Cnotes Novembers College Football Best Bets-Trends-News-Etc. !

Search

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
NCAAF opening line report: Alabama opens as 6-point road faves vs. LSU

Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU Tigers (+6)

Alabama, where Nick Saban coaches, hopes to keep its college football playoff hopes right on track. Louisiana State, where Saban once coached, would love to send the Crimson Tide right off the rails.

That matchup is the biggest of Week 11, as teams gear up for the final mad dash to the end of college football’s regular season.

The Crimson Tide sit at 7-1 SU and are coming off a bye after dropping Tennessee 34-20, but they fell short as a massive 20-point road favorite. In fact, ‘Bama is just 2-6 ATS, tied with a host of other teams for the third-worst spread-covering record in the nation.

Meanwhile, LSU is 7-2 SU and ATS and also coming off a bye after knocking off previously unbeaten Mississippi 10-7 as a 4-point home underdog. The Tigers have won and cashed three in a row since getting trounced 41-7 at Auburn as a 7-point pup.

“The bye came at a really good time for the Tigers, emotionally and physically. They’ve got renewed confidence after beating Ole Miss, which was a sloppy win,” said John Lester, senior lines manager for bookmaker.eu. “We’ll keep an eye on (Alabama running back) T.J. Yeldon’s status (foot injury) as the week progresses and we expect he’ll be fine, but there’s rarely a shortage of talent in ‘Bama’s backfield. No question the Tide should be favorites here.”

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Arizona State Sun Devils (-1.5)

Notre Dame (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) still harbors playoff hopes, but it can’t afford to lose another game, and even then will need a lot of help in the way of losses from higher-ranked teams. On Saturday, the Fighting Irish blew a 28-7 lead at Navy, ultimately having to rally for a 49-39 victory as a 14-point road chalk.

Likewise, ASU (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) has only one blemish on its record as it tries to claim the Pac-10 title. The Sun Devils fended off Utah 19-16 in overtime Saturday, falling short as 6.5-point home faves.

“The Irish have a chance to impress the playoff committee here, but I’m not confident they can get it done,” Lester said. “Navy's triple-option wears opponents out, and it did last week, so you have to wonder if there’ll be a defensive hangover. ASU’s protection along the line is certainly a concern. The Sun Devils will need to keep this contest low-scoring.”

Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan State Spartans (-3.5)

Michigan State (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) is definitely in the thick of the four-team playoff chase, coming off a 35-11 spanking of instate rival Michigan as a 17-point home chalk, then getting a bye this past weekend.

Ohio State (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS) is also coming off a bye and looking to play spoiler while shoring up its Big 10 title hopes. The Buckeyes barely held off Penn State in their last outing, winning 31-24 in overtime while failing to cover as a 14-point road fave.

“The postseason implications are huge, and we’ll have a ton of action on this marquee matchup,” Lester said. “There was no look-ahead for the Buckeyes last week, and they appear to be focused and prepared for this one. However, with the extra time and the home-field advantage, I like the Spartans to win again.”

Oregon Ducks at Utah Utes (+9.5)

Marcus Mariota and Oregon (8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS) aim to stay on track in the Pac-12 and in the national playoff picture. The Ducks come in off a 45-16 throttling of Stanford as a 7-point home favorite, their fourth straight win and cover since a stunning home upset loss to Arizona.

Utah has been an upstart this season and one of the best teams in the nation at the betting window, going 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS. On Saturday night, the Utes couldn’t get the win, but did get the cover in a 19-16 overtime loss at Arizona State as 6.5-point pups.

“Oregon passed the smell test against a very good Stanford defense, and they’ll have to do the same here because the Utes can certainly get after the quarterback,” Lester said. “Utah will aim to shorten this game. There’s no pressure on the home team here, they’ll be loose, and I expect they’ll have some wise-guy support. They’ve been fantastic against the number this year.”
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
College Betting Recap - Week 10

November 2, 2014
.

Overall Notes

College Football Week 10 Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 41-13
Against the Spread 34-19-1
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 24-29
Against the Spread 21-31-1
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 23-29-1

The largest underdog to cash
Wyoming (+15, ML +500) at Fresno State, 45-10

The largest favorite to cash
Baylor (-34.5) vs Kansas, 60-14

Top 25 Notes
-- Mississippi fell for the second straight week, and it was another heartbreaker that came down to the end, losing 35-31. Ole Miss opened the season 6-0-1 ATS through the first seven games, but they're 0-2 SU/ATS over the past two weeks. The 'over' also hit for the first time since Sept. 13 for the Rebs, mainly due to a defensive breakdown. Ole Miss had allowed an average of just 10.5 points per game (PPG) through their first eight games, and more than 15 points just twice.

-- Ole Miss was just one of two Top 10 teams to lose straight up. At least Ole Miss lost to a fellow Top 5 teams. Georgia is searching for answers after leaving Jacksonville with a 38-20 loss despite being a double-digit favorite. Florida picked up a much-needed win.

-- East Carolina stumbled hard at Temple, making several costly mistakes. The Pirates actually outgained the Owls 432-135 in total yards, but five lost fumbles was the key stat. After starting out 4-0 ATS, the Pirates are now 0-4 ATS over the past four outings.

-- Notre Dame and Navy hooked up in Landover, Md. for a 49-39 barn burner. The Irish allowed a total of 60 points through the first five games, but they have given up at least 31 points in each of the past three, giving up an average of 37.7 points per outing.

-- The game of the day might have been in Morgantown, as Texas Christian just edged West Virginia 31-30 in a battle between two hot teams. While the Horned Frogs won, they failed to cover for the first time in eight tries this season.

Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

-- The ACC might not like it, but Florida State is the banner carrier. If they lose, the league has no shot at a spot in the four-game playoff. The Seminoles started very slow at Louisville Thursday, but came back to not only win, but cover, too. That's a rarity, as the Seminoles were 1-6 ATS coming in. ... N.C. State picked up its first conference win of the season, and first since 2012, winning at Syracuse. While wins might be sparse, the Wolfpack is 5-2 ATS over the past seven. ... Georgia Tech roughed up Virginia 35-10. The Ramblin' Wreck is now 4-1-1 ATS in past six meetings with the Hoos. ... Duke outlasted Pittsburgh for a 51-48 double-overtime win. The Blue Devils lost to the Panthers 58-55 last season, meaning the teams have each scored 106 points against each other in the past two meetings.

-- Things were less chaotic in the Big 12, with the favorite going 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS, with the Horned Frogs as the lone non-cover. ... Kansas State was a two-touchdown favorite, and they took advantage of Oklahoma State playing without its leading rusher. K-State is now 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings. ... Baylor covered the biggest number of the day (-34.5) in a 60-14 win over Kansas. The Bears have hit the 60-point mark in four of their eight games, and they have 40 or more points in six of their eight outings.

-- Ohio State wasn't looking ahead to its huge battle at Michigan State next week. They humped up on Illinois 55-14, easily covering as a four-touchdown favorite. The Illini were unable to carry over momentum after its win against Minnesota last weekend. The Buckeyes have won six in a row, and they're 5-1 ATS since their loss to Virginia Tech Sept. 6. The 'over' has cashed in seven straight for OSU. ... Michigan might not be having its best season, but they're still not down far enough to lose to Indiana. The Wolverines have beaten the Hoosiers 19 straight times.

-- The late-night Pac-12 game is never dull. Utah misfired on a field goal in overtime, and Arizona State took advantage, winning 19-16. The Sun Devils claimed first place in the Pac-12 South Division as a result. ... UCLA posted a 17-7 win over Arizona, and the most shocking part of the result might be that the total was set at 71.5, but only 24 total points were scored. ... Many might have missed it, but California earned a road win and cover at Oregon State. Cal's win ended a 1-6 ATS run at Oregon State, and the favorite has cashed in each of the past four meetings.

