Fading the Streak

[Mistermj]

SSI...if you could explain how you came to the top number for your streaks.

For instance you do up to 11 games in NBA O/U starting at game 6.

Is this really the sweet spot...or is it your best estimation?

If you waited until game 9...any idea how many times per year this happens in the NBA O/U streak?

Thanks.

And what are your numbers for baseball O/U streaks? What do you think the sweet spot is...start at game _ end at game _ ?

Any other sports? NHL O/U ect.

A lot of questions I know...if you have the information readily available it would be appreciated.

I don't really agree with the risk you are taking...but I would be interested in your research on streaks and the above questions.

Thanks in advance....if it's too much to ask I understand.

 

[midman2161]

Sorry for being a jackass and asking the obvious, but I just saw this for the first time and did the best I could to look over the 11 pages.

So playing the Nets under tonight because of 5 straight overs in the last 5 falls into a system play that is 50-0 has not lost in two seasons?
And the Pistons are a play because a team that has lost 7 straight ATS has not lost its 8th game ATS 21 straight times?

Where does the chase come in to play? Thanks for answering the likely obvious, but I want to play both these games tonight but need to make sure I am understanding correctly

 

[midman2161]

Nevermind shit I think I got it.. starting at 5 overs, you begin betting the under over the course of the next 6 straight games, doubling down with each loss and assuming that a team isnt going to go over the total 11 straight games. Got it.

 

[budlight]

thx 3 units but you forgot the Minn Under last night....

5 game o/u fade: 50-0 (+50.00 units) 1 pending

plays for tonight (wed)

Minn Under to win $105 (game 2)

Nets Under to win $50 (game 1)

SSI

SSI sorry if this is a stupid question, the bets is that the game total under 212 for jazz/minny and under 204 bulls/nets... right?

or was it prop bet minny under 102? and nets under 103?

just want to make sure i understood it right, thanks

 

[SSI]

midman, 50-0 this season, 64-0 last season, 1 loss in the 06-07 season...


MisterMJ: ill answer anything about this, as best i can...

i can assure you that 5 is the sweet spot, as you put it for the nba and mlb, not necessarily the NHL...

if you start at 4, you will have too many losses. (2 this weekend)
if you start at 6, you will cut your wins in half..
if you start at 9, you will greatly reduce your wins.

i agree, the risk is very high on this and most should not play it...


here is the real truth behind it.................. i did a heck of alot of research last year on this system. i had records going back several yrs for both the nba and mlb........ i seem to have misplaced the records, they are probably around somewhere... i can assure you this is profitable for the last 10yrs............. this can be researched at covers, so nobody has to take my word for it...

i just thought id merely introduce a winning angle...........

if you play this............ you must simply set aside the required portion of your bankroll and be preapared to follow thru with all the bets...

i have pretty much sold out to just playing these 2 for the nba and i will have 2 for baseball........... i hope to profit $1000 per month (for the year) by playing these 2 win $50 each.......... baseball will produce many more plays than the nba...

just remember you cannot start after game 4, it must be game 5, i cant stress that enough and i cant explain why this is so but if you go back thru the years, you can find several 10 game streaks but you cant find many 11 gamers...

SSI

 

[SSI]

Bigtyme highroller.......... its game total and not team total..

closing lines at covers will be used for record keeping in this thread..... i almost always wait to the last minute to bet..

SSI

 

[ThreeUnits]

whale, i havent got it yet..... send again..

proguy: unfortunately i had the Minn/Lakers game Under 219 and that was a Push... if you had 219.5 or higher, then you won and can stop...

SSI

Covers is showing Minnesota as being on an O1 o/u streak ...

 

[midman2161]

just from the small sample here it seems like the 7 in a row ATS chase has hit quicker than the 5 O/U. Any truth to that or just coincidence

 

[SSI]

3units, throw out the push on minny, they have 6 straight overs..

SSI

 

[1968]

you spoke of a baseball chase system-- what does it consist of?

 

[XXXylic]

Any pending totals?

 

[SSI]

here are the nba updates..

5 game o/u fade: 50-0 (+50.00 units) (2 pending)

plays for friday feb 27

Minn Under (game 3 of chase) (play c)

char Over (game 1 of chase) (play a)

NJ Under is pending and ready for game 2 (play b)

closing lines at covers will be used for record keeping in this thread. i personally bet very late.



7 game ats fade: 22-0 (+22.00 units) (0 pending)

no games for friday feb 27




both these chase systems are money,,,,,,,,,, but you must have money to play them (please listen to that)..... if you have only $1000, please only be trying to win $10 at most........... if you dont, your going to be left short of funds in certain chases..... so adapt this to your bankroll if playing...

my personal record since starting this thread on feb 6: 15-0 (+15.00 units)




as for baseball, i have 2........... one is the exact same as the 5 game O/U fade that im using in the nba and ill lay out the other one, once we get to the start of the season.


SSI

 

[fadethepublic1]

SSI,
so if you play 50 per unit, how much does that work out to over the season? how many units do you normally push out at the end of the season? Thanks for the help SSI

 

[budlight]

SSI sorry if this is a stupid question, the bets is that the game total under 212 for jazz/minny and under 204 bulls/nets... right?

ssi did you not bet these games?

 

[merrit52]

how is there not a play tonight?? Charlotte Bobcats O/U is a streak of 5????? So shouldnt you fade in the opposite direction???

 

[SSI]

plays for friday and record for season, is listed just a few posts up..

can you guys not see that?

SSI

 

[Sea-Urchin]

SSI, for the 5-game fade, you only play up to 3 games correct? If you fade doesn't hit after the 3rd game, you'd move on to the next fade..correct?

 

[SSI]

sea, i have no idea what your talking about..

its a 6 game fade, both of them are...


record is 50-0 (+50.00 units) (this is for the O/U fade)

with a big play on Minn Under tonight (3rd game of progression)

also a play on Char Over but its game 1


we still have nets Under pending.



the fade for ATS streak is: 22-0 (+22.00 units)

with nothing pending and no plays tonight..



SSI

 

[Sea-Urchin]

SSI, for example, one of your fades tonight is Minni under. Let's say that minni goes over. Do you keep on betting Minni under until you hit? It doesn't matter how many games it take?

 

[SSI]

sea, its been a long day...

let me go slow with this and its in post #1

when a team plays 5 straight overs or unders, you start the fade in game 6 of the streak................... continue on for a MAX of 6 games, i said 6 games or until you get a win...

in other words, it takes a streak of 11 games in a row of over or under to beat u..

you double down a max of 6 (not 3)...

if your messing with me, stop........ im exhausted tonight and just want to get the Minn Under (in) so i can retire for the evening..

SSI