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hacheman@therx.com
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Ranks reax: Can you trust banged-up Vick?
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Eric Karabell


Tuesday night, it looked as if Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Michael Vick was unlikely to recover from his concussion in time to suit up for Sunday's home tilt with the rival New York Giants. So I advised Vick owners to prepare for the scenario that he wouldn't play, proudly saying on "NFL Live" that Mike Kafka would be my No. 20-ranked quarterback for this week. Isn't it amazing how much things can change in a week? Who would have guessed the Northwestern product would ever play, let alone be ranked by a fantasy analyst?


Well, Wednesday morning I changed my mind again; a few minutes before our Week 3 rankings were released, I saw the news that Vick was now likely to play and slotted him back in as my No. 5 quarterback -- as did two other rankers -- and removed Kafka. Vick playing would add clarity to the situation; it's nearly impossible to tell what the inexperienced Kafka would do, though with his weapons and the Giants' shaky secondary, it would have been interesting. Now with Vick likely to start, it's irrelevant. But this underscores how a fantasy owner should always be looking for the right depth at quarterback.
The quarterback rankings look strange this week, and I certainly played a role in that. Cam Newton in our top 10? You betcha! Ryan Fitzpatrick over Ben Roethlisberger? Shootout in Foxborough on the way! I even gave Rex Grossman a top-15 ranking among quarterbacks, something I didn't think I would do.
The question about where to rank Vick, Newton and Tony Romo is interesting, not only based on their matchups, but their health. Vick has a concussion. I am surprised the Eagles would start him, but I'm not a doctor and don't know the severity of his injury. A decade ago everyone played through concussions. Now that's not the case. But you won't see me cautiously ranking Vick 20th at quarterback, either. I trust that if the team/doctors give a stud quarterback the go-ahead, he will perform well.
Romo barely missed my top 10, not because he broke a rib and punctured a lung, but because his top wide receivers might actually be Kevin Ogletree and Jesse Holley. It's a far cry from Dez Bryant and Miles Austin. And Newton's walking boot doesn't concern me at all. What should concern fantasy owners a bit, however, is that the Panthers' opponent is the Jacksonville Jaguars, and their rookie quarterback, Blaine Gabbert, will be making his first start. The Panthers trailed the first two weeks, thus Newton could ignore the running game and throw for 800-plus yards. If the Jags can't move the ball, Newton won't need to throw for 400 yards again.
Regardless, I trust a beaten-up quarterback statistically if he's going to play, more so than a healthy guy who isn't doing much, such as Joe Flacco or Josh Freeman. Eli Manning belongs in that group as well. Don't look at his preseason ranking, because it just doesn't matter anymore.
Here are a few other thoughts about this week's staff rankings: Quarterback: I was asked by a prominent ESPN manager if it would be crazy to start Newton over Aaron Rodgers this week, knowing that the Packers are at Soldier Field in Chicago. Rodgers hasn't been dominant in past road trips there, with an average of 252 yards and one touchdown pass in three outings. Well, I didn't rank Rodgers first overall this week, but there remains a reliability factor there. I stick with Rodgers. Meanwhile, I did put Fitzpatrick over Roethlisberger -- and Matthew Berry had the Bills' quarterback seven spots ahead of Big Ben -- based on their matchups. The Patriots have not stopped the pass. Sure, they haven't lost to the Bills seemingly since the Reagan administration (it was actually 2003), but that only fuels the notion that the Bills will be throwing plenty in a 38-31 type of game.


Running back: I was very interested to see where the Houston running backs landed. Christopher Harris and myself had Ben Tate in the top 10 (his consensus was 13). Tate looks terrific and yes, I would start him this week. I was asked by a prominent ESPN baseball writer whether he should consider Arian Foster this week, and I said no. I'd be surprised if he plays, especially since Tate has been so good. The poor baseball writer has Foster, Jamaal Charles, Peyton Manning and Miles Austin -- and he's still 2-0. What a crazy game! There's also much love for the Lions' Jahvid Best and the Bills' Fred Jackson. Two rankers thought Knowshon Moreno would play -- though not me -- but each curiously ranked Willis McGahee much better. Meanwhile, Thomas Jones didn't get as much love from the group as I gave him.
Wide receiver: My top 10 nearly mirrored the staff average, but there was some deviation on the Panthers' Steve Smith. A pair of top-8 finishes and two others at 16. I trust him, but the Panthers should get to run some this week, too. We all think Brandon Lloyd returns, but three of us had Eric Decker at No. 33 anyway. It's also interesting that three of us had Percy Harvin at No. 22, but one ranker had him at 31. Free Percy Harvin! C'mon, Donovan McNabb, make him relevant! Good luck with your rankings. We'll update ours Friday.
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Week 2 targets and goal-line usage

The biggest key to success in fantasy football is understanding a player's true fantasy value, and while every fantasy point earned is worth the same, those owners who can accurately predict future value are those who will be the most likely to succeed.


One player who seems to be quite the enigma this season is Mike Tolbert. Currently, Tolbert sits tied for eighth for fantasy points scored by running backs, so on the surface you might think his job is 100 percent safe. You should not share in that opinion. A closer look at Tolbert's production reveals that about two-thirds of his fantasy production has been as a receiver and that Tolbert has been a failure as a rusher so far early this season.


What this means is that Sunday's game against the Kansas City Chiefs is key for Tolbert owners. If Tolbert does not show basic competence running the football, you should bail immediately. Consider this: Through two games, the New England Patriots are allowing 4.5 yards per carry and the Minnesota Vikings are allowing 4.0. In his games against those teams, Tolbert managed 1.1 and 2.9 yards per carry, respectively. The Chiefs are actually stingier than both of Tolbert's previous opponents, coming in at 3.7 yards allowed per carry.


Looking at those numbers, it's clear that Tolbert is not performing as a rusher, but there's already reason to worry about his involvement in the passing game. From 2006 through 2010, these are the average number of targets Chargers running backs received per game: 2006, 6.8; 2007, 7.5; 2008, 8.7; 2009, 7.9; 2010, 9.8. While that number has been trending up, we are seeing a gradual increase in the involvement of the running backs in the passing game. Through two games this season, that average is 18.0 targets per game. That means the amount of time Philip Rivers is passing the ball to his running backs has increased by over 80 percent compared to last season. When you consider last season marked the highest involvement by Chargers running backs in the passing game for the previous five seasons, it should be apparent that the 2011 level of involvement will extremely likely be reduced going forward.


The other factor in Tolbert's value is the performance of 2010 fantasy bust Ryan Mathews. Through two games, Mathews is averaging 4.5 yards per carry and has been targeted 14 times. While most people aren't accepting this as a 50/50 time-share at this point, that is exactly what it's become. If Mathews continues to be the more productive runner, he's going to find himself on the field more often, which means fewer snaps for Tolbert.


Most Targets, Week 2

<TABLE><THEAD><TR><TH>Player</TH><TH>Team</TH><TH>Targets</TH></TR></THEAD><TBODY><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Miles Austin</TD><TD>Dal</TD><TD>15</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Vincent Jackson</TD><TD>SD</TD><TD>15</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Jeremy Maclin</TD><TD>Phi</TD><TD>15</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Matt Forte</TD><TD>Chi</TD><TD>14</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>A.J. Green</TD><TD>Cin</TD><TD>14</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Steve Johnson</TD><TD>Buf</TD><TD>14</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Jason Witten</TD><TD>Dal</TD><TD>14</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Kenny Britt</TD><TD>Ten</TD><TD>13</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>David Nelson</TD><TD>Buf</TD><TD>13</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Steve Smith</TD><TD>Car</TD><TD>13</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Brandon Marshall</TD><TD>Mia</TD><TD>11</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Mike Sims-Walker</TD><TD>StL</TD><TD>11</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Mike Thomas</TD><TD>Jac</TD><TD>11</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Nate Washington</TD><TD>Ten</TD><TD>11</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Wes Welker</TD><TD>NE</TD><TD>11</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Deion Branch</TD><TD>NE</TD><TD>10</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Austin Collie</TD><TD>Ind</TD><TD>10</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Darren Sproles</TD><TD>NO</TD><TD>10</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Nate Burleson</TD><TD>Det</TD><TD>9</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Eric Decker</TD><TD>Den</TD><TD>9</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Larry Fitzgerald</TD><TD>Ari</TD><TD>9</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Tony Gonzalez</TD><TD>Atl</TD><TD>9</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Devin Hester</TD><TD>Chi</TD><TD>9</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Andre Johnson</TD><TD>Hou</TD><TD>9</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Ryan Mathews</TD><TD>SD</TD><TD>9</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Santana Moss</TD><TD>Was</TD><TD>9</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Jerome Simpson</TD><TD>Cin</TD><TD>9</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Mike Tolbert</TD><TD>SD</TD><TD>9</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Mike Wallace</TD><TD>Pit</TD><TD>9</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Jahvid Best</TD><TD>Det</TD><TD>8</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Dwayne Bowe</TD><TD>KC</TD><TD>8</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Dallas Clark</TD><TD>Ind</TD><TD>8</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Jabar Gaffney</TD><TD>Was</TD><TD>8</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Brandon Gibson</TD><TD>StL</TD><TD>8</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Derek Hagan</TD><TD>Oak</TD><TD>8</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Percy Harvin</TD><TD>Min</TD><TD>8</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Aaron Hernandez</TD><TD>NE</TD><TD>8</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Greg Jennings</TD><TD>GB</TD><TD>8</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Julio Jones</TD><TD>Atl</TD><TD>8</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Darren McFadden</TD><TD>Oak</TD><TD>8</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Denarius Moore</TD><TD>Oak</TD><TD>8</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Ray Rice</TD><TD>Bal</TD><TD>8</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Greg Salas</TD><TD>StL</TD><TD>8</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Jonathan Stewart</TD><TD>Car</TD><TD>8</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Reggie Wayne</TD><TD>Ind</TD><TD>8</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Kellen Winslow</TD><TD>TB</TD><TD>8</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Danario Alexander</TD><TD>StL</TD><TD>7</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Anquan Boldin</TD><TD>Bal</TD><TD>7</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Brent Celek</TD><TD>Phi</TD><TD>7</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Fred Davis</TD><TD>Was</TD><TD>7</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Ted Ginn</TD><TD>SF</TD><TD>7</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Jimmy Graham</TD><TD>NO</TD><TD>7</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Brian Hartline</TD><TD>Mia</TD><TD>7</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Calvin Johnson</TD><TD>Det</TD><TD>7</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Mario Manningham</TD><TD>NYG</TD><TD>7</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Legedu Naanee</TD><TD>Car</TD><TD>7</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Hakeem Nicks</TD><TD>NYG</TD><TD>7</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Preston Parker</TD><TD>TB</TD><TD>7</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Andre Roberts</TD><TD>Ari</TD><TD>7</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Dane Sanzenbacher</TD><TD>Chi</TD><TD>7</TD></TR><TR class="last oddrow"><TD>Visanthe Shiancoe</TD><TD>Min</TD><TD>7</TD></TR><TR class="last evenrow"><TD>Titus Young</TD><TD>Det</TD><TD>7</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>



On target


Receiving yardage is variable because so much of it is dependent on where the quarterback elects to throw the ball. The variations in the number of times a player is targeted by his quarterback may greatly alter a player's value. It's important to look at the underlying target metric on a weekly basis to determine which stud performances were flukes and which dud performances can be written off to a bad day.


On the right, you'll see all the players who received seven or more targets in Week 2, but here are some of the top storylines from Week 2.


Vincent Jackson, San Diego Chargers (15 targets, 10 receptions, 172 yards): After being almost invisible in the Chargers' Week 1 win, Jackson lived up to the expectations the fantasy community had for him entering this season. The bigger item to draw from Jackson's dominance against the New England Patriots is that the Patriots haven't shown to have an answer for larger wide receivers early this year. While Steve Johnson will be a trendy pick next week, look instead for David Nelson (13 targets for 10 receptions and 83 yards), who is 6-foot-5, to be the more productive receiver Sunday.


Jeremy Maclin, Philadelphia Eagles (15 targets, 13 receptions, 171 yards): Rarely does a receiver dominate an NFL game the way Maclin did yet get remembered for one of the two passes that he failed to haul in, but that summarizes Maclin's Sunday night. Even if Michael Vick is kept out of Sunday's game, Maclin should shine. He looks to be 100 percent recovered from his offseason illness.


Matt Forte, Chicago Bears (14 targets, 10 receptions, 117 yards): In point-per-reception leagues, Forte is going to finish near the top of the running back rankings. Through two weeks, he has been targeted an amazing 15 times. Those 7.5 targets per game are greater than the average that Marshall Faulk had in 2001 as a member of the St. Louis Rams' "Greatest Show on Turf." Look for that large number of targets to continue, as other Bears wide receivers aren't stepping up (Devin Hester, one reception on nine targets).


Mike Thomas, Jacksonville Jaguars (11 targets, 3 receptions, 29 yards): Someone has to be the No. 1 receiver for the Jaguars, and it'll be Thomas for at least as long as Marcedes Lewis remains sidelined. However, the change of starting quarterbacks to Blaine Gabbert will severely affect Thomas' fantasy value. Because of the switch, Thomas needs to find the way to your fantasy squad's bench until the rookie quarterback proves he can be a viable signal-caller in the NFL.


Nate Burleson, Detroit Lions (9 targets, 7 receptions, 93 yards): Burleson has publicly stated that he views himself as the Wes Welker of the Lions' offense. If he's going to provide significant fantasy value, he'll need to put up Welker-esque numbers. While he's done that in the first two games, the emergence of Titus Young (7 targets, 5 receptions, 89 yards) will severely hamper that possibility. Burleson makes a decent start for the next two or three weeks, but eventually it'll be Young as the second option in the Lions' passing attack.


Eric Decker, Denver Broncos (9 targets, 5 receptions, 113 yards): I called Decker as my deep sleeper in our final round of sleepers and busts. I'm not backing down now. Decker has all the skills necessary to be a very good receiver and Brandon Lloyd's injury gave him the opportunity he needed. I'm all-in on Decker.


Dallas Clark, Indianapolis Colts (8 targets, 4 receptions, 32 yards): Kerry Collins is at his best when he's not trying to go down the field, so a logical evaluation would be that Clark should be the Colts receiver whose value changes the least from Manning to Collins. However, Collins has been erratic, as evidenced by his 50.7 completion percentage, which is killing Colts drives. Until Collins shows he can be a serviceable option for the Colts passing attack, Clark is nothing more than a borderline starter in most fantasy leagues.


Denarius Moore, Oakland Raiders (8 targets, 5 receptions, 146 yards): I'd say that Darrius Heyward-Bey might have just Wally Pipped himself, but that would imply that Heyward-Bey had lived up to any of the hype that surrounded him when the Raiders drafted him. Moore looked like an absolute beast Sunday. Moore is going to be the Raiders' No. 1 wide receiver for the rest of the season and should be owned in all formats.


Danario Alexander, St. Louis Rams (7 targets, 3 receptions, 122 yards): Alexander gets the great publicity of a solid game against the New York Giants on Monday night, but don't raise his value too quickly. Rookie Greg Salas (8 targets, 4 receptions, 27 yards) was given opportunities, too. Eventually both Danny Amendola and Mark Clayton will return for the Rams, which is likely to push both out of the starting lineup.


Big plays and up close


• There were four NFL players who totaled four or more rushes that gained 10 or more yards each. They were: Maurice Jones-Drew (5), Adrian Peterson (5), Daniel Thomas (4) and Roy Helu (4).


The amazing part of Jones-Drew's five carries of 10 or more yards is that all of those runs were attained against defensive fronts with either five or six defenders on the line of scrimmage. Those fronts are designed to stop the run and Jones-Drew executed in a big way.


Left for dead at the end of the preseason, Thomas stepped up in a big way against the Houston Texans. He looked good enough that the Miami Dolphins cut veteran Larry Johnson. Expect Thomas to become the workhorse back for the Dolphins as the season progresses.


• After a Week 1 that featured just two players with four or more carries inside their opponent's 10-yard line, Week 2 featured nine players who had four or more such carries: Rashard Mendenhall (6), Cam Newton (5), Adrian Peterson (5), Michael Turner (5), Arian Foster (4), Peyton Hillis (4), Fred Jackson (4), LeSean McCoy (4) and Keiland Williams (4). Additionally, Jahvid Best, Shonn Greene, Mark Ingram and Mike Tolbert each had three of carries in that scoring zone.


Of those 13 players, only Arian Foster, Mark Ingram and Mike Tolbert failed to score.


In case you haven't been paying attention, Williams is a member of the Detroit Lions, which means Best's owners should keep a close eye on Williams' work in this area of the field. When Mikel Leshoure went down to injury in the preseason, the prospect of Best getting regular goal-line work increased. If Williams becomes a bit more proficient in this area, Best's current value could take a significant hit. Keep an eye closely on this metric if you own Best.


Jackson may have had four carries, but three of them went for either no yards or negative yards. Fortunately for his owners, the Buffalo Bills don't appear to have a better goal-line option at this moment, so there's not much to worry about, but monitor any news of the Bills working out additional running backs.
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Status of Romo, Vick up in the air

Stephania Bell

Oh yes, there were plenty of injuries in Week 2. Just ask the Kansas City Chiefs, who lost their third starter to an ACL tear. Running back (and top-5 fantasy pick) Jamaal Charles landed awkwardly near the end zone, grabbed his leg in pain and then was carted off the field. That told us all we needed to know about how serious the injury was.


There were plenty more, so here we go.

Tony Romo, QB, Dallas Cowboys: The biggest injury story of Week 2 involves Romo, not only because of the unique nature of the injury but because of his ability to perform in the presence of significant pain. When Romo was injured in the first half Sunday, it initially was announced by the team that he had a broken rib and wouldn't return. But return he did, leading his team to an overtime victory against the San Francisco 49ers. Upon returning to Dallas and undergoing additional testing, including a CT scan, Romo's injury was further clarified as a single rib fracture (there was some question as to whether one or two ribs had been broken) along with a punctured lung.


Here is the official statement released Monday by the Cowboys, separated into sections, with some thoughts as to what it means.


Cowboys' official statement: Additional testing on the fractured rib of Tony Romo today revealed that he also has evidence of a pneumothorax -- a condition that is not unusual for an injury such as the one Romo sustained in the game in San Francisco.


Analysis: A pneumothorax essentially occurs when air enters the pleural cavity (the space between the chest wall and the lung). One of the mechanisms that can lead to a pneumothorax is blunt trauma, most often from a motor vehicle accident, assault (knife, gunshot) or rib fracture. The more air accumulating in the space between the lung and the chest wall, the more pressure there is against the lung. This pressure can eventually cause the lung (or a portion of it) to collapse. The obvious immediate complication is difficulty breathing, and in extremely serious cases, the condition can be life-threatening. In some cases, however, when the puncture is very tiny, the symptoms are much more subtle.


It is important to note that the "additional testing" Romo underwent back in Dallas involved a CT scan, a more sophisticated imaging technique than the initial X-ray taken at the stadium. A small pneumothorax might not be visible on X-ray but could show up on a CT scan. This underscores the importance of the physical evaluation of the athlete that is taking place at the stadium. If Romo showed evidence of serious complication from a pnuemothorax, such as extreme shortness of breath, a drop in blood pressure or confusion, he would not be allowed to return to competition.


Cowboys' official statement: Varying degrees of a pneumothorax can heal in differing time frames.


Analysis: A larger pneumothorax requires insertion of a tube into the chest to help evacuate the extra air. With a very small pneumothorax, there might be no treatment at all, just observation while the lung heals. As noted above, the time to heal varies based on the size of the pneumothorax and the individual's healing rate.


Cowboys' official statement: The Cowboys medical team will continue to monitor the situation and conduct additional tests as the week progresses.
Analysis: Repeat imaging is often performed to determine how the healing is progressing. Beyond the imaging, there is the issue of how Romo is feeling. Is the pain improving? Can he breathe, reach, twist and throw without significant pain? With a nondisplaced rib injury, the primary determining factor for return to play is typically pain. The presence of the pneumothorax suggests extra caution in this case. It should become clearer as the week progresses as to whether Romo has a chance to play Monday night.
Miles Austin, WR, and Felix Jones, RB, Dallas Cowboys: Romo is not the only member of Dallas' walking wounded. Of course, there's wide receiver Dez Bryant, who sat out Week 2 with a thigh contusion (the Cowboys are hopeful he will be available this week). Fellow wideout Austin suffered a setback to his hamstring, the same one he injured in the preseason. After turning in a three-touchdown performance against the 49ers, Austin aggravated the hamstring during the fourth quarter. According to ESPN's Ed Werder, Austin is not expected back until after the team's bye week (Week 5).


And then there's Jones. One might even refer to him as the oft-injured Jones (although Bryant likely eclipses that title). Jones displayed his own toughness though returning to the game after suffering a dislocated right shoulder. The injury was variably reported as a separated shoulder or a dislocated shoulder, but Werder confirmed the injury to be a dislocation, per sources. Dislocation means the humerus (arm bone) actually slipped out of the socket (on the shoulder blade or scapula). Jones was outfitted with a harness to support the shoulder and returned to play but is feeling plenty of postgame discomfort. It sounds as if the Cowboys expect to have him Monday night. He might be in a harness again and he might not be leaned on as much if he is limited. DeMarco Murray and Tashard Choice are there for this reason.

Michael Vick, QB, Philadelphia Eagles: Every time Vick takes off out of the pocket, fantasy owners cringe just waiting for him to take the big hit that will inevitably sideline him. So how strange was it that the hit that knocked him out of the game happened while he was still in the pocket? And while it was a hard hit, it was made all the worse by Vick's front-facing helmet-to-helmet collision with his own teammate, offensive lineman Todd Herremans. In the postgame conference with reporters, coach Andy Reid indicated Vick had suffered a concussion, which is what kept him from returning to the game. Vick will be subject to the same return-to-play guidelines all players in the NFL now are mandated to follow, making a prediction on his availability impossible at this stage.


Arian Foster, RB, Houston Texans: Originally referred to as "fatigued" by coach Gary Kubiak, Foster acknowledged his left hamstring had tightened up on him at halftime Sunday and he opted to remove himself from the game. Disappointing as this was for fantasy owners, this setback does not sound serious. Foster might not have been his explosive self in the first half, but he didn't limp off the field, either. The tightness he felt served as perhaps a good warning signal that it was best not to push his luck in his first game back after suffering a setback in the preseason. This development does create a fantasy dilemma, however, as the Texans have indicated that Ben Tate now will be the lead back, at least in the short term. Kubiak indicated it would be a "process" to work Foster back to a full load, so fantasy owners might want to observe that process before trusting his health.


Quick Hits



• The New York Giants continue to rack up injuries, with their offense almost as nicked up as their defense. Wide receiver Mario Manningham, expected to perhaps see increased targets with teammate Hakeem Nicks questionable up until game time, exited early with a concussion. Nicks did suit up for the game and delivered a touchdown, plus he felt fine coming out of the game, undoubtedly a relief for the Giants. Finally, Domenik Hixon, seeing some time at wide receiver after missing all of 2010 with a torn ACL, made a spectacular catch in the end zone. However, the catch came at a price, as he walked off the field gingerly, headed straight for the locker room and did not do much afterward. According to ESPN New York, Hixon injured his right calf, the same leg that underwent the ACL repair. It sounds as if the injury was relatively minor, but keep an eye on Hixon's practice this week.


New England Patriots tight end Aaron Hernandez was seen limping after Sunday's game, and now we know why. Hernandez reportedly suffered a medial collateral ligament injury, but the degree of injury is unclear. Reports of how much time he will miss have varied, but plan on at least a couple of weeks without him.


• Add wide receiver Eddie Royal to the list of injured Denver Broncos. Royal suffered a groin injury Sunday, which the Denver Post reports will keep him out two to four weeks. Teammate Brandon Lloyd sat out last week with his own groin injury but had returned to limited practice late in the week, hinting at possible availability this week. As for running back Knowshon Moreno, we saw none of him and his injured hamstring last week, so we will have to wait and see whether he turns up in practice this time around. Right now, Willis McGahee is handling the load just fine.
We will continue to update these injuries and others as the week progresses.
 

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Ryan Fitzpatrick's fast start is no fluke

Losing big points at quarterback? Make these claims and drops to be competitive again.
Claims
Ryan Fitzpatrick, Buffalo: He's tied with Tom Brady and Matthew Stafford for the NFL's most touchdown passes (7) and has a favorable schedule against the soft pass defenses of the AFC East and AFC West.
Chad Henne, Miami: Miami's defense has allowed 61 points during the first two games, so Henne should pass frequently to help the Dolphins keep pace.
Rex Grossman, Washington: Already ranking among the top 10 for passing yards and touchdowns, Grossman has a favorable schedule against the soft pass defenses of the AFC East and NFC West.
Drops
Sam Bradford, St. Louis: His offense is decimated by injuries, and Bradford has completed only 51% of his passes.
Matt Cassel, Kansas City: He's averaged a meager 126 passing yards and has thrown just one touchdown to start the season. His season may become worse without one of the NFL's top running backs Jamaal Charles.
Donovan McNabb, Minnesota: Unfortunately, managing a game effectively doesn't translate to the fantasy scoreboard. He's thrown for just one touchdown pass during the first two contests.
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Target Watch: Week 3
Week 2 might have brought us more questions than answers, but that is usually how this faux football thing works. I’m hoping some patterns start to emerge so I’ve put the Week 2 targets before the yearly targets which are in parentheses. I’ll do that all season to bring some order into the volatile world of NFL statistical geekery.
All snap count data comes from our friends over at Pro Football Focus.


Arizona Cardinals

Larry Fitzgerald 9 (16), Andre Roberts 7 (11), Early Doucet 6 (9), Chansi Stuckey 3 (3), Jeff King 2 (5), Beanie Wells 2 (6), Todd Heap 1 (4)

You know who is going to get the majority of targets each week (yeah, it’s Larry) so the true tea leaf reading comes down to Doucet and Roberts. So far it is too close to give one a real edge in fantasy and that makes it tough to recommend either except in deeper leagues. Jeff King keeps making the most out of his targets, but that 2.5 per game average isn’t what you want for your tight end. His touchdown numbers will regress or I guess he could end up with 16! Or not. The lack of targets for Larod Stephens-Howling is a good sign for Beanie Wells' continued passing down dominance.


Atlanta Falcons

Tony Gonzalez 9 (16), Julio Jones 7 (13), Roddy White 4 (17), Jason Snelling 3 (10), Harry Douglas 2 (6), Michael Turner 1 (5)

The Falcons took what was given to them against the Eagles and those were mismatches for Tony Gonzalez. Roddy White won’t usually be shut down like this, but it just goes to show you that pretty much any single player can be limited, but thankfully he still managed a touchdown. These target numbers just reinforce the idea that you should start tight ends against the Eagles soft underbelly.

Last week it looked good for Jacquizz “Master” Rodgers, but his snap count dropped this week to a measly 13. The coaches did give him two rushing attempts in the red zone so they still trust him with the ball in critical situations, but he’s still not the No. 2 running back. The hope for Harry Douglas in a new pass happy Falcons’ offense has been shelved, keep it there.


Baltimore Ravens

Ray Rice 8 (13), Anquan Boldin 7 (14), Ed Dickson 6 (11), Lee Evans 5 (9), Dennis Pitta 3 (5), Vonta Leach 1 (4)

Rice will continue to be first or second in targets, which makes him a top 5 back every week. Boldin’s targets have been consistent so far so he should be a safe start every week, especially since Flacco has only completed two passes to any receiver not named Boldin. And he also had two red zone targets, which is what you want to see. The battle between Pitta and Dickson continues to go Dickson’s way, which makes it easier to think of him as a possible No. 1 tight end.


Buffalo Bills

Steve Johnson 14 (20), David Nelson 13 (19), Donald Jones 6 (11), Scott Chandler 4 (9), Ruvell Martin 3 (3), Roscoe Parrish 2 (4), Fred Jackson 2 (3), C.J. Spiller 1 (2)

With Steve Johnson sidelined for portions of this game David Nelson stepped up as the clear No. 2 receiver. I don’t think we can expect 13 targets again very soon, but in Chan Gailey’s offense there should be enough targets to go around. As long as this trend continues I don’t see any reason that Nelson can’t be an every week starter in PPR leagues.

