Through 40 Weeks:
Outrights YTD: 46-552 (+34.72*)
Matchups YTD: 27-31 (-6.30*)
- - After Matthew Southgate(175/1) let it slip away with a two stroke lead and five holes to play at the Dunhill Links, I was not feeling good when Na made a triple bogey on #10 in Vegas to squander a three stroke lead. I'm really glad Na found a way to close the deal, as 12/1 on Cantlay would not have offered much consolation.
Italian Open:
Outrights:
Matthew Fitzpatrick(22/1) e.w.
Adri Arnaus(50/1) e.w.
Francesco Molinari(16/1) e.w.
Matt Wallace(25/1) e.w.
Christian Bezuidenhout(55/1) e.w.
Danny Willett(25/1) e.w.
Robert Rock(200/1) e.w.
Andrew Johnston(80/1) e.w.
Andrea Pavan(30/1) e.w.
Joost Luiten(50/1) e.w.
Martin Kaymer(66/1) e.w.
Ashley Chesters(150/1) e.w.
GL
Outrights YTD: 46-552 (+34.72*)
Matchups YTD: 27-31 (-6.30*)
- - After Matthew Southgate(175/1) let it slip away with a two stroke lead and five holes to play at the Dunhill Links, I was not feeling good when Na made a triple bogey on #10 in Vegas to squander a three stroke lead. I'm really glad Na found a way to close the deal, as 12/1 on Cantlay would not have offered much consolation.
Italian Open:
Outrights:
Matthew Fitzpatrick(22/1) e.w.
Adri Arnaus(50/1) e.w.
Francesco Molinari(16/1) e.w.
Matt Wallace(25/1) e.w.
Christian Bezuidenhout(55/1) e.w.
Danny Willett(25/1) e.w.
Robert Rock(200/1) e.w.
Andrew Johnston(80/1) e.w.
Andrea Pavan(30/1) e.w.
Joost Luiten(50/1) e.w.
Martin Kaymer(66/1) e.w.
Ashley Chesters(150/1) e.w.
GL
Through 41 Weeks:
Outrights YTD: 51-571 (+60.60*)
Matchups YTD: 27-31 (-6.30*)
I was feeling gypped when Fitzpatrick came one stroke short of a playoff after featuring all week long, then it turns out that miss kept me from a sweep of all 3 events.
Amazingly, my tracking of last week’s winner, Lanto Griffin, pretty much coincided with me watching a great Family Guy episode about a month ago in which Peter Griffin played a character named Lando Griffin.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aX6724Reb4k
GL
Outrights YTD: 51-571 (+60.60*)
Matchups YTD: 27-31 (-6.30*)
I was feeling gypped when Fitzpatrick came one stroke short of a playoff after featuring all week long, then it turns out that miss kept me from a sweep of all 3 events.
Amazingly, my tracking of last week’s winner, Lanto Griffin, pretty much coincided with me watching a great Family Guy episode about a month ago in which Peter Griffin played a character named Lando Griffin.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aX6724Reb4k
GL
French Open:
Outrights:
Matthias Schwab(16/1) e.w.
Jordan Smith(22/1) e.w.
Jeunghun Wang(70/1) e.w.
Erik van Rooyen(12/1) e.w.
Sam Horsfield(40/1) e.w.
Matthew Southgate(40/1) e.w.
Stewart Cink(50/1) e.w.
Jamie Donaldson(80/1) e.w.
Ashley Chesters(90/1) e.w.
Callum Shinkwin(60/1) e.w.
Trevor Immelman(400/1) e.w.
- - In a classic event at a classic venue, I'm struggling to find plays I feel like embracing. :think2:
GL
Outrights:
Matthias Schwab(16/1) e.w.
Jordan Smith(22/1) e.w.
Jeunghun Wang(70/1) e.w.
Erik van Rooyen(12/1) e.w.
Sam Horsfield(40/1) e.w.
Matthew Southgate(40/1) e.w.
Stewart Cink(50/1) e.w.
Jamie Donaldson(80/1) e.w.
Ashley Chesters(90/1) e.w.
Callum Shinkwin(60/1) e.w.
Trevor Immelman(400/1) e.w.
