Single Game ideas for Thursday Night
Let's start with Rodgers. He is coming off one of his best showings of the season in last week's win over the Dallas Cowboys, a game in which he totaled a season-high 19.36 FanDuel points. On the negative, 19.36 FanDuel points being his high-water mark says a lot, and Rodgers needed three passing scores to get there, as he tossed for just 224 yards. He's yet to have a 300-yard passing game this year.
On the flip side, Tennessee's defense has surrendered 20.2 FanDuel points per game to quarterbacks, the fourth-most, so the matchup is there. Rodgers has also been much better at home in 2022 than he has been on the road, posting 8.33 adjusted yards per attempt at Lambeau compared to 5.69 away from home. Rodgers is a solid MVP choice, and his lack of upside isn't as big of a deal in a game with a lowly 41.0-point total.
As for Henry, he paces our model's projections, and Green Bay's run defense is nothing to fear. They've permitted the 12th-most FanDuel points per game to running backs (21.1). Henry has seen at least 17 carries in every game since Week 2. The betting numbers check out, too. Henry's anytime touchdown odds are -150, per FanDuel Sportsbook, and his rushing yards prop is set way up at 100.5 yards (with a -114 price on each side).
However, there are reasons to fade Henry -- both at MVP and maybe even altogether. His $17,000 salary is restrictive ($2,000 more than anyone else), and he played only 59% and 58% of the snaps in the last two games. If Tennessee gets into a hole and has to go to a pass-heavy attack, Henry's role could shrink in the second half. After seeing increased targets earlier this year, Henry has been targeted just four times across the last three games, reverting back to the kind of role he'd had in previous seasons.
If you're building for the game to be close throughout or for a Titans win, though, Henry is a superb MVP pick.
After those two, Aaron Jones ($14,500) stands out. Jones has mostly operated as a clear number-one back this season. In his past three full games, he's played 70%, 67% and 74% of the snaps and handled 26, 24 and 17 total touches. Green Bay rode Jones in their Week 10 win, giving him 24 carries and 2 targets, which he turned into 156 total yards (138 rushing) and a touchdown. We project Jones for only 12.5 FanDuel points, but I think there's room for more. He's my favorite MVP play.
Whenever any quarterback is going to go overlooked at MVP, I'm at least a little intrigued. That's the case with Ryan Tannehill ($14,000), who practiced in full Tuesday and appears to be over his injury. It's a rough matchup considering the Packers have permitted just 13.7 FanDuel points per game to signal-callers, the fifth-fewest. Tanny fits best as a game-theory play, and if you're fading Henry, Tannehill makes a lot of sense, as you need the Titans' touchdowns to come via the passing game.
I like Allen Lazard ($11,000) as a pivot off Watson, especially if it looks like Watson will be chalky. Lazard has played at least 88% of the snaps in each of his last six fully healthy games. Prior to a quiet four-target game in Week 10, Lazard had racked up at least six looks in six consecutive outings, including 26 targets over his previous three games.
If the aforementioned Cobb does play, he's a solid value target. In his last full game, he was targeted 13 times, catching 7 passes for 99 yards.
A.J. Dillon ($12,000) is hard to get excited about at his salary. With that said, I doubt he's in many lineups, and he's totaled at least 10 touches in four of his last five games. He'd need some touchdown luck to really pop, but he's a decent +135 to reach paydirt.
On the Tennessee side, it's slim pickings at the skill positions outside of Henry.
At receiver, Treylon Burks ($8,000) and Robert Woods ($8,500) come at modest salaries, but after a 119-yard, two-score day a week ago, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine ($10,000) got a salary hike. It makes Westbrook-Ikhine a brutal point-per-dollar option, according to our projections.
Of that trio, Burks is the one I'm most into. He came back from injury in Week 10 and played 56% of the snaps while seeing six targets. The salary is easy to like, too.
If you're building for a Packers runaway win and are fading Henry, Dontrell Hilliard ($7,000) correlates well with that line of thinking. Hilliard has played at least 28% of the snaps in six straight games. We have to go way back to Week 1 to find the last time both he and Tannehill played in a Titans loss. In that one, Hilliard amassed 61 receiving yards and two receiving tuddies on four targets. While we can't expect him to find the end zone -- he's +550 to score -- Hilliard will be involved in the passing game if Tennessee is forced into catch-up mode.