Scott Chandler strikes again! Unlike Jeff King he does get an ok amount of targets and all four of his targets this week were in the red zone! That’s what us fake footballers like to see. It makes him intriguing even though he’s not getting on the field enough.


Carolina Panthers

Steve Smith 13 (24), Jonathan Stewart 8 (11), Legedu Naanee 7 (12), Jeremy Shockey 5 (8), Brandon LaFell 5 (10), DeAngelo Williams 4 (6), Greg Olsen 4 (10)

If you drafted Mr. Smith this season you got a huge steal. If he can average anywhere close to double digit targets this year you are going to be bathing in the fantasy points Scrooge McDuck style.

The oddest and maybe most telling target stat is Jonathan Stewart receiving eight pass targets! And catching all 8 for 100 yards! (yes, I believe the exclamation marks are deserved.) How much of an aberration this is has yet to be seen, but I think we have to give it some weight. The Panthers defense isn’t top shelf and they will be close or trailing in a good number of games this season. Whichever running back is in on passing downs should end up having more value and Stewart was on the field for 49 snaps compared to DeAngelo Williams who was out there for just 26.

The tight end situation got a little stickier this game. Until Shockey hurts himself (it will be soon) you’ll have to hold off on starting Greg Olsen. He is the No. 1 tight end and is on the field more often than Shockey, but his targets are being eaten into by the gluttonous tight end.


Chicago Bears

Matt Forte 14 (20), Devin Hester 9 (14), Dane Sanzenbacher 7 (8), Johnny Knox 6 (10), Sam Hurd 3 (3), Earl Bennet 1 (5), Kellen Davis 1 (6), Matt Spaeth 1 (3), Kahlill Bell 1 (2), Tyler Clutts 1 (1)
That’s a lot of players to spread over a big target cracker. Matt Forte once again was a PPR beast and will continue to be until further notice. But those other guys, blurgh. Nine targets for Hester sure look nice. Maybe it’s time to get him on our fake football radar. Let’s see, what did he do with those targets? Oh, never mind.

One catch. One stinking catch. Might not want to target him so much. I wouldn’t own any Bears’ receiver until one steps up, which may be a while.
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Cincinnati Bengals

A.J. Green 14 (18), Jerome Simpson 9 (18), Jermaine Gresham 5 (13), Andre Caldwell 4 (5), Cedric Benson 3 (4), Jordan Shipley 3 (5), Brian Leonard 2 (4)

This week was the one Green owners were hoping for. Yes, Simpson still had a bunch of targets, but Green, being the better receiver, deserved more and got them. He absolutely has the skill to be a No. 1 receiver in this league and if Dalton continues to progress and give him targets he can be that sooner than later. It looks like Dalton knows what he has in Green.

Jermaine Gresham had a bit of a letdown from Week 1, but he still had a decent amount of targets including two red zone looks. So far so good there, especially now that we can have a little more faith in the Bengals passing game with Andy Dalton coming around.


Cleveland Browns

Mohamed Massaquoi 6 (13), Alex Smith 5 (5), Peyton Hillis 4 (12), Greg Little 5 (8), Ben Watson 4 (11), Josh Cribbs 3 (6), Owen Marecic 2 (2), Evan Moore 1 (7)

We’re going to be hard pressed to find a consistent fantasy receiver in the Brown’s offense. This game was of course more run oriented due to the opponent, but the offense runs through Hillis no matter who they are playing. And on a side note, that is bad for Hillis who wore down at the end of last season. If Hardesty doesn’t step up soon Hillis might not be able to get up soon.

We saw much less of Evan Moore due to Robert Mathis and Dwight Freeney needing to be blocked, so don’t give up on him. But until I see some consistent targets for Little and Moore (the guys with the most upside) I’m taking a wait and see approach.


Dallas Cowboys

Miles Austin 15 (24), Jason Witten 14 (23), Kevin Ogletree 4 (6), Jesse Holley 3 (3), Felix Jones 2 (6), John Phillips 2 (4), Tashard Choice 2 (3), Demarco Murray 1 (1)

The Cowboys were mostly hobbling through this game, and Austin, their top target is now out for a few games. It’s difficult to see who will step up as the guy besides Jason Witten. He is rock solid and if Dez Bryant is back in the fold and healthy, they will be the target hogs. With Bryant out Ogletree didn’t distinguish himself, but he is the guy next in line and will take over for Austin.

The running back situation was fairly evenly split while Felix Jones was hurting. If he misses any time it very much looks like a time share and a guessing game for fantasy production between Murray and Choice.


Denver Broncos

Eric Decker 9 (14), Eddie Royal 3 (9), Matt Willis 4 (6), Willis McGahee 2 (9), Daniel Fells 2 (8), Julius Thomas 1 (4), Lance Ball 1 (1)

Eric Decker is the story this week. With no Brandon Lloyd and Eddie Royal getting hurt, he was the go to guy and proved he could handle the title. Lloyd will most likely be back, but Royal should be out 2-4 weeks and when he comes back Decker will probably have taken his job.

Julius Thomas goes back in the wine cellar. He needs a little more aging, but don’t give up on him. He has upside to spare. And nice legs.


Detroit Lions

Nate Burleson 9 (14), Jahvid Best 8 (13), Calvin Johnson 7 (17), Titus Young 7 (8), Brandon Pettigrew 3 (9), Tony Scheffler 3 (4), Will Heller 1 (1)

The Lions decided to see if Todd Haley would give them a good old fashion finger wagging after this one. They did what they do best and went pass happy on the Chiefs depleted secondary. Stafford’s arm can support quite a few fantasy players, but of course as you go down the totem pole it gets a little spottier. We know what we have in Best and Megatron, but after that it is a little harder to decipher. So far Nate Burleson has a firm grip on that No. 2 position and I believe we’ll continue to see him get his targets, at least enough to be a WR3 week to week. After that, Young, Pettigrew and Scheffler will have to fight over the looks. I want to believe Young will continue to see this many targets because I love his upside, but I think he’ll be pretty inconsistent. And I also see Scheffler and Pettigrew continuing to steal looks from each other. Jerks.


Green Bay Packers

Greg Jennings 8 (16), Jermichael Finley 6 (10), James Starks 4 (5), Ryan Grant 3 (4), Jordy Nelson 2 (10), John Kuhn 2 (2), Randall Cobb 2 (2), James Jones 2 (3), Donald Driver 1 (7)

The Packers main receivers remain Finley and Jennings, but this offense can support more than that if we can see some consistency. Rodgers is one of those weirdo quarterbacks who likes throwing to the open receiver and with so many weapons we are going to see some fluctuation in targets, but if we look at the sheer number of routes it might help us see who the coaches prefer. The passing route numbers break down as such, Jennings 33, Finley 26, Nelson 24, Driver 22, Jones 11 and Cobb 8.

Last week we saw Nelson with 19 to Driver’s 31. It seems inevitable that this trend should continue which would make Nelson the No. 2 receiver. He only had two targets this week, but that number will be higher as we go forward. And he did have an 84-yard touchdown, so that’s good. Once again we saw James Starks dominate the time and looks on the field. Starks was on the field for 37 plays while Grant was only there for 18. That’s close to what it was last week. There’s no reason to think those numbers will start getting better for Grant any time soon.
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Houston Texans

Andre Johnson 9 (20), Owen Daniels 5 (7), Jacoby Jones 4 (7), Arian Foster 2 (2), Joel Dreessen 2 (3), Bryant Johnson 1 (1)

The Texans had a pretty balanced attack in this one and targets weren’t plentiful. With Kevin Walter out, Jacoby Jones still only saw four targets, which doesn’t say much for Schaub’s faith in him. Owen Daniels was back in the fold with five targets including two in the red zone. I was hoping for more from him, but this is a step in the right direction. He’ll continue to be targeted second or third most and get looks near the end zone. That's a recipe for tasty success.


Indianapolis Colts

Austin Collie 10 (13), Reggie Wayne 8 (18), Dallas Clark 8 (13), Pierre Garcon 5 (11), Joseph Addai 4 (8), Brody Eldridge 1 (1)

This game helped solidify the fears of every Colts fan/Colts fantasy owner, like a cannon ball shot into the gut all slow motion like. Even with 18 targets between them, Collie and Wayne could only cobble together 90 total yards and zilcho touchdowns. They were playing the Browns. This offense is dead inside. And dead to me.


Jacksonville Jaguars

Mike Thomas 10 (21), Jarett Dillard 2 (2), Maurice Jones-Drew 4 (3), Deji Karim 1 (4), Greg Jones 1 (2), Cecil Shorts 1 (1), Kassim Osgood 1 (1)

This is pretty cut and dry. Mike Thomas is the only receiver who will see enough targets in this lackluster offense to have any fantasy value. Darelle Revis and company bottled him up even with 10 targets, but he will have easier matchups and he will continue to get his looks. He will.
It looks like Maurice Jones-Drew is still the king of Jag backs. Last week Deji Karim saw quite a few plays, including passing plays, but the breakdown looks like it’s back to normal. Karim is still the handcuff and will come in to spell him, but his presence shouldn’t hurt MJD’s value.


Kansas City Chiefs

Dwayne Bowe 8 (16), Dexter McCluster 5 (10), Jerheme Urban 3 (5), Leonard Pope 3 (9), Steve Breaston 2 (4), LeRon McClain 2 (2)

The loss of Jamaal Charles slows the offense down to a slug’s pace, but they still play the games I suppose. Bowe managed to put together 100 yards receiving and gave some (possibly false) hope to his fantasy owners. He’ll continue to get his targets, but his zero red zone targets in Week 2 will most likely be a common site since getting to the red zone will be a Herculean feat for this team.

There are three possible replacements for Charles in this offense and the snap numbers go a little something like this: McCluster 33, Jones 27 and McClain 26. That’s pretty even, but McCluster edged Jones out in passing routes and rushes combined. He is a much more dynamic a player and can make things happen that Jones and McClain just can’t.


Miami Dolphins

Brandon Marshall 11 (24), Brian Hartline 7 (14), Davone Bess 5 (12), Anthony Fasano 2 (8), Jeron Mastrud 1 (1), Daniel Thomas 1 (1), Reggie Bush 1 (11)

This game saw the continued target hoggery of Brandon Marshall and a changing of the guard at running back. After a long, storied stint as RB1 in the Dolphins offense, Reggie Bush took a back seat to rookie Daniel Thomas. Coach Sparano said he was aiming for a 70-30 split between Bush and Thomas, so it was quite the surprise to see Thomas as the 70 to Bush’s 30. I’m no math geek (I just look like one) but Thomas’s 19 touches to Bush’s 9 is 68 percent to 32 percent. I’m not sure we can trust the man behind the sunglasses! Is this how it will break down from here on out? Well, it’s hard not to like what we saw from Thomas and Bush isn’t built to be a between the tackles runner all season long. This should be the baseline.


Minnesota Vikings

Percy Harvin 8 (12), Visanthe Shiancoe 7 (8), Bernard Berrian 4 (6), Michael Jenkins 3 (6), Adrian Peterson 2 (5), Kyle Rudolph 1 (1)

The Vikings passing attack is more like a very slight intermittent incursion. And oddly enough their best receiver is barely on the field. Percy Harvin led the team in targets, but was on the field for only 30 of 68 snaps. That’s less than half the time. Most No. 1 receivers are in there 80 percent or more. It’s baffling.

Shiancoe saw a good deal of targets, but didn’t do much with them and we should continue to see Rudolph progress enough to guide McNabb’s sleigh through the big snowstorm of the NFL.
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New England Patriots

Wes Welker 11 (23), Deion Branch 10 (19), Aaron Hernandez 8 (18), Rob Gronkowski 6 (13), Chad Ochocinco 2 (5), Danny Woodhead 2 (3), Benjarvus Green-Ellis 1 (1)

Deion Branch continues to get his fair share of looks and now that Aaron Hernandez is out a few weeks I would’t be surprised if they stayed where they are. The tight ends continue to dominate the red zone looks with 5 a piece in the first 2 games, but without Hernandez we should see Gronk see an extra helping. Ochocinco could see some more work with Hernandez out, but I’d like to see it before I believe it.

BenJarvus Green-Ellis flip-flopped week 1 looks with Danny Woodhead and put together a nice fantasy excursion in the process. You can expect about anything there. I would not be at all surprised to see Stevan Ridley start to cut into both of their touches any day now. I guess I need to watch that Belichick documentary and maybe I’ll be able to understand the methods behind his madness. And grow to love his soft, vulnerable side.


New Orleans Saints

Darren Sproles 10 (19), Jimmy Graham 7 (14), Robert Meachem 4 (12), Lance Moore 4 (4), Pierre Thomas 4 (9), Devery Henderson 3 (12), David Thomas 3 (4)

Lance Moore was only on the field for 25 plays compared to 40 for Devery Henderson and 61 for Robert Meachem. This seems most likely due to his groin pains and this number should rise next week. (don’t even think it!) That should also start to cut into the number of targets Sproles sees. It’s extremely hard to find any kind of pattern in this Saints offense, especially with injuries skewing things up. Jimmy Graham looks like the safest play from week to week, but we did see Mark Ingram get five carries in the red zone and soon he should face a defense that isn’t a Bear or a Packer, unfortunately their week 3 opponent is Houston who is hopped up on free agents and Wade Phillips.


New York Giants

Hakeem Nicks 7 (18), Mario Manningham 7 (14), Ahmad Bradshaw 5 (7), Domenik Hixon 2 (4), Victor Cruz 2 (4), Henry Hynoski 2 (3), Jake Ballard 1 (4), Brandon Jacobs 1 (2), Brandon Stokley 1 (1), Bear Pascoe 1 (1)

It was nice to see Bradshaw get back in the target game and in turn, the reception game. He needs those stats to be the fantasy back you paid for. Jacobs also did what he is good at and had a couple red zone looks, one resulting in a touchdown. That’s the dynamic we are used to and the one we invested our hard earned fake football cash in.

Nicks and Manningham once again dominated the targets as they should, but Manningham had a bad case of the Crisco fingers and also left the game after getting a concussion. If he can’t go, and with Hixon now out for the season, Victor Cruz would most likely fill his shoes.


New York Jets

Dustin Keller 6 (14), Santonio Holmes 4 (14), Mathew Mulligan 3 (3), Plaxico Burress 2 (11), LaDainian Tomlinson 2 (9), Derrick Mason 2 (8), Jeff Cumberland 2 (4), Shonn Greene 2 (3), John Conner 1 (1)

This game was ruled by the defense and not much offense was needed. And the Jets provided just that. The best news here is that Keller, even with only 17 completions on the team, was able to get six of those. He seems to finally be getting consistent targets, plus those coveted red zone targets, which he’s had five of so far this season.

The green tide turned in favor of Shonn Greene this week because they weren’t playing from behind and in pass mode, so that hurt LaDainian Tomlinson who only had eight looks to Greene’s 18. Of course, Greene didn’t do much with those opportunities and you might want to stash Bilal Powell on your bench if you have a long bench.


Oakland Raiders

Darren McFadden 8 (9), Denarius Moore 8 (9), Derek Hagan 8 (8), Marcel Reece 5 (8), Brandon Myers 3 (8), Chaz Schilens 1 (1)

If every game could go like this for the Raiders we’d have ourselves a fake football goldmine! But sadly we are going to have to endure some growing and probably some groin pains, especially in this large amalgamation of wide receivers. Thankfully and hopefully we’ll see the talented Denarius Moore continue to get the opportunities he so nicely earned in Buffalo, and what happens in Buffalo should not stay in Buffalo, at least in this case.

It’s also good to see Run DMC back at it in the receiving game. His one target in Week 1 was disheartening, but his eight in Week 2 was, well, heartening. When he gets the ball in space there isn’t much a single defender can do. Yes, Michael Bush did vulture a goal line touchdown from him and that will most likely continue to happen, but McFadden saw the ball seven times in the red zone compared to three for Bush. I’ll take those odds with talent like his.


Philadelphia Eagles

Jeremy Maclin 15 (18), Brent Celek 7 (10), Jason Avant 4 (11), LeSean McCoy 4 (7), DeSean Jackson 3 (15), Steve Smith 2 (2)

Will Jeremy Maclin get 15 targets to DeSean Jackson’s three from here on out? Yeah, it’s a dumb question, but the anomaly is pretty striking. When they are both on the field the numbers are usually much closer, with Maclin leading one week and D-Jax the next, but never this big of a gap, so don’t worry about Jackson or think that Maclin is the clear No. 1. They do different things and their looks will be dictated by the defense. The good news is that Maclin is 100 percent back and should continue to put up good numbers.

The talk before the season started was that Celek might be used more often than he was last season, but Week q came and went and Brent was left crying in his three target soup. Week 2 brought him a present of seven targets including three in the red zone. He only had 12 red zone targets all last season. If this can keep up he may hold some value.


Pittsburgh Steelers

Mike Wallace 9 (20), Hines Ward 6 (15), Antonio Brown 6 (15), Heath Miller 3 (8), Emmanuel Sanders 3 (6), Rashard Mendenhall 2 (3), Isaac Redman 1 (1) Mewelde Moore 1 (3)

Through two weeks last season Mike Wallace had nine targets with four receptions and this year he has 20 targets with 16 receptions. I think that’s more. If you thought Wallace was a one hit wonder deep threat it’s time to change your tune. He’s curling and crossing and fading all over the field and is on pace for 128 receptions and 1,864 yards. He better step up his game if he wants to get to his predicted 2,000 yards!

The battle between Brown and Sanders is at a standstill. Even though Brown is smoking him in targets Sanders continues to keep pace with him in production. It seems like that should lead to more looks for Sanders, but that hasn’t been the trend as of yet.
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San Diego Chargers

Vincent Jackson 15 (18), Ryan Mathews 9 (14), Mike Tolbert 9 (18), Malcom Floyd 2 (10), Bryan Waters 2 (4), Randy McMichael 1 (4), Antonio Gates 1 (14)

This was the Vincent Jackson show since Coach Belichick gave the kiss of death to Antonio Gates. The hooded one loves to take the opponents best player out of the game and he did just that. That gave Jackson more room to roam and he went off, but still the Patriots won. He must know something. Anyway, the bigger story here is the rise in production for Ryan Mathews. Both Tolbert and Mathews saw work in the passing game with nine targets each and both put up good numbers, but Mathews once again showed he is the superior runner, rushing 12 times for 64 yards and a touchdown while Tolbert rushed nine times for 10 yards and no touchdown. Tolbert is averaging 2.1 yards a carry to Mathews’ 4.5 and even though Tolbert is still getting more red zone looks than Mathews, last week it was 11-0 and this week it was 3-2. The winds of change are a blowin’.


Seattle Seahawks

Ben Obomanu 6 (12), Mike Williams 3 (8), Anthony McCoy 3 (6), Justin Forsett 3 (8), Golden Tate 2 (7), Zach Miller 2 (6), Doug Baldwin 2 (8), Marshawn Lynch 2 (4), Leon Washington 1 (3)

There isn’t one Seahawk player that should be owned in a 12-team fantasy football league.


San Francisco 49ers

Ted Ginn 7 (7), Josh Morgan 5 (7), Delanie Walker 4 (5), Frank Gore 3 (7), Vernon Davis 2 (8), Braylon Edwards 2 (7), Kyle Williams 1 (1)

This offense is trying its best to hide Alex Smith and in turn they are hiding the whole offense. Since they are unable to stretch the field, Frank Gore is getting bottled up and there’s some major viscosity breakdown in that offense’s engine. Until they are able to push the safeties and linebackers back a little it’s going to be rough going for all their fantasy starters. All two of them.


St. Louis Rams

Mike Sims-Walker 11 (15), Greg Salas 8 (11), Brandon Gibson 8 (13), Danario Alexander 7 (7), Cadillac Williams 5 (15), Lance Kendricks 4 (9), Michael Hoomanawanui 2 (2), Billy Bajema 1 (4)

The absence of Danny Amendola left room for Greg Salas to step up. He didn’t. Instead Mike Sims-Walker did. Of course the big numbers came from Danario Alexander and it’s hard to argue with his talent. If his knees can hold up at all he should continue to get targets, but he was only out there for 16 plays while MSW was out there for 64 and Brandon Gibson 48. His knees can’t handle much more.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Preston Parker 7 (13), Kellen Winslow 8 (16), Earnest Graham 5 (14), Mike Williams 4 (14), Dezmon Briscoe 4 (6), Arrelious Benn 2 (9), Luke Stocker 1 (1)

Mike Williams’ negative four yards probably wasn’t what you were hoping for. He did have an amazing touchdown grab called back due to an illegal formation penalty, but for the most part Tampa Mike was double teamed and the receivers who had single coverage just weren't good enough to force that coverage away from him.

Once again LeGarrette Blount didn’t see many carries because they were behind for much of the game, but he made due with the 14 he had and scored two touchdowns. He’s risky because he isn’t on the field in passing downs, but you saw what he can do when he does touch the ball.


Tennessee Titans

Kenny Britt 13 (23), Nate Washington 11 (18), Chris Johnson 5 (12), LaVelle Hawkins 4 (4), Jared Cook 3 (5), Marc Mariani 2 (3), Javon Ringer 2 (2), Quinn Johnson 1 (1), Craig Stevens 1 (4)

The more teams try to stop Chris Johnson the more Matt Hasselbeck is going to burn them with Britt and Washington. Seeing these kind of target numbers in the passing game is great news for Chris Johnson fantasy owners. As he gets back up to playing speed Hasselbeck is making the passing game work which will lessen the pressure up front and a full go CJ2K versus a defensive front that has to worry about an actual passing game is all she wrote. Oh, and they face the Broncos in week 3. That might be all she wrote. Whoever she is.


Washington Redskins

Santana Moss 9 (17), Jabar Gaffney 8 (15), Fred Davis 7 (13), Donte Stallworth 5 (5), Roy Helu 4 (4), Anthony Armstrong 4 (10), Chris Cooley 2 (5), Tim Hightower 2 (5), Darrel Young 2 (2)

There were a lot of targets out there in Native America and not that many found their target, but when Sexy Rexy throws the ball 43 times he’s bound to hit someone on his team once in a while. It looks like Santana Moss is going to get hit the most and have another quiet, but productive PPR season. Jabar Gaffney is trying to be the poor man’s Santana Moss, which makes him pretty darn poor in fantasy circles, but he’s getting his looks, for what it’s worth. Fred Davis is truly breaking out and looks like a No. 1 fantasy tight end in the making, well, maybe he’s done made.

The real story though is Roy Helu. His 10 carries for 74 yards and three receptions for 38 yards didn’t come in garbage time, but in the thick of the battle. Shanahan saw how well he was running and left him in there. That’s not the best news for Tim “Riggins” Hightower. The fact that Helu saw four passing targets to Hightower’s two is even more interesting to me. That means that if he does wrestle the job from him he can most likely be the every down back. I believe it’s just a matter of time. Cue the Jams theme Timmy.
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Don't let your loves turn to hates

By Matthew Berry
ESPN.com

The conference room table.

The thing I remember the most was the conference room table.


It was big, made of rich mahogany and seemed to go on forever. I was actually dressed up and shaved, a rarity for me in those days, and as I was shown in, I hoped they would tell me where to sit. I hadn't had a meeting as big as this, so I was nervous. What do you do? Do you sit close so they can hear? Do you sit away, to show respect? And hide the flop sweat? Do I take the drink offered or not? OK, they brought me the drink. No coaster? I'm gonna leave a mark. I can't leave a mark, right? I'll just use my notes. I remember my last thought before it started. "Please let me not throw up."


He was impressive in person, as you might suspect. He was in charge of one of the biggest sports media companies in the world and had the power to do whatever he wanted, including hiring me to run fantasy sports for that company, if I could just convince him that this would be a good idea. I gave it my all. I was passionate. I had ideas. I had a plan. I had a plan. THE plan, I was convinced. I pitched my little heart out. And kept the sweat to a minimum.


He looked at me. He seemed to be thinking but gave away nothing. He thanked me for my time, and he appreciated the thought I had given this. He said he would be in touch. A week later, I got the call that they were passing but wished me luck. It would be 18 months before I would get a similar meeting, this time at ESPN, where I would do the same song and dance again.
But I kept the faith.

Between that first meeting and the one that would eventually get me to the Worldwide Leader, I gave the same presentation three more times, once on the phone and never to anyone as powerful, but all the same ideas. Fantasy sports are more than a fad. This space is going to explode. You have a real opportunity here. I think I can help.



Three more times I heard thanks, but no thanks. Along the way, I was turned down by multiple websites to write for them for free, I was rejected by multiple newspapers and radio stations, and I was something like 1-for-75 on getting on cable TV.


But I kept the faith.


I'm a never-say-die guy. Sometimes stupidly, often stubbornly, but I am, to my core, a never-ever-say-die guy. No idea why, but I've always said the worst thing you can say to me is "You can't do that." I've been that way since I was a kid.


I didn't get into many of the colleges I applied to and shouldn't have been admitted to Syracuse. Only a bunch of videos I had made as a high school kid got me past my very unimpressive high school résumé.


I was fired as the host of a college TV talk show because they felt I was too uncomfortable to watch on TV. I was forced to quit writing for my college newspaper. I was fired from my first production assistant job in Hollywood. I was fired a week into my first professional TV writing job. I was turned down for representation 14 different times, including twice by Creative Artists Agency, which now represents me.


I wrote for years in Hollywood, and the only movie that got made was the worst one my writing partner and I wrote. I tried to get a side job for fun writing fantasy at three different websites before catching on somewhere, and I eventually was fired from that site. I kept the faith and started my own site.

<INLINE1>I got divorced in 2005. I moved from Los Angeles to Connecticut in March 2007 with only my dog and not one friend within 200 miles of my new home. I kept the faith.


There are times in life and fantasy football, not necessarily in that order, when it's good to have a blind belief that everything will work out, even when nothing seems it will. I had many of those days and nights in my life when blind faith was the only thing to keep me going, because there was nothing else to suggest better days ahead.


I continue to believe in Michael Vick at No. 1 in a standard 10-team league. I am standing by Antonio Gates. DeAngelo Williams, Chad Ochocinco, Felix Jones and the Cowboys' offense, Percy Harvin, Owen Daniels, Marques Colston, Lance Moore, Sam Bradford, Steven Jackson, Shonn Greene, Roy Helu and others are among the players who I think have better days ahead because they'll get healthy or have a better schedule or opportunity. There are red flags aplenty with all of these guys, and the schedule for many of them gets harder before it gets easier (the Rams are brutal for the next five but should have a cakewalk over the final nine, for example). So if you want to bail, I understand. I can even help you justify it. But I am a never-say-die guy. I continue to trudge on, keeping the faith.


Time now for Love/Hate for Week 3. The usual caveats apply. This is not a pure start/sit column, but rather it's about guys I like more or less than my fellow ESPN analysts, as per our Wednesday ranks. For a specific instance of how I feel about someone in relation to someone else, check my rankings, which will be updated Friday. Also, follow me on Twitter, where I post last-minute updates; this past Sunday morning, I told you I was high on Eric Decker after Brandon Lloyd's scratch became official.


Week 3 Players I Love:

Matthew Stafford, QB, Lions (My rank: 3, Average of others: 6): Well, so far he's healthy. He's kind of an obvious name by this point, and this is the third straight week I've written about him. But because I have him third overall and am still highest on him (again) among my fellow rankers, here he is again. Is it nuts that I have him over Aaron Rodgers? Maybe, but he already has more points on the season than Rodgers, and he's not the one on the road at Chicago.


Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, Bills (8, 11): Excuse me. Sorry. If you could … yes, just to the left there. Right. And if you just take a step back and you, yes, you, over there, if you'll just scooch over … perfect. (Turns around.) Hey you! Hop on! Plenty of room on the bandwagon.


Rex Grossman, QB, Redskins (10, 16): He now has at least 290 yards in five of his six starts under coach Mike Shanahan, including a 322-yard-with-four-scores game against Dallas last season. Grossman threw two picks last week, but only one was his fault. Dallas has a banged-up secondary, and this game is almost always a shootout. Two interesting facts: The Redskins lead the NFL in time of possession, and just because you own Grossman doesn't mean you actually have to watch him play.