-- Texas A&M stepped out of conference, and they played without QB Kenny Hill who was suspended for two games. They barely held off Louisiana-Monroe as a 32-point favorite, looking uninspired in a 21-16 win. The Aggies haven't covered in five games dating back to Sept. 20. ... Top-ranked Mississippi State held on for a hard-fought 17-10 win at home against Arkansas, failing to cover back-to-back games for the first time this season. ... Vanderbilt suddenly finds itself as a cover king. They started out 0-3 ATS this season, but have covered five of their past six after topping Old Dominion 42-28.

Mid-Major Report

-- In Conference USA play, Rice won 31-17 at Florida International, staying hot. Not only have the Owls won five in a row, but they have covered in each outing. The over has cashed in three straight for Rice, and five of the past six. ... Louisiana Tech shellacked Western Kentucky by a 59-10 count. The Bulldogs improved to 7-2 ATS this season.

-- There were just two games in the Mid-American Conference this week, as the league has two games scheduled for Tuesday, Nov. 4, and another two set for Wednesday, Nov. 5. ... Western Michigan routed Miami-Ohio 41-10, covering for the eighth consecutive game. ... Central Michigan won 38-7 at Eastern Michigan. The Chips have now covered in four of the past five, and the 'under' is also 4-1 in their past five games.

-- The Mountain West had one of the biggest shockers of the day. Wyoming rolled into Fresno State as a 15-point underdog and they blasted the Bulldogs 45-17. And this game was also a bad beat, too. (see below) ... Utah State hammered Hawaii 35-14, as the Warriors have now lost three straight games, including back-to-back games in the islands. Hawaii started out 3-0 ATS, but they're 1-4-1 ATS over the past six.

-- After a week off, New Mexico State resumed Sun Belt action. They fell to Texas State 37-29, but the 'over' hit for the Aggies again. The over is 7-1 in the past eight for NMSU. ... Louisiana-Lafayette has won four in a row, and they have covered three straight after its 19-9 win over South Alabama. ... Georgia Southern won 42-10 over Troy Thursday, picking up their sixth consecutive victory. They're ineligible for a bowl as they transition to FBS. But they are not taking their foot off the gas peddle, and they have now covered eight of their nine games this season.

Bad Beats

-- 'Under' bettors (58) were feeling good through three quarters in Wyoming-Fresno State, as there were just 31 total points, including a scoreless third quarter. However, the two sides combined for 31 points in the fourth quarter to just push the total over, including a Fresno State score with just 1:25 left.

-- Idaho ticket holders couldn't believe it. The Vandals were getting 15 points, and were down just 30-28 with 7:41 to go. But Arkansas State scored a pair of rushing touchdowns with 76 seconds, turning a potential Idaho cover and possible straight-up win into an ATS loss.

-- Purdue appeared to be in line for a cover as a three-touchdown dog, down 28-14 to Nebraska. However, the Huskers found the end zone with 2:00 left to turn Purdue cover tickets into either a loss or push depending on your shop. Either way, it stung quite a bit.

-- If you had Utah on the moneyline, ouch. They went overtime with Arizona State, and had the ball first in OT. The kicker for the Utes misfired on his first try, but a timeout called before the attempt gave him a second shot. He misfired again, giving the Sun Devils the ball. They converted a field goal and turned a potential straight-up win for Utah into a losing ticket.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
Top 25 Betting Recap - Week 10

November 3, 2014


Week 10 of the 2014 NCAA football betting season is in the books, and today, we're going to be taking a look at each of the Top 25 teams in the rankings and see how they did from an ATS perspective in this go around this past week.

(Results in parentheses represent SU Result-ATS Result)

1: Mississippi State (W-L vs. Arkansas 17-10)
The Dogs really had to fight to stay undefeated this week, and they look like they are about set to run out of magic.

2: Florida State (W-W vs. Louisville 42-31)
The Seminoles found themselves out of more trouble this week, coming back from down three TDs to beat the Cards.

3: Auburn (W-W vs. Ole Miss 35-31)
The Tigers are now owners of the two best road wins in the land this year at Kansas State and Ole Miss.

4: Ole Miss (L-L vs. Auburn 35-31)
It will be interesting to see whether Ole Miss has any shot of getting back into the playoff mix now. Probably not.

5: Oregon (W-W vs. Stanford 45-16)
Marcus Mariota has finally broken the hex and found a way to beat Stanford.

6: Alabama (Bye)

7: TCU (W-L vs. West Virginia 31-30)
Forcing five turnovers and kicking a field goal at the gun is all that kept TCU's playoff hopes alive.

8: Michigan State (Bye)

9: Kansas State (W-W vs. Oklahoma State 48-14)
All of a sudden, if the Wildcats win next week in Fort Worth, they can run away from the Big XII.

10: Notre Dame (W-L vs. Navy 49-39)
That's three straight games in which the Notre Dame defense has really struggled badly.

11: Georgia (L-L vs. Florida 38-20)
Mark Richt went from having his team on the verge of the playoffs to being on the verge of being out of a job.

12: Arizona (L-L vs. UCLA 17-7)
The farce known as Arizona is said and done with after the Wildcats were smacked at the Rose Bowl.

13: Baylor (W-W vs. Kansas 60-14)
Baylor is the forgotten team in the Big XII this year, but it is going to need some help to win the conference from here.

14: Arizona State (W-L vs. Utah 19-16)
The Sun Devils were able to crack the code of the Utes in close games.

15: Nebraska (W-P vs. Purdue 35-14)
Ameer Abdullah was hurt against Purdue, and that might be the end of Nebraska's season.

16: Ohio State (W-W vs. Illinois 55-14)
JT Barrett could make himself a legit Heisman contender if he can beat MSU next week.

17: Utah (L-W vs. Arizona State 19-16)
That's five straight games decided by six points or fewer for the Utes, who are 3-2 in those games.

18: Oklahoma (W-W vs. Iowa State 59-14)
Three men had over 100 rushing yards and four had at least 76 yards on the ground for the Sooners.

19: LSU (Bye)

20: West Virginia (L-W vs. TCU 31-30)
Clint Trickett picked a bad time to have the worst game of his season.

21: Clemson (Bye)

22: UCLA (W-W vs. Arizona 17-7)
Brett Hundley hasn't been spectacular, but he has been making the plays he has had to make to win games.

23: East Carolina (L-L vs. Temple 20-10)
It's doubtful that East Carolina will be the representative of the "Group of Five" this year in the New Year's Six bowls after losing to Temple.

24: Duke (W-W vs. Pittsburgh 51-48)
Duke took every shot that Pitt could throw at it on Saturday, yet it still won in OT to keep its ACC Coastal Division title dreams alive.

25: Louisville (L-L vs. Florida State 42-31)
The Cards should have at least covered against FSU, but they will rue the day they blew that three-TD lead against the defending champs.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
K-State's Lockett keeps breaking records

November 3, 2014


MANHATTAN, Kan. (AP) - Just imagine what the conversations will be like in the Lockett household around Thanksgiving dinner if Tyler Lockett can pick up a few more yards and score a couple more touchdowns.


Might start off something like this: ''So, Dad, what does it feel like to be No. 2?''

After another eye-opening performance in No. 9 Kansas State's 48-14 romp over Oklahoma State on Saturday, Lockett moved past current Packers star Jordy Nelson for second in school history in yards receiving and tied Quincy Morgan for second in career touchdown catches.

All that's standing between him and No. 1 is his father, Kevin Lockett.

''A lot of people have been telling me I've been getting really close,'' Tyler Lockett said. ''You get anxious every now and then, but it's not going to happen in one game. We still have four games left. If it happens, it's going to happen. You just have to go out there and play. You might look to see where you're at the end of games, but as long as we win, I'm OK with that.''

Especially with some big games coming up. The grind starts when Kansas State (7-1, 5-0 Big 12) visits No. 7 TCU on Saturday. Matchups with West Virginia and Baylor also loom.

Lockett finished with six catches for 94 yards and a touchdown against the Cowboys, giving him 2,877 yards receiving for his career. His father piled up 3,032 yards from 1993-96. And the youngster now has 23 touchdown catches, three back of his dad.

