Cnotes WCup - Group Breakdown

[CNOTES]

Monday's Group A Action

June 22, 2014


Group A: Cameroon vs. Brazil (ESPN2, 4:00 p.m. ET)

Sportsbook.ag Line
Brazil -909, Cameroon +1900, Tie +850
Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (Over Even, Under -120)

Brazil was a heavy favorite to win the 2014 World Cup, but they have not fared as well as many expected them to in group play. They face Cameroon on Monday in a match that could shake things up in the knockout rounds.

Cameroon was given the worst odds to advance to the knockout rounds out of Group A and they have shown why with two losses in a row. They will not be advancing in the tournament, but could throw things off for the home team with a shocking win Monday.

Cameroon played a close game against Mexico in their first game of group play, but they came away with a 1-0 loss and were much worse in their second match. Cameroon played against Croatia and they were dominated right from the start. Eleven minutes into the game, Ivica Olic scored to put Croatia up 1-0 and that goal would have been all Croatia needed, but they wound up pounding their opponent by a 4-0 score. Cameroon had just seven shots on goal compared to Croatia’s 14 and they have not scored in the tournament so far. Croatia added goals at the 48-minute, 61-minute and 73-minute marks in the blowout. Cameroon will be sent home after their match with Brazil, but they could make a mark on the tournament by upsetting the home favorites.

Brazil played against Mexico in their second game of group play and despite being expected to win, they were able to only come away with a 0-0 tie. They ran into a hot goaltender and couldn’t find the back of the net. A win over Cameroon is now monumental for Brazil’s chances to win this tournament as the host and pre-World Cup favorite to win it all.

Brazil was able to create some opportunities in their match against Mexico, but the efforts of Guillermo Ochoa were too much for them to handle. Ochoa made some stellar saves in the first half, and not many goaltenders around the world could’ve done what Ochoa did. Brazil outshot Mexico 8-3 on goal and had possession of the ball for 53% of the game. They must, however, simplify things in the offensive zone. Chances are good for the heavily-favored squad, but they need to be able to finish. If Brazil does not beat Cameroon, they could be in serious jeopardy of advancing.

Group A: Croatia vs. Mexico (ESPN, 4:00 p.m. ET)

Sportsbook.ag Line
Croatia +150, Mexico +160, Tie +250
Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (Over +115, Under -135)

Croatia and Mexico meet Monday afternoon in what will be a Group A match with massive implications in terms of who will be advancing to the knockout round.

Croatia was unable to pick up a victory over Brazil in its opening match of group play, but the club certainly competed throughout the course of that game. They followed up that loss with a dominant showing against Cameroon and have at least given themselves a chance to advance to the Round of 16. Mexico may not have beaten Brazil in their last game, but they were able to come away with a 0-0 draw. They are now in position to advance past the group stage if they are able to defeat Croatia.

After losing their World Cup opener 3-1 to Brazil, Croatia needed to defeated Cameroon, and they had no problem doing that with a 4-0 blowout. Croatia was dominant in their performance, as they outshot Cameroon 14-7 on goal. They didn’t have much of an edge in time of possession with just 51%, but they made the most of their time with the ball. Eleven minutes into the game, Ivica Olic scored to give Croatia a 1-0 lead, and they piled it on once the second half started. Ivan Perisic made it 2-0 at the 48-minute mark and Mario Mandzukic added two goals at 61 minutes and 73 minutes to give Croatia an impressive victory. A win over Mexico would have them advancing to the knockout round.

Not many people gave Mexico much of a chance against Brazil, but they stood their ground and were able to come away with a scoreless tie. Guillermo Ochoa was monumental in securing that tie for his team, coming away with some really outstanding saves. Brazil was flying all over the field for the entire game, outshooting Mexico 8-3 on goal in the contest. They also had possession for 53% of the game compared to Mexico who had it for just 47%. Ochoa, however, was able to blank Brazil and that now puts Mexico in a great position to advance to the single-elimination round. They will need to beat a Croatia team that can also advance with a victory, so both of these teams will be hungry.

 

[CNOTES]

2014 World Cup Results

June 22, 2014

Betting Results

Group Stages

Wager Results

Favorites-Underdogs 17-9

Draws 6

Over-Under 21-10-1

Group Stages


Thursday, June 12

Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

A Croatia vs. Brazil (-350) 3-1 Favorite Over (2.5)


Friday, June 13

Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

A Mexico (+130) vs. Cameroon 1-0 Favorite Under (2)
B Spain vs. Netherlands (+360) 5-1 Underdog Over (2)
B Chile (-250) vs. Australia 3-1 Favorite Over (2.5)


Saturday, June 14

Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

C Colombia (-120) vs. Greece 3-0 Favorite Over (2.5)
C Cote d' Ivoire (+165) vs. Japan 2-1 Favorite Over (2.5)
D Uruguay vs. Costa Rica (+785) 3-1 Underdog Over (2.5)
D England vs. Italy (+215) 2-1 Underdog Over (2.5)


Sunday, June 15

Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

E Switzerland (+130) vs. Ecuador 2-1 Favorite Over (2.5)
E France (-350) vs. Honduras 3-0 Favorite Over (2.5)
F Argentina (-400) vs. Bosnia 2-1 Favorite Push (3)


Monday, June 16

Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

F Iran vs. Nigeria 0-0 Draw (+250) Under (2.5)
G Germany (+115) vs. Portugal 4-0 Favorite Over (2.5)
G Ghana vs. United States (+180) 2-1 Underdog Over (2.5)


Tuesday, June 17

Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

H Belgium (-400) vs. Algeria 2-1 Favorite Over (2.5)
H Russia vs. South Korea 1-1 Draw (+260) Under (2.5)
A Brazil vs. Mexico 0-0 Draw (+400) Under (2.5)


Wednesday, June 18

Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

A Cameroon vs. Croatia (-160) 4-0 Favorite Over (2.5)
B Spain vs. Chile (+450) 2-0 Underdog Under (3)
B Australia vs. Netherlands (-450) 3-2 Favorite Over (3)


Thursday, June 19

Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

C Colombia (+105) vs. Cote d'Ivoire 2-1 Favorite Over (2.5)
C Japan vs. Greece 0-0 Draw (+275) Under (2.5)
D Uruguay (+285) vs. England 2-1 Underdog Over (2.5)


Friday, June 20

Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

D Italy vs. Costa Rica (+525) 1-0 Underdog Under (2.5)
E Switzerland vs. France (-130) 5-2 Favorite Over (2.5)
E Honduras vs. Ecuador (-165) 2-1 Favorite Over (2.5)


Saturday, June 21

Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

F Argentina (-850) vs. Iran 1-0 Favorite Under (3)
F Nigeria (+350) vs. Bosnia 1-0 Underdog Under (2.5)
G Germany vs. Ghana 2-2 Draw (+475) Over (3)


Sunday, June 22

Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

G United States vs. Portugal 2-2 Draw (+300) Over (2.5)
H Belgium (+120) vs. Russia 1-0 Favorite Under (2.5)
H South Korea vs. Algeria (+200) 4-2 Underdog Over (2)


Monday, June 23

Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

A Cameroon vs. Brazil - - -
A Croatia vs. Mexico - - -
B Australia vs. Spain - - -
B Netherlands vs. Chile - - -


Tuesday, June 24

Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

C Japan vs. Colombia - - -
C Greece vs. Cote d'Ivoire - - -
D Italy vs. Uruguay - - -
D Costa Rica vs. England - - -


Wednesday, June 25

Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

E Honduras vs. Switzerland - - -
E Ecuador vs. France - - -
F Nigeria vs. Argentina - - -
F Bosnia vs. Iran - - -


Thursday, June 26

Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
G United States vs. Germany - - -
G Portugal vs. Ghana - - -
H South Korea vs. Belgium - - -
H Algeria vs. Russia - - -

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday's World Cup Tips

June 23, 2014


Italy vs. Uruguay (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Tuesday’s biggest match sees Italy play Uruguay in what is a straight play-off for the last 16. Uruguay need a win, while a draw would see Italy through. Costa Rica are top of the group, and only Italy can realistically leapfrog the World Cup’s real surprise package and secure a date with, most likely, either Ivory Coast or Greece. Both sides were embarrassed by Costa Rica and, for two sides who have won a quarter of the World Cups over history between them, exiting at the group stage is seen as a major failure.

The game takes place at the Estadio das Dunas in Natal, in the north-east of Brazil, at 1 o’clock in the afternoon. The conditions will be very difficult in the searing midday sun, and this will have an effect on the play. Uruguay will have the greater advantage in the conditions: they defend deep, and have players who can burst forward with pace into the opposing half. Interestingly, of the six games to be played in the north of the country between Europeans and non-Europeans, the European side has won just once. And that one occasion was Croatia’s 4-0 win over a Cameroon side that had ten men for most of the match.

Italy are very slight favourites to win the match at 8/5 with Sportsbook.ag, but seeing as they have only scored twice in two games and were awful against Costa Rica. Uruguay are 17/10 to do the job, with a draw at 9/4.