Mason Crosby ($8,500) projects as the better option between the two kickers, and he's the lower-salaried one. We peg Crosby for 8.4 FanDuel points and rate him as the best point-per-dollar play among those salaried under $11,000.
It's a similar story with the defenses. The Green Bay D/ST ($9,000) is lower in salary than the Tennessee D/ST ($9,000), but our model has the Packers' D/ST as the much better play. We project them for 7.1 FanDuel points, compared to 5.6 for the Tennessee D/ST.
MVP Candidates
Going by our projections, there's a two-man tier at the top that consists of Derrick Henry ($17,000 on FanDuel) and Aaron Rodgers ($15,000). We have Henry projected for a slate-best 18.9 FanDuel points while Rodgers is forecasted to score 17.1. No one else on the slate is projected for more than 13.0 FanDuel points.Let's start with Rodgers. He is coming off one of his best showings of the season in last week's win over the Dallas Cowboys, a game in which he totaled a season-high 19.36 FanDuel points. On the negative, 19.36 FanDuel points being his high-water mark says a lot, and Rodgers needed three passing scores to get there, as he tossed for just 224 yards. He's yet to have a 300-yard passing game this year.
On the flip side, Tennessee's defense has surrendered 20.2 FanDuel points per game to quarterbacks, the fourth-most, so the matchup is there. Rodgers has also been much better at home in 2022 than he has been on the road, posting 8.33 adjusted yards per attempt at Lambeau compared to 5.69 away from home. Rodgers is a solid MVP choice, and his lack of upside isn't as big of a deal in a game with a lowly 41.0-point total.
As for Henry, he paces our model's projections, and Green Bay's run defense is nothing to fear. They've permitted the 12th-most FanDuel points per game to running backs (21.1). Henry has seen at least 17 carries in every game since Week 2. The betting numbers check out, too. Henry's anytime touchdown odds are -150, per FanDuel Sportsbook, and his rushing yards prop is set way up at 100.5 yards (with a -114 price on each side).
However, there are reasons to fade Henry -- both at MVP and maybe even altogether. His $17,000 salary is restrictive ($2,000 more than anyone else), and he played only 59% and 58% of the snaps in the last two games. If Tennessee gets into a hole and has to go to a pass-heavy attack, Henry's role could shrink in the second half. After seeing increased targets earlier this year, Henry has been targeted just four times across the last three games, reverting back to the kind of role he'd had in previous seasons.
If you're building for the game to be close throughout or for a Titans win, though, Henry is a superb MVP pick.
After those two, Aaron Jones ($14,500) stands out. Jones has mostly operated as a clear number-one back this season. In his past three full games, he's played 70%, 67% and 74% of the snaps and handled 26, 24 and 17 total touches. Green Bay rode Jones in their Week 10 win, giving him 24 carries and 2 targets, which he turned into 156 total yards (138 rushing) and a touchdown. We project Jones for only 12.5 FanDuel points, but I think there's room for more. He's my favorite MVP play.
Whenever any quarterback is going to go overlooked at MVP, I'm at least a little intrigued. That's the case with Ryan Tannehill ($14,000), who practiced in full Tuesday and appears to be over his injury. It's a rough matchup considering the Packers have permitted just 13.7 FanDuel points per game to signal-callers, the fifth-fewest. Tanny fits best as a game-theory play, and if you're fading Henry, Tannehill makes a lot of sense, as you need the Titans' touchdowns to come via the passing game.
Flex Breakdown
Coming off a monster game, Christian Watson ($10,500) should be pretty popular. Obviously, we can't bank on another three-tud outburst, but there is a lot to like about Watson. He's a size-speed beast who should be on the field a lot -- 84% snap rate last week -- for a Green Bay team that is lacking playmakers out wide. Watson's outlook does get dinged a bit if Randall Cobb ($7,500) returns from injury, so that's something to keep an eye on.I like Allen Lazard ($11,000) as a pivot off Watson, especially if it looks like Watson will be chalky. Lazard has played at least 88% of the snaps in each of his last six fully healthy games. Prior to a quiet four-target game in Week 10, Lazard had racked up at least six looks in six consecutive outings, including 26 targets over his previous three games.