- - In a classic event at a classic venue, I'm struggling to find plays I feel like embracing. :think2:
GL
Through 42 Weeks:
Outrights YTD: 52-596 (+66.35*)
Matchups YTD: 27-31 (-6.30*)
I was disappointed when Aphibarnrat(150/1) in Korea, and Donaldson(80/1) in France fell away on Sunday (and others such as An and Hatton couldn’t quite muster some sort of big finish), but was very, very pleased at the end of the week when Tommy Tolles(250/1) played beautifully and closed strong for a righteous Monday finish . . . Lots of unforced plays for lots of weeks have been giving me lots of ongoing interest, so I’ll keep on with what I’ve been doing until I stop grinding so hard, or until I go cold.
GL
Outrights YTD: 52-596 (+66.35*)
Matchups YTD: 27-31 (-6.30*)
I was disappointed when Aphibarnrat(150/1) in Korea, and Donaldson(80/1) in France fell away on Sunday (and others such as An and Hatton couldn’t quite muster some sort of big finish), but was very, very pleased at the end of the week when Tommy Tolles(250/1) played beautifully and closed strong for a righteous Monday finish . . . Lots of unforced plays for lots of weeks have been giving me lots of ongoing interest, so I’ll keep on with what I’ve been doing until I stop grinding so hard, or until I go cold.
GL
Zozo Championship:
Outrights:
Gary Woodland(28/1) e.w.
- - It took only limited viewing last week before I was certain I would be on board with Woodland the next two weeks, and the conviction only grew upon further viewing. I knew the HSBC venue would be a good fit, but was thinking the Zozo venue might not; then I saw some of the Skins Challenge, and the fit looks absolutely fine.
Matthew Fitzpatrick(33/1) e.w.
- - Overdue, while carrying my cash, and when not carrying. But that Skins Challenge viewing has me not liking the fit so much, with the soft conditions and par 4 mix.
Tony Finau(28/1) e.w.
- - Travels well, and sure seems overdue, without the close calls of Fitzpatrick.
Satoshi Kodaira(400/1) e.w.
- - A better spot than last time I played him.
Chan Kim(150/1) e.w.
- - Was very much a play for me based on his nice form and just a nice angle, now hoping to cheer him on with that “Korean Yank” moniker bestowed by Baggers.
Xander Schauffele(22/1) e.w.
- - Has all the credentials to pop this week.
Billy Horschel(50/1) e.w.
- - I've liked his process and his game for the whole back end of the 2018 season, will see how he likes it here.
Adam Hadwin(50/1) e.w.
- - Ticks a lot of boxes in many models.
Kevin Kisner(66/1) e.w.
- - In the Skins Challenge I saw nothing linksy, nothing Harbour Townish (rather the opposite, I thought), nothing fiery, or the like, which has me killing a planned play on Graeme McDowell, and possible plays on Chez Reavie and even Vaughn Taylor, and instead has me looking more at plays on the likes of Kisner, Adam Scott, Louis Oosthuizen, and Shane Lowry.
Ryo Ishikawa(150/1) e.w.
- - A sponsor’s exemption is the best thing I like about his longshot chances, while some good stats don’t hurt.
Rory McIlroy(8/1) e.w.
- - Not actively looking for a saver, and even though Justin Thomas has been my consistent “go to” play since Scotland, it comes down to an impression of liking how comfortable Rory looked to my eye while thrust onto center stage on this track.
Corey Conners(55/1) e.w.
- - What the heck, one more that ticks angles and boxes.
GL
Outrights:
Gary Woodland(28/1) e.w.
- - It took only limited viewing last week before I was certain I would be on board with Woodland the next two weeks, and the conviction only grew upon further viewing. I knew the HSBC venue would be a good fit, but was thinking the Zozo venue might not; then I saw some of the Skins Challenge, and the fit looks absolutely fine.
Matthew Fitzpatrick(33/1) e.w.
- - Overdue, while carrying my cash, and when not carrying. But that Skins Challenge viewing has me not liking the fit so much, with the soft conditions and par 4 mix.
Tony Finau(28/1) e.w.
- - Travels well, and sure seems overdue, without the close calls of Fitzpatrick.