Already in this World Cup there have been two instances of matches where one team needs to win, and the other only needs a draw. Both times the team that has only needed a draw has gone into half-time 0-0, and then won the match. These matches were Mexico 3-1 Croatia and Netherlands 2-0 Chile. The team that needs to win commits more and more men forward as time ebbs away, leaving gaps for the opposition to exploit. Italy to be winning at full-time after going into half-time level is a very tempting 9/2 shot.

Bookmakers are expecting a low-scoring game, with under 2.5 goals at 77/100 and over 2.5 at 1/1. Uruguay’s defence, however, looks a bit overrated, particularly if the ponderous Diego Lugano plays. Meanwhile Oscar Tabarez’s side have the wonderful Luis Suarez at the other end of the pitch - possibly the best striker in world football. If you’re betting on this market I’d be more inclined towards the ‘over’.

In the first goalscorer market, the two main frontmen, Suarez and Mario Balotelli, lead the way at 7/2 and 9/2 respectively. However there are strong calls in Italy for new Borussia Dortmund striker Ciro Immobile to be handed a start. He may make more appeal at 11/2 after a fantastic season with Torino, where he was the top Serie A goalscorer.

Top Bet: Draw/Italy in the half-time/full-time market at 9/2.

England vs. Costa Rica (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)

The other match in this group sees England face a Costa Rica side who, as we all expected, have little to play for in the last group stage game. But incredibly, the reason they have nothing to play for is that, after stunning victories over Uruguay and Italy, they are now guaranteed of a place in the knockout rounds for the first time ever. And having been around 10/1 to beat England before the tournament started, they are now as short as 5/2. England, with two close defeats, are 1/1 and a draw is 13/5.

Both sides will rest players for this, particularly England with Roy Hodgson keen to give as many people as possible a taste of tournament football. Adam Lallana, Luke Shaw, Ben Foster, Chris Smalling, Frank Lampard, James Milner, Phil Jones, Ross Barkley and Jack Wilshere will all get their first starts of the tournament.

However the bet I like here is for Daniel Sturridge, one of the two regular starters, to score first. He has looked sharp so far and at 7/2 looks a good prospect against a defence that, while it is brave and organised, may be vulnerable to Sturridge’s pace.

Top Bet: Daniel Sturridge to score first at 7/2

Colombia vs. Japan (ESPN, 4:00 p.m. ET)

Colombia meet Japan face off in Group C at the Arena Pantanal with both teams almost assured of their fate. Colombia will top the group barring a minor miracle, while Japan would need to win, hope Greece and Ivory Coast draw, and for goal difference to go their way to qualify. Colombia have won both their matches and have been very impressive. They have a wealth of attacking talent and the ability to break down stubborn defences.

Japan have disappointed slightly. Their old weaknesses have come to the fore: they are good in the middle third of the pitch, but struggle to break teams down, while their defence struggles with height and physicality.

Even though they may well rest players, it is very hard to ignore quotes of 6/5 about a Colombia win here. They came second in South American qualifying and are now as short as 25/1 to win their first World Cup. Japan look far too short at 11/5, while a draw is 13/5. However the gulf in class between the sides is such that I am amazed to see odds-against quotes on Colombia.

Top Bet: Colombia to win at 6/5

Ivory Coast vs. Greece (ESPN2, 4:00 p.m. ET)

The match that is likely to decide who follows Colombia into the last 16 from Group C sees Greece face Ivory Coast at the Castelão in Fortaleza, only three degrees south of the equator.

In an amazing twist of fate, Greece - just as dour, defensive and brave as always - find themselves in the same position as before their final group game: two poor performances, one point, and yet bizarrely finding themselves in the position where a win from their final game would see them through. Ivory Coast turned around a 1-0 half-time deficit to beat Japan, before losing 2-1 themselves to Colombia.

The Elephants, with Drogba and the Toure brothers still in the squad, are the 19/20 favourites, but for a team that has developed a deserved reputation as bottlers, this does not look appealing. A Greece win is 27/10, while a draw can be backed at 13/5.

My favourite bet in this match is the half-time draw at 21/20. Despite needing a win, it is against Greece’s nature to be too bold; instead they will sit back and aim to still be in with a chance by half-time.

Top Bet: Draw at half-time at 21/20

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday's WCup Tips

June 24, 2014


Argentina vs. Nigeria (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Argentina face Nigeria in one of two simultaneous Group F games, happening at 1 o’clock Brazil time. Argentina have been dealt an extremely favourable draw: not only are they in an easy group, they are also playing all their matches in friendly conditions. This match takes place at the Estadio Beira-Rio, in the far south of Brazil. Hundreds of thousands of Argentines are crossing the border to be in Porto Alegre for the game.

The game is meaningless for Argentina in terms of qualification, but Nigeria still have lots to play for. They need a point to guarantee progress, otherwise they will be sweating on whether or not Iran can beat Bosnia.

Argentina have been underwhelming so far, and needed a last minute piece of Lionel Messi magic to beat Iran. They are heavy favourites here at 11/25 with sportsbook.ag, and despite two iffy performances, I see little from Nigeria to suggest that they can trouble Alejandro Sabella’s side. Backing Argentina +1.5 looks the best option at quotes of 27/20. I expect Argentina, like Brazil, to take this opportunity of a third group game to really kick-start their tournament. Nigeria, because they may not even need a point, make little appeal at either 15/2 to win the match, or 3/1 to take a draw from it.

In the first goalscorer market, Gonzalo Higuain and Sergio Aguero have been very disappointing so far for Argentina, in contrast to the majestic Messi, who is stupidly short at 5/4 to score first. I’m going to stick with fancying Higuain at 5/2 - he has the ability to punish a dodgy Nigerian defence.

Top bet: Argentina -1.5 at 27/20

Iran vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Iran meet Bosnia-Herzegovina at the spectacular Fonte Nova stadium in Salvador. Only one side has anything to play for, but surprisingly that side is Iran, not the fancied debutants Bosnia, who have crashed out after two defeats. Iran were stubborn in a 0-0 with Nigeria, and then suffered last minute heartbreak against Argentina after a wonderfully dogged defensive performance. Carlos Queiroz’s men could even have won the match.

Iran need to win this match, and hope that Nigeria do not beat Argentina, in order to qualify. However they could find it difficult against a Bosnia side who, despite a short-lived visit to this major tournament, look well set for the future. They gave Argentina a good game first up, while bad finishing let them down against Nigeria.

Bosnia play best when given freedom, and the freedom of having nothing to play for makes them appealing at 6/5 to win the game. They will be bolder than in previous matches, where they sacrificed some attacking threat for more defensive solidity, and it didn’t really work. Iran are 11/5 to claim the win they need, while a draw is 12/5.

Surely this time Safet Susic will field the two strikers who were so key in getting them to Brazil together. Vedad Ibisevic and Edin Dzeko scored 18 between them in just 10 games in qualifying, and are 7/2 and 5/2 respectively to break the deadlock. The market leader for Iran is Charlton Athletic striker Reza Ghoochannejhad at 11/2.

Top bet: Bosnia-Herzegovina to win at 6/5

France vs. Ecuador (ESPN, 4:00 p.m. ET)

France play Ecuador in one of two Group E matches on Wednesday evening. This game takes place at the famous Maracana in Rio de Janeiro. France only need a point to fully guarantee winning the group, while Ecuador need to equal Switzerland’s result against Honduras to progress to the last 16, where they would likely face an all-South American tie with second-favourites Argentina.

In 3-0 and 5-2 wins over Honduras and Switzerland, France have arguably been the most impressive side at the World Cup so far. They have not been hampered at all by the injury to Franck Ribery, with Mathieu Valbuena admirably taking full control of the creative side of the job. Karim Benzema has scored three times already.

They are the strong favourites to win at 69/100, and given their last two performances there seems little reason to doubt that the French steamroller will come to a halt. Ecuador are 7/2 to claim a win that would 99.9% guarantee their progress, while a draw is a 3/1 chance. Bookies are right in predicting a high-scoring encounter given both sides’ games so far. Over 2.5 is 77/100.

The first goalscorer market for this match is an interesting one. Benzema’s form is stellar, but 3/2 is short enough on him for me to look elsewhere. Ecuador’s centre-backs, Guagua and Erazo, are a potential weakness, and it is easy to foresee 7/2 shot Olivier Giroud bullying them. He links up well with Valbuena and is a good shout. The 7/1 on Enner Valencia, scorer of all three Ecuador goals in Brazil, isn’t as skinny as it might be either.

Top bet: Olivier Giroud to score first at 7/2

Honduras vs. Switzerland (ESPN2, 4:00 p.m. ET)

Honduras, despite two defeats from two, still stand a tiny chance of getting to the knockout stages, but all the attention in Manaus will be on Switzerland, who only need to better Ecuador’s result against France to get through. After a fine opening day win, Ottmar Hitzfeld’s Swiss side were brought crashing back down to earth as their French neighbours spanked them 5-2. Honduras were also outplayed by France, before surrendering a 1-0 lead to lose to Ecuador.