If the aforementioned Cobb does play, he's a solid value target. In his last full game, he was targeted 13 times, catching 7 passes for 99 yards.
A.J. Dillon ($12,000) is hard to get excited about at his salary. With that said, I doubt he's in many lineups, and he's totaled at least 10 touches in four of his last five games. He'd need some touchdown luck to really pop, but he's a decent +135 to reach paydirt.
On the Tennessee side, it's slim pickings at the skill positions outside of Henry.
At receiver, Treylon Burks ($8,000) and Robert Woods ($8,500) come at modest salaries, but after a 119-yard, two-score day a week ago, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine ($10,000) got a salary hike. It makes Westbrook-Ikhine a brutal point-per-dollar option, according to our projections.
Of that trio, Burks is the one I'm most into. He came back from injury in Week 10 and played 56% of the snaps while seeing six targets. The salary is easy to like, too.
If you're building for a Packers runaway win and are fading Henry, Dontrell Hilliard ($7,000) correlates well with that line of thinking. Hilliard has played at least 28% of the snaps in six straight games. We have to go way back to Week 1 to find the last time both he and Tannehill played in a Titans loss. In that one, Hilliard amassed 61 receiving yards and two receiving tuddies on four targets. While we can't expect him to find the end zone -- he's +550 to score -- Hilliard will be involved in the passing game if Tennessee is forced into catch-up mode.
Mason Crosby ($8,500) projects as the better option between the two kickers, and he's the lower-salaried one. We peg Crosby for 8.4 FanDuel points and rate him as the best point-per-dollar play among those salaried under $11,000.
It's a similar story with the defenses. The Green Bay D/ST ($9,000) is lower in salary than the Tennessee D/ST ($9,000), but our model has the Packers' D/ST as the much better play. We project them for 7.1 FanDuel points, compared to 5.6 for the Tennessee D/ST.
The perfect card lineup from FanDuel on Sunday....what a dream to hit it
| Davante Adams (LV) | WR | $8500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 141 | 2 | 29.6 |
| Joe Burrow (CIN) | QB | $8300 | 355 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28.7 |
| Tony Pollard (DAL) | RB | $8000 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 0 | 6 | 109 | 2 | 33.9 |
| Amari Cooper (CLE) | WR | $7200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 113 | 2 | 27.3 |
| Chris Olave (NO) | WR | $6900 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 102 | 1 | 18.7 |
| Najee Harris (PIT) | RB | $6500 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 25.6 |
| Samaje Perine (CIN) | RB | $5200 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 4 | 52 | 3 | 28.2 |
| Juwan Johnson (NO) | TE | $5100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 47 | 1 | 12.2 |
| Washington D/ST (WSH) | D | $4000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| Total Salary | $59700 | Total FP |
Here are some value players on FanDuel that could pay off big for you
Additionally, per Pro Football Focus (PFF), Hodgins was tied for the fourth-most routes (42) for the G-Men since Week 10, reeling in five receptions for 74 yards on five targets. The club might ask for more from Hodgins in the wake of Wan'Dale Robinson's season-ending injury. Further, Richie James was listed as a limited participant on Tuesday's injury report.
Hodgins hasn't done much in the NFL, but he was highly productive in his final collegiate season in 2019. Per PFF, Hodgins was tied for 42nd in yards per route run (2.67 Y/RR) among 326 FBS wideouts targeted at least 40 times in 2019. The big-bodied wideout had 86 receptions for 1,158 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns on 118 targets in 12 games during his final college campaign.
Big Blue is a 9.5-point underdog against the Dallas Cowboys. So, the Giants will likely be forced to air it out in catch-up mode, creating an opportunity for Hodgins to score FanDuel points.
Leonard Fournette had 14 carries and one target versus 11 rushes for White before the former left the contest with a hip injury. White is also listed behind Fournette on the team's depth chart. Still, White's 105 rushing yards were the most for Tampa Bay since Fournette had 127 in Week 1. Fournette had his second-most rushing yards (65) in Week 2 and cleared 60 rushing yards only once in his last eight games.