Kevin Kolb, QB, Cardinals (13, 16): Death, taxes, start your guys against the Seahawks.


Chad Henne, QB, Dolphins (19, 25): Dolphins offensive coordinator Brian Daboll used to be on the Browns' staff and knows the Cleveland defense well. Sure, the Browns have the league's second-best pass defense, but they've played Kerry Collins, Bruce Gradkowski and Andy Dalton in their first two games. I like Joe Haden, but come on. I'm a believer in the Texans' defense, so I chalk last week up to that, and so far this season, only Cam Newton and Tom Brady have more completions of 20-plus yards than Henne.


Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Steelers (4, 9): Another super obvious name whom everyone is going to start, but for those of you in salary-cap games, I have Mendenhall higher than most. The Colts have allowed four rushing touchdowns from running backs in two games, most in the NFL, and I expect Pittsburgh to be up big and running a lot in this game.


Fred Jackson, RB, Bills (12, 17): OK, if you get on your knees and then you, yes, you, in the blue-and-red sweater, can lean on the pole while the three of us crouch together underneath, then I think we just might be … almost … keep squeezing … yes, there we go. Plenty of space. Hiya! Come on up.


Mike Tolbert, RB, Chargers (16, 24): So, last week I wrote "told you so" after Tolbert's name because I felt I had been the only guy talking up Tolbert in the preseason and everyone else was saying Ryan Mathews. I was also the only one who had ranked Tolbert ahead of Mathews the first week here on ESPN. And I felt that there was nothing to say about Tolbert that I hadn't already said a million times before. So I made a quick joke, and two things happened: I got called out for being "that guy" by bragging about the Tolbert call (fair enough), and I was dead wrong. Karma is being on the wrong side of a running back committee. So, with apologies for last week, allow me to say that I still believe in Tolbert. He's still the goal-line back, he's still the best pass-protector (although Mathews has definitely improved), he'll still split carries, and the Chargers will be playing Kansas City. Both guys will have good games. I saw one good game from Mathews. And I like him. But I've seen a lot more from Tolbert, who will be back in my lineup this week.


Brandon Jacobs, RB, Giants (33, 37): What are they going to do? Let Eli Manning throw it? On the road, against Nnamdi Asomugha? The way you beat the Eagles is on the ground (only two teams have allowed more rushing yards this year) and attacking the middle of the field, as the Falcons demonstrated last week. With all the injuries to their receiving corps, the Giants will run even more against that small Philly front line.


Roy Helu, RB, Redskins (38, 46): Two of my fellow rankers didn't even rank him, but I loved what I saw last week: 112 yards on just 13 touches. He was in the game in crucial situations as the Redskins came from behind last week, and Shanahan's trust in him will only grow. With speed and size, he is a great fit for the Redskins' zone-blocking run scheme, and Dallas has to respect the pass, especially given the injuries to its secondary. Washington will want to control the clock on the road at the Cowboys' home opener, so if you're this far down, I like Helu's chances for at least 50-60 total yards with upside for more.


Steve Smith, WR, Panthers (7, 13): Cam Newton has three plays: throw it deep to Smith, throw it underneath to a tight end or a running back, or run it himself. Against the Jaguars, three's enough. After the first two weeks and given the matchup, I have no idea how you can't make Smith a top-10 play, but apparently I'm alone on that island. Newton averages 11.3 air yards per pass attempt this season, most in the NFL.


Santana Moss, WR, Redskins (12, 18): 11 career games against Dallas as a member of the Redskins, 995 yards, 6 touchdowns -- including two the last time he faced Dallas. With Grossman as his quarterback. Did I mention the banged-up Cowboys secondary?


Chad Ochocinco, WR, Patriots (26, 42): Total and complete gut call here. Two weeks in, no Aaron Hernandez, time to get Ochocinco involved as he continues to learn the offense. In what should be a high-scoring game, you know Tom Brady likes to spread the love, so I expect Ochocinco not only to get some from Tom Terrific but also to tweet incessantly about it after.


Malcom Floyd, WR, Chargers (28, 38): See Kolb, Kevin. Substitute the word "Chiefs" for "Seahawks." Add "at home" and "angry about loss" and "scored two touchdowns the last time he faced them, when they were still trying."


David Nelson, WR, Bills (38, 42): He leads Buffalo in receptions, has one fewer target and just 13 yards fewer than Steve Johnson, and this will be a high-scoring game. So why don't you … It is all full? Are you sure? Did you check in the back? Huh. What about on the side there, by the radio guys section? Hmmm. Well, you wanna drive?


Tony Scheffler, TE, Lions (13, NR): I was the only one who ranked Scheffler, who has scored in two straight games, and the Vikings have allowed 155 yards to opposing tight ends in the first two games this season. Yes, Scheffler has just two receptions, but I expect him to be more involved in this game with Brandon Pettigrew banged up. (He missed practice on Wednesday with a shoulder injury.)


Evan Moore, TE, Browns (12, 17): He leads the team in red zone targets, and the Dolphins have shown they're vulnerable to big tight ends by giving up one touchdown each to Rob Gronkowski and Owen Daniels, and another to the smaller Aaron Hernandez.


Bengals D/ST (15, 23): I mean, no disrespect to Alex Smith or anything, but …


Week 3 Players I Hate:

Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Steelers (15, 9): Even with a cushy matchup like the Seahawks at home, Big Ben threw for just one touchdown. He also had to leave the game briefly because the Steelers have an offensive line made of … um … stuff that doesn't block very well. As we go ESPN Next Level, the Colts are sending five or more rushers more than 28 percent of the time, and although the Colts' defense doesn't scare me at all, I do think the Steelers will get up big in this game and run quite a bit. I also feel the defense will dominate, giving Pittsburgh a short field quite a lot, meaning fewer chances for passing yards. Roethlisberger is a safe play this week, but there are many guys with more upside.


Joe Flacco, QB, Ravens (17, 14): The Rams are allowing an average of 174 yards passing per game this season. And it's not like they're the Browns, who have faced Kerry Collins and the Andy Dalton/Bruce Gradkowski tandem. The Rams have seen Michael Vick and Eli Manning in their first two games. No doubt New York had a short field a lot Monday night, but that doesn't change the idea that St. Louis' pass defense is better than you think. Meanwhile, Flacco is averaging just 210 passing yards in his first two games. He bailed you out in Week 1 with three scores, but touchdown passes are hard to predict, especially when you have a great run game, as the Ravens do. On the road at the Rams, I expect another conservative game plan (Flacco is bottom-10 in the NFL in yards per pass attempt) and a so-so fantasy performance from Flacco.


Eli Manning, QB, Giants (21, 17): Who will he throw to at this point? Against the Eagles' secondary? On the road? Only four teams have allowed more sacks, and Manning has been picked off in each game. (In fact, since Week 13 of the NFL season, Manning leads the NFL in interceptions.) No thanks.


Kyle Orton, QB, Broncos (NR, 21): "NR" means "Not ranked," as in I felt there were 25 better quarterbacks to play this week over The Style That Is Kyle on the road at a Tennessee team that just shut down Joe Flacco. Orton's wideouts are also banged up (no Eddie Royal, and Brandon Lloyd missed last week) and despite pretty friendly competition (Oakland and Cincinnati), he has yet to put up numbers. At least, numbers you'd want. The Titans aren't blitzing very much, just sending four and dropping seven back, as they believe that their front four can get enough pressure ("coverage sacks," if you will). So far, it's working. Considering only four teams have allowed more sacks this year (again, against so-so teams), I expect it to happen again.


Cedric Benson, RB, Bengals (28, 20): If he couldn't prove me wrong against the Broncos, he's not doing it against a 49ers run defense that has allowed just 54 yards per game, just 2.5 yards per rush and zero rushing touchdowns. I am keeping the faith that Benson will remain terrible.


Beanie Wells, RB, Cardinals (20, 13): I admit that he's looked better than I thought, and I do have him inside my top 20, but 13 strikes me as really high (Tristan Cockcroft even has him top-10!) because … (looks around) … come closer, I don't want to say this loudly … but … (whispers) I don't think Seattle's run defense is terrible. (Ducks and avoids thrown food.) Look, the Seahawks have allowed just 209 rushing yards (middle-of-the-pack in the NFL) and it's been against Frank Gore and Rashard Mendenhall, both on the road. (This game is at Seattle, where they traditionally play much better.) I feel that the Seahawks have much bigger issues in their secondary, and yes, Wells did score in this game last year, but he had just 54 yards rushing on 14 carries (3.9 YPC). I don't know, he's a "start" at No. 20, but I'm not feeling a huge game just "because it's Seattle."


Thomas Jones, RB, Chiefs (37, 30): I get PR reports from the NFL teams, and they always include positive stats about players. Every once in a while I'll use one, like "so-and-so has three 100-yard rushing games versus the AFC" or that sort of thing. I haven't used one yet in this article. Because they are from the team, they are always positive stats, so if I ever use them, they're in the "love" section. Anyway, here's all Kansas City could come up with for Thomas Jones: "Thomas Jones (1,980) needs 20 receiving yards to reach 2,000 for his career." Yeah. Just because Jamaal Charles is out doesn't suddenly turn back the clock for Jones, who is still old, still has Dexter McCluster to share touches, still on the road at an angry San Diego host, and still plays for a team that has yet to score a rushing touchdown this season.


Hakeem Nicks, WR, Giants (20, 10): Hammy. Nnamdi. Eli.


Plaxico Burress, WR, Jets (43, 31): Now there's the Plaxico I expected. Two targets, zero receptions. Against Jacksonville. This team is built to run, and when it is not, Santonio Holmes and Dustin Keller are the first two targets.


Devery Henderson, WR, Saints (41, 32): So, I put him on this list last week, and of course, he made me look like an idiot. Bad call. But I'm back again, because although I didn't think it would happen for a second straight time last week, I definitely don't think it'll happen a third time. Henderson had a 79-yard touchdown reception last week. In 95 career games, he has four games with a touchdown reception of more than 60 yards. Four. He has only nine games with a reception of more than 60 yards, touchdown or not. He is all feast-or-famine and, as Lance Moore gets healthier, I don't see Henderson doing well against a good (you heard me) Texans defense.


Kellen Winslow, TE, Buccaneers (19, 9): In five career games against Atlanta, he's never scored a touchdown. He had fewer than 31 yards receiving in each game last year. But maybe I'm being too harsh. What say you, Tampa Bay PR person? "Has a catch in 78 straight games!" There you go.
That's a wrap on Love/Hate for Week 3. And whether you are 0-2 or 2-0, please keep the faith …
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Flex ranks: Ben Tate a top-15 option
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Eric Karabell

Two weeks down, 15 to go (or fewer if you don't count Week 17)! Week 3 is just about here, and we're ready to roll, so enjoy the latest flex rankings.

1. Adrian Peterson, RB, Vikings: Right on track, Peterson could probably be had a bit cheaper than normal now because the team and its quarterback are struggling.
2. Ray Rice, RB, Ravens: Not the best Week 2 game, but he's still a terrific fantasy option.
3. LeSean McCoy, RB, Eagles: Would he struggle if Mike Kafka was the quarterback? Doubtful.
4. Chris Johnson, RB, Titans: You've basically run out of time to acquire him on the cheap. This week he gets it going.
5. Matt Forte, RB, Bears
6. Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Steelers
7. Darren McFadden, RB, Raiders: Has the look of a top-5 running back.
8. Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, Jaguars: Don't overrate the team's change at quarterback hurting him; it really couldn't get any worse.
9. Andre Johnson, WR, Texans
10. Michael Turner, RB, Falcons: Pessimists point out that he's not the same guy, that he's dependent on the long runs. I concur. But as long as he keeps getting the long runs, he's top 10 in these rankings.
11. Calvin Johnson, WR, Lions: His fans won't rest until I make him the No. 1 receiver. Honestly, I'm thisclose to making the next guy No. 1.
12. Vincent Jackson, WR, Chargers: His season will be more like his Week 2 numbers than Week 1.
13. Ben Tate, RB, Texans: High praise indeed, but I would be surprised if Arian Foster suits up this week. And Tate is probably just as good.
14. Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Cardinals
15. Peyton Hillis, RB, Browns: The Browns seem concerned with him wearing out -- and so should you. So maybe you use him now and deal him in November?
16. Ahmad Bradshaw, RB, Giants: Philly's getting gashed up the middle, thanks to mediocre linebacker play.
17. Roddy White, WR, Falcons
18. Fred Jackson, RB, Bills: Nobody has more rushing yards than this guy, but he'll want/need to catch more passes this week against New England.
19. Kenny Britt, WR, Titans
20. Jahvid Best, RB, Lions: Please stay healthy, please stay healthy, please …
21. Mike Wallace, WR, Steelers
22. Greg Jennings, WR, Packers
23. Brandon Marshall, WR, Dolphins: Please stay happy, please stay happy, please …
24. Ryan Mathews, RB, Chargers: Don't worry about his bulldozing running back complement; Mathews is doing just fine.
25. DeSean Jackson, WR, Eagles: Seems to be answering questions about his motivation.
26. Frank Gore, RB, 49ers: Not doing much, but 42 carries in two games is a great sign.
27. Wes Welker, WR, Patriots
28. Hakeem Nicks, WR, Giants
29. LeGarrette Blount, RB, Buccaneers: Bounced back well, and remains a strong RB2.
30. Beanie Wells, RB, Cardinals
31. Tim Hightower, RB, Redskins: Let's continue to blindly think happy thoughts here. But is Mike Shanahan doing the same?
32. Steve Johnson, WR, Bills: Not 100 percent, and might need a break at some point soon.
33. Steven Jackson, RB, Rams: Should play, and play well.
34. Dez Bryant, WR, Cowboys: Should play, and play very well.
35. Mike Tolbert, RB, Chargers
36. Jeremy Maclin, WR, Eagles
37. Steve Smith, WR, Panthers: Nobody could have imagined him having the numbers he has right now; consider last season he had 554 receiving yards. At his current pace he'll get there in Week 4.
38. BenJarvus Green-Ellis, RB, Patriots
39. Reggie Wayne, WR, Colts: Still a worthy WR2. Maybe you can acquire him on the cheap?
40. Cedric Benson, RB, Bengals
41. Santonio Holmes, WR, Jets: Jets are throwing way too much, yet Santonio's numbers are a bit down.
42. Santana Moss, WR, Redskins: In Rex he trusts. I'm getting there, too.
43. Antonio Gates, TE, Chargers: One week he gets 13 targets, the next he gets one. I'll say he gets a good half of football in this week -- it is the Chiefs, after all -- before calling it a day.
44. Brandon Lloyd, WR, Broncos: Still the team's top wide receiver -- for now.
45. James Starks, RB, Packers: Clearly the team's top running back, and he's getting better.
46. Dwayne Bowe, WR, Chiefs: Reminds me of Reggie Wayne. It's a mess in KC, but he's still valuable.
47. Willis McGahee, RB, Broncos: I have little confidence in the other guy.
48. Jason Witten, TE, Cowboys: Fantasy's best tight end? He's getting there.
49. Percy Harvin, WR, Vikings: You can't blame Donovan McNabb for the fact Harvin has been on the field for a mere 51 percent of the team's offensive plays. Harvin needs to play more.
50. Daniel Thomas, RB, Dolphins: Nice debut. I buy into it.
51. A.J. Green, WR, Bengals
52. Rob Gronkowski, TE, Patriots: Definitely a starter, but don't expect increased production. How much better can it get?
53. Anquan Boldin, WR, Ravens
54. Thomas Jones, RB, Chiefs: I think you could do worse than him at flex. He should be busy, and if he's busy, the counting stats should be there.
55. Robert Meachem, WR, Saints: Considering the circumstances (Marques Colston out), he has been disappointing.
56. Mike Williams, WR, Buccaneers: He has been disappointing as well. But note that he had a touchdown wiped out last week, so while it didn't officially happen, he still scored it. Some perspective is needed.
57. Shonn Greene, RB, Jets: If only I thought Joe McKnight could play, that would really change things with Greene.
58. Jordy Nelson, WR, Packers: You don't see Donald Driver or James Jones in these rankings, do ya?
59. DeAngelo Williams, RB, Panthers: Not a bad start this week, unless game versus Jaguars becomes yet another shootout.
60. Plaxico Burress, WR, Jets
61. Felix Jones, RB, Cowboys: It appears he will play, and be busy enough.
62. Jermichael Finley, TE, Packers
63. Mario Manningham, WR, Giants: Be careful here. Michael Vick is the most popular player in the Eagles-Giants tilt dealing with a concussion, but Manningham's is probably worse.
64. Nate Burleson, WR, Lions: He's not quite at Wes Welker's level yet, as he preaches to be.
65. Darren Sproles, RB, Saints: PPR star!
66. Devery Henderson, WR, Saints: Has been this team's best fantasy player, other than the quarterback.
67. Mark Ingram, RB, Saints: Saints run! And this fellow will get his touchdowns eventually.
68. Jimmy Graham, TE, Saints
69. Deion Branch, WR, Patriots
70. Eric Decker, WR, Broncos: If you like Kyle Orton, as I do, you could see this situation developing.
71. Joseph Addai, RB, Colts
72. Johnny Knox, WR, Bears
73. Pierre Thomas, RB, Saints: Will remain relevant, but is his window closing?
74. Jerome Simpson, WR, Bengals: Seems to have some off-field issues to overcome, but he's productive on it.
75. LaDainian Tomlinson, RB, Jets: If LT were five years younger, Shonn Greene wouldn't be a factor at all.
76. Fred Davis, TE, Redskins: Remove Chris Cooley and Davis is probably a top-5 tight end.
77. Julio Jones, WR, Falcons
78. Reggie Bush, RB, Dolphins
79. Malcom Floyd, WR, Chargers
80. Mike Thomas, WR, Jaguars: People are dropping him, but honestly, the move to Blaine Gabbert could really help Thomas.
81. David Nelson, WR, Bills: Looks like a nice play against the Patriots.
82. Danny Woodhead, RB, Patriots
83. Jonathan Stewart, RB, Panthers
84. Lance Moore, WR, Saints
85. Marshawn Lynch, RB, Seahawks: It really can't get any worse. Like closers in baseball, you gotta own the starting running backs. All of them.
86. Dallas Clark, TE, Colts
87. Chad Ochocinco, WR, Patriots
88. Cadillac Williams, RB, Rams
89. Austin Collie, WR, Colts
90. Mike Sims-Walker, WR, Rams: Actually looked good against the Giants. I'll give him another shot.
91. Brandon Jacobs, RB, Giants
92. Pierre Garcon, WR, Colts
93. Dexter McCluster, RB/WR, Chiefs: Big wild card this weekend. Let's just say everyone's watching.
94. Roy Helu, RB, Redskins: I'm a fan, and I think you should be, too. Knowing the team's coach, this guy could be starting before October.
95. Jabar Gaffney, WR, Redskins
96. Dustin Keller, TE, Jets
97. Denarius Moore, WR, Raiders: Might get a bit overrated this week, but there's talent there for sure.
98. Ryan Grant, RB, Packers: Might be his last week on this list.
99. C.J. Spiller, RB, Bills
100. Nate Washington, WR, Titans
Best of the rest: Michael Bush, RB, Raiders; Delone Carter, RB, Colts; Hines Ward, WR, Steelers; Montario Hardesty, RB, Browns; Isaac Redman, RB, Steelers
Best of luck with your flex decisions in Week 3 and beyond!
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Week 3 fantasy matchups

Owners should look to start Cam Newton, Chris Johnson; avoid Eli Manning, others


By Danny Tuccitto
Football Outsiders

My first foray into formally writing about fantasy football matchups ended up being a mixed bag. Players like Joe Flacco, Tim Hightower, Jahvid Best, Jared Cook, Carolina's Steve Smith and the Kansas City running backs held up their ends of the bargain, whereas others like Cedric Benson, Chad Henne and Johnny Knox didn't -- to put it mildly. Just as NFL teams scout their weaknesses each week, it's useful to consider what went wrong with some of the picks.


The most obvious culprit is the statistical uncertainty that surrounds offensive and defensive performance this early in the season. Such uncertainty is exactly why I told you to basically ignore matchups in Week 1. As the season goes on, we gather more and more data, sample sizes increase, estimates of team strength become more reliable and fantasy matchup analysis gets more reliable.


Take Henne's flop against the Texans. There were all kinds of contradictory statistical indicators involved in that matchup. According to Football Outsiders' DVOA projections going into the season, which tend to be pretty accurate, Houston wasn't supposed to have a good pass defense, regardless of whatever magic show Wade Phillips and Johnathan Joseph brought to town. In Week 1, they dominated a Colts offense led by Kerry Collins, which was about as difficult as evading a sheriff's office led by Roscoe P. Coltrane. On the other end of the equation was Henne, who we projected as being better than most people expect, and who had just come off of a 400-yard passing game.


Now, throw into the mix that our matchup analysis gives a bonus for players at home, and that the Texans-Dolphins game was in Miami. And before you say, "The Dolphins were 1-11 in their past 12 home games," remember that (A) that's Duke-capture rare for an otherwise average team; (B) Henne had just thrown for 400 yards at home; and (C) even if the Dolphins are truly a bad team at home, that could mean they're more likely to pass while losing.


So, putting it all together, what you had in Henne's case was a profile that suggested a good matchup, but was nevertheless awash in statistical uncertainty. In this particular instance, the statistical analysis ended up being wrong. However, if that game took place in Week 12, we'd be much more confident about the true nature of Houston, Henne and his home-field advantage in 2011; and therefore wouldn't recommend him.


Therefore, just to reiterate, although I hit on several good matchups -- including the Smith one, for which I caught some grief in last week's comments section -- these analyses get more and more accurate as the season progresses. At this point, my advice is to use them for decisions at the margins of your lineup. If you're between two players, and one shows up here as having a particularly bad matchup or a particularly good matchup according to the statistics, then pull the trigger. Otherwise, keep going with your main guys until further notice.


With all of that said, you guys expressed some confusion about how to interpret the ± point totals. First, I'm working off of a scoring system that gives 1 point per 20 passing yards, 1 point per 10 rushing or receiving yards, 4 points for a passing touchdown, 6 points for a rushing or receiving touchdown, minus-2 points for an interception and minus-2 points for a lost fumble. Second, the actual ± value represents the number of points a player is likely to gain or lose because of his matchup when compared to an average player at his position facing an average matchup. For instance, Wes Welker's plus-5 this week means his matchup against Buffalo suggests he'll score five more points than an average wide receiver facing an average matchup (think Brian Hartline at Cleveland).


Now that we have all that out of the way, on to the best and worst fantasy matchups of Week 3.
<OFFER><!-- begin inline 1 -->Players With Favorable Matchups

Based on defense-adjusted value over average (DVOA). For the methodology, click here.
<TABLE style="WIDTH: 280px"><THEAD><TR class=last><TD>Team</TD><TD>Pos</TD><TD>Name</TD><TD>+/- Fan. Pts</TD></TR></THEAD><TBODY><TR class=last><TD>CLE</TD><TD>RB</TD><TD>Peyton Hillis</TD><TD>+10</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>ATL</TD><TD>RB</TD><TD>Michael Turner</TD><TD>+8</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>HOU</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Andre Johnson</TD><TD>+8</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>TEN</TD><TD>RB</TD><TD>Chris Johnson</TD><TD>+7</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>ARI</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Larry Fitzgerald</TD><TD>+7</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>SD</TD><TD>QB</TD><TD>Philip Rivers</TD><TD>+6</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>ATL</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Roddy White</TD><TD>+6</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>CIN</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>A.J. Green</TD><TD>+6</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>PHI</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Jeremy Maclin</TD><TD>+6</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>PIT</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Mike Wallace</TD><TD>+6</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>SD</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Vincent Jackson</TD><TD>+6</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>TEN</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Kenny Britt</TD><TD>+6</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>CAR</TD><TD>QB</TD><TD>Cam Newton</TD><TD>+5</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>CLE</TD><TD>QB</TD><TD>Colt McCoy</TD><TD>+5</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>PIT</TD><TD>RB</TD><TD>Rashard Mendenhall</TD><TD>+5</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>BUF</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Steve Johnson</TD><TD>+5</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>BUF</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>David Nelson</TD><TD>+5</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>CAR</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Steve Smith</TD><TD>+5</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>NE</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Wes Welker</TD><TD>+5</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>NE</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Deion Branch</TD><TD>+5</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>TEN</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Nate Washington</TD><TD>+5</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


<!-- end inline 1 -->

Quarterbacks



Colt McCoy (plus-5 points)
Through two games, the Dolphins have given up the third-most fantasy points to quarterbacks, and they have the third-worst pass defense VOA, which isn't adjusted for opponent strength. Of course, that small detail is kind of important. McCoy isn't Matt Schaub, and he's definitely not Tom Brady. The Browns' offense isn't the Texans' offense and definitely isn't the Patriots' offense.


Nevertheless, there are a couple of trends that make this a good matchup. First, whether you look at last season (ranked 28th) or the first two games of this season (ranked 25th), Miami has demonstrated that it can't cover tight ends. Similarly, the Browns have demonstrated that they feature their tight ends heavily in the red zone. You do the math. Second, even though McCoy isn't Schaub or Brady, he's also not Tarvaris Jackson or Collins. He might not throw for 500 yards, but it's likely he won't throw for 100, either.


Cam Newton (plus-5 points)
By now, I think it's clear that Newton must be taken seriously as a fantasy starter. You know, fool me once, shame on you, and so on. But if, for some reason, you're still skittish about handing your team over to a rookie quarterback who has to fall to earth at some point, pay attention. The Jaguars are a below-average pass defense, Newton is at home and it's apparent that Carolina's coaching staff trusts him to throw a lot whether or not they're ahead or behind.


Eli Manning (minus-4 points)
Anyone who watched the Monday night game knows that Manning's favorable stat line had as much to do with acrobatic catches -- so acrobatic that they resulted in a concussion and an ACL tear -- as it did with anything else. Now, let's take that mirage and put it on the road against the Eagles' defense. If you have other quarterbacks at your disposal, use them.


Running backs



Chris Johnson (plus-7 points)
I know Johnson is an elite running back who most people will continue to start because they have to. However, if you're one of those people who's starting to lose faith in the Titans' bell cow, now is not the time to bench him. Despite the underachievement of Cedric Benson, the Broncos are a below-average run defense. Furthermore, as we saw last week, the Titans' offense plays well at home. The only reason Johnson didn't do more with his clock-killing carries was because the Ravens' run defense is kind of good, and their game plan was specifically to stop him. The Broncos may try the latter, but they're not the former. Therefore, if you were considering it, don't bench Johnson this week.


Ryan Mathews and Mike Tolbert (plus-3 points)
These two aren't in the table because they split the total plus-6 that Kansas City represents for San Diego running backs. Make no mistake, though. This is a dream matchup. The Chiefs are rapidly approaching DEFCON 1, and the danger of implosion is approaching from both sides of the ball. The Chiefs have given up the fourth most points to running backs this season, primarily because they've been horrible in underneath coverage (ranked 25th in pass VOA versus running backs). And, of course, it hasn't helped that their opponents have been in run-when-you're-winning mode by midway through the second quarter. If you have both, I'd start Tolbert over Mathews by a nose, simply because of the receiving points he's likely to amass.


