Cnotes National Basketball League October-November Picks/Trends/News !!

[CNOTES]

NBA knowledge


Hot teams
-- Kings, Heat both won three of last four games (Sac 1-2AU, Miami 4-2HF).
-- Golden State is unbeaten, but 3-5 vs spread last eight games.


Cold teams
-- Cavaliers lost last two games, by 3-5 points (2-3HF). Bucks lost three of last four games (3-1AU).
-- Clippers lost four of their last six games )-0HU).


Series records
-- Heat won nine of last ten with Sacramento (7-3 vs spread).
-- Cavaliers are 5-3 in last eight games with Milwaukee, but Bucks are 7-2 vs spread in last nine series games.
-- Clippers lost four of last five games with Golden State.


Totals
-- Last nine Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Cleveland games went over total.
-- Five of last six Clipper games went over total.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday's six-pack


NFL trends with Week 11 around the corner........


-- Carolina is 14-7-2 as a home favorite.


-- Green Bay hasn't covered any of its last four games.


-- Chargers covered only three of last ten post-bye games.


-- Tennessee is 7-16-2 in its last 25 games as an underdog. .


-- Bengals are 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine games.


-- Buffalo covered 12 of its last 17 divisional games.


Thursday's List of 13: Doing ome thinking out loud.....


13) Mavericks 112, 76ers 85-- Philly is 0-13 after turning ball over 31 times; how does the NBA allow this mess to happen? How does the 76ers' owner not fire the GM who created this debacle? The league should buy out the owner and find someone who actually will try to win-- the current regime is not.


12) Providence 60, Illinois 59-- Thanks to the Big East/Big 14 for creating a terrific series of games to start the season. Illini had three shots in last 0:10 to win this, one of which was a putback dunk that somehow rattled out of the hoop. Tough loss for an Illinois squad that has also lost to North Florida already this year.


11) There are 11 Division I basketball coaches who have also been head coaches in the NBA; can you name them? (answer tomorrow)


10) Notre Dame-Boston College play football at Fenway Park Saturday night; the first sporting event Vin Scully ever broadcast was a Fordham-Boston U football game at Fenway many, many years ago. Always interesting to see how they lay out the football field in a place where football isn't usually played.


9) How is Gregg Popovich not in the Basketball Hall of Fame?


8) University of North Dakota teams used to be called the Fighting Sioux, until our ridiculously politically correct government made them lose the nickname. As a protest of sorts, the school went several years without a nickname, but finally settled on the Fighting Hawks as their new nickname this week.


7) Akron 88, Arkansas 80-- Razorbacks had an awful day, losing in-state recruit to Malik Monk to Kentucky, which could put coach Anderson on the hot seat. Losing at home to a MAC school won't help either.


6) One of the refs at Nebraska-Villanova hoop game Tuesday was Gene Steratore, who is better known as an NFL referee on Sundays. Steratore hasn't reffed a Super Bowl game yet; this would be a good year for that.


5) Underrated coaching hire of the college football season was North Carolina hiring former Auburn head coach Gene Chizik as their defensive coordinator. Chizik won the national title as Auburn's coach in 2010 (with Cam Newton) but was fired a couple years later by the overly impatient Auburn administration (boosters). Tar Heels are one of the most improved teams in America this season.


4) When the NFL put out these new "color rush" uniforms, they had no idea that people who are color blind would have trouble watching them on TV- they are having difficulty telling which player is on which team-- not good.


3) Houston Texans signed QB Brandon Weeden, who was cut by Dallas with Tony Romo coming back this week. Looks like Brian Hoyer won't be able to go for the Texans this week, so they needed a backup for TJ Yates, the third QB to start for the Texans this season. Been a rough couple of months for sports in Houston.


2) Houston Rockets played in Western Conference finals LY, losing 4-1 to Golden St., but after a 4-7 start this season, they fired coach Kevin McHale Wednesday, in an act of blatant panic. Someone tweeted yesterday not to feel bad for McHale, since the goofy Rockets owe McHale $12M, but why fire a guy this early in the season?


1) Tip of the cap to Phil Jackson for drafting Kristaps Porzingis, who is taking New York City by storm in his rookie season. Kid won't be 20 until August.

