Cnotes October College Football Best Bets-Trends-News-Stats !

[CNOTES]

GOY Odds Updated

October 27, 2014


Home team listed on bottom

Week 11

Nov. 8, 2014

Notre Dame +2
Arizona State -2

Alabama -7.5
LSU +7.5

Ohio State +3.5
Michigan State -3.5

Baylor +3
Oklahoma -3

UCLA -8
Washington +8

Week 12

Nov. 15, 2014

South Carolina PK
Florida PK

Auburn +1.5
Georgia -1.5

Nebraska +3
Wisconsin -3

Week 13

Thursday, Nov. 20, 2014

Kansas State PK
West Virginia PK

North Carolina +7
Duke -7

Saturday, Nov. 22, 2014

Stanford -7.5
California +7.5

Wisconsin -8.5
Iowa +8.5

USC +3
UCLA -3

Week 14

Thursday, Nov. 27, 2014

LSU PK
Texas A&M PK

TCU -12
Texas +12

Friday, Nov. 28, 2014

Virginia +3.5
Virginia Tech -3.5

Arkansas PK
Missouri PK

Arizona State +2
Arizona -2

Nebraska -8
Iowa +8

Stanford +2
UCLA -2

Saturday, Nov. 29, 2014

Notre Dame +2.5
USC -2.5

Georgia Tech +17
Georgia -17

Michigan State -13.5
Penn State +13.5

Tennessee -10.5
Vanderbilt +10.5

Auburn +6.5
Alabama -6.5

Mississppi State +3
Ole Miss -3

NC State +9.5
North Carolina -9.5

Michigan +19
Ohio State -19

Oregon -17
Oregon State +17

South Carolina +7
Clemson -7

Washington +2.5
Washington State -2.5

Kansas +27
Kansas State -27

Nevada -7.5
UNLV +7.5

Week 15

Saturday, Dec. 6, 2014

Oklahoma State +17
Oklahoma -17

Kansas State +6.5
Baylor -6.5

 

[CNOTES]

Ducks' Mariota gets more attention

October 27, 2014

Oddsmakers at Sportsbook.ag have updated their odds to win the 2014 Heisman Trophy, which will be presented in New York City on Saturday, Dec. 13, 2014.

Nine weeks of the college football regular season are in the books and the major offshore outfit have narrowed the field to five contenders.

Listed below are the players to watch, their current odds and odds prior to Week 9.

QB Marcus Mariota (Oregon) Odds: 1/2 (Last week 7/5)
He threw his 1st interception of the season last Friday but also had 5 touchdown passes and 326 yards.

QB Dak Prescott (Mississippi State) Odds: 11/4 (Last week 11/4)
Big win at Kentucky. Posted 304 total yards and 3 totals TDs

RB Melvin Gordon (Wisconsin) Odds: 7/1 (Last week 7/1)
122 rushing yards and 3 TDs in easy win over Maryland.

WR Amari Cooper (Alabama) Odds: 15/1 (Last week 18/1)
9 receptions 224 yards 2 TDs against Tennessee.

RB Ameer Abdullah (Nebraska) Odds: 18-1 (Last Week 25/1)
Against Rutgers, 225 rushing yards, 3 TDs (341 all-purpose yards set a school record)

Odds to win 2014 Heisman Trophy (12/13/14)

Marcus Mariota (Oregon) 1/2
Dak Prescott (Mississippi State) 11/4
Melvin Gordon (Wisconsin) 7/1
Amari Cooper (Alabama) 15/1
Everett Golson (Notre Dame) 15/1
Nick Marshall (Auburn) 15/1
Ameer Abdullah (Nebraska) 18/1
JT Barrett (Ohio State) 50/1
Jameis Winston (Florida State) 50/1
Kevin White (WVU) 50/1

 

[CNOTES]

Auburn back to living dangerously

October 26, 2014


AUBURN, Ala. (AP) - The Auburn Tigers didn't pull off another Kick-Six or Immaculate Deflection, but they still seem to have a knack for dramatic victories.

The fourth-ranked Tigers, who lived on the edge much of last season, survived a Hail Mary pass on the last play to hold on for a wild 42-35 victory over South Carolina Saturday night. It was a familiar feeling for Auburn, which now travels to No. 7 Mississippi for the latest SEC West showdown.

It was also the culmination of a game when the Tigers (6-1, 3-1 Southeastern Conference) made costly penalties, gave up five fourth-down conversions and an onside kick and somehow managed to escape with their championship hopes intact.

''We found a way to win games late last year and we still feel that same way about this team,'' Auburn tailback Cameron Artis-Payne said. ''We feel like if it's tight in the fourth quarter we will find a way to win.''

The Tigers couldn't muster a fourth-quarter comeback in a 38-23 road loss to No. 1 Mississippi State but had converted a key third-and-9 play late to help preserve a 20-14 victory at No. 11 Kansas State on Sept. 18.

Last season, Auburn's run to the national title game included late defensive stands, game-winning drives and unforgettable touchdown plays against Alabama (Kick-Six) and Georgia (Immaculate Deflection).

This one wasn't over until Jonathan Jones made his second fourth-quarter interception in the end zone on Dylan Thompson's Hail Mary. Gamecocks coach Steve Spurrier said afterward he intended to go for two points and the victory if the play worked.

The SEC confirmed Sunday that Auburn should have been penalized for having two players with the same jersey number on the field for the play. That would have given South Carolina (4-4, 2-4) a chance to try it again from Auburn's 36 if officials had caught it.

They didn't, and the result was a big stop for a defense that gave up 535 yards and struggled to get off the field.

''It was really important, something that we've been doing for a long time, showing up when we really needed to most,'' said Auburn linebacker Kris Frost, who had a career-high 14 tackles. ''Nothing changed. The big thing is not getting into those positions so you don't have to make those big plays.''

Like the Kansas State game, Auburn went to the air on a key third-and-long play instead of running to ensure the clock kept ticking down and then punting if necessary. Again, quarterback Nick Marshall turned to D'haquille Williams, this time for 10 yards on a third-and-8 play that ensured South Carolina had just over a minute to drive for a potential tying - or winning - touchdown.

''We felt like we needed to try to win the game,'' said Auburn coach Gus Malzahn, who considered passing again on the next third down.

South Carolina must regroup against Tennessee after losing three consecutive SEC games for the first time since the end of the 2009 season.

Gamecocks coach Steve Spurrier kept his team in it with gambles that paid off, including four fourth-down conversions in South Carolina territory and the onside kick. Thompson passed for 402 yards and five touchdowns but was also intercepted three times in or near Auburn's end zone.

''We messed up in the red zone a couple of times or else we had a chance,'' Spurrier said. ''We got the onside kick, so we stole that possession right there, and that gave us a fighting chance. We were only 2-for-5 in red zone chances, and that's the worst we have been all year. That's why we got beat.''

 

[CNOTES]

Sparty not easing up on Michigan

October 26, 2014


EAST LANSING, Mich. (AP) - No matter how easily Michigan State beats Michigan these days, the Spartans always seem to find a reason to feel disrespected.

And the Wolverines always seem to provide one.

Michigan coach Brady Hoke apologized Sunday for his team's stunt the previous afternoon, when the Wolverines drove a tent stake into the ground before kickoff at Spartan Stadium. Michigan State won the game 35-11 - then seized on Michigan's pregame behavior as another example of arrogance by the Wolverines.

''We all saw them throw the stake in the ground,'' Spartans offensive lineman Jack Conklin said. ''I saw them throw it in the ground. It just fueled us. Everyone was angry about it, obviously.''

Hoke issued a public apology Sunday. He said during a team meeting Friday, a tent stake was presented as a symbol in a lesson about commitment and teamwork in a tough environment.

''The stake was brought into our locker room as a visual reminder, and one of our team leaders chose to take it out on the field,'' Hoke said. ''As the leader of our football program, I take full responsibility for the actions of our team. We believe in displaying a high level of respect at the University of Michigan and unfortunately that was not reflected by this action prior to kickoff.''

The weekend as a whole - an emphatic loss followed by an apology to an in-state rival - was another low point for the Wolverines, who have dropped six of seven in this series. Michigan State, meanwhile, held steady at No. 8 in the AP poll and can now set its sights on another huge game in two weeks - at home against No. 13 Ohio State. The Spartans have an open date before then.

''We are eight games in and going into the stretch of November when you have to make a championship run,'' coach Mark Dantonio said.

Michigan State also needs to worry about respect from college football's playoff committee. The Spartans are among several one-loss teams hoping for a spot in the four-team tournament that will determine the national champion. Even if Michigan State wins its remaining games, there's no guarantee the Spartans will make it.

Michigan State's only loss this season was at Oregon, and there's no shame in that. But the Spartans have had a hard time proving themselves in what has been perceived as a disappointing year for the Big Ten. This marquee matchup with Ohio State presents an opportunity.

''We will come down from this and ground ourselves again and get ready to play Ohio State,'' Dantonio said. ''Should be a great football game. We will be fresh.''

One player who could use a breather is Jeremy Langford, who ran for 177 yards and three touchdowns on 35 carries against Michigan. The Spartans outrushed the Wolverines 219-65.

Saturday's game was reasonably similar to Michigan State's victory over Michigan last season, when the final score was 29-6. The Wolverines did score a touchdown this time - the first time they'd managed that against the Spartans since 2011 - but it came late in the fourth quarter.

Then the Spartans drove back themselves and scored a TD with 28 seconds left, and they admitted afterward that it was basically in response to what Michigan did before the game.

''I guess I'm kind of happy they did that, for the younger guys,'' Michigan State defensive end Marcus Rush said. ''It makes them understand a little bit more of what this game was all about.''

 

[CNOTES]

Ole Miss looks forward after LSU stumble

October 26, 2014


BATON ROUGE, La. (AP) - Bo Wallace isn't about to dwell on his first game-losing throw of the season.

