European football 2008

[quantumleap]

Yeah,as i said i liked both plays but since favorites were on the road prefered some insurance rather than higher return.

GL with tomorrow ones,i will look at them again tomorrow,not sure yet

One of the things I like about the Swedish leagues is that the large favorites win on the road. Djurgården had won both their road matches this year. In this match however, they got down early and were only able to settle for a draw.

Djurgården finished 3 points out of first place last year so I thought they would want to get a win on the road against an easy opponent.

 

[Betting4Fun]

Djurgården was closer to win than home team,only reason i felt insurance (pk) needed in my case even tho i liked the play was the fact they won their first 2 away,so you know..streaks do not last for ever..so just felt would have been safer in case of a draw here.thanks for the winners yesterday and today and BOL tomorrow sir :toast:

 

[Betting4Fun]

Didn't touch anything today.felt the best play was as you indicated over Kalmar but somehow felt reluctant it might be too good to be true.turned to be very good and very true.Great call ,i will probably miss that band wagon being smart ass waiting for them to lose some points before riding on that wagon again and they will keep winning and i see it from the sidelines..would be very typical for me..LOL

 

[quantumleap]

Didn't touch anything today.felt the best play was as you indicated over Kalmar but somehow felt reluctant it might be too good to be true.turned to be very good and very true.Great call ,i will probably miss that band wagon being smart ass waiting for them to lose some points before riding on that wagon again and they will keep winning and i see it from the sidelines..would be very typical for me..LOL

Thanks Betting.

I thought the very same thing about the line being too good to be true but trusted my instincts. That's why I bet it at 3 units. Every once in a while the linesmakers just get it wrong.

Kalmar will lose just like Norrköping did last year. Hopefully I'll be able to get 7 good bets out of them like I did with Norrköping .

Ljungskile 1, Elfsborg 0, Loss, -1.00
Kalmar 2, Sundsvall 0, WINNER, +3.15

arty:

YTD: +2.57

 

[quantumleap]

Romania - Liga 1

Gloria Bistrita 2.10 over Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ 2 1/2 units

This is as close as it gets to the "L" word. The only reason I put this at 2 1/2 units is because that is the maximum my book allows for this match. Sure, I could add on more units at other books but I want this to represent more closely what a match at a single book represents.

Here is the record between these 2 since '97. See a pattern?

Head 2 head (home team on the left)

Oct 31, 2007 Liga I Ceahlaul Piatra Neamţ 2, Gloria Bistrita 0

Dec 1, 06 Liga I Gloria Bistrita 2 - 1 Ceahlaul Piatra...

Jul 28, 06 Liga I Ceahlaul Piatra... 1 - 0 Gloria Bistrita

Apr 3, 04 Liga I Ceahlaul Piatra... 3 - 1 Gloria Bistrita

Aug 30, 03 Liga I Gloria Bistrita 2 - 0 Ceahlaul Piatra...

May 17, 03 Liga I Gloria Bistrita 1 - 0 Ceahlaul Piatra...

Nov 23, 02 Liga I Ceahlaul Piatra... 3 - 0 Gloria Bistrita

Apr 27, 02 Liga I Gloria Bistrita 2 - 0 Ceahlaul Piatra...

Sep 29, 01 Liga I Ceahlaul Piatra... 4 - 1 Gloria Bistrita

Jun 13, 01 Liga I Gloria Bistrita 2 - 0 Ceahlaul Piatra...

Nov 25, 00 Liga I Ceahlaul Piatra... 3 - 2 Gloria Bistrita

May 3, 00 Liga I Gloria Bistrita 5 - 4 Ceahlaul Piatra...

Oct 30, 99 Liga I Ceahlaul Piatra... 1 - 0 Gloria Bistrita

May 26, 99 Liga I Gloria Bistrita 4 - 2 Ceahlaul Piatra...

Nov 21, 98 Liga I Ceahlaul Piatra... 3 - 2 Gloria Bistrita

Apr 25, 98 Liga I Gloria Bistrita 2 - 1 Ceahlaul Piatra...

Nov 8, 97 Liga I Ceahlaul Piatra... 2 - 0 Gloria Bistrita<!-- / message --><!-- / message -->

 

[quantumleap]

Sweden - Allsvenskan
AIK Stockholm/Trelleborgs FF under 2.5 1.74

Stockholm has had a 1-0 match and a 0-0 match at home this season. Last season they scored 13 goals in 13 home matches while only giving up 8 goals. They play deliberately while at home.

Trelleborg, on the other hand, had a 1-1 match and a 0-1 match on the road this season. Last year, on the road they only scored 7 goals in 13 road matches while only giving up 18 goals.