''It would be really cool if all those things happened on senior night. That would be an awesome experience,'' Lockett said, ''but I can only control what I can control.''

Either way, Lockett's father is happy the records will stay in the family.

''He said if anybody broke the records, he wanted it to be his son,'' Tyler Lockett said.

None of this was expected when Lockett came out of high school in Tulsa, Oklahoma. He was hardly recruited by the Sooners and Cowboys, the two major in-state schools. So he wound up taking the family path to Kansas State, where his uncle Aaron Lockett was also a star receiver.

''When he came, he could not catch a ball any better that I can, and he has worked at it,'' Kansas State coach Bill Snyder said. ''You've heard me say so many times that he is the last guy off the field. He's out catching punts, and he keeps the quarterbacks out there until they feel like they are not going to miss him. He works at it, and he cares.''

Lockett was voted second-team All-Big 12 as an all-purpose player as a freshman and emerged as one of the league's best wide receivers as a sophomore. Last year, he was first-team all-conference as a kick returner and wide receiver. He was among the nation's leading wide receivers, averaging more than 100 yards per game, even though he missed some time with an injury.

He hasn't slowed down as a senior, despite facing the opponent's best cornerback every week.

Lockett has caught 49 passes for 682 yards and five touchdowns, including 12 catches for 125 yards and two scores against Texas Tech. He also had his first career punt return touchdown.

In Saturday night's blowout of Oklahoma State, Lockett made a dazzling fingertip grab on a deep ball down the sideline, doing a somersault at the end of it. He also pulled in a touchdown pass with some nimble footwork in the corner of the end zone.

''I see all the stuff he does and I'm amazed by it,'' quarterback Jake Waters said. ''He's such a special player.''
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
Coach: No. 1 Miss State still improving

November 3, 2014


STARKVILLE, Miss. (AP) - Mississippi State's rise to No. 1 has been fueled by the Heisman-caliber play of quarterback Dak Prescott and dominant victories over top 10 opponents.

The Bulldogs' performance in recent victories to stay on top have been a little underwhelming.

Coach Dan Mullen, however, didn't appear overly concerned during Monday's press conference.

''Whatever opportunity presents itself, winning is the most important thing,'' Mullen said. ''Our guys have been able to do that. They've bought into that.''

The Bulldogs (8-0, 5-0 Southeastern Conference, No. 1 CFP) continue to maneuver unscathed through their league schedule, but slogged through victories over Kentucky and Arkansas. They had a suspect defense against the Wildcats and an inconsistent offense against the Razorbacks.

Now Mississippi State has a game on Saturday against UT Martin (5-5), a Football Championship Subdivision program that probably won't provide much competition.

Much bigger SEC Western Division challenges against Alabama (Nov. 15) and Ole Miss (Nov. 29) loom on the horizon. The way the Bulldogs have played the past few weeks, it's hard to figure out if they're ready for them.

Even Mullen conceded that some of the team's recent trends are disturbing. Mississippi State has eight turnovers over the past three games, including three in the first half against Arkansas that contributed to the early 10-0 hole the Bulldogs had to climb out of to win an 11th straight game.

Prescott's past three games have been fairly pedestrian - especially when he's throwing the ball. He's completed just 57.4 percent of his passes against Auburn, Kentucky and Arkansas, throwing three touchdowns and five interceptions.

Prescott threw two interceptions against Arkansas. Both were ugly.

''Poor reads, poor decision making,'' Mullen said.

But not all is bad for the Bulldogs. Running back Josh Robinson continues to have a stellar season, carrying Mississippi State's offense even when Prescott has a rough stretch.

He leads the SEC with 11 rushing touchdowns and is second with 951 yards on the ground. He even showed his ability as a pass catcher against Arkansas, grabbing a career-high six catches for 110 yards.

And the Mississippi State defense continues to be fantastic when it really matters. The Bulldogs are first in the SEC in red zone defense, giving up points just 57.1 percent of the time and only nine touchdowns in 28 opportunities.

Mullen said the turnovers are an obvious area of concern, but he also said his experienced team is improving, even if the recent victories have been fairly close.

''With a lot of veteran players, you don't see drastic improvements from week to week,'' Mullen said. ''Sometimes with a young team, you'll see a big jump from one week to the next. What I want to see is slight improvements.''

Mullen said Saturday's game offered a good learning experience for his team because they trailed at halftime. Mississippi State had only trailed seven minutes the entire season until Arkansas jumped out to 10-0 lead.

''Here we were trailing almost a whole game and still finding a way to win,'' Mullen said. ''That's something we improved on ... we found a way in a different type of situation and came out on top.''
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
WSU's Halliday out with broken ankle

November 3, 2014

SPOKANE, Wash. (AP) - Washington State quarterback Connor Halliday broke his ankle in Saturday's loss to Southern California and is out for the rest of the season.

That's according to football coach Mike Leach on Monday.

Halliday, the nation's passing leader, broke his ankle in the first quarter of Saturday's 44-17 loss to the Trojans. The injury occurred after Halliday completed a 14-yard pass and was twisting away from USC defensive tackle Leonard Williams, who fell on Halliday's legs.

Halliday had surgery Saturday and remains in the hospital, where he is receiving a steady stream of visits from coaches and teammates.

The senior from Spokane finishes his career with 11,304 passing yards, most in Washington State history and fourth-best ever in the Pac-12.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
Wyoming's Hill shines in all-around effort

November 3, 2014


Brian Hill showed a glimpse of what he was capable of when he ran for 121 yards in a loss at Colorado State last week.

The Wyoming running back followed with some eye-popping numbers Saturday in his first college start, breaking the Mountain West and school game records for all-purpose yards with 387 from scrimmage in a 45-17 victory at Fresno State.

The 6-foot-1, 204-pound Hill had the most rushing yards of anyone in the country for the week, finishing with 281 yards on 23 carries. He added 107 yards receiving on three catches, topping Fresno State's entire offensive output of 318 yards by himself.

The former Belleville, Illinois, high school star scored on runs of 32 and 66 yards in the romp, and added an 89-yard run in the fourth quarter - earning the second-best rushing performance in Wyoming history behind Kevin Lowe's 302-yard effort in 1984.

''On the last one, I felt like I was slow because I got brought down,'' Hill said, smiling.

The 387-yard effort topped the previous Mountain West mark of 378 yards was set by New Mexico's Deon Long in 2011.

Hill, who had a season total of 20 carries for 50 yards rushing prior to last week's game against Colorado State, has 402 yards rushing in his last two games.

He earned the Walter Camp National Player of the Week honors with his performance, but more importantly, he helped the Cowboys (4-5) snap a four-game losing streak.

''I'm always confident,'' Hill said. ''Right now, I'm just confident about the (offensive) line. I have all the confidence in the world, and I know the sky's the limit if we keep on playing like that.''

A look at some of the other outstanding performances around the country in college football's 10th week of the season:

OUTSTANIDNG OWLS: Temple had never beaten a ranked opponent at home before Saturday. Thanks to the effort of Praise Martin-Oguike, and an overall defensive effort that forced five East Carolina turnovers, the Owls shocked the Pirates 20-10.

The win was the third for Temple over a ranked opponent, and first since 1998 against Virginia Tech.

Martin-Oguike, a junior defensive end, was the catalyst for much of the defensive effort caused by the Owls - finishing with 1 1/2 sacks, 3 1/2 tackles for losses, three forced fumbles and a blocked field goal.

PANTHER POWER: Pittsburgh's slide continued in a double-overtime loss to Duke, the Panthers' fifth loss in their last six games.

Running back James Conner, however, starred despite Pittsburgh's woes - taking over the national rushing lead with a 263-yard effort in the loss. Conner, a sophomore who ran for 799 yards last season as a freshman, has 1,342 yards and 17 rushing touchdowns this season, 12 yards ahead of Western Michigan's Jarvion Franklin.

HALLIDAY'S END: Washington State quarterback Connor Halliday has been a regular all season when it comes to statistical highlights.

