DPR and PRD lets track it

[justanobserver]

Team	Off PR	Def PR	PRD	Team	Off PR	Def PR	PRD	OPR Total	DPR Total	PRD Diff	O/U	Line	Total	Outcome	Outcome ATS
Tennessee	87.72	97	-9.28	Jacksonville	82.09	100.1	-18.01	169.81	197.1	8.73	43	-2.5	81	W	ATSW
Miami	88.96	97.55	-8.59	Baltimore	82.44	98.31	-15.87	171.4	195.86	7.28	43	-4	28	L	ATSL
Chicago	88.91	93.38	-4.47	San Francisco	82	100.54	-18.54	170.91	193.92	14.07	43	-7	46	L	ATSL
Green Bay	97.43	82.66	14.77	Detroit	88.06	104.22	-16.16	185.49	186.88	30.93	46.5	-3	50	W	ATSW
Carolina	89.25	68.72	20.52	New Orleans	98.12	115.93	-17.81	187.37	184.65	38.33	49.5	-7	79	W	ATSL
Indianapolis	81.5	85.14	-3.64	Pittsburgh	89.15	98.93	-9.78	170.65	184.07	6.14		+6.5	55	L	ATSL
Washington	91.43	94.57	-3.14	Dallas	82.45	89.45	-7.01	173.88	184.02	3.87	42	-4.5	35	L	ATSL
Atlanta	88.6	82.78	5.83	Tampa Bay	85.32	98.27	-12.95	173.92	181.05	18.78	46	+2	42	L	ATSL
Cincinnati	105.32	81.94	23.38	Cleveland	92.58	98.3	-5.72	197.9	180.24	29.1	44	-7	40	W	ATSW
San Diego	100.97	100.66	0.31	Denver	72.22	76.94	-4.72	173.19	177.6	5.03	43	+4	20	L	ATSL
New England	106.67	82.84	23.83	Philadelphia	82.02	93.38	-11.36	188.69	176.22	35.19	49	-10	63	L	ATSL
N.Y. Jets	85.63	81.59	4.04	N.Y. Giants	92.51	93.52	-1.01	178.14	175.11	5.05	45	-2	43	W	ATSW
Seattle	102.89	85.09	17.8	Minnesota	84.33	86.22	-1.89	187.22	171.31	19.69	41.5	PK	45	W	ATSW
Kansas City	94.6	81.22	13.39	Oakland	100.43	87.81	12.62	195.03	169.03	0.77	44	-3	54	W	ATSW
Arizona	104.86	78.49	26.37	St. Louis	72.51	90.39	-17.88	177.37	168.88	44.25	43	-5.5	30	W	ATSW
Buffalo	95.93	83.59	12.34	Houston	85.03	83.77	1.26	180.96	167.36	11.08	41.5	-3.5	51	W	ATSW

 

[justanobserver]

This weeks numbers:

Team	Off PR	Def PR	PRD	Team	Off PR	Def PR	PRD	OPR Total	DPR Total	PRD Diff	O/U	Line
Arizona	105.36	75.66	29.7	Minnesota	82.04	89.96	-7.92	187.4	165.62	37.62	46	-7.5
Washington	92.16	93.52	-1.37	Chicago	87.02	92.69	-5.67	179.18	186.21	4.3	44	+3
Cincinnati	107.2	81.05	26.15	Pittsburgh	92.57	96.28	-3.72	199.77	177.33	29.87	49.5	-3
Oakland	97.06	89.46	7.6	Denver	72.49	75.28	-2.79	169.55	164.74	10.39	43.5	+7.5
Cleveland	90.84	100.52	-9.68	San Francisco	82.25	97.87	-15.62	173.09	198.39	5.94	41	-1
Tampa Bay	85.63	96.43	-10.81	New Orleans	97.56	116.64	-19.07	183.19	213.07	8.26	50.5	-3.5
Kansas City	96.3	79.86	16.44	San Diego	97.93	99.05	-1.11	194.23	178.91	17.55	45.5	-10
Buffalo	98.24	84.58	13.66	Philadelphia	82.94	91.09	-8.15	181.18	175.67	21.81	47	-1
Indianapolis	80.21	88.63	-8.42	Jacksonville	86.6	101.27	-14.67	166.81	189.9	6.25		-1.5
N.Y. Jets	88.11	81.49	6.62	Tennessee	89.93	101.32	-11.4	178.04	182.81	18.02	43	-7
Green Bay	97.32	84.25	13.07	Dallas	82.26	90.41	-8.15	179.58	174.66	21.22	44	-7.5
Carolina	92.96	70.7	22.26	Atlanta	87.86	83.21	4.65	180.82	153.91	17.61	46.5	-7.5
Detroit	89.07	103.49	-14.43	St. Louis	69.77	92.33	-22.56	158.84	195.82	8.13	40.5	PK
Seattle	105.92	83.06	22.85	Baltimore	81.94	97.4	-15.46	187.86	180.46	38.31		-6
New England	103.04	83.7	19.33	Houston	85.84	86.42	-0.58	188.88	170.12	19.91	45	-3
N.Y. Giants	91.62	94.99	-3.38	Miami	88.48	95.31	-6.83	180.1	190.3	3.45	46	-1