Ryan Grant and James Starks (minus-7 and minus-6 points, respectively)
As New Orleans showed last week, the way to attack the Bears' defense is via the pass. Indeed, we projected a minus-12.0 percent run defense DVOA for that unit this season (remember, negative is good for defenses), and Chicago currently sits at minus-14.5 percent. In other words, I don't think Aaron Rodgers is going to argue with following the Saints' game plan this week. In addition, the Bears and Packers always seem to play close games in Chicago, so there's less of a likelihood that Green Bay will be salting away the fourth quarter with Grant and Starks.
<!-- begin inline 2 -->Players With Unfavorable Matchups

Based on defense-adjusted value over average (DVOA). For the methodology, click here.
<TABLE style="WIDTH: 280px"><THEAD><TR class=last><TD>Team</TD><TD>Pos</TD><TD>Name</TD><TD>+/- Fan. Pts</TD></TR></THEAD><TBODY><TR class=last><TD>GB</TD><TD>RB</TD><TD>Ryan Grant</TD><TD>-7</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>GB</TD><TD>RB</TD><TD>James Starks</TD><TD>-6</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>OAK</TD><TD>QB</TD><TD>Jason Campbell</TD><TD>-5</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>IND</TD><TD>RB</TD><TD>Joseph Addai</TD><TD>-5</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>NO</TD><TD>RB</TD><TD>Darren Sproles</TD><TD>-5</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>NYG</TD><TD>QB</TD><TD>Eli Manning</TD><TD>-4</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>SF</TD><TD>QB</TD><TD>Alex Smith</TD><TD>-4</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>BAL</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Torrey Smith</TD><TD>-4</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>STL</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Danario Alexander</TD><TD>-4</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>KC</TD><TD>RB</TD><TD>Le'Ron McClain</TD><TD>-3</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>NE</TD><TD>RB</TD><TD>Danny Woodhead</TD><TD>-3</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>TEN</TD><TD>TE</TD><TD>Jared Cook</TD><TD>-3</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>GB</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Donald Driver</TD><TD>-3</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>IND</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Austin Collie</TD><TD>-3</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>KC</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Steve Breaston</TD><TD>-3</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>NE</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Chad Ochocinco</TD><TD>-3</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>OAK</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Darrius Heyward-Bey</TD><TD>-3</TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>OAK</TD><TD>WR</TD><TD>Denarius Moore</TD><TD>-3</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


<!-- end inline 2 -->Darren Sproles (minus-5 points)
This season, Sproles' receiving exploits have him typically showing up in fantasy lineups as a flex starter in points-per-receptions leagues. Therefore, the only things you really need to know about this matchup are that the Texans' pass defense has given up the third fewest receiving yards to running backs, it's ranked seventh in VOA and it's in the top 10 in VOA against running backs. Given those three things, he doesn't get near enough carries to be a viable flex starter this week.


Wide receivers



Jeremy Maclin (plus-6 points)
The Giants' pass defense has been decimated by injury, but somehow they've been able to get by; primarily thanks to the pressure created by their front seven. Unfortunately, the Eagles currently have the fourth-best adjusted sack rate (ASR) in the league. Therefore, if New York will have to rely more on its secondary against Philadelphia, then this is a matchup Maclin can exploit. To boot, the Giants have given up the fourth most fantasy points to wide receivers, and the fifth most receptions. With DeSean Jackson nursing an injury, Maclin figures to get the bulk of those receptions and points.


A.J. Green (plus-6 points)
Full disclosure: I'm a 49ers fan. Therefore, though I could cite a litany of statistics for why Green is a must-start this week, just trust me. San Francisco's pass defense is bad, this game is on the road and the 49ers' defense is drastically better at home. This game has a 10 a.m. West Coast start, and the 49ers get blown out more often than not in such games. You get the idea.


Danario Alexander and Denarius Moore (minus-4 and minus-3 points, respectively)
The reason I group these two together -- in addition to their similar first names -- is because they're receivers who had breakout games last week, are hot commodities on this week's waiver wire and might find themselves in your lineup decision-making process if your league is deep enough. I'm here to rain on the parade.


Alexander's at home against Baltimore, but the Ravens are currently the sixth-best pass defense according to VOA, and the few problems they've had against the pass this season have been against a team's No. 1 and No. 2 receivers, not the other guys like Alexander. Regarding Moore, he faces the team with a top-ranked pass defense VOA that's given up the fewest fantasy points to wide receivers, and that's fourth best against No. 3 and No. 4 receivers, which Moore figures to be this week with the likely return of Darrius Heyward-Bey.


Donald Driver (minus-3 points)
Hopefully, you're not in the unenviable position of having to even think about starting Driver this week. But if you are considering it, don't. Remember how I said the best way to attack Chicago's defense is via the pass? Well, it turns out that the Bears' pass defense is actually in the top quartile of the league against those "other" wide receivers like Alexander and Moore. Add that statistic to the fact Driver's been targeted only four times per game so far, and you've got yourself a pretty bad matchup.


Tight ends



Evan Moore (plus-3 points)
Moore is a popular waiver-wire pick this week given his expanding role in Cleveland's offense. Therefore, he's probably in consideration for some of your marginal lineup decisions. If so, then go with what I noted above in the paragraph on McCoy. Miami is incredibly ineffective at covering tight ends. Moore might face a similarly easy matchup maybe once or twice more this season, so might as well strike while the iron's hot if you're in a tough spot at tight end.


Jared Cook (minus-3 points)
This was one that I hit on last week, so there's no sense fixing what's not broken. What I'm relying on this week, though, is that, although the Broncos' pass defense has been pretty bad this season, they're actually the best defense in the league at stopping tight ends. That's not altogether surprising given how the strong side of their defense includes Von Miller and Brian Dawkins. Oh, and one other thing, Tennessee's other tight end, Craig Stevens, has been targeted just as often as Cook.
 

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Young Bengals offense showing promise
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Eric Karabell

Chances are, fantasy owners aren't too invested in Sunday's San Francisco 49ers-Cincinnati Bengals game; it's likely neither starting quarterback is owned in your league, just one of the running backs probably is starting, and between the two teams, only two wide receivers even made our staff's top 50, both from the Bengals and neither as recommended starters.


But I have my eye on these Bengals for a variety of reasons, and a few of them have to do with the 49ers defense. As in, it's not good. In fact, it has been pretty awful so far. No defense has allowed more fantasy points to wide receivers. The Dallas Cowboys' Miles Austin was hurt in Week 2, and still he strafed it. And nobody bothered to cover Jesse Holley on the Cowboys' first snap of overtime. The Bengals are going to enjoy Sunday's game, a sleeper offense if you will, but it also helps that this is a fresh, young and exciting offense that seems to be getting better quickly. Yes, I'm the guy who tells you to avoid rookies, in a general sense, but TCU product Andy Dalton looks terrific, as does his cohort in statistical goodness A.J. Green, the athletic wide receiver from Georgia. They are the first set of rookie teammates to connect for 10 completions in one game, according to Elias Sports Bureau. Green has scored touchdowns in both weeks, and I feel like we're on the verge of him being a top-20 wide receiver in our rankings any week now. As it is. he's my No. 23 guy this week.


I have Green ranked the best in the group, as well as Jerome Simpson, the home run hitter who ranks tied for sixth among wide receivers in yards after the catch. Simpson is also in the top 10 in yards per reception at 22.5, but the only player with a higher average and more targets is the rejuvenated Steve Smith of Carolina. Smith is owned in all leagues, but Simpson is owned in about half of ESPN's standard leagues, down a bit from last week for some reason. While he seems like a fresh new name, his emergence actually happened late last season when he caught 18 passes for 247 yards and three touchdowns in Weeks 15-16 against the San Diego Chargers and Baltimore Ravens. Colleague KC Joyner noted this week that Simpson already has received 12 targets on vertical passes this season, and caught five for 160 yards. A season ago, the Carson Palmer-led Bengals averaged 6.8 yards per pass attempt. So far in two games, that number is up to 7.4 yards per try. Perhaps this isn't such a surprise.
(Obviously, Simpson needs to be active for the Bengals this week, pending an investigation of unfortunate off-field issues, to be considered a fantasy starting option.)
In any event, I feel pretty good about the Bengals moving the football -- don't forget running back Cedric Benson is averaging 90 rushing yards per game so far -- and the 49ers not being able to do a whole lot about it. Frankly, it would be better for fantasy if this was a shootout, like I expect in Buffalo when Ryan Fitzpatrick aims to stay with Tom Brady touchdown for touchdown. Can the 49ers do this? Well, it would certainly help if tight end Vernon Davis would become more of a factor. One would think this makes sense with Braylon Edwards on the shelf after getting his right knee scoped. Michael Crabtree doesn't excite me. Neither does quarterback Alex Smith, for that matter. What's interesting to me is that the Bengals seem more interesting than the 49ers across the fantasy board. A season ago, the 49ers were a trendy sleeper pick, with Smith showing some promise the year before, Frank Gore still in his prime, Crabtree ready to blossom, etc. Then Smith didn't show promise, Gore got hurt, Crabtree was average and head coach Mike Singletary lost his job.


</P>
So is Dalton more exciting than Smith? You bet he is. I could see Dalton, my No. 25 quarterback this week, moving into the top 20 soon, and it's because he's throwing the ball downfield. Smith has been accurate so far (70.5 percent), but he's not getting enough yards. I'll take Gore over Benson, but who will play more games? Who ran for more yards a year ago and in 2009? Durability counts. And it's no contest at wide receiver. I was asked on Twitter (@karabellespn) who will be replacing Edwards, and my answer was Josh Morgan, but does he really matter? The 49ers have the edge at tight end, but only if they take advantage of it; I'm not giving up on Vernon Davis. He's a terrific athletic specimen and can't be covered by linebackers or most safeties. A year ago, Davis was fantasy's No. 3 tight end, second in yards despite being tied for eighth in targets. Well, now his targets -- granted, in a small sample size -- are way, way down to eight in two contests, outside the top 20 among tight ends, and it's mildly disconcerting. I ranked Davis 10th at the position. He can do only so much if Smith doesn't look his way. Take Davis over Cincy's Jermaine Gresham, but Gresham is becoming more of a factor in deep leagues.
 

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Studs and duds: Lions RB Jahvid Best should soar once more

Week 3 offers great fantasy opportunities for some young stars and a few pitfalls for established veterans.

Studs
Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers: The rookie topped 400 passing yards in each of his first two games. The Jacksonville Jaguars have allowed four passing scores and generated only three sacks, and they ranked 28th in pass defense in 2010.
Ben Tate, RB, Houston Texans: He'll get most of the work for the third consecutive week while Arian Foster copes with a hamstring injury. The New Orleans Saints gave up 10receptions and 166 total yards to Chicago Bears running back Matt Forte in Week 2.
Jahvid Best, RB, Detroit Lions: The Minnesota Vikings have given up six touchdowns — five to running backs. Detroit has found the end zone nine times, tied for second in the NFL. And Best has started superbly for the second consecutive season, amassing 237 total yards and two touchdowns.
Kenny Britt, WR, Tennessee Titans: He owns the league's second- most receiving yards (271) and touchdowns (three) and has an appealing matchup against the Denver Broncos. Cincinnati Bengals rookie A.J. Green had 10 receptions for 124 yards and one score against Denver in Week 2.
Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots: With Aaron Hernandez out with a knee injury, Gronkowski likely will receive most of Tom Brady's numerous targets to his tight ends. He caught three touchdown passes against the Buffalo Bills last season.
Duds
Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants: His third receiver, Domenik Hixon, is out for the year, and star wideout Hakeem Nicks is battling a knee injury. Off to a slow start this season, Manning has struggled in his last two visits to face the Philadelphia Eagles, averaging less than 200 passing yards and committing six turnovers.
Kyle Orton, QB, Broncos: Tennessee has allowed the third fewest passing yards and only one touchdown pass. Denver's top wideout, Brandon Lloyd, is recovering from a groin injury, and No. 2 receiver Eddie Royal (groin) is out. Orton has been uneven over the first two weeks with three turnovers to match his three touchdown passes.
Joseph Addai, RB, Indianapolis Colts: Without a potent passing attack to lean on, Addai will find it even more difficult to run against the Pittsburgh Steelers' perennial top run defense. The Steelers held the Seattle Seahawks' Marshawn Lynch to 11 rushing yards in Week 2.
Steven Jackson, RB, St. Louis Rams: The Baltimore Ravens' rush defense has been superb, holding highly regarded Rashard Mendenhall and Chris Johnson to 45 and 53 yards, respectively. Jackson is ailing with a quadriceps muscle injury, so he's a risky start even if he plays.
Mike Thomas, WR, Jaguars: Rookie quarterback Blaine Gabbert is making his first start. Though he is Jacksonville's No. 1 wideout, Thomas is averaging only 42 receiving yards and has no touchdowns this season.
Sleepers
Josh Freeman, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The Atlanta Falcons rank as the NFL's sixth-worst pass defense and have yielded solid fantasy games to Jay Cutler and Michael Vick. Freeman has passed for two scores during two of his four meetings against the Falcons.
Ryan Mathews, RB, San Diego Chargers: The Kansas City Chiefs have been a doormat, allowing 89 points in two games. The Buffalo Bills' Fred Jackson and Best totaled 117 and 123 yards, respectively, vs. the Chiefs.
Isaac Redman, RB, Steelers: If Pittsburgh jumps to a big lead against Indianapolis, it likely will give some carries to Redman again. The Colts rank among the worst run defenses, allowing the fourth-most yards and the most touchdowns.
Jesse Holley, WR, Dallas Cowboys: Miles Austin (hamstring) is out, and Dez Bryant missed Week 2 with a leg injury. Holley responded well in Bryant's absence, showing big-play ability with a key 77-yard reception against the San Francisco 49ers.
David Nelson, WR, Bills: The New England Patriots' pass defense has surrendered 762 yards and four touchdowns. But Brady has dominated the Bills with 18 touchdown passes during the last six meetings. Nelson, who had career highs of 10 catches and 83 yards while hauling in the winning touchdown against the Oakland Raiders, could be part of a high-scoring affair.
 

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Del Rio's Gamble
Regime change happens a lot faster in the NFL than it does in the real world.

Despite a preseason that saw him complete just 35-of-70 passes for 365 yards, Blaine Gabbert will make his first career start on Sunday against the Panthers after Luke McCown demonstrated a fundamental misunderstanding of the forward pass in Week 2.

He’ll be starting opposite Cam Newton, a player with whom he’ll be forever linked after they entered last spring’s draft as the two most heralded quarterback prospects.

The matchup is a rather unfortunate one for the No. 10 overall pick. Newton has made all of the hand-wringing over whom was the better choice appear preposterous in hindsight, setting an NFL record by throwing for 854 yards in his first two career games.

In reality, it shouldn’t be surprising Newton is poised to make a much larger impact as a rookie than Gabbert. Newton wasn’t just college football’s best player last season, he was its best passer. This became too easily ignored thanks to Newton’s ability to make plays outside the pocket and the fact that Auburn ran one of the more inventive offenses college football has ever seen.

Newton’s superior skill set isn’t the only reason Gabbert has nearly no chance to get off to a similarly hot start, though.

While Newton doesn’t exactly have an impressive arsenal of weapons at his disposal, he does at least have a reinvigorated Steve Smith.

Gabbert? He has Jason Hill and Mike Thomas, two receivers with career numbers as pedestrian as their names.

His one potential difference maker in the passing game, TE Marcedes Lewis, will likely be at less than 100 percent after missing Week 2 with a calf injury.

If the Jaguars don’t get a big day from Maurice Jones-Drew, and likely even if they do, Gabbert will be hung out to dry as a player many argued he was better than surpasses 1,000 yards passing in just his third game.

It’s a scenario that would try anybody’s confidence to a severe degree, which is a dangerous thing for the Jaguars. If there’s one thing any NFL player, rookie or otherwise, cannot afford to lose it’s his confidence.

If Gabbert still has his after Sunday, it will be a huge first step toward a positive rookie season. If not, he might soon find himself getting compared to Jimmy Clausen more often than Cam Newton.

NEWS OF THE DAY #2
Whether it’s Matthew Stafford’s shoulder, Peyton Manning’s neck or Maurice Jones-Drew’s knee, sometimes a player’s body part can become a bigger story than the player.

Kenny Britt’s hamstring would certainly qualify. One of the most injured body parts in all of football, it acted up again on Wednesday, forcing the ascendant wideout to leave Titans practice early just three days after he posted his second consecutive 130-yard performance.

At first glance, it’s grim news for every fantasy owner who gambled Britt would be able to beat back his injury issues the way he has his legal ones en route to a season that establishes him as a true WR1.

But thankfully, it appears to be little more than a scare. Although HC Mike Munchak admits to having “general concern” about the injury, he insists it’s "not to where we’re concerned he’s not going to be able to play by any means.”

Not as rousing of a statement as “Kenny Britt will play in Week 3” would have been, but enough to assuage fears that Britt’s season could be going off the tracks before it even really begins.

It will be disconcerting if he misses practice this afternoon, but true worry will only be warranted if he isn’t back and fully participating on Friday.

Have a backup plan ready, but don’t count on having to execute it.

NEWS OF THE DAY #3
Since Steven Jackson was supposedly this close to playing on Monday against the Giants, you would think returning to practice on Wednesday would have been a formality.

Think again.

Not only was Jackson absent from the practice field, he appears destined for his second consecutive game-time decision.

This is not as big of an issue as it was in Week 2 where fantasy owners had to decide to sit or start their RB1/2 roughly 30 hours before he was set to take to the field. But it is more uncertainty for a player who was forecast by many to begin declining in earnest this season.

If he doesn’t go, Cadillac Williams will be in line to make his second straight as long as his hamstring checks out. If it doesn’t, Jerious Norwood will get the call. Neither would be recommended plays against a Ravens’ front seven that shut down Rashard Mendenhall and Chris Johnson in its first two games.

NEWS OF THE DAY #4
If you were an elite fantasy player with the last name Johnson on Wednesday, your best bet might have been not leaving the house.

Stevie (groin) joined Calvin (ankle) and Chris (ribs) on the sideline at practice, but for now all three are expected to suit up in Week 3.

Chris’ injury is the most concerning, as unlike Stevie and Calvin’s ailments, it’s new and can be easily targeted throughout the game.

However, all indications are that he’ll be a go against the Broncos, and after two straight sub-par performances, he could be in line to go off against a run defense that could barely even slow Darren McFadden in Week 1, let alone contain him.

NEWS OF THE DAY #5
One of the more curious stories of the young NFL season is Minnesota’s use, or lack thereof, of its number one receiver Percy Harvin.

Through two games — both losses — Harvin has been on the field for just 51.4 percent of the Vikings snaps, including almost none in the red zone.

To say it’s baffling for a team with no other weapons in the passing game would be an understatement.

It’s so baffling, in fact, that it’s hard to believe the Vikings will be able to keep it up. But if they do, you may have to be prepared for the bizarre possibility of dropping a player that at one time seemed reasonably certain to turn in WR2/3 numbers this season.

Give him at least two more weeks before doing anything rash, however.
 

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Week 3 Rankings

Congratulations to Gregg and Emika Rosenthal on the birth of their daughter, Ellis. Mother and baby are doing great after a long day Wednesday. Gregg confirms via Twitter that, yes, his first child is named after his favorite Red Sox player as a child.

I’ve been partnering with Gregg on the rankings since the beginning of last season, and I’m happy to report that Rotoworld’s rankings started off the season with a first-place finish in the Fantasy Pros contest. We can only hope that accuracy carries over the rest of the way.

As Gregg takes a couple of well deserved days off with his family, I’ll be your fantasy sherpa for this week’s goal line stand. Enjoy the show.


Week 3 Quarterbacks

<TABLE style="WIDTH: 100%"><TBODY><TR class=TableTopRed><TD>Rank</TD><TD>Player Name</TD><TD>Opponent</TD><TD>Notes</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>1</TD><TD>Tom Brady</TD><TD>at BUF</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>2</TD><TD>Drew Brees</TD><TD>vs. HOU</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>3</TD><TD>Aaron Rodgers</TD><TD>at CHI</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>4</TD><TD>Matthew Stafford</TD><TD>at MIN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>5</TD><TD>Michael Vick</TD><TD>vs. NYG</TD><TD>Questionable (Concussion)</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>6</TD><TD>Philip Rivers</TD><TD>vs. KC</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>7</TD><TD>Ben Roethlisberger</TD><TD>at IND</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>8</TD><TD>Tony Romo</TD><TD>vs. WAS</TD><TD>Probable (Ribs)</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>9</TD><TD>Cam Newton</TD><TD>vs. JAC</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>10</TD><TD>Matt Ryan</TD><TD>at TB</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>11</TD><TD>Matt Schaub</TD><TD>at NO</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>12</TD><TD>Ryan Fitzpatrick</TD><TD>vs. NE</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>13</TD><TD>Joe Flacco</TD><TD>at STL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>14</TD><TD>Josh Freeman</TD><TD>vs. ATL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>15</TD><TD>Kevin Kolb</TD><TD>at SEA</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>16</TD><TD>Rex Grossman</TD><TD>at DAL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>17</TD><TD>Jay Cutler</TD><TD>vs. GB</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>18</TD><TD>Eli Manning</TD><TD>at PHI</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>19</TD><TD>Sam Bradford</TD><TD>vs. BAL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>20</TD><TD>Matt Hasselbeck</TD><TD>vs. DEN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>21</TD><TD>Mark Sanchez</TD><TD>at OAK</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>22</TD><TD>Chad Henne</TD><TD>at CLE</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>23</TD><TD>Donovan McNabb</TD><TD>vs. DET</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>24</TD><TD>Kyle Orton</TD><TD>at TEN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>25</TD><TD>Colt McCoy</TD><TD>vs. MIA</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>26</TD><TD>Jason Campbell</TD><TD>vs. NYJ</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>27</TD><TD>Matt Cassel</TD><TD>at SD</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>28</TD><TD>Andy Dalton</TD><TD>vs. SF</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>29</TD><TD>Alex Smith</TD><TD>at CIN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>30</TD><TD>Tarvaris Jackson</TD><TD>vs. ARZ</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>31</TD><TD>Kerry Collins</TD><TD>vs. IND</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>32</TD><TD>Blaine Gabbert</TD><TD>at CAR</TD><TD>First start
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
www.rapsports.com
QB Notes: With a 29:1 TD-to-INT ratio over the past 10 regular season games and 940 yards through two starts this season, Tom Brady is as hot right now as any quarterback has ever been. Sunday’s game against the Bills has shootout potential. … Brees has a tougher than expected matchup against the league’s No. 1 pass defense. Wade Phillips defense is bringing the pass rush, but that ranking is skewed by an easy early-season schedule.

With second-rounder Titus Young emerging, no quarterback has more weapons than Stafford. … Vick missed Wednesday’s practice, but signs point to him starting Sunday. He averaged 250 passing yards and 82 rushing yards with five total touchdowns against the Giants last year. … Rivers may spend the second half handing off against a Chiefs team on the brink of packing it in for the season.

Romo is without Miles Austin and could be missing Dez Bryant as well. His outlook takes a hit if Kevin Ogletree stands in as the No. 1 receiver. … The most promising aspect to Newton’s white hot start is the obvious faith the coaching staff has in his arm. Coordinator Rob Chudzinski planned an agressive aerial attack against the Packers last weeek, and Newton delivered. Jacksonville is another plus matchup for Carolina’s passing game. … After talk of a more aggressive downfield attack, the Falcons fell short against Chicago’s cover-2 defense and Philly’s dream team. It’s a fine time to buy low on Ryan and his receivers.

Gregg noted after Week 1 that Freeman didn’t have enough weapons, and that remained an issue against the Vikings. Mike Williams hasn’t been separating from coverage going back to preseason action. … The Bears’ first two games are eerily similar to the start of last season. Cutler is getting hit far too often behind a overwhelmed offensive line. … Eli’s been off since training camp opened. … Hasselbeck is going to pass more than anyone expected, and he has the weapons to clear 4,000 yards for the first time in his career.




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Week 3 Running Backs
<TABLE style="WIDTH: 100%"><TBODY><TR class=TableTopRed><TD>Rank</TD><TD>Player Name</TD><TD>Opponent</TD><TD>Notes</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>1</TD><TD>Adrian Peterson</TD><TD>vs. DET</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>2</TD><TD>Ray Rice</TD><TD>at STL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>3</TD><TD>LeSean McCoy</TD><TD>vs. NYG</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>4</TD><TD>Chris Johnson</TD><TD>vs. DEN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>5</TD><TD>Matt Forte</TD><TD>vs. GB</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>6</TD><TD>Maurice Jones-Drew</TD><TD>at CAR</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>7</TD><TD>Darren McFadden</TD><TD>vs. NYJ</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>8</TD><TD>Rashard Mendenhall</TD><TD>at IND</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>9</TD><TD>Jahvid Best</TD><TD>at MIN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>10</TD><TD>Peyton Hillis</TD><TD>vs. MIA</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>11</TD><TD>Michael Turner</TD><TD>at TB</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>12</TD><TD>Ben Tate</TD><TD>at NO</TD><TD>Will start</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>13</TD><TD>Beanie Wells</TD><TD>at SEA</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>14</TD><TD>Frank Gore</TD><TD>at CIN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>15</TD><TD>Cedric Benson</TD><TD>vs. SF</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>16</TD><TD>Fred Jackson</TD><TD>vs. NE</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>17</TD><TD>Mike Tolbert</TD><TD>vs. KC</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>18</TD><TD>Ryan Mathews</TD><TD>vs. KC</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>19</TD><TD>Ahmad Bradshaw</TD><TD>at PHI</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>20</TD><TD>Shonn Greene</TD><TD>at OAK</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>21</TD><TD>LeGarrette Blount</TD><TD>vs. ATL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>22</TD><TD>Felix Jones</TD><TD>vs. WAS</TD><TD>Probable (Shoulder)</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>23</TD><TD>Tim Hightower</TD><TD>at DAL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>24</TD><TD>Mark Ingram</TD><TD>vs. HOU</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>25</TD><TD>James Starks</TD><TD>at CHI</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>26</TD><TD>Jonathan Stewart</TD><TD>vs. JAC</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>27</TD><TD>D'Angelo Williams</TD><TD>vs. JAC</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>28</TD><TD>Benjarvus Green-Ellis</TD><TD>at BUF</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>29</TD><TD>Steven Jackson</TD><TD>vs. BAL</TD><TD>Questionable (Quad)</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>30</TD><TD>Willis McGahee</TD><TD>at TEN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>31</TD><TD>Daniel Thomas</TD><TD>at CLE</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>32</TD><TD>Arian Foster</TD><TD>at NO</TD><TD>Doubtful (Hamstring)</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>33</TD><TD>Brandon Jacobs</TD><TD>at PHI</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>34</TD><TD>Reggie Bush</TD><TD>at CLE</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>35</TD><TD>Knowshon Moreno</TD><TD>at TEN</TD><TD>Probable (Hamstring)</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>36</TD><TD>Darren Sproles</TD><TD>vs. HOU</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>37</TD><TD>Thomas Jones</TD><TD>at SD</TD><TD>Backfield by committee</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>38</TD><TD>Dexter McCluster</TD><TD>at SD</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>39</TD><TD>Cadillac Williams</TD><TD>vs. BAL</TD><TD>Questionable (Hamstring)</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>40</TD><TD>Marshawn Lynch</TD><TD>vs. ARZ</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>41</TD><TD>Danny Woodhead</TD><TD>at BUF</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>42</TD><TD>Roy Helu</TD><TD>at DAL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>43</TD><TD>Pierre Thomas</TD><TD>vs. HOU</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>44</TD><TD>Joseph Addai</TD><TD>vs. PIT</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>45</TD><TD>Ryan Grant</TD><TD>at CHI</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>46</TD><TD>Michael Bush</TD><TD>vs. NYJ</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>47</TD><TD>LaDainian Tomlinson</TD><TD>at OAK</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>48</TD><TD>C.J. Spiller</TD><TD>vs. NE</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>49</TD><TD>DeMarco Murray</TD><TD>vs. WAS</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>50</TD><TD>Tashard Choice</TD><TD>vs. WAS</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>51</TD><TD>Deji Karim</TD><TD>at CAR</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>52</TD><TD>Delone Carter</TD><TD>vs. PIT</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>53</TD><TD>Javon Ringer</TD><TD>vs. DEN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>54</TD><TD>Jerome Harrison</TD><TD>at MIN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>55</TD><TD>Ricky Williams</TD><TD>at STL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>56</TD><TD>Kendall Hunter</TD><TD>at CIN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>57</TD><TD>Ronnie Brown</TD><TD>vs. NYG</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>58</TD><TD>Bernard Scott</TD><TD>vs. SF</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>59</TD><TD>Earnest Graham</TD><TD>vs. ATL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>60</TD><TD>Montario Hardesty</TD><TD>vs. MIA</TD><TD>-</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

RB Notes: The Vikings beleaguered offensive line has been more of an issue for Donovan McNabb than Peterson. … McCoy looks as explosive as any back in the league this season. It wouldn’t be an upset if he finishes as the top fantasy back for 2011. … It’s now or never for CJ2K against an injury-depleted Broncos defense. We’re betting on a breakout game. … Forte is the lone beneficiary of Chicago’s shaky offensive line. He’s turning Jay Cutler’s dumpoffs into big plays.