The senior's college career appears to have ended when broke his right leg in the first quarter Saturday in a 44-17 loss to Southern California.

Halliday still leads the country in total offense with an average of 415.8 yards through nine games for the Cougars. He also leads the country at 430.3 yards passing per game, nearly 55 yards ahead of second-place Brandon Doughty of Western Kentucky.

AGUAYO'S SHOCK: Only five kickers who have attempted at least one field goal per game this season remain perfect.

Florida State stalwart Roberto Aguayo is no longer on that list after his 41-yard miss in a 42-31 win over Louisville on Thursday night. The sophomore had made 23 consecutive field goals before the miss, dating to a win over Wake Forest last season. He 14 of 15 this year and 35 of 37 in his two seasons for the Seminoles.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
4th Quarter Covers - Week 10

November 3, 2014

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the tenth college football weekend and the first weekend of October. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows, get the details in this weekly column.

Florida State (-3½) 42, Louisville 31: A season-changing upset appeared on the way as Louisville stormed out to a 21-0 lead against last year’s national champions in the second quarter. Momentum did start to shift with a fumble recovery touchdown for the Seminoles just before halftime. Louisville got a stop and then went right down the field on its opening possession in the second half, but wound up settling for a short field goal. Florida State would then answer with a 68-yard pass play to get within 10 points. The Seminoles were within three points just minutes later after Dalvin Cook broke a 40-yard run and early in the fourth quarter, Florida State not only had the lead but they had passed the short road favorite spread that had dropped all week. Louisville had some fight left putting together a 77-yard drive to take the lead back with nine minutes to go, but the Seminoles added two late touchdowns with great field position playing a role after a short punt and after Louisville had to go for it on fourth down trailing late in the game.

Duke (+3) 51, Pittsburgh 48: For a second straight season, Pittsburgh and Duke played a wild high-scoring game. Duke did lead by three entering the fourth quarter, but the game was quickly tied but only for seconds as DeVon Edwards returned the next kickoff 99 yards for a Blue Devils touchdown. Pittsburgh was able to tie the game with just over five minutes to go and the Panthers got the ball back with a chance to go for the win. A great drive brought Pittsburgh down to the eight-yard line with the game-winning kick seemingly a formality, but Panthers kicker Chris Blewitt missed from 26 yards. Both teams struck for touchdowns with relative ease in the first overtime and in round two, Blewitt redeemed himself with a make from 43 yards to put the Panthers up. The exhausted defense could not hold as four rushes later, Duke was in the end zone for the win.

Maryland (+3) 20, Penn State 19: Penn State led 16-7 heading into the fourth quarter as the Maryland offense sputtered for a second straight game. The Terrapins took advantage of field position to get back in the game, however, connecting on a short field goal and then getting the ball back right away as Penn State fumbled on the kickoff. Just a few minutes into the fourth quarter, it was Maryland holding a 17-16 lead. After trading punts, Penn State took the lead back with a long field goal, but after another swap of punts including a short kick from the Lions, Maryland was able to secure the game- winner.

Auburn (+1) 35, Mississippi 31: The final margin in this game matched the final margin entering the fourth quarter, but not without great drama in the final minutes of one of the biggest games of the week. Ole Miss took a three-point lead less than a minute into the fourth quarter, but Auburn quickly answered with a 75-yard touchdown drive. On its next drive, the Rebels appeared poised to get back on top, but quarterback Bo Wallace fumbled inside the Auburn 10-yard line. After forcing the Tigers to punt, Mississippi had another great opportunity, but a fumble by receiver Laquon Treadwell right near the goal line saved Auburn again after the initial touchdown ruling was overturned on review.

Missouri (-7½) 20, Kentucky 10: Missouri was in control against Kentucky with a 20-3 lead more than halfway through the fourth quarter, but the Wildcats managed to get within 10 with just over three minutes to go. A backdoor cover looked probable for the Wildcats as they recovered the on-side kick and then with the help of a personal foul penalty, they were in field goal range. In a highly questionable coaching move, Mark Stoops opted to go for it on fourth down from the Missouri 21-yard line rather than kicking a field goal, down two scores with less than two minutes to go in the game. Kentucky still had three timeouts and the Wildcats actually did get the ball back and moved into Missouri territory again in the final seconds, but the scenario was much different still down two scores without what would have been a spread-stealing field goal.

Tennessee (+6) 45, South Carolina 42: South Carolina trailed 21-14 at halftime, but with three consecutive touchdowns, it was the Gamecocks in control up 35-21 early in the fourth quarter. Tennessee found the end zone with just over six minutes to go, but it appeared for naught as South Carolina quickly struck back, breaking a 70-yard run for a touchdown to put the lead back to 14 points with less than five minutes on the clock. It took a 10-play drive, but Tennessee managed to score with less than two minutes to go to keep hope alive but the on-side kick attempt failed. The Volunteers still had all three timeouts and they were able to force a punt though they were left with 85 yards to go. Joshua Dobbs led the two-minute drill brilliantly to force overtime with just 11 seconds to go. Tennessee went first in overtime and managed only a field goal, but South Carolina quarterback Dylan Thompson was sacked on back-to-back plays as the Gamecocks had to try a desperation 58-yard field goal to tie and fell short.

Oregon (-7) 45, Stanford 16: This huge Pac-12 North game featured a rather misleading final as Stanford was on the doorstep to score a touchdown late in the third quarter to get within four points. They instead had to settle for a 25-yard field goal to get within eight, still giving the underdog the cover on a spread that most of the week was higher than eight, opening all the way at 11½. Oregon completed a touchdown drive with three seconds left in the third quarter to go up by 15 and then taking advantage of short fields after a turnover and a poor punt, the Ducks added two more touchdowns in the final frame as the Ducks had only modest yardage edges in the game.

Louisiana (-7) 19, South Alabama 9: South Alabama led this game 9-6 at halftime and it was a tie game at 9-9 heading into the fourth quarter after the Ragin’ Cajuns settled for a second straight short field goal. Another short kick in the fourth put Louisiana up by three, but South Alabama appeared poised to at least tie the game, sitting with first and goal from the Louisiana 4-yard line. A fumble halted that scoring opportunity and Louisiana put together a 91-yard drive late in the fourth quarter to put the home favorite past the spread.

Vanderbilt (-7) 42, Old Dominion 28: Entering the fourth quarter, this game sat right on the closing spread with Vanderbilt leading 28-21, but the line was above a touchdown most of the week. The Commodores connected on a 50-yard pass play early in the fourth quarter and then Old Dominion’s opportunity to answer ended with an incompletion going for it on fourth down inside Vanderbilt territory. Both teams added late touchdowns as the home favorite held on.

California (+3½) 45, Oregon State 31: The Bears led 27-10 in the third quarter, but late drama has been the norm in California games this season. Oregon State would score three straight touchdowns to take a 31-27 lead early in the fourth quarter to take the lead while actually climbing past the closing spread. The Bears answered and then got an interception to take over the game, eventually pulling away for a 14-point victory as the Beavers failed to score on two late fourth quarter drives into California territory.

UCLA (-6½) 17, Arizona 7: UCLA led 17-7 through three quarters in a key Pac-12 South clash that was stunningly low scoring. The first three drives for Arizona in the fourth quarter were all three-and-outs, but after a UCLA fumble, the Wildcats seemed to have some momentum for a late rally. Arizona would drive all the way down to the UCLA 5-yard line with a touchdown potentially spoiling the favorite cover in the final seconds, but Anu Solomon was sacked on third-and-goal and the Wildcats went for the field goal down two scores. The kick was blocked to preserve a 10-point win for the Bruins.

Colorado State (-6) 38, San Jose State 31: The now 8-1 Rams were in a tie game late in the third quarter before completing a 15-play drive to lead by seven, just past the road favorite spread. San Jose State quickly answered to tie the game again, but the Rams seemingly pulled away with a 38-24 lead with just five minutes to go. San Jose State would score a touchdown late to get back within seven but the Rams held on.