Thus, it wouldn't be shocking to see a changing of the guard in Tampa Bay's backfield in their return from the bye. They also leaned heavily into the running attack in their last game. The Bucs attempted 29 passes and 38 rushes by non-quarterbacks in Week 10. Therefore, there is plenty of meat on the bone for two backs succeeding if the Bucs frequently run in a good matchup this week.
The Cleveland Browns are the third-wost rush defense in our power rankings. Devin Singletary (86 rushing yards on 18 attempts) and James Cook (86 rushing yards on 11 attempts) just steamrolled the Browns in Week 11, and the Bucs might have taken notice.
Tampa is also a 3.5-point favorite. As a result, the game script should be good for them.
Sadly, Kyle Pitts suffered a season-ending knee injury last week, removing London's stiffest competition for targets from the Atlanta Falcons. Nevertheless, London isn't a shoo-in to absorb Pitts' vacated targets since Marcus Mariota has spread the ball around. Additionally, the Dirty Birds are a run-first team at its core.
Yet, Atlanta might be forced to throw more this week than they usually do. The Washington Commanders are the best run defense by our metrics. As a result, Washington's opponents have attempted 232 passes and 116 rushes by non-quarterbacks in neutral game scripts this year.
The matchup is outstanding for London, too. According to Football Outsiders, No. 1 wide receivers have averaged the 10th-most receiving yards per game (76.7) against the Commanders this season. There's a risk to using London on this week's main slate, but he's an exciting tournament choice.
The Tennessee Titans desperately need someone to emerge in their lackluster receiving corps. Burks might have earned more trust and opportunities from the coaching staff after barbecuing the Green Bay Packers for seven receptions and 111 receiving yards last week.
Tennessee might also be dragged into a shootout this week, despite the game's low total (42.5 points). The Cincinnati Bengals have scored 79 points in their last two games, both without Ja'Marr Chase, easing concerns of their faceplant in Week 8 in the first game the second-year wideout missed this season. Chase is day-to-day, but the Bengals have proven they can light up the scoreboard, even if he's out again. Burks isn't a risk-free value option, but he's intriguing, with the upside of outproducing his modest salary.
According to PFF, he ran the most routes (37) in Week 11, eight more than Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Travis Kelce. The veteran wideout had three receptions for 67 yards on four targets. Watson's yardage output was the second-most on the team. Meanwhile, MVS had one reception for 18 yards on four targets. Watson is a height, weight, and speed guy, essentially the same archetype as MVS. The former has run 66 routes since Week 10 versus 63 for the latter.
Obviously, the Chiefs spent big bucks on MVS in free agency, and Watson was a minor signing. Yet, Andy Reid hasn't been afraid to accept a sunk cost and move a more productive player up the depth chart. No. Watson hasn't lit the world on fire, and Valdes-Scantling had a 90-yard effort in Week 5 and a 111-yard showing in Week 7. Still, Watson has scored two touchdowns and flashed chemistry with Patrick Mahomes in a part-time role this season.
Thankfully, Kansas City's pass-first offense can support multiple pass-catchers. Mahomes has chucked the pigskin 267 times, and Kansas City's non-quarterbacks have attempted only 125 rushes in neutral game scripts this season. The Chiefs have also kept their pedal to the metal, attempting 74 passes and just 60 rushes by non-quarterbacks when leading by at least eight points this season.
Kansas City's implied total and the matchup are also outstanding for Watson's outlook. First, the Chiefs have the second-highest implied total (29.25) on FanDuel's main slate for Sunday. Second, according to Pro Football Reference, the Los Angeles Rams have allowed the ninth-most FanDuel points per game to wide receivers in 2022. Watson is a volatile but enticing punt in tournaments this week.
