So digusting, I had 2 players out and STILL made a 2x cash on one entry......probably could have easily made it a 10-20x cash if I could have put just about ANY warm bodies out there.HAHAHAH
3 lineups and 4 players are out without any kind of warning.
The rest of the lineup is doing well but no way to make up the losses in a large field tourney.........I would feel better if the rest tank.......
The way BattleRoyale work is that roughly 56k entries participate in snake drafts in groups of 6 people(entries) as a time.
Then ALL the entries are combined into a big pool, so there is TONS of overlap as 1 out of 6 people have ALL the big stars.....the way to win bigger is to draft one or 2 people that do well that OTHERS are NOT picking.
I didnt really pick any longshots as I think pretty much every group of 6 will have EVERY person that I drafted,in there somewhere........ probably impossible to win the grand prize unless EVERY pick I made does best or 2nd best at their positions AND no one else has the EXACT same combination.........
Then ALL the entries are combined into a big pool, so there is TONS of overlap as 1 out of 6 people have ALL the big stars.....the way to win bigger is to draft one or 2 people that do well that OTHERS are NOT picking.
I didnt really pick any longshots as I think pretty much every group of 6 will have EVERY person that I drafted,in there somewhere........ probably impossible to win the grand prize unless EVERY pick I made does best or 2nd best at their positions AND no one else has the EXACT same combination.........
I think JamalWilliams might be the LEAST selected of all my picks because it wasnt know for sure that he was getting LEAD back role until last night....so earlier in the week people were not picking him that much
One good thing is that I was able to stack Allen with Davis in my second entry. and in my first one I was able to stack Burrow with Hurst....
I guararantee many of you would like these snake drafts as they are literally a game within a game, so just from an entertainment point of view its a good value.
One good thing is that I was able to stack Allen with Davis in my second entry. and in my first one I was able to stack Burrow with Hurst....
I guararantee many of you would like these snake drafts as they are literally a game within a game, so just from an entertainment point of view its a good value.
Afternoon BattleRoyale entry only around 5500 hundred entries....only 4 players per draft vs 6 in the MainEvent.
Not a bad draft considering limited player pool with only 2 games.....hard to really pick a longshot player ( Anderson and Akers might have qualified as a significantly lesser used picks but I didnt like either)
I was forced into takeing Otton by default BUT not bad that AT LEAST got Brady, Godwin, Otten stack , so if Brady goes off passing and leaves out Fournette and Evans Im looking good.........I choose to go with 3 wide receivers for max potential and couldnt get Conner but Eno Benjamin is not bad, hopefully its around 50/50 with him and Conner.
Draft order Cupp, Locket, Godwin, Benjamin, Brady, Otton
Not a bad draft considering limited player pool with only 2 games.....hard to really pick a longshot player ( Anderson and Akers might have qualified as a significantly lesser used picks but I didnt like either)
I was forced into takeing Otton by default BUT not bad that AT LEAST got Brady, Godwin, Otten stack , so if Brady goes off passing and leaves out Fournette and Evans Im looking good.........I choose to go with 3 wide receivers for max potential and couldnt get Conner but Eno Benjamin is not bad, hopefully its around 50/50 with him and Conner.
Draft order Cupp, Locket, Godwin, Benjamin, Brady, Otton
A breakdown for those who like the one game Fantasy Contests
That should give us some pause with rostering Jackson as an MVP, particularly because he'll still be a popular play regardless. It also doesn't help that he'll be missing pass-catchers Rashod Bateman and Mark Andrews, leaving him thin on weapons.
The good news is that Jackson continues to be the gold standard as a runner, averaging 9.4 carries and 69.1 rushing yards per game. Not only is that the highest per-game rushing yardage among quarterbacks, but it's the league's 13th-highest clip across all positions.
Even if Jackson doesn't produce much through the air, he could still lead the slate in scoring with a big night on the ground.
The other chalk MVP choice will be New Orleans' Alvin Kamara ($15,500), who's projected for the second-most FanDuel points. After failing to hit paydirt all season, positive touchdown regression finally came all at once for Kamara in Week 8, with the dynamic back tallying three scores (one rushing and two receiving) on his way to 38.3 points.
After dealing with a rib issue early in the season, Kamara has now averaged 17.8 rushes and 8.5 targets over his last four games, and he's converted that into 194, 124, 105, and 158 scrimmage yards over that span. The volume alone could lead to another high score, and as an added bonus, the Ravens rank 22nd in schedule-adjusted rush defense, per numberFire's metrics.
After those two, there's a fairly big drop-off to Andy Dalton ($15,000), but he rounds out the top three in our model.
While Dalton has predictably been an unspectacular fantasy play this season, he did score 29.54 points in a shootout versus Arizona, so you never know. That being said, he threw the ball 47 times in that game, and that isn't a likely outcome in a matchup that rates as one of the week's worst in both pace and pass rate.
Perhaps Dalton can be considered at MVP strictly as a way to avoid the mega chalk of Jackson and Kamara, but he's better suited as a flex play in most scenarios.
Instead, Chris Olave ($13,000) is arguably the top non-Kamara Saints option to roster at MVP.