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 19


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


SAC at MIA 07:30 PM


SAC +10.0 DOUBLE PLAY


O 203.5 DOUBLE PLAY




MIL at CLE 08:00 PM


MIL +10.5 *****


U 194.5 *****




GS at LAC 10:30 PM


LAC +7.5 SLAM DUNK


U 211.5 SLAM DUNK

 

[CNOTES]

Friday's Tip Sheet
November 20, 2015


Knicks at Thunder – (8:05 p.m. ET)


OKC will again be without Kevin Durant, who is nearing a return but will likely miss his fifth consecutive game with a hamstring injury. The Thunder (7-5 SU, 5-7 ATS) is 2-2 without him, riding a Russell Westbrook triple-double to a 110-103 win over New Orleans on Wednesday, but it should be noted that their two wins without Durant have come against the 76ers and Pelicans, teams that enter Friday's action a combined 1-23. OKC is 5-2 at home but have failed to cover in their last two wins at the Peake.


The Knicks (6-6 SU, 8-4 ATS) come in on a two-game win streak are riding the Kristaps Porzingis wave, enjoying their surprising rookie's increasingly confident play. They've also got key offseason acquistion Arron Afflalo into the lineup after he missed the start of the season with a hamstring injury. He went for season-highs in minutes played (36) and points (16) in Tuesday's 102-94 win over Charlotte. This is the first stop on New York's four-game road swing that includes stops in Houston, Miami and Orlando. First-year Thunder head coach Billy Donovan spent his only NBA season with the Knicks ('87-'88) and will be facing them for the first time.

Spurs (-8, 208) at Pelicans – (ESPN, 8:05 p.m. ET)


The Pelicans (1-11 SU, 3-9 ATS) list Anthony Davis as questionable for this one with a shoulder injury suffered in Tuesday night's loss to Denver. He's only played one full game in New Orleans' last six contests. The Spurs (9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS) are without key reserve Manu Ginobili (hip tightness) but have won six consecutive games, covering in four of those. They're 4-1 (SU & ATS) in their last five road games, but were just 1-3 against New Orleans last season, with the sole win coming in OT. Davis averaged 25 points and 15.3 rebounds over last year's four meetings, but didn't have to deal with LaMarcus Aldridge.


Rockets at Grizzlies (-4.5, 200) – (8:05 p.m. ET)


After abruptly firing Kevin McHale on Wednesday, the Rockets (5-7 SU, 3-9 ATS) looked destined for another loss before an improbable late comeback against Portland that included a a game-tying, running Corey Brewer 3-pointer off one foot to send the game into OT. James Harden finished with 45 points and 11 assists, taking over the extra session to make a winner out of interim head coach J.B. Bickerstaff in his debut. With Dwight Howard set to square off against Marc Gasol in a battle of two of the league's top centers, controlling the paint and and the boards should be crucial here. The Grizzlies (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS) have won three straight and have been off since Monday's 122-114 win over OKC.


Clippers (-3, 212) at Trail Blazers – (10:05 p.m. ET)


Although he was considered 'doubtful' most of Thursday afternoon, Chris Paul suited up for the Clippers (6-5 SU, 4-7 ATS) and helped get them off to a strong start in last night's 124-117 loss to Golden State by going 7-for-7 from the field in the opening quarter. The Clips piled up a 41-25 edge after 12 minutes and Paul wound up with 35 points and eight assists, but they blew a 23-point lead and ultimately failed to even cover 5.5 at home. It remains to be seen if a groin injury that nearly kept Paul out has sufficiently healed enough to play on the second night of a back-to-back.


Head coach Doc Rivers blamed his team blowing a 23-point lead on being unable to sustain intensity for 48 minutes, feeling they let down their energy level. It will be interesting to see how they respond from such a crushing home loss. L.A is 1-1 (SU & ATS) on the second night of back-to-backs thus far. SG J.J. Redick is also questionable with a back injury that has kept him out of the last three contests. Portland (4-9 SU, 6-7 ATS) has dropped seven consecutive games and hasn't won since a Nov. 5 home victory over Memphis.


Five of the seven setbacks have come on the road, so head coach Terry Stotts is hoping home cooking and a day between games will help his team rebound. Damian Lillard is in a nasty slump shooting the 3-pointer, coming in 3-for-24 in his last four games. PF Meyers Leonard (shoulder) has been ruled out and will miss his fifth consecutive game.