The conditions in Manaus, a city almost unreachable by road in the heart of the Amazon, favour Honduras greatly. Of the three matches at the Arena Amazonia so far, only one favourite has won. The humidity and the heat are testing, particularly to teams like Switzerland who are a) European, and b) reliant on a high-energy style of playing.

All this means 2/5 on Switzerland looks too short, with 333/100 on a draw the best bet, given that if, as expected, France beat Ecuador, it would be enough for Switzerland to qualify. A Honduras win is 6/1.

By far the best bet here is Over 3.5 at evens (1/1) in the Total Cards market (yellow = 1, red = 2, max 3 per player). Before the tournament, Honduras kicked lumps out of England in a friendly; against France they had Wilson Palacios sent off and had three other yellows, while between them Ecuador and Honduras had five yellows last time out. They are a team that is highly aggressive, and relies on fouling to break up the rhythm of their opponents.

Top bet: Over 3.5 Total Cards at 1/1

 

[CNOTES]

Suarez could be banned by FIFA

June 24, 2014


RIO DE JANEIRO (AP) - Luis Suarez could be banned by FIFA for up to 24 matches or two years for apparently biting Italy defender Giorgio Chiellini, according to the governing body's disciplinary rules.

Still, any action could depend on FIFA judging the case using video evidence - which FIFA President Sepp Blatter is on record this year as supporting.

''Video evidence can contribute greatly to fair play, provided the sport's disciplinary bodies are prepared to use it - and they should,'' Blatter wrote in his column in FIFA's weekly magazine in February.

Now, the future of Luis Suarez at the World Cup depends in the first instance on the report of Mexican referee Marco Rodriguez.

On Tuesday, FIFA said only that it was waiting for Rodriguez's report before evaluating it. That is a standard procedure following every match at a FIFA competition.

There is a World Cup precedent for video review.

In a 1994 quarterfinal, Italy defender Mauro Tassotti's elbow to the face of Spain's Luis Enrique escaped the referee's attention. FIFA later banned Tassotti for eight international matches.

Rodriguez and his two assistants appear not to have seen - or realized the severity - of Suarez apparently biting Chiellini late in Tuesday's match.

Had they done so, or thought so, Suarez would surely have been shown a red card for ''serious foul play.''

The code allows for suspensions to be applied by time or number of international matches

''Unless otherwise specified, it may not exceed twenty-four matches or twenty-four months,'' Article 19 of the FIFA code states.

The use of video evidence is an intriguing aspect of this case.

Television and still images have clearly shown Chiellini pulling aside his blue shirt to reveal marks on his left shoulder.

Proof which can be presented to a FIFA disciplinary hearing includes ''audio or video recordings.''

If the referee's report to FIFA does not fully deal with an incident, the code appears to allow challenges.

FIFA would find it hard to resist overwhelming evidence provided by the 34 cameras trained on each World Cup match as part of its high-tech broadcasting operation.

 

[CNOTES]

2014 World Cup Results

June 24, 2014

Betting Results
Group Stages
Wager Results
Favorites-Underdogs 22-11
Draws 7
Over-Under 25-13-2
Group Stages


Thursday, June 12
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
A Croatia vs. Brazil (-350) 3-1 Favorite Over (2.5)


Friday, June 13
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
A Mexico (+130) vs. Cameroon 1-0 Favorite Under (2)
B Spain vs. Netherlands (+360) 5-1 Underdog Over (2)
B Chile (-250) vs. Australia 3-1 Favorite Over (2.5)


Saturday, June 14
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
C Colombia (-120) vs. Greece 3-0 Favorite Over (2.5)
C Cote d' Ivoire (+165) vs. Japan 2-1 Favorite Over (2.5)
D Uruguay vs. Costa Rica (+785) 3-1 Underdog Over (2.5)
D England vs. Italy (+215) 2-1 Underdog Over (2.5)


Sunday, June 15
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
E Switzerland (+130) vs. Ecuador 2-1 Favorite Over (2.5)
E France (-350) vs. Honduras 3-0 Favorite Over (2.5)
F Argentina (-400) vs. Bosnia 2-1 Favorite Push (3)


Monday, June 16
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
F Iran vs. Nigeria 0-0 Draw (+250) Under (2.5)
G Germany (+115) vs. Portugal 4-0 Favorite Over (2.5)
G Ghana vs. United States (+180) 2-1 Underdog Over (2.5)


Tuesday, June 17
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
H Belgium (-400) vs. Algeria 2-1 Favorite Over (2.5)
H Russia vs. South Korea 1-1 Draw (+260) Under (2.5)
A Brazil vs. Mexico 0-0 Draw (+400) Under (2.5)


Wednesday, June 18
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
A Cameroon vs. Croatia (-160) 4-0 Favorite Over (2.5)
B Spain vs. Chile (+450) 2-0 Underdog Under (3)
B Australia vs. Netherlands (-450) 3-2 Favorite Over (3)


Thursday, June 19
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
C Colombia (+105) vs. Cote d'Ivoire 2-1 Favorite Over (2.5)
C Japan vs. Greece 0-0 Draw (+275) Under (2.5)
D Uruguay (+285) vs. England 2-1 Underdog Over (2.5)


Friday, June 20
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
D Italy vs. Costa Rica (+525) 1-0 Underdog Under (2.5)
E Switzerland vs. France (-130) 5-2 Favorite Over (2.5)
E Honduras vs. Ecuador (-165) 2-1 Favorite Over (2.5)


Saturday, June 21
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
F Argentina (-850) vs. Iran 1-0 Favorite Under (3)
F Nigeria (+350) vs. Bosnia 1-0 Underdog Under (2.5)
G Germany vs. Ghana 2-2 Draw (+475) Over (3)


Sunday, June 22
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
G United States vs. Portugal 2-2 Draw (+300) Over (2.5)
H Belgium (+120) vs. Russia 1-0 Favorite Under (2.5)
H South Korea vs. Algeria (+200) 4-2 Underdog Over (2)


Monday, June 23
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
A Cameroon vs. Brazil (-900) 4-1 Favorite Over (3.5)
A Croatia vs. Mexico (-160) 3-1 Favorite Over (2.5)
B Australia vs. Spain (-300) 3-0 Favorite Push (3)
B Netherlands (+150) vs. Chile 2-0 Favorite Under (2.5)


Tuesday, June 24
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
C Japan vs. Colombia (+110) 4-1 Favorite Over (2.5)
C Greece (+315) vs. Cote d'Ivoire 2-1 Underdog Over (2.5)
D Italy vs. Uruguay (+175) 1-0 Underdog Under (2.5)
D Costa Rica vs. England 0-0 Draw (+330) Under (2.5)


Wednesday, June 25
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
E Honduras vs. Switzerland - - -
E Ecuador vs. France - - -
F Nigeria vs. Argentina - - -
F Bosnia vs. Iran - - -


Thursday, June 26
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
G United States vs. Germany - - -
G Portugal vs. Ghana - - -
H South Korea vs. Belgium - - -
H Algeria vs. Russia -

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday's Group H Play

June 25, 2014


South Korea vs. Belgium (ESPN, 4:00 p.m. ET)

Sportsbook.ag. Line
Belgium -140, South Korea +350, Tie +295
Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (Over -105, Under -125)

Group H play concludes on Thursday with heavily-favored Belgium needing only a draw with desperate South Korea to win the group.

South Korea was pummeled 4-2 versus Algeria in their most recent game, but still have a mathematical chance at advancement due to a 1-1 tie earned in the tournament opener. But the Taeguk Warriors need to beat the Red Devils by at least three goals and hope that Russia beats Algeria in a game played simultaneously with this one. Belgium, which won both of its matches so far (2-1 versus Algeria and 1-0 over Russia), needs only a draw to assure themselves of being the group champion, and a they could still take Group H with a loss combined with an Algeria defeat or draw.

South Korea held the possession advantage against both Russia (52% to 48%) and Algeria (54% to 46%), but has been outshot 31-19 in the World Cup, including 18-12 in shots on goal. They didn't attempt a single shot during the first half of their loss to Algeria. The Taeguk Warriors have been very disciplined this tournament with only one offsides call and just 20 fouls committed, compared to 31 fouls for their opponents. However, South Korea has amassed five yellow cards already with defenseman Lee Yong and midfielder Han Kookyoung picking up cards versus Algeria to join forward Son Heung-min and midfielders Ki Sung-yueng and Koo Ja-Cheol all getting booked in the World Cup opener. Hueng-min and Ja-Cheol were the goal scorers versus Algeria and will try to spend most of their time in the Belgium half of the field for a Taeguk Warriors team desperate to tally at least three goals on Thursday.

Belgium has a pedestrian three goals in two World Cup matches -- all from substitute players (midfielders Marouane Fellaini, Dries Mertens and forward Divock Origi), but they have created several great chances with 27 total shots, and 17 of those winding up on net. The Red Devils have also held a possession advantage in each game, with 65% possession versus Algeria and 53% against Russia. But they have also been extremely dangerous with their challenges with 34 fouls and three yellow cards issued to midfielder Axel Witsel and defensemen Toby Alderweireld and Jan Vertonghen. But Belgium's defense remains top-notch, with the only goal allowed this tournament coming off a penalty kick as the result of Vertonghen's silly decision to grab his opponent by the arm in the box. Center back Vincent Kompany was able to play through a groin injury in the last match, and is virtually 100 percent healthy for Thursday. As the leader of his team's great counter-attack, Kompany will play a big role in determining the fate of Group H.

