Friday 08/14/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

1. Overall, road teams own a 72-60-9 ATS (54.5%) record in the preseason’s first full week since 2000.


Projected plays for ’09 – Washington, New England, Arizona, Dallas, St. Louis, Minnesota, Cincinnati, Denver, Atlanta, Chicago, Tampa Bay, Houston, Cleveland, Seattle, Jacksonville, Miami, Carolina.

2. Road Underdogs of 4-points or more are 9-10 SU but 14-5 ATS (73.7%) in the first full week of the preseason since ’00.


Projected plays for ’09 – St. Louis

3. Over the last nine years, Road Underdogs of +1 to +3.5 points are 40-55 SU but 50-38-7 ATS (56.8%) in the upcoming week of the preseason.


Projected plays for ’09 - Washington, New England, Arizona, Dallas, St. Louis, Minnesota, Cincinnati, Denver, Atlanta, Chicago, Houston, Cleveland, Seattle, Jacksonville, Miami, Carolina.

4. Home Underdogs are 13-11 SU & 14-8-2 ATS (63.6%) in the preseason’s official Week 1 since 2000.


Projected plays for ’09 - None

5. When the line has moved toward the home team, the opposing road team owns a 25-16-1 ATS mark in the first week of the preseason since ’00.


Projected plays for ’09 – Dallas, New England, St. Louis, Chicago, Atlanta.

6. When the line has moved 2-points or more, the “betting public” owns a record of just 16-19 ATS (45.7%) in the first full week of the preseason since ’00. In other words, go against the money.


Projected plays for ’09 – Dallas, Atlanta.

7. Concerning totals, since 2000, in the first full week of the NFL’s exhibition season, UNDER’s own an edge of 81-59 (57.9%).


Projected plays for ’09 – ALL GAMES UNDER

8. In past games of the opening week of the preseason with totals set at 33.5 or less, the UNDER owns a record of 22-10 (68.8%).


Projected plays for ’09 – Play UNDER in Washington-Baltimore, St. Louis-NY Jets, Chicago-Buffalo, Jacksonville-Miami, and Carolina-NY Giants

9. In games with a total movement either way in the first full week of the preseason since ’00, the UNDER is 65-45 for 59.0%.


Projected plays for ’09 – Play UNDER in all games but Houston-Kansas City as of Wednesday afternoon.

10. Over the last nine years, when the total has moved 2-points or more prior to game time of any opening week preseason game, the UNDER is 13-10 (56.5%).

 

[motor87]

axiumsports

August 14th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$1,966.55

Pick #13- Germany – Bundesliga 2 Soccer
13)Bet 25.37 to win 24.87 on SC Paderborn 07/Karsruher SC OVER 2.5 -102

Pick #14-MLB
14a)Bet 25.69 to win 24.47 on LAA Angels/Baltimore UNDER 10 -105

14b)Bet 53.28 to win 50.74 on LAA Angels/Baltimore UNDER 10 -105

Pick #15-MLB-
15aa)Bet 26.00 to win 26.27 on NY Yankees/Seattle UNDER 8.5 +101
15ab)Bet 53.95 to win 54.49 on NY Yankees/Seattle UNDER 8.5 +101

15ba)Bet 25.70 to win 25.95 on NY Yankees/Seattle UNDER 8.5 +101
15bb)Bet 111.89 to win 234.96 on NY Yankees/Seattle UNDER 8.5 +101

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

(265) DENVER BRONCOS
(266) SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
Take "(266) SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS"