Even amid the din that persisted in LSU's Death Valley long after the Tigers' victory-sealing interception, Mississippi's gun-slinging quarterback was calm, clear and succinct in declaring the Rebels' resolve.

''We're ready. We're thinking everybody is going to have one loss now,'' Wallace said of the Southeastern Conference Western Division race. ''We have Auburn coming to our place next week. That's what our mind is on right now.''

Wallace had not thrown an interception in an SEC game all season before LSU safety Ronald Martin stepped in front of his attempted touchdown throw at the 1-yard line with 2 seconds left, securing a 10-7 Tigers triumph on Saturday night.

The result dropped Ole Miss (7-1, 4-1 SEC) from No. 3 to No. 7 in the AP Top 25 poll. LSU (7-2, 3-2) climbed from No. 24 to No. 16 heading into next weekend's open date.

The Rebels knew better than to be stunned by the inspired performance of an old rival. Ole Miss and LSU first played in 1884 and there have been plenty of upsets in the series since then. They've included one as recent as last season, which saw Mississippi all but ruin LSU's shot at a 2013 SEC title.

Last week, the Tigers talked about payback, and the threat hardly seemed idle. LSU looked like a team turning its season around in its previous two games. First, the Tigers pulled out a tight victory at Florida, then delivered their most convincing performance this season with a 41-3 demolition of Kentucky in newly expanded Tiger Stadium.

By the time the Rebels entered Death Valley, LSU's confidence was surging and seemed further buoyed by the Tiger Stadium record-tying crowd of 102,321.

Wallace called Tiger Stadium, ''The craziest place I've played,'' saying the crowd's deafening, chaos-inducing roars were ''absolutely'' a factor as he tried to get his offense lined up for series after series of pressure-packed snaps.

It didn't help that the Rebels were missing some key players as they tried to protect a tenuous lead.

Ole Miss entered the game without starting center Ben Still, then linebacker Denzel Nkemdiche left in the first half with an apparent ankle injury, followed by left tackle Laremy Tunsil with a pulled right bicep in the third quarter. Late in the game, defensive tackle Robert Nkemdiche and safety Cody Prewitt were not on the field, either, though Mississippi did not specify what their injuries were.

''It's difficult each Saturday to win football games, particularly when you may not play your best, and you suffer some injuries you're not used to having and you've got to play some other kids,'' Mississippi coach Hugh Freeze said. ''That hasn't happened to us this year.''

Robert Nkemdiche finished the game with four assisted tackles, none behind the line of scrimmage. Ole Miss did not have a single sack, but didn't have many chances because LSU's Anthony Jennings attempted only 16 passes and scrambled effectively when he was pressured. The Tigers have a deep, powerful running game that only seems to be improving, and they wore the Rebels out by running 55 times for 264 yards.

Still, the Rebels produced two fumble recoveries and two more interceptions - giving them 17 picks this season - and LSU never led until 5:07 remained.

''Our defense gave us a chance to win the game. We just could not manage any points,'' Freeze said, adding that substantial credit was due to LSU's defense, which has allowed only two touchdown drives longer than 9 yards in its last three games.

Ole Miss will now close out its regular season with three more SEC games: at home against Auburn, at Arkansas and then back at home for the Egg Bowl against No. 1 Mississippi State, the only unbeaten team left in the SEC.

Rebels running back Jaylen Walton said it won't be difficult for Ole Miss to bounce back for its high-stakes final stretch.

''Every week is a hard game,'' Walton said. ''So we have to go back to the drawing board and have a better preparation.''

 

[CNOTES]

Hoke apologizes for pregame stake plant

October 26, 2014


EAST LANSING, Mich. (AP) - Michigan coach Brady Hoke has apologized to Michigan State for Wolverines players planting a tent stake in the field at Spartan Stadium before Saturday's game.

No. 8 Michigan State beat Michigan 35-11, the Spartans sixth victory in the last seven games against the Wolverines. Before the game Michigan linebacker Joe Bolden drove a stake into the turf with his teammates gathered around.

Hoke released a statement Sunday apologizing for ''our act of poor sportsmanship.''

Hoke says he spoke with Dantonio Sunday.

He says while trying to motivate his team Friday a tent stake was presented to players as a symbol of teamwork. The stake was brought to the locker room Saturday.

Hoke says: ''As the leader of our football program, I take full responsibility for the actions of our team.''

 

[CNOTES]

Bad Company - Week 10

October 28, 2014

Heading into the first Saturday of November, there are a handful of teams looking to avoid getting routed in conference action. Florida is fresh off the bye week, taking on rival Georgia in Jacksonville, while Kansas is a heavy underdog against an explosive Baylor squad. We’ll start with a battle of two military schools for an early kickoff.

Army (+3 ½) vs. Air Force – 11:30 AM EST

Since outlasting Buffalo in the season opener, Army has failed to cover in five of the past six games. The Black Knights have allowed at least 35 points five times, while getting blown out as a short road favorite against previously winless Kent two weeks ago. The only positive for Army is its running game, which averages 319 yards/game, as the Black Knights have outgained six of their seven opponents on the ground.

Air Force has won four of five, but failed to cover in a 35-31 home victory against New Mexico as seven-point favorites in its previous contest. The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in all three road games, while their lone victory on the highway came against Georgia State, who has won just one game this season. Air Force has dominated this series over the years, grabbing seven of the past eight meetings with Army.

Iowa State (+16 ½) vs. Oklahoma – 12:00 PM EST

The Cyclones are just 2-5 on the season, but ISU has managed a 3-1-1 ATS record as a double-digit underdog. Iowa State’s defense has been ripped up, giving up at least 30 points in six of seven games, including a 48-spot to Texas two weeks ago in a three-point road loss. It will be tough sledding for the ‘Clones on Saturday, as ISU has scored more than 10 points against Oklahoma just once in the past nine meetings, while losing all nine of those games.

The Sooners have dropped two of three since a 4-0 start, pretty much ruining any chance at making the college football playoff this season. Oklahoma has failed to cover three straight games, while coming off a 31-30 home setback to Kansas State two weeks ago. Bob Stoops’ team owns a 15-0 SU and 11-4 ATS record off a defeat since 2009, while amazingly facing Iowa State for the fourth straight season when coming off a loss in the previous game.

Florida (+13) vs. Georgia – 3:30 PM EST

When these two SEC East rivals hook up in Jacksonville annually, the records are thrown out. It’s hard to ignore Florida’s 3-3 mark, as this Gators’ team has lost 10 of its past 13 games dating back to last season. UF is fresh off an embarrassing homecoming loss to Missouri two weeks ago at the Swamp, 42-13, the third loss in the past four games. Since trouncing Eastern Michigan in the opener, the Gators have compiled a 1-4 ATS record, which includes a one-point win in a pick-em spot at Tennessee.

From 2005 through 2010, the Gators took five of six matchups from Georgia. However, the Bulldogs have bounced back the last three seasons with three straight win over Florida. UGA is riding a five-game winning streak since getting stunned at South Carolina, while topping the 34-point mark in all five SEC games this season.

Kansas (+36) at Baylor – 4:00 PM EST

The Jayhawks have been more competitive since the firing of head coach Charlie Weis, covering two of the past three games. Kansas owns a 2-5 record, but lost by 13 at Texas Tech and by 10 to Oklahoma State, as the Jayhawks look to snap a four-game skid to Baylor. The Bears have scored at least 41 points in three of the past four wins over KU, including a 59-14 blowout in Lawrence last season.

Baylor will be in full angry mode after falling at West Virginia two weeks ago, 41-27, while committing 18 penalties. The Bears are playing just their second home game since early September, as Baylor is 4-0-1 ATS in five games as a double-digit favorite this season. Baylor has dominated opponents the last few seasons when laying at least 10 points in Waco, going 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS in this role.

Hawaii (+3) vs. Utah State – 11:00 PM EST

Hawaii’s offense has been anemic all season long, scoring 18 points or less in five of eight games. However, the Warriors have covered four of five home contests, including in losses as an underdog to Washington and Oregon State early in the season. Hawaii hasn’t been as fortunate in the ‘dog role of late, posting an 0-3-1 ATS record when receiving points, while losing at home last week to Nevada as three-point ‘dogs.

Utah State has lost three games this season, while winning back-to-back games off each defeat. The Aggies try to keep that trend alive this week, after losing at Colorado State two weeks ago then beating UNLV last Saturday. The Aggies are favored on the road for the first time this season, while putting together a 1-3 ATS record as a favorite. Since 2012, Utah State owns an impressive 5-1 ATS record in the road favorite role, but has lost three of the past four visits to Honolulu.

 

[CNOTES]

Lookin' Ahead to Week 11

October 28, 2014


There are four monster Week 11 games looming next weekend, with all of them impacting the race to garner invites to the inaugural College Football Playoff. Sportsbook.ag already has lines on these contests, so bettors get down on these games right now.

Check out College Football Odds for Week 11 through Week 15

Alabama at LSU

Let's start with Alabama at LSU in Baton Rouge. The offshore shop has 'Bama installed as a 7.5-point road favorite. After easily getting ahead of the number in a Week 9 win at Tennessee, the Crimson Tide allowed the Volunteers to rally and take the cash as 20-point home underdogs in a 34-20 loss.

Nick Saban's team has struggled badly in road 'chalk' roles recently, limping to a 1-7 spread record in its last eight such spots. Alabama is 0-3 versus the number in three road assignments this year, failing to cover at Ole Miss, at Arkansas and at Tennessee.

LSU has lost three in a row to 'Bama, including last year's 38-17 setback in Tuscaloosa in a game that was much closer than the final score indicated. The Tide covered the spread as an 11-point home favorite.

