Friday 06/05/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Jeff Benton Bonus Play

For Friday’s Bonus Play on the diamond, we’ll the Cardinals on the run-line (-1½ runs) against Colorado.

The Rockies avoided getting swept at Houston on Thursday with an easy 10-3 victory. However, they’re still just 3-7 in their last 10 games, and since starting the season 3-1, they’ve won consecutive games just four times all year (and never more than two in a row). What’s more, 15 of the team’s last 17 defeats have been of multiple-run variety.

Tonight, Colorado runs up against the Cardinals (31-23 overall, 19-11 at home) and #2 starter Adam Wainwright, who has been rock solid pretty much all season. Prior to suffering a 5-3 loss at San Francisco in his last start Sunday, Wainwright had surrendered exactly one run in each of his previous three outings, giving up a total of 12 hits in 23 2/3 innings (1.14 ERA).

Despite the loss in San Francisco on Sunday, the Cardinals are still 7-3 in Wainwright’s last 10 trips to the mound, and they covered the run line in five of those victories. On the other hand, there’s Rockies starter Jorge De La Rosa, who is 0-6 with a 5.43 ERA in 10 starts this season, eight of which Colorado has lost. Even worse, in his last three trips to the mound, De La Rosa is 0-3 with a 13.50 ERA (18 runs allowed in 12 innings), with the Rockies losing to the Braves, Dodgers and Padres by a combined tally of 33-12.

Finally, Wainwright has faced the Rockies six times in his career (two starts), going 2-0 with a 0.52 ERA in 17 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, De La Rosa is 2-2 with a 6.20 ERA in 10 games (four starts) versus the Cards, and he hasn’t gotten out of the sixth inning in any of the four starts (with Colorado losing three of those by scores of 7-4, 9-4 and 10-6).

Throw in the fact that the Rockies, who played at Houston last night then caught a red-eye flight to St. Louis, are 7-15 in their last 22 games against the Cardinals (2-9 last 11 at St. Louis), and this is a perfect situation for blowout win by the home team. Lay the 1½ runs.
3? ST. LOUIS (-1 1/2 RUNS)
 
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Bobby Maxwell Bonus Play

Today we're handing out and FREE winner on the Diamondbacks as they invade Petco Park in San Diego to take on the Padres.

San Diego is just way too inconsistent to back tonight as this team can look great for a two-week period and then go through two weeks where they look like they don't belong in professional baseball. Tonight we're going to play the D'Backs.

The Padres have the very inconsistent Chad Gaudin (2-3, 4.76 ERA) on the mound tonight. Two starts ago he got knocked around by the DBacks, giving up five hits, five walks and seven runs over 5.1 innings. Then in Colorado six days later he allowed just two runs in 6.1 innings of a 5-2 win. But if he gives up anything more than three runs tonight, his offense isn't going to bail him out.

The San Diego offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game, worst in the National League, and their pitching staff has a 4.69 ERA. The Padres have won just once in their last six games and got swept at home by the Phillies, losing Wednesday's season finale 5-1.

Doug Davis (2-6, 3.65 ERA) will be on the hill for Arizona and he faced the Padres back on May 25 and gave up two earned runs on five hits in 7.1 innings. He was solid on Saturday against the Braves when he gave up two runs in seven innings and struck out six. This veteran hurler has dominated the Padres lately, going 5-1 with a 2.40 ERA in his last seven outings.

We'll play the DBacks tonight to get Davis enough support to get the win. Play Arizona.
3? ARIZONA
 
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Cajun Sports

MLB 2* Complimentary Selection- Friday
Date/Time: Friday June 5 / 8:10PM EST
Sport/Type: MLB / Side
Game: Cleveland Indians @ Chicago White Sox

Graded Selection: 2* Cleveland Indians +125 Analysis:

We head to the south side of the Second City for a three-game set between the host Chicago White Sox and the visiting Cleveland Indians. Game One of the series is set for Friday night at US Cellular Field with the first pitch scheduled for 8:10PM Eastern Time. The White Sox enter off a loss to the A’s on Thursday 7 to 0 which was their second shut-out loss in their last three games. The Sox lead the majors in that department having been shut-out eight times already this season. Chicago has struggled at the plate when playing at home batting a mere .220 as a team at US Cellular this year. The White Sox will send left-hander John Danks to the bump with his 4-3 W/L record and ERA of 4.80. Over his last seven trips to the bump he has pitched six of fewer innings and that is not a good sign for him since he is 1-4 W/L versus the Tribe with an ERA of 5.31 in eight career starts. The Sox only manage to plate 3.5 runs per game at home and their bullpen has an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.431 when taking the hill at US Cellular this season. The Indians will send right-hander Carl Pavano to the hill with his 5-4 W/L record and ERA of 5.29 on the season. Pavano faced the Sox for the first time since 2004 back on May 11 and managed to get the win 9 to 4 allowing four runs on ten hits. Pavano started the 2009 campaign by going 0-3 W/L with an ERA of 9.50 during the month of April but he rebounded in May posting a record of 5-1 W/L with an ERA of 3.60 and looks to build upon those solid performances with a win here tonight. The Tribe has won six of Carl’s last seven trips to the bump. Pavano is 50-32 W/L (+19.8) against division opponents since 1997, 4-0 W/L following a quality start in his last start, 5-1 W/L last 6 when he is installed as an underdog and the Indians are 4-1 W/L their last five when facing a team with a losing record. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects an Indians win by 0.89 runs over the Sox in tonight’s contest. The Math Model and Pitcher Performance Efficiency Index also project a Tribe win over the boys from the south side so we are backing the visitor as they surprise the Sox and get the game one win at US Cellular Field on Friday night.

Graded Selection: 2* Cleveland Indians 5 Chicago White Sox 4
 

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