Bulls at Warriors (-9, 206.5) – (ESPN, 10:35 p.m. ET)


Approaching history since the NBA's longest winning streak to start the season is 15, Golden State (13-0 SU, 8-5 ATS) brings its aura of invincibility back home to Oracle Arena after surviving last night's scare at Staples. Stephen Curry scored 40 points and shot 6-for-14 from 3-point range in L.A., continuing a tear that has seen him average 39.3 points and knock down 24 3-pointers over his last four games. He shot his lowest percentage from beyond the arc against Chicago last season, going 3-for-14 in averaging just 20 points per game against then-coach Tom Thibodeau's defense.


New head coach Fred Hoiberg will get his first look at the defending champs but employed a similar free-flowing philosophy at Iowa State, one of the reason he was so attractive to the Bulls (8-3 SU, 4-7 ATS). Despite this, the 'under' is 8-3 in Chicago games this season and has come in five of the last six times. Derrick Rose has been experiencing double vision due to issues with an orbital bone fracture suffered this preseason and is currently dealing with an ankle injury that kept him out of Wednesday's 103-97 victory in Phoenix. He's considered 'day-to-day'. Chicago has gotten a boost from veteran Kirk Hinrich's return, so look for him to see plenty of Curry. The Bulls have won four straight and are embarked on a four-game road trip of which this is the second leg. JImmy Butler scored a season-high 32 points in the win over the Suns and has averaged 25.3 over the past three games.

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Friday
November 20, 2015




ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Nuggets are 0-13-1 ATS (-6.14 ppg) since Apr 30, 2005 as a home dog after a double digit loss in which they shot less than 40% from the field.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The 76ers are 0-14 OU (-13.07 ppg) since Jan 05, 2013 on the road after a double digit loss in which they committed at least twenty turnovers.


PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Nets are 0-16 OU (-10.41 ppg) since Nov 15, 2014 after Jarrett Jack had a positive plus/minus in a loss


CHOICE TREND:


-- The Celtics are 11-0 OU (17.14 ppg) since Jan 02, 2009 as a home favorite off a loss in which they led by 10+ points as a favorite.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Jazz are 0-11 OU (-9.59 ppg) since Feb 26, 2014 after Derrick

 

[CNOTES]

Bulls look to upset Warriors
November 20, 2015




CHICAGO BULLS (8-3) at GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (13-0)

Sportsbook.ag Line: Golden State -8, Total: 210

The undefeated Warriors try to run their record to 14-0 when they host the red-hot Bulls on Friday night.

Chicago (4-7 ATS) is riding a four-game winning streak, including a 103-97 defeat of Phoenix on Wednesday to open its four-game road trip. Golden State (8-5 ATS) hasn't lost yet this season, but each of the past three victories (1-2 ATS) has been close, with an 8-point win over the Nets, a 5-point victory versus Toronto and a 7-point comeback win at the Clippers on Thursday night.

Although the Warriors are an unbelievable 46-2 SU at home in the past two seasons, one of those defeats was to the Bulls, 113-111 on Jan. 27. However, Golden State is still 12-6 SU (11-6-1 ATS) at home in this series since 1996 and also won at Chicago last December by a 112-102 score.

In terms of betting trends, the Bulls fall into the category of NBA road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points averaging 7.0 or less SPG going 101-53 ATS (66%) over the past five seasons, and their Friday opponent is 1-10 ATS after a combined score of 215+ points in two straight games in the past two seasons. But the Warriors are 39-23 ATS versus winning teams since the start of 2014-15, and are 30-16 ATS when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points in this same span.


Both teams could have turnover problems as three point guards are all doubtful to play -- Derrick Rose (ankle) and Aaron Brooks (hamstring) for Chicago and Shaun Livingston (hip) for Golden State.

Chicago's offense has been average under new head coach Fred Hoiberg with 101.1 PPG (17th in NBA) on 43.5% FG (18th in league), but has knocked down an impressive 38.1% threes (4th in NBA), which leads the Eastern Conference. For some reason, the Bulls have scored more away from United Center with huge offensive road numbers of 105.6 PPG, 46.9% FG and 43.5% threes.

SG Jimmy Butler (20.4 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 1.8 SPG) is the team's top scorer and has caught fire in the past three games with 25.3 PPG on 49% FG. With PG Derrick Rose (13.6 PPG, 6.0 APG) not likely to play, Butler should take at least 25 shots on Friday. Rose has struggled shooting all season with subpar percentages of 38% FG and 15% threes, which are well below his career averages of 45% FG and 30% threes.