Arizona State (-6½) 19, Utah 16: The Sun Devils led 13-6 at halftime, but Utah took the lead in the third quarter, up 16-13. The first half of the fourth quarter featured both offenses being shut down but Arizona State managed to hit a couple big plays to get into the red zone. They could not find the end zone, settling for a short field goal to tie the game. Both teams got to midfield in the final minutes, but overtime was needed. Those on the Sun Devils needed Arizona State to somehow get seven going first in overtime, but it was the Utes opening the extra session and missing a short field goal. That allowed Arizona State to conservatively set up the game-winner.

UTEP (-8) 35, Southern Miss 14: The Miners are not often this big of a favorite, but the Miners were up by 14 late in the third quarter looking to add more points. Southern Miss would block the field goal attempt and score a touchdown after a 78-yard return, a score that put the Golden Eagles in position to cover. The favor was returned two-fold in the fourth quarter with UTEP scoring on an interception return and a fumble return to create a 21-point final margin.

New Mexico (+1½) 31, UNLV 28: The Lobos had a 17-0 lead in this game, but by the end of the third quarter, UNLV had scored 21 straight points to lead by four as a slight home favorite. Both teams scored early in the fourth quarter, but New Mexico posted seven more points with just over a minute to go to complete a 15 play drive. UNLV had a long field goal attempt at the end of the game to force overtime, but it missed.

Nevada (-2) 30, San Diego State 14: The Aztecs led 14-13 entering the fourth quarter in this game before Nevada put together another good fortune fourth quarter to pull out another late win. Nevada pulled away with 17 points in the fourth quarter as the San Diego State offense faltered to create a misleading final in game that had nearly identical yardage numbers but a big turnover edge for the host.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
Lookin' Ahead to Week 11

November 2, 2014


Alabama at LSU

Let's start with Alabama at LSU in Baton Rouge. The offshore shop has 'Bama installed as a 7.5-point road favorite. After easily getting ahead of the number in a Week 9 win at Tennessee, the Crimson Tide allowed the Volunteers to rally and take the cash as 20-point home underdogs in a 34-20 loss.

Nick Saban's team has struggled badly in road 'chalk' roles recently, limping to a 1-7 spread record in its last eight such spots. Alabama is 0-3 versus the number in three road assignments this year, failing to cover at Ole Miss, at Arkansas and at Tennessee.

LSU has lost three in a row to 'Bama, including last year's 38-17 setback in Tuscaloosa in a game that was much closer than the final score indicated. The Tide covered the spread as an 11-point home favorite.

When these teams collided in Baton Rouge in 2012 with first place in the SEC West at stake, 'Bama won a 21-17 decision thanks to a clutch drive in the final two minutes. With less than a minute remaining on third down inside LSU territory, A.J. McCarron hit T.J. Yeldon on a screen pass with LSU blitzing and the then-freshman running back took it to the house for the game-winning score. The Tigers took the money, however, as 8.5-point underdogs.

With last week's 10-7 win over Ole Miss as a three-point home underdog, LSU improved to 7-2 both straight up and against the spread. The Tigers have won three straight and four of its last five both SU and ATS. During Les Miles's 10-year tenure, they are now 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS as home 'dogs.

Both teams have an open date to get ready for Saturday's prime-time matchup under the lights at Tiger Stadium.

Ohio State at Michigan State

Sportsbook has Michigan State listed as a 3.5-point home favorite vs. Ohio State. The Spartans have won six in a row, while going 4-2 ATS, since suffering their only loss at Oregon back in Week 2. They have an open date to prep for the Buckeyes after spanking in-state rival Michigan by a 35-11 count in East Lansing.

With the addition of Maryland and Rutgers into the Big Ten, these teams reside in the same division (East) unlike last season. They collided in the Big Ten Championship Game last season, with Mark Dantonio's team handing Ohio St. its first loss of the Urban Meyer Era. Michigan St. won 34-24 as a five-point underdog.

In 2012, Ohio St. escaped Spartan Stadium with a 17-16 victory as a 2.5-point road underdog. That same season, the Buckeyes won 21-14 at Wisconsin as 2.5-point puppies. Those are the only two previous occasions in which Meyer's squad has been an underdog on his watch.

Michigan St. is 4-1 ATS as a home 'chalk' this year. The lone non-cover came in a 27-22 win over Nebraska when the Cornhuskers rallied from a 27-3 deficit in the final stanza to post the backdoor cover catching 6.5 points.

While Michigan St. has an open date this weekend, Ohio St. falls into a look-ahead situation at home vs. Illinois.

Baylor at Oklahoma

Sportsbook has Oklahoma favored by three vs. Baylor for their showdown in Norman. Both schools had open dates this past weekend and are back on the field Saturday. The Bears host Kansas and the Sooners venture to Ames for a battle against Iowa St.

Bob Stoops's squad will be in revenge mode after getting smashed 41-16 as a 16.5-point road underdog in Waco last year. Baylor has won two of the last three head-to-head meetings, covering the spread in all three of those contests.

OU, which has lost two of its last three games, is in the rare role of spoiler here. The Sooners saw its hopes of going to the College Football Playoff almost certainly dashed in their 31-30 home loss to Kansas St. on Oct. 18.

Baylor remains in the mix but undoubtedly has to win out. To do so, Art Briles's team will have to win in Norman for the first time ever.

Baylor hasn't been an underdog in 21 consecutive games if we can count this week's 'chalk' spot vs. KU. The Bears were last 'dogs in the 2012 Holiday Bowl when they crushed UCLA, 49-26. They are 7-1 ATS with four outright victories in their last eight games as 'dogs.

Notre Dame at Arizona State

Sportsbook has Arizona State tabbed as a two-point home favorite vs. Notre Dame. The Sun Devils will be looking to avenge a 37-34 loss to the Fighting Irish at Jerry World in Arlington last season.

Todd Graham's team has three remaining games against one-loss schools and controls its destiny to get to the Pac-12 Championship Game. In other words, ASU will find itself in the College Football Playoff if it wins the rest of its games.

The same can be said for Brian Kelly's team, which closes the regular season at Southern Cal. It also hosts Louisville in South Bend in a game that will become bigger if U of L can upset unbeaten Florida St. on Thursday night.

Notre Dame owns a 6-2 spread record in eight games as a road 'dog during Kelly's tenure. Meanwhile, ASU is 9-5 ATS as a home favorite on Graham's watch.

ASU has a huge game in Tempe this weekend against Utah, while Notre Dame is in Landover to face Navy.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
NCAAF opening line report: Alabama opens as 6-point road faves vs. LSU

Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU Tigers (+6)

Alabama, where Nick Saban coaches, hopes to keep its college football playoff hopes right on track. Louisiana State, where Saban once coached, would love to send the Crimson Tide right off the rails.

That matchup is the biggest of Week 11, as teams gear up for the final mad dash to the end of college football’s regular season.

The Crimson Tide sit at 7-1 SU and are coming off a bye after dropping Tennessee 34-20, but they fell short as a massive 20-point road favorite. In fact, ‘Bama is just 2-6 ATS, tied with a host of other teams for the third-worst spread-covering record in the nation.

Meanwhile, LSU is 7-2 SU and ATS and also coming off a bye after knocking off previously unbeaten Mississippi 10-7 as a 4-point home underdog. The Tigers have won and cashed three in a row since getting trounced 41-7 at Auburn as a 7-point pup.

“The bye came at a really good time for the Tigers, emotionally and physically. They’ve got renewed confidence after beating Ole Miss, which was a sloppy win,” said John Lester, senior lines manager for bookmaker.eu. “We’ll keep an eye on (Alabama running back) T.J. Yeldon’s status (foot injury) as the week progresses and we expect he’ll be fine, but there’s rarely a shortage of talent in ‘Bama’s backfield. No question the Tide should be favorites here.”