He leads the team in both target share (26.3%) and air yards share (42.2%), averaging 5.6 downfield targets (10-plus air yards) per game. Although Olave hasn't had that massive fantasy week yet, he's seen double-digit targets three times and has recorded at least 80 receiving yards or a touchdown in five of seven. He doesn't have much competition, either, as Michael Thomas is out for the year, and Jarvis Landry ($7,500) is questionable and hasn't played since Week 4.
Of Baltimore's healthy pass-catchers, it's actually Isaiah Likely ($7,500) who could be the best MVP candidate as the fill-in for Mark Andrews. With Andrews bowing out early in Week 8, Likely would go on to play a season-high 66.2% of the snaps and catch 6 of 7 targets for 77 yards and a score. He would ultimately lead the team in air yards share (35.2%) and downfield targets (4).
A hyped-up player in the preseason, Likely could be a direct one-for-one replacement for Andrews tonight, giving him intriguing upside.
Duvernay and Robinson will be the top two wideouts, and in the three weeks that Bateman has missed all or most of, Duvernay has garnered a 17.2% target share while Robinson has been at 16.1%. Neither one has accumulated much yardage this season, so they would presumably need to find the end zone to crack the optimal lineup. Note that Robinson is questionable, though, so keep an eye on his status.
Gus Edwards isn't expected to play, leaving Drake as the lead back. He's logged 10-11 carries three times this season, and that's roughly what he's being projected for tonight. Justice Hill ($7,000) should also see some work in what should still be a split backfield.
For a dart throw, Baltimore wide receiver James Proche ($5,000) could also be considered after logging a 62.2% snap rate and 68.3% route rate in Week 8. Given all the injuries, if DeSean Jackson ($6,000) is active, you might toss him into a large-field tourney lineup just in case he's still capable of busting out for a long touchdown.
New Orleans' best of the rest includes Taysom Hill ($10,500), Tre'Quan Smith ($6,500), Marquez Callaway ($6,500), Juwan Johnson ($8,000), and possibly Jarvis Landry if he plays.
Hill is a complete wild card as always, averaging just a 22.0% snap rate but capable of rushing, receiving, or throwing a touchdown on any given night. In Week 8, he logged 10 carries, 2 targets, and 1 pass attempt, and perhaps he will benefit from Mark Ingram being out.
All the non-Olave pass-catchers are tough to predict, and even more so if Landry is back. Prior to his ankle issue, Landry saw a 19.4% target share in the first two weeks, but he could see a reduced role initially. Smith might be the most reliable option by default, as Callaway saw a reduced snap rate last week, and Johnson will now have to share tight end duties with Adam Trautman ($5,000).
With both teams battling injuries, we could certainly end up with a lower-scoring game, leading to high outputs from kickers Justin Tucker ($10,000) and Wil Lutz ($9,000). In fact, Tucker is projected for the fifth-most FanDuel points, which is telling in and of itself.
Given that this could also be a run-heavy game, the defenses aren't quite as appealing. But in a lineup build that assumes the Ravens get out to a big lead and force Dalton to air it out, the Baltimore D/ST ($9,500) becomes more attractive.
MVP Candidates
Lamar Jackson ($17,000) leads numberFire's projections, but the truth is that production has really tailed off since back-to-back outbursts of 40-plus FanDuel points in Weeks 2 and 3. Jackson has fallen below 20 FanDuel points in four of his last five games, averaging only 177.2 passing yards while tossing 5 touchdowns to 4 interceptions.That should give us some pause with rostering Jackson as an MVP, particularly because he'll still be a popular play regardless. It also doesn't help that he'll be missing pass-catchers Rashod Bateman and Mark Andrews, leaving him thin on weapons.
The good news is that Jackson continues to be the gold standard as a runner, averaging 9.4 carries and 69.1 rushing yards per game. Not only is that the highest per-game rushing yardage among quarterbacks, but it's the league's 13th-highest clip across all positions.
Even if Jackson doesn't produce much through the air, he could still lead the slate in scoring with a big night on the ground.
The other chalk MVP choice will be New Orleans' Alvin Kamara ($15,500), who's projected for the second-most FanDuel points. After failing to hit paydirt all season, positive touchdown regression finally came all at once for Kamara in Week 8, with the dynamic back tallying three scores (one rushing and two receiving) on his way to 38.3 points.
After dealing with a rib issue early in the season, Kamara has now averaged 17.8 rushes and 8.5 targets over his last four games, and he's converted that into 194, 124, 105, and 158 scrimmage yards over that span. The volume alone could lead to another high score, and as an added bonus, the Ravens rank 22nd in schedule-adjusted rush defense, per numberFire's metrics.
After those two, there's a fairly big drop-off to Andy Dalton ($15,000), but he rounds out the top three in our model.
While Dalton has predictably been an unspectacular fantasy play this season, he did score 29.54 points in a shootout versus Arizona, so you never know. That being said, he threw the ball 47 times in that game, and that isn't a likely outcome in a matchup that rates as one of the week's worst in both pace and pass rate.