It’s time for the Jags’ coaching staff to take the reins off Jones-Drew. Backup Deji Karim has yet to impress while MJD’s knee checks out just fine. With Blaine Gabbert making his first career start, the matchup against Carolina’s woebegone run defense is made to order. … Running with more power than expected, McFadden is proving that last season was no fluke. … Mendenhall had five goal-line opportunities against Seattle last week. Expect more of the same against the Colts.

The Lions running game has yet to take off, but Best’s skill-set is perfect for the Lions’ pass-heavy offense. He’s playing the Brian Westbrook role for Matthew Stafford. … Tate will start against the Saints after trucking a Dolphins team that closed out last season as an elite run defense. Expect 20+ touches in Tate’s first start. … Seattle’s run defense is tougher than advertised, but Wells is showing impressive power on his way to 5.71 yards per carry through two weeks. … Tolbert still has better odds of scoring a touchdown, but Mathews has been the more explosive back on the ground and through the air the first two weeks. Mathews’ role could grow at Tolbert’s expense. … Don’t bother with the Kansas City backfield. It’s a committee attack in an offense that doesn’t move the ball and won’t have many scoring opportunities.




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Week 3 Wide Receivers


<TABLE style="WIDTH: 100%"><TBODY><TR class=TableTopRed><TD>Rank</TD><TD>Player Name</TD><TD>Opponent</TD><TD>Notes</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>1</TD><TD>Andre Johnson</TD><TD>at NO</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>2</TD><TD>Calvin Johnson</TD><TD>at MIN</TD><TD>Probable (Ankle)</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>3</TD><TD>Larry Fitzgerald</TD><TD>at SEA</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>4</TD><TD>Vincent Jackson</TD><TD>vs. KC</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>5</TD><TD>Kenny Britt</TD><TD>vs. DEN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>6</TD><TD>Steve Smith</TD><TD>vs. JAC</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>7</TD><TD>Roddy White</TD><TD>at TB</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>8</TD><TD>Mike Wallace</TD><TD>at IND</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>9</TD><TD>Hakeem Nicks</TD><TD>at PHI</TD><TD>Probable (Knee)</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>10</TD><TD>Greg Jennings</TD><TD>at CHI</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>11</TD><TD>DeSean Jackson</TD><TD>vs. NYG</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>12</TD><TD>Wes Welker</TD><TD>at BUF</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>13</TD><TD>Brandon Marshall</TD><TD>at CLE</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>14</TD><TD>Santonio Holmes</TD><TD>at OAK</TD><TD>Probable (Knee/Quad)</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>15</TD><TD>Dez Bryant</TD><TD>vs. WAS</TD><TD>Questionable (Quad)</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>16</TD><TD>Stevie Johnson</TD><TD>vs. NE</TD><TD>Probable (Groin)</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>17</TD><TD>Anquan Boldin</TD><TD>at STL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>18</TD><TD>Santana Moss</TD><TD>at DAL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>19</TD><TD>Percy Harvin</TD><TD>vs. DET</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>20</TD><TD>Jeremy Maclin</TD><TD>vs. NYG</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>21</TD><TD>Deion Branch</TD><TD>at BUF</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>22</TD><TD>Mario Manningham</TD><TD>at PHI</TD><TD>Questionable (Concussion)</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>23</TD><TD>Mike Williams</TD><TD>vs. ATL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>24</TD><TD>Reggie Wayne</TD><TD>vs. PIT</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>25</TD><TD>Dwayne Bowe</TD><TD>at SD</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>26</TD><TD>Brandon Lloyd</TD><TD>at TEN</TD><TD>Probable (Groin)</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>27</TD><TD>A.J. Green</TD><TD>vs. SF</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>28</TD><TD>Julio Jones</TD><TD>at TB</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>29</TD><TD>David Nelson</TD><TD>vs. NE</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>30</TD><TD>Jordy Nelson</TD><TD>at CHI</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>31</TD><TD>Mike Sims-Walker</TD><TD>vs. BAL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>32</TD><TD>Nate Burleson</TD><TD>at MIN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>33</TD><TD>Robert Meachem</TD><TD>vs. HOU</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>34</TD><TD>Devery Henderson</TD><TD>vs. HOU</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>35</TD><TD>Denarius Moore</TD><TD>vs. NYJ</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>36</TD><TD>Lance Moore</TD><TD>vs. HOU</TD><TD>Probable (Groin)</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>37</TD><TD>Plaxico Burress</TD><TD>at OAK</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>38</TD><TD>Davone Bess</TD><TD>at CLE</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>39</TD><TD>Nate Washington</TD><TD>vs. DEN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>40</TD><TD>Eric Decker</TD><TD>at TEN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>41</TD><TD>Johnny Knox</TD><TD>vs. GB</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>42</TD><TD>Austin Collie</TD><TD>vs. PIT</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>43</TD><TD>Mike Thomas</TD><TD>at CAR</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>44</TD><TD>Sidney Rice</TD><TD>vs. ARZ</TD><TD>Questionable (Shoulder)</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>45</TD><TD>Hines Ward</TD><TD>at IND</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>46</TD><TD>Jacoby Jones</TD><TD>at NO</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>47</TD><TD>Mohamed Massaquoi</TD><TD>vs. MIA</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>48</TD><TD>Jabar Gaffney</TD><TD>at DAL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>49</TD><TD>Brandon LaFell</TD><TD>vs. JAC</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>50</TD><TD>Kevin Ogletree</TD><TD>vs. WAS</TD><TD>Expected to start</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>51</TD><TD>Antonio Brown</TD><TD>at IND</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>52</TD><TD>Brandon Gibson</TD><TD>vs. BAL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>53</TD><TD>Greg Little</TD><TD>vs. MIA</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>54</TD><TD>Pierre Garcon</TD><TD>vs. PIT</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>55</TD><TD>Emmanuel Sanders</TD><TD>at IND</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>56</TD><TD>Donald Driver</TD><TD>at CHI</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>57</TD><TD>Lee Evans</TD><TD>at STL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>58</TD><TD>Chaz Schilens</TD><TD>vs. NYJ</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>59</TD><TD>Chad Ochocinco</TD><TD>at BUF</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>60</TD><TD>Andre Roberts</TD><TD>at SEA</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>61</TD><TD>Derrick Mason</TD><TD>at OAK</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>62</TD><TD>Mike Williams</TD><TD>vs. ARZ</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>63</TD><TD>Steve Breaston</TD><TD>at SD</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>64</TD><TD>Roy Williams</TD><TD>vs. GB</TD><TD>Questionable (Groin)</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>65</TD><TD>Steve Smith</TD><TD>vs. NYG</TD><TD>-</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

WR Notes: Calvin Johnson missed Wednesday’s practice, but you know the drill. Put him in your starting lineup and wait for the touchdowns to roll in. … Keep an eye on Britt’s hamstring. It flared up in Wednesday’s practice, but the Titans don’t seem overly concerned yet. … Cam Newton has breathed new life into Smith’s career. This is now a top-ten fantasy receiver.

Nicks came out of Monday’s game with no lingering knee issues. He has to be played even in a tough matchup against Nnamdi Asomugha and Asante Samuel. … Welker’s targets should only increase with Aaron Hernandez out of the lineup. … Marshall is playing lights out through two weeks, but will likely see plenty of emerging shutdown corner Joe Haden in Cleveland. … Bryant’s status is up in the air, but the extra day will help in a Monday night matchup against the Redskins.

Stevie Johnson was held out Wednesday to rest his groin, but all signs point to him being in the lineup for a potential shootout against the Pats. … Don’t get too worked up about Harvin’s limited snap count. When he’s in the game, the ball is in his hands. … Branch is a must-start until proven otherwise. … Manningham is expected to play, but he’s yet to practice this week. Make sure he practices Friday before locking him into lineups this week.

As mentioned earlier, Mike Williams isn’t gaining separation from coverage this season. Until he does, the Bucs offense will continue to struggle. … Lloyd returned to practice Wednesday and is expected to play against the Titans. … David Nelson has the look of a target hog with Roscoe Parrish out for the season and Stevie Johnson fighting through a groin injury. … Sims-Walker is the biggest beneficiary of the Danny Amendola elbow injury. … Lance Moore is a safer play now that he’s practicing fully again.




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Week 3 Tight Ends


<TABLE style="WIDTH: 100%"><TBODY><TR class=TableTopRed><TD>Rank</TD><TD>Player Name</TD><TD>Opponent</TD><TD>Notes</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>1</TD><TD>Antonio Gates</TD><TD>vs. KC</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>2</TD><TD>Jason Witten</TD><TD>vs. WAS</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>3</TD><TD>Rob Gronkowski</TD><TD>at BUF</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>4</TD><TD>Jermichael Finley</TD><TD>at CHI</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>5</TD><TD>Fred Davis</TD><TD>at DAL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>6</TD><TD>Jimmy Graham</TD><TD>vs. HOU</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>7</TD><TD>Vernon Davis</TD><TD>at CIN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>8</TD><TD>Owen Daniels</TD><TD>at NO</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>9</TD><TD>Dustin Keller</TD><TD>at OAK</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>10</TD><TD>Kellen Winslow</TD><TD>vs. ATL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>11</TD><TD>Tony Gonzalez</TD><TD>at TB</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>12</TD><TD>Greg Olsen</TD><TD>vs. JAC</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>13</TD><TD>Dallas Clark</TD><TD>vs. PIT</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>14</TD><TD>Marcedes Lewis</TD><TD>at CAR</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>15</TD><TD>Jermaine Gresham</TD><TD>vs. SF</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>16</TD><TD>Brandon Pettigrew</TD><TD>at MIN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>17</TD><TD>Evan Moore</TD><TD>vs. MIA</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>18</TD><TD>Ed Dickson</TD><TD>at STL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>19</TD><TD>Jared Cook</TD><TD>vs. DEN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>20</TD><TD>Lance Kendricks</TD><TD>vs. BAL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>21</TD><TD>Scott Chandler</TD><TD>vs. NE</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>22</TD><TD>Brent Celek</TD><TD>vs. NYG</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>23</TD><TD>Ben Watson</TD><TD>vs. MIA</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>24</TD><TD>Todd Heap</TD><TD>at SEA</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>25</TD><TD>Zach Miller</TD><TD>vs. ARZ</TD><TD>-</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

TE Notes: It wasn’t just the Patriots’ bracket coverage that took Gates out of the game in Week 2. He’s not as explosive down the field while continuing to battle foot woes. Gates is a good bet to bounce back against the Chiefs, but the foot will remain an issue all season. … Witten is a good bet for a third straight 100-yard game with Miles Austin out and Dez Bryant up in the air. … Gronkowski’s already stout production figures to sky-rocket with Aaron Hernandez out for at least a couple of weeks.

Daniels hasn’t been needed with the Texans in second-half clock-killing mode the first two games. That will change against a high-scoring Saints team in Week 3. … Forget Chris Cooley. He’s no longer a factor in the Fred Davis fantasy equation. Davis has been the Redskins’ offensive MVP through two weeks, racking up more yards than Cooley has ever produced in back-to-back starts. Consider Davis a top-six stud tight end for the rest of the season. … Don’t be fooled by Gonzalez’s monster game in Week 2. He’s still an outstanding red-zone weapon, but the Falcons wideouts won’t be bottled up every week.


Week 3 Team Defense



<TABLE style="WIDTH: 100%"><TBODY><TR class=TableTopRed><TD>Rank</TD><TD>Player Name</TD><TD>Opponent</TD><TD>Notes</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>1</TD><TD>Steelers Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at IND</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>2</TD><TD>Chargers Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. KC</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>3</TD><TD>Packers Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at CHI</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>4</TD><TD>Jets Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at OAK</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>5</TD><TD>Lions Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at MIN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>6</TD><TD>Eagles Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. NYG</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>7</TD><TD>Ravens Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at STL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>8</TD><TD>Cowboys Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. WAS</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>9</TD><TD>Patriots Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at BUF</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>10</TD><TD>Bengals Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. SF</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>11</TD><TD>49ers Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at CIN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>12</TD><TD>Saints Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. HOU</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>13</TD><TD>Cardinals Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at SEA</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>14</TD><TD>Bears Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. GB</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>15</TD><TD>Rams Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. BAL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>16</TD><TD>Dolphins Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at CLE</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>17</TD><TD>Falcons Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at TB</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>18</TD><TD>Browns Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. MIA</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>19</TD><TD>Titans Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. DEN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>20</TD><TD>Texans Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at NO</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>21</TD><TD>Seahawks Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. ARZ</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>22</TD><TD>Giants Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at PHI</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>23</TD><TD>Redskins Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at DAL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>24</TD><TD>Buccaneers Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. ATL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>25</TD><TD>Raiders Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. NYJ</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>26</TD><TD>Broncos Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at TEN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>27</TD><TD>Panthers Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. JAC</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>28</TD><TD>Jaguars Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at CAR</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>29</TD><TD>Vikings Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. DET</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>30</TD><TD>Colts Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. PIT</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>31</TD><TD>Chiefs Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at SD</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>32</TD><TD>Bills Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. NE</TD><TD>-</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Week 3 Kickers
<TABLE style="WIDTH: 100%"><TBODY><TR class=TableTopRed><TD>Rank</TD><TD>Player Name</TD><TD>Opponent</TD><TD>Notes</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>1</TD><TD>Stephen Gostkowski</TD><TD>at BUF</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>2</TD><TD>Matt Bryant</TD><TD>at TB</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>3</TD><TD>Jason Hanson</TD><TD>at MIN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>4</TD><TD>Mason Crosby</TD><TD>at CHI</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>5</TD><TD>Neil Rackers</TD><TD>at NO</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>6</TD><TD>John Kasay</TD><TD>vs. HOU</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>7</TD><TD>Sebastian Janikowski</TD><TD>vs. NYJ</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>8</TD><TD>Robbie Gould</TD><TD>vs. GB</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>9</TD><TD>Jay Feely</TD><TD>at SEA</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>10</TD><TD>Alex Henery</TD><TD>vs. NYG</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>11</TD><TD>Nick Novak</TD><TD>vs. KC</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>12</TD><TD>Josh Brown</TD><TD>vs. BAL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>13</TD><TD>Matt Prater</TD><TD>at TEN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>14</TD><TD>Billy Cundiff</TD><TD>at STL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>15</TD><TD>Rob Bironas</TD><TD>vs. DEN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>16</TD><TD>Shaun Suisham</TD><TD>at IND</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>17</TD><TD>Nick Folk</TD><TD>at OAK</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>18</TD><TD>Rian Lindell</TD><TD>vs. NE</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>19</TD><TD>David Akers</TD><TD>at CIN</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>20</TD><TD>Dan Bailey</TD><TD>vs. WAS</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>21</TD><TD>Olindo Mare</TD><TD>vs. JAC</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>22</TD><TD>Lawrence Tynes</TD><TD>at PHI</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>23</TD><TD>Ryan Longwell</TD><TD>vs. DET</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>24</TD><TD>Dan Carpenter</TD><TD>at CLE</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>25</TD><TD>Graham Gano</TD><TD>at DAL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>26</TD><TD>Connor Barth</TD><TD>vs. ATL</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>27</TD><TD>Mike Nugent</TD><TD>vs. SF</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>28</TD><TD>Phil Dawson</TD><TD>vs. MIA</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>29</TD><TD>Steven Hauschka</TD><TD>vs. ARZ</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>30</TD><TD>Adam Vinatieri</TD><TD>vs. PIT</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>31</TD><TD>Ryan Succop</TD><TD>at SD</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>32</TD><TD>Josh Scobee</TD><TD>at CAR</TD><TD>-</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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Beanie's Tire Losing Air?

Your Thursday is going fine.

You had leftover pizza and a Dr. Pepper for lunch, bought gas for under $3 a gallon and won your league’s waiver claim on Denarius Moore.

Again, just a solid afternoon. Only then you go to check Rotoworld. You’re looking to see if there have been any updates on Arian Foster, your RB1. What you get instead is the news that your RB2, Beanie Wells, pulled up lame at practice with a hamstring injury and is suddenly questionable for Week 3.

Is there any bigger punch in the gut? Wells can carry the ball 32 times in his first two games without so much as getting a scratch but can’t run through a couple of cones without tweaking a leg muscle? You’ve now got injury concerns at the two most important positions in your standard-scoring league.

The early indications are that Wells’ Thursday incident was little more than a scare. Excellent Cardinals’ beat writer Kent Somers reported Wells did not have his leg wrapped as he walked off the field, and made himself available to the media afterward. Rarely, if ever, will a player speak with the media immediately after suffering a serious injury.

Then, Wells himself took to Twitter to issue reassurances:

“I'm all good, just needed to rest my wheels and maybe change a tire,” he tweeted.

Great, fantastic, wonderful. If only seemingly minor leg injuries didn’t prevent players from playing every week, or at least render them ineffective. When your business is your legs, no injury is minor until proven so.

There’s no doubt the signs are positive, but until Wells wakes up without any unusual soreness, practices in full on Friday, says “I’m good” and is listed as probable for Sunday against the Seahawks, his injury is an issue.

If it proves to be one that holds him out this weekend, Chester Taylor and LaRod Stephens-Howling would likely split carries in his absence. With Taylor running on fumes and Stephens-Howling still nursing a hand injury (and still being 5-foot-7, 185 pounds), neither would be a recommended play against a Seahawks team that has excelled at stopping the run so far in 2011.

NEWS OF THE DAY #2
Wells isn’t the only load of an RB2 dealing with a supposedly minor leg injury.

Coming off back-to-back disappointing running efforts to begin his season, Mike Tolbert has yet to practice this week as he nurses a toe ailment.

Although he says he’s “doing great” and expecting to return to practice on Friday, the injury couldn’t come at a worse time for one of 2010’s fantasy darlings.

As his play has lagged, Ryan Mathews’ has improved. Tolbert has taken the ball just 45 yards on his 21 carries this season, which comes out to an abysmal 2.1 yards per carry. Mathews, meanwhile, has traveled 109 yards on his 24 totes, giving him a much more healthy 4.5 YPC.

Certainly bad, but not the worst thing for Tolbert through only two games. He is, after all, a short-yardage runner who makes some of his biggest contributions in the passing game. Except Mathews has played him to a dead heat in the air, making 10 catches for 135 yards compared to Tolbert’s 17 for 131.

It's true that Tolbert has found the end zone two more times than Mathews (3-to-1), but he's also lost one more fumble (1-to-0).

It’s play that’s been bad enough that it should just about erase all the goodwill Tolbert has built up with fantasy owners and Chargers coaches if it continues for a third game on Sunday.

He needs to get healthy and up his game against the Chiefs, or the next thing he’ll fumble will be his status as San Diego’s most productive fantasy back.

NEWS OF THE DAY #3
After turning in a full practice Thursday, Michael Vick will start against the Giants on Sunday “barring any setbacks,” according to NFL Network’s Albert Breer.

It’s no longer common practice for players to return just one week after getting their bells rung, but Vick never appeared to be out of it last Sunday, and was even lucid enough to taunt Falcons fans as he walked off the field to the locker room.

Vick remains an injury risk as a quarterback who likes to run behind an offensive line that has struggled to give him any protection so far this season, but has a dream matchup in a banged up Giants secondary that’s allowed 11 pass plays of 20 yards or longer in its first two games.

NEWS OF THE DAY #4
The Dallas Morning News’ David Moore became the latest to report on Thursday that Felix Jones (shoulder) should be able to suit up on Monday against the Redskins. What he or nobody else knows, however, is how effective he might be playing with a bum wing.

Although there’s never a good time for your starting running back to get hurt, Jones’ latest injury will have him playing at less than 100 percent when the Cowboys can least afford it.

The best way for Dallas to protect its similarly ailing quarterback Tony Romo (ribs) against Washington would be to establish a robust ground attack. That should prove quite difficult with Jones wondering if he might dislocate his shoulder any time he initiates contact.

Throw in the fact that Washington’s run defense has been stout in its first two games, and Romo could be forced to take to the air all night on Monday, exposing him to any number of free shots at his ribs.

With Jones’ status unlikely to be certain by the time you set your lineup on Sunday morning, he’s best avoided if you have any viable alternatives in your backfield.

NEWS OF THE DAY #5
Kenny Britt’s troublesome hamstring reportedly “loosened up” on Thursday, prompting HC Mike Munchak to say “I don't see him being limited at all for this weekend."

A full practice on Friday would be ideal, but after Britt gave everybody a scare by leaving practice early on Wednesday, it looks like he’ll be healthy and ready to post his third straight 130-yard receiving effort against a Broncos secondary that will be missing Champ Bailey.

INJURY QUICK SLANTS
Steven Jackson (quad) is "questionable to doubtful” for Week 3, and will be best avoided against the Ravens even if he is cleared to play in pregame warmups. … Although he returned to limited practice Thursday, Arian Foster (hamstring) isn’t looking like a particularly great bet to be active against the Saints this weekend, and will likely be used in a limited role behind Ben Tate if he’s able to get onto the field. … Both Santonio Holmes (quad) and Roddy White (thigh) were limited for the second straight day on Thursday, but neither is in danger of sitting out on Sunday. … Brandon Lloyd returned to full practice Thursday, and will be back in action in Week 3 barring a hiccup some time between now and Sunday morning. … The same appears to be true of Lloyd’s teammate Knowshon Moreno, though Willis McGahee should shoulder the load in Denver’s backfield for the second straight week. … A.J. Green will be active on Sunday despite coming down with a minor toe injury on Thursday. … If Sidney Rice (shoulder) is active and starting, will it make a sound? We should find out on Sunday.
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Matchups: Use the Full Nelson

1:00PM ET Games

New England @ Buffalo

David Nelson was a piping-hot Week 3 waiver pickup, and deservedly so. A big-bodied (6'5/220) possession threat with better speed than you'd expect (4.45), Nelson racked up 13 targets against Oakland, securing 10 for 83 yards and a touchdown. Formerly a part-time player, Nelson's snap rate leaped from 49.3% in the opener to 83.3% in Week 2 following primary slot man Roscoe Parrish's ankle injury. Parrish is out for the year, leaving Nelson as the heavy favorite for inside receiver targets in a clicking short pass-based offense. Stevie Johnson also has a balky groin. The Pats are getting torched by big wideouts who play the slot (Vincent Jackson: 10-172-2, Brandon Marshall: 7-139). Nelson is a high-upside WR3 in what projects as this week's highest scoring game (53.5-point over-under). Long term, Nelson has breakout potential as a legitimate candidate to lead Buffalo in receiving the rest of the way. His game is a perfect complement to Ryan Fitzpatrick's weak arm ... The Pats, by the way, take Johnson seriously. Buffalo's only truly imposing wideout from a game-plan perspective, Johnson hasn't topped 66 yards in three career meetings with New England.

Ride Fitzpatrick while he's hot, but he'll be a sell-high candidate soon. Fitz started last season on a similar tear with an 11:4 TD-to-INT ratio and 245-yard average in his first four games, before regressing to 5:6 and 208 in the final five. Fitzpatrick's arm strength just can't cut it when the Buffalo elements worsen. He's still a viable QB1 in this projected shootout. ... Scott Chandler is who we thought he was: A nice post-up red-zone target who won't rack up many catches or yards. Chandler will hurt you if he doesn't find the end zone. ... Fred Jackson leads the NFL in rushing through two weeks, and he's got 38 touches compared to C.J. Spiller's 11. I wouldn't expect a 30 1/2-year-old running back to hold up and stay effective over 16 games, but Jackson should be considered a rock-solid RB2 until proven otherwise. He's a solid bet for 90 total yards and a score.

The exact fallout of Aaron Hernandez's MCL sprain is to be determined, but the most immediate benefactor should be Rob Gronkowski. The Pats utilized Hernandez, Wes Welker, Deion Branch, and Gronk as their top-four receiving options in the first two games, with the quartet accounting for 73 targets on Tom Brady's first 88 attempts (83.0%). Despite two monster weeks, Gronkowski was fourth in the pecking order with 13 targets. (He caught 10 for 172 yards and three TDs.) Look for Gronk to climb the totem pole, getting more balls and remaining Brady's primary red-zone read. There aren't three better tight end plays in the NFL this week. ... New England beat writers have speculated that Chad Ochocinco's role will increase, but this is a prove-it game for him. On the young year, Ocho has played 35-of-151 snaps (23.2%) and is sitting on three catches for 59 scoreless yards. ... Denarius Moore (5-146-1) showed last week that Buffalo's Terrence McGee-less secondary is susceptible to deep threats, and Branch is the closest New England can come. As a top-20 fantasy receiver through two games, Branch is no worse than a reasonable WR3.

Brady is the No. 1 fantasy player entering Week 3, and it's becoming difficult to tell how anyone will stop him, let alone the Bills. In his last six matchups with Buffalo, Brady has an 18:2 TD-to-INT ratio. Under 300 yards and three scores would be a disappointment. ... Week 1 snap and touch counts in New England's backfield were deceptive. Whereas Danny Woodhead got the ball 15 times in the opener compared to BenJarvus Green-Ellis' seven, it was "Law Firm" in the lead role with 17 touches to Woodhead's six against San Diego. Historically at least, the Pats love to pound Green-Ellis against Buffalo's annually soft front seven. He racked up 211 yards and a touchdown on 37 touches in two games against the Bills last year. Consider BJGE a solid bet to score and RB2/flex. Woodhead is riskier. ... Buffalo has surprisingly held Welker under 50 yards in three straight games. Welker is the No. 4 fantasy receiver through two weeks and could see at least a slightly expanded role due to Hernandez's absence, however, so you should be sure to start him.

Score Prediction: Patriots 35, Bills 21

Denver @ Tennessee

The Broncos' defense faked competitiveness against the run in Week 2 by selling out to stop it and making Andy Dalton beat them. Opposing backs have still racked up 260 yards on 50 carries (5.20 YPC) against Denver through two weeks, and they'll have to take a hot Matt Hasselbeck more seriously than the rookie. This is a prime opportunity for Chris Johnson to break out of his funk, and the coaching staff has to know it. Tennessee's run defense schedule may be the league's weakest from Week 3 on, which is a big reason why we recommended Johnson as a buy-low target after his two-game slump. ... Jared Cook remains a worthwhile TE2 stash because of his supreme athletic gifts, but he's nowhere near starting-caliber with five targets through two games. Johnson, Kenny Britt, and Nate Washington are all lapping Cook in the pass-game pecking order.

Britt's hamstring flare-up is concerning because it kept him out of camp and is now a "lingering" injury. The good news is it happened in the first practice of the week, giving Britt three days to get right. All signs still point to Britt playing against the Broncos. Denver is expected to be minus CB Champ Bailey (hamstring) and has little chance of stopping big-time No. 1 receivers without him. A.J. Green lit up Denver for 10 catches, 124 yards, and a touchdown in Week 2. ... Washington has clearly been Tennessee's No. 2 passing-game option with 18 targets in two games. You could do worse in a WR3 spot. Washington just offers scant upside. ... Hasselbeck is engineering an explosive passing offense with a 67.1 completion rate and 8.17 YPA so far. He's a solid QB2.

With DEs Derrick Morgan and Jason Jones healthy, the Titans are quietly putting together a stout pass defense. Through two games, Tennessee has limited opposing quarterbacks to 32-of-56 (57.1%) passing for 372 yards (6.64 YPA), one touchdown, and two interceptions. Luke McCown posed no threat in the opener, but formidable foe Joe Flacco accounted for both picks. Cortland Finnegan shut down Anquan Boldin in the slot last week, and the pass rush took off. The 18th-ranked fantasy passer so far, Kyle Orton is a two-QB league option only. ... Eric Decker was a hot Week 3 waiver pickup, but it's a wait-and-see game for him. Decker's Week 2 stat line (5-113-2) was inflated by No. 1 receiver Brandon Lloyd's (groin) absence and Eddie Royal's in-game injury. With Tim Tebow forced to play the slot, Decker had zero competition for targets. He's more of a low-end WR3 play, particularly because Decker is likely to see plenty of the physical Finnegan.

