Eafran Soccer September 2009

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Good work bro, you won that duel (Brazil vs Chile).

Looking to see your picks for the weekend

take care
 

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Thanks Roman!

Thanks Martinga. I loved your insight as well. See you on the weekend brother.
 

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Good results on wednesday's WC qualifiers. Now on to EPL:

Chelsea -1 @ -135
Tottenham/Manchester United OVER 2.5 @ EVEN
Liverpool/Burnley UNDER 3 @ -130
Sunderland/Hull OVER 2 @ -145

Chelsea will travel to the Britannia Stadium where they will face Stoke City. Stoke City has had a good start to the season (for their standards) and now have seven points from four games. The statistic is that Stoke has three clean sheets in four games. Combine that with their decent start to the season and you have many people who are hesitant to bet against Stoke. What does all this mean to me? Absolutely nothing. Chelsea’s start to the season is much better as they received maximum points from the four games they have played. Chelsea knows that these are the type of games they cannot afford to give up any points in, if they want to win the title this season. They will keep that in mind on the road here. If you look at Stoke’s results, their schedule has been fairly easy. The only opponent they lost to in their four games was Liverpool away by the score of 0-4. This is what will happen when they play more difficult squads. Chelsea is better than Liverpool at the moment so even on the road you can expect them to get a 2-0 result here, which is why I am playing Chelsea -1.

Tottenham will host Manchester United at White Hart Lane and I expect this game to be a good one. Tottenham loves to attack and not only do they attack, they score goals. I love what this team has become and they definitely play some entertaining football. Tottenham looks impressive for lack of a better term and they have scored eleven goals from four games. They have attacking minded players and lethal finishers in Robbie Keane and Jermaine Defoe. Not to mention Aaron Lennon who surely has the pace/skill to cause some havoc on the flanks. For Manchester United you have Rooney who has been in great goal-scoring form. It will be hard to keep him off the scoresheet and I expect him to pick up a goal or an assist in this game. Manchester United has eight goals in four games and they will be looking to pick up the points here at White Hart Lane. I see these game ending 2-1 or 2-2, which is why I am playing on the OVER.

Liverpool will host Burnley at home. Although Liverpool hasn’t had the best start so far and their team does look a little unimpressive, I believe they are in the midst of finding their form, and we will see it against Burnley. Burnley has had a surprise win over Manchester United as well as Everton. Their defense will look to play a solid game and maybe they will, but it won’t be enough to hold off Liverpool. This game reminds me of the Chelsea/Burnley game where I had selected Chelsea to win at home by more than two goals. Chelsea won by three. I don’t think Liverpool is the team Chelsea is at the moment and I am going to bank on Burnley studying their mistakes from that Chelsea game. Burnley gives it their all, but falls short 0-2, which is why I am playing the UNDER 3. Worst case scenario a 0-3 Liverpool result for the push.

Sunderland will host Hull City on Saturday. I bet on Hull City twice this year and they have won me the money both times. However, I am going to stay away from the sides in this game (even though I think Hull will cover the spread). Sunderland has found a way to score in three out of four games this season (three goals from two games at home) and I am confident they will get one for sure here. Maybe they will get two. Hull City has scored a goal in all four of their games and this game won’t be any different with the new signing of Vennegoor of Hesselink. Hesselink has made it clear that he chose to sign with Hull because he wants to be a clear target for the Dutch national team. That is his goal, so you can expect him to try to get on the right foot with a good match. I like Hull to score two in this game and go on to win 2-1, which is why I am playing the OVER. Worst case scenario? 1-1 draw for the push.

Good luck bettors and enjoy a good footy weekend!
 

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Hey guys,

If you would like, please add me on Twitter @ EafraSoccer! You can follow my picks here as well and be notified when I add plays. Thanks and good luck!
 

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Chelsea -1 @ -135 :: PUSH
Tottenham/Manchester United OVER 2.5 @ EVEN :: WIN
Liverpool/Burnley UNDER 3 @ -130 :: LOST
Sunderland/Hull OVER 2 @ -145 :: WIN

2-1-1 for another day of profit. See you guys tomorrow!
 

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Thanks for the support Martinga.