Algeria vs. Russia (ESPN2, 4:00 p.m. ET)

Sportsbook.ag. Line
Russia +120, Algeria +220 Tie +237
Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (Over +130, Under -158)

Algeria and Russia both wrap up Group H play on Thursday in a match where the winner has a great chance to advance to the knockout round.

After losing a late lead in a 2-1 defeat to Belgium in its World Cup opener, Algeria stormed back for a 4-2 victory over South Korea to pick up a crucial three points. Russia was able to earn only a 1-1 draw with South Korea to begin the tournament, and a subsequent 1-0 loss to Belgium has Russia needing a victory to have any chance to advance to the Round of 16 for the first time ever. Algeria knows that a win plus a Belgium loss to South Korea will put them in first place in Group H, but a tie on Thursday should also send them through for the first time ever, unless the unlikely scenario occurs where South Korea beats a favored Belgium squad by at least three goals. The only injury concern for either team is whether or not Russia defenseman Aleksandr Kozlov can play after suffering an injury versus Belgium.

Algeria failed to score a goal in the entire 2010 World Cup, but coach Vahid Halilhodzic's club already has five tallies in its first two matches in this tournament. The team's penalty-kick goal by midfielder Sofiane Feghouli was its only shot on goal versus Belgium in a match where they attempted just three total shots, but was much more aggressive against South Korea with 15 shots on goal, eight shots on net, and four shots in net by four different players (forward Islam Slimani, defenseman Rafik Halliche and midfielders Abdelmoumene Djabou and Yacine Brahimi). And after being dominated in possession by Belgium (65% to 35%), Algeria held the ball 46% of the time versus South Korea. Although Algeria has been very physical in this tournament with 34 fouls, they have picked up only two yellow cards with midfielder Nabil Bentaleb in the opener and defender Madjid Bougherra in the most recent match.

With Russia needing a victory for a chance at advancement, expect Fabio Capello's squad to be much more aggressive in this match. But it's all about finishing for this team that has attempted a solid 29 total shots, with 16 of those on goal, so far in the tournament. But only Alexander Kerzhakov was able to find the back of the net for Russia in the World Cup when he was inside the goalie box after a failed clearing attempt by South Korea hit Russia's Andrey Eshchenko in the chest and landed right on Kerzhakov's foot for an easy goal. Russia's defense has played pretty well too with only two goals allowed. One of those tallies came at the 88-minute mark by Belgium, while the other occurred in the opening match when Russia goalie Igor Akinfeev let a seemingly harmless South Korea shot go right through his hands. Russia has lost time of possession in both of its matches, but only by small margins (52% to 48% and 53% to 47%). Russia has also been disciplined enough to not get whistled for any offsides, and have committed only 24 fouls so far, incluidng a pair of yellow cards to midfielders Oleg Shatov and Denis Glushakov.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday's Group G Play

June 25, 2014


United States vs. Germany (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Sportsbook.ag. Line
Germany -144, United States +650, Tie +125
Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (Over -109, Under -120)

After letting a chance to win Group G slip away with a goal allowed in the 95th minute, the United States and Germany are still in the driver's seat to advance to the next round when the two clubs meet on Thursday.

The Americans nearly had their second straight 2-1 victory to open the tournament, but a horrendous giveaway in midfield by Michael Bradley allowed Portugal to score the equalizer on the last kick of the game. Germany also had a chance to clinch the group, but had to settle for a 2-2 draw with heavy underdog Ghana. Both teams will advance on Thursday with a tie, and Germany (+4 goal differential) will likely get through to the Round of 16 even with a loss to the Americans.

The United States could also lose and get through with a Ghana/Portugal tie or a Portugal win by less than three goals. But if the U.S. loses and Ghana wins by at least two goals, the Americans would be sent home. The United States will still be missing starting striker Jozy Altidore, who is likely finished for the 2014 World Cup because of a left hamstring injury. The head coach of the Americans knows this German side very well, as Jurgen Klinsmann has both played and coached Germany in past World Cups.

The Americans have been led by forward Clint Dempsey, who scored a goal in the first 30 seconds of the tournament opener, broke his nose later that game, and also scored at the 81st minute against Portugal with what looked to be the game-winner at the time. John Brooks Jr. and Jermaine Jones have the club's other two goals in the World Cup.

USA has been outshot badly in this tournament by a combined total of 41-23, but are an even 17-17 in terms of shots on goal with nine corner kicks compared to 11 for their opponents. The Americans have also lost the time of possession in both matches, holding the ball for only 40% of the time versus Ghana and 48% of the time versus Portugal.

But the United States has been whistled for only 23 fouls and two offsides in the World Cup and their only booked player was Jones picking up a yellow card versus Portugal. It will be interesting to see how star midfielder Michael Bradley bounces back from a match in which he failed to score a point-blank opportunity with the goalie out of net (his shot was blocked by a Portugal defender) and turned the ball over in the final minute to allow Portugal to force a tie. But the U.S. has to be confident in the play of goalie Tim Howard, who has made some brilliant saves this tournament, especially versus Portugal.

Germany has scored six times in the World Cup with Thomas Muller netting half of those goals against Portugal. Muller, who also has an assist during the tournament, has eight goals in eight career World Cup matches.

Mats Hummels, Mario Gotze and Miroslav Klose have the other tallies for the Germans, with Klose's tally marking his 15th career World Cup goal, which ties Ronaldo for the all-time record. Germany possessed the ball for 54% of the time versus Portugal and 59% of the time versus Ghana, and hold an 11-9 edge in corner kicks on their opponents.

But Germany has been outshot by a hefty 34-24 margin in total shots for the tournament (19-15 in shots on goal). With the Germans needing only a tie to win this group, expect them to employ a more defensive game plan on Thursday.

Portugal vs. Ghana (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Sportsbook.ag. Line
Portugal +135, Ghana +177, Tie +260
Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (Over +155, Under -188)

Group G play of the 2014 World Cup wraps up on Thursday afternoon with Portugal and Ghana both needing a win and some help to push through to the Round of 16.

Portugal is quite a longshot to advance due to their minus-4 goal differential, but if they can beat Ghana 3-0 and have Germany beat the United States by a 2-0 margin, they will advance to the knockout stage. Ghana would only need to win 2-0 over Portugal plus a 1-0 Germany victory over the U.S. to reach the Round of 16.

Both of these clubs are coming off somewhat surprising draws, as Portugal needed a goal in the 95th minute versus the United States to keep its chances intact of advancing, while Ghana played heavily-favored Germany to a 2-2 draw in its last match. Ghana's Michael Essien is unlikely to start again due to his lingering toe injury, but Portugal should see an improvement on their back line with the return of Pepe who missed the last game after his silly head-butt to Germany's Thomas Muller.

Portugal, referred to as Seleccao, saw star Cristiano Ronaldo play a horrible match versus the US due largely to a lingering knee injury, but he still found a way to serve a perfect cross to the head of Silvestre Varela in the final minute of stoppage time to help his team earn a draw and keep small hopes alive for moving on in this tournament. Nani opened the scoring in that epic draw with an easy goal five minutes in off a horrible clear by the American defender.

Although Portugal carries a minus-4 goal differential due to getting waxed 4-0 by Germany in the World Cup Opener, the team has outshot both of its opponents, holding a 20-15 total shots advantage over the U.S. after outshooting Germany 14-13. But of Seleccao's 34 shots in the World Cup, only 18 have been on net. Portugal has also been pretty even in ball possession, holding a slim 52% to 48% advantage over the Americans after allowing the Germans to have a 54% possession.

Ghana, known as The Black Stars, really put the pressure on the Germans in their last match with 20 total shots, including 10 on goal. Germany attempted only 11 shots with six on goal. That gives Ghana 41 total shots (18 on goal) for the tournament while limiting their opponents to a paltry 19 total shots (13 on goal). Ghana's 4-3-3 formation and excellent goaltending by Fatau Dauda could cause trouble for Portugal's erratic attack.

The Black Stars did lose possession time to Germany by a substantial 59% to 41% margin, which was just the opposite of their first game when they held the ball 60% of the time versus the Americans. But Ghana has played extremely rough in this tournament with 27 fouls and three yellow cards. Two of those cards went to midfielder Sulley Muntari's whose booking in the 94th minute of the battle of Germany will earn him a one-game suspension. Midfielder Mohammed Rabiu also has to be careful not to pick up another yellow card like he did in that first match.

Ghana's lone goal of their first match came at the 82nd minute from Andre Ayew, assisted by Asamoah Gyan on a sweet back-heel pass. This duo was at it again versus Germany with one goal each -- Ayew tallying at the 54th minute, and Gyan scoring nine minutes later.