 

[justanobserver]

DPR over 185:

Team	Off PR	Def PR	PRD	Team	Off PR	Def PR	PRD	OPR Total	DPR Total	PRD Diff	O/U	Line
Tampa Bay	85.63	96.43	-10.81	New Orleans	97.56	116.64	-19.07	183.19	213.07	8.26	50.5	-3.5
Cleveland	90.84	100.52	-9.68	San Francisco	82.25	97.87	-15.62	173.09	198.39	5.94	41	-1
Detroit	89.07	103.49	-14.43	St. Louis	69.77	92.33	-22.56	158.84	195.82	8.13	40.5	PK
N.Y. Giants	91.62	94.99	-3.38	Miami	88.48	95.31	-6.83	180.1	190.3	3.45	46	-1
Indianapolis	80.21	88.63	-8.42	Jacksonville	86.6	101.27	-14.67	166.81	189.9	6.25		-1.5
Washington	92.16	93.52	-1.37	Chicago	87.02	92.69	-5.67	179.18	186.21	4.3	44	+3

 

[justanobserver]

Double negatives (the exact same games):

Team	Off PR	Def PR	PRD	Team	Off PR	Def PR	PRD	OPR Total	DPR Total	PRD Diff	O/U	Line
Tampa Bay	85.63	96.43	-10.81	New Orleans	97.56	116.64	-19.07	183.19	213.07	8.26	50.5	-3.5
Cleveland	90.84	100.52	-9.68	San Francisco	82.25	97.87	-15.62	173.09	198.39	5.94	41	-1
Detroit	89.07	103.49	-14.43	St. Louis	69.77	92.33	-22.56	158.84	195.82	8.13	40.5	PK
N.Y. Giants	91.62	94.99	-3.38	Miami	88.48	95.31	-6.83	180.1	190.3	3.45	46	-1
Indianapolis	80.21	88.63	-8.42	Jacksonville	86.6	101.27	-14.67	166.81	189.9	6.25		-1.5
Washington	92.16	93.52	-1.37	Chicago	87.02	92.69	-5.67	179.18	186.21	4.3	44	+3

 

[justanobserver]

Liking Det/STL, TB/NO, and Indy/Jack

 

[justanobserver]

Liking Det/STL, TB/NO, and Indy/Jack

1-2 on these.

2-4 overall. I will say that in a week in which only 3 games went over this system identified two of them.