I know I said I wasn't playing any today, but I like this one:

Valencia -0.5 @ +110

Valencia will travel to Valladoid. I'll make this short and sweet. Valencia is in form right now, not to mention, they are just a better team than Valladoid. Both Silva and Villa will be in the lineup and look for spirits to remain high after Valencia's 2-0 Sevilla defeat on opening day. Valladoid missed relegation by one point last year and one of their star defenders, Nivaldo, is out for this one. I think this is tremendous value as we see Valencia win even on the road 2-0/3-1.

Good luck bettors!
 

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Real Madrid -1.5 @ -105
Real Madrid/FC Zurich OVER 3 @ -115


NOTE: I had these plays locked in at -105 and -115 this morning when I did the research. The lines have since then moved to -120 and -120.


Real Madrid will travel to Zurich on Tuesday for their first Champions League match of the new season. This is Zurich’s first Champions League appearance in almost thirty years and what a better way for them to start with a match against the World’s richest club, right? Real Madrid is in-form despite what anyone says. They score goals. It is what they do. They have scored six goals in two league games and seventeen goals in five games if you count club friendlies. If you look at Zurich, you will see that they have questionable defense. In their last five games, they have conceded eight goals, in a weak Swiss League compared to La Liga. Ronaldo, Raul, and Diarra were all rested on the weekend in preparation for this match. Kaka is on the verge of having another unstoppable season and Zurich won’t be able to handle him in this match. Real Madrid will attack effectively and look for them to be up by two or three by half-time, which is why I am playing the OVER 3 as well.


Good luck bettors! I might be adding another one late tonight or tomorrow morning.
 

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These plays were released on Twitter early this morning before the line change.

EafraSoccer :: Twitter
 

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Adding:

Manchester United -1 @ -110

Too be short: Manchester United is in great away form and they will look to get on the right foot if they want to get to the Champions League Final for two years in a row. More factors to consider but I am pressed for time. Good luck guys!
 

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Thanks Martinga. How do you feel about Porto +1 @ +125? Really like this one and I am thinking about playing it. Porto are a quality side and Chelsea will be missing some key players. I just feel that if anyone can give top teams a hard time, it is Porto. What do you think?
 

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Thanks Martinga. How do you feel about Porto +1 @ +125? Really like this one and I am thinking about playing it. Porto are a quality side and Chelsea will be missing some key players. I just feel that if anyone can give top teams a hard time, it is Porto. What do you think?

You know, between us, i really liked the Porto +1 and +1.5

Unfortunately my friend Klaka told me his lean for this game was Chelsea. When we don't agree on a play, we just respect each other decisions and stay away from the game.

Good luck if you go through with it. IMO the edge is def on Porto holding a tie
 

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I liked Porto here, but the best thing is to stay away from games like this. Thanks for the input!
 

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Real Madrid -1.5 @ -105 :: WIN
Real Madrid/FC Zurich OVER 3 @ -115 :: WIN
Manchester United -1 @ -110 :: PUSH

2-0-1 for another day of profit! I love this game. Congrats to those who followed!


EafraSoccer :: Twitter
 

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Great run right now - trying to stay hot with these plays:

Lyon/Fiorentina OVER 2 @ -145
Arsenal -1 @ -120
Stuttgart -1 @ +115
Liverpool -1 (1st Half) @ -115

No write-ups for now as I am extremely busy this week.
 

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Those plays are hot, def like them all. Stuttgart was one we were gonna do, but decided to stick to less plays and more units.

BOL to both of us
 

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Final Card for 9.16 Champions League:

Lyon/Fiorentina OVER 2 @ -145
Arsenal -1 @ -120
Stuttgart -1 @ +115
Liverpool -1 (1st Half) @ -115
Sevilla/Unirea UNDER 3 @ -135
Unirea Urzeceni +1.5 @ +110
AZ Alkmaar +0.5 @ -130

Huge card today for my first large card ever. I don't like playing too many selections but I am up a lot of profit so I thought I'd give it a go. Good luck!
 

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CL Wed Plays

Split plays yesterday, think i lost 10 dollars. I am looking at these plays today.

Sevilla U 2 1/2
Lyon U 2 1/2
Olympiakos U 2 1/2
Stuttgart win

What do you guys think and as always good luck.
 

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