FHMESQ Footie Thread

[fhmesq44]

Took a break from everything for quite some time and am getting back on it. I will post my plays here, probably not much analysis. I tend to play a lot of +.5 games, which tend to be expensive and not to everyone's liking, but that is the way I play and have had pretty good success.

I will occassionally make my own +.5 line if they are not available by combining the PK and the -.5 line. If I do that it will post as two plays but be counted as 1 game for record keeping.

Anyway, here you go:

5/29/08

NED - 1.7408 to win 1.088
NED Draw - .7586 to win 2.071

which is NED +.5 at -758 to win ~.3 units.

 

[Taparosca]

Took a break from everything for quite some time and am getting back on it. I will post my plays here, probably not much analysis. I tend to play a lot of +.5 games, which tend to be expensive and not to everyone's liking, but that is the way I play and have had pretty good success.

I will occassionally make my own +.5 line if they are not available by combining the PK and the -.5 line. If I do that it will post as two plays but be counted as 1 game for record keeping.

Anyway, here you go:

5/29/08

NED - 1.7408 to win 1.088
NED Draw - .7586 to win 2.071

which is NED +.5 at -758 to win ~.3 units.

Welcome back buddy, and GL!!!!!!!

:toast:

 

[joeyfitzclick]

What tournament ?

Are you betting $758 to win $300 ?

 

[Betting4Fun]

What tournament ?

Are you betting $758 to win $300 ?

No,In terms of units it will be risking 2.5 units for net profit of 0.33 unit.

If Ned wins getting 1.088 unit Minus 0.7586 and if Draw then getting 2.07 minus 1.74 for win,either way 0.33 unit net guaranteed for risking 2.50 units.In other words its 13.33% of return if it ends as win or draw.

Its risking $758 to win $100.(~13.20% roi) if draw or ned wins.just like double chance at some books ,say 1x on Ned for 1.13.

Hope it makes it clear for you now.

 

[Betting4Fun]

which is NED +.5 at -758 to win ~.3 units.

Double chance (1x) in that case similar to +0.5 line on Ned.
and the bet is Ned +0.5 or 1x @ 1.13 (-758).

 

[joeyfitzclick]

I'm not familiar with the decimal odds. My books use American odds or fractions.

 

[Betting4Fun]

Ok,so in American odds the guy riskes 758 to win 100
if Ned wins or it is a draw,and in his case he risks 2.5 units to win 0.33 unit,
so if a unit is $100 for instance he riskes $250 to win $33

 

[fhmesq44]

Thanks TR

no tourney, it is a friendly v. Denmark and B4Fun has it right.

Joey,

it is basically combining two plays to make a +.5 since 5D doesn't offer one on all games. The line, as Betting 4Fun has it, is -758 and the total risk is 2.5 units to win ~.33 units.

If NED wins it is +$108 and -$75, if it is a draw, it is +207 and -$174, if NED loses, it is -2.5. I have it set up in excel where I input the lines and amount to risk and it spits out the two bets.

 

[fhmesq44]

It isn't all that different than the way you make a -1 line in baseball by combining the straight and -1.5 lines.

 

[joeyfitzclick]

Understood

Good luck

I'm taking Holland - 1 + 111 and (homer alert) Ireland PK - 116 tomorrow.

 

[fhmesq44]

G/L, a lot of Irish out to impress Trap, may jump on it with you. I may also take NED >2.5, they have a ton up front and a suspect back line.

 

[Icemantbi]

That's a ton of chalk, GL though.

 

[hm2.0]

It appears a lot of us are riding the Dutch.

gl2us and all.

 

[fhmesq44]

Anyway, here you go:

5/29/08

NED - 1.7408 to win 1.088
NED Draw - .7586 to win 2.071

which is NED +.5 at -758 to win ~.3 units.

Ouch, tough one guys. Sorry to see NED didn't hold on for your wins.

Winner
NED 1 - Denmark 1

Total = 1-0 +.3302
2008 Friendlies = 1-0 +.3302

 

[joeyfitzclick]

Ireland 1-0

 

[fhmesq44]

Ireland 1-0

saw that, played it small. nice call. I wanted to play the Turks +.5 too but completely forgot the game was today.

 

[fhmesq44]

Total = 1-0 +.3302
2008 Friendlies = 1-0 +.3302

5/30

Italia -280 3.8612 to win 1.379
Italia PK +360 1.139 to win 4.1004
Czech -167 1.7752 to win 1.063
Czech PK +292 .724 to win 2.1141

That is:
Risking 5 units on Italy +.5 -2085
Risking 2.5 units on Czech +.5 -737

 

[Betting4Fun]

Total = 1-0 +.3302
2008 Friendlies = 1-0 +.3302

5/30

Italia -280 3.8612 to win 1.379
Italia PK +360 1.139 to win 4.1004
Czech -167 1.7752 to win 1.063
Czech PK +292 .724 to win 2.1141

That is:
Risking 5 units on Italy +.5 -2085
Risking 2.5 units on Czech +.5 -737

Draw get you your money returned with no profit(pk),so how is it +.5?

 

[fhmesq44]

Draw get you your money returned with no profit(pk),so how is it +.5?

No, draw wins you the same as a Italy or Czech win, 4.1-3.8 for Italy on a draw and 2.11-1.77 on Czech draw.

 

[Betting4Fun]

No, draw wins you the same as a Italy or Czech win, 4.1-3.8 for Italy on a draw and 2.11-1.77 on Czech draw.

I see the lines now,but then you typed "PK" which means "Draw No Bet" and that is misleading or confusing,anyhow got it now,thanks and good luck.