about seeing what his team is capable of.

So here we go. It would be very easy to take the home underdog, but the fact is, no matter how much time Smith is putting his starters in for, Atlanta’s roster is much more talented than St. Louis’, and it should still win this football game … then again, Ocho Stinko kicked an extra point last night, and the Bengals beat the Patriots.

So, I’m taking the under in this game.

I think Atlanta will be hyped up to play much better defensively after their sloppy second-half showing by the second- and third-teamers in last Saturday night's 27-26 loss to Detroit. Atlanta led at halftime 10-3, before allowing 24 points in the second half, 14 in the fourth quarter.

For St. Louis, it could be a lot of ground game with Marc Bulger sidelined for perhaps the rest of the preseason thanks to a busted finger. Plus, with injuries to Donnie Avery, Tim Carter and Brooks Foster leave the Rams with only seven healthy wide receivers. And, since Samkon Gado and Antonio Pittman were the clear winners last week in the battle to back up Steven Jackson, I expect the pecking order to change tonight with a strong showing by Kenneth Darby or rookie Chris Ogbonnaya. And let’s not forget Ahman Green stopped by for a free-agent visit Wednesday, something that had to of raised everyone’s eyebrows.

The under has been the play in St. Louis’ last three home preseason contests, while the low for Atlanta was on a 3-0 streak and a 5-2 overall run before last week’s game at Detroit soared. I like my chances with the low number.

1♦ UNDER (Falcons/Rams)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dominic Fazzini

Today's Complimentary Selection

The Rangers rocked MInnesota 11-1 as a run-line play Thursday night, giving me eight wins in my last 12 complimentary selections! Now I'm turning my attention to the big series in Beantown tonight to pick up another victory.

The Yankees have lost seven straight games at Fenway Park, but they had also lost eight straight overall against the Red Sox before sweeping their AL East rivals in four straight games at Yankee Stadium earlier this month.

New York starter Andy Pettitte (9-6, 4.09 ERA) has given up two runs or less in his last four outings. He also has pitched well on the road this year, going 5-2 with a 3.17 ERA in 11 starts away from the Bronx.

The veteran left-hander is 16-9 with a 3.63 ERA in 34 games (32 starts) against the Red Sox, and he threw seven shutout innings against them in a no-decision on Aug. 9.

Boston starter Brad Penny (7-7, 5.22) has not panned out like Sox fans hoped he would this season. The hard-throwing right-hander is 0-3 with a 7.54 ERA over his last four outings, and 5-2 with a 4.70 ERA at Fenway this year.

He has pitched well in two career starts against the Yankees, going 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA. Penny threw six shutout innings against them on June 11, but New York is playing a lot better now.

The Yankees are 25-8 since the All-Star break, 14-3 since Aug. 2 and 5-2 on their current road trip. The Bronx Bombers are obviously no strangers to Fenway, so I don't see them slowing down at all today, especially with Pettitte on the mound. Take the Yankees in this one.

3♦ N.Y. YANKEES (on a 1♦ to 5♦ Scale)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox +115

This is a big time revenge game for the Red Sox after getting swept in a 4-game series in New York from August 6th-9th. The Red Sox are still 8-4 against the Yankees this season and a perfect 6-0 at home and you can be rest assured they've had this one circled. This series is very important for the wild card race, but it also could go a long way in deciding if Boston can still challenge the Yanks for the A.L. East. Pettitte has been very good for the Yanks of late, but Boston is very familiar with him and has scorched lefty starters this season. The Red Sox are 8-4 in Penny's home starts this season and he is a perfect 4-0 against the money line versus the Yankees in his career with an ERA of 2.31. The Red Sox are worth a unit tonight in this extreme revenge spot at home as an underdog.
1 Unit on Boston Red Sox +115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Ryan


Game: Los Angeles Sparks at San Antonio Silver Stars Aug 21 2009 8:00PM

Prediction: San Antonio Silver Stars

Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on San Antonio as they face Los Angeles set to start at 8:00 EST. AiS shows a 72% probability that SA will win this game by 3 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 33-9 for 79% winners since 1997. Play on home teams playing on back-to-back days, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games. Fine tuning this system a notch to include just home favorites improves the system to a remarkable 25-5 ATS for 83% winners since 1997. SA is projected to have a 90% probability of scoring between 72 and 77 points in this game. Note that LA is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when they allow 72 to 77 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take San Antonio.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lenny Del Genio