No coach had a worse off-season than Denver's new coach Josh McDaniels -- at age 33! He inherits a team that has been awful defensively the last few years. And while the offense had been very good, he ran Pro Bowl QB Jay Cutler out of town. So QBs Kyle Orton, Chris Simms and Tom Brandstater are learning the new offense, while the defense is switching to a 3-4. Since Denver has been so bad at stopping the run, it's hard to see how a 3-4 scheme will help (plus DE Jarvis Moss, the Denver Broncos' top draft pick in 2007, has been a bust and is learning to play outside linebacker. He missed 5 practices last week.) The team.5?s top three receivers are listed as Eddie Royal, Brandon Stokley and Jabar Gaffney. WR Brandon Marshall, the team.5?s top receiver the last two years, is on the second-team, listed behind Gaffney. San Francisco has a fairly deep/experienced preseason QB rotation of Shaun Hill, Alex Smith and Damon Huard (they also drafted mobile rookie QB Nate Davis from Ball State). Head coach Mike Singletary is a fiery guy and this is his first preseason, as he became head coach in the middle of last season. Through 16 practices over 10 days, both QBs Smith and Shaun Hill have been diligent at taking care of the ball and keeping interceptions to a minimum. Their competition for the starting job is a close one, too close for Singletary to call until later in the month. The only concern is the 49ers defense, which has battled injuries: Pro Bowl linebacker Patrick Willis sprained an ankle on the first day of practice missed last week; Outside linebacker Parys Haralson has a hip flexor injury; LB Jay Moore cut his middle finger. Having several starters out means some players are getting more reps than they normally would. Tony Wragge stepped in for LG David Baas and Ahmad Brooks is getting time at Haralson's outside linebacker spot on the weak side. Singletary said he "liked the energy" in practice, so it's likely they will be into playing in front of the home fans, especially against a Denver team that has a lot of holes and question marks. I like the fired up 49ers over the rebuilding Broncos.

 

[khouston66]

future bet ncaafb

bettingjesus

just posted bet Ohio State to win more than 9 1/2 games -130
he says they are getting a key player back, top punt returner in big ten.

 

[mp5070]

Winsportsnow

Right from their site:

Thursday August 13th 2009's Round Robin Parlay plays went 5-1 overall with a perfect 3-0 sweep in MLB and a profitable 2-1 outcome in football.
Thursday Parlay Plays Report
Tigers-120...WON!
Phillies-140...WON!
Under 9.5 Reds...WON!
Over 33 Patriots...WON!
Ravens-3...WON!
Cardinals+3...oops

:money8::money8::money8:

 

[mp5070]

Any money help would be great to get the picks!

Thanks

 

[mp5070]

Lady Luck: Friday's Best WNBA Bets

Connecticut Sun at Washington Mystics (-3.5, 155.5)

This game figures to have no shortage of offense.

The Sun have both the league’ fifth-best offense (77 ppg) and defense (73.9 ppg). But lately, the team has embraced scoring the basketball, as four of its past five games have gone over the total, including its past two.

Connecticut also is coming off a home game against Seattle on Thursday night, and figures to be more inclined to try to score, rather than dig in on defense.

Meantime, Washington has had no problem putting up points, as it also averages 77 points per game. The Mystics have seen seven of their past nine games top the number, with none going into overtime.

Pick: Over


Sacramento Monarchs at Los Angeles Sparks (-6, 139)

The Sparks likely won’t be a great team this year. But there is enough time left for them to become a good one, and that is just what they are playing like.

Los Angeles, which was bolstered by the recent return of Lisa Leslie from injury, has won three of its past five games, including a 59-56 win over the Monarchs in Sacramento earlier this month. The Sparks string of good play can be attributed to its improving offense.

The team is averaging a horrendous, 70.3 points per game, but has topped the 75-point mark in two of its past three games. The Monarchs, however, would love to see any kind of improvement. The team yields a staggering 79 points per game and has lost three of its past five.

Pick: Sparks

 

[mp5070]

Canadian Bacon: CFL Week 7 preview and picks

Friday, August 14

BC LIONS AT TORONTO ARGONAUTS (+3, 46.5)

No matter who starts at quarterback, if the offensive line doesn’t do the job, you won’t win a football game. Cody Pickett will try to ignite the Argos offence but how will he do that if he has no time to find his receivers and throw the ball? And how is he to perform miracles when his head coach, Bart Andrus, seems way over his head when play calling three-down football? Calling a sweep on the weak side on a third and short situation last week in Montreal comes to mind. It’s even worse when the entire team gives yardage by the ton through terrible penalties. The B.C. Lions have had their fair share of problems and a QB controversy of their own. But they are a much better team than the Argonauts at this point and should win this one.

Pick: B.C. -3

 

[young1jesus]

Any1 have this:

Larry Ness' 20* PERFECT STORM (2-0 NFLX start in '09)

 

[bigmoney247]

Mr Weed (57-31 YTD, 2-2 +24 units yesterday)

40 Unit Pound - Angels ML -140

30 Unit Ounce - Yankees ML -145

25 Unit Quarter - Tigers -115 (Washburn must start)

10 Unit Dimebag - White Sox +145


Favorites are to win amount of units and underdogs are risking amount of units..