 

[CNOTES]

WCup Round of 16 Odds

June 27, 2014


Explanation of Odds:

Three-Way Lines for Soccer include options for Team A, Team B, or a Draw. This wager is based on the first 90 minutes of play and any extra time added for injuries and substitution. If the game is tied after this period, the winning wager is the DRAW. Otherwise, the winning wager will be either Team A or Team B depending on the result.

The 90 minutes of play also relates to totals. If a game is tied 1-1 after 90 minutes, the UNDER would be deemed a winning wager. Any goals scored thereafter would not for or against the total listed.

Team to Advance Odds include options for Team A or Team B only. This wager is based on the first 90 minutes plus the extra time (two 15-minute halves) and penalty kicks if necessary. The odds for favorites are higher in this bet and lower for underdogs.

Odds provided by Sportsbook.ag

Saturday, June 28

Brazil vs. Chile (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Brazil -188
Chile +450
Tie +350
Over 2.5 (-153)
Under 2.5 (+125)

Team to Advance Odds:
Brazil -400
Chile +270

Colombia vs. Uruguay (ABC, 4:00 p.m. ET)

Colombia -120
Uruguay +325
Tie +270
Over 2.5 (+115)
Under 2.5 (-144)

Team to Advance Odds:
Colombia -240
Uruguay +180

Sunday, June 29, 2014

Netherland vs. Mexico (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Netherlands -105
Mexico +270
Tie +260
Over 2.5 (-105)
Under 2.5 (-129)

Team to Advance Odds:
Netherlands -200
Mexico +160

Costa Rica vs. Greece (ESPN, 4:00 p.m. ET)

Costa Rica +125
Greece +225
Tie +225
Over 2.5 (+205)
Under 2.5 (-250)

Team to Advance Odds:
Costa Rica -155
Greece +125

Monday, June 30, 2014

France vs. Nigeria (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

France -222
Nigeria +500
Tie +350
Over 2.5 (-114)
Under 2.5 (-114)

Team to Advance Odds:
France -450
Nigeria +300

Germany vs. Algeria (ESPN, 4:00 p.m. ET)

Germany -344
Algeria +750
Draw +450
Over 2.5
Under 2.5

Team to Advance Odds:
Germany -790
Algeria +550

Tuesday, July 1, 2014

Argentina vs. Switzerland (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Argentina -204
Switzerland +500
Tie +350
Over 2.5 (-129)
Under 2.5 (even)

Team to Advance Odds:
Argentina -450
Switzerland +300

Belgium vs. United States (ESPN, 4:00 p.m. ET)

Belgium -125
USA +290
Draw +260
Over 2.5
Under 2.5

Team to Advance Odds:
Belgium -215
United States +180

Updated Future Odds to win the 2014 World Cup (6/30/14)

Brazil 3/1
Germany 4/1
Argentina 4/1
Netherlands 6/1
France 7/1
Belgium 15/1
Colombia 18/1
Mexico 22/1
Chile 25/1
Uruguay 30/1
USA 40/1
Costa Rica 40/1
Greece 80/1
Switzerland 80/1
Nigeria 200/1
Algeria 200/1

 

[CNOTES]

2014 World Cup Results

June 26, 2014

Betting Results

Group Stages
Wager Results
Favorites-Underdogs 28-11
Draws 9
Over-Under 28-18-2
Group Stages

Thursday, June 12
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
A Croatia vs. Brazil (-350) 3-1 Favorite Over (2.5)

Friday, June 13
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
A Mexico (+130) vs. Cameroon 1-0 Favorite Under (2)
B Spain vs. Netherlands (+360) 5-1 Underdog Over (2)
B Chile (-250) vs. Australia 3-1 Favorite Over (2.5)

Saturday, June 14
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
C Colombia (-120) vs. Greece 3-0 Favorite Over (2.5)
C Cote d' Ivoire (+165) vs. Japan 2-1 Favorite Over (2.5)
D Uruguay vs. Costa Rica (+785) 3-1 Underdog Over (2.5)
D England vs. Italy (+215) 2-1 Underdog Over (2.5)

Sunday, June 15
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
E Switzerland (+130) vs. Ecuador 2-1 Favorite Over (2.5)
E France (-350) vs. Honduras 3-0 Favorite Over (2.5)
F Argentina (-400) vs. Bosnia 2-1 Favorite Push (3)

Monday, June 16
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
F Iran vs. Nigeria 0-0 Draw (+250) Under (2.5)
G Germany (+115) vs. Portugal 4-0 Favorite Over (2.5)
G Ghana vs. United States (+180) 2-1 Underdog Over (2.5)

Tuesday, June 17
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
H Belgium (-400) vs. Algeria 2-1 Favorite Over (2.5)
H Russia vs. South Korea 1-1 Draw (+260) Under (2.5)
A Brazil vs. Mexico 0-0 Draw (+400) Under (2.5)

Wednesday, June 18
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
A Cameroon vs. Croatia (-160) 4-0 Favorite Over (2.5)
B Spain vs. Chile (+450) 2-0 Underdog Under (3)
B Australia vs. Netherlands (-450) 3-2 Favorite Over (3)

Thursday, June 19
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
C Colombia (+105) vs. Cote d'Ivoire 2-1 Favorite Over (2.5)
C Japan vs. Greece 0-0 Draw (+275) Under (2.5)
D Uruguay (+285) vs. England 2-1 Underdog Over (2.5)

Friday, June 20
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
D Italy vs. Costa Rica (+525) 1-0 Underdog Under (2.5)
E Switzerland vs. France (-130) 5-2 Favorite Over (2.5)
E Honduras vs. Ecuador (-165) 2-1 Favorite Over (2.5)

Saturday, June 21
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
F Argentina (-850) vs. Iran 1-0 Favorite Under (3)
F Nigeria (+350) vs. Bosnia 1-0 Underdog Under (2.5)
G Germany vs. Ghana 2-2 Draw (+475) Over (3)

Sunday, June 22
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
G United States vs. Portugal 2-2 Draw (+300) Over (2.5)
H Belgium (+120) vs. Russia 1-0 Favorite Under (2.5)
H South Korea vs. Algeria (+200) 4-2 Underdog Over (2)

Monday, June 23
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
A Cameroon vs. Brazil (-900) 4-1 Favorite Over (3.5)
A Croatia vs. Mexico (-160) 3-1 Favorite Over (2.5)
B Australia vs. Spain (-300) 3-0 Favorite Push (3)
B Netherlands (+150) vs. Chile 2-0 Favorite Under (2.5)

Tuesday, June 24
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
C Japan vs. Colombia (+110) 4-1 Favorite Over (2.5)
C Greece (+315) vs. Cote d'Ivoire 2-1 Underdog Over (2.5)
D Italy vs. Uruguay (+175) 1-0 Underdog Under (2.5)
D Costa Rica vs. England 0-0 Draw (+330) Under (2.5)

Wednesday, June 25
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
E Honduras vs. Switzerland (-220) 3-0 Favorite Over (2.5)
E Ecuador vs. France 0-0 Draw (+325) Under (3)
F Nigeria vs. Argentina (-240) 3-2 Favorite Over (2.5)
F Bosnia (+120) vs. Iran 3-1 Favorite Over (2.5)

Thursday, June 26
Group Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
G United States vs. Germany (-145) 1-0 Favorite Under (2.5)
G Portugal (-285) vs. Ghana 2-1 Favorite Under (3.5)
H South Korea vs. Belgium (-125) 1-0 Favorite Under (2.5)
H Algeria vs. Russia 1-1 Draw (+150) Under (2.5)


Round of 16
Saturday, June 28
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
Brazil vs. Chile - - -
Colombia vs. Uruguay - - -

Sunday, June 29
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
Netherlands vs. Mexico - - -
Costa Rica vs. Greece - - -

Monday, June 30
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
France vs. Nigeria - - -
Germany vs. Algeria - - -

Tuesday, July 1
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
Argentina vs. Switzerland - - -
Belgium vs. United States - - -


Quarterfinals
Friday, July 4
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
TBA - - -
TBA - - -

Saturday, July 5
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
TBA - - -
TBA - - -


Semifinals
Tuesday, July 8
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
TBA - - -

Wednesday, July 9
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
TBA - - -


Third Place & Championship

Saturday, June 12
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
TBA - - -

Sunday, July 13
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
TBA - -

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday's WCup Tips

June 27, 2014

Brazil vs. Chile (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Saturday is all about the South Americans. Two matches, four teams, and all from the host continent. It promises to be quite a day of soccer.

First up, Brazil play Chile at the Estadio Mineirão in Belo Horizonte. This looks like a wonderful match-up. Brazil have been far from convincing in the tournament so far. They were indebted to a dreadful refereeing decision to get them victory over Croatia in their first game, and then were unable to break down Mexico in a 0-0 draw. Even against Cameroon, a game they eventually won 4-1, there were moments when the Brazil back-line looked very shaky.

It has often been said, I think rightly, that Brazil beat teams on moments, rather than flow. So instead of having an individual style that is identified with the team, like Spain do, Brazil rely on moments of magic to win games. Now, those moments come from Neymar. In the past, it has been Ronaldo, Ronaldinho and Zico.