C Pau Gasol (13.8 PPG, 9.6 RPG, 2.1 BPG) has been consistently strong all year and delivered a typical 17 points and eight rebounds in Wednesday's win. PF Nikola Mirotic (11.4 PPG, 6.1 RPG) and SF Doug McDermott (10.5 PPG) round out the double-digit scorers for Chicago. McDermott has been on fire all season at 54% threes, which is better than his 51% FG clip from inside the arc.

Defensively, the Bulls allow just 98.8 PPG (10th in NBA) on a league-best 40.8% FG for the season, and those numbers have improved greatly in the past five games to 95.8 PPG allowed on 38.8% FG. But they haven't faced anybody that can hold a candle to the explosive Warriors.

Golden State is scoring an NBA-best 114.9 PPG on league-high shooting percentages of 48.3% FG and 41.3% threes, which includes a 50.2% FG clip over the past five contests.

PG Stephen Curry continues to be the best scorer on the planet at 34.2 PPG in 35.6 minutes per game. He's making 52% FG and 45% threes, while also contributing 5.8 APG, 5.3 RPG and 2.5 SPG, which ranks third in the league. SG Klay Thompson (16.3 PPG, 3.9 RPG) has started off slow with just one 20-point game in his first 10 contests, but is beginning to heat up with 22.0 PPG on 45% FG over the past two games.

The starting frontcourt of versatile PF Draymond Green (12.5 PPG, 7.8 RPG, 7.1 APG, 1.4 BPG, 1.4 SPG), SF Harrison Barnes (13.5 PPG, 49% FG, 4.9 RPG) and C Festus Ezeli (8.4 PPG, 58% FG, 5.6 RPG, 1.7 BPG) have all played key roles in the success of this unbeaten team. Green had a triple-double of 16 points, 12 assists and 10 rebounds on Saturday and also produced a well-rounded game on Thursday versus the Clippers with 19 points, nine assists and six boards.

The Warriors defense has also been tough this season in limiting teams to a respectable 100.2 PPG (13th in league) on 42.9% FG (8th in NBA) and a pitiful 29.7% threes (best in league).

 

[CNOTES]

Pro Basketball Trend Report


PHILADELPHIA (0 - 12) at CHARLOTTE (6 - 6) - 11/20/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 60-33 ATS (+23.7 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 5-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




BROOKLYN (2 - 10) at BOSTON (6 - 5) - 11/20/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 55-41 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 110-80 ATS (+22.0 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1996.
BOSTON is 87-125 ATS (-50.5 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




DETROIT (6 - 5) at MINNESOTA (5 - 7) - 11/20/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NEW YORK (6 - 6) at OKLAHOMA CITY (7 - 5) - 11/20/2015, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



SAN ANTONIO (9 - 2) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 11) - 11/20/2015, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




HOUSTON (5 - 7) at MEMPHIS (6 - 6) - 11/20/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




UTAH (6 - 5) at DALLAS (8 - 4) - 11/20/2015, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 291-239 ATS (+28.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
UTAH is 52-38 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




PHOENIX (6 - 5) at DENVER (6 - 6) - 11/20/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 100-71 ATS (+21.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 53-29 ATS (+21.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 48-25 ATS (+20.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 62-44 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 7-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




LA CLIPPERS (6 - 5) at PORTLAND (4 - 9) - 11/20/2015, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 229-285 ATS (-84.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
PORTLAND is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



CHICAGO (8 - 3) at GOLDEN STATE (13 - 0) - 11/20/2015, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 65-47 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 60-41 ATS (+14.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




TORONTO (7 - 6) at LA LAKERS (2 - 9) - 11/20/2015, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA knowledge


Hot teams
-- Hornets won six of their last nine games (1-2HF).
-- Celtics won three of their last four games (2-3HF).
-- Knicks won four of their last six games (4-1AU). Thunder also won four of last six games (4-3HF).
-- Spurs won their last six games (4-1AF).
-- Memphis won its last three games (2-3HF).
-- Dallas won its last five games (2-1HF). Jazz are 6-4 in last ten games (4-0AU).
-- Phoenix won three of its last four games (0-0AF). Nuggets won four of last six games (2-1HU).
-- 13-0 Warriors are 1-4 in last five games as a home favorite. Bulls won their last four games (2-0AU).