Good luck and Smoke up!!
-MR WEED

 

[mark3]

COVERS PLAYS
2-0
BURNS 9 STAR
MILLER GROUP 9 STAR
WHITE SOX VS OAKLAND

NFL
3-1
NESS
NOVER
PARSON up against LAWERENCE DENVER VS SAN FRAN 49ERS

3-1
SEVERASKYT
MILLER GROUP
BURNS up against DOC SPORTS BENGALS VS SAINTS

AlL ARE CONSENSUS PLAYS..WILL PURCHASE IF OTHERS CAPPERS HAVE NOT ALREADY
HOPE THESE HELP
THANKS GOOD LUCK

ness always plays the favorites i'm assuming those 3 are on the 49ers

 

[Frank23]

Mr Weed (57-31 YTD, 2-2 +24 units yesterday)

40 Unit Pound - Angels ML -140

30 Unit Ounce - Yankees ML -145

25 Unit Quarter - Tigers -115 (Washburn must start)

10 Unit Dimebag - White Sox +145


Favorites are to win amount of units and underdogs are risking amount of units..

Good luck and Smoke up!!
-MR WEED

Why is this in the Service Plays thread? When they are not a service.. Get this shit outta here and to the Baseball forum where it belongs. Is that record monitored somewhere? Or are you just telling us thats what it is?

 

[CHIVO]

Valentino released a play in boston-texas game.

 

[RipThe_book]

Anyone have Allen Eastman?
He has a 5-Unit Game of the Week play

 

[CHIVO]

Any Valentino?

 

[steelers7]

I picked up Fazzini. Can someone pick up Demarco or Valentino???

 

[ace911]

Bob Valentino?

 

[steelers7]

Al DeMarco Friday's Play 5 Dime - Florida (Johnson) - 1 1/2 Runs over Colorado (Hammel)

Tim Lincecum deservingly gets the notoriety, but don't overlook the season Josh Johnson has put together pitching in near anonymity in Florida. An 11-2 record, a 2.92 ERA, and 129 strikeouts is just a start. He's 4-0 with a 3.31 ERA in his last five starts, and at home he's been virtually unbeatable of late, as the Marlins have won each of his last six outings at Land Shark Stadium, a stretch in which the righthander has personally gone 3-0 with a 3.08 ERA.

Johnson is 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in two starts against tonight's opponent, Colorado, including a May 9 victory in which he allowed one run in eight innings.

The Rockies arrive in South Florida on their own hot streak, having won five of six, and their pitcher, Jason Hammel, seeks his third straight victory. However, looks can be deceiving as Hammel allowed 20 hits and six runs over 11.2 innings in winning his last two starts. And prior to that, the righthander was 0-3 with a 5.76 ERA in his previous six outings.

Florida returned home from a three-game road sweep of division-leading Philadelphia and promptly took three of four from visiting Houston. The Marlins have been hot at the plate with at least 10 hits in 10 consecutive games, and they've scored six or more runs in their last six contests, a stretch in which they've gone 5-1 overall while averaging 8.3 runs.

Throw out a three-game sweep at the hands of the visiting Phillies in mid-July, and this Florida team has otherwise won 17 of 21 at home. With its offense in high gear, and a decided advantage in the pitching department with Johnson, laying the 1 1/2 runs makes the Marlins a plus-money proposition tonight.

Thanks Warchant!

 

[marfa5]

Bob Valentino?

Will pick up Valentino; won't be long.

 

[ace911]

Bob Valentino
FRIDAY'S 25 DIME MLB WINNER ...
25 DIME -- Red Sox-Rangers UNDER the total (with Lester and Millwood as the starting pitchers).

NOTE #1: This is a play on the TOTAL in this game, and we're playing it UNDER the posted number, which should be no lower than 8 1/2 runs (though there are sitll some 9-run totals out there and I encourage you to take advantage of those if at all possible!

NOTE #2: Both John Lester (Boston) and Kevin Millwood (Texas) must start this game or this will be a "no play"

NOTE #3: As always, be sure to shop around and get the best of the number! Never lay more on a favorite than you have to or take back less than you can on an underdog!

Paid & confirmed by me.
GL!

Thank you very much!