Game: Kansas City Chiefs at Minnesota Vikings Aug 21 2009 8:00PM

Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs

Reason: Here we have a Week 2 NFL preseason matchup featuring a pair of teams that experienced very different opening week results. We were all over Minnesota as our Non-Conference Dog of the Year and apparently you listened as the line moved significantly through the week to the point the Vikings were actually favored by a couple of points by kickoff. Then, they rewarded us and the rest of their backers with a convincing 13-3 win over perennial preseason weakling Indianapolis.
Kansas City, meanwhile, let down 1st year HC Todd Haley with a less than inspiring 16-10 home loss to the Texans. The game, which was played in a downpour, wasn?t actually that close as the Chiefs trailed 16-3 entering the final quarter. Still, one positive that Haley can take away from the opener was that his team actually outgained Houston 307-280. A -3 turnover ratio is what killed them.
As I?m sure you?ve heard by now, Minnesota has decided to lure Brett Favre out of his ?retirement.? Bad move in our opinion, much worse than the Eagles deciding to sign Mike Vick, because the Vikings need actual results from Favre, something he may not be able to provide at his advanced age.
As for this game, underdogs playing in this week of preseason are 27-8 ATS the last 10 seasons if off a SU loss the week prior. Look for the Favre situation to not only be a distraction, but to depress the likes of Sage Rosenfels, who actually looked quite good in the opener. Kansas City will want to win for its new head coach and is due for a road win in preseason play after going 1-9 ATS away from Arrowhead during Herm Edwards tenure.
Play on Kansas City.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Karl Garrett

G-Man with a 23-19 comp play run heading into Friday.

Hard to believe the Yankees are a road favorite at Fenway Park, but with their most-recent 4 game sweep in the Bronx of their hated division rival, New York is now in the driver's seat in the AL East.

New York is currently on an 8-2 run their last 10 on the road, and and overall run of 38-13 their last 51 games. Starter Andy Pettitte has found some vintage stuff, as AP is 1-0 his last 4 starts, allowing just 4 earned runs his last 26 frames of work. Included is a solid 7 scoreless against Boston, in a game the Yankees won 5-2.

Brad Penny missed facing the Yankees the last time around, but Penny has not been giving Terry Francona what he needs in the rotation of late, as Penny is a dismal 0-3 his last 4 starts, allowing an alarming 19 runs in just over 22 innings of work.

New York can put a stranglehold on the division - if they haven't already - with a winning weekend in Beantown. Expect the Yanks to get the weekend started off right.

Theeeee Yankees win. Theee Yankees win!

4♦ NY YANKEES

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB LONG SHEET

Friday, August 21

CINCINNATI (51 - 69) at PITTSBURGH (49 - 70) - 7:05 PM
MICAH OWINGS (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 50-67 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 82-111 (-29.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 17-33 (-14.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CINCINNATI is 54-68 (-21.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 51-69 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 24-18 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 315-363 (+30.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 474-557 (+40.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 85-80 (+26.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 1-7 (-8.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

MICAH OWINGS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
OWINGS is 1-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 6.86 and a WHIP of 1.619.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.2 units)

CHARLIE MORTON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

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MILWAUKEE (58 - 62) at WASHINGTON (43 - 78) - 7:05 PM
BRADEN LOOPER (R) vs. J.D. MARTIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 58-59 (-6.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 42-47 (-10.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 25-39 (-20.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 10-16 (-9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 58-62 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 29-38 (-20.9 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 92-92 (+23.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 50-43 (+18.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 117-116 (+34.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 69-55 (+22.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 25-22 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 22-55 (-30.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
WASHINGTON is 43-78 (-26.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 43-75 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 28-59 (-25.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 34-60 (-18.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 (+1.2 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

BRADEN LOOPER vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LOOPER is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

J.D. MARTIN vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
MARTIN is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 7.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (69 - 49) at NY METS (56 - 65) - 7:10 PM
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. MIKE PELFREY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 34-15 (+17.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 89-72 (+30.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-8 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 66-46 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-15 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-13 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 44-24 (+16.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 69-49 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-20 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
NY METS are 145-138 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 145-138 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 96-91 (-27.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PELFREY is 12-20 (-13.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-4 (+2.0 Units) against NY METS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

COLE HAMELS vs. NY METS since 1997
HAMELS is 1-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.19 and a WHIP of 1.581.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-6. (-5.9 units)