Chile have been hugely impressive so far, and they play with a relentless energy that makes them hugely appealing on the eye. The defence is leaky, and very very small. It is easy to see Chile having much the better of the game, but losing thanks to a header from a corner.

Brazil are 51/100 with sportsbook.ag to win the game in 90 minutes, and 1/4 in the Qualify from Tie market. These look far too short, and I feel Chile are the value for this match. They are 19/4 to win the game in 90 minutes, and 27/10 to qualify. However I’d prefer to back them in the handicap markets, where they Chile +1 is 7/5. Chile are the best team Brazil have faced so far, and I really would be amazed if we saw a thrashing.

In the first goalscorer market, even at a price as short as 7/2, Neymar looks tempting. He has shown that the unimaginable pressure on his shoulders does not affect him adversely. Some of his finishes have been fantastic. He seems to thrive off responsibility, and the fact that he is not the main man at Barcelona may go some way to explaining why he has has disappointed a bit in his first season. At the Nou Camp, Messi is king, not Neymar.

Top Bets: Chile -1 at 7/5, Neymar to score first at 7/2

Colombia vs. Uruguay (ABC, 4:00 p.m. ET)

Colombia meet Uruguay in the second All-South American game on Saturday. What an occasion it will be at the Maracana. Both sides will be fantastically supported, and the atmosphere will be electric.

Colombia have put in three excellent performances so far at this World Cup. They won all three group games, scoring nine goals in the process. They showed just how little they miss Falcao; in fact, his absence allows them to play one up front, and it arguably strengthens Jose Pekerman’s side. James Rodriguez, used in a central role, has been possibly the Player of the Tournament so far.

In all the controversy surrounding Luis Suarez’s serial biting, Uruguay’s achievement in turning round their tournament from losing 3-1 to Costa Rica in their opening match has been overlooked somewhat. Both wins against Italy and Uruguay were typically Uruguayan: belligerent, brave and resolute. They are the eternal underdog, despite their great history in the World Cup.

While it is tempting to foresee another heroic Uruguayan display in adversity, Tabarez’s side will miss Suarez terribly. Edinson Cavani has been playing a kind of ‘advanced destroyer’ role at this World Cup, leaving Suarez the only real source of magic. They throw in the odd atrocious performance, and their indiscipline often costs them. If Colombia make a good start, Uruguay could unravel. They rely a bit too much on keeping it tight early on.

Colombia are the 91/100 favourites, and this price has shortened a lot since it was confirmed that Suarez would miss the rest of the World Cup. I still think there’s some value to be had. Colombia’s focus did not waver in their 4-1 win over Japan in a meaningless match, and they just look much better than Uruguay. In Juan Cuadrado they have a great winger, and Teofilo Gutierrez and Jackson Martinez are two fine options up front.

A draw is 27/10, with a Uruguay win in 90 minutes 59/20. In the ‘Qualify From Tie’ market, Colombia are 5/11 and Uruguay 17/10.

Top Bet: Colombia to win at 91/100

 

[CNOTES]

Round of 16 - Best Bets

June 27, 2014

The group stages of the World Cup are over. Half the teams still harbour hopes of being victorious in Rio on July 13th, while the other half have boarded the plane home, their hopes gone for another four years. The knockout stages of the tournament is where heroes are made. This is where it gets really interesting.

The real story of the World Cup so far has been the success of the South American teams, and the comparative failure of the Europeans. Brazil and Argentina both eased through their groups, while Chile and Colombia have fully lived up to their billing as potential surprise packages. Uruguay, after a shock 3-1 defeat to Costa Rica in the opening round, responded in typically belligerent style to record wins over Italy and England to go through, though not without serious controversy.

Four European teams, with six World Cups between them, have gone out at the first stage: Italy, England, Portugal and Spain. England simply weren't good enough, Italy were let down by one awful performance against Costa Rica, while Portugal’s exit was partly attributable to indiscipline, group rivals who exceeded expectations, and the lack of fitness of Cristiano Ronaldo. I predicted that Spain would find out that their style no longer worked, but I was amazed at quite how brutal their exit was.

My original major tip was Argentina and, despite three rather flawed performances, I am going to stick with Alejandro Sabella’s side. The team that wins the World Cup is rarely the team that starts best; rather, it is the team that gradually improves as the tournament goes on. I have drawn great encouragement from the fact that, despite struggling for periods, they won all three games. Winning when not at your best is perhaps the most important characteristic of a successful team.

And they have Lionel Messi who, luckily for fans, has turned up in his full majesty for this tournament. He has four goals already, two of which were absolutely crucial in securing wins. His performances have made up for disappointing contributions so far from Sergio Aguero and Gonzalo Higuain. Aguero is now out of the rest of the tournament with an injury.

They are in by far the easiest half of the draw. After facing Switzerland in the last 16, they meet either Belgium or the USA in the quarter-finals, with a likely meeting with the Netherlands in the semis. They cannot meet any of France, Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Germany until the final, and play all of their games at reasonable times and in moderate conditions. At 4/1 I’m happy to have a top up on the Argentines.

At 3/1, Brazil seem much less appealing. They face Chile in the last 16, who are very hard to set up against. They play a formation (a sort of 3-4-1-2 with two wide forwards - told you it was odd) which no-one else in world football uses, and their relentless pressing means teams often struggle to get into a rhythm against them. Brazil’s usually sound defence has had some moments of real slackness so far, and Chile could punish them.

Even if they get past Chile, they would probably play Colombia, followed by either France or Germany. And that’s before the final - 3/1 is far too short.

I may have underestimated Germany, but I still feel they are to be swerved at 4/1. They only put in one truly excellent performance in the group stage and even in that, a 4-0 win over Portugal, their opponents had 10 men and had given up for half the match. Their three games have been played in the north-eastern cities of Fortaleza, Salvador and Recife, all played in ferociously hot temperatures. This will surely have taken the edge of Joachim Löw’s side, and I wonder how their stamina will hold for the knockout rounds.

France have been one of the teams of the tournament so far. Robbed of Franck Ribéry through injury, Les Bleus have shown they have an abundance of talent behind him. Mathieu Valbuena is a wonderfully gifted little midfielder who pulls the strings, while Karim Benzema, after a dreadful Euro 2012, has looked in fine form. They will surely beat Nigeria in the last 16, setting up a potential clash with Germany in the quarter-final. What a game that could be.

France are superb, but they may have peaked a little early and, while I’d back them to get to the semi-finals, I’d be wary of backing them if they were to face Brazil or Argentina. 7/1 seems about right.

This does not look like a vintage Netherlands side, but they won all three games in a very tough group, and have been given a delightfully kind path to the semi-finals. They face Mexico, before playing the winner of Costa Rica v Greece, two teams predicted to finish bottom of their groups. In Arjen Robben and Robin van Persie they have two geniuses, but they look too short of quality elsewhere to justify quotes of 11/2.

Colombia put in three really good performances to win Group C. Most encouraging of all was a 4-1 win over Japan, when they had already qualified. Attacking midfielder James Rodriguez has possibly been the player of the tournament so far. The suspension for Luis Suarez has pushed them into around 1/1 to beat Uruguay in the last 16, after which they have been drawn against either Chile or hosts Brazil. Despite a hard draw, it is hard to ignore 18/1 on a team that was second to none in the group stages.

I’m still not convinced by Belgium at 15/1, and I think they have a really tough draw as they take on the USA, who are 40/1 to win it. Chile are 30/1, but their defence just looks that little bit too flawed for them to be a realistic winner.

Top Bets: Argentina to win the World Cup at 4/1, Colombia to win the World Cup at 18/1

 

[CNOTES]

WCup Round of 16 Odds

June 27, 2014


Explanation of Odds:

Three-Way Lines for Soccer include options for Team A, Team B, or a Draw. This wager is based on the first 90 minutes of play and any extra time added for injuries and substitution. If the game is tied after this period, the winning wager is the DRAW. Otherwise, the winning wager will be either Team A or Team B depending on the result.

The 90 minutes of play also relates to totals. Ex. If a game is tied 1-1 after 90 minutes, the UNDER (2.5) would be deemed a winning wager. Any goals scored thereafter would not for or against the total listed.

Team to Advance Odds include options for Team A or Team B only. This wager is based on the first 90 minutes plus the extra time (two 15-minute halves) and penalty kicks if necessary. The odds for favorites are higher in this bet and lower for underdogs.

