ECC 2014/15 PL Plays

[olim]

did it get off to a start like this last year before making a comeback?...

 

[olim]

what are the plays for today?

 

[ECC]

Sorry guys I was unexpectedly asked to help my brother in law move out of his house today...hurray me. SKIP GAMES WHEN TEAMS PLAY EACH OTHER. (part of the system)

0-2 (-600)
fade Buf GM3:3U Edm +264 LOSS
Fade Ari GM3:3U Ana +157 = LOSS

System: 7-1 (-1,150)
YTD: 7-15

Current fades
Ari GM4:4U
Buf GM4:4U
Car GM2:2U
Cbj GM1:1U

 

[ECC]

Saturday Plays

Fade Buf GM4:6U Pitt -109
Fade CBJ GM1:1U TB +159
Fade Ari GM4:6U NYI +247
Fade Car GM2:2U Was +173

System: 7-1 (-1,150)
YTD: 7-15

Current fades
Ari GM4:6U
Buf GM4:6U
Car GM2:2U
Cbj GM1:1U

 

[ECC]

Saturday Results:

Fade Buf GM4:6U Pitt -109 WIN +600
Fade CBJ GM1:1U TB +159 WIN +159
Fade Ari GM4:6U NYI +247 loss -600
Fade Car GM2:2U Was +173 loss -200

System: 9-2 (-1,191)
YTD: 9-17

Current fades
Car GM2:2U
Buf GM1:1U
Cbj GM1:1U
Edm GM1:1U

 

[ECC]

Sunday's Play

Fade Edm GM1:1U NYR +151

System: 9-2 (-1,191)
YTD: 9-17

Current fades
Car GM2:2U
Buf GM1:1U
Cbj GM1:1U
Edm GM1:1U

 

[olim]

Carolina should be 3 units now

 

[olim]

whats the play today?

 

[Skers2003]

Pretty sure Calgary would be a play tonight for 3 units.

 

[StrayBayBay]

Calgary would be the only play tonight but on the ML because Carolina is the favorite.

Calgary: 3 Units on the ML - I've got them at -105

 

[olim]

thanks for the info stray

 

[ECC]

thanks for filling in guys. feel free to keep updates if I can't get here in time. I use Pinnicle for the lines if you want to keep it as accurate as possible.

Rangers lost last play -100

Monday 11/10 Play
Fade Car GM3:3U Cgy ML -103

System: 9-2 (-1,291)
YTD: 9-18

Current fades
Car GM3:3U
Edm GM2:2U
Buf GM1:1U
Cbj GM1:1U

 

[olim]

Ecc do you notice the system is starting off slower this year? Or is this par for the course? Thanks for all you do

 

[ECC]

Ecc do you notice the system is starting off slower this year? Or is this par for the course? Thanks for all you do

Seems a bit slower but I think it started off with one less loss when it hit 9 Wins. Again it's only the second year of tracking I plan on looking in depth around the all-star break

 

[ECC]

Monday 11/10 Play
Fade Car GM3:3U Cgy ML -103 LOSS

System: 9-2 (-1,591)
YTD: 9-19

Current fades
Car GM4:6U
Edm GM2:2U
Buf GM1:1U
Cbj GM1:1U

 

[ECC]

Tuesday 11/11
fade CBJ GM1:1U Was +153
fade Buf GM1:1U Stl -125
fade Dal GM1:1U Ari +264
fade Fla GM1:1U SJ +205
fade Edm GM2:2U NSH +158

System: 9-2 (-1,591)
YTD: 9-19

Current Fades
Car GM4:6U
Edm GM2:2U
Buf GM1:1U
Cbj GM1:1U
Dal GM1:1U
Fla GM1:1U

 

[olim]

Seems a bit slower but I think it started off with one less loss when it hit 9 Wins. Again it's only the second year of tracking I plan on looking in depth around the all-star break

I I looked through the first tracking thread. It never was in the red. By this time it was up 1500 or so. A week later it was up to like 4k. So I am assuming the rest of the year from there in out was a bit of a wash. In theory it does make sense but these "bad" teams aren't cooperating. These guys are winning the games straight up a large percentage of the time. Weird.

 

[olim]

Ecc have you ever looked at it from the other angle of taking the top rankings teams and playing those in a pl chase? What has the data shown?

 

[ECC]

Ecc have you ever looked at it from the other angle of taking the top rankings teams and playing those in a pl chase? What has the data shown?

No haven't done that.

 

[ECC]

Tuesday 11/11 (2-3 -147)
fade CBJ GM1:1U Was +153 WIN
fade Buf GM1:1U Stl -125 WIN
fade Dal GM1:1U Ari +264 loss
fade Fla GM1:1U SJ +205 loss
fade Edm GM2:2U NSH +158 loss

System: 11-2 (-1,738)
YTD: 11-22

Current Fades
Car GM4:6U
Edm GM3:3U
Dal GM2:2U
Fla GM2:2U
Buf GM1:1U
CBJ GM1:1U