Lloyd is expected back, but he too is a dicey option. He's coming off a troublesome groin injury that resulted in a last-minute Week 2 scratch, is facing a pass defense playing at a high level, and now has an emerging Decker to contend with for targets in a run-first offense. Lloyd is a better Week 3 fantasy bet than Decker, but not by a ton. ... Knowshon Moreno was limited in practice all week and is considered questionable to play against the Titans. While Willis McGahee turned in a productive fantasy game in Week 2, he's still averaging a paltry 3.25 yards per carry on the year. If you're hoping to use McGahee -- and I'd encourage you not to -- you'll need to check back for Sunday morning's inactives list. Neither will be a worthwhile fantasy starter if Moreno suits up.

Score Prediction: Titans 24, Broncos 13

Jacksonville @ Carolina

It's a passing offense. The most informed football watchers envisioned a smash-mouth, run-heavy attack after the Panthers made DeAngelo Williams the NFL's (then-) highest paid veteran running back in late July, before naming raw rookie Cam Newton their Week 1 quarterback a month later. Instead, Newton has reeled off 83 pass attempts in two games, 46 (55.4%) of them coming when the game was either tied or Carolina had the lead. A Norv Turner disciple, OC Rob Chudzinski's scheme is aggressive and vertical in nature, and Chud showed a ton of faith in Cam by attacking Green Bay's defense with spread sets and 10 throws on Carolina's first 14 snaps in Week 2. Newton will remain turnover prone -- he currently leads the NFL in interceptions (4) -- but he's going to rack up fantasy points. Newton's running stats (he's already got 71 rushing yards and two touchdowns) will keep him consistent even in down weeks as a passer. So far, Newton ranks second to only Tom Brady in fantasy scoring among QBs. You're late to the dance if you still think he's not a QB1, and the Jags may present Newton's most favorable matchup all year.

While Cam has 83 pass attempts, Jonathan Stewart and Williams have combined for 30 carries. The Panthers employ an even rotation, assigning no roles and using both backs on third downs and in the red zone, depending only on whose series it is at a given time. It will make big fantasy performances tough to predict, and the Jaguars' strength so far is run defense. After revamping their front seven this summer, Jacksonville has held the Jets and Titans to a combined 3.20 YPC, ranking fourth in the NFL against the run. ... Carolina also seems to envision its tight ends as interchangeable. You saw it last week with Jeremy Shockey (3-56) outproducing Greg Olsen (1-34), as the latter blocked more. Olsen is a better fantasy bet because of his superior athleticism, but this kind of usage hurts consistency. It's notable that the Jags gave up nine catches for 111 yards and a TD to Jets tight ends in Week 2. Jacksonville's zone defense is susceptible over the middle. ... Steve Smith leads the NFL in receiving yards -- by 63. Start him until he cools off, but don't bet he will. ... Brandon LaFell has emerged as a nice possession complement to Smith's deep threat, but will be tough to count on as long as he's playing behind Legedu Naanee. LaFell has played 52.0% of the snaps through two games. Naanee (90.8%) started over him last week.

The inept Jaguars offense we all expected showed up in Week 2. Jacksonville didn't enter the red zone once against the Jets and made an early fourth-quarter quarterback change. I had a hard time getting excited about Mike Thomas during fantasy draft season because this offense projects to struggle mightily in the pass game. Having failed to top 55 yards in both of his first two games, Thomas now faces a Panthers defense shutting down opposing No. 1 receivers. Neither Larry Fitzgerald nor Greg Jennings has posted more than 62 yards or three receptions against Carolina, and Jennings got his Week 2 touchdown against nickel safety Jordan Pugh. Expect a rejuvenated Chris Gamble to be on Thomas for the majority of this one. ... The insertion of Blaine Gabbert bodes poorly for Marcedes Lewis. The Jaguars are likely to go run-heavy and use Lewis as a blocker in order to keep their young franchise quarterback healthy. Lewis is a very low-end TE2.

The Jags need to enter Week 3 planning to control this game on the ground, keeping Newton off the field with heavy doses of Maurice Jones-Drew. Carolina is surrendering 4.85 yards per rushing attempt and has lost two starting linebackers in as many weeks after WLB Thomas Davis re-tore his right ACL against Green Bay. A healthy Jones-Drew touched up the Jets for 107 total yards in Week 2, and is now sitting on a rock-solid 4.40 YPC average. Despite his "play count," MJD hasn't seen fewer than 22 touches in either of Jacksonville's first two games, and Deji Karim has continued to struggle mightily (2.40 YPC on 20 rushes). A 30-touch workload should be in order for the Jaguars' feature back. It's time for the coaching staff to remove Jones-Drew's restrictions.

Score Prediction: Panthers 24, Jaguars 17

Detroit @ Minnesota

Reconfirming himself as one of the league's elite playmakers, Calvin Johnson fought off a double-team filled Week 2 to haul in two TDs and post 14.9 standard league fantasy points against a Chiefs defense that let the rest of the Lions' roster beat them. Fallouts included 93 yards on seven receptions for Nate Burleson, 123 yards and two scores for Jahvid Best, and rookie Titus Young's breakout game (5-89). Folks chalking up Detroit's hot start to fluke are fooling themselves. There aren't four NFL teams with better skill player talent, and the O-Line hasn't allowed a single sack. ... The Vikings get back DT Kevin Williams from suspension in Week 3, so look for the Lions to spray the ball to the exterior of Minnesota's defense. Best could have a very big PPR game. On the year, he's already caught 10 passes for 108 yards while averaging 23.5 touches per week. Even in standard, non-PPR scoring, Best is currently the No. 7 overall fantasy running back.

Vikings top CB Antoine Winfield covers the slot when opponents go to three-wide, so he'll be on Burleson for a good portion of this one. Burleson remains a respectable weekly WR3, but you can use his matchup to break ties. ... Brandon Pettigrew hasn't been productive and missed a bunch of practice time with a shoulder injury. Feel free to bail on him now. ... Tony Scheffler has only two catches through two weeks, but they've both gone for touchdowns. His playing style is a better fit for Matthew Stafford's vertical arm than the plodding Pettigrew. If Pettigrew is inactive for Week 3, consider Scheffler a viable fall-back option. He'd get more snaps and targets. ... Stafford ranks fourth in fantasy scoring among quarterbacks, and the Lions will have to throw to move the offense Sunday. It's a formula for statistical success. You're witnessing the emergence of a star.

The Lions aren't the pushover run defense of yesteryears, but they'll still struggle to contain an on-fire Adrian Peterson. All Day ranks fourth in the NFL in rushing and fifth in yards per carry among backs with at least 30 attempts. Detroit is permitting 4.60 YPC, so it's not as if they're suddenly the Steelers. ... The Vikings' pass game is hands-off in fantasy leagues, aside from WR3 option Percy Harvin. I call Harvin only an "option" because he's a poor bet to score without a role in red-zone packages, and played a perturbing 44.1% of Minnesota's offensive snaps last week. Vikings fans need to be concerned about their team's coaching staff. OC Bill Musgrave is shooting himself in the foot. ... Molasses Michael Jenkins and Bernard Berrian can't beat single coverage. They're non-factors both in real life and fantasy. ... Donovan McNabb has lost a large chunk of his mobility going on age 35, which was always a recipe for disaster behind an O-Line that can't pass protect.

Score Prediction: Lions 28, Vikings 14
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<!--RW-->NY Giants @ Philadelphia

Michael Vick is expected to start against the Giants, but owners should pay attention into Sunday morning. As Jay Cutler showed in Week 8 last season, concussed quarterbacks can be prone to late-week setbacks. The Eagles may want to limit Vick's drop backs regardless, and certainly will if second-year QB Mike Kafka draws the start. ... LeSean McCoy leads all backs in fantasy points through two weeks. He's behind only Tom Brady overall. In four career meetings with an annually stout Giants defense, McCoy averages 6.33 yards a carry. We should've ranked Shady higher before the year, because he's headed for career bests in carries, total yards, and fantasy scoring as a true every-week starter. ... Brent Celek is the No. 30 fantasy tight end with five catches for 56 yards through two weeks. He's waiver material. ... Consider Jeremy Maclin a locked-and-loaded WR2 the rest of the way. He proved his separation skills in Week 2 with 13 catches for 171 yards and two TDs against Atlanta, and the Eagles used Maclin on bubble screens when Kafka came in. Vick's absence would hurt DeSean Jackson, but not necessarily Maclin, and definitely not McCoy.

More Maclin pluses: After Kafka's insertion, six of his nine attempts were intended for Maclin, with five complete for 63 yards. (Kafka did not target D-Jax.) From Vick, Maclin caught eight passes for 108 yards and both touchdowns. Maclin also has the Eagles' best receiver matchup. He runs a good majority of his routes down the left sideline, facing off with Giants RCB Aaron Ross. Ross was benched mid-game last Monday after getting torched by Danario Alexander. ... Jackson will be good to go if Vick starts, but would be a riskier option than usual if Kafka got the nod. The downgrade in arm strength is dramatic, and the Eagles' staff would likely "protect" Kafka with continued shorter throws and check downs. Jackson is the team's deep threat. ... Jason Avant has played the most snaps so far, but the Eagles' slot receiver job is headed for a timeshare with Steve Smith getting healthier. Smith's snap count jumped from five in Week 1 to 19 in Week 2.

The Giants reverted to a ground-and-pound offensive approach in Week 2, finishing with a 38:30 run-to-pass ratio. They'll need it to stay that way this week. Not only does the matchup dictate it, the G-Men are perilously thin at wide receiver. Mario Manningham appears doubtful with a concussion, third wideout Domenik Hixon has a torn ACL, Brandon Stokley is still picking up the offense, and Victor Cruz has struggled since the 2010 preseason. ... In fantasy leagues, however, the New York backfield has developed into a guessing game. The Giants use Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw interchangeably on early downs, with Jacobs possessing the edge for red-zone work. Bradshaw gets more touches because he is utilized in the pass game. Jacobs and Bradshaw are both low-end RB2/flex options, but it's a tossup as to whom will outproduce whom in any given week. Neither has played particularly well, with both backs under 3.8 yards per carry.

The Eagles' pass defense is as advertised, ranking fifth in the NFL and allowing just three completions of 20-plus yards on 63 pass attempts against. It's bad news for Eli Manning, who's already short-handed at receiver and scuffling. Eli's Week 2 box score (two TDs, 63.3% completions) doesn't look bad, but game watchers know he struggled to complete easy throws down the seams and benefited greatly from circus catches made by Hixon and Hakeem Nicks deep downfield. Not quite to the extent of his brother, but Manning is going to be a big fantasy disappointment this season. Long overrated, his many deficiencies are being exposed. ... Nicks will face off with Nnamdi Asomugha for most of this game because he plays the majority of his snaps against RCBs. Nicks should be in fantasy lineups, but expectations need to be tempered. Per Pro Football Focus, Asomugha has allowed just 2-of-6 pass targets to be complete against him for 45 yards. With an interception, Asomugha is holding opposing passers to a miniscule 21.5 QB rating.

Score Prediction: Eagles 31, Giants 20

San Francisco @ Cincinnati

The Niners-Bungles 40.5-point over-under is the lowest of all early games, making this a matchup to avoid where possible. ... The 49ers lead the NFL in run defense, both in terms of yards allowed per game and yards per carry against (2.47). For a team as run-oriented as the Bengals fancy themselves, it creates a mismatch. Avoid Cedric Benson. ... A stonewalled Benson may force Andy Dalton to drop back frequently on Sunday. In fairness, OC Jay Gruden did call 41 pass plays in Week 2, showing confidence in his rookie quarterback against a Denver defense selling out to stop the run. Dalton came through with 332 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions. This is good news for A.J. Green, who likewise exploded for a 10-124-1 line. And there isn't an imposing member of the 49ers' secondary. Consider Green a WR3 with some upside. ... Jerome Simpson also topped 100 yards, but has been held out of practice this week after police discovered 8.5 pounds of marijuana in Simpson's home. Early indications are that Simpson won't play Sunday.

Jermaine Gresham regressed to a 2-8-0 line in Week 2 after Browns CB Joe Haden's bottling up of Green allowed Gresham to go for 6-58-1 on Opening Day. Gresham is a traditional in-line tight end and can get stuck blocking for long stretches. He's more much more TE2 than possible top-12 tight end. I jumped the gun last week. ... Benson has been suspended three games by the NFL, though he'll play Sunday. Fantasy owners need to pick up Bernard Scott wherever available. A repeat offender of the Personal Conduct Policy, Benson's appeal will be heard by commissioner Roger Goodell on Tuesday. If the suspension stands, Scott will be the Bengals' starting tailback against the Bills, Jaguars, and Colts in Weeks 4-6. Cincinnati has a Week 7 bye. If Scott puts good things on tape during that evaluation period, he could earn a very big role down the stretch.

Defenses are stacking the box against Frank Gore, but he's stayed afloat in fantasy terms with 48 touches in two games. While his weekly workloads project to remain large, there are reasons for worry. The 49ers' line can't open holes, and the passing game won't help create lanes without a downfield threat. Gore has also played an astonishing 109-of-116 (94.0%) of the team's offensive snaps. Taking so much pounding on a play-to-play basis bodes poorly for his chances of holding up. Sell Gore after a big game. ... It's fair to be concerned about Vernon Davis' slow start, but this matchup sets up well for last year's No. 3 fantasy tight end. The Bengals lack a big-time edge rusher to keep Davis blocking like he did DeMarcus Ware last week, and Cincinnati flashed vulnerability to tight ends with six catches, 80 yards, and two TDs served up to Evan Moore and Ben Watson in the opener. With Braylon Edwards (knee) sidelined for at least three weeks, the Niners will have to lean more heavily on their best pass catcher. ... Avoid Michael Crabtree and Josh Morgan. Crabtree (foot) is a poor bet to make it four quarters, and he'll likely rotate with Ted Ginn. Morgan is the 49ers wideout to use if you drink before making last-minute lineup decisions.

Score Prediction: 49ers 17, Bengals 14

Houston @ New Orleans

This game has Week 3's second highest over-under. Start your Texans and Saints. ... It'll get old trying to make weekly excuses for Mark Ingram's pedestrian production if he continues to post empty 40-50 yard games. But touchdowns will come if the Saints keep using him like they have. Through two weeks, Ingram leads New Orleans with nine red-zone touches to Darren Sproles' six and Pierre Thomas' one. Sproles scored on a 12-yard catch in Week 2, but clearly stepped out at the one-yard line. (The play somehow avoided review.) It's a game of inches, and the TD would've been Ingram's if the refs got it right. Ingram lost a fourth-quarter fumble in the win over Chicago, but the Saints confirmed their confidence in the rookie by putting him right back in for clock-killing mode. The coaching staff desperately wants Ingram to succeed. In a projected shootout, it's hard to imagine sitting him if you have a flex spot. ... Not getting the rock in scoring position, Thomas is a poor bet for TDs. He's averaging 10 touches for 61.5 yards a game and is better in real life than fantasy. ... The Saints pass enough to keep Sproles as a consistent PPR contributor. He's doing nothing on the ground (24 yards), but already has 15 catches in two games as a Saint.

Depending on your scoring system, Drew Brees is either the No. 3 or 4 fantasy QB through two weeks. (Tom Brady and Cam Newton are 1-2, and Matthew Stafford is in the mix.) Be sure to start Brees with Texans top CB Johnathan Joseph coming off an ankle sprain. ... Houston ranks No. 1 against the pass, but has faced Kerry Collins and Chad Henne. This is a prime opportunity for Jimmy Graham's breakout game. Greg Cosell of NFL Films expects Graham to be the primary beneficiary of Marques Colston's fractured collarbone. ... Lance Moore will reappear with a bang eventually, but he's hard to use on 32.8% snap counts with one catch on four targets like last week. While you could do worse in a WR3 spot, ideally you'd make sure he's recovered from his lingering groin pull. ... Robert Meachem is seeing more play time than Devery Henderson, even if Henderson was more productive in Week 2. The former is a better fantasy option than the latter.

After a sluggish opener, New Orleans laid six sacks and a whopping 22 QB hurries on Jay Cutler. This is a dangerous Saints defense, and DE Will Smith's (suspension) return provides another big spark. The Texans don't want -- and can't afford -- to let Matt Schaub drop back more than 30 times. Leaning on its near-unstoppable zone-run scheme, look for Houston to feed newly anointed feature back Ben Tate early and often. Arian Foster (hamstring) will be limited at best if he plays, and Tate has emerged as an RB1 with 251 yards and a 4.66 YPC average. He's third in the NFL in rushing. ... The Texans' run-to-pass ratio on the season is 77:53, leading to more of an in-line tight end role for Owen Daniels. He's still a better bet for production than Kevin Walter, returning from a shoulder injury, and Jacoby Jones, falling down the depth chart. Daniels will be tough to sit in a high-scoring affair and favorable matchup against Saints coverage liability SS Roman Harper.

Owners need to continue to be wary of Schaub in what is no longer a passer-friendly offense, but he's a top-15 Week 3 QB play because of the projected scoring in this game. If Schaub has a big week, sell him high. ... Andre Johnson has 20 targets on 53 Texans pass attempts as Houston's lone reliable passing-game producer. Having never topped nine TD catches in a season, Johnson is on his way to a career high with touchdowns in each of the first two weeks. And he has a plus matchup on Sunday. The Saints have kept Patrick Robinson as their starting right corner, and he's been burned for a 7-113-1 line on 10 targets so far, according to Pro Football Focus. Johnson typically lines up across from RCBs. ... The Foster situation is a tough one in fantasy leagues. He's not a recommended buy-low target after repeated setbacks, and Tate is running away with the job. Unless Foster owners can find a trade partner, they're forced to sit tight and hope for an eventual full recovery. They may also need a Tate injury at that point.

Score Prediction: Saints 34, Texans 28

Miami @ Cleveland

Peyton Hillis racked up 94 yards and two touchdowns on 27 carries against the Colts, which was a big help to fantasy owners. But there are reasons to believe it's time to sell. Hillis managed 3.48 yards per carry against the NFL's worst run defense, a clip that falls to 2.69 if you exclude Hillis' wide-open 27-yard touchdown run in the fourth quarter. Dating back to Week 14 of 2010, Hillis' YPC average is a less-than-pedestrian 3.21, and he's at 3.67 since Week 10. Hillis' monster workload is valuable in fantasy, but his run style is likely to lead to a slow finish, and his down-to-down effectiveness is already waning. Hillis' value won't get higher after a 24-point fantasy game. ... Rookie Greg Little's breakout week is coming. Through two games, Little leads all Cleveland receivers in snaps played (105 -- 72.9%), and Brian Robiskie's role is decreasing rapidly. Coach Pat Shurmur was asked by reporters this week whether Robiskie is a "real receiver," as opposed to a blocking wideout because he's yet to catch a pass. Little has eight targets, Robiskie two.

Evan Moore did well to catch his lone target for a 16-yard touchdown in Week 2, but he isn't much of a fantasy option after playing nine snaps. Moore played 13 snaps in the opener. ... Ben Watson sees more field time than Moore because he can block, but he's yet to exceed 45 yards. You can do better. ... Mohamed Massaquoi and Joshua Cribbs do more to hurt the values of each other, Robiskie, and Moore than become stand-alone options. They're all fantasy reserves at best. ... Colt McCoy improved his completion rate and yards-per-attempt average against Indy, but only after the Browns scaled back their aggressiveness, leaning heavily on the run. In ten career starts, McCoy has a 9:10 TD-to-INT ratio. He's not going to be even a mid-range QB2 anytime soon.

Brandon Marshall is in a three-way tie for the league lead in targets through two weeks, matching Carolina's Steve Smith and Dallas' Miles Austin. Marshall plays all three receiver positions, so he'll avoid stay-at-home LCB Joe Haden plenty. ... The Browns held slot receivers Austin Collie and Jordan Shipley to a combined four catches for 23 yards in Weeks 1 and 2. Sheer playing time has something to do with it, but Dolphins slot man Davone Bess is an uninspiring option, anyhow. ... Chad Henne crashed back to earth after his big opener last Sunday, experiencing marked drops in completion rate (40.0), yardage (170), YPA (5.67), and touchdowns (1). With rookie Daniel Thomas emerging as a viable down-to-down inside run threat, the Dolphins' offense won't have to lean as heavily on the pass as it appeared in Week 1. Henne has resumed low-end QB2 status.

Speaking of Thomas, the Miami Herald reported in late July that the coaching staff's plan entering camp was to make the rookie a "workhorse," with Reggie Bush getting 10-15 touches a game. The idea was put on hold when Thomas struggled in preseason, then suffered a hamstring injury that sidelined him for Week 1. The Dolphins spent August and early September trying to drill into Thomas' head that he must run with more purpose inside the tackles in order to see rookie-year playing time. The light flipped on for Thomas in Week 2. He racked up 18 carries to triple Bush's usage, gaining six-plus yards on nine plays with five gains of double-digit yardage. The coaching staff's initial plan is coming full circle, with Thomas operating as the lead back in the committee. Especially promising for Thomas' long-term value is the Dolphins' confidence in his pass protection. He was left in for nine blitz-pickup opportunities last Sunday and executed on each, per Pro Football Focus. He'll be an every-down back if Bush gets injured. ... Thomas' maturation has made Bush's fantasy value very dicey. He's likely to revert to a "satellite back" role in what now projects as a more balanced offense. You can't count on more than 12 touches.

Score Prediction: Dolphins 20, Browns 17
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<!--RW-->4:05PM ET Games

NY Jets @ Oakland

Shonn Greene owners can point to Buffalo's 217 yards rushing against Oakland in Week 2 in an effort to feign confidence in their early-round fantasy pick, but Greene's long-range outlook isn't pretty. Nick Mangold is the NFL's best center, and he's out indefinitely with a high ankle sprain. His backup is undrafted rookie Colin Baxter. Even before Mangold's loss, a declining, ultimately overrated Jets line opened up enough holes for their backs to gain 113 yards on 43 runs in Weeks 1-2, for a pathetic average of 2.63. This isn't nearly the rushing offense it once was, and Greene isn't talented enough to make up for it. Don't be surprised if the Jets start mixing in Bilal Powell. ... LaDainian Tomlinson has 18 touches and is averaging 2.18 YPC through two games. He's not a fantasy option. ... Dustin Keller is the real deal as the Jets' only pass catcher capable of getting open aside from Santonio Holmes. Playing 79.5% of the offensive snaps so far, Keller is off to an incredibly efficient start with 11 catches on 14 targets, going for 162 yards and two touchdowns. Jets OC Brian Schottenheimer will continue to call more pass plays for Keller if he keeps it up.

If the Jets can't kick start their run game, they'll have to strongly consider throwing the ball more. It would bode well for Holmes. The Nnamdi Asomugha-less Raiders have been susceptible to opposing No. 1 wide receivers early, allowing Stevie Johnson and Brandon Lloyd to combine for 14 catches, 185 yards, and a score in their first two games. Despite a groin injury in Week 2, Holmes played 48-of-62 snaps (77.4%). And he's healthier now. ... Plaxico Burress doesn't get separation at age 34, and it showed up last week when he went catch-less against the Jaguars. Plax is never a bad bet for a red-zone score, but owners should aim higher. ... Mark Sanchez is the 15th-ranked fantasy quarterback after two games. The Raiders rank 21st against the pass after facing the Broncos and Bills, so consider Sanchez a reasonable two-QB league option.

Darren McFadden ranks third in the NFL in touches through two weeks, behind only Peyton Hillis and Ben Tate. The Jets present a difficult run defense matchup on paper, but sprung some leaks in last week's win over the Jags, allowing Maurice Jones-Drew to average 4.89 yards per rushing attempt. McFadden is better than Jones-Drew and gets the ball more in the passing game. As the No. 3 fantasy back so far and his offense's centerpiece, DMC is an every-week starter, regardless of opponent. ... Jason Campbell has a pretty impossible Week 3 matchup, but he's worth grabbing as a QB2 for the future. In his last 11 games, Campbell has a 14:5 TD-to-INT ratio. He can be a passable option when bye weeks hit. ... Kevin Boss (knee), Darrius Heyward-Bey (knee), Jacoby Ford (hamstring), and Louis Murphy (sports hernia) are all either banged up or will be inactive. Explosive rookie Denarius Moore is set up to lead Oakland in targets again this week, but will he be blanked by Darrelle Revis? The Jets certainly are aware of Moore. "We really liked him (before the draft)," coach Rex Ryan told reporters this week. "We had him in for a visit. .... I tell you what, he had a huge game this past week, with about 150 yards receiving and a reverse for 25 yards. He really did a nice job. That catch he made in double coverage against Buffalo was big time."

Score Prediction: Raiders 17, Jets 13

Kansas City @ San Diego

The Chargers usually find a way to make it more interesting, but on paper this game reeks of mismatch. A San Diego passing game averaging 351 yards and completing 70.5 percent of its attempts plays host to a K.C. defense that has allowed a league-high eight touchdown passes and generated a league-low one sack. Without SS Eric Berry, the lifeless Chiefs have made Ryan Fitzpatrick and Matthew Stafford look like All-Pros. (In fairness, Stafford probably is.) Philip Rivers will light them up. ... Keep an eye on Antonio Gates' troublesome foot leading up to game time. He's combined for 194 yards and three touchdowns on 12 catches in his last two meetings with the Chiefs, but there is speculation in San Diego that Gates may have to take a week off. The Chargers confirmed their concern by holding Gates out of practice on Wednesday and Thursday.

The winds are blowing toward Ryan Mathews' breakout week, and not just because he'll rack up touches after San Diego takes an early lead. Mathews is involved in a backfield committee, and rotation partner Mike Tolbert is coming off both a toe injury and terrible game. Tolbert was stuffed cold after stutter-stepping at the Patriots' one-yard line on fourth-and-goal last Sunday, then lost a back-breaking fourth-quarter fumble that turned the tide of a one-possession game. Meanwhile, Mathews' role has increased steadily on passing downs, and he scored a red-zone touchdown in Week 2. He's also averaging 4.54 YPC to Tolbert's 2.14. Mathews is giving the coaches reasons to play him more, while Tolbert is stumbling. I'd struggle to consider Mathews any lower than a top-12 running back play this week. ... After a slow opener, the Chargers made it a point to get Vincent Jackson the rock by moving him to the slot. He responded with a 10-172-2 line against New England. Jackson will capitalize with monster statistics if Gates' foot remains problematic.

It's fair to wonder if the Chiefs have already called it a season. They don't have a prayer. The K.C. coaching staff continues to show zero faith in Matt Cassel, somehow managing a 27:23 run-to-pass ratio in Week 2, despite trailing for all but four minutes in a 48-3 blowout loss to Detroit. They benched Cassel for Tyler Palko in the fourth quarter, and ran the ball three times with a punt on their final four plays. "The season will not be canceled, as far as I know," coach Todd Haley said after the game. Could've fooled us. ... With Jamaal Charles out for the season, the Chiefs' lone offensive threat is Dwayne Bowe. Defensive coordinators are aware of this and will begin zeroing Bowe out of Kansas City's offense with double and triple teams. Bowe is not a good buy low. The Chargers have held Bowe to 13 yards or fewer in each of their last three meetings. Sit 'em.

The Chiefs are going to play from behind a lot this season. They have no pass or running game to speak of, and the defense has fallen apart both up front and in the secondary. While the Kansas City backfield won't produce a consistent fantasy scorer, Dexter McCluster has the best chance. A Sprolesian talent at 5'8/170, McCluster will be the Chiefs' passing-down back, and they'll have a lot of passing downs. Purely in terms of snaps, McCluster will be the lead back more often than not. He's worth adding in PPR leagues to see what happens. ... Thomas Jones was considered a hot Week 3 waiver wire pickup in some fantasy circles, but he won't get any support in this column. Jones just can't play anymore. His yards-per-carry average in his last 12 games is 2.85. In Jones' last seven, he's at 2.45. And he exits the field whenever the Chiefs throw the ball.

Score Prediction: Chargers 38, Chiefs 3

Baltimore @ St. Louis

The Rams made a slew of offseason front-seven additions, swapping out their nose tackle and two starting linebackers. It hasn't worked. Through two games, St. Louis ranks dead last in run defense and is surrendering 5.07 yards per carry. The Rams have only given up one run of longer than 20 yards, so offenses are grinding it out against them with success. Ray Rice needs to be the focal point of OC Cam Cameron's Week 3 game plan. On the season, Rice has three touchdowns and is averaging 5.98 yards per touch. There isn't a better running back start in the league this week. ... Lee Evans (ankle) is not expected to play Sunday, leaving Anquan Boldin as a legit candidate for 10-12 targets. Boldin is a recommended WR2. ... The Ravens will use some combination of rookies Torrey Smith, Tandon Doss, and undrafted LaQuan Williams to replace Evans. Avoid.

