DJax's 2009 MLB Picks - Season Thread

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I am the litte guy usually, so I feel ya lol

I assume you missed one of the winners I had from this afternoon because I added it kind of last-second. Sorry bout that, but I didn't have it in mind at all last night so nothing I could do about it :think2:

GL tonight!
 

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nobody,

You might want to refer to the bottom of my first post in this thread to see my plan for the beginning of the season. I'm not picking so much night-by-night as I am following certain teams that I thought were underrated preseason/fading teams I thought were overrated preseason. That way we could get some great values for at least a few weeks and then adjust when necessary throughout the year.

I can't say that I would recommend following just for one game because my method here is more based on a steady rise by pulling out 3-1 or 4-2 nights hopefully. Obviously, its worked very well so far and thats really all I can offer as evidence. So, I would say that if you're following my method it would be wiser to either play the majority of the card or none of it because of that fact.

If the line is still M's +130 or better, though, I can say that I think the Mariners are a pretty solid value play tonight. While the starting pitching edge leans to the Angels, we'd be getting the hotter team, who's playing at home, and also I think the Angels bullpen/offense are overrated and really no better than the M's counterparts. I hope that Jakubauksuskusas can limit the Angels very average lineup for 5-6 innings and see if the M's cant grind out another tight victory. GL whatever you decide man :103631605
 

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ughhhhhh...phillies didnt even put in an effort tonight it looks like. Kinda regrettin that move now but I'm willing to wait and see because this approach isnt decided by one night, need at least a week or so to judge it. Right now need White Sox to close things out but I'm a bit nervous because theyve really been blowing chances to extend

GL in the last game guys, looks like it might be necessary to have a profitable night again (at least for the people who didnt get a chance to see the Cubs total I posted this morning)

!~~~!
 

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Clinched another positive day despite Phillies weak performance tonight...<><>

Moneylines
Marlins +123 WINNER +1.23 Units
Mariners +130
White Sox -107 WINNER +1 Unit

Runlines
Phillies -1.5 (+120) LOSER -1 Unit
Yankees -1.5 (+105) LOSER -1 Unit

Total
Cubs/Cardinals Over 8 (-105) WINNER +1 Unit


So far 3-2, +1.23 Units

I'll do full recap after the M's game and definitely post some plays for Friday as well. GL guys! :toast:
 

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are the Ms the only game you have left? winning day no matter what if that is the case.
 

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yes, Mariners are all I have left.

Looks pretty solid thus far. Jakubausksussusksuaksaks is throwin strikes which is all we can ask for because its a bad pitching matchup. I dont like the Angels lineup or bullpen all that much so if he can throw strikes and make them earn their runs, I think M's can grind out the sweep for us! lol

GL with Twins but I don't see that one haha
 

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hahahaha... yeah... i'm horrible at picking my own games. i did so bad today. need Ms and Dodgers RL to come home for me.
 

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I definitely understand that haha

I think its tough to pick teams day-by-day...always get sucked into certain pitchers or teams, when I think we really just need to focus on public perception vs. hot/cold teams in MLB because even good teams lose 65 times. I've always been around .500 picking day-by-day but with this new strategy, I'm having a great run.

I really like the possibilities if we stay consistent and patient because the format kind of limits the possibility of gettin overly frustrated and going "on tilt" lol
 

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and some teams do very well at home. marlins, dodgers, m's, cards, and pades playing pretty well thus far. and fade washington is always a good bet. haha
 

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definitely...will be on Marlins again this weekend for sure. They still seem to have great lines (on road at least) compared to their play so far. Just gonna hafta decide to take RL or ML. Leaning to RL because theyve been so money for me so far...made 10 of the Units tailing them :103631605
 

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nice!!! that's the way... ride a hot team... wonder if the fish can keep it up. i am with the dodgers this season.
 

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omg how frustrating...the Mariners overcome their one disadvantage in the game (SP matchup) because Jabaukuskus or watever pitched out of his mind. Yet they blow a chance to take a solid lead and the Angels immediately capitalize on the bullpen, all with 2-outs. All of a sudden Mariners went from lead to basiclaly no chance in half inning

grrrrrrrrrrrrr
 

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Kind of frustrating the way the Mariners are about to lose IMO. The seemingly overmatched starter gave them everything they could ask for and they still blew their opportunities to give themselves a chance to win it...here tonights final summary (barring a miracle comeback, but I'll take my chances):


Moneylines
Marlins +123 WINNER +1.23 Units
Mariners +130 LOSER -1 Unit
White Sox -107 WINNER +1 Unit

Runlines
Phillies -1.5 (+120) LOSER -1 Unit
Yankees -1.5 (+105) LOSER -1 Unit

Total
Cubs/Cardinals Over 8 (-105) WINNER +1 Unit


Daily total: 3-3, +0.23 Units

This Week's Total: 14-7, +12.66 Units* (includes +3.17 parlay)


YTD 35-18, +26.53 Units

Things are leveling out a little bit in the middle of the week but thats to be expected after a couple of GREAT days (especially using the strategy I'm trying). But when our "bad" or disappointing days have positive numbers coming up in the daily total, then there cant be too much complaining. Gotta keep the gambling gods off our case and on our side :103631605

This weekend is gonna be pretty high-volume so hopefully the units can match the amount of games. I'll try to get it started with some picks in a little while and see if we cant add a bunch of units over the next few days! :toast:
 

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YTD 35-18, +26.53 Units
Week 2: 14-7, +12.66 Units* (includes +3.17 parlay)

Friday's picks (gettin the whole card out tonight, dont see much advantage in waiting this time). As always, all 1 Unit:

Runlines
Yankees -1.5 (-110)
Phillies -1.5 (+120)
Marlins -1.5 (+120)

Moneylines
Reds +135
White Sox +155
Twins -113
Giants +130

Seven games Friday makes the biggest card of the year so far. We've had a lot of 5- and 6-gamers though with plenty of success, so no reason to worry. A wide variety of lines is what stands out to me, but I put them together in a way that I think will maximize our profits...so far my ML/RL decisions have been almost perfect and a key strength to this method, so lets hope it continues :103631605 I like the card tomorrow and I think we may be looking at a solid 5-2 type of day!

GL ALL
:toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast:
 

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i was waiting for this. coooooooool... forget about luck, let the skill reveal itself!!! i don't know who will win and who will lose, but i forsee myself winning a lot of money tomorrow. hee, hee
 

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Haha, that pretty much how this method has been working out. I form my own opinions and end up liking some more than others, but oftentimes the ones I don't like quite as much win and the ones I love sometimes lose. So I've decided that staying committed and consistent (betting them all, and for equal amounts) will make us some money overall almost every day and in the long-run especially.

Headin to bed now...GL tomorrow Ninja, lets cash five of these at least and celebrate the weekend lol
:dancefool
 

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