MIKE PELFREY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
PELFREY is 3-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.02 and a WHIP of 1.463.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

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FLORIDA (64 - 57) at ATLANTA (64 - 57) - 7:35 PM
ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. JAVIER VAZQUEZ (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 5-3 (+3.4 Units) against ATLANTA this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
SANCHEZ is 2-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.08 and a WHIP of 1.604.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.4 units)

JAVIER VAZQUEZ vs. FLORIDA since 1997
VAZQUEZ is 6-5 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.306.
His team's record is 8-9 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-9. (-2.8 units)

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ARIZONA (54 - 68) at HOUSTON (59 - 62) - 8:05 PM
YUSMEIRO PETIT (R) vs. ROY OSWALT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 54-68 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 98-98 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 97-105 (-22.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 54-68 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 60-80 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 141-135 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 102-99 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 47-47 (+2.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 76-68 (+12.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 66-50 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 145-137 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 80-60 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 29-19 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
OSWALT is 33-8 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 (+1.4 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

YUSMEIRO PETIT vs. HOUSTON since 1997
PETIT is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

ROY OSWALT vs. ARIZONA since 1997
OSWALT is 8-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.15 and a WHIP of 1.070.
His team's record is 9-1 (+7.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-4. (+2.1 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (66 - 55) at COLORADO (68 - 53) - 9:10 PM
JONATHAN SANCHEZ (L) vs. AARON COOK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 131-107 (+18.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 115-100 (+30.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 61-43 (+24.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 68-53 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 68-53 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 169-150 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 66-55 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 701-592 (+84.3 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 48-42 (+5.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 33-22 (+11.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 66-55 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 50-66 (-22.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
COOK is 3-9 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COOK is 2-10 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-4 (+0.3 Units) against COLORADO this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

JONATHAN SANCHEZ vs. COLORADO since 1997
SANCHEZ is 1-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.30 and a WHIP of 1.730.
His team's record is 4-3 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)

AARON COOK vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
COOK is 7-8 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.620.
His team's record is 7-12 (-6.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-8. (+2.0 units)

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ST LOUIS (70 - 53) at SAN DIEGO (51 - 72) - 10:05 PM
KYLE LOHSE (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LOHSE is 0-7 (-7.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
LOHSE is 0-7 (-7.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
LOHSE is 2-11 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
RICHARD is 9-3 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 156-129 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 106-82 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 156-129 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 60-39 (+15.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 14-4 (+10.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN DIEGO is 114-170 (-50.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 82-123 (-35.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 74-112 (-32.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 26-45 (-16.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN DIEGO is 42-81 (-33.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 114-170 (-50.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

KYLE LOHSE vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
LOHSE is 1-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 6.18 and a WHIP of 1.555.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
RICHARD is 0-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 3.270.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (61 - 58) at LA DODGERS (72 - 50) - 10:10 PM
RANDY WELLS (R) vs. RANDY WOLF (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 26-30 (-8.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 25-32 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 61-58 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 26-36 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 157-202 (-63.9 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 6-15 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 61-58 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 28-36 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 72-50 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 72-50 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WOLF is 34-25 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WOLF is 21-7 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WOLF is 34-25 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WOLF is 19-4 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WOLF is 64-52 (+21.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 3-2 (+1.5 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

RANDY WELLS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
WELLS is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

RANDY WOLF vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WOLF is 4-7 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.45 and a WHIP of 1.418.
His team's record is 6-10 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.4 units)

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SEATTLE (62 - 59) at CLEVELAND (52 - 68) - 7:05 PM
LUKE FRENCH (L) vs. DAVID HUFF (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 245-230 (-74.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
SEATTLE is 15-40 (-21.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 80-113 (-31.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 27-18 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 35-24 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SEATTLE is 62-59 (+6.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 59-55 (+6.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 45-60 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 32-43 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 17-34 (-16.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 12-24 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 52-68 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 26-34 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-3 (+1.7 Units) against SEATTLE this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

LUKE FRENCH vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

DAVID HUFF vs. SEATTLE since 1997
HUFF is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (73 - 46) at TORONTO (55 - 64) - 7:07 PM
SEAN O'SULLIVAN (R) vs. MARC RZEPCZYNSKI (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 27-11 (+15.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 69-40 (+26.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 35-17 (+15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LA ANGELS are 23-10 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 73-46 (+25.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 37-24 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA ANGELS are 22-13 (+10.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 192-143 (+41.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 62-43 (+20.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 29-42 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 27-36 (-13.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TORONTO is 55-64 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 142-166 (-56.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