Isaiah Hodgins, WR, New York Giants ($5,100)
There's an extra main slate on FanDuel this week for Thanksgiving. So, I've opted to include one value player from Thursday's three-game slate. The New York Giants scooped up Isaiah Hodgins after he was released by the Buffalo Bills, allowing him to reunite with Brian Daboll. Hodgins instantly emerged as a part of New York's receiving corps, playing 64.18 percent of the snaps in Week 10 and 59.72 percent in Week 11.Additionally, per Pro Football Focus (PFF), Hodgins was tied for the fourth-most routes (42) for the G-Men since Week 10, reeling in five receptions for 74 yards on five targets. The club might ask for more from Hodgins in the wake of Wan'Dale Robinson's season-ending injury. Further, Richie James was listed as a limited participant on Tuesday's injury report.
Hodgins hasn't done much in the NFL, but he was highly productive in his final collegiate season in 2019. Per PFF, Hodgins was tied for 42nd in yards per route run (2.67 Y/RR) among 326 FBS wideouts targeted at least 40 times in 2019. The big-bodied wideout had 86 receptions for 1,158 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns on 118 targets in 12 games during his final college campaign.
Big Blue is a 9.5-point underdog against the Dallas Cowboys. So, the Giants will likely be forced to air it out in catch-up mode, creating an opportunity for Hodgins to score FanDuel points.
Rachaad White, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($6,400)
Rachaad White had his first NFL start in Week 10 before the Tampa Bay Buccaneers had their bye in Week 11. He toted the rock 22 times for 105 yards, doing his best work down the stretch. Yet, White is a risky pick.Leonard Fournette had 14 carries and one target versus 11 rushes for White before the former left the contest with a hip injury. White is also listed behind Fournette on the team's depth chart. Still, White's 105 rushing yards were the most for Tampa Bay since Fournette had 127 in Week 1. Fournette had his second-most rushing yards (65) in Week 2 and cleared 60 rushing yards only once in his last eight games.
Thus, it wouldn't be shocking to see a changing of the guard in Tampa Bay's backfield in their return from the bye. They also leaned heavily into the running attack in their last game. The Bucs attempted 29 passes and 38 rushes by non-quarterbacks in Week 10. Therefore, there is plenty of meat on the bone for two backs succeeding if the Bucs frequently run in a good matchup this week.
The Cleveland Browns are the third-wost rush defense in our power rankings. Devin Singletary (86 rushing yards on 18 attempts) and James Cook (86 rushing yards on 11 attempts) just steamrolled the Browns in Week 11, and the Bucs might have taken notice.
Tampa is also a 3.5-point favorite. As a result, the game script should be good for them.
Drake London, WR, Atlanta Falcons ($6,100)
Drake London was bailed out by touchdowns in back-to-back games. The rookie wideout hasn't exceeded 40 receiving yards since Week 3. Still, London demonstrated his ability in the first three weeks. From Week 1 through Week 3, he had 25 targets (31.6 percent target share), 16 receptions, 214 yards, 176 air yards, and 2 touchdowns.Sadly, Kyle Pitts suffered a season-ending knee injury last week, removing London's stiffest competition for targets from the Atlanta Falcons. Nevertheless, London isn't a shoo-in to absorb Pitts' vacated targets since Marcus Mariota has spread the ball around. Additionally, the Dirty Birds are a run-first team at its core.
Yet, Atlanta might be forced to throw more this week than they usually do. The Washington Commanders are the best run defense by our metrics. As a result, Washington's opponents have attempted 232 passes and 116 rushes by non-quarterbacks in neutral game scripts this year.
The matchup is outstanding for London, too. According to Football Outsiders, No. 1 wide receivers have averaged the 10th-most receiving yards per game (76.7) against the Commanders this season. There's a risk to using London on this week's main slate, but he's an exciting tournament choice.
Treylon Burks, WR, Tennessee Titans ($5,900)
It hasn't been a fairytale rookie season for Treylon Burks. Nonetheless, there have been encouraging signs of the lightbulb flickering on since he returned from Injured Reserve (IR) in Week 10. Per PFF, Burks has garnered a target on 26 percent of his routes (50) in the past two games, securing 10 receptions for 135 yards on a useful 8.2-yard average depth of target.The Tennessee Titans desperately need someone to emerge in their lackluster receiving corps. Burks might have earned more trust and opportunities from the coaching staff after barbecuing the Green Bay Packers for seven receptions and 111 receiving yards last week.