At first glance, Ed Dickson and Dennis Pitta would appear to be canceling each other out for fantasy purposes. But there is a clear leader in the clubhouse. Dickson has a 96.7 percent snap rate to Pitta's 31.1 percent, and six more targets through two games. Dickson qualifies you're looking for a sleeper Week 3 tight end, along with Tony Scheffler if Brandon Pettigrew (shoulder) sits. ... We've mentioned it before, and it's still true: Joe Flacco won't break out as a legitimate fantasy starter until Cameron opens up the offense. Through two weeks, the Ravens rank their usual 25th in pass attempts. I'm not going to argue with Flacco's matchup, but he's a low-end QB1 at best.

Greg Salas blew a golden opportunity to run with St. Louis' slot receiver job last Monday, dropping two passes and fumbling a punt. Danny Amendola (elbow) probably won't return in Week 3, but Salas may now appear on the inactives list. He couldn't have been worse. ... Danario Alexander is the Rams' only receiver capable of separating downfield, but diminutive snap counts (he played 16 downs in Week 2) kill his fantasy reliability. We saw this last year when Alexander "broke out" for 72 yards and a touchdown in Week 6, then caught one ball for six yards in Week 7, playing 12 snaps. Alexander has a five-times surgically repaired left knee, and the Rams are well aware of it. He can't hold up on full workloads and is a major roll of the dice as a WR3. ... If only Brandon Gibson could combine his play time and knees with Alexander's skill set. Gibson can't get open.

Mike Sims-Walker leads the Rams in targets through two weeks. He's worth a WR3 start against a Baltimore pass defense serving up huge games to versatile, No. 1 receivers who play all over the field (Mike Wallace, 8-107 and Kenny Britt, 9-135-1). That isn't to say MSW has the talent of a Wallace or Britt, but he's used similarly and saw his snap percentage leap from 60.3% in the opener to 92.8% in Week 2. He's clearly the biggest beneficiary of Amendola's absence and a borderline every-week WR3. ... Sam Bradford has one touchdown and a 51.3% completion rate through two games. Bradford should pick it up later in the year after he grasps new OC Josh McDaniels' offense more fully, and the schedule weakens. He's worth hanging onto as a QB2 with more upside than the first two games indicate, but is nowhere near start-able. ... Steven Jackson has a lingering quad injury and Cadillac Williams a bum hamstring. Baltimore ranks fourth in the NFL in run defense, having held Rashard Mendenhall and Chris Johnson to a combined 98 yards on 36 carries (2.72 YPC) without a touchdown. Avoid the Rams' backfield entirely this week.

Score Prediction: Ravens 27, Rams 17

4:15PM ET Games

Green Bay @ Chicago

The Bears' passing offense is much more the unit that showed up at New Orleans than the Week 1 version. Jay Cutler already leads the NFL with 11 sacks taken, and it's only going to get worse with RT Gabe Carimi (knee) out indefinitely. All-Pro OLB Clay Matthews happens to play over the opposing right tackle. Cutler's stats in his last four meetings with Green Bay: 67-of-125 (53.6%) for 734 yards (5.87 YPA), 3:9 TDs to INTs. Steer clear. ... The Bears won't get anything going with outside receivers Johnny Knox, Roy Williams, and Devin Hester if they can't keep Cutler upright. Cutler has 77 attempts through two games, and just 14 have been complete to the above trio. None has topped 60 yards in a week. Look elsewhere. ... Slot receiver Earl Bennett has a badly bruised torso and 20 yards through two games. Move along. ... Matt Forte has led Chicago in receiving both weeks, averaging 20.5 touches for 162 total yards a game. The Packers have also had trouble containing him recently; Forte's last two games against Green Bay netted 311 yards.

The Packers were involved in a Week 1 shootout and fell behind early last week, so they haven't yet experienced an opportunity to lean on the run. They'll execute when they do. RT Bryan Bulaga has emerged as a true mauler, and his partner on the right side RG Josh Sitton was already a dominant run-blocking force. Per Pro Football Focus, Green Bay cleared enough Week 2 lanes to give James Starks and Ryan Grant a 4.3 YPC average before they even felt contact. Starks continues to operate as the lead back, playing 84 snaps with 24 touches to Grant's 35 and 19, respectively. You may want to avoid the situation against a Chicago run defense that's better than its 5.30 YPC allowed indicates, but Starks is going to break out one of these weeks, and it will happen before midseason. He's a recommended trade target. ... In Jermichael Finley's last meeting with Chicago, he racked up nine catches for 115 yards. Finley is the ideal zone-busting tight end against a Cover 2, and it can't help the Bears' chances that they have injuries at safety.

Greg Jennings will likely struggle for deep bombs Sunday, but he's either caught a touchdown or cleared 97 yards in each of his last three matchups with the Bears. He needs to be in lineups as a WR2. ... Jordy Nelson's historical stats aren't great against Chicago, but on paper he has a better matchup than Jennings. While Green Bay's No. 1 receiver will face off with physical RCB Charles Tillman, Nelson will play most of his snaps against smallish LCB Tim Jennings (5'8/185). Nelson has a seven-inch and 32-pound size advantage. ... Donald Driver's snap rate fell from 68.7% in the opener to 50% in Week 2, while Randall Cobb and James Jones' both rose. The Packers' pass catchers behind Jennings, Finley, and Nelson have created a fantasy situation to avoid. ... The Bears have done an excellent job of bottling up Aaron Rodgers over the years, holding him to a 3:4 TD-to-INT ratio in their last five meetings. Just once in those games has Rodgers exceeded 244 passing yards. It's not crazy to consider starting Cam Newton over Rodgers this week.

Score Prediction: Packers 17, Bears 10

Arizona @ Seattle

Larry Fitzgerald plays most of his snaps across from right cornerbacks, and Brandon Browner is Seattle's RCB. According to Pro Football Focus, Browner allowed an incredible 10-of-10 passes thrown his way to be complete last week, for 194 yards and a touchdown. The Seahawks will have to come up with an awfully bright idea to keep Fitz in check. Most likely, he'll burn them for his second straight monster week. ... I mentioned it in Week 2 Matchups: Seattle fields a legitimately run-tough defense with big uglies Alan Branch (6'6/325) and Red Bryant (6'4/323) clogging up holes. The Seahawks held Rashard Mendenhall and Frank Gore to 125 yards on 41 carries (3.05 YPC) in their first two games, and Beanie Wells is now coming off an in-practice hamstring injury. Never known for playing well hurt, Wells drops all the way to risky flex option after having the look of an RB1 in the first two games. Dead-legged Chester Taylor wouldn't be a good fall-back plan.

Kevin Kolb ranks 12th among fantasy QBs through two games, playing far more formidably than he did last year or in his first preseason as a Cardinal. The possible lack of a run game could translate to more attempts for Kolb, and he's likely to have success picking apart the Fitz-Browner matchup. Consider Kolb an excellent two-QB league play and a quietly viable QB1 if you're streaming. ... Early Doucet confirmed that his 100-plus yard Week 1 game was a fluke by turning in a 20-yard clunker in Week 2. With Doucet earning only 45.9% of the Cardinals' offense snaps and Andre Roberts not producing, Fitzgerald is the team's only fantasy-relevant pass catcher.

Charlie Whitehurst isn't necessarily better, but you have to wonder if the Seahawks are seriously tanking the season for Andrew Luck if they stick with Tarvaris Jackson. In T-Jack's first two starts, the NFL.com play by play has described 60 of his 66 attempts as "pass short" (90.9%). Jackson is 0-for-6 on throws characterized as "deep," with one interception and another "deep" pass that led to a Ben Obomanu injury. Jackson has two completions for gains of longer than 13 yards. Sidney Rice won't save this passing offense. ... Marshawn Lynch has 44 yards on 19 carries through two games, "good" for a 2.31 average. Even as poor as Arizona's run defense is, it's hard to imagine ever using Lynch in a fantasy league. In his last 12 regular season games with Seattle, Lynch has 143 carries for 484 yards (3.38 average). Be sure to trade Lynch if he does anything in this game. The Seahawks' offensive line remains in shambles with LG Robert Gallery shelved 4-6 weeks after groin surgery, and there's simply no cohesiveness in position coach Tom Cable's unit.

Score Prediction: Cardinals 20, Seahawks 7
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<!--RW-->Atlanta @ Tampa Bay

Last week, Adrian Peterson caved in the Bucs' defense for 120 yards and two touchdowns on 25 carries. Tampa has served up 314 rushing yards and a 4.76 YPC clip through two games, and SLB Quincy Black has been a shell of himself because of an ankle injury. Michael Turner should run all over this team, particularly with run-blocking extraordinaire Todd McClure back from knee surgery at center. Fill-in Joe Hawley struggled mightily in the first two games. Still showing plenty of short-area burst, Turner leads the league with a 6.90 yards-per-carry average. You may want to consider selling Turner high after this one. ... Roddy White is likely to draw Bucs CB Aqib Talib in man coverage, but White has maintained a fair amount of effectiveness versus Talib. His last four stat lines against the Bucs: 5-57-1, 6-66-1, 4-49, 7-74. ... A run-heavy game plan is likely on Atlanta's side, but Julio Jones is close to busting out of his shell. He had 71 yards in the opener before meeting Nnamdi Asomugha for much of Week 2. Jones is averaging a solid seven targets per game with an 86.9 snap percentage. He'll be an every-week WR3 sooner rather than later.

Atlanta's improved perimeter speed has opened things up for Tony Gonzalez, who ranks fourth in fantasy points among tight ends. While this is a favorable matchup, Gonzalez will take a back seat to Jones as the Falcons' primary possession receiver in the coming weeks. Atlanta would certainly prefer its record to be better than 1-1, but early-season developments could pay off down the road. Defenses will begin rolling loaded coverage to Gonzalez, creating space for more explosive playmakers on the outside. The offense will be far more dangerous when that happens, and I'd expect it will. ... Matt Ryan is coming off a four-touchdown game against perhaps the NFC's best pass defense, and on the season is completing 64.0% of his throws. With Turner and Gonzalez hitting on all cylinders, the Falcons' play-action game will begin clicking with deep shots to White and Jones. Fantasy owners shouldn't be souring on Ryan. He's a terrific buy-low target after getting arguably the year's toughest two matchups out of the way early in the Bears and Eagles.

Josh Freeman engineered a thrilling Week 2 comeback win over the Vikings, but in the process reconfirmed that he's a better real-life than fantasy player. Despite a 17-0 first-half deficit, the Bucs stayed balanced in the final two quarters, feeding LeGarrette Blount in scoring position and finishing with only 31 pass attempts. While Atlanta's defense has looked susceptible to the pass early, it's hard to forget Freeman's 2010 stats against the Falcons: 30-of-60 passing for 370 yards, three touchdowns, and three interceptions in two games. He's a QB2. ... Mike Williams is coming off a one-catch gut-punch, but will square off with RCB Dunta Robinson for most of this game. According to Pro Football Focus, the overrated Robinson allowed 8-of-10 passes thrown his way to be complete for a whopping 208 yards and a touchdown in the first two weeks. Williams also had success against Robinson last year, combining for 157 yards and two TDs in two matchups.

Arrelious Benn caught a 25-yard touchdown pass in Week 2, but continues to rotate with Dezmon Briscoe. With slot receiver Preston Parker and Kellen Winslow also commanding targets, there isn't a start-able Bucs wideout behind Williams. ... The Falcons held Winslow under 35 yards in two games last year. Losing explosiveness, Winslow will need a touchdown for a big fantasy day. I'd bet you can find better options. ... The Bucs aren't as talented as the Falcons, but should keep this one close. It would bode well for Blount, who got a big vote of confidence when the Bucs' coaching staff didn't abandon the run following the aforementioned deficit. Blount is going to rack up touchdowns this season when Tampa Bay sticks with its game plan.

Score Prediction: Falcons 24, Bucs 21

Sunday Night Football

Pittsburgh @ Indianapolis

The Steelers' run game has sputtered to open the season, with Rashard Mendenhall managing a 3.58 YPC average in difficult matchups with Baltimore and Seattle. OC Bruce Arians will likely look to jump start the ground game against the NFL's weakest run defense. It's just what playcallers do when they face the Colts. Through two games, no team has had more rushing attempts against, and only three clubs have allowed more yards rushing per game. Box-score checkers need not worry about Isaac Redman making the Pittsburgh backfield a true committee. Redman received 10 Week 2 carries, but five came in fourth-quarter garbage time, and he was mixed in sparingly otherwise. Redman's 20-yard touchdown run came out of a shotgun formation with a huge hole. It is admittedly conceivable that Redman will get another healthy dose of touches if this game gets out of hand. The Steelers likely will emphasize the run, and should have a lead most of the way.

Need more proof that Mike Wallace isn't just a deep threat? Through two weeks, "60 Minutes" leads the league in first-down catches (14) and all wideouts in receptions. Wallace's long speed scares the bejeezus out of defenses, so he's ripping them up with shorter routes against off-man and zone coverage. More diverse routes will work better against the Colts' Cover 2 than a bunch of flies and goes. ... Antonio Brown took something of a step forward after his nightmarish opener with four catches and 67 yards on six Week 2 targets, although he did most of it late with Pittsburgh way out in front of Seattle. When the game was still in doubt, Sanders played ahead of Brown. Neither is a fantasy option against the Colts. ... Hines Ward ranks 56th in fantasy points among receivers. He's a WR5 until Pittsburgh's passing game picks it up. ... Ben Roethlisberger is only a QB2 with the Steelers likely to lean heavily on the run Sunday night. With a porous offensive line, Pittsburgh can't afford to let Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis take over this game.

The Colts' offensive production has shriveled to the point where I can keep this to one paragraph. The bottom line is that you don't want to start any of the Indianapolis skill players this week. ... The Colts are expected to be without RG Ryan Diem (high ankle sprain) against one of the league's stoutest run defenses. Joseph Addai and Delone Carter are desperation flex plays. ... Reggie Wayne should've been sold high by fantasy owners after Week 1. His production will continue to shrink in a matchup with Steelers RCB Ike Taylor. Wayne is at WR3 at best. ... Dallas Clark actually ran routes on more plays than he blocked in Week 2, but that could change quickly with LaMarr Woodley coming to town. Clark is a weak fantasy starter. ... Austin Collie's Week 2 game was a perfect example of the marked efficiency drop Indianapolis' offense is experiencing. He saw 10 targets, catching three for 24 yards. Drop Collie for someone with more upside. ... Pierre Garcon is an NFL backup-caliber player. I don't care what kind of stats he put up with Peyton Manning. With six catches for 67 scoreless yards through two games, Garcon can be dropped.

Score Prediction: Steelers 20, Colts 6

Monday Night Football

Washington @ Dallas

There are too many factors working against Felix Jones for confident Week 3 fantasy use. With Jones coming off a dislocated shoulder, both DeMarco Murray and Tashard Choice threaten to have expanded roles against Washington's No. 8 run defense. The game isn't until Monday night, and a last-minute scratch is always a possibility for a player returning from serious injury. Jones is expected to play, but he's yet to "earn" a start in a dicey situation with 86 total yards and a miserable 2.65 YPC average through two games. We're talking about a banged-up, potential committee back who isn't playing well. Sit 'em. ... Kevin Ogletree failed to capitalize on Dez Bryant's Week 2 inactivity, managing two catches for 50 yards against a 49ers secondary that is worse than the Redskins'. Ogletree didn't so much as command a target until the second half, and just two of Tony Romo's 33 attempts were intended in his direction. Romo showed more confidence in Jesse Holley after Miles Austin's late-game hamstring strain. Don't pick up Ogletree.

ESPN's Ed Werder reported Friday morning that Bryant (thigh) "in all likelihood" will play against the Redskins. A dominant physical talent who stands to benefit from Austin's absence, Bryant is a must-start WR2 in this game. ... With Austin definitely out and Bryant perhaps less than 100 percent, this matchup has played out well for Jason Witten. Behind only Austin, Witten amassed a Cowboys-high 14 targets for seven receptions and 102 yards with Bryant out of the lineup last week. Witten has tortured the Washington secondary in recent meetings, racking up at least 117 yards in two of the past three. ... Ranked ninth among quarterbacks in fantasy scoring so far, Romo remains a shoo-in top-10 quarterback play despite injured ribs. His "slightly" punctured lung has healed completely, and all signs point toward Romo getting the start.

Rex Grossman kicked off last week's game with interceptions on back-to-back drives, but showed resilience (and improved his job security) by engineering a comeback win. It's worth noting that Santana Moss miscommunicated his route on Rexy's first pick, and Cardinals CB A.J. Jefferson held Anthony Armstrong on the second. It feels uncomfortable defending Rex Grossman, but he's emerged as a reasonable QB1 option with 40.6 throws per game and 11 touchdowns in five starts as a Redskin. It certainly doesn't hurt that Dallas is susceptible to the pass. Alex Smith and Mark Sanchez -- both bottom-ten NFL passers -- have combined for a 61.8 completion rate, 7.56 YPA, four touchdowns, and two interceptions against them. And washed-up 33-year-old LCB Terence Newman's return is hardly a difference maker. ... Through two games, tight ends have licked the Cowboys defense for 10 grabs, 150 yards, and two touchdowns. Fred Davis is a top-five TE play.

Jabar Gaffney remains a low-level WR3 lacking big-play ability. ... Santana Moss ripped up Dallas for 14 catches, 149 yards, and two touchdowns in two 2010 meetings. Start 'em. ... 3-4 defenses like the Cowboys' are notorious for struggling against zone-running schemes like Washington's. The Redskins' carry distribution is just too murky for fantasy comfort. Coach Mike Shanahan rode the hot hand in Week 2, giving big-play rookie Roy Helu 13 touches en route to 112 yards (8.69 average). Through two games, starter Tim Hightower has 49 touches for 203 yards (4.14). Shanahan is a big fan of per-play production stats, often citing them in pressers with the media. Owners with depth may want to give this backfield a week to play out, before targeting the Skins' Week 4 game against the Rams for a fantasy start. It's perhaps notable that ESPN's Adam Schefter drafted Helu in his fantasy league on September 1. (Click here for proof.) Schefter wrote a book with Shanahan when he was on the Denver Post Broncos beat in 1999.

Score Prediction: Redskins 24, Cowboys 23
 

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Week 3 Injury Questions
Who is hurt? Everyone.

It feels a little early for the injury situation to be so dire. As we head into Week 3, the question marks include fantasy studs that were going off like Aaron Hernandez and Miles Austin. It includes first-round picks like Arian Foster and Michael Vick. And it even includes guys we thought were fully healed like Antonio Gates.

Gates' status is perhaps the most concerning. Plantar fasciitis is a recurring injury that is hard to shake, but Gates was stringing together long stretches of consecutive practices in training camp. The Chargers showed no hesitancy in his workload whatsoever. Now, just two weeks into the season, he has a zero-catch game and has missed a full week of practice. Not good.

With Gates headed for a true game-time call in the 4 p.m. ET games, owners need to have a backup plan in place. We'll know his official status around 3 p.m. ET.

Each week in this space, we'll bring you the latest line on all the hurt folks. Of course, the Rotoworld News Page will be humming all Sunday morning to bring you official word on all your players ahead of kickoff. To make sure you're prepared, read every word of these rankings from Gregg Rosenthal/Chris Wesseling in combination with Evan Silva's unprecedented Matchup Column.

And if you want to draft a new team just for this week, check out SnapDraft here.

OK, let's get to the hurt folks:

1 P.M. GAMES
JAGUARS at PANTHERS
* Marcedes Lewis (calf) is ready to go as a weak TE play in Blaine Gabbert's first career start.

TEXANS at SAINTS
* Arian Foster (hamstring) is headed for a true game-time decision, but he is not expected to start regardless. Ben Tate is the play here as the likely workhorse. Derrick Ward (ankle) is out.
* Kevin Walter (shoulder) is ready, sending Jacoby Jones (knee) back to the bench even if he's active.

PATRIOTS at BILLS
* Aaron Hernandez (knee) is out. Rob Gronkowski projects as a target hog and Chad Ochocinco will likely see a boost in his previously meager snap count.
* Roscoe Parrish (ankle) is out for the year. David Nelson will see a full complement of snaps in the slot.
* Stevie Johnson is going to play through his minor groin tweak.

DOLPHINS at BROWNS
* Peyton Hillis got sick on Friday, but should be fine. Just note that the coaches have been talking about sprinkling in Montario Hardesty a little more starting this week.
* Mohamed Massaquoi (ankle) is likely to play, but Greg Little is the preferred fantasy option for desperate owners.

BRONCOS at TITANS
* Eddie Royal (groin) is out. Eric Decker gets the start.
* Knowshon Moreno (hamstring) is headed for a game-time decision. Look for Willis McGahee to carry the load no matter what.
* Brandon Lloyd (groin) is ready to go as Kyle Orton's No. 1 target.
* Kenny Britt (thigh) gave owners a mid-week scare but he's fine. Must start against a Broncos secondary that may be playing without Champ Bailey (hamstring) again.

GIANTS at EAGLES
* Michael Vick (concussion) is virtually certain to start.
* Mario Manningham (concussion) is out and Domenik Hixon (knee) is done for the year. Victor Cruz is expected to start opposite Hakeem Nicks in this difficult matchup.

LIONS at VIKINGS
* Calvin Johnson (ankle) appears healthier this week than he did last. Look out.
* Brandon Pettigrew (shoulder) should be avoided even if he is active. The tight end position is so deep.
* Percy Harvin got a little sick this week but claims it wasn't migraine related. He's expected to have a major role this week.

49ERS at BENGALS
* Nate Newton -- I mean Jerome Simpson -- is questionable. If he can't go Andre Caldwell will start as Jordan Shipley (knee) is done for the year.
* Braylon Edwards (knee) is out. Michael Crabtree (foot) is ready to take his place, but no Niners' wideout can be trusted.
* Alex Smith (concussion) was cleared early in the week.
* A.J. Green (toe) is a full go.


4 P.M. GAMES
JETS at RAIDERS
* Shonn Greene is hurt by the absence of elite C Nick Mangold (ankle).
* Jacoby Ford (hamstring) and Louis Murphy (groin) are both out. Chaz Schilens and Derek Hagan will rotate at flanker.
* Darrius Heyward-Bey (knee) is ready to go at split end, which is Denarius Moore's position. With Darrelle Revis lurking, Moore is a poor bet to match last week's production.

CHIEFS at CHARGERS
* Antonio Gates (foot) appears headed for a true game-time decision after missing the entire week of practice. See above for more.
* Thomas Jones will start with Jamaal Charles (knee) done for the year. Dexter McCluster should get double-digit touches as the Chiefs fall behind.
* Malcom Floyd (groin) is not expected to play. Patrick Crayton will see snaps opposite Vincent Jackson but isn't a fantasy option.
* Mike Tolbert (calf) is fine, but Ryan Mathews is coming on strong.

RAVENS at RAMS
* Steven Jackson is staring at yet another game-time decision. If active, he'll be a really weak play with Cadillac Williams (hamstring) ready and the Ravens' run defense swarming.
* Lee Evans is going to take a week off on his battered ankle. Torrey Smith has a chance at his first career catch.
* Danny Amendola (shoulder) is improving but not yet ready.
* Greg Salas (ribs) is healthy but looked like a UFL-caliber player last week.

PACKERS at BEARS
* Earl Bennett (chest) is out. Undrafted rookie Dane Sanzenbacher is looking like a deep sleeper play in the slot.
* Roy Williams (groin) appears ready to go. Get Johnny Knox on benches.
* Marion Barber (calf) should be ready to make his Bears' debut.

CARDINALS at SEAHAWKS
* Beanie Wells (hamstring) says he's going to play, but is more like a game-time call. There is no strong handcuff here, so should be exploring other options. Wells has a history of performing poorly at less than 100 percent.
* Sidney Rice (shoulder) will finally make his Seahawks debut. Yawn.

FALCONS at BUCS
* Kellen Winslow (knee) is fully expected to play as a weak fantasy option.
* Sammie Straighter (ankle) remains out, giving Preston Parker the slot gig.

SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
STEELERS at COLTS
* Kerry Collins (shoulder) will start but figures to get physically abused by the Steelers' defense.
* Dallas Clark (foot) is completely up in the air and projects as a blocker more than a receiver in this one. Try to look elsewhere.

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
REDSKINS at COWBOYS
* Tony Romo (rib/lung) is tentatively expected to play and prove he's a tough hombre. Nervous owners can roster Jon Kitna just in case.
* Dez Bryant (quad) is headed in the right direction, but will likely be a true game-time call. With Miles Austin (hamstring) also out, the Cowboys starting wideouts could be Kevin Ogletree and Jesse Holley. Yikes.
* Felix Jones (shoulder) is expected to be active, but his role is unclear. The Cowboys seem likely to use Tashard Choice and DeMarco Murray more with Jones looking ineffective at less than 100 percent of late.


SURVIVOR PICK OF THE WEEK

Well, we are still alive. In Week 1 I used the Texans and in Week 2 Pat Daugherty filled in with the Lions. Only 15 more weeks to go. No problem.

This week is not easy. Keeping with our strategy of exclusively taking home teams, the only strong options are the Chargers (vs. Chiefs) and Eagles (vs. Giants). I'm going with the Chargers as their remaining home schedule does not include many great spots. The reeling Chiefs are also far unlikelier to show well than the Giants after KC lost Jamaal Charles last week.

One sneaky play I'll mention is the Panthers at home against the Jaguars. It's very risky, but it's also the only time we'll feel O.K. about using Carolina this year. Blaine Gabbert is making his first start and the Panthers are desperate at 0-2.

Some trap spots I wouldn't touch include the Patriots at the Bills (we can find much better spots to use New England later) and the Lions at the Vikings (Detroit due for a letdown).

MY TOUGHEST DECISION OF THE WEEK
In a 12-team half-PPR league, my WR3 choice came down to Eric Decker vs. Lance Moore.

My biggest concern with Moore is his snap count. He was on the field for just 22-of-67 snaps in Week 2, perhaps due to his lingering groin issue. Or maybe because the Saints were taking the Bears to the woodshed. Either way, Moore is back practicing in full this week and his snap count figures to rise. Remember that he was "limited" in practice leading up to Week 2.

While I love Decker's raw talent, he figures to see plenty of physical corner Cortland Finnegan this week. And Brandon Lloyd is back to steal hog targets. So in a very close call, my choice is Moore.
 

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Injuries: Vick, Britt, Ouch

As foggy and sluggish as Michael Vick appeared to be during his time on the field Sunday – and with as many hits as he was taking from the Giants defense – it seemed almost inevitable that one of those hits would knock him out of the game with a recurrence of his concussion symptoms.

However, it turned out that what ultimately finished Vick’s afternoon wasn’t head-related, but hand-related: a broken bone in his right (non-throwing) hand, sustained on a hit from Chris Canty.

After the game, Vick told reporters that he’s not sure if he’ll be able to play in Week 4, and Peter King called Vick “questionable at best” for the matchup with the 49ers. With that said, there are a couple of reasons that fantasy owners may not need to run around in sheer, uncontrollable panic. For one, beat writer Jeff McLane reports that it’s a non-displaced fracture, which gives hope that surgery might not be necessary. Secondly, the injury is to Vick’s non-throwing hand, and I’m just speculating here, but it’s not out of the realm of possibility that he could play through it while wearing a cast or a splint.

Another angle to consider is that missing a game or three might not be the worst thing for Vick’s long-term outlook given the aforementioned mental fog that seemed to be following him around Sunday. (Vick, for his part, told McLane that his head was fine, but as I wrote earlier, visual evidence suggests otherwise.)

Meanwhile, Jay Glazer of FOX Sports reports that Vick’s hand is likely headed for a CT scan on Monday. If Vick does miss time – and we should have a better idea after Monday’s tests – odds are overwhelming that Vince Young would get a chance to start after Mike Kafka looked quite wretched in relief (4-for-7, 35 yds, 2 INTs). Just keep in mind that with Philly’s pass protection issues, there are no guarantees that Vince stays upright either.