 

[quantumleap]

The streak of 11 years comes to an end.

hno:

Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ 1, Gloria Bistrita 0, Loss, -2.50
Stockholm 1, Trelleborg 0, WINNER, +0.74

YTD: +0.81

I'm really encouraged though by the Stockholm/Trelleborg going under.

 

[quantumleap]

Sweden - Allsvenskan
Kalmar -1/2 -117 over Hammarby (2 units)
At first I was reluctant to bet my favorite team again since Hammarby was a respectable team finishing 6th last year. However, Kalmar has been going balls-out at home this year winning 2-0, 3-1 and 4-0 against similar respectable teams. Hammarby has been playing conservatively on the road.

Sweden - Superettan
Hacken -1/2 over Qviding (2 units)
Here we have yet another big mistake IMO by the linesmakers. This scenario is similar to last week when Kalmar was -1/2 over former lower-league Sundsvall and Halmstad was at pk over former lower-league Norrköping. Hacken was the top team not to be promoted to the Allsvenskan league last year. They won 4 out of their last 5 road matches in the Superettan last year so we know they can cover this -1/2. Qviding lost last week to Assyriska who was also in the lower Division 1 league last year.

Good luck.

 

[quantumleap]

Kalmar 1, Hammarby 0, WINNER, +1.71
Kalmar with a goal by Inglesten in the 90th minute. It's nice to be on the winning side of these once in a while.

Hacken 2, Qviding 2, Loss, -2.00
I underestimated Qviding's talent here as they get a goal in the 82nd minute to take this match to a draw.

YTD: +0.52

 

[quantumleap]

Sweden - Allsvenskan
IFK Göteborg -1/2 2.03 over AIK Stockholm (Solna)

Göteborg won the league last year beating Kalmar by 1 point. They've been rather complacent in their 3 road matches this year, coming to a draw in each of them. Stockholm has been successful at home but has faltered on the road, drawing once and losing once. Göteborg has to make up some ground and there is no better place to do it than at home so they are looking for a win here.

Malmö FF/Halmstads BK under 2 1/2 1.75
Malmö plays conservatively on the road and has not allowed any opponent more than one goal while not scoring more than 2 goals. In fact, all their matches have gone under 2 1/2 this year. Halmstad has only scored more than 1 goal once and that was against Norrköping which has struggle this year after being promoted to this league.

 

[Dooger]

Malmö FF/Halmstads BK under 2 1/2 1.75
Malmö plays conservatively on the road and has not allowed any opponent more than one goal while not scoring more than 2 goals. In fact, all their matches have gone under 2 1/2 this year. Halmstad has only scored more than 1 goal once and that was against Norrköping which has struggle this year after being promoted to this league.

I'm playing this one as well, looks like a good play ... GL

 

[quantumleap]

I'm playing this one as well, looks like a good play ... GL

It looked like a good play but was a loser. Sorry Dooger. Another case of a team on a streak and when I play it, it loses. I'm going to have to re-think the way I look at these totals.

Göteborg wins 2-0, +1.03

YTD: +0.55

 

[quantumleap]

Sweden - Superettan
IK Sirius Uppsala -1/2 2.09 over Mjällby Sölvesborg AIF
Sirius impressed me with their 5-1 win over Degerfors. Mjällby was 3rd from last in the league last year which is one position from being relegated.

 

[quantumleap]

Sweden - Superettan
IK Sirius Uppsala -1/2 2.09 over Mjällby Sölvesborg AIF
Sirius impressed me with their 5-1 win over Degerfors. Mjällby was 3rd from last in the league last year which is one position from being relegated.

Sirius 1, Mjällby 1, Loss, -1.00

YTD: -0.45

 

[quantumleap]

Sweden - Allsvenskan
Kalmar FF -1/2 2.13 over Helsingborgs IF
Here we go again people. Can Kalmar win their 6th match in a row. They play Helsingborg at home.

 

[Betting4Fun]

I won't place anything here so you should be fine..LOL

 

[quantumleap]

I won't place anything here so you should be fine..LOL

Thanks B4F, but I'm sorry you didn't cash.

Kalmar FF 4, Helsingborgs IF 2

arty:

6 in a row MFers!!!

YTD: +0.68

 

[quantumleap]

Sweden - Allsvenskan
Kalmar FF pk 2.10 over IF Elfsborg
Shall we go for 7 in a row?

 

[quantumleap]

Sweden - Allsvenskan
Kalmar FF pk 2.10 over IF Elfsborg
Shall we go for 7 in a row?

Elfsborg 1, Kalmar 0, Loss, -1.00

:sad3:

YTD: -0.32

 

[quantumleap]

Holland - Eredivisie
NEC Nijmegen pk +110 over Roda
These 2 clubs played April 4th and Nijmegen won on the road 2-0. This is one team I have been following lately and have come through for me winning 11 out of their last 13.