mo, thank you once again......
I have to say i've been flowing your plays for a few years now..your always on point with your home town teams selections...
I sold my phillies tix last year for game #3 here 2500 a tix...i still cant believe someone bought them...
I may have bought a tix for $800
good luck tonite
(<)<
Dunkel Index
Washington at Tampa Bay
The Rays open up the interleague series looking to build on their 7-2 record in Matt Garza's last 9 home starts with the total set between 9 and 10 1/2. Tampa Bay is the pick (-230) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-230).
Game 951-952: Houston at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Hampton) 14.661; Arizona (Haren) 14.169
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-185); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+175); Over
Game 953-954: Minnesota at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Slowey) 15.338; Cubs (Wells) 16.140
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-155); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-155); N/A
Game 955-956: Boston at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 15.993; Philadelphia (Blanton) 17.049
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+110); Over
Game 957-958: Detroit at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 14.720; Pittsburgh (Snell) 15.865
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+125); Under
Game 959-960: St. Louis at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Pineiro) 14.924; Cleveland (Huff) 16.237
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+110); Over
Game 961-962: Florida at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 14.923; Toronto (Halladay) 16.634
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-275); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-275); Under
Game 963-964: NY Mets at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hernandez) 15.660; NY Yankees (Chamberlain) 15.143
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-210); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+190); Over
Game 965-966: Atlanta at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hanson) 15.206; Baltimore (Berken) 14.014
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 10
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-115); Under
Game 967-968: Washington at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Stammen) 13.867; Tampa Bay (Garza) 16.404
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-230); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-230); Over
Game 969-970: Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Richard) 15.783; Milwaukee (Suppan) 14.627
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+130); Under
Game 971-972: LA Dodgers at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 14.945; Texas (Padilla) 16.108
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+115); Under
Game 973-974: Cincinnati at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Maloney) 13.786; Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.923
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-110); Over
Game 975-976: Seattle at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Washburn) 16.767; Colorado (Jimenez) 15.674
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+145); Over
Game 977-978: San Diego at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Gaudin) 13.875; LA Angels (Palmer) 15.316
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 979-980: Oakland at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Mazzaro) 14.794; San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.337
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-150); Over
Washington at Tampa Bay
The Rays open up the interleague series looking to build on their 7-2 record in Matt Garza's last 9 home starts with the total set between 9 and 10 1/2. Tampa Bay is the pick (-230) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-230).
Game 951-952: Houston at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Hampton) 14.661; Arizona (Haren) 14.169
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-185); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+175); Over
Game 953-954: Minnesota at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Slowey) 15.338; Cubs (Wells) 16.140
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-155); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-155); N/A
Game 955-956: Boston at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 15.993; Philadelphia (Blanton) 17.049
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+110); Over
Game 957-958: Detroit at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 14.720; Pittsburgh (Snell) 15.865
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+125); Under
Game 959-960: St. Louis at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Pineiro) 14.924; Cleveland (Huff) 16.237
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+110); Over
Game 961-962: Florida at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 14.923; Toronto (Halladay) 16.634
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-275); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-275); Under
Game 963-964: NY Mets at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hernandez) 15.660; NY Yankees (Chamberlain) 15.143
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-210); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+190); Over
Game 965-966: Atlanta at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hanson) 15.206; Baltimore (Berken) 14.014
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 10
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-115); Under
Game 967-968: Washington at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Stammen) 13.867; Tampa Bay (Garza) 16.404
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-230); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-230); Over
Game 969-970: Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Richard) 15.783; Milwaukee (Suppan) 14.627
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+130); Under
Game 971-972: LA Dodgers at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 14.945; Texas (Padilla) 16.108
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+115); Under
Game 973-974: Cincinnati at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Maloney) 13.786; Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.923
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-110); Over
Game 975-976: Seattle at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Washburn) 16.767; Colorado (Jimenez) 15.674
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+145); Over
Game 977-978: San Diego at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Gaudin) 13.875; LA Angels (Palmer) 15.316
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 979-980: Oakland at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Mazzaro) 14.794; San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.337
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-150); Over
BIG AL
Washington Nationals at Tampa Bay Rays
At 7:35pm our member selection is on the Washington Nationals and Tampa Bay Rays 'over' the total. Most visiting teams don't have to travel to far for this weekend inter-league series as the majority of the games feature two teams from neighboring states or metropolitan areas. Not so for the members of the Nationals, who have to travel south some 1000 miles or so to visit Tropicana Field which is unfortunately for them home of one of the most potent offenses in the American League. It almost doesn't seem fair to the over-matched Nats pitching staff and their young rookie righthander Craig Stammen. Stammen is being introduced to inter-league play in only his fifth ever Major League start and his soft-throwing style could produce some fireworks tonight in the indoor environs down in Central Florida. Not helping matters is the fact that when tonight's Tampa Bay starter, Matt Garza, takes the mound at home, the Rays usually light up the scoreboard for him. In Garza's last five home starts, his team scored a total of 31 runs, or an average of better than six runs per game.