Perhaps Dalton can be considered at MVP strictly as a way to avoid the mega chalk of Jackson and Kamara, but he's better suited as a flex play in most scenarios.
Instead, Chris Olave ($13,000) is arguably the top non-Kamara Saints option to roster at MVP.
He leads the team in both target share (26.3%) and air yards share (42.2%), averaging 5.6 downfield targets (10-plus air yards) per game. Although Olave hasn't had that massive fantasy week yet, he's seen double-digit targets three times and has recorded at least 80 receiving yards or a touchdown in five of seven. He doesn't have much competition, either, as Michael Thomas is out for the year, and Jarvis Landry ($7,500) is questionable and hasn't played since Week 4.
Of Baltimore's healthy pass-catchers, it's actually Isaiah Likely ($7,500) who could be the best MVP candidate as the fill-in for Mark Andrews. With Andrews bowing out early in Week 8, Likely would go on to play a season-high 66.2% of the snaps and catch 6 of 7 targets for 77 yards and a score. He would ultimately lead the team in air yards share (35.2%) and downfield targets (4).
A hyped-up player in the preseason, Likely could be a direct one-for-one replacement for Andrews tonight, giving him intriguing upside.
Flex Breakdown
Devin Duvernay ($11,000), Kenyan Drake ($9,000), and Demarcus Robinson ($8,500) round out the Ravens' top projected offensive players.Duvernay and Robinson will be the top two wideouts, and in the three weeks that Bateman has missed all or most of, Duvernay has garnered a 17.2% target share while Robinson has been at 16.1%. Neither one has accumulated much yardage this season, so they would presumably need to find the end zone to crack the optimal lineup. Note that Robinson is questionable, though, so keep an eye on his status.
Gus Edwards isn't expected to play, leaving Drake as the lead back. He's logged 10-11 carries three times this season, and that's roughly what he's being projected for tonight. Justice Hill ($7,000) should also see some work in what should still be a split backfield.
For a dart throw, Baltimore wide receiver James Proche ($5,000) could also be considered after logging a 62.2% snap rate and 68.3% route rate in Week 8. Given all the injuries, if DeSean Jackson ($6,000) is active, you might toss him into a large-field tourney lineup just in case he's still capable of busting out for a long touchdown.
New Orleans' best of the rest includes Taysom Hill ($10,500), Tre'Quan Smith ($6,500), Marquez Callaway ($6,500), Juwan Johnson ($8,000), and possibly Jarvis Landry if he plays.
Hill is a complete wild card as always, averaging just a 22.0% snap rate but capable of rushing, receiving, or throwing a touchdown on any given night. In Week 8, he logged 10 carries, 2 targets, and 1 pass attempt, and perhaps he will benefit from Mark Ingram being out.
All the non-Olave pass-catchers are tough to predict, and even more so if Landry is back. Prior to his ankle issue, Landry saw a 19.4% target share in the first two weeks, but he could see a reduced role initially. Smith might be the most reliable option by default, as Callaway saw a reduced snap rate last week, and Johnson will now have to share tight end duties with Adam Trautman ($5,000).
With both teams battling injuries, we could certainly end up with a lower-scoring game, leading to high outputs from kickers Justin Tucker ($10,000) and Wil Lutz ($9,000). In fact, Tucker is projected for the fifth-most FanDuel points, which is telling in and of itself.
Given that this could also be a run-heavy game, the defenses aren't quite as appealing. But in a lineup build that assumes the Ravens get out to a big lead and force Dalton to air it out, the Baltimore D/ST ($9,500) becomes more attractive.
This is a great contest, as hardly ANYONE knows what the best strategy is, ((including myself) especially as we are only halfway through the season.This is going to be a great contest, FU always has innovative tournaments.....We can discuss if ANYONE has interest in playing this.
Its called the Way too Early Wild Card draft....there are good reasons to draft now IF you think certain teams are going to surprise come playoff time.
If you like the favorites it is probably better to wait ..... on the other hand if you are in a draft where OTHERS are taking the dogs, you might be able to stockpile the good players.....
Underdog Fantasy: Pick'em and Season-long Fantasy for NFL, NBA & more
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So I figured this was an idea , Ill make some more drafts in the same contest later but this is my first one.
Each round of the playoff uses your best 1QB/1RB/2WR/1Flex.....after each round of playoffs a certain number of teams are cut.
49ers have to go to the SB for me to have any chance of a larger prize anyway so just went with 1 qb and 1 Rb and stacked all the top 49ers to go with them and 3 from KC/Bills........
Good article for you seaon long Team managers.
Week 10 Fantasy Football Start or Sit: Will Denver Come Out Hot After a Bye Week?
The Broncos face a tough Titans defense. How does that impact their skill players for fantasy football this week? See how everyone rates out for Week 10.
www.numberfire.com
This is a really nice resource for fantasy players to look at each week
NFL Daily Fantasy Football Ceiling and Floor Projections: Week 10
FanDuel matchups and tournaments are won and lost because of floor and ceiling outcomes. How does the Week 10 main slate look after a thousand simulations?
www.numberfire.com