Satoshi Kodaira(400/1) e.w.
- - A better spot than last time I played him.
Chan Kim(150/1) e.w.
- - Was very much a play for me based on his nice form and just a nice angle, now hoping to cheer him on with that “Korean Yank” moniker bestowed by Baggers.
Xander Schauffele(22/1) e.w.
- - Has all the credentials to pop this week.
Billy Horschel(50/1) e.w.
- - I've liked his process and his game for the whole back end of the 2018 season, will see how he likes it here.
Adam Hadwin(50/1) e.w.
- - Ticks a lot of boxes in many models.
Kevin Kisner(66/1) e.w.
- - In the Skins Challenge I saw nothing linksy, nothing Harbour Townish (rather the opposite, I thought), nothing fiery, or the like, which has me killing a planned play on Graeme McDowell, and possible plays on Chez Reavie and even Vaughn Taylor, and instead has me looking more at plays on the likes of Kisner, Adam Scott, Louis Oosthuizen, and Shane Lowry.
Ryo Ishikawa(150/1) e.w.
- - A sponsor’s exemption is the best thing I like about his longshot chances, while some good stats don’t hurt.
Rory McIlroy(8/1) e.w.
- - Not actively looking for a saver, and even though Justin Thomas has been my consistent “go to” play since Scotland, it comes down to an impression of liking how comfortable Rory looked to my eye while thrust onto center stage on this track.
Corey Conners(55/1) e.w.
- - What the heck, one more that ticks angles and boxes.
GL
Portugal Masters:
Outrights:
Adri Arnaus(22/1) e.w.
- - Might be off the boil. Or not.
Ross Fisher(33/1) e.w.
- - IMO seems near the peak of a middling at best season, and this Palmer venue could readily yield.
Shubhankar Sharma(50/1) e.w.
- - I’ve been tracking for spots to play him, it was lol if you asked me to embrace his price at Le Golf National last week, but especially after playing nicely, this week looks inviting, except for the price.
Oliver Fisher(100/1) e.w.
- - Was on my 12 deep team here last year, belongs again this year.
Tom Lewis(22/1) e.w.
- - Was on my 12 deep team here last year, belongs again this year.
Nacho Elvira(90/1) e.w.
- - Was on my 12 deep team here last year, belongs again this year at this price.
Jack Singh Brar(150/1) e.w.
- -
Jordan Smith(25/1) e.w.
- -
Justin Walters(110/1) e.w.
- -
Joachim B. Hansen(30/1) e.w.
- - Best I got for one more.
GL
Outrights:
Adri Arnaus(22/1) e.w.
- - Might be off the boil. Or not.
Ross Fisher(33/1) e.w.
- - IMO seems near the peak of a middling at best season, and this Palmer venue could readily yield.
Shubhankar Sharma(50/1) e.w.
- - I’ve been tracking for spots to play him, it was lol if you asked me to embrace his price at Le Golf National last week, but especially after playing nicely, this week looks inviting, except for the price.
Oliver Fisher(100/1) e.w.
- - Was on my 12 deep team here last year, belongs again this year.
Tom Lewis(22/1) e.w.
- - Was on my 12 deep team here last year, belongs again this year.
Nacho Elvira(90/1) e.w.
- - Was on my 12 deep team here last year, belongs again this year at this price.
Jack Singh Brar(150/1) e.w.
- -
Jordan Smith(25/1) e.w.
- -
Justin Walters(110/1) e.w.
- -
Joachim B. Hansen(30/1) e.w.
- - Best I got for one more.
GL
Through 43 Weeks:
Outrights YTD: 55-615 (+64.10*)
Matchups YTD: 27-31 (-6.30*)
HSBC Champions:
Outrights:
Billy Horschel(40/1) e.w.
Matthew Fitzpatrick(45/1) e.w.
Keegan Bradley(70/1) e.w.
Shane Lowry(33/1) e.w.
Xander Schauffele(14/1) e.w.
Corey Conners(50/1) e.w.
Justin Harding(175/1) e.w.
Xinjun Zhang(100/1) e.w.
Charles Howell(55/1) e.w.
