Monday
Think it could be a 1-1 or 0-0 draw in Belgium vs. Italy +195
Belgium 3-1 this past November in a Friendly over an Italian squad
not challenged as much as the one we have here is by injuries and high profile players not on the roster, I'm totally filled with fear about Italy's ability to contain Belgium here so much so that I want to back Belgium but damn Belgium have finished with just one clean sheet in their last 11 games.
Italy is almost certainly gonna prove to be more trouble than I'd like them to be here, of this alone am I sure but I'll take a shot, tempted by Greed by the +153 on Belgium plus unable to find that discipline that encourages us to know "
if it looks to good to be true it's probably not a good play" translated = +195 on your Line for a Draw suggests
strongly that you'll get your Draw and I will lose cuz DRAW Line below -200 is an enormous Red Flag to investing in Belgium here....against the Draw.
182 Belgium +153 vs Italy ???
+195 states clearly that you have a real good chance of cashing a DRAW here.
I like the +455 that meeting ya halfway on that Draw has attached to it...
17022 Draw HT / Belgium FT+455
tantamount to a bet that ITA Rearguard will be able to withstand for 45:00 + whatever stoppage gets added as result of Italian dudes diving and writhing around on the floor so as to catch their breath. Belgium has some attackers.
+455 is pretty generous for that IMO, comparatively speaking per whats more usual for a HT Draw/Fave FT line so suggests a 1st Half Draw is rather unlikely but
181 Draw vs Belgium 1st Half -105 totally contradicts an impression that 1st Half Draw is a Longer Shot than usual...plainly states the opposite in fact.
In my experience at least 1st Half Draw lines around Even Money are fairly regular cashers. When these get above +117 is when one has to start tempering their expectations...+105 definitely suggests Italia can withstand.
This game could be Must See TV. Belgium has what it takes to
Bring It to Le Italia. Seems to be a consensus that it kicks off at 3pm Eastern/Noon Pacific I never have confidence in such things though, when massive time differences tween here and where matches are played.
GL