ace...you say one stat/factor you use to make your line is how far off the bookies line is from the final game score. So, if NE beats PIT by 15, and the spread is NE by 4, that's a value of +11 for NE and -11 for PIT. So say over the course of the season, NE is +60 for the course of the season. And they are playing team that is -20 for the course of the season. You then use this to favor one team over the other. I am just curious as to why you use this stat and how you assign value to this statistic. Based on your success, this stat obviously has value. I have never heard of anybody using this stat and just curious. Any information is greatly appreciated. Would you use this stat to give NE the advantage.....or its opponent.
I guess my point is something along the lines of...in your experience.....if the bookies/sportsbook lines is consistly low on a team (high+ number), is it more likely for this trend to continue for the rest of the season, or will the future lines compensate and effectively "overshoot" the line.
thanks for the info.....