141 Draw (Poland (UEFA-EURO) vs Germany (UEFA-EURO)) +310
That`s right you called it Dog.....Congrats!
That`s right you called it Dog.....Congrats!
Thanks for the Good Luck wishes back there :toast:
We could get GOOD at these Int'l Soccer & Hockey Tourneys if we wanted to...
...post-game the German commentator was saying Germany is notoriously and historically UNBad-ass during their 2nd Game.
There are Angles to this shit. Like those I put up there ^^^^^ in that post whining about "supposed to be bad ass" teams a few posts back.
Longtime bettors of this stuff know the angles I am just uncovering them.
Next....
I actually have near to Zero real confidence in this play, would not do this were I not massively up on the day and just make this play solely bcuz I expect that the powers that be within this tournament prefer to see one team advance and remain in the tournament over the other so they can get people to go to the games that remain and bcuz this outcome would be the best one for trying to get people to like soccer that they want to have like soccer.
165 USA advances -115* and<small></small> Ecuador gets a bag of bananas
and a bus ride back to fucking Ecuador.
FOCK I SHOULD HAVE USED THIS GIRL FOCK
165 USA advances -115* <small>vs</small> Ecuador advances
no wait that other girl is smoking hot too never mind its ok.
Go U.S.A.......Good luck!
Same.
I sat there watching the exact thing Greenbacks & I had discussed yesterday...."supposed to be badass" team gifting me with an ordeal for backing them....
That Italia Defense though....they DID give Belgium chances...in their prior game but that Italia Defense, they love them a clean sheet.
And they are among the Top 3 squads certainly....that are left in this tourney....at getting that clean sheet.
So...you know...one has to make note of what that Line is on whoever is playing them to be UNDER 1/2 Goal First Half.
And the most Brave amongst us might put an eyeball on that Game Total Under.
I'd expect that the Boogieman would juice those up to -220 though
No clue what to do with next game CZK vs. Croatia, no idea whatsoever.
Italy take their place in the round of 16. Bravo!
Can Croatia make it two wins out of two?
Will Rosický rise to the occasion?
Any wager that requires the team involved in this one scoring goals is possibly among the stupidest wager that one can make. Especially when discussion exists within this very thread of "supposed to be badass" teams underperforming that label.
Less that Spain here is one of those "supposed to be badass" teams than it is that they should reasonably be expected to control possession of the soccer ball, outshoot the Turkish Side and that the Spanish Squad here is simply superior to their opponent in this spot.
But a trademark of the Spanish soccer teams for awhile now is that they simply do not score goals without an excruciating ordeal of wait thru time that passes like molasses flowing down a 0.08% incline on a winter day.
If you've any more paint left that is in need of you watching it dry this game will be a great window in which to get that done.
So why not just play the Under?
The Line was firm at -2 and that at -159 IIRC I don't know exactly, I've looked at so many damn soccer lines, but there was some reason which almost certainly was 93% due to price and 7% fearing Turkey capable of failing spectacularly here which....I've really no basis upon which to fear and Spain simply does no score goals too often.
Intelligent Bets might be any bet which involves an UNDER without wasting time on a very possible Push at 2 Goals or less...maybe Turkey TT Under????
Yeah, Right. First half Turkey TT UN 1/2 is -360
and game UN -1/2 is 135 but who wants to endure the nightmare of having to hope damn Turkey don't gobble as they are sitting seemingly endlessly watching that paint dry?Fuck that.
Bets that do strike me as having some potential intelligence to them are
11951 Spain wins by exactly 1 goal +250
12022 Draw HT / Spain FT +305
12335 A team is scoreless -160
But I wanna take this chance to demonstrate that I am not smart so gonna split a Unit between some crazy shit which is nice bcuz at least that makes them very small plays...
"Entertainment Plays" really because while I should be able to back Spain without worry here and bettors wiser than I might do that with confidence then cash easily its SPAIN AND THEY DO NOT SCORE GOALS and I am just tired of backing on the ML these "supposed to be badass teams" then having to watch them not accomplish what they were supposed to.
12052 Spain 1 / Turkey 0 +450
Very Very potentially "Telling" re: the above play is the shocking fact that useless fuckin' SPAIN to win by the score of 2 to Nil is just +50 better payout than that 1-0.
This small of a difference between these 2 surprises along with how comparatively LOW the Spain 2-0 is, at just +500, cuz its SPAIN and they don't score goals but all this adds up to is if one is gonna play 1-0 the oddities surrounding 2-0 = it could prove wise to cover that as well.
Mostly all this shit boils down to is a Combo Ticket that = Turkey don't score, Spain does but less than 3 Goals.
12064 Spain 2 / Turkey 0 +500
12346 Any player shown a red card +410
Yes I never ever have Writeups on matchups this long & involved and these are all, to some degree, reckless stupid bets with Spain scoring required to have them succeed + Turkey to get Blanked
The reason for this one is writing this, for me, = an means of maybe getting better at soccer & international tournament betting via making bets that are Props, beyond the normal bet.
Question is if I can even come close on such bets of course. +$$$ numbers involved with such bets = one would not have to hit one too crazy often to make such bets +EV.
Prop Bets born of more Critical Thought (more than is perhaps necessary, I just try to get to where I make the most +EV bets) and for me writing down stuff = deeper consideration to a 'capping process so its like an exercise in soccer capping and tossed out in case anyone reads and has input on soccer capping...
...or the bets made, mentioned...reasoning behind them....the "supposed to be badass" teams deal....or whatever though I know its unlikely anyone will have thoughts if guys do know Sharp Soccer Betting Angles maybe they share those.
12504 Fugginbum Nolito scores 1st goal +600
2222 Spain vs. Turkey 1st goal
71-80 minutes +1500