SEAN O'SULLIVAN vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

MARC RZEPCZYNSKI vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (76 - 45) at BOSTON (69 - 51) - 7:10 PM
ANDY PETTITTE (L) vs. BRAD PENNY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 4-15 (-14.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 154-94 (+28.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 69-32 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 96-46 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 18-4 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
PENNY is 51-24 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 4-12 (-9.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 8-4 (+4.4 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.3 Units)

ANDY PETTITTE vs. BOSTON since 1997
PETTITTE is 17-9 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.443.
His team's record is 20-11 (+8.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 15-15. (-0.5 units)

BRAD PENNY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PENNY is 3-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.31 and a WHIP of 1.543.
His team's record is 4-0 (+6.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (68 - 52) at TAMPA BAY (65 - 55) - 7:38 PM
DUSTIN NIPPERT (R) vs. SCOTT KAZMIR (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 13-30 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 66-36 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 111-57 (+36.1 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 120-77 (+33.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-15 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 55-22 (+28.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 170-128 (+25.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-8 (+23.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 102-47 (+37.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 32-13 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 103-50 (+34.5 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
KAZMIR is 21-6 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KAZMIR is 21-6 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KAZMIR is 21-6 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KAZMIR is 13-2 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 14-6 (+9.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
TEXAS is 51-38 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 38-28 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TEXAS is 37-33 (+7.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 16-9 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TEXAS is 68-52 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 66-70 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-0 (+3.7 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

DUSTIN NIPPERT vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
NIPPERT is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 15.75 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. TEXAS since 1997
KAZMIR is 4-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.06 and a WHIP of 1.083.
His team's record is 7-1 (+5.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-2. (+2.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (58 - 63) at KANSAS CITY (47 - 73) - 8:10 PM
NICK BLACKBURN (R) vs. LUKE HOCHEVAR (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 24-30 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MINNESOTA is 58-63 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 4-12 (-9.4 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
BLACKBURN is 8-24 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BLACKBURN is 2-10 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
BLACKBURN is 4-15 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 31-13 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 103-85 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 41-63 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 32-47 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 71-106 (-27.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 12-23 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
KANSAS CITY is 19-30 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
KANSAS CITY is 47-73 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 70-120 (-34.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 25-36 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 23-38 (-16.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 4-15 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
KANSAS CITY is 23-37 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 5-4 (+3.4 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

NICK BLACKBURN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
BLACKBURN is 1-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.91 and a WHIP of 1.435.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

LUKE HOCHEVAR vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
HOCHEVAR is 1-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.460.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (49 - 72) at CHI WHITE SOX (62 - 59) - 8:11 PM
JEREMY GUTHRIE (R) vs. GAVIN FLOYD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 83-152 (-47.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 21-55 (-25.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GUTHRIE is 4-14 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 41-33 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 61-37 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 81-54 (+21.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 62-59 (+2.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 90-56 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 58-49 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FLOYD is 36-22 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLOYD is 22-10 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLOYD is 23-6 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLOYD is 15-3 (+11.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLOYD is 33-19 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLOYD is 11-1 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-3 (+0.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
GUTHRIE is 1-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.65 and a WHIP of 1.430.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.6 units)

GAVIN FLOYD vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
FLOYD is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.643.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (64 - 56) at OAKLAND (53 - 67) - 10:05 PM
EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. GIO GONZALEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 86-96 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-19 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
DETROIT is 138-144 (-30.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 24-36 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 33-43 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 216-143 (+67.1 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
DETROIT is 62-48 (+5.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 25-45 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 3-12 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-2 (+1.7 Units) against OAKLAND this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. OAKLAND since 1997
JACKSON is 1-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
GONZALEZ is 0-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 14.84 and a WHIP of 2.399.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

 

[RipThe_book]

Anyone have BIG AL's ??