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Arizona State Sun Devils (-1.5)

Notre Dame (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) still harbors playoff hopes, but it can’t afford to lose another game, and even then will need a lot of help in the way of losses from higher-ranked teams. On Saturday, the Fighting Irish blew a 28-7 lead at Navy, ultimately having to rally for a 49-39 victory as a 14-point road chalk.

Likewise, ASU (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) has only one blemish on its record as it tries to claim the Pac-10 title. The Sun Devils fended off Utah 19-16 in overtime Saturday, falling short as 6.5-point home faves.

“The Irish have a chance to impress the playoff committee here, but I’m not confident they can get it done,” Lester said. “Navy's triple-option wears opponents out, and it did last week, so you have to wonder if there’ll be a defensive hangover. ASU’s protection along the line is certainly a concern. The Sun Devils will need to keep this contest low-scoring.”

Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan State Spartans (-3.5)

Michigan State (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) is definitely in the thick of the four-team playoff chase, coming off a 35-11 spanking of instate rival Michigan as a 17-point home chalk, then getting a bye this past weekend.

Ohio State (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS) is also coming off a bye and looking to play spoiler while shoring up its Big 10 title hopes. The Buckeyes barely held off Penn State in their last outing, winning 31-24 in overtime while failing to cover as a 14-point road fave.

“The postseason implications are huge, and we’ll have a ton of action on this marquee matchup,” Lester said. “There was no look-ahead for the Buckeyes last week, and they appear to be focused and prepared for this one. However, with the extra time and the home-field advantage, I like the Spartans to win again.”

Oregon Ducks at Utah Utes (+9.5)

Marcus Mariota and Oregon (8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS) aim to stay on track in the Pac-12 and in the national playoff picture. The Ducks come in off a 45-16 throttling of Stanford as a 7-point home favorite, their fourth straight win and cover since a stunning home upset loss to Arizona.

Utah has been an upstart this season and one of the best teams in the nation at the betting window, going 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS. On Saturday night, the Utes couldn’t get the win, but did get the cover in a 19-16 overtime loss at Arizona State as 6.5-point pups.

“Oregon passed the smell test against a very good Stanford defense, and they’ll have to do the same here because the Utes can certainly get after the quarterback,” Lester said. “Utah will aim to shorten this game. There’s no pressure on the home team here, they’ll be loose, and I expect they’ll have some wise-guy support. They’ve been fantastic against the number this year.”
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 11


Tuesday, November 4

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOWLING GREEN (5 - 3) at AKRON (4 - 4) - 11/4/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in November games since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 2-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 2-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TOLEDO (5 - 3) at KENT ST (1 - 7) - 11/4/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Wednesday, November 5

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (3 - 5) at OHIO U (4 - 5) - 11/5/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 1-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ILLINOIS (6 - 2) at BALL ST (3 - 5) - 11/5/2014, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, November 6

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEMSON (6 - 2) at WAKE FOREST (2 - 6) - 11/6/2014, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 2-0 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, November 7

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (5 - 3) at TEMPLE (5 - 3) - 11/7/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 1-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH ST (6 - 3) at WYOMING (4 - 5) - 11/7/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 1-0 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 1-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, November 8

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PENN ST (4 - 4) at INDIANA (3 - 5) - 11/8/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in November games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 1-1 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA (6 - 2) at KENTUCKY (5 - 4) - 11/8/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISIANA TECH (6 - 3) at UAB (5 - 4) - 11/8/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA (6 - 2) at MINNESOTA (6 - 2) - 11/8/2014, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 2-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN (4 - 5) at NORTHWESTERN (3 - 5) - 11/8/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA TECH (7 - 2) at NC STATE (5 - 4) - 11/8/2014, 12:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISCONSIN (6 - 2) at PURDUE (3 - 6) - 11/8/2014, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 2-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA MONROE (3 - 5) at APPALACHIAN ST (3 - 5) - 11/8/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
LA MONROE is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
LA MONROE is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
LA MONROE is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DUKE (7 - 1) at SYRACUSE (3 - 6) - 11/8/2014, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (4 - 3) at VANDERBILT (3 - 6) - 11/8/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANDERBILT is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISVILLE (6 - 3) at BOSTON COLLEGE (6 - 3) - 11/8/2014, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA ST (2 - 6) at KANSAS (2 - 6) - 11/8/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS is 63-93 ATS (-39.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 76-103 ATS (-37.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 69-102 ATS (-43.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) in November games since 1992.
KANSAS is 44-72 ATS (-35.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S ALABAMA (5 - 3) at ARKANSAS ST (5 - 3) - 11/8/2014, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULANE (2 - 6) at HOUSTON (5 - 3) - 11/8/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 81-110 ATS (-40.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
TULANE is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
HOUSTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA ST (1 - 8) at TROY (1 - 8) - 11/8/2014, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTSA (2 - 6) at RICE (5 - 3) - 11/8/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 68-41 ATS (+22.9 Units) in home games since 1992.
RICE is 68-41 ATS (+22.9 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
RICE is 57-23 ATS (+31.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
RICE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
RICE is 52-25 ATS (+24.5 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
RICE is 104-73 ATS (+23.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
RICE is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
RICE is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
RICE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
RICE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
RICE is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
RICE is 2-0 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
RICE is 2-0 straight up against UTSA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA INTERNATIONAL (3 - 6) at OLD DOMINION (3 - 6) - 11/8/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
OLD DOMINION is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W VIRGINIA (6 - 3) at TEXAS (4 - 5) - 11/8/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
W VIRGINIA is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 1-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCLA (7 - 2) at WASHINGTON (6 - 3) - 11/8/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
UCLA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
UCLA is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 74-103 ATS (-39.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SMU (0 - 7) at TULSA (1 - 7) - 11/8/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on turf this season.
TULSA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 29-49 ATS (-24.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
TULSA is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (2 - 6) vs. ARMY (2 - 6) - 11/8/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in November games since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
ARMY is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARMY is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARMY is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) against American Athletic conference opponents since 1992.
ARMY is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ARMY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
ARMY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS A&M (6 - 3) at AUBURN (7 - 1) - 11/8/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALABAMA (7 - 1) at LSU (7 - 2) - 11/8/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
LSU is 34-55 ATS (-26.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
LSU is 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
LSU is 12-30 ATS (-21.0 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 1-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BAYLOR (7 - 1) at OKLAHOMA (6 - 2) - 11/8/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BAYLOR is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BAYLOR is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 1-1 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA (4 - 5) at FLORIDA ST (8 - 0) - 11/8/2014, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTEP (5 - 3) at W KENTUCKY (3 - 5) - 11/8/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
UTEP is 32-54 ATS (-27.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
W KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON ST (2 - 7) at OREGON ST (4 - 4) - 11/8/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
OREGON ST is 105-78 ATS (+19.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OREGON ST is 100-70 ATS (+23.0 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OREGON ST is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
OREGON ST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AIR FORCE (6 - 2) at UNLV (2 - 7) - 11/8/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 70-105 ATS (-45.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UNLV is 2-0 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 2-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IDAHO (1 - 7) at SAN DIEGO ST (4 - 4) - 11/8/2014, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 37-62 ATS (-31.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
IDAHO is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
IDAHO is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARSHALL (8 - 0) at SOUTHERN MISS (3 - 6) - 11/8/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 2-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 2-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 6) at NORTH TEXAS (2 - 6) - 11/8/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
NORTH TEXAS is 1-0 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GA SOUTHERN (7 - 2) at TEXAS ST (5 - 3) - 11/8/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GA SOUTHERN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
GA SOUTHERN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
GA SOUTHERN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (2 - 7) at ARIZONA (6 - 2) - 11/8/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 99-132 ATS (-46.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 48-79 ATS (-38.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 70-105 ATS (-45.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in November games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
ARIZONA is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-1 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOISE ST (6 - 2) at NEW MEXICO (3 - 5) - 11/8/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 119-78 ATS (+33.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 119-78 ATS (+33.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 97-64 ATS (+26.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 72-48 ATS (+19.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 84-58 ATS (+20.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in November games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 77-49 ATS (+23.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 2-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAWAII (2 - 7) at COLORADO ST (8 - 1) - 11/8/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 2-0 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO ST (7 - 1) at MICHIGAN ST (7 - 1) - 11/8/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 161-116 ATS (+33.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 161-116 ATS (+33.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 64-41 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 64-41 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 105-73 ATS (+24.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 149-102 ATS (+36.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 123-91 ATS (+22.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OHIO ST is 115-82 ATS (+24.8 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OHIO ST is 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAFAYETTE (5 - 3) at NEW MEXICO ST (2 - 7) - 11/8/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 74-104 ATS (-40.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 33-60 ATS (-33.0 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NOTRE DAME (7 - 1) at ARIZONA ST (7 - 1) - 11/8/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON (8 - 1) at UTAH (6 - 2) - 11/8/2014, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
UTAH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTAH is 57-32 ATS (+21.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
OREGON is 132-101 ATS (+20.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 1-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS ST (7 - 1) at TCU (7 - 1) - 11/8/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
TCU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
TCU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
TCU is 62-37 ATS (+21.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 112-79 ATS (+25.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE ST (3 - 5) at FRESNO ST (3 - 6) - 11/8/2014, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE ST is 1-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
NCAAF