Saturday, June 28

Brazil vs. Chile (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Brazil -188
Chile +450
Tie +350
Over 2.5 (-153)
Under 2.5 (+125)

Team to Advance Odds:
Brazil -400
Chile +270

Colombia vs. Uruguay (ABC, 4:00 p.m. ET)

Colombia -120
Uruguay +325
Tie +270
Over 2.5 (+115)
Under 2.5 (-144)

Team to Advance Odds:
Colombia -240
Uruguay +180

Sunday, June 29, 2014

Netherland vs. Mexico (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Netherlands -105
Mexico +270
Tie +260
Over 2.5 (-105)
Under 2.5 (-129)

Team to Advance Odds:
Netherlands -200
Mexico +160

Costa Rica vs. Greece (ESPN, 4:00 p.m. ET)

Costa Rica +125
Greece +225
Tie +225
Over 2.5 (+205)
Under 2.5 (-250)

Team to Advance Odds:
Costa Rica -155
Greece +125

Monday, June 30, 2014

France vs. Nigeria (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

France -222
Nigeria +500
Tie +350
Over 2.5 (-114)
Under 2.5 (-114)

Team to Advance Odds:
France -450
Nigeria +300

Germany vs. Algeria (ESPN, 4:00 p.m. ET)

Germany -344
Algeria +750
Draw +450
Over 2.5
Under 2.5

Team to Advance Odds:
Germany -790
Algeria +550

Tuesday, July 1, 2014

Argentina vs. Switzerland (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Argentina -204
Switzerland +500
Tie +350
Over 2.5 (-129)
Under 2.5 (even)

Team to Advance Odds:
Argentina -450
Switzerland +300

Belgium vs. United States (ESPN, 4:00 p.m. ET)

Belgium -125
USA +290
Draw +260
Over 2.5
Under 2.5

Team to Advance Odds:
Belgium -215
United States +180

Updated Future Odds to win the 2014 World Cup (6/30/14)

Brazil 3/1
Germany 4/1
Argentina 4/1
Netherlands 6/1
France 7/1
Belgium 15/1
Colombia 18/1
Mexico 22/1
Chile 25/1
Uruguay 30/1
USA 40/1
Costa Rica 40/1
Greece 80/1
Switzerland 80/1
Nigeria 200/1
Algeria 200/1

 

[CNOTES]

World Cup Game of the Day: Brazil vs. Chile


Brazil vs. Chile (-175, +525, Draw +333)

Chile has lofty aspirations heading into Saturday's World Cup second-round match with host Brazil. But in order to advance to the round of eight for the first time since reaching the semifinals as the host nation 52 years ago, the upstart Chileans will need to do something they haven't done in their storied history - beat the Brazilians on their own turf. Chile rode victories over Australia and Spain to a spot in the final 16 before losing to the Netherlands.

The Brazilians cruised to first place in Group A, earning victories over Croatia and Cameroon and settling for a goalless draw against a game Mexican side. Yet, while the hosts appear to be the team to beat the rest of the way, Chile doesn't plan to be a pushover. "Brazil has often been Chile's nemesis but football changes, new generations come and new players appear," Chile midfielder Arturo Vidal said. "We've beaten (Spain), so we can beat Brazil."

TV: 12 p.m. ET, ABC

WORLD RANKINGS: Brazil: No. 3; Chile: No. 14.

INJURY REPORT: Brazil: None; Chile: None.

WHAT THE SHARPS SAY: "Visiting Brazil has not been kind to Chile in the past, in the last 26 games, Brazil have won 25 and drawn 1. The Selecao may not have impressed everyone so far in this competition, but we should expect to see them go from strength to strength. Some will argue Chile were rather fortunate to beat Australia and have only qualified due to Spain's abysmal campaign. We'll see who comes out the Victory on Sunday night." Covers Experts' Footy Tipster

WAG WAR: Bruna Marquezine, girlfriend of Brazil star Neymar, vs. Daniela Aranguiz, wife of Chile forward Jorge Valdivia.



ABOUT BRAZIL: The home team is loaded with talent, but it's clear to everyone on both sides of Saturday's matchup that Neymar is the key to their continued success. The world-class star shares the World Cup lead with four goals while leading the team in shots (11) and shot assists (six). The bigger concern for the Brazilians is ensuring that Neymar keeps it clean against the Chileans; he and Thiago Silva both have one yellow card, and a second would result in an untimely one-game suspension.

ABOUT CHILE: An opponent as creative and fundamentally sound as the Brazilians is dangerous enough - but the hosts may have a decided advantage in another area, and that has to concern the Chilean side. Chile has won less than 41 percent of its header matchups so far in the tournament, while Brazil enters the knockout stage having prevailed in better than 68 percent of its aerial showdowns. With 28 of 136 group-stage goals coming via the header, don't be surprised if a well-placed redirection decides this one.

TWEET BEAT:



TRENDS:

* Brazil has beaten Chile three times in as many World Cup meetings, with each one taking place in the knockout stage.
* Chile has dropped back-to-back second-round games at the World Cup, losing by a combined score of 7-1.
* Brazil is 8-1-1 all-time in World Cup matches against continental rivals.
* Chile has lost 20 games and drawn six on Brazilian soil.

 

[CNOTES]

World Cup 2014 knockout betting: Colombia vs. Uruguay


Colombia vs. Uruguay (June 28)



Two South American nations go head-to-head in the round of 16 as Group C winners Colombia face off against the Group D runners up, Uruguay.

Colombia have enjoyed a sensational World Cup campaign so far, winning all three of their group games. That has included nine goals scored, four of which came in their demolition of Japan in their final Group C fixture.

Uruguay’s qualification has been slightly more controversial. After a poor start to their campaign, losing 3-1 to Costa Rica, Luis Suarez returned and fired two past England in a dramatic 2-1 win, before beating the Italians 1-0.

However, the striker bit Italian defender Giorgio Chillieni in the following match, which has left his participation in the remainder of the competition in question. FIFA announced a nine game international ban for the Liverpool goal scorer, and the ball is now in Uruguay’s court as to whether they make an appeal or accept Suarez’s suspension.

Colombia are the current favorites on the 1×2 with Pinnacle Sports, with odds offered at 1.980 – an implied probability of 50.51 percent. Uruguay are available at 4.280 (a 23.36 percent chance of an upset), but will do well to beat the Colombians who have covered the spread in all three of their previous games.

During a recent Twitter Q&A, our Head of Sportsbook alluded that Luis Suarez’s absence from this fixture could be worth 0.25 of a goal to the Uruguayans. The current odds on the spread have Colombia as the 1.943 favorites on a -0.5 handicap, leaving bettors with even more of a predicament before placing their bets.

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday's WCup Tips

June 28, 2014

Netherlands vs. Mexico (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

This quarter of the knockout stages of the World Cup is probably the weakest. Netherlands are the favourites, but for Costa Rica, Greece and Mexico it is a fantastic opportunity to get to their first World Cup semi-final.

The first game of the day sees the Netherlands meet Mexico at the Estadio Castelão in Fortaleza. Many tipped the Dutch to be the major big-name flop at this World Cup, but while fellow big-name Europeans Italy, England, Portugal and Spain fell by the wayside in the group stages, Louis van Gaal’s Oranje won all three group games, including a fantastic 5-1 over Spain in the third game of the tournament.

Mexico have gone out at the last 16 stage in each of the last five World Cups, and they will be desperate to go one step further this time. They were hugely impressive in Group A, winning seven points from three games. After managing a 0-0 draw with hosts Brazil, they secured qualification thanks to an excellent 3-1 win over Croatia.

The Netherlands are the 19/20 favourites with sportsbook.ag, and this looks decent enough to back. The Dutch defence has exceeded expectations so far, and in Arjen Robben and Robin van Persie they have two geniuses in the final third. They will also be helped by the fact that van Persie missed their last group game through suspension, and will be fresher for this tie as a result. Mexico are 14/5 to win the match in 90 minutes, while a draw is 13/5.

In the ‘Qualify From Tie’ market, the Netherlands, who have now lost in three finals without ever winning the World Cup, are 20/37, with Mexico 8/5.

One name stands out to me in the first goalscorer market, and it is Arjen Robben, who is quoted at 9/2 to break the deadlock. He has three already this tournament, and his dribbling will really test Mexico defenders who, while able to organise themselves well, are suspect when one-on-one against good dribblers. They aren't very quick either. Robben plays more centrally for the national team than in club football, and I can see him continuing his fine World Cup here. He has shown in the last year and a half that he can turn up in big games, and as one of the most accomplished finishers in the game, seems a great bet at the price offered.

Top Bet: Arjen Robben to score first at 9/2

Costa Rica vs. Greece (ESPN, 4:00 p.m. ET)

The second match of the day and the fourth match of the last 16 is, incredibly, Costa Rica vs Greece. Both sides were favourites to finish bottom of their group, with Costa Rica defying quotes of 50/1 on them winning a tough-looking Group D. These are, on paper, arguably the weakest two sides left in the competition. One of them will end up one game away from the World Cup semi-final, something they could barely have imagined before the tournament started.

Greece did exactly what they did in Euro 2012: after two poor performances, they still found themselves just needing to win their last group game to qualify. And they did just that, defeating the Ivory Coast 2-1 thanks to a last minute penalty from Giorgios Samaras. Amazingly, it was Samaras’s first international goal in two years. He has been a regular up front in that time,

Costa Rica were undoubtedly more impressive in the group stages than Greece, and so have been made favourites at 5/4. Greece are 12/5, with a draw 23/10. This is the shortest price on a draw in any of the last 16 ties.

With the tie likely to go to extra time, it may make more sense to look at the ‘Qualify From Tie’ market, where Greece are 23/20, and Costa Rica 20/27.