In other injury headlines from Sunday:

Only two-plus weeks into what was developing into a monster campaign, the unstoppable force known as Kenny Britt was carted off with a knee injury. The Titans’ WR1 is headed for an MRI on Monday, with ESPN’s Adam Schefter reporting that the team fears he tore his ACL and MCL. If Britt is done, it would cut into the value of the resurgent Matt Hasselback, while potentially helping Nate Washington (8 rec, 92 yds, TD) and Jared Cook (2 rec, 12 yds), who would both likely see more targets. At this point, fantasy owners have to cling to the faint (and seemingly unrealistic) hope that Britt only has an MCL injury. Either way, we should have a definitive answer after Monday’s MRI.

In another unhappy WR development, Jeremy Maclin left with a hamstring injury in the fourth quarter and didn’t return. Jeff McLane of the Philadelphia Inquirer considers Maclin “unlikely” to play in Week 4, and it goes without saying that any hamstring injury has the potential to be a multi-week issue. If Maclin is indeed out, Jason Avant (4 rec, 33 yds) and Steve Smith (2 rec, 27 yds) both stand to benefit, with Smith potentially replacing Maclin in the starting lineup.

Meanwhile, in the process of shredding the Jets’ run defense senseless, Darren McFadden (19 rush, 171 yds, 2 TDs) came down with a groin injury, according to beat writer Steve Corkran. The good news is that McFadden downplayed the issue, saying that “I’m good. I don’t have any [injury].” The bad news is that players very often downplay the severity of their injuries. It’s obviously a positive sign that McFadden isn’t worried, but we probably won’t have a definitive outlook until the Raiders practice this week. Michael Bush, though nowhere close to Run DMC in terms of speed and explosiveness, is the unquestioned beneficiary of any McFadden missed games.

Follow me on Twitter: @MattStroup

In addition to having no room to run again, Frank Gore (17 rush, 42 yds) was limited by a sprained ankle during the second half of Sunday’s game. When asked if he’d be able to play in Week 4, Gore (per CSN Bay Area) said that “I can't tell until [Monday]. See how I'm feeling.” If Gore does miss game action, Kendall Hunter (9 rush, 26 yds, TD; 2 rec, 12 yds) would be the 49ers RB to benefit.

Antonio Gates (foot) didn’t play Sunday, and his situation became even more disconcerting when ESPN’s Chris Mortensen reported that Gates has a tear in his oft-troublesome plantar fascia, marking a swift downturn for a foot that has gone from seemingly peachy to once again chronically troubled in just over a week. No word yet on Gates’ status for Week 4, but this certainly has the look of an injury that could sideline him for multiple games. Randy McMichael (4 rec, 51 yds) got the start Sunday, but Gates owners should look elsewhere for a replacement before settling on his low-upside backup.

After adamantly saying that he would play through a hamstring injury, Beanie Wells was a surprise inactive on Sunday, delivering a painful gutshot to fantasy owners who counted on him in a 4 p.m. ET game. I would guess that the Cardinals were simply being cautious with their injury-prone RB, but if he is slowed in practice this week, Alfonso Smith (17 rush, 54 yds) looks like the preferred deeper-league waiver consideration over Chester Taylor (8 rush, 20 yds).

In our first puke-related update of the young season, Percy Harvin (3 rec, 47 yds; 2 rush, 41 yds) vomited into a trash can Sunday after dealing with an illness this week, but was on the field for the coin toss prior to overtime. This shouldn’t be a concern heading into Week 4.

Meanwhile, Ravens rookie Torrey Smith went positively berserk (5 rec, 152 yds, 3 TDs – including touchdowns on each of his first three catches), but left the blowout win late with a hamstring injury, albeit one that “doesn’t appear to be serious,” according to beat writer Aaron Wilson. The explosive rookie will likely warrant an immediate add in all formats, but we’ll be watching closely to see if the hamstring injury is something that could linger.

Knowshon Moreno (hamstring) was held out on Sunday, but subsequently described by John Fox to the Denver Post as “almost completely” healthy. Moreno seems to have a solid chance to return in Week 4, but his value and upside will be capped by what figures to be a committee with Willis McGahee.

Kerry Collins (13-for-29, 93 yds) left Sunday’s game with a possible concussion, clearing the way for Curtis Painter and his Pert Plus-infused blonde locks to take over. Painter started out by missing his first three passes and surrendering a crucial fumble for a TD, but then made some good throws while engineering a game-tying scoring drive. There’s no sense in getting carried away based on such a small sample size, but Painter could represent a mild upgrade for the Colts’ skill players if Collins is sidelined. (It's also possible that an extended look would prove him to be even more inept than Collins.) As for Painter himself, he would only be a consideration for desperate owners in two-QB leagues.

Other Injury Notes: Jahvid Best bruised his thigh, but beat writer Dave Birkett paraphrases Best describing the injury as “not [a] huge deal.” … Ben Tate (19 rush, 82 yds) tweaked his ankle in the third quarter, but returned to the game … LeSean McCoy came up slightly gimpy after a couple of plays on Sunday, but re-entered afterward and appeared to be fine … Jason Snelling left Sunday’s game with a head injury … Eagles backup WR Riley Cooper suffered a concussion ... Per beat writer Manish Mehta, the Jets fear that backup TE Jeff Cumberland tore his Achilles.

Editor’s note: If you want to play Daily Salary Cap Fantasy Baseball for real money, check out SnapDraft here.

Defense/Offensive Line Injury Notes: Chiefs CB Brandon Flowers (ankle) is slated for X-rays, according to the Kansas City Star … Dolphins RG Vernon Carey (shoulder) will reportedly have tests done on Monday … Justin Tuck (neck stinger) told ESPNNewYork.com that the injury is “something I can play through and I will play through.” … Panthers CB Chris Gamble left with a concussion and didn’t return … Antonio Cromartie sustained bruised lungs, according to Manish Mehta … Eagles LG Evan Mathis was carted to the locker room and didn’t return … Steelers offensive line woes: Pittsburgh lost RG Doug Legursky and RT Marcus Gilbert to shoulder injuries, and LT Jonathan Scott was carted off in the fourth quarter with a leg injury (Gilbert, it should be noted, returned to replace Scott after Scott left) … An already vulnerable Raiders secondary lost Michael Huff (concussion) and Chris Johnson (groin) … Bills CB Aaron Williams was carted off with a chest injury … Packers RT Bryan Bulaga injured his knee, but Mike Vandermause of the Green Bay Press-Gazette reports that it’s only a bruise … Bucs FS Cody Grimm (knee) was reportedly in a leg brace and on crutches after Sunday’s game … Per San Diego beat writer Kevin Acee, Quentin Jammer (hamstring) “virtually guaranteed” that he’d be ready for Week 4.
 

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MNF Matchup: Skins @ Cowboys

Monday Night Football

Washington @ Dallas

ESPN's Ed Werder reported Monday that Dez Bryant (quadriceps) was especially punctual to treatment sessions all last week because Bryant knows he's being counted on for a "major role" in Monday night's matchup with the Redskins. Fellow starting receiver Miles Austin (hamstring) will not play. A dominant physical talent who stands to benefit statistically from Austin's absence, Bryant is a must-start WR2 in this game. ... With Austin definitely out and Bryant perhaps less than 100 percent, this matchup has played out well for Jason Witten. Behind only Austin, Witten amassed a Cowboys-high 14 targets for seven receptions and 102 yards with Bryant out of the lineup last week. Witten has tortured the Washington secondary in recent meetings, racking up at least 117 yards in two of the past three. ... Ranked ninth among quarterbacks in fantasy scoring to begin Week 3, Tony Romo remains a shoo-in top-10 QB play despite injured ribs. His "slightly" punctured lung has healed completely, and Romo will start the game. On a related note, the Cowboys plan to keep third-string quarterback Stephen McGee active, suggesting they're not fully confident Romo will make it through four quarters. McGee's activation might mean nothing, of course, but it's a situation to be aware of.

There are too many factors working against Felix Jones for confident Week 3 fantasy use. With Jones coming off a dislocated shoulder, both DeMarco Murray and Tashard Choice threaten to have expanded roles against a Washington defense that ranks sixth against the run and gets back in-the-box strong safety LaRon Landry, one of the NFL's premier run-stopping defensive backs. Jones will play, but he's yet to "earn" a fantasy start in a dicey situation with 86 total yards and a miserable 2.65 YPC average through two games. We're talking about a banged-up, potential committee back who isn't playing well. Sit 'em. ... Kevin Ogletree failed to capitalize on Bryant's Week 2 inactivity, managing two catches for 50 yards against a 49ers secondary that is worse than the Redskins'. Ogletree didn't so much as command a target until the second half, and just two of Tony Romo's 33 pass attempts were intended in his direction. Romo showed more confidence in Jesse Holley after Austin's late-game hamstring strain. Don't pick up Ogletree.

Rex Grossman kicked off last week's game with interceptions on back-to-back drives, but showed resilience (and improved his job security) by engineering a comeback win. It's worth noting that Santana Moss miscommunicated his route on Rexy's first pick, and Cardinals CB A.J. Jefferson held Anthony Armstrong on the second. It feels uncomfortable defending Rex Grossman, but he's emerged as a reasonable QB1 option with 40.6 throws per game and 11 touchdowns in five starts as a Redskin. It certainly doesn't hurt that Dallas is susceptible to the pass. Alex Smith and Mark Sanchez -- both bottom-ten NFL passers -- have combined for a 61.8 completion rate, 7.56 YPA, four touchdowns, and two interceptions against them. And washed-up 33-year-old LCB Terence Newman's return is hardly a difference maker. ... Through two games, tight ends have licked the Cowboys defense for 10 grabs, 150 yards, and two touchdowns. Fred Davis is a top-five TE play.

Jabar Gaffney remains a low-level WR3 lacking big-play ability. ... Santana Moss ripped up Dallas for 14 catches, 149 yards, and two touchdowns in two 2010 meetings. Start 'em. ... 3-4 defenses like the Cowboys' are notorious for struggling against zone-running schemes like Washington's. The Redskins' carry distribution is just too murky for fantasy comfort. Coach Mike Shanahan rode the hot hand in Week 2, giving big-play rookie Roy Helu 13 touches en route to 112 yards (8.69 average). Through two games, starter Tim Hightower has 49 touches for 203 yards (4.14). Shanahan is a big fan of per-play production stats, often citing them in pressers with the media. Owners with depth may want to give this backfield a week to play out, before targeting the Skins' Week 4 game against the Rams for a fantasy start. It's perhaps notable that ESPN's Adam Schefter drafted Helu in his fantasy league on September 1. (Click here for proof.) Schefter wrote a book with Shanahan when he was on the Denver Post Broncos beat in 1999.

Score Prediction: Redskins 24, Cowboys 23
 

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MNF Matchup: Skins @ Cowboys
Monday Night Football

Washington @ Dallas

ESPN's Ed Werder reported Monday that Dez Bryant (quadriceps) was especially punctual to treatment sessions all last week because Bryant knows he's being counted on for a "major role" in Monday night's matchup with the Redskins. Fellow starting receiver Miles Austin (hamstring) will not play. A dominant physical talent who stands to benefit statistically from Austin's absence, Bryant is a must-start WR2 in this game. ... With Austin definitely out and Bryant perhaps less than 100 percent, this matchup has played out well for Jason Witten. Behind only Austin, Witten amassed a Cowboys-high 14 targets for seven receptions and 102 yards with Bryant out of the lineup last week. Witten has tortured the Washington secondary in recent meetings, racking up at least 117 yards in two of the past three. ... Ranked ninth among quarterbacks in fantasy scoring to begin Week 3, Tony Romo remains a shoo-in top-10 QB play despite injured ribs. His "slightly" punctured lung has healed completely, and Romo will start the game. On a related note, the Cowboys plan to keep third-string quarterback Stephen McGee active, suggesting they're not fully confident Romo will make it through four quarters. McGee's activation might mean nothing, of course, but it's a situation to be aware of.

There are too many factors working against Felix Jones for confident Week 3 fantasy use. With Jones coming off a dislocated shoulder, both DeMarco Murray and Tashard Choice threaten to have expanded roles against a Washington defense that ranks sixth against the run and gets back in-the-box strong safety LaRon Landry, one of the NFL's premier run-stopping defensive backs. Jones will play, but he's yet to "earn" a fantasy start in a dicey situation with 86 total yards and a miserable 2.65 YPC average through two games. We're talking about a banged-up, potential committee back who isn't playing well. Sit 'em. ... Kevin Ogletree failed to capitalize on Bryant's Week 2 inactivity, managing two catches for 50 yards against a 49ers secondary that is worse than the Redskins'. Ogletree didn't so much as command a target until the second half, and just two of Tony Romo's 33 pass attempts were intended in his direction. Romo showed more confidence in Jesse Holley after Austin's late-game hamstring strain. Don't pick up Ogletree.

Rex Grossman kicked off last week's game with interceptions on back-to-back drives, but showed resilience (and improved his job security) by engineering a comeback win. It's worth noting that Santana Moss miscommunicated his route on Rexy's first pick, and Cardinals CB A.J. Jefferson held Anthony Armstrong on the second. It feels uncomfortable defending Rex Grossman, but he's emerged as a reasonable QB1 option with 40.6 throws per game and 11 touchdowns in five starts as a Redskin. It certainly doesn't hurt that Dallas is susceptible to the pass. Alex Smith and Mark Sanchez -- both bottom-ten NFL passers -- have combined for a 61.8 completion rate, 7.56 YPA, four touchdowns, and two interceptions against them. And washed-up 33-year-old LCB Terence Newman's return is hardly a difference maker. ... Through two games, tight ends have licked the Cowboys defense for 10 grabs, 150 yards, and two touchdowns. Fred Davis is a top-five TE play.

Jabar Gaffney remains a low-level WR3 lacking big-play ability. ... Santana Moss ripped up Dallas for 14 catches, 149 yards, and two touchdowns in two 2010 meetings. Start 'em. ... 3-4 defenses like the Cowboys' are notorious for struggling against zone-running schemes like Washington's. The Redskins' carry distribution is just too murky for fantasy comfort. Coach Mike Shanahan rode the hot hand in Week 2, giving big-play rookie Roy Helu 13 touches en route to 112 yards (8.69 average). Through two games, starter Tim Hightower has 49 touches for 203 yards (4.14). Shanahan is a big fan of per-play production stats, often citing them in pressers with the media. Owners with depth may want to give this backfield a week to play out, before targeting the Skins' Week 4 game against the Rams for a fantasy start. It's perhaps notable that ESPN's Adam Schefter drafted Helu in his fantasy league on September 1. (Click here for proof.) Schefter wrote a book with Shanahan when he was on the Denver Post Broncos beat in 1999.

Score Prediction: Redskins 24, Cowboys 23
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Instant Impressions: Week 3

Vick, Britt, Gore injured; Chris Johnson struggling; Torrey Smith breaks out


By Christopher Harris
ESPN.com


Michael Vick injured his right (non-throwing) hand in the Philadelphia Eagles' home loss to the New York Giants, and it's unclear if he'll miss more playing time as a result. It's been a disastrous September for those who picked Vick in the first round of fantasy drafts (not as bad as Jamaal Charles or Chris Johnson owners, but still bad), as Vick missed second-half action in Week 2 because of a concussion, and now has a bruised hand (head coach Andy Reid said Monday that despite reports to the contrary, the hand was not broken).
Through three games, Vick is 16th among quarterbacks in fantasy points, and both Tony Romo and Rex Grossman should pass him Monday night. Most damning for his fantasy MVP candidacy is the fact that he has zero rushing TDs through three weeks; as I wrote this summer, it was a virtual statistical impossibility that Vick would come close to the nine rushing scores he racked up in '10. That seems ever truer now. Considering how poorly Mike Kafka fared in a relief role Sunday (two bad fourth-quarter interceptions), you'd have to believe that if Vick can't play, Vince Young would be the leader in the clubhouse to start next week against the San Francisco 49ers. In such a case, he'd probably be a borderline top-20 fantasy option until we see what he can do. (Hurting both his cause or Vick's will be the fact that Jeremy Maclin injured a hamstring Sunday and might not play in Week 4.)

<!-- Michael Vick injured his right (non-throwing) hand in the Philadelphia Eagles' home loss to the New York Giants, and it's unclear if he'll miss more playing time as a result. It's been a disastrous September for those who picked Vick in the first round of fantasy drafts (not as bad as Jamaal Charles or Chris Johnson owners, but still bad), as Vick missed second-half action in Week 2 because of a concussion, and now has a bruised hand (although head coach Andy Reid said Monday the hand was not broken). Through three games, Vick is 16th among QBs in fantasy points, and both Tony Romo and Rex Grossman should pass him Monday night. Most damning for his fantasy MVP candidacy is the fact that he has zero rushing TDs through three weeks; as I wrote this summer, it was a virtual statistical impossibility that Vick would come close to the nine rushing scores he racked up in '10. That seems ever truer now. Considering how poorly Mike Kafka fared in a relief role Sunday (two bad fourth-quarter interceptions), you'd have to believe Vince Young is the leader in the clubhouse to start next week against the San Francisco 49ers. He'd probably be a borderline top-20 fantasy option until we see what he can do. (Hurting his cause will be the fact that Jeremy Maclin injured a hamstring Sunday and might not play in Week 4.)
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• The Tennessee Titans haven't issued official word yet, but all indications are that Kenny Britt tore knee ligaments Sunday, and will miss significant action, if not the entire season. It's terrible news for a guy who put together a spectacular first couple of games in 2011. Matt Hasselbeck produced his second straight 300-yard passing day in Week 3, and he and Britt seemed ready to make beautiful music together. The takeaway here is probably that Nate Washington is worth adding in all fantasy leagues. Washington had eight grabs on nine targets and scored his first touchdown of the season just a few minutes before Britt suffered his injury. Before Sunday, Washington was owned in fewer than 10 percent of ESPN leagues. He'll be one of the top waiver adds of Week 3.


• The ugly starts for CJ2K and Frank Gore continue. Chris Johnson had 21 yards on 13 carries versus a Denver Broncos rush defense that was eaten alive by Darren McFadden in Week 1 (though to be fair, his backup, Javon Ringer, had six carries for minus-6 yards, so it's not like anyone was doing damage on the ground). Gore had 42 yards on 17 carries and had to leave Sunday's game a couple of times because of a sprained right ankle, allowing Kendall Hunter to enter the game and score the game-winning TD late in the fourth quarter. Through three contests, Johnson is averaging 2.1 yards per carry, and Gore is averaging 2.5. Ugly. At least CJ2K isn't injured (as far as we know), so I don't know how his owners can bench him right now unless they've got pretty strong ancillary options. Gore's ankle could prevent him from playing against the Eagles next week, which would make his owners' decision for them.


• Remember those three TDs Mike Tolbert scored in Week 1? Seems like a long time ago, doesn't it? Tolbert was reduced to an afterthought in Sunday's win over the Kansas City Chiefs: He had four carries and three receptions for a total of 43 yards. Meanwhile, Ryan Mathews looked terrific in the open field for the third straight week, and produced his best game of the season with 25 touches from scrimmage for 149 yards and two scores. Just as I recommended you not get too high on Tolbert a couple of weeks ago, I'd say don't go crazy on Mathews right now. There will be weeks when Tolbert steals playing time. But realize that Mathews' two Week 3 TDs came from inside the Kansas City 5. Tolbert isn't an automatic goal-line vulture here.

• Rookie first-round wideout Torrey Smith went from a disastrous preseason and being inactive for the Baltimore Ravens' first two games to three TDs in his first regular-season quarter of NFL football. Amazing. Lee Evans continues to be a scratch for Baltimore because of a bad ankle, and John Harbaugh gave the speedy Smith the nod in Week 3. Smith responded by catching two bombs in which he simply outran the St. Louis Rams' defense, and then a lovely red zone score in which he showed a bit of finesse, too. When you think of Smith right now, think of Devery Henderson (or Evans himself): A speed guy who'll make some big plays, but will also have disappearing weeks. But the fact that the Ravens seem to have found a quasi-reliable deep guy means very good things for Joe Flacco and maybe even Anquan Boldin. I daresay, however, that Smith probably won't tie Wes Welker (16 catches, 217 yards, two TDs) for fantasy MVP in a week again anytime soon.


• It was a fine Sunday for running backs to torment their fantasy owners with unclear injury situations. Beanie Wells was a surprise (to me, anyway) inactive for the late games because of the hammy he injured in practice this week, lending credence to the theory that he's absolutely made of glass. Perhaps the Arizona Cardinals believed they could win against the lowly Seattle Seahawks without Beanie. They were wrong. An ossifying Chester Taylor looked ridiculously incapable of performing on an NFL stage, and Alfonso Smith averaged a pedestrian 3.2 yards per carry. Smith would be the fantasy add here, for desperate owners. Meanwhile, Knowshon Moreno was active but didn't touch the ball against the Titans, while Steven Jackson was also active, but ceded 18 of the Rams' 22 running back carries to Cadillac Williams. Sweet.


Sidney Rice just may be the difference for the Seahawks after all. Rice was all over the place in his first regular-season game in a Seattle uniform, catching eight of his 10 targets from Tarvaris Jackson for 109 yards. Rice has been dropped in about 10 percent of ESPN.com leagues, and if that happened in your league, go grab him. He's not going to get to run against the terrible Cardinals secondary every week, but we all know he's a playmaker, and should be considered a top-30 fantasy receiver going forward.


• Thanks for playing, A.J. Green. Four catches for 29 yards is lame, but two false-start penalties while the Cincinnati Bengals were inside the 49ers' 20? Gah. The bigger news for Bengals fans, of course, is whether Cedric Benson's suspension will be upheld. For the moment, Benson is slated to miss Cincy's next three games, but he's appealing the NFL's ruling this week. Bernard Scott would probably be an OK pickup in the interim.


Michael Jenkins had nine grabs for 88 yards Sunday, while Percy Harvin had three for 47. Part of that was related to Harvin's getting sick on the sidelines, I'm sure, but part is also Harvin's lack of a starring role in the Minnesota Vikings' offense.

• Welcome to the party, James Casey. The Houston Texans H-back had five grabs for 126 yards and a score versus the New Orleans Saints, often running deep routes and laying out for spectacular catches. It's hard to see Casey as addable in any but the very deepest leagues until we see him do it again, because with Owen Daniels around (Daniels had five catches for 76 yards and a TD), Casey won't likely be able to go the full Scott Chandler route. But now we understand why Houston insiders have raved about Casey's athletic ability and upside for a couple of years.


• Go, go, Denarius Moore! Moore scored on a double-reverse against the New York Jets on Sunday, despite the fact that he's apparently still a reserve behind Darrius Heyward-Bey (one catch, 5 yards) on the depth chart. Moore was already ownable in all leagues, and it might not be long before he's startable in many.


Kerry Collins was knocked out of the Sunday night game with an apparent concussion, but was pretty awful before then anyway (13-of-29 for 93 yards). The Curtis Painter Administration came into the game and lost a fumble on a blindside sack that went for a Pittsburgh Steelers touchdown, but Jim Caldwell told reporters that he's considering a QB change regardless of Collins' health. As he should be. Of course, Painter doesn't look like a great rescuer of the fantasy values of Reggie Wayne, Dallas Clark and Austin Collie, either.


• So much for Chad Ochocinco taking on a big role with Aaron Hernandez hurt. The Ocho continues to look completely miscast with the New England Patriots, dropping a would-be touchdown and getting only three targets total against the Buffalo Bills. He's just lost in this offense. I wouldn't bother owning him in any-sized league.
 

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Four Downs: Torrey Smith, key injuries ...
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Eric Karabell

Baltimore Ravens rookie wide receiver Torrey Smith was owned in a mere 0.2 percent of ESPN standard leagues entering Sunday's action, which made perfect sense. The rookie hadn't caught a pass the first two weeks of the season, and most people probably didn't even know his name. But Smith, the University of Maryland speedster chosen in the second round of the 2011 draft, broke out in the first quarter at St. Louis on Sunday, scoring three touchdowns, including a 74-yarder to get things started on the Ravens' second play from scrimmage. It's time to learn the name and basically forget about Lee Evans.


Smith had been targeted just once in the first two weeks of the season, making a performance like Sunday's, in which he finished with five catches for 152 yards, seem unlikely. For perspective, Smith becomes the 12th player in league history to record a three-touchdown quarter, and the first rookie to do so. The Ravens might not be much of a passing team, but these are the kind of numbers that get noticed. What's odd is that this didn't seem to be a great week to have quarterback Joe Flacco active; consider Flacco entered Sunday with one good game and one bad, earning an understated No. 16 cumulative ranking from the ESPN Fantasy rankers, and the Rams had done fairly decent work the first two weeks in holding Michael Vick and Eli Manning in check.


Looking forward, I'd call Smith a wise free-agent addition this week, much like surprising Week 2 wide receiver heroes Eric Decker and Denarius Moore, who became two of the most added options entering this week. This hardly means Smith will continue to play this well, though. Remember, he didn't have a single NFL catch before Sunday. The Ravens will still be led by running back Ray Rice, though he received a mere eight rushing attempts Sunday, and Anquan Boldin had 14 targets against the Rams, catching seven passes. I doubt Smith will be among my top 30 wide receivers for Week 3, and while the matchup against the New York Jets will be a factor there, he also is a rookie wide receiver on a run-heavy team. Would I add him as depth? You betcha. We just saw his upside.
Second down: Injuries continue to torment fantasy owners, with Arian Foster, Antonio Gates, Beanie Wells and Peyton Hillis all surprisingly sitting out Sunday. But the big story was talented Tennessee Titans wide receiver Kenny Britt being the unfortunate victim of the latest season-ending knee injury. However, whereas a week ago there was little consolation for Jamaal Charles owners, no wide receiver is irreplaceable for a fantasy owner. There's plenty of depth, perhaps from Britt's own team in veteran Nate Washington. Britt entered Week 3 as fantasy's No. 2 wide receiver, and now he joins the No. 1 guy on the sidelines (though Miles Austin should return in a week or two). The Titans, meanwhile, continue to throw more than most expected, and Matt Hasselbeck seems up to the challenge, with 16 or more fantasy points in the first three weeks. While running back Chris Johnson continues to struggle, and his owners now must consider whether to keep using him (13 carries, 21 yards Sunday; 98 yards on 46 carries this season), Washington has emerged as a reliable wide receiver, with 21 receptions in three weeks, perhaps moving into the top 25 in the coming weeks depending on matchups.

Third down: Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Michael Vick was unable to finish Sunday's loss to the New York Giants, suffering a broken right (non-throwing) hand. It's doubtful Vick will play in Week 4. However, as ESPN NFC East blogger Dan Graziano noted -- and I agree -- a week or two without Vick can benefit not only the sputtering Eagles, but fantasy owners. Vick was a fantasy monster last season, but he has been hit hard the past few weeks. He needs a rest so he can get back to playing his best.

The Eagles' offensive line is a sieve, and it's hardly a surprising result that Vick will again fall short of playing 16 games. Now I'm hoping for 12. As for this coming week against the San Francisco 49ers, Mike Kafka followed up his surprisingly good relief outing last week with a poor one Sunday, proving just how fast reactions can change. The Eagles will want Vince Young (hamstring) to play, if healthy. Fantasy owners should hope for Young, but he wouldn't be in my top 20 for this game regardless. Fourth down: What a huge Sunday it was for the tight end position! Entering the Steelers-Colts Sunday night affair, six tight ends had produced 13 or more fantasy points. Only eight wide receivers had done so, and two of them were barely owned (Torrey Smith, Victor Cruz). It's a shame more leagues don't allow fantasy owners to use a tight end at the flex spot; in most leagues, there are so many strong tight ends sitting in free agency, their contributions being wasted. Jermichael Finley and Rob Gronkowski were dominant, combining for five touchdowns, Jimmy Graham and Owen Daniels continued their fine play and Brandon Pettigrew, Greg Olsen and Vernon Davis finally got going. Tony Gonzalez and Scott Chandler also kept scoring. Check your league rules. You might find that there is a free-agent tight end in your league playing better than your second or third wide receiver, or flex option.
 

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