BIG AL's 100% PERFECT (10-0) THURSDAY NFL CRUSHER!: 2007 World Series of Sports Handicapping Champ Al McMordie has an AWESOME NFL Play on Thursday's Preseason card! It's out of a Super 100% Perfect System that hasn't lost since in 23 years, going 10-0 ATS! Get the 11th Straight Winner right

 

[RipThe_book]

Anyone have BIG AL's Mcmordie?? This guy is 100% PERFECT (10-0) THURSDAY NFL CRUSHER!:

 

[msmith2179]

Nick Parson
David Chan -Game of Month last GOM 2.5 months ago 7-0 Big Plays 2009
Has a play on the yanks vs Red Sox


I would like to see what this play is as well.

Good luck

 

[fmarting]

Does anyone have Freddy Wills POD?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Boston Red Sox +115

This is a big time revenge game for the Red Sox after getting swept in a 4-game series in New York from August 6th-9th. The Red Sox are still 8-4 against the Yankees this season and a perfect 6-0 at home and you can be rest assured they've had this one circled. This series is very important for the wild card race, but it also could go a long way in deciding if Boston can still challenge the Yanks for the A.L. East. Pettitte has been very good for the Yanks of late, but Boston is very familiar with him and has scorched lefty starters this season. The Red Sox are 8-4 in Penny's home starts this season and he is a perfect 4-0 against the money line versus the Yankees in his career with an ERA of 2.31. The Red Sox are worth a unit tonight in this extreme revenge spot at home as an underdog.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tommy Gill

Minnesota Vikings -2.5

The Vikings looked very impressive in their first win of the year holding Indy to 3 points in that game. The Vikings are very deep on defense and with KC losing at home by 6 to Houston they only could get 10 points in that game. Since the addition of Farve to the Vikings that makes them a very deep team at the QB position and overall better depth than KC. KC was down 13-0 at home in their first preseason game. Now I believe that the Vikings will have the depth that we need to win this game and cover the spread Friday Night.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

VEGAS EXPERTS


At first, we worried about playing Nick Blackburn on the road, but the Twins are a very strong 8-1 away from the Homer Dome since the start of last season when seeking revenge for a loss as a home favorite. They have won 13 of their last 21 games in this ballpark and the Royals really struggle vs. righties (4.1 runs per game). Furthermore, KC is 12-23 at home off a loss this season.

Play on: Minnesota

 

[BiggDogg5n2]

Jim Feist

MLB | Aug 21
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
+120 at SPBOOK > 15h.
Milwaukee comes to town and faces a surprisingly hot Washington pitcher. The Nationals are 4-1 in the last 5 starts made by 26-year old J.D. Martin, who has a 2.35 ERA his last three starts. He doesn't walk anyone, which is a huge plus in a big park like this. The Brewers may be favored with a 10-game winner on the hill, but Braden Looper has not thrown well, with a 5.03 ERA. The team is 1-4 in his last 5 starts. Play the Nationals

 

[BiggDogg5n2]

Dave Cokin

(923) TEXAS RANGERS
(924) TAMPA BAY RAYS
Take "(923) TEXAS RANGERS"

The Rangers continue to play terrific ball and I think they're a good value tonight at Tampa Bay. The Rays are tough at home, but Scott Kazmir has been extremely erratic and I trust Rangers righty Dustin Nippert more right now. This game sure looks like a tossup, which makes Texas a decent play just on the line value alone.

 

[BiggDogg5n2]

Big Al

(921) NEW YORK YANKEES
(922) BOSTON RED SOX
Take "Under"

At 7:10 pm our complimentary selection is on the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox 'under' the total. Yankee veteran lefthander Andy Pettitte is quietly having one of his best seasons in years, and if you took a poll amongst the Yankee players who was their "unsung hero" for 2009, they likely would tell you it's the 37-year-old southpaw, now in his third year back in pinstripes after having played his first ten Major League seasons in the Bronx before switching over to the NL. Pettitte has done everything the Yanks could have hoped for with a 9-6 record and 4.09 ERA and 13 quality starts and he would have quite a few more wins on the year if his teammates had given him better run support in many of his outings. It hasn't quite been the same kind of year for first-time Red Sox starter Brad Penny, but the veteran righthander has a funny way of showing up for big games like this one. For example, In two career starts against the Yankees, he is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA over 11 innings and he also pitches markedly better at home than he does on the road, posting a 5-2 record in 12 starts in Fenway so far. Pettitte last started against the Red Sox on Aug. 9 in New York and fired seven scoreless, five-hit innings but took a no-decision in New York's 5-2 win. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie

 

[BiggDogg5n2]

Gamblers Data

FRIDAY TWINS/ROYALS OVER 9.5