Play on: OVER
Washington Nationals at Tampa Bay Rays
At 7:35pm our member selection is on the Washington Nationals and Tampa Bay Rays 'over' the total. Most visiting teams don't have to travel to far for this weekend inter-league series as the majority of the games feature two teams from neighboring states or metropolitan areas. Not so for the members of the Nationals, who have to travel south some 1000 miles or so to visit Tropicana Field which is unfortunately for them home of one of the most potent offenses in the American League. It almost doesn't seem fair to the over-matched Nats pitching staff and their young rookie righthander Craig Stammen. Stammen is being introduced to inter-league play in only his fifth ever Major League start and his soft-throwing style could produce some fireworks tonight in the indoor environs down in Central Florida. Not helping matters is the fact that when tonight's Tampa Bay starter, Matt Garza, takes the mound at home, the Rays usually light up the scoreboard for him. In Garza's last five home starts, his team scored a total of 31 runs, or an average of better than six runs per game.
Play on: OVER
Frank Jordan
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Detroit Red Wings
Play: Pittsburgh Penguins
This series has been all about who ever has been home has won so most think it will be the Red Wings that will win since game 7 is in Detroit. However I am going with Pittsburgh to get their revenge on Detroit who won last year in Pittsburgh. Look for Pittsburgh who looked good in their game 6 2-1 win at home to play tough on defense and get an early goal or two to allow them to play more aggressive leading to their 3-2 win and championship. Play Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Detroit Red Wings
Play: Pittsburgh Penguins
This series has been all about who ever has been home has won so most think it will be the Red Wings that will win since game 7 is in Detroit. However I am going with Pittsburgh to get their revenge on Detroit who won last year in Pittsburgh. Look for Pittsburgh who looked good in their game 6 2-1 win at home to play tough on defense and get an early goal or two to allow them to play more aggressive leading to their 3-2 win and championship. Play Pittsburgh
Cajun Sports
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Play: Detroit Tigers
Interleague play returns this weekend in MLB stadiums all around the country. Tonight we are interested in the game at PNC Park between the host Pittsburgh Pirates and the visiting American League Central leading Detroit Tigers. Pittsburgh is coming off a 3 to 1 win in Atlanta on Thursday to get a split in the series at two games apiece. Pittsburgh’s Andy LaRoche delivered the big hit in the top of the ninth with a two-out two-run single to secure the win and split the four-game series versus the Atlanta Braves. For Detroit they also had a big hit in the ninth on Thursday by Curtis Granderson who hit a tying two-run homerun with two outs in the top of the ninth versus the White Sox. The downside to this is Joel Zumaya of the Tigers gave up a game winning RBI single in the bottom of the ninth as the Tigers lose 4 to 3. Good news for the boys from the Motor City is they will be facing the worst team in interleague play with the Pirates posting a record of 64-105 W/L against the American League during the regular season. Their inability to defeat AL teams has already surfaced this season as they lost two of three to the White Sox last month during the first round of interleague action. Pittsburgh has won six of ten games this month but the AL Central leading Tigers loss on Thursday was only their second in their last seven times to post. The Pirates will send Ian Snell to the bump with his 1-6 W/L record and ERA of 5.54 on the season. Since his lone win Snell has gone 0-4 W/L with an ERA of 6.00 over his last nine trips to the bump with the Pirates only managing to win just two of those games. Snell is 0-2 W/L with an ERA of 10.29 in his last three trips to the hill during interleague play. Detroit will send rookie right-hander Rick Porcello to the mound with his 6-4 W/L record and ERA of 3.98. Porcello was lights out in May winning all five trips to the bump with an ERA of 1.50 but he is 0-1 W/L in his two starts this month. In his last outing he was not involved in the decision although the Tigers got the win over the Angels 9 to 6 as Porcello allowed four runs and five hits over five innings of work. Our Pitcher Efficiency Ratings Index projects a quality start from him in tonight’s meeting versus the Pirates. We also note that our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index is projecting a win by the Tigers by 1.7 runs and the Math Model is also on the side of the visitors so we will lay the short price as the Tigers bounce back from their loss on Thursday and continue the AL dominance over the Pirates in interleague play.