When these teams collided in Baton Rouge in 2012 with first place in the SEC West at stake, 'Bama won a 21-17 decision thanks to a clutch drive in the final two minutes. With less than a minute remaining on third down inside LSU territory, A.J. McCarron hit T.J. Yeldon on a screen pass with LSU blitzing and the then-freshman running back took it to the house for the game-winning score. The Tigers took the money, however, as 8.5-point underdogs.

With last week's 10-7 win over Ole Miss as a three-point home underdog, LSU improved to 7-2 both straight up and against the spread. The Tigers have won three straight and four of its last five both SU and ATS. During Les Miles's 10-year tenure, they are now 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS as home 'dogs.

Both teams have an open date to get ready for Saturday's prime-time matchup under the lights at Tiger Stadium.

Ohio State at Michigan State

Sportsbook has Michigan State listed as a 3.5-point home favorite vs. Ohio State. The Spartans have won six in a row, while going 4-2 ATS, since suffering their only loss at Oregon back in Week 2. They have an open date to prep for the Buckeyes after spanking in-state rival Michigan by a 35-11 count in East Lansing.

With the addition of Maryland and Rutgers into the Big Ten, these teams reside in the same division (East) unlike last season. They collided in the Big Ten Championship Game last season, with Mark Dantonio's team handing Ohio St. its first loss of the Urban Meyer Era. Michigan St. won 34-24 as a five-point underdog.

In 2012, Ohio St. escaped Spartan Stadium with a 17-16 victory as a 2.5-point road underdog. That same season, the Buckeyes won 21-14 at Wisconsin as 2.5-point puppies. Those are the only two previous occasions in which Meyer's squad has been an underdog on his watch.

Michigan St. is 4-1 ATS as a home 'chalk' this year. The lone non-cover came in a 27-22 win over Nebraska when the Cornhuskers rallied from a 27-3 deficit in the final stanza to post the backdoor cover catching 6.5 points.

While Michigan St. has an open date this weekend, Ohio St. falls into a look-ahead situation at home vs. Illinois.

Baylor at Oklahoma

Sportsbook has Oklahoma favored by three vs. Baylor for their showdown in Norman. Both schools had open dates this past weekend and are back on the field Saturday. The Bears host Kansas and the Sooners venture to Ames for a battle against Iowa St.

Bob Stoops's squad will be in revenge mode after getting smashed 41-16 as a 16.5-point road underdog in Waco last year. Baylor has won two of the last three head-to-head meetings, covering the spread in all three of those contests.

OU, which has lost two of its last three games, is in the rare role of spoiler here. The Sooners saw its hopes of going to the College Football Playoff almost certainly dashed in their 31-30 home loss to Kansas St. on Oct. 18.

Baylor remains in the mix but undoubtedly has to win out. To do so, Art Briles's team will have to win in Norman for the first time ever.

Baylor hasn't been an underdog in 21 consecutive games if we can count this week's 'chalk' spot vs. KU. The Bears were last 'dogs in the 2012 Holiday Bowl when they crushed UCLA, 49-26. They are 7-1 ATS with four outright victories in their last eight games as 'dogs.

Notre Dame at Arizona State

Sportsbook has Arizona State tabbed as a two-point home favorite vs. Notre Dame. The Sun Devils will be looking to avenge a 37-34 loss to the Fighting Irish at Jerry World in Arlington last season.

Todd Graham's team has three remaining games against one-loss schools and controls its destiny to get to the Pac-12 Championship Game. In other words, ASU will find itself in the College Football Playoff if it wins the rest of its games.

The same can be said for Brian Kelly's team, which closes the regular season at Southern Cal. It also hosts Louisville in South Bend in a game that will become bigger if U of L can upset unbeaten Florida St. on Thursday night.

Notre Dame owns a 6-2 spread record in eight games as a road 'dog during Kelly's tenure. Meanwhile, ASU is 9-5 ATS as a home favorite on Graham's watch.

ASU has a huge game in Tempe this weekend against Utah, while Notre Dame is in Landover to face Navy.

 

[CNOTES]

Tech Trends - Week 10

October 28, 2014


Thursday, October 30

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend


TROY at GEORGIA SOUTHERN
GS 6-2 vs. lien in 2014. Troy down TY but has covered last five as Sun Belt road dog.

Slight to Troy, based on extended trends.


FLORIDA STATE at LOUISVILLE
Noles 1-6 vs. line this season, and no covers last four away from Tallahassee. Cards 1-0 as dog TY, and covers in 10 of last 11 as dog.

'Ville, based on recent trends.


Friday, October 31

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend


TULSA at MEMPHIS
Tulsa 2-5 vs. line TY, 5-14 vs. spread since 2013. Tigers have covered 8 of last 12 since late LY.

Memphis, based on team trends.


CINCINNATI at TULANE
Wave covers last 2 TY, now 2-1 vs. line in new stadium, now 12-6 vs. spread last 18 as host (counts LY bowl game and Superdome games 2012-13).

Tulane, based on team trends.


Saturday, November 1

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend


NOTRE DAME vs. NAVY (at FedEx Field, Landover, Md)
Navy has covered 3 of last 5 meetings and 12 of last 20 vs. Irish. Mids 18-9 as dog for Niumatalolo since 2009.

Navy, based on team trends.


BOSTON COLLEGE at VIRGINIA TECH
Beamer on 15-32-1 spread run since late 2010. BC has covered last three meetings, and Eagles have covered 4 of last 6 this season.

BC, based on team and series trends.


EAST CAROLINA at TEMPLE
ECU no covers last three after 4-0 break vs. gate vs. spread. Pirates 1-5 last six as visiting chalk. But Owls no covers last three TY after 11-5 spread run prior.

Slight to Temple, based on team trends.


UCF at UCONN
Diaco 1-6 vs. lint TY, though Huskies had been 8-1 as Rentsch dog 2011-13. UCF only 1-5 last six as chalk away from Orlando.

Slight to UConn, base don extended trends.


WISCONSIN at RUTGERS
Wiscy 3-7 vs. line last 10 since late 2013. 'Gers 14-6 last 20 as dog (8-4 for Flood since 2012).

Rutgers, based on recent trends.


NC STATE at SYRACUSE
Pack a bit back and forth vs. line TY but still no SU ACC wins, now 0-12 SU in league play for Doeren. But Pack is 2-1 vs. line away TY and gets points here. Cuse only 3-5 vs. spread last 8 at Carrier Dome.

NC State, based on recent trends.


DUKE at PITTSBURGH
Cutcliffe 5-2 vs. line TY, 15-5-1 since 2013, 7-2-1 last 10 away. Lost high-scoring 58-55 shootout vs. Pitt LY.

Duke, based on team trends.


MARYLAND at PENN STATE
These teams used to regularly meet long ago, now reunited in an interesting twist to Big Ten expansion. James Franklin 4-3 vs. line in 2014 after 25-14 spread mark previous three years at Vandy. Terps 7-4 as visiting dog since 2012.

Slight to PSU, based on team trends.


NORTH CAROLINA at MIAMI-FLORIDA
Heels closed 7-1 vs. line LY after dropping first five vs. number and are in same pattern this season, now three covers in a row after five spread Ls to open season! Visiting dog has covered this game the past two years. Canes have covered last three at home after dropping previous four vs. spread as host.

UNC, based on team trends.


GEORGIA STATE at APPALACHIAN STATE
GSU 7-1 vs. line on road since 2013, also 12-3 last 16 as DD dog.

GSU, based on team trends.


AIR FORCE at ARMY
Falcs reclaim Commander in Chief's Trophy with win here. Falcs have won and covered 7 of last 8 trips to Michie, though did lose last visit in 2012. Force 13-4 vs. spread last 17 vs. West Point. Black Knights 7-4 last 11 as Michie dog but 0-1 in role TY.

Air Force, based on series trends.


CENTRAL MICHIGAN at EASTERN MICHIGAN
CMU has won and covered 4 of last 5 meetings. Enos 4-0 as visiting chalk since 2012 (0-0 TY).

CMU, based on team and series trends.


NORTHWESTERN at IOWA
Home team has won and covered last four meetings. After brief rally, NU has lost and failed to cover last two, putting pat Fitz 2-5 vs. line TY and 3-13 last 16 since early 2013. NU 12-4 as visiting dog 2008-12 but 2-3 in role since. Ferentz, however, only 1-3 vs. line at Iowa City TY and 5-11 as home chalk since 2012.

Slight to NU, based on extended trends.


TEXAS at TEXAS TECH
Horns have won SU last five meetings. TT 1-5-1 last seven vs. spread at home.

Texas, based on team and series trends.


PURDUE at NEBRASKA
Purdue has quietly surged, covering last three and five of last six this season. Boilermakers have also covered last four away from Ross-Ade. Bo Pelini 6-2 vs. line TY and 12-7 as Lincoln chalk since 2012 (3-1 TY, but 3-4 LY).

Slight to Purdue, based on team trends.


KANSAS at BAYLOR
Jayhawks unbeaten vs. line in three since Weis dismissed, but have been crushed last two years by Baylor. Briles 19-3 vs. spread as host since 2011.

Baylor, based on team trends.


WESTERN MICHIGAN at MIAMI-OHIO
Phenom WMU now 8-0 vs. line in 2014. Miami 5-9-1 last 14 vs. points at Yager.

WMU, based on team trends.


AUBURN at OLE MISS
Auburn has won and covered 4 of last 5 vs. Ole Miss, but Hugh Freeze now 7-1 SU and vs. line TY and 33-12-1 vs. spread since 2011. Malzahn 1-4 vs. line last 5 TY.

Ole Miss, based on team trends.


KENTUCKY at MISSOURI
Tigers have won and covered in similar comfy fashion past two years. Pinkel, however, just 1-4 vs. line as host TY.

Slight to UK, based on recent trends.


ARKANSAS at MISSISSIPPI STATE
MSU 6-1 vs. line TY and 11-1 last 12 since late 2013. Mullen has won and covered last two years vs. Arkansas. Hogs 6-1 last 7 vs. line TY

MSU, based on team and recent series trends.