Matthias Schwab(100/1) e.w.
GL
Outrights YTD: 55-615 (+64.10*)
Matchups YTD: 27-31 (-6.30*)
HSBC Champions:
Outrights:
Billy Horschel(40/1) e.w.
Matthew Fitzpatrick(45/1) e.w.
Keegan Bradley(70/1) e.w.
Shane Lowry(33/1) e.w.
Xander Schauffele(14/1) e.w.
Corey Conners(50/1) e.w.
Justin Harding(175/1) e.w.
Xinjun Zhang(100/1) e.w.
Charles Howell(55/1) e.w.
Matthias Schwab(100/1) e.w.
GL
Through 44 Weeks:
Outrights YTD: 60-634 (+77.44*)
Matchups YTD: 27-31 (-6.30*)
Turkish Airlines:
Outrights:
Kiradech Aphibarnrat(45/1) e.w.
Patrick Reed(11/1) e.w.
Danny Willett(28/1) e.w.
Adri Arnaus(45/1) e.w.
Shubhankar Sharma(80/1) e.w.
Steven Brown(140/1) e.w.
Tom Lewis(50/1) e.w.
Matthias Schwab(28/1) e.w.
George Coetzee(40/1) e.w.
GL
Outrights YTD: 60-634 (+77.44*)
Matchups YTD: 27-31 (-6.30*)
Turkish Airlines:
Outrights:
Kiradech Aphibarnrat(45/1) e.w.
Patrick Reed(11/1) e.w.
Danny Willett(28/1) e.w.
Adri Arnaus(45/1) e.w.
Shubhankar Sharma(80/1) e.w.
Steven Brown(140/1) e.w.
Tom Lewis(50/1) e.w.
Matthias Schwab(28/1) e.w.
George Coetzee(40/1) e.w.
GL
Nedbank:
Outrights:
Matthew Fitzpatrick(14/1) e.w.
Christian Bezuidenhout(50/1) e.w.
Lee Westwood(33/1) e.w.
Justin Harding(66/1) e.w.
Tom Lewis(55/1) e.w.
Thomas Pieters(33/1) e.w.
Romain Langasque(50/1) e.w.
Thomas Detry(45/1) e.w.
Haotong Li(28/1) e.w.
Joachim B. Hansen(66/1) e.w.
Scott Jamieson(100/1) e.w.
Adri Arnaus(66/1) e.w.
Shubhankar Sharma(50/1) e.w.
GL
Outrights:
Matthew Fitzpatrick(14/1) e.w.
Christian Bezuidenhout(50/1) e.w.
Lee Westwood(33/1) e.w.
Justin Harding(66/1) e.w.
Tom Lewis(55/1) e.w.
Thomas Pieters(33/1) e.w.
Romain Langasque(50/1) e.w.
Thomas Detry(45/1) e.w.
Haotong Li(28/1) e.w.
Joachim B. Hansen(66/1) e.w.
Scott Jamieson(100/1) e.w.
Adri Arnaus(66/1) e.w.
Shubhankar Sharma(50/1) e.w.
GL
Mayakoba:
Outrights:
Viktor Hovland(20/1) e.w.
Doc Redman(100/1) e.w.
Cameron Tringale(80/1) e.w.
Harris English(30/1) e.w.
Harold Varner(55/1) e.w.
Chez Reavie(50/1) e.w.
Billy Horschel(22/1) e.w.
Lanto Griffin(40/1) e.w.
Satoshi Kodaira(300/1) e.w.
Scottie Scheffler(33/1) e.w.
Xinjun Zhang(90/1) e.w.
Luke Donald(250/1) e.w.
GL
Outrights:
Viktor Hovland(20/1) e.w.
Doc Redman(100/1) e.w.
Cameron Tringale(80/1) e.w.
Harris English(30/1) e.w.
Harold Varner(55/1) e.w.
Chez Reavie(50/1) e.w.
Billy Horschel(22/1) e.w.
Lanto Griffin(40/1) e.w.
Satoshi Kodaira(300/1) e.w.
Scottie Scheffler(33/1) e.w.
Xinjun Zhang(90/1) e.w.
Luke Donald(250/1) e.w.
GL