Week 11


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tuesday, November 4

8:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. AKRON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Bowling Green's last 6 games when playing Akron
Bowling Green is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Akron
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games
Akron is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games

8:00 PM
TOLEDO vs. KENT STATE
Toledo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toledo's last 9 games
Kent State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Kent State is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games


Wednesday, November 5

8:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. OHIO
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Buffalo is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Ohio's last 12 games at home
Ohio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. BALL STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 6 games when playing Ball State
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ball State
Ball State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
Ball State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home


Thursday, November 6

7:30 PM
CLEMSON vs. WAKE FOREST
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Clemson's last 5 games when playing on the road against Wake Forest
Clemson is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Clemson
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 6 games when playing Clemson


Friday, November 7

7:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. TEMPLE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 10 games on the road
Memphis is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Temple is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
Temple is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
UTAH STATE vs. WYOMING
Utah State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Utah State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Wyoming
Wyoming is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Wyoming is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home


Saturday, November 8

12:00 PM
GEORGIA vs. KENTUCKY
Georgia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kentucky
Kentucky is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games
Kentucky is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

12:00 PM
LOUISIANA TECH vs. UAB
Louisiana Tech is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UAB's last 5 games
UAB is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games

12:00 PM
PRESBYTERIAN vs. MISSISSIPPI
Presbyterian is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Presbyterian is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 6 games at home

12:00 PM
PENN STATE vs. INDIANA
Penn State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Penn State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Indiana is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games when playing Penn State
Indiana is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

12:00 PM
SOUTHERN METHODIST vs. TULSA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games when playing Tulsa
Southern Methodist is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Tulsa
Tulsa is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Southern Methodist
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 6 games when playing Southern Methodist

12:00 PM
IOWA vs. MINNESOTA
Iowa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games at home

12:00 PM
BAYLOR vs. OKLAHOMA
Baylor is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games when playing Oklahoma
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baylor's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma's last 5 games

12:00 PM
UTSA vs. RICE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of UTSA's last 10 games on the road
UTSA is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rice's last 6 games
Rice is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

12:00 PM
WISCONSIN vs. PURDUE
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Purdue
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wisconsin's last 5 games when playing on the road against Purdue
Purdue is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Purdue is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games

12:30 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Georgia Tech is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of North Carolina State's last 17 games at home
North Carolina State is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home

12:30 PM
DUKE vs. SYRACUSE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Duke's last 9 games on the road
Duke is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games at home
Syracuse is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:00 PM
GEORGIA STATE vs. TROY
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia State's last 9 games
Georgia State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Troy is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Troy's last 13 games at home

3:00 PM
SOUTH ALABAMA vs. ARKANSAS STATE
South Alabama is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
South Alabama is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas State's last 9 games
Arkansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
IOWA STATE vs. KANSAS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games
Iowa State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas's last 6 games when playing at home against Iowa State
Kansas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa State

3:30 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. ARMY
Connecticut is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Connecticut is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Army is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games at home
Army is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

3:30 PM
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. OLD DOMINION
Florida International is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games
Florida International is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 6 games
Old Dominion is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
MICHIGAN vs. NORTHWESTERN
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan's last 7 games when playing Northwestern
Michigan is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Northwestern
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern's last 7 games when playing Michigan
Northwestern is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Michigan

3:30 PM
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. APPALACHIAN STATE
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Appalachian State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Appalachian State is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games

3:30 PM
TEXAS A&M vs. AUBURN
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas A&M's last 5 games
Texas A&M is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Auburn's last 10 games at home

3:30 PM
TULANE vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tulane's last 5 games
Tulane is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulane
Houston is 9-0-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Tulane

3:30 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of West Virginia's last 5 games
West Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas's last 10 games at home
Texas is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home

3:30 PM
NOTRE DAME vs. ARIZONA STATE
Notre Dame is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona State's last 6 games at home
Arizona State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

4:00 PM
AIR FORCE vs. UNLV
Air Force is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Air Force is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UNLV's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UNLV's last 6 games

4:00 PM
WASHINGTON STATE vs. OREGON STATE
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington State's last 12 games when playing Oregon State
Washington State is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Oregon State
Oregon State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon State's last 7 games at home

4:00 PM
TENNESSEE-MARTIN vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
Tennessee-Martin is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tennessee-Martin is 1-18 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Mississippi State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Mississippi State's last 9 games at home

4:00 PM
GA SOUTHERN vs. TEXAS STATE
Ga Southern is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ga Southern's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Texas State's last 13 games
Texas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

4:00 PM
TEXAS EL PASO vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
Texas El Paso is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Texas El Paso is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games at home
Western Kentucky is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

6:30 PM
IDAHO vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
Idaho is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games
Idaho is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games
San Diego State is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
San Diego State is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games

6:30 PM
VIRGINIA vs. FLORIDA STATE
Virginia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida State
Virginia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Florida State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games
Florida State is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games

7:00 PM
UCLA vs. WASHINGTON
UCLA is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
UCLA is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games

7:00 PM
FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. NORTH TEXAS
Florida Atlantic is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing North Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida Atlantic's last 7 games when playing North Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of North Texas's last 15 games at home
North Texas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home

7:00 PM
HAWAII vs. COLORADO STATE
Hawaii is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games
Hawaii is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 6 games
Colorado State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
MARSHALL vs. SOUTHERN MISS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Marshall's last 9 games on the road
Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Miss is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games
Southern Miss is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games

7:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. NEW MEXICO
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico
Boise State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
New Mexico is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games

7:15 PM
LOUISVILLE vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
Louisville is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Louisville's last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston College's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games

7:30 PM
FLORIDA vs. VANDERBILT
Florida is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games
Vanderbilt is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
Vanderbilt is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
KANSAS STATE vs. TCU
Kansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
TCU is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of TCU's last 10 games

8:00 PM
OHIO STATE vs. MICHIGAN STATE
Ohio State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ohio State's last 6 games on the road
Michigan State is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Ohio State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 6 games when playing Ohio State

8:00 PM
COLORADO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games at home

8:00 PM
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE vs. NEW MEXICO STATE
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Mexico State's last 8 games
New Mexico State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
ALABAMA vs. LSU
Alabama is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing LSU
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Alabama's last 15 games on the road
LSU is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
LSU is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home

10:00 PM
OREGON vs. UTAH
Oregon is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Oregon is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games at home

10:30 PM
SAN JOSE STATE vs. FRESNO STATE
San Jose State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Jose State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Fresno State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose State
Fresno State is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing San Jose State
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11


Tuesday's games
Bowling Green won last five games with Akron (4-1 vs spread), with four of five wins by 14+ points. Falcons won 24-10/37-33 in their last two visits to Akron. BG hasn't played in 17 days; they're 2-2 on road, allowing 42+ points in three of four games- since 2006, they're 21-13 as road underdogs, 0-1 this year. Akron is 2-3-1 as home fave with Bowden as coach, 0-1-1 this year- they lost last two games, but won last two at home by 25-10 points. MAC home favorites are 5-12 against spread in conference play.