WESTERN KENTUCKY at LA TECH
WKU 2-4 vs. line last five TY, La Tech 5-2 vs. spread in 2014.

LT, based on recent trends.


UL-MONROE at TEXAS A&M
Ags having a rough go with four straight spread Ls and 1-5 vs. line last six TY. A&M on 4-12 spread slide since mid 2013, only 4-4 vs. line. But ULM only 0-5-1 vs. spread last five TY. Warhawks 1-4-1 last six as DD dog.

Slight to ULM, based on extended A&M spread woes.


BYU at MTSU
Cougs no SU wins last four TY and no covers last six TY. Though Stockstill 3-1 vs. line at Johnny Floyd Stadium TY and covers last three as home dog.

MTSU, based on recent trends.


TENNESSEE at SOUTH CAROLINA
Revenge for Spurrier after loss at Knoxville LY but Cocks only 2-6 vs. spread in 2014. Vols have covered last two meetings.

Slight to UT, based on recent SC struggles.


FLORIDA vs. GEORGIA (at Jacksonville)
Richt on march with big wins and covers last two, both away from Athens. Richt 2-0-1 vs. line last three vs. Muschamp. Muschamp 2-4 vs. line TY, ,6-17-1 last 24 on board since mid 2012, 13-26-1 last 40 since early 2011.

Georgia, based on team trends.


USC at WASHINGTON STATE
Leach beat SC 10-7 LY at Coliseum and also covered last two years vs. U-Dub and Sark. Trojans 3-12 vs. line last 15 as visitor (1-3 TY).

WSU, based on team trends.


STANFORD at OREGON
Cards have won and covered last two vs. Ducks. Tree 5-0-1 as dog since 2011 for Shaw, though no covers last four away from Palo Alto. Ducks have now won and covered last three in 2012 after 1-10 reg.-season spread run.

Stanford, based on team and recent series trends.


OKLAHOMA at IOWA STATE
Stoops no covers last three in 2014 and just 2-4 last six as chalk away from Norman. OU has covered last 2 and 3 of last 4 vs. ISU and Cyclones haven't won SU in series since 1990! Prior to that it was 1961! ISU quietly surging with 5-1-1 spread mark last six this season and 4-0-1 as dog.

ISU, based on recent trends.


OKLAHOMA STATE at KANSAS STATE
Home team has won SU last three meetings but Bill Snyder has covered all of those three. Snyder 14-6 vs. spread last 19 at Manhattan and 31-14-1 overall vs. line since 2011. Gundy 0-4-1 vs. line last five TY.

K-State, based on Bill Snyder trends.


INDIANA at MICHIGAN
Wolverines also 6-5 as home chalk since 2013 (2-3 TY), and Hoke 15-16-1 last 32 on board. Hoosiers 2-7 vs. line last nine as visitor (1-2 TY).

Michigan, based on team trends.


VIRGINIA at GEORGIA TECH
Cavs no covers last 3 TY after five straight Ws vs. line to open campaign. Home team 3-0-1 vs. line last four in series. GT just 1-3 vs. line as host TY after 9-4 home chalk mark past two seasons.

Slight GT, based on series trends.


ARKANSAS STATE at IDAHO
Ark State was 5-1 vs. line prior to ULL loss. Red Wolves 7-3 last 10 as visiting chalk. Idaho has covered last three TY and is 5-2 vs. line in 2014, though only 1-2 vs. spread at Kibbie TY and now 2-11 vs. spread as host since 2012.

Ark State, based on team trends.


SOUTH ALABAMA at UL-LAFAYETTE
Cajuns might be turned around with back-to-back impressive wins and covers after dropping four straight vs. line. But road warrior USA has won and covered all three as visitor this season and is 7-2 vs. spread on road since 2013.

USA, based on Jag road marks.


ODU at VANDERBILT
Vandy back to the Bobby Johnson-type teams TY, poor chalk (0-3 at home in role) after succeeding under James Franklin past three years.

ODU, based on recent Vandy home chalk woes.


RICE at FIU
Rice on 19-9 spread uptick since mid 2012 and has covered last 4 and 5 of 6 this season. FIU improved and had covered 6 of 7 prior to Marshall loss. Rice 8-3 vs. spread last 11 as visitor.

Rice, based on extended trends.


WASHINGTON at COLORADO
Mike M 4-0 vs. line at Boulder TY and 8-2 vs. spread at Folsom Field since arriving at CU in 2013. Though Huskies have won and covered big last three meetings.

CU, based on home marks.


CAL at OREGON STATE
Dykes 3-0 vs. line on road (all as dog) this season. Beavs just 2-7 vs. spread last nine at Corvallis, though Riley has won and covered last two and 6 of last 7 vs. Bears.

Cal, based on recent trends.


ARIZONA at UCLA
Mora has won and covered last two vs. Rodriguez (it was 66-10 in 2012) but Bruins only 1-7 vs. spread in 2014 and no covers in three tries at home. Bruins also no covers last four at Rose Bowl since late 2013.

Arizona, based on recent UCLA woes.


COLORADO STATE at SAN JOSE STATE
SJSU has won and covered the last three years vs. CSU but Rams are on 18-7 spread uptick for McElwain, 9-2 vs. line last 11 away from Fort Collins.

Slight to SJSU, based on series trends.


UTAH at ARIZONA STATE
ASU 3-0 SU and 2-1 vs. line last three years vs. Utes, and Graham 6-3 as Pac-12 home chalk since 2012. Utes 3-0 vs. line away this season.

Slight to ASU, based on series trends.


TCU at WEST VIRGINIA
These teams have played OT games the past two seasons. Frogs are 7-0 vs. line in 2014 (2-0 away). Holgorsen 1-1 as home dog TY and 2-3 in role since last season.

Slight to TCU, based on team trends.


HOUSTON at SOUTH FLORIDA
Cougs 2-0 vs. line away TY and have covered eight straight as visitor dating to late 2012. USF HC Taggart 19-8 as dog (WKU & USF) since 2011.

UH, based on team trends.


UAB at FAU
FAU has won and covered last three meetings (2010-121-13). Owls now 3-0 vs. line at Boca Raton TY and 6-1 last seven vs. line as host. UAB has dropped 4 of last 6 vs. line.

FAU, based on team and series trends.


SOUTHERN MISS at UTEP
Improved USM three straight covers on road. UTEP 3-0 vs. line at Sun Bowl TY.

Slight to USM, based on recent trends.


NEW MEXICO at UNLV
Hauck 3-1 SU and vs. line vs. Lobos. But Hauck just 5-8 as chalk with Rebs. Road team is 7-0 vs. line in UNM games TY, and Lobos 6-1 last seven as road dog.

UNM, based on recent trends.


TEXAS STATE at NEW MEXICO STATE
Aggies 3-0 vs. line in Las Cruces TY and have covered five straight at home (and last four as home dog) since late 2013. Franchione 2-5 last seven as chalk.

NMSU, based on team trends.


ILLINOIS at OHIO STATE
Illini no SU wins over Bucks since 2007. Illini covered as road dog at Wiscy but was 1-9 in role for Beckman in ten previous tries (since 2012).

OSU, based on recent trends.


WYOMING at FRESNO STATE
FSU crushed Wyo past two years. Wyo on 4-12 spread slide since early 2013.

FSU, based on team and series trends.


SAN DIEGO STATE at NEVADA
Aztecs have won and covered wild games the past two years, both in OT. Rocky Long 7-2 last nine vs. line on MW road. Pack 3-7 vs. line last 9 as MW host.

Slight to SDSU, based on team trends.


UTAH STATE at HAWAII
Home team 7-1 vs. line in Hawaii games TY. Chow 9-4 vs. spread last 13 in Honolulu.

Slight to UH, based on team trends.

 

[CNOTES]

Florida State at Louisville

October 28, 2014


The Thursday night showcase games for the ACC have not exactly been matchups of major national significance that last two weeks but that changes this week. The undefeated defending national champions will face a difficult road game for the first time all season as Florida State visits Louisville in an ACC Atlantic clash that could alter the national landscape should the Cardinals deliver an upset. Here is a look at the teams and the matchup for Thursday night college football.

Match-up: Florida State Seminoles at Louisville Cardinals
Venue: Papa John's Cardinal Stadium in Louisville, Kentucky
Date: Thursday, October 30, 2014
Time/TV: 7:30 PM ET - ESPN
Line: Florida State -5
Last Meeting: 2002, Louisville 26-20 (+15) at home

Florida State may not be #1 in any of the rankings and the Seminoles have certainly had some lackluster performances this season but they are 7-0 and riding a 23-game winning streak, still holding the college football throne so to speak. While right now the case can be made that Florida State might not be one of the best four teams in the country, by season's end if the Seminoles are 13-0 with another ACC Championship, there is no question that they will be one of the four teams in the national playoff.

This season has been marred by controversy with star quarterback and 2013 Heisman Trophy winner Jameis Winston involved in a number of off-the-field transgressions, ultimately leading to his suspension for the game with Clemson. It seems like every week there is a new story or concern and this week it involved running back Karlos Williams and a domestic assault investigation. Williams is the leading rusher for the Seminoles and his status is in question for a game that many feel could be the most difficult remaining game for Florida State.

Florida State is averaging 38 points per game this season but this has been a much more pass-oriented team than last season with a decline of about 80 yards per game on the ground at this point in the season. Florida State is still one of the top passing teams in the nation with currently nearly an identical per game total in the air as last season's championship squad. Scoring points has not been the issue for the Seminoles in a 7-0 start that has featured just one narrow ATS win however.

The Florida State defense certainly lost some key players from last season but after allowing just 12 points per game and 282 yards per game this year's squad has allowed more than 100 more yards per game and nearly 10 more points per game in 2014. The #1 team in the nation in yards per game allowed this season is Thursday's opponent, Louisville. The Cardinals are allowing just 238 yards per game this season vs. FBS teams, best in the nation by 32 yards. Louisville has the second best scoring defense in the nation surrendering fewer than 14 points per game vs. FBS competition.

