European football 2009-2010

[quantumleap]

Finland - Veikkausliiga
TPS Turku -0.5 1.98 over MyPa Anjalankoski
What the hell. I've had luck with the favorites so I figure I will go with another one. TPS has won 4 matches out of 5 and are at home.

MyPa is getting too much respect here after winning their last match but that was against KuPS who have lost their last 7 in a row.

 

[quantumleap]

TPS 3, MyPa 1, WINNER, +0.98

YTD: +4.72

12 wins, 2 losses, 1 push in the last 5 days played.

It's looking like the favorites are putting out a good effort early in the season to get a better position. Let's take advantage of this.

 

[quantumleap]

Finland - Kakkonen (Lohko B)
IF Narpes Kraft -0.5 2.20 over P Iirot Rauma
Time for my favorite Dr. Jekyl/Mr. Hyde team. Kraft is 4-0 at home scoring 11 goals while giving up 3 during that time. On the road they have scored 2 goals while giving up 16.

hno:

On Sunday they are at home.

 

[quantumleap]

Norway - Tippeligaen
Odd Grenland Skien -0.5 1.92 over Viking Stavanger
Going with the Odd balls again as they have a very good record at home. They have score 19 goals while only giving up 6 goals in 7 home matches.

Rosenborg BK -0.5 2.17 over Valerenga IF Oslo
Have to continue going with Rosenborg here as they have won their last 7, some convincingly so.

 

[quantumleap]

Norway - Adeccoligaen
Løv Ham Bergen -0.5 2.05 over Notodden FK
Continuing on a theme here. Løv Ham has scored 9 goals while giving up 3 goals in 5 home matches.

Notodden has scored 3 goals and given up 9 goals in 5 road matches.

Sparta Sarpsborg PK 2.04 over Kongsvinger IL
Sparta has won 4 matches in a row at home.

 

[quantumleap]

Sweden - Division 1 (Norra)
Valsta Syrianska IK -0.5 2.36 over Syrianska Botkyrka IF
Valsta has won 4 out of 5 matches on the road.

 

[quantumleap]

Kraft 2, Iirot 2, Loss, -1.00
Odd 2, Viking 2, Loss, -1.00
Rosenborg 2, Valerenga 1, WINNER, +1.17
Løv Ham 2, Notodden 1, WINNER, +1.05
Sparta 1, Kongsvinger 0, WINNER, +1.04
Botkyrka 3, Valsta 1, Loss, -1.00

Today: 3-3, +0.26

YTD: +4.98

 

[quantumleap]

Norway - Tippeligaen
Stabaek IF -0.5 over SK Brann Bergen
Going with the same theme of the favorite doing well. Stabaek has been red hot in their last 3 home matches outscoring opponents 11-1.

 

[quantumleap]

Stabaek 2, Brann 1, WINNER, +0.91

YTD: +5.89

 

[coachesplays]

Nice job. I saw it just in time.

 

[quantumleap]

Nice job. I saw it just in time.

Thanks. Glad you cashed coach.

:toast:

One for Tuesday:

Norway - Adeccoligaen
Hamarkamaratene -0.5 1.48 over Moss FK
Let me know if anyone is getting bored because it's the same theme here. Ham-Kam has 19 goals for, 6 against in 6 home matches.

Moss has yet to win a road match this season and have lost 4 out of their last 5 road matches.

 

[coachesplays]

I am not getting bored winning money. Either way, though, the time is appreciated.

 

[quantumleap]

I am not getting bored winning money. Either way, though, the time is appreciated.

Ham-Kam is kind of chalky. I usually make bets in the range of 1.90 - 2.10 which is like -110 to +110 but this fits the situation that has been working this time of the year. These teams are eager to climb in the tables and seem to put in a big effort while at home.

Sunday was kind of disappointing going 3-3 but I guess that's better than having a losing day.

Good luck to us on Tuesday.

 

[SRBI]

Careful laying the juice with these kind of teams...don't get me wrong I completely agree with your pick and would love to jump on it myself but have seen myself lose so many times with this kind of play.

Both teams are in financial crisis and since it is one of the more rare games today, one big AWAY WIN won't surprise me here.

This became a public bet already, everyone says that Ham Kam will win easy but like I said, both team have financial problems. They play on a Tuesday when there aren't many other games in the betting world to wager on so anything is possible in this situation.

That's some quote from a respected capper at another forum, though I did fix his English a bit.

I really would fall for it if the odds were around -110 to -140 - but at these kind of odds, not worth the risk.

I'd bang the over 3 (-140) instead, I can see a 2-2 game here.

GL with whatever you do though!

 

[quantumleap]

Careful laying the juice with these kind of teams...don't get me wrong I completely agree with your pick and would love to jump on it myself but have seen myself lose so many times with this kind of play.





That's some quote from a respected capper at another forum, though I did fix his English a bit.

I really would fall for it if the odds were around -110 to -140 - but at these kind of odds, not worth the risk.

I'd bang the over 3 (-140) instead, I can see a 2-2 game here.

GL with whatever you do though!

Thanks for the input SRBI. Good stuff.

As I mentioned, I don't usually take the big favorites because they've bitten me in the past. However, I'm thinking there is a reason the favorites are winning this time of year and that is to get a better position in the tables early. Later on in the season teams may not give as much of an effort due to the long season so they know that if they put forth the effort now they can get some easy points.

As far as this being a public play, it's easy to see how there is more money on Ham-Kam due to the light schedule. However, I still feel this is a good bet for the reason mentioned above.

 

[SRBI]

Thanks for the input SRBI. Good stuff.

As I mentioned, I don't usually take the big favorites because they've bitten me in the past. However, I'm thinking there is a reason the favorites are winning this time of year and that is to get a better position in the tables early. Later on in the season teams may not give as much of an effort due to the long season so they know that if they put forth the effort now they can get some easy points.

As far as this being a public play, it's easy to see how there is more money on Ham-Kam due to the light schedule. However, I still feel this is a good bet for the reason mentioned above.

You know it probably is a good bet, these teams are trying to pick up points right now and what better team to pick up points at home than Ham-Kam? The goal difference itself (between these two teams) would make someone just put this bet in...

Good luck man I'll be rooting for ya.

In other notes, the over 3 just jumped from -140 to -150, I think I should bang the under now?

 

[SRBI]

Correction: o3 -170.

Now thats some heavy public betting spikes right there...

 

[quantumleap]

Correction: o3 -170.

Now thats some heavy public betting spikes right there...

I don't trust the public in these matches where there isn't much going on throughout the day. You get a lot of squares betting just to have some action.

 

[SRBI]

0-0 HT.

Thanks for pounding the over, public. u3 @ +130 looks good at this point. Hope they keep it a 1-0 2-0 type of game in the 2nd H.

 

[SRBI]

Ham-Kam 1-0 70 minutes in...