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Germany pk -.5. -142

seems to me Portugal getting way too much love
 

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....that's the 8th time in a week you've bet a favorite over -200. You are a book's dream.

Yeah. I'm fully aware of the bets I've placed. While I agree with you for the most part about large moneyline bets and avoid them in sports besides soccer and boxing I love the argument by so called gambling experts like yourself. It doesn't matter how high the odds or moneyline is. All that matters is if you believe the outcome of the event has a higher expected value than the juice.
 

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In laymans terms. If the juice is -10000 and I think the expected value is .99999999. That's a bet I'm willing to make.
 

Even DONKS win sometimes... Right?
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In laymans terms. If the juice is -10000 and I think the expected value is .99999999. That's a bet I'm willing to make.

Exactly. If it's +EV, it's a good bet no matter what the juice is. For some reason, not many people get that. Refreshing to see someone who does.
 

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