Toledo won four of last five games, is 0-7 vs spread in last seven; they're 1-2 on road, with only win by point in OT at Western Michigan. Toledo is 4-0 in MAC, winning by average of 34-27- only one of its four wins was by more than 11 points. Kent lost three of its last four home games, losing by 3-10-23 points; they're 1-4 as home underdog under Haynes. Toledo-Kent haven't met since 2010; this is Rockets' first visit to Kent since '06-- favorites covered last three series games. MAC home dogs are 6-7 against the spread.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 11


Bowling Green at Akron
The Falcons look to bounce back from their loss to and come into tonight's contest at Akron with a 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. Bowling Green is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Zips favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+7). Here are all of Tuesday's and Wednesday's NCAA Football picks.

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 4

Game 101-102: Bowling Green at Akron (8:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 71.425; Akron 73.461
Dunkel Line: Akron by 2; 51
Vegas Line: Akron by 7; 58
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+7); Under

Game 103-104: Toledo at Kent State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 88.383; Kent State 66.459
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 22; 58
Vegas Line: Toledo by 13 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-13 1/2); Over
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
NCAAF

Tuesday, November 4


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tuesday college football betting preview: Bowling Green at Akron, Toledo at Kent State
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Bowling Green Falcons at Akron Zips (-7, 58)

The Bowling Green Falcons will look to retain their hold on top spot in the Mid-American Conference's East Division as they visit InfoCision Stadium on Tuesday night for a date with the rival Akron Zips. The Falcons are coming off their first conference loss of the season last time out, a 26-14 setback to Western Michigan. The Zips should provide a stiff challenge as they return home following disappointing road losses to Ohio and Ball State.

Akron is coming off its most disappointing result of the season, having built a 21-6 lead against the Cardinals before surrendering 29 unanswered points and going scoreless in the second half. The Zips fell victim to five turnovers - including four interceptions thrown by Tommy Woodson, who came into the game with just two picks in his first six games. The Falcons have won two straight road games, scoring an average of 39 points in those victories.

TV:
8 p.m. ET, ESPN2.

WEATHER:
Temperatures will be in the low-50s and forecasts are calling for a 42 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow across the field at 13 mph.

ABOUT BOWLING GREEN (5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS, 4-4 O/U):
Sophomore quarterback James Knapke had a rough go of it in the loss to Western Michigan, completing 20 of 33 passes for 139 yards while failing to throw a touchdown pass for just the second time all season. Junior running back Travis Greene leads the Bowling Green ground assault, but has been held under 75 yards in each of his last three outings after reaching triple digits in three of the previous four. Roger Lewis paces the receiving corps with 53 catches for 706 yards and three scores.

ABOUT AKRON (4-4 SU, 2-6 ATS, 2-6 O/U):
Pohl has missed the last two games for the Zips, and his absence has been felt dramatically; the junior pivot has 1,289 passing yards and seven touchdowns while throwing just three interceptions on the season. Woodson has started both games in Pohl's absence, completing just over 50 percent of his passes while throwing three TD passes and getting picked off six times. Conor Hundley (69 carries, 407 yards, three TDs) and Jawon Chisholm (54 carries, 253 yards, three TDs) lead a two-pronged rush attack.

TRENDS:

* Bowling Green is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 November games.
* Akron is 1-6 ATS in its last seven home games against teams with winning road records.
* Under is 7-0 in Falcons' last seven games following a double-digit loss at home.
* Favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.



Toledo Rockets at Kent State Golden Flashes (+13.5, 55)

The Toledo Rockets are flying high as they look to remain unbeaten in Mid-American Conference play Tuesday evening against the struggling Kent State Golden Flashes. The Rockets overcame a crushing road loss to Iowa State in style, surviving some nervous moments before ultimately prevailing 42-35 over visiting Massachusetts. The Golden Flashes aren't likely to put up much resistance, having scored more than 17 points just once all season.

The secret to Toledo's success so far in 2014: a potent rushing game that ranks among the top 20 in the nation in yards per game (248.4). That ground assault was on full display in the win over the Minutemen, as the Rockets racked up 295 rushing yards - 198 provided by Kareem Hunt - to overcome a 438-yard passing effort from Massachusetts quarterback Blake Frohnapfel. Kent State managed just 285 total yards in last week's 10-3 loss to Miami (Ohio).

TV:
8 p.m. ET, ESPNU

WEATHER:
Temperatures will be in the low-50s with a 41 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow across the field at 12 mph.

ABOUT TOLEDO (5-3 SU, 2-6 ATS, 6-2 O/U):
The Rockets' aerial attack is guided by sophomore Logan Woodside, who tied a season high with three touchdown passes while amassing 225 yards against the Minutemen. Woodside has done well to keep his composure away from Toledo, throwing for five TDs against just one interception in three road games in 2014. Hunt (85 carries, 725 yards, eight touchdowns) has a partner in crime in the backfield, joining with Terry Swanson (81 carries, 586 yards, six TDs) to form a lethal 1-2 punch.

ABOUT KENT STATE (1-7 SU, 2-6 ATS, 3-4-1 O/U):
Second-year quarterback Colin Reardon was at his best in the Golden Flashes' lone victory of the season Oct. 18 over Army, throwing for 360 yards with three touchdowns. He came back to Earth the following week - completing just 21 of 39 passes for 201 yards and an interception - and could be in for a long night against a Kent State defense allowing just 209 passing yards per game. The Kent State running game has been virtually nonexistent, averaging just 2.7 yards on 221 carries.

TRENDS:

* Toledo is 1-8 ATS in its last eight games following a bye week.
* Kent State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games following an SU loss.
* Over is 7-2 in Rockets' last nine games.
* Under is 3-0-1 in Golden Flashes' last four conference games.

 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
NCAAF

Tuesday, November 4



Rain on tap for MAC games Tuesday

The Mid-American Conference takes center stage Tuesday evening as Akron hosts Bowling Green and Toledo visits Kent State. According to weather reports, there is a chance of rain and some wind in store for both games.

At Akron, forecasts are calling for a 42 percent chance of rain with wind blowing across the field at around 12 mph. Temperatures will start in the low-50s and dip to the high-40s as the game progresses.

At Kent State's Dix Stadium, similar conditions are in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the low-50s before dropping to the high-40s and there is a 40 percent chance of rain which increases to 79 percent later in the game.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
NCAAF

Tuesday, November 4



Secondary could be an issue for Bowling Green

Bowling Green enters their clash with Akron trying to cement their status as the top team in the MAC, but they will need to improve their passing defense. So far this season, the Falcons are allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 64.93 percent of their passes which ranks them No.114 in the nation.

BGU will face a Zips team that is throwing on 60.34 percent of their offensive plays, which has them ranked fifth in the country for passing frequency.

Bowling Green is currently 6.5-point road dogs Tuesday.
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 11


Tuesday, Nov. 4

Bowling Green at Akron, 8:00 ET

Bowling Green: 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents
Akron: 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival

Toledo at Kent State, 8:00 ET
Toledo: 12-0 UNDER (+12.0 Units) in road games after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game
Kent State: 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after scoring 9 points or less last game
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,924
Tokens
Tuesday, November 4

Game Score Status Pick Amount


Bowling Green - 8:00 PM ET Bowling Green +4 500 TRIPLE PLAY

Akron - Under 59.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY


Toledo - 8:00 PM ET Toledo -13.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Kent State - Over 57 500 DOUBLE PLAY
 

Member
Joined
Jun 14, 2006
Messages
53,694
Tokens
C/note..........good luck tonight........not sure what to do, probably watch the game only.......indy
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,810
Messages
13,573,528
Members
100,877
Latest member
kiemt5385
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com