Graded Selection: 2* Detroit Tigers 6 Pittsburgh Pirates 4
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Play: Detroit Tigers
Interleague play returns this weekend in MLB stadiums all around the country. Tonight we are interested in the game at PNC Park between the host Pittsburgh Pirates and the visiting American League Central leading Detroit Tigers. Pittsburgh is coming off a 3 to 1 win in Atlanta on Thursday to get a split in the series at two games apiece. Pittsburgh’s Andy LaRoche delivered the big hit in the top of the ninth with a two-out two-run single to secure the win and split the four-game series versus the Atlanta Braves. For Detroit they also had a big hit in the ninth on Thursday by Curtis Granderson who hit a tying two-run homerun with two outs in the top of the ninth versus the White Sox. The downside to this is Joel Zumaya of the Tigers gave up a game winning RBI single in the bottom of the ninth as the Tigers lose 4 to 3. Good news for the boys from the Motor City is they will be facing the worst team in interleague play with the Pirates posting a record of 64-105 W/L against the American League during the regular season. Their inability to defeat AL teams has already surfaced this season as they lost two of three to the White Sox last month during the first round of interleague action. Pittsburgh has won six of ten games this month but the AL Central leading Tigers loss on Thursday was only their second in their last seven times to post. The Pirates will send Ian Snell to the bump with his 1-6 W/L record and ERA of 5.54 on the season. Since his lone win Snell has gone 0-4 W/L with an ERA of 6.00 over his last nine trips to the bump with the Pirates only managing to win just two of those games. Snell is 0-2 W/L with an ERA of 10.29 in his last three trips to the hill during interleague play. Detroit will send rookie right-hander Rick Porcello to the mound with his 6-4 W/L record and ERA of 3.98. Porcello was lights out in May winning all five trips to the bump with an ERA of 1.50 but he is 0-1 W/L in his two starts this month. In his last outing he was not involved in the decision although the Tigers got the win over the Angels 9 to 6 as Porcello allowed four runs and five hits over five innings of work. Our Pitcher Efficiency Ratings Index projects a quality start from him in tonight’s meeting versus the Pirates. We also note that our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index is projecting a win by the Tigers by 1.7 runs and the Math Model is also on the side of the visitors so we will lay the short price as the Tigers bounce back from their loss on Thursday and continue the AL dominance over the Pirates in interleague play.
Graded Selection: 2* Detroit Tigers 6 Pittsburgh Pirates 4
Craig Trapp
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Play: Detroit Tigers
Records
Detroit Tigers 33-27, 16-16 away (Porcello 6-4, 3.98 ERA)
Pittsburgh Pirates 28-32, 15-11 home (Snell 1-6, 5.54 ERA)
Betting Trends
-Tigers are 27-6 in their last 33 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
-Tigers are 6-1 in Porcellos last 7 starts.
-Pirates are 3-12 in Snells last 15 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
-Pirates are 7-19 in their last 26 vs. American League Central.