I feel Greece may have the edge here. They will need to stay fairly conservative. Even though ‘it’s only Costa Rica’, an attacking strategy simply does not suit Greece’s players. They defend deep, and spring counter-attacks. They have already kept Japan to a 0-0 with ten men, and they shouldn't find Costa Rica much harder to defend against. They have two fine centre-backs, while the three midfielders offer them ample protection.

Don’t expect goals. When Greece won Euro 2004, they won all three knockout games 1-0, beating the holders, the best team and the hosts in quick succession. Under 2.5 goals is strikingly short at 39/100, with over 2.5 at 1/1.

Giorgios Karagounis, at 37 years-old, is still a vital player in Greece’s midfield, connecting defence with attack. This Greek side is very unafraid of shooting, and Karagounis has a powerful shot on him. He constantly pops up with important goals for his country, and you could do a lot worse than backing him to score first at 20/1.

Top Bets: Greece to Qualify at 23/20, Giorgios Karagounis to score first at 20/1

 

[CNOTES]

Top Over team in action Tuesday

Jun 30, 2014

Two teams advanced from the group stage with perfect Over/Under records: Colombia and Switzerland. Both sides were 3-0 O/U heading into the knockout phase and following Colombia's 2-0 win, only Switzerland is left unblemished for Over bettors.

Switzerland's backline looked like, ahem, Swiss cheese versus the French, allowing five goals. But they can score as well. Xherdan Shaqiri scored one of two hattricks in the group stage and they scored seven in their first three matches.

The Swiss take on Argentina Tuesday and Pinnacle Sports has set the goal total market at 2.5 and 3 goals. The Over is currently +110 and the Under is -121.

 

[CNOTES]

World Cup start time helps books build bigger handle on USA-Belgium

Sportsbooks in Nevada and those online welcoming U.S. customers are bracing for what they’re calling “the biggest bet game” of the 2014 World Cup when the United States faces Belgium in the Round of 16 Tuesday.

The United States’ success in Brazil has been a boom for sportsbooks thanks in large part to a growing U.S. soccer market that has cheered – and bet – the USMNT through the group stage and into this elimination showdown.

The Americans come into Tuesday’s action priced as +190 underdogs to advance (Belgium -220) and are +360 pups in the 90-minute odds (Belgium -115, Draw +240), according to the LVH Superbook in Las Vegas. Online, at U.S.-facing book CarbonSports.ag, the USMNT is set as a +260 underdog for the 90-minute market, with Belgium at +110 and a Draw set at +250.

“The action has been really good, like the rest of the USA games,” Michael Stewart of CarbonSports.ag, told Covers Monday morning. “With our customer base, the USA games are going to see way more action than the other matchups.”

The United States’ opening contests in Group G created a “Super Bowl-like atmosphere” in Nevada casinos, where books were flooded with flag-waving bettors backing the Red, White and Blue. According to Las Vegas bookmakers, the USA drew 50 percent more money than its most recent opponent Germany last Thursday.

Tuesday’s match with Belgium is not only expected to draw more money than the United States' final group game due to the do-or-die elimination format but also due to the 4 p.m. ET start time. The United States’ 1-0 loss to Germany was a 12 p.m. ET kickoff, making for a very early morning – 9 a.m. – for Las Vegas soccer bettors. With the Round of 16 contest starting at 1 p.m. in Sin City, books have much more time to build a big handle.

“The handle should be enormous… with the later start time the handle will increase,” Ed Salmons, assistant manager at the LVH Superbook, tells Covers. “It’s hard to say right now (what the increase will be) since 90 percent of the money bet will come in on game day.”

Online books are also expecting a huge spike in action come Tuesday and say that while the later start doesn’t have as much impact with them as it does with Nevada books, they estimate the 4 p.m. ET kickoff will increase the handle on USA-Belgium by 10 percent.

“I would have to say this is our biggest bet game so far and we still have another day before the game, so the action is still coming in and will right through the game with our live betting markets,” says Stewart.

Currently, the LVH Superbook is dealing the United States at 50/1 to win the World Cup while Belgium comes into Tuesday priced at 20/1.

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday's World Cup Tips

June 30, 2014

Argentina vs. Switzerland (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

The last semi-finalist at Brazil 2014 will be made up from one of Argentina, Switzerland, Belgium and USA. Argentina are the strong favourites to make it to the semis, but they will face strong competition.

The first game of the day sees Argentina face Switzerland at the Arena Corinthians in São Paulo. Argentina have been dealt such a kind draw. First they were put in an easy group - they won all three games without ever really convincing. Second they were placed into comfortably the easier half of the draw, and third - their games are all played at moderate temperatures, away from the energy sapping heat of the northern venues.

Switzerland edged past Ecuador first up, before being hammered 5-2 by France, having been 5-0 down at one point. Needing to beat Honduras, Ottmar Hitzfeld’s teams duly obliged with a 3-0 win. Xherdan Shaqiri, Switzerland’s star man, grabbed a hat-trick. A winger, he is a powerfully built player with a vicious shot, but he moves around gracefully and is very underused at Bayern Munich. He will trouble Argentina’s suspect defence.

Argentina are the 1/2 favourites to win the match in normal time with sportsbook.ag. Switzerland are 57/10 shots, with a draw 33/10. The best value here would probably be a draw, just given that three of the six last 16 games so far have gone to extra time, with a fourth (Netherlands v Mexico) coming within about two minutes of a draw. Jose Pekerman’s team are 5/21 to qualify, with Switzerland 33/10.

The team that wins the World Cup is often the one that peaks at the right time, and there is lots to suggest Argentina will do this. They will still be full of energy after a favourable draw, and there was an openness in the Swiss defence in the 5-2 loss to France that will have Messi, Higuain, Lavezzi and Di Maria licking their lips in excitement. I just have a feeling Argentina will really pull their finger out now that the tournament has got serious.

In the first goalscorer market, PSG inside-forward Ezequiel Lavezzi looks a fair shout at 5/1. He replaces the injured Sergio Aguero, and he had enough chances after coming on in the 3-2 win over Nigeria to suggest that he could well be on the scoresheet today. He is a relentlessly hard worker and, despite often playing wide for PSG, the natural fluidity of Argentina’s front three means he will often find himself in goalscoring positions.

Top Bet: Ezequiel Lavezzi to score first at 5/1

Belgium vs. United States (ESPN, 4:00 p.m. ET)

The second game of the day is fascinating. It pits a Belgium side that won 3 out of 3 in the group without ever playing that well, against the USA, who qualified as rank outsiders from a tough-looking Group G.

The interesting thing about this match is that, while Belgium are strong favourites to qualify for the quarter-finals at 20/37, with USA 8/5, Belgium are not blessed with more big game experience than Klinsmann’s men, as is often the case with favourites. Belgium were drawn into an easy group, and their attack has looked poor throughout. Romelu Lukaku has been dreadful up front, while talented midfielders like Axel Witsel and Eden Hazard have failed to make a mark so far.

The USA have been great so far: they put in a thrillingly dogged performance to beat Ghana in that crucial opening match, before being very unlucky to draw 2-2 with Portugal in a game where they dominated long periods. There is a real mental strength to this team, and I think that could be the difference.

Certainly Belgium look too short to back at 1/1, with USA at 13/5. It may be best, however, to bear in mind the high number of draws in the knockout stage so far, along with both sides’ good defences, to back USA to qualify, without having to rely on them doing so in 90 minutes at 8/5.

I would not expect many goals. USA do not have the wingers to exploit Belgium’s alarming lack of full-backs, and both sides will inevitably be nervous. The conditions in Salvador, though tempered somewhat by the darkness, will be hot and sticky. Belgium are not a very fluid side, and 10/13 on One or Both Teams Not to Score looks the best shout.

USA showed how good they can be at the back in limiting Germany to only one in the last group game, while Belgium’s centre-back pairing of Vincent Kompany and Daniel van Buyten has looked steady so far. Van Buyten’s pace can catch him out, but the US don’t have great pace in attack, so he shouldn't be too exposed.

Top Bet: One or Both Teams Not to Score at 10/13

 

[CNOTES]

2014 World Cup Results

June 30, 2014


Round of 16
Saturday, June 28
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
Brazil vs. Chile 1-1 Draw (+375) Under (2.5)
Colombia (-135) vs. Uruguay 2-0 Favorite Under (2.5)


Sunday, June 29
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
Netherlands (+115) vs. Mexico 2-1 Favorite Over (2.5)
Costa Rica vs. Greece 1-1 Draw (+210) Push (2)


Monday, June 30
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
France (-250) vs. Nigeria 2-0 Favorite Under (2.5)
Germany vs. Algeria 0-0 Draw (+500) Under (3)


Tuesday, July 1
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
Argentina vs. Switzerland - - -
Belgium vs. United States - - -


Quarterfinals
Friday, July 4
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
France vs. Germany - - -
Brazil vs. Colombia - - -


Saturday, July 5
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
TBA - - -
Netherlands vs. Costa Rica - - -


Semifinals
Tuesday, July 8
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
TBA - - -


Wednesday, July 9
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
TBA - - -


Third Place & Championship

Saturday, June 12
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
TBA - - -

Sunday, July 13
Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
TBA - - -