Tennessee might also be dragged into a shootout this week, despite the game's low total (42.5 points). The Cincinnati Bengals have scored 79 points in their last two games, both without Ja'Marr Chase, easing concerns of their faceplant in Week 8 in the first game the second-year wideout missed this season. Chase is day-to-day, but the Bengals have proven they can light up the scoreboard, even if he's out again. Burks isn't a risk-free value option, but he's intriguing, with the upside of outproducing his modest salary.
Justin Watson, WR, Kansas City Chiefs ($5,000)
Mecole Hardman is on IR, JuJu Smith-Schuster is in the NFL's concussion protocol, and Kadarius Toney's hamstring tightened up in Week 11. Smith-Schuster seemingly should clear the protocol after sitting out last week, but Toney's hamstring warrants monitoring. However, Justin Watson should be involved in the Kansas City Chiefs' offense in some capacity, regardless of the health of his teammates.According to PFF, he ran the most routes (37) in Week 11, eight more than Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Travis Kelce. The veteran wideout had three receptions for 67 yards on four targets. Watson's yardage output was the second-most on the team. Meanwhile, MVS had one reception for 18 yards on four targets. Watson is a height, weight, and speed guy, essentially the same archetype as MVS. The former has run 66 routes since Week 10 versus 63 for the latter.
Obviously, the Chiefs spent big bucks on MVS in free agency, and Watson was a minor signing. Yet, Andy Reid hasn't been afraid to accept a sunk cost and move a more productive player up the depth chart. No. Watson hasn't lit the world on fire, and Valdes-Scantling had a 90-yard effort in Week 5 and a 111-yard showing in Week 7. Still, Watson has scored two touchdowns and flashed chemistry with Patrick Mahomes in a part-time role this season.
Thankfully, Kansas City's pass-first offense can support multiple pass-catchers. Mahomes has chucked the pigskin 267 times, and Kansas City's non-quarterbacks have attempted only 125 rushes in neutral game scripts this season. The Chiefs have also kept their pedal to the metal, attempting 74 passes and just 60 rushes by non-quarterbacks when leading by at least eight points this season.
Kansas City's implied total and the matchup are also outstanding for Watson's outlook. First, the Chiefs have the second-highest implied total (29.25) on FanDuel's main slate for Sunday. Second, according to Pro Football Reference, the Los Angeles Rams have allowed the ninth-most FanDuel points per game to wide receivers in 2022. Watson is a volatile but enticing punt in tournaments this week.
Going to try something different on this one game NBA slate....never fool with these one game contests in NBA but going to put in about 50 lineups at a nickel each and try to win on of these "bigger" prizes.....120k entries so likely to be lots of splitting if Doncic is the top scorer
You pick 5 players and stay under the salary cap, the twist is that your first 3 players have multiplier spots, 2x,1.5 and 1.2.
Probably 90 percent of the players will put Doncic at 1, of course, only way he is NOT top scorer is to go down early...Doncic is the "easy" slot, the rest?
You pick 5 players and stay under the salary cap, the twist is that your first 3 players have multiplier spots, 2x,1.5 and 1.2.
Probably 90 percent of the players will put Doncic at 1, of course, only way he is NOT top scorer is to go down early...Doncic is the "easy" slot, the rest?
This is the DUMBEST ass contest I have ever entered....the goal was to make a team that socres at least 260 points....everyone who did wins and share the prize pool whether you get 261 or 400 , the prize is same.
The entry fee was $3, almost everyone "won"....lol, never playing that shit again
The entry fee was $3, almost everyone "won"....lol, never playing that shit again
VE Fantasy Sports 
Talk about crestfallen....I didnt watch scores or results in live time last Sun......Checked the boxscore of Eagles game late night and was excited that maybe I might finish high up in the Battle Royal
Then I saw the OTHER 3 scores.....fuuuuuuuuuuuk...lol I could not have picked worse after drafting such a great stack to begin with.
IF those other jagoffs just had been okay I would have at least won around 15 to 20x my buy in
This was the winning ticket
Then I saw the OTHER 3 scores.....fuuuuuuuuuuuk...lol I could not have picked worse after drafting such a great stack to begin with.
IF those other jagoffs just had been okay I would have at least won around 15 to 20x my buy in
This was the winning ticket