Pittsburgh is absolutely outmatched at every position including manager and front office. If that was not enough PIT is the worst team in interleague play since it started at a very poor 64-105!! On the mound for PIT is Snell who has gone 0-4 with a 6.00 ERA in his last nine starts. Even worse Snell is 0-2 with a 10.29 ERA in his last three interleague starts. In his only appearance against the Tigers on July 2, 2006, Snell gave up four runs and seven hits in five innings of a 9-8 loss. On the other side Detroit counters with rookie Rick Porcello (6-4, 3.98), who looks to break out of his little funk. Lucky for him PIT is very average at the plate and he has dominating nasty stuff. This one will not be close. SCORE: DET 6 - PIT 2
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Play: Detroit Tigers
Records
Detroit Tigers 33-27, 16-16 away (Porcello 6-4, 3.98 ERA)
Pittsburgh Pirates 28-32, 15-11 home (Snell 1-6, 5.54 ERA)
Betting Trends
-Tigers are 27-6 in their last 33 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
-Tigers are 6-1 in Porcellos last 7 starts.
-Pirates are 3-12 in Snells last 15 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
-Pirates are 7-19 in their last 26 vs. American League Central.
Pittsburgh is absolutely outmatched at every position including manager and front office. If that was not enough PIT is the worst team in interleague play since it started at a very poor 64-105!! On the mound for PIT is Snell who has gone 0-4 with a 6.00 ERA in his last nine starts. Even worse Snell is 0-2 with a 10.29 ERA in his last three interleague starts. In his only appearance against the Tigers on July 2, 2006, Snell gave up four runs and seven hits in five innings of a 9-8 loss. On the other side Detroit counters with rookie Rick Porcello (6-4, 3.98), who looks to break out of his little funk. Lucky for him PIT is very average at the plate and he has dominating nasty stuff. This one will not be close. SCORE: DET 6 - PIT 2
Alex Smart
Detroit Red Wings -180
This series has been dominated by the home team which is a perfect 6-0 so far. Pittsburgh face a formiddable task on Friday inside the Joe Louis Arena. In the history of the Stanley Cup, only 14 series have managed to go to the seventh game and the home team has been succesful a dozen times. More recently the home team in game seven of the Stanley Cup Finals are 11-1 with the only road success coming in 1971 when Montreal pulled off the upset against Chicago. Since 1987, home teams are a perfect 6-0.
Just to further highlight how important home ice (court) is in game 7's, home teams are 18-0 in the Stanley Cup finals, MLB World Series and NBA finals since 1980.
Pittsburgh and in particular Marc-Andre Fleury have found the going tough in Detroit. Fleury has allowed 17 goals in four games this season and has commented on more than one occassion about the much livelier boards which have assisted Red Wings goals on four occassions.
Detroit themselves are trying to become the thirty-seventh team since the 1892-93 season to win back-to-back championships and given how dominant home ice has proved in this series and the power of home teams in game seven, Detroit is the call.
Big Chalk here with Detroit Red Wings but rightly so. Laying this much lumber is not my cup of tea, but for those of you looking for some entertainment on a two team parlay card ,adding this one to the mix makes for a solid wagering situation. If your betting on this tilt SU, make sure to make a minimal wager becasue of the obvious lack of value.
Red Wings to win game 7
Detroit Red Wings -180
This series has been dominated by the home team which is a perfect 6-0 so far. Pittsburgh face a formiddable task on Friday inside the Joe Louis Arena. In the history of the Stanley Cup, only 14 series have managed to go to the seventh game and the home team has been succesful a dozen times. More recently the home team in game seven of the Stanley Cup Finals are 11-1 with the only road success coming in 1971 when Montreal pulled off the upset against Chicago. Since 1987, home teams are a perfect 6-0.
Just to further highlight how important home ice (court) is in game 7's, home teams are 18-0 in the Stanley Cup finals, MLB World Series and NBA finals since 1980.
Pittsburgh and in particular Marc-Andre Fleury have found the going tough in Detroit. Fleury has allowed 17 goals in four games this season and has commented on more than one occassion about the much livelier boards which have assisted Red Wings goals on four occassions.
Detroit themselves are trying to become the thirty-seventh team since the 1892-93 season to win back-to-back championships and given how dominant home ice has proved in this series and the power of home teams in game seven, Detroit is the call.
Big Chalk here with Detroit Red Wings but rightly so. Laying this much lumber is not my cup of tea, but for those of you looking for some entertainment on a two team parlay card ,adding this one to the mix makes for a solid wagering situation. If your betting on this tilt SU, make sure to make a minimal wager becasue of the obvious lack of value.
Red Wings to win game 7