Louisville was outstanding on defense last season in a 12-1 campaign under Charlie Strong but most felt the biggest impact of the return of a former Louisville head coach Bobby Petrino would be on offense. Petrino was wildly successful at Louisville before leaving to take the Atlanta Falcons job, a short-lived endeavor that ended in embarrassing fashion. Petrino's subsequent stay at Arkansas ended in even more humiliating fashion but resurfacing the past two years at Western Kentucky it is clear that Petrino can coach, regardless of his personal faults.

Replacing Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback has been a huge challenge and in a 6-2 start for the Cardinals Louisville has actually used four different quarterbacks at times this season. Sophomore Will Gardner is leading the way but he missed two games with a knee injury as freshman Reggie Bonnafon has played significantly as well this season. Gardner has 11 touchdowns and only two interceptions but the completion percentages have been very low for the entire group especially compared to the efficiency that the offense had last season under the current starter for the Minnesota Vikings.

Five players have scored rushing touchdowns for Louisville this season as it has been a committee approach with Michael Dyer reemerging as the main threat in the last game for the Cardinals with his best game since the 2011 season. The offensive numbers are poor for the Cardinals overall however, ranking 111th nationally in total offense and the scoring average of nearly 31 points per game is inflated with 66 points put up against FCS Murray State.

Louisville does have two losses in conference play but both games were on the road and the losses came by a total of just eight points combined. Louisville's opening week win over Miami is looking more impressive by the week but the rest of the resume does lack substance and this will obviously be a huge step up in class as far as the opposition for the Louisville defense. Florida State would likely still win the ACC Atlantic even if they are upset this week but this is a great opportunity for the Cardinals to make a national splash and climb back into the rankings. For the Seminoles it will be another team giving the defending champions their best shot in a game of survival. Florida State does play at Miami in two weeks and will host games with Virginia, Boston College, and Florida to close out the regular season for a fairly challenging close to the season before likely facing an ACC title game. There is no margin for error for the Seminoles however.

Many felt before the season a one-loss Florida State team could still make the four-team national playoff but that looks less likely at this point and it seems that if there winds up being a close call, the Seminoles might be penalized for all the negative storylines surrounding the team as while the program is back to being at the top of the college football mountain, its image as villainous and perhaps less than honorable program has also returned.

Florida State Historical Trends: Florida State is 7-0 S/U but 1-6 ATS this season narrowly covering as a heavy home favorite against Wake Forest for the lone ATS win of the season. Florida State was 11-3 ATS in last season's 14-0 campaign. These teams have not met since 2002 but Louisville has covered in each of the last four meetings though with just one S/U win. Since 2003 Florida State is on a 19-24 ATS run as a road favorite but the Seminoles are 6-3 ATS in the last nine instances as a single-digit road favorite.

Louisville Historical Trends: Louisville is 11-2 ATS in the last 13 games as an underdog including covering in the lone instance this season (at Clemson). Louisville is just 9-15 ATS as a home underdog going back to 1994, going 2-7 ATS in the last nine instances going back to the 2008 season. Louisville has not been a home underdog since 2011 however.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF opening line report: Championship hopes on the line in Auburn-Ole Miss

The Southeastern Conference is almost inarguably the best college football conference in all the land. But if it keeps eating its own on a weekly basis, who knows what will be left when it comes time to decide which four teams will make the first-ever playoff.

Auburn at Mississippi (-3)

As we head into Week 10, all eyes will be on Oxford, Miss., where No. 9 Ole Miss will host No. 4 Auburn, with the loser almost certainly out of the national championship picture. That’s because the Rebels (7-1, 6-1-1 ATS) lost for the first time this season – SU or ATS – on Saturday at Louisiana State, dropping a defensive showdown 10-7 as a 4-point chalk.

Meanwhile, Auburn (6-1 SU, 3-4 ATS) bounced back from its loss at Mississippi State, holding off South Carolina 42-35 while failing to cash as a massive 18.5-point favorite.

“We’ll see how Ole Miss handles the emotional letdown,” said John Lester, lines manager for bookmaker.eu. “My guess is the defense will do its part again, but as I’ve said before, (quarterback) Bo Wallace is a liability. Auburn comes in with a full head of steam, but the prime-time, home-field edge for the Rebs gave them the nod.”


Florida State Seminoles at Louisville Cardinals (+6.5)

Defending national champion Florida State is certainly now in a great spot. The No. 2 Seminoles, coming off a bye week after fending off Notre Dame 31-27 in a thriller, stand at 7-0 SU. However, to their discredit, they failed to cash against the Irish as 9.5 point home faves and are just 1-6 ATS – tied for the second-worst mark in the nation at the betting window.

Louisville (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) has also had an extra week to rest, after beating North Carolina State 30-18 laying 19 points at home.

“Both teams are coming off open dates, and this is the type of sneaky win Bobby Petrino can pull off,” Lester said. “It will be interesting to see how efficient Florida State’s offense will be against a much-improved Louisville defense.”


Stanford Cardinal at Oregon Ducks (-11)

With all the bloodletting in the SEC, Oregon (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) could certainly find its way into the four-team playoff. Since a stunning home loss to Arizona, the No. 6 Ducks have won and cashed three in a row, with their offense going haywire Friday night in a 59-41 victory at California to barely cash as a 17.5-point favorite.

Stanford (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) has been inconsistent at best, but has gone 4-1 SU and ATS at home, including a 38-14 rout of Oregon State giving 12 points Saturday.

“This is always a great matchup, because Stanford’s defense always comes in prepared,” Lester said. “I’m pretty sure the defense will keep the Cardinal in the game, but you certainly can’t trust the Stanford offense. It just feels like it’s lost some of the identity and creativity it once had.”


Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs (neutral site – Jacksonville, -13)

The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party resumes at its usual site in Jacksonville, and Georgia (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) is now in a position to climb back into the playoff picture. Since losing at South Carolina, the No. 8 Bulldogs have won five in a row (3-2 ATS), including Saturday’s 45-32 victory at Arkansas laying 3 points.

Florida coach Will Muschamp, meanwhile, is trying to give the school a reason not to fire him. The Gators (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS) had a bye this past weekend, after losing back-to-back home games to LSU and Missouri. Against the Tigers, Florida got lambasted 42-13 as a 6.5-point dog.

“With the state the Gators are in, we had to be generous on Georgia’s side here,” Lester said. “I just don’t think Florida’s offense will be able to move the chains. Gator fans should have plenty of cocktails prepared, because this one isn’t going to be close."

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF line watch: Best wait late to fade 7-0 ATS TCU

Spread to bet now

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Kansas State Wildcats (-13.5)

Kansas State opened as 13-point home favorites over Oklahoma State, but expect this line to tick up at least to the key number of 14. The Wildcats were in a terrible situational spot last Saturday after upsetting Oklahoma on the road the week before, but they still came to play and beat Texas 23-0.

Oklahoma State is finally struggling like many thought it would at the beginning of the season. The Cowboys have lost back-to-back games by a combined score of 76-19. They’ve shown nothing that indicates they can turn things around, especially against a good team like Kansas State.

It would be wise to lay the points now with Kansas State before the line goes up to and possibly higher than the key number of 14.


Spread to wait on

TCU Horned Frogs at West Virginia Mountaineers (+6)

Texas Christian was originally posted as a 4-point road favorite at West Virginia, and the early money quickly came in on the Horned Frogs, moving the line up to -6. I expect the line to go up some more, especially when the public bettors get involved.

Texas Christian comes in off an incredible 82-27 home win over Texas Tech. The Horned Frogs are a perfect 7-0 ATS this season, so they are sure to attract public money in this game. West Virginia has been undervalued all season by the oddsmakers and bettors alike, and it’s the case once again in this contest.

The home dog Mountaineers hold the value in this game and it will be greater closer to kick off.


Total to watch

Northwestern Wildcats at Iowa Hawkeyes (46.5)

Northwestern and Iowa are two teams built the same way. Both teams have conservative coaches that prefer to play ball control and win with their defense. The Wildcats are only averaging 20.9 points per game on just 4.6 yards per play this season. The Hawkeyes are averaging 27 points per game on 5.1 yards per play.

Both defenses have played above average football this year. Northwestern is allowing only 20.4 points per game on 5.1 yards per play versus offenses averaging 29.4 points per game on 5.8 yards per play. Iowa is allowing just 21.9 points per game on 5.2 yards per play versus opponents averaging 28.1 points per game on 5.4 yards per play.

There will be value on the Under if the oddsmakers keep this total at 45 or higher.

 

[CNOTES]

Mid-Major Money: Big profits from NCAAF small conferences

Team to watch: Colorado State Rams (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS)

This week: -6.5 at San Jose State

Don’t be fooled by the fact that San Jose State boasts the nation’s leading pass defense. After all, it just faced a Navy team that attempted eight passes. The Spartans have not yet played an opponent that has more pass attempts than rushes on the season.

Head coach Ron Caragher basically admitted in his most recent press conference that his team has not been tested through the air. That may not be a good thing when the trend suddenly changes against Colorado State. The Rams’ feature senior quarterback Garrett Grayson, who earned Mountain West Offensive Player of the Week honors after CSU’s 45-31 win over Wyoming last Saturday. He leads the Mountain West with 2,456 passing yards and 21 touchdowns.

If SJSU wants to keep the Rams’ offense off the field, it won’t be helped in that effort with the two running backs expected to lead the way heading into this season on the sideline. Jarrod Lawson is suspended and Thomas Tucker is out for the year with a foot injury.