 

[justanobserver]

This weeks numbers:

Team	Off PR	Def PR	PRD	Team	Off PR	Def PR	PRD	OPR Total	DPR Total	PRD Diff	O/U	Line
Tampa Bay	85.43	97.88	-12.45	St. Louis	69.2	91.5	-22.3	154.63	189.38	9.85	41	PK
N.Y. Jets	89.64	81.27	8.38	Dallas	79.42	91.16	-11.74	169.06	172.43	20.12	42	-3
San Diego	95.3	98.39	-3.09	Miami	88.18	99.95	-11.77	183.48	198.34	8.68	45	-2
Houston	85.18	88.5	-3.32	Indianapolis	78.24	90.21	-11.97	163.42	178.71	8.65
Arizona	106.29	78.13	28.16	Philadelphia	82.51	89.94	-7.43	188.8	168.07	35.59	50.5	-3.5
Cincinnati	104.89	81.41	23.48	San Francisco	83.24	97.48	-14.23	188.13	178.89	37.71	40.5	-4.5
Carolina	96.41	69.59	26.82	N.Y. Giants	96.04	94.22	1.82	192.45	163.81	25	48	-5
Atlanta	85.38	86.87	-1.49	Jacksonville	88.27	97.33	-9.06	173.65	184.2	7.57	49	+3
New England	103.8	83.09	20.72	Tennessee	88.9	102	-13.1	192.7	185.09	33.82	47	-14
Green Bay	97.48	81.53	15.95	Oakland	95.98	88.98	7.01	193.46	170.51	8.94	47	-3
Kansas City	95.79	78.52	17.27	Baltimore	80.91	101.27	-20.36	176.7	179.79	37.63	42	-7.5
Buffalo	96.09	84.04	12.04	Washington	92.98	95.2	-2.22	189.07	179.24	14.26	44	-1
Seattle	109.79	81.74	28.05	Cleveland	90.92	100.25	-9.33	200.71	181.99	37.38	43	-14.5
Chicago	89.15	93.53	-4.38	Minnesota	84.43	92.12	-7.69	173.58	185.65	3.31	43	+5
Denver	73.73	75.52	-1.79	Pittsburgh	91.98	95.12	-3.14	165.71	170.64	1.35	44.5	+6
Detroit	88.63	101.2	-12.57	New Orleans	98.75	114.24	-15.49	187.38	215.44	2.92	50.5	+3

 

[justanobserver]

DPR over 185:

Team	Off PR	Def PR	PRD	Team	Off PR	Def PR	PRD	OPR Total	DPR Total	PRD Diff	O/U	Line
Detroit	88.63	101.2	-12.57	New Orleans	98.75	114.24	-15.49	187.38	215.44	2.92	50.5	+3
San Diego	95.3	98.39	-3.09	Miami	88.18	99.95	-11.77	183.48	198.34	8.68	45	-2
Tampa Bay	85.43	97.88	-12.45	St. Louis	69.2	91.5	-22.3	154.63	189.38	9.85	41	PK
Chicago	89.15	93.53	-4.38	Minnesota	84.43	92.12	-7.69	173.58	185.65	3.31	43	+5
New England	103.8	83.09	20.72	Tennessee	88.9	102	-13.1	192.7	185.09	33.82	47	-14

 

[justanobserver]

Double Negatives:

Team	Off PR	Def PR	PRD	Team	Off PR	Def PR	PRD	OPR Total	DPR Total	PRD Diff	O/U	Line
Detroit	88.63	101.2	-12.57	New Orleans	98.75	114.24	-15.49	187.38	215.44	2.92	50.5	+3
San Diego	95.3	98.39	-3.09	Miami	88.18	99.95	-11.77	183.48	198.34	8.68	45	-2
Tampa Bay	85.43	97.88	-12.45	St. Louis	69.2	91.5	-22.3	154.63	189.38	9.85	41	PK
Chicago	89.15	93.53	-4.38	Minnesota	84.43	92.12	-7.69	173.58	185.65	3.31	43	+5
Atlanta	85.38	86.87	-1.49	Jacksonville	88.27	97.33	-9.06	173.65	184.2	7.57	49	+3
Houston	85.18	88.5	-3.32	Indianapolis	78.24	90.21	-11.97	163.42	178.71	8.65
Denver	73.73	75.52	-1.79	Pittsburgh	91.98	95.12	-3.14	165.71	170.64	1.35	44.5	+6

 

[justanobserver]

Det/NO, ATL/Jack, NE/Tenn, Den/Pitt are my over targets this week.

Last week was dominated by the under, lets hope the over swings that way this week. Happy hunting.