I like all of your selections but I am wondering why you made Newcastle such a large wager away at Man City. What's the reason?
I see a low scoring affair and the value, quite frankly, is with Newcastle. Even with home field advantage going with City I see this pretty close to a toss up and so I made a small play on the ML + 255 and took the + .25 in this match up. I don't see City scoring, the have scored a goal a game so far this year, for them that is unbelieveable, but that CANNOT last and I predict it ends tomorrow. Who will score for them ? City are a very solid, steady team, lead by Eriksson and will have a nice year finishing in mid table, just missing out on a UEFA spot, but as I said they are beatable and I think Newcastle will do the job tomorrow.
Newcastle on the other hand, though having started reasonably well, are ready to break out and go on a nice run. I think starting with a road win against a beatable City team that has played above their abilities to date. I really think that with Allardyce in place, Newcastle, with or without Owen are a perennial top 6 team and will play in Europe next year. Despite their injuries Newcastle have some very skillful players and a legitimate goal scorer up front in Mark Viduka. N'Zogbia, Milner, Martins and Smith are big time players and have the ability to win a match with a moment of brilliance.
Just FYI
I took a small wager on Viduka first/last goal at + 800.