Team to beware: Army Black Knights (2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS)

This week: +3.5 vs. Air Force

Army has some well-documented issues on its hands heading into this weekend’s home game against Air Force. A recent scandal emerged when it was reported that a recruiting trip in January included alcohol, women, and the general VIP treatment in order to impress possible incoming freshman. Starting quarterback Angel Santiago was allegedly among those involved.

A spokeswoman said the institution is coming down hard on the cadets with administrative punishments, but will not affect anyone athletically. Santiago and everyone else is expected to be on the field this Saturday.

It’s not like Army needs any distractions, either. It has lost two in a row by at least 20 points and fell 48-28 last season at Air Force. The Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last eight trips to West Point.


Total team: Georgia Southern Eagles (6-2 SU, 5-3 O/U)

This week: vs. Troy

The college football week begins on Thursday with Georgia Southern vs. Troy (and FSU at Louisville, which also kicks off at 7:30 p.m.). Scoring should come in bunches in Statesboro, where the Eagles are coming off a 69-31 rout of Georgia State last Saturday. Behind an offensive line that has been awesome all season, six different GSU players scored rushing touchdowns and three had at least 12 carries.

It will be short week of preparation for both teams, which generally tends to hurt more on the defensive side of the ball. Troy at least got to play last Friday instead of Saturday (lost to South Alabama 27-13) but will have to travel on Wednesday—albeit a short distance. The over is 5-2 in the Eagles’ last seven overall and 4-0 in the Trojans’ last four Thursday games.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 10

Florida State at Louisville
The Seminoles head to Louisville on Thursday night and come into the contest with an 0-4 ATS record in their last 4 road games. Louisville is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Seminoles favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Louisville (+5). Here are all of this week's lined games.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 30

Game 303-304: Troy at Georgia Southern (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 50.779; Georgia Southern 85.430
Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 34 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 24 1/2; 63
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (-24 1/2); Under

Game 305-306: Florida State at Louisville (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 104.655; Louisville 103.857
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Florida State by 5; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (+5); Under


FRIDAY, OCTOBER 31

Game 307-308: Tulsa at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 68.282; Memphis 95.674
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 27 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Memphis by 23; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-23); Under

Game 309-310: Cincinnati at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 75.925; Tulane 79.754
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 4; 63
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 4 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+4 1/2); Over


SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 1

Game 311-312: Notre Dame at Navy (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 98.079; Navy 85.833
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 12; 62
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 15 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Navy (+15 1/2); Over

Game 313-314: Boston College at Virginia Tech (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 85.632; Virginia Tech 91.194
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 5 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 3; 42
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-3); Over

Game 315-316: East Carolina at Temple (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 95.666; Temple 85.089
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 10 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 7; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-7); Over

Game 317-318: Central Florida at Connecticut (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 90.644; Connecticut 80.457
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 10; 35
Vegas Line: Central Florida 12 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+12 1/2); Under

Game 319-320: Wisconsin at Rutgers (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 102.964; Rutgers 88.674
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 14 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 321-322: NC State at Syracuse (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 86.814; Syracuse 88.361
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 1 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 3 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+3 1/2); Under

Game 323-324: Duke at Pittsburgh (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 89.105; Pittsburgh 95.225
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 6; 62
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-2 1/2); Over

Game 325-326: Maryland at Penn State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 87.859; Penn State 88.344
Dunkel Line: Even; 55
Vegas Line: Penn State by 4; 48
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+4); Over

Game 327-328: North Carolina at Miami (FL) (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 89.286; Miami (FL) 98.760
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 9 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 17 1/2; 70 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+17 1/2); Under

Game 329-330: Georgia State at Appalachian State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 55.492; Appalachian State 77.090
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 21 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 7 1/2; 70
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (-7 1/2); Under

Game 331-332: Air Force at Army (11:30 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 72.298; Army 71.316
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 1; 65
Vegas Line: Air Force by 3 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Army (+3 1/2); Over

Game 333-334: Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 84.275; Eastern Michigan 54.879
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 19 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 335-336: Northwestern at Iowa (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 94.172; Iowa 93.596
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 1; 43
Vegas Line: Iowa by 4 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+4 1/2); Over

Game 337-338: Texas at Texas Tech (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 90.130; Texas Tech 82.514
Dunkel Line: Texas by 7 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 339-340: Purdue at Nebraska (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 86.209; Nebraska 106.672
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 20 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 24; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+24); Under

Game 341-342: Kansas at Baylor (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 72.992; Baylor 112.617
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 39 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Baylor by 35 1/2; 62
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-35 1/2); Over

Game 343-344: Western Michigan at Miami (OH) (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 79.407; Miami (OH) 70.364
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 9; 53
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 6 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (-6 1/2); Under

Game 345-346: Auburn at Mississippi (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 109.935; Mississippi 108.840
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 1; 58
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 2 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+2 1/2); Over

Game 347-348: Kentucky at Missouri (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 95.899; Missouri 96.211
Dunkel Line: Even; 57
Vegas Line: Missouri by 6 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+6 1/2); Over

Game 349-350: Arkansas at Mississippi State (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 101.437; Mississippi State 115.324
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 14; 58
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 10 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-10 1/2); Under

Game 351-352: Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 79.871; Louisiana Tech 83.150
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 3 1/2; 65
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 6 1/2; 70 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+6 1/2); Under

Game 353-354: UL-Monroe at Texas A&M (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 63.443; Texas A&M 105.919
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 42 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 32; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-32); Over

Game 355-356: BYU at Middle Tennessee State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 88.818; Middle Tennessee State 81.101
Dunkel Line: BYU by 7 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: BYU by 3; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-3); Under

Game 357-358: Tennessee at South Carolina (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 95.724; South Carolina 95.916
Dunkel Line: Even; 64
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 8; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+8); Over

Game 359-360: Florida vs. Georgia (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 84.922; Georgia 110.753
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 26; 48
Vegas Line: Georgia by 12 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-12 1/2); Under

Game 361-362: USC at Washington State (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 102.392; Washington State 99.583
Dunkel Line: USC by 3; 57
Vegas Line: USC by 7; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+7); Under

Game 363-364: Stanford at Oregon (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 104.690; Oregon 109.032
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 4 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Oregon by 9 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (+9 1/2); Over

Game 365-366: Oklahoma at Iowa State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 107.036; Iowa State 87.242
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 20; 53
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 16; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-16); Under

Game 367-368: Oklahoma State at Kansas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 91.270; Kansas State 108.158
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 17; 63
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 14; 52
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-14); Over

Game 369-370: Indiana at Michigan (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 83.044; Michigan 87.371
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 4 1/2; 68
Vegas Line: Michigan by 7; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+7); Over

Game 371-372: Virginia at Georgia Tech (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 88.832; Georgia Tech 96.104
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 7 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 3; 56
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-3); Over

Game 373-374: Arkansas State at Idaho (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 75.593; Idaho 65.716
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 10; 66
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 15; 63
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+15); Over

Game 375-376: South Alabama at UL-Lafayette (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 69.030; UL-Lafayette 85.236
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 16; 73
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 6 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (-6 1/2); Over

Game 377-378: Old Dominion at Vanderbilt (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 69.804; Vanderbilt 73.868
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 4; 54
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 8; 61
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+8); Under

Game 379-380: Rice at Florida International (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 85.176; Florida International 76.302
Dunkel Line: Rice by 9; 46
Vegas Line: Rice by 5 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (-5 1/2); Under

Game 381-382: Washington at Colorado (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 91.654; Colorado 90.143
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Washington by 4 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+4 1/2); Under

Game 383-384: California at Oregon State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 89.266; Oregon State 89.320
Dunkel Line: Even; 63
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 3; 67 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (+3); Under

Game 385-386: Arizona at UCLA (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 95.155; UCLA 104.255
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 9; 64
Vegas Line: UCLA by 6; 70 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-6); Under

Game 387-388: Colorado State at San Jose State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 86.749; San Jose State 82.062
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 4 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 7; 54
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+7); Over

Game 389-390: Utah at Arizona State (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 96.672; Arizona State 106.508
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 10; 51
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 5; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:: Arizona State (-5); Under

Game 391-392: TCU at West Virginia (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 115.149; West Virginia 106.662
Dunkel Line: TCU by 8 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: TCU by 5; 72 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-5); Under

Game 393-394: Houston at South Florida (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 90.794; South Florida 83.395
Dunkel Line: Houston by 7 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Houston by 10; 44
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+10); Over

Game 395-396: UAB at Florida Atlantic (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 77.911; Florida Atlantic 78.980
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 1; 67
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 397-398: Southern Mississippi at UTEP (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 70.969; UTEP 84.710
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 13 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: UTEP by 6 1/2; 59
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-6 1/2); Over

Game 399-400: New Mexico at UNLV (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 76.762; UNLV 81.176
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 4 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: UNLV by 1; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-1); Under

Game 401-402: Texas State at New Mexico State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 62.124; New Mexico State 57.865
Dunkel Line: Texas State by 4 1/2; 67
Vegas Line: Texas State by 7 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+7 1/2); Over

Game 403-404: Illinois at Ohio State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 85.060; Ohio State 103.413
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 18 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 28 1/2; 65
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+28 1/2); Over

Game 405-406: Wyoming at Fresno State (10:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 70.411; Fresno State 84.350
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by14; 57
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 11; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-11); N/A

Game 407-408: San Diego State at Nevada (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 82.565; Nevada 89.514
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 7; 57
Vegas Line: Nevada by 3 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-3 1/2); Over

Game 409-410: Utah State at Hawaii (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 87.814; Hawaii 87.049
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 1; 54
Vegas Line: Utah State by 3; 42
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+3); Over

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 10

Thursday, October 30

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TROY (1 - 7) at GA SOUTHERN (6 - 2) - 10/30/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GA SOUTHERN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
GA SOUTHERN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
GA SOUTHERN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA ST (7 - 0) at LOUISVILLE (6 - 2) - 10/30/2014, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, October 31

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TULSA (1 - 6) at MEMPHIS (4 - 3) - 10/31/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (4 - 3) at TULANE (2 - 5) - 10/31/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 81-109 ATS (-38.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
TULANE is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, November 1

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NOTRE DAME (6 - 1) vs. NAVY (4 - 4) - 11/1/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 140-108 ATS (+21.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 140-108 ATS (+21.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 86-53 ATS (+27.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 87-43 ATS (+39.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 92-63 ATS (+22.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 65-37 ATS (+24.3 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
NAVY is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 1-1 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 2-0 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON COLLEGE (5 - 3) at VIRGINIA TECH (4 - 4) - 11/1/2014, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E CAROLINA (6 - 1) at TEMPLE (4 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCF (5 - 2) at CONNECTICUT (1 - 6) - 11/1/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in November games since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISCONSIN (5 - 2) at RUTGERS (5 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NC STATE (4 - 4) at SYRACUSE (3 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DUKE (6 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (4 - 4) - 11/1/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARYLAND (5 - 3) at PENN ST (4 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N CAROLINA (4 - 4) at MIAMI (5 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-1 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA ST (1 - 7) at APPALACHIAN ST (2 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AIR FORCE (5 - 2) at ARMY (2 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 11:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 68-95 ATS (-36.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
AIR FORCE is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
ARMY is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARMY is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARMY is 12-32 ATS (-23.2 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
ARMY is 10-32 ATS (-25.2 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
ARMY is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
ARMY is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

C MICHIGAN (5 - 4) at E MICHIGAN (2 - 6) - 11/1/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORTHWESTERN (3 - 4) at IOWA (5 - 2) - 11/1/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 1-1 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 1-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (3 - 5) at TEXAS TECH (3 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PURDUE (3 - 5) at NEBRASKA (7 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 1-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA is 1-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS (2 - 5) at BAYLOR (6 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 63-92 ATS (-38.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 42-67 ATS (-31.7 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 42-67 ATS (-31.7 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 43-66 ATS (-29.6 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 69-101 ATS (-42.1 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in November games since 1992.
KANSAS is 44-71 ATS (-34.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
BAYLOR is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BAYLOR is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BAYLOR is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BAYLOR is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W MICHIGAN (5 - 3) at MIAMI OHIO (2 - 7) - 11/1/2014, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
W MICHIGAN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
W MICHIGAN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
W MICHIGAN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
W MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
W MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf this season.
MIAMI OHIO is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AUBURN (6 - 1) at OLE MISS (7 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
OLE MISS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
OLE MISS is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf this season.
AUBURN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
OLE MISS is 1-1 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENTUCKY (5 - 3) at MISSOURI (6 - 2) - 11/1/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
KENTUCKY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 2-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS (4 - 4) at MISSISSIPPI ST (7 - 0) - 11/1/2014, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W KENTUCKY (3 - 4) at LOUISIANA TECH (5 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA MONROE (3 - 4) at TEXAS A&M (5 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.
LA MONROE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
LA MONROE is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
TEXAS A&M is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
LA MONROE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BYU (4 - 4) at MIDDLE TENN ST (5 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 1-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 1-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (3 - 5) at S CAROLINA (4 - 4) - 11/1/2014, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-0 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (3 - 3) vs. GEORGIA (6 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

USC (5 - 3) at WASHINGTON ST (2 - 6) - 11/1/2014, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 1-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 1-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STANFORD (5 - 3) at OREGON (7 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
STANFORD is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA (5 - 2) at IOWA ST (2 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA ST (5 - 3) at KANSAS ST (6 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 111-79 ATS (+24.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (3 - 4) at MICHIGAN (3 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA (4 - 4) at GEORGIA TECH (6 - 2) - 11/1/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS ST (4 - 3) at IDAHO (1 - 6) - 11/1/2014, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO is 1-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S ALABAMA (5 - 2) at LA LAFAYETTE (4 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OLD DOMINION (3 - 5) at VANDERBILT (2 - 6) - 11/1/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RICE (4 - 3) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (3 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
RICE is 103-73 ATS (+22.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
RICE is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (5 - 3) at COLORADO (2 - 6) - 11/1/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
COLORADO is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in November games since 1992.
COLORADO is 99-131 ATS (-45.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CALIFORNIA (4 - 4) at OREGON ST (4 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 105-77 ATS (+20.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OREGON ST is 100-69 ATS (+24.1 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OREGON ST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
OREGON ST is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 2-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST is 2-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (6 - 1) at UCLA (6 - 2) - 11/1/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 70-104 ATS (-44.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in November games since 1992.
UCLA is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
UCLA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
UCLA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
UCLA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO ST (7 - 1) at SAN JOSE ST (3 - 4) - 11/1/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE ST is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (6 - 1) at ARIZONA ST (6 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 68-44 ATS (+19.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
UTAH is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
UTAH is 56-32 ATS (+20.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 2-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TCU (6 - 1) at W VIRGINIA (6 - 2) - 11/1/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
TCU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
TCU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (4 - 3) at S FLORIDA (3 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UAB (4 - 4) at FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SOUTHERN MISS (3 - 5) at UTEP (4 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN MISS is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 31-54 ATS (-28.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN MISS is 1-0 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 1-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO (2 - 5) at UNLV (2 - 6) - 11/1/2014, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 70-104 ATS (-44.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UNLV is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS ST (4 - 3) at NEW MEXICO ST (2 - 6) - 11/1/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 74-103 ATS (-39.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 33-59 ATS (-31.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS ST is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ILLINOIS (4 - 4) at OHIO ST (6 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 110-142 ATS (-46.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 110-142 ATS (-46.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 70-110 ATS (-51.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
OHIO ST is 160-116 ATS (+32.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 160-116 ATS (+32.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 134-97 ATS (+27.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 104-73 ATS (+23.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 148-102 ATS (+35.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 122-91 ATS (+21.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WYOMING (3 - 5) at FRESNO ST (3 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 2-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO ST (4 - 3) at NEVADA (5 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH ST (5 - 3) at HAWAII (2 - 6) - 11/1/2014, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH ST is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 1-0 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 1-0 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF

Week 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, October 30

7:30 PM
FLORIDA STATE vs. LOUISVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Florida State's last 21 games
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisville is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisville's last 6 games

7:30 PM
TROY vs. GA SOUTHERN
Troy is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Troy's last 25 games
Ga Southern is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Ga Southern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


Friday, October 31

8:00 PM
TULSA vs. MEMPHIS
Tulsa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Tulsa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 9 games
Memphis is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games at home

8:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. TULANE
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tulane
Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tulane
Tulane is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Tulane is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home


Saturday, November 1

11:30 AM
AIR FORCE vs. ARMY
Air Force is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Army
Air Force is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing Army
Army is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games when playing Air Force
Army is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Air Force

12:00 PM
MARYLAND vs. PENN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 6 games
Maryland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Penn State's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Penn State's last 15 games at home

12:00 PM
RICE vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rice's last 5 games
Rice is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Florida International is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games at home
Florida International is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games

12:00 PM
EAST CAROLINA vs. TEMPLE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of East Carolina's last 6 games on the road
East Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Temple is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
Temple is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

12:00 PM
DUKE vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 6 games
Duke is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

12:00 PM
WISCONSIN vs. RUTGERS
Wisconsin is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Wisconsin is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Rutgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Rutgers is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home

12:00 PM
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. TEXAS A&M
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 7 games
Texas A&M is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

12:00 PM
CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. CONNECTICUT
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Florida's last 6 games
Connecticut is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Connecticut is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

12:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN vs. IOWA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northwestern's last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Northwestern's last 9 games when playing Iowa
Iowa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's last 7 games at home

12:30 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. MIAMI
North Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games at home
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

12:30 PM
BOSTON COLLEGE vs. VIRGINIA TECH
Boston College is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Boston College is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 6 games

1:00 PM
CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
Central Michigan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 6 games on the road
Eastern Michigan is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games
Eastern Michigan is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

1:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. COLORADO
Washington is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games

2:00 PM
TEXAS vs. TEXAS TECH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas's last 12 games when playing Texas Tech
Texas Tech is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Texas Tech is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games

2:30 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
Western Michigan is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
Western Michigan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Miami (Ohio) is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games
Miami (Ohio) is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games at home

3:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. SYRACUSE
North Carolina State is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
North Carolina State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Syracuse's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Syracuse's last 9 games at home

3:00 PM
WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. LOUISIANA TECH
Western Kentucky is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Western Kentucky is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Louisiana Tech is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Louisiana Tech's last 9 games at home

3:30 PM
BYU vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
BYU is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
BYU is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Middle Tennessee is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Middle Tennessee's last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
TCU vs. WEST VIRGINIA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU's last 5 games
TCU is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
West Virginia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of West Virginia's last 5 games

3:30 PM
VIRGINIA vs. GEORGIA TECH
Virginia is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Georgia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Georgia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 7 games when playing at home against Virginia
Georgia Tech is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Virginia

3:30 PM
FLORIDA vs. GEORGIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games
Florida is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Georgia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Florida
Georgia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Florida

3:30 PM
GEORGIA STATE vs. APPALACHIAN STATE
Georgia State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia State's last 8 games
Appalachian State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Appalachian State is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games

3:30 PM
INDIANA vs. MICHIGAN
Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Indiana is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Michigan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
PURDUE vs. NEBRASKA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games on the road
Purdue is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Nebraska is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nebraska's last 7 games at home

TBA
OKLAHOMA STATE vs. KANSAS STATE
Oklahoma State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma State's last 7 games when playing Kansas State
Kansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State
Kansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

TBA
OKLAHOMA vs. IOWA STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 6 games when playing Iowa State
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Iowa State
Iowa State is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa State's last 6 games

4:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
South Florida is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida's last 5 games

4:00 PM
TEXAS STATE vs. NEW MEXICO STATE
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas State's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas State's last 7 games on the road
New Mexico State is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games at home
New Mexico State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

4:00 PM
KANSAS vs. BAYLOR
Kansas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baylor
Kansas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 6 games when playing Kansas
Baylor is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas

4:00 PM
KENTUCKY vs. MISSOURI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky's last 6 games
Kentucky is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
Missouri is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Missouri's last 5 games at home

4:30 PM
SOUTHERN CAL vs. WASHINGTON STATE
Southern Cal is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Southern Cal's last 15 games when playing Washington State
Washington State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Southern Cal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington State's last 5 games when playing at home against Southern Cal

5:00 PM
SOUTH ALABAMA vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of South Alabama's last 12 games
South Alabama is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games

5:00 PM
ARKANSAS STATE vs. IDAHO
Arkansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Idaho
Arkansas State is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Idaho is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Idaho is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

5:30 PM
NEW MEXICO vs. UNLV
New Mexico is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UNLV's last 7 games when playing New Mexico
UNLV is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Mexico

7:00 PM
AUBURN vs. MISSISSIPPI
Auburn is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Mississippi
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Auburn's last 7 games when playing on the road against Mississippi
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi's last 5 games
Mississippi is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

7:00 PM
UAB vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
UAB is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
UAB is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida Atlantic's last 6 games at home
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. SAN JOSE STATE
Colorado State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 6 games on the road
San Jose State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
San Jose State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
OLD DOMINION vs. VANDERBILT
Old Dominion is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Old Dominion is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Vanderbilt is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
Vanderbilt is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

7:15 PM
ARKANSAS vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
Arkansas is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arkansas's last 9 games
Mississippi State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arkansas
Mississippi State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
STANFORD vs. OREGON
Stanford is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Stanford is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Oregon
Oregon is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Stanford
Oregon is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home

7:30 PM
TENNESSEE vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
Tennessee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing on the road against South Carolina
South Carolina is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tennessee
South Carolina is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tennessee

8:00 PM
SOUTHERN MISS vs. TEXAS EL PASO
Southern Miss is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games
Southern Miss is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games
Texas El Paso is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
Texas El Paso is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games

8:00 PM
NOTRE DAME vs. NAVY
Notre Dame is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing Navy
Notre Dame is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Navy is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
Navy is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
ILLINOIS vs. OHIO STATE
Illinois is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Illinois is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ohio State's last 5 games

See more trends!
10:30 PM
SAN DIEGO STATE vs. NEVADA
San Diego State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State's last 6 games on the road
Nevada is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nevada's last 7 games at home

10:30 PM
CALIFORNIA vs. OREGON STATE
California is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games
California is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
Oregon State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing California
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon State's last 5 games when playing California

10:30 PM
ARIZONA vs. UCLA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing UCLA
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing UCLA
UCLA is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
UCLA is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

10:45 PM
WYOMING vs. FRESNO STATE
Wyoming is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Wyoming is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Fresno State is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Fresno State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

11:00 PM
UTAH vs. ARIZONA STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games
Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Arizona State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona State's last 9 games

11:00 PM
UTAH STATE vs. HAWAII
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah State's last 8 games when playing Hawaii
Utah State is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
Hawaii is 3-16-1 SU in its last 20 games ,
Hawaii is 3-7-1 SU in its last 11 games ,at home

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Thursday's games
Georgia Southern won last five games, four by 20+ points; they are 1-1 as home favorite in first year in I-A- their only two losses are to teams in ACC, by 1-4 points. Troy is 1-7, has already run its longtime coach into retirement; they've allowed 80 points, 723 rushing yards in last two games, are 1-2-1 as road dogs this season, are 22-18-3 in that role last 10+ years. Eagles ran ball for 335+ yards in each of their five games that weren't against the ACC teams (246-283 in those).

Florida State hasn't played since dramatic Notre Dame win 12 days ago; they're 1-6 vs spread this year, 0-2 as road favorites, but they won road games by 15-18 points, with 37-31 win over Oklahoma State on neutral field. Seminoles are 4-8 as road favorites last 2+ years. Louisville is 3-0 at home, allowing 13.7 ppg vs I-A teams; over last decade, they're 3-7 vs spread as home underdogs, but covered last eight games as an underdog, all on road. Cardinals' losses this year are at Virginia by 2, Clemson by 6. ACC home underdogs are 7-5 vs spread in conference games.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF

Thursday, October 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Florida State at Louisville
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Florida State Seminoles at Louisville Cardinals (+4.5, 50.5)

One year after averaging a margin of victory of 39.5 points en route to a national title, No. 2 Florida State has proven it also can handle itself in tighter contests. The Seminoles, who hope to extend their winning streak to 24 games on Thursday at Louisville, have rallied from second-half deficits three times in 2014. Florida State edged then-No. 5 Notre Dame 31-27 on Oct. 18 after the Fighting Irish were called for offensive pass interference on a potential game-winning score in the final seconds.

The Seminoles haven’t come close to matching last season’s dominance – winning three of their contests by six points or fewer, including one in overtime – and could see their school-record streak snapped with another slow start against the Cardinals. Louisville leads FBS in total defense (243.8 yards) and ranks fourth overall in scoring defense (14.6 points). The Cardinals, who have held each of their six conference foes under their season scoring average, are coming off a 30-18 victory over North Carolina State on Oct. 18 and have won 22 in a row at home under coach Bobby Petrino.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Noles as 6.5-point road faves, but that has moved to 4.5. The total opened 50.5.

INJURY REPORT: Seminoles - DB Trey Marshall (Questionable, concussion), DT Demarcus Christmas (Questionable, ankle), QB Sean Maguire (Questionable, hand), RB Mario Pender (Doubtful, ankle).

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing across the field at 3 mph. There is a small 11 percent chance of rain.

ABOUT FLORIDA STATE (7-0 SU, 4-0 SU ACC, 1-6 ATS, 3-4 O/U): The Tallahassee Police Department announced on Monday that it is investigating Karlos Williams – the team’s leading rusher – for an alleged domestic assault. Rashad Greene, who leads the conference in receptions (52) and receiving yards (791), needs seven more catches to pass former Wake Forest receiver Michael Campanaro (229 from 2010-13) for fifth place on the conference’s all-time list. Reigning Heisman Trophy winner Jameis Winston became the first FBS quarterback since 2000 to begin his collegiate career 20-0 as a starter following the Seminoles’ win over Notre Dame.

ABOUT LOUISVILLE (6-2 SU, 4-2 SU ACC, 5-3 ATS, 1-6-1 O/U): DeVante Parker, who had yet to play due to an August toe injury after leading the Cardinals in receiving last season, tied a personal best with nine catches for 132 yards in his season debut versus the Wolfpack. Former Auburn star and 2011 BCS championship game offensive MVP Michael Dyer enjoyed his finest effort with Louisville, posting career highs of 24 carries and 181 total yards. Linebacker Lorenzo Mauldin (hamstring) and receiver James Quick (ankle) left the Cardinals’ last victory and did not return, but both are expected to play versus the Seminoles.

TRENDS:

* Seminoles are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.
* Under is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last seven conference games.
* Cardinals are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last seven conference games.

CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, 62 percent of bets are supporting the visiting Seminoles.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF

Thursday, October 30


Line on the move as Cardinals host Seminoles

Oddsmakers opened the Florida State Seminoles as 5-point road faves at the Louisville Cardinals for their clash Thursday night earlier this week. That line, however, is on the move and has come down to either 4 or 3.5 heading into game day.

The Noles have been one of the worst programs at the betting window this season and bring a 1-6 record against the spread into the meeting.

Louisville has four of five straight up and owns a 5-3 ATS record on the season.

This marks the first meeting between the programs since 2002 and dating back to 1987, the Cardinals have covered the previous four meetings.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday NCAA FB Injury Report

FLORIDA ST
[WR] 08/16/2014 - Isaiah Jones out for season ( Academics )
(!)[RB] 10/28/2014 - Karlos Williams is upgraded to probable Thursday vs. Louisville ( Legal problems )
[RB] 10/28/2014 - Mario Pender is downgraded to expected to miss Thursday vs. Louisville ( Ankle )
[2nd QB] 10/28/2014 - Sean Maguire is downgraded to expected to miss Thursday vs. Louisville ( Hand )
[DB] 10/29/2014 - Colin Blake out for season ( Shoulder )
[-DT] 10/29/2014 - Demarcus Christmas "?" Thursday vs. Louisville ( Ankle )
[LB] 10/29/2014 - E. J. Levenberry expected to miss Thursday vs. Louisville ( Concussion )
[LB] 10/29/2014 - Jacob Pugh expected to miss Thursday vs. Louisville ( Concussion )
[LB] 10/29/2014 - Ukeme Eligwe expected to miss Thursday vs. Louisville ( Foot )
[LB] 08/28/2014 - Delvin Purifoy out for season ( Leg )
[DT] 09/25/2014 - Nile Lawrence-Stample out for season ( Pectoral )
[C] 10/05/2014 - Austin Barron out indefinitely ( Arm )


LOUISVILLE
[WR] 10/26/2014 - James Quick injured last game, probable Thursday vs. Florida State ( Ankle )
[LB] 10/26/2014 - Lorenzo Mauldin injured last game, probable Thursday vs. Florida State ( Hamstring )
[KR/RB] 10/16/2014 - Corvin Lamb out for season ( ACL )
[WR] 10/11/2014 - Cameron Polk has been dismissed ( Legal problems )

__________________________________________________ __________________________________________


TROY
[CB] 09/11/2014 - Cardell Lue dismissed from team ( Disciplinary )
[LB] 10/14/2014 - Terris Lewis out indefinitely ( Hand )
[WR] 10/21/2014 - Brandon Brooks expected to miss Thursday vs. Georgia Southern ( Suspension )

Georgia Southern Eagles
TE Nardo Govan (9/18, knee) will miss the remainder of the season.​