Cold teams
-- 0-12 76ers are 3-2 as road underdogs.
-- Nets lost ten of their first 12 games (4-0 last four AU).
-- Detroit lost four of its last five games (0-2AF). Minnesota lost five of its last six (1-2HU).
-- Pelicans lost their last five games (0-2HU).
-- Rockets lost four of last five games (1-1AU).
-- Clippers lost five of their last seven games (1-2AF). Portland lost its last seven games (1-1HU).
-- Lakers lost five of their last six games (1-1HU). Toronto lost last three games (2-2AF).


Series records
-- 76ers lost four of last five games with Charlotte, but are 3-1 vs spread in last four series games.
-- Celtics won three of their last four games with Brooklyn.
-- Pistons lost last ten games with Minnesota (1-8-1 vs spread).
-- Thunder won six of last eight with New York (3-1 vs spread last four).
-- Spurs lost three of last four games with New Orleans.
-- Grizzlies won four of last six games with Houston.
-- Mavericks won eight of last nine games with Utah.
-- Suns won seven of last eight games with Denver.
-- Clippers won three of last four games with Portland.
-- Bulls won four of last six games with Golden State.
-- Lakers won seven of last ten games with Toronto.


Totals
-- Three of last four Philly games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Brooklyn games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games went over total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine New York games.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten San Antonio games.
-- Last three Memphis games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Dallas road games went over.
-- Five of last seven Denver games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Clipper games went over total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Chicago games.
-- Six of last seven Laker games stayed under total.

 

[CNOTES]

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 20


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


PHI at CHA 07:00 PM


PHI +10.5 *****


O 198.0




BK at BOS 07:30 PM


BOS -9.0


U 203.0




NY at OKC 08:00 PM


OKC -6.5 DOUBLE PLAY


O 206.5




SA at NO 08:00 PM


SA -7.5


U 200.0 DOUBLE PLAY




DET at MIN 08:00 PM


MIN +2.5 TRIPLE PLAY


O 203.5




HOU at MEM 08:00 PM


HOU +4.0


U 201.5




UTA at DAL 08:30 PM


UTA +1.5 DOUBLE PLAY


U 196.0




PHO at DEN 09:00 PM


PHO -2.5 SLAM DUNK


O 207.0




LAC at POR 10:00 PM


POR +3.5 TRIPLE PLAY


O 209.0




TOR at LAL 10:30 PM


TOR -7.0


U 204.0




CHI at GS 10:30 PM


GS -8.5 SLAM DUNK


O 210.5

 

[CNOTES]

Friday's six-pack


-- Jaguars 19, Titans 13-- Jax'ville could be in first place Sunday night.


-- Warriors 124, Clippers 117-- Golden State was down 23 in second quarter.


-- I learned yesterday that pina coladas were invented in a San Juan bar; thats the kind of info they pass on during blowouts in a tournament in Puerto Rico.


-- Temple 75, Minnesota 70-- Good ballgame. Owls-Butler is good game today.


-- Iowa 89, Marquette 61-- Game was 48-21 at the half. Looks like Buzz Williams got out of Milwaukee just in time.


-- Houston Cougars more than doubled football coach Herman's salary, hoping it'll be enough to keep him in town another year. We'll see about that.




Friday's List of 13: Things I'm looking for this weekend.......


13) I'm looking for teams that score touchdowns.........


Baltimore-Denver game in Week 1 didn't have an offensive TD by either side. NFL teams are 2-15 this season when not scoring an offensive TD, so take away that game in Denver and teams are 1-14 this season when they don't score an offensive TD, with Denver in Week 5 (@ Oakland) only winner. Scoring touchdowns is important.


12) Packers-Vikings is for first place in the NFC North; Green Bay lost last three games after a 6-0 start. Minnesota covered its last eight games, is 7-2.


11) Here are the 11 D-I basketball coaches who used to be head coaches in NBA:


Mike Dunlap, LMU.....Leonard Hamilton, Florida State.......Lon Kruger, Oklahoma
John Calipari, Kentucky.....Rick Pitino, Louisville......Avery Johnson, Alabama
Reggie Theus, Cal-Northridge.....Eddie Jordan, Rutgers.....Larry Brown, SMU
Eric Musselman, Nevada........Larry Krystkowiak, Utah


10) Oklahoma State-Baylor could be ugly if freshman QB Stitham sits out with a bad back; I'm doubting Baylor has a quality third-string QB. Oklahoma State hasn't lost yet; they play Oklahoma next week.


9) Lot of subplots in Chicago, with former Broncos Fox/Cutler hosting Denver team giving 4th-year backup QB Osweiler his first careet start. Bears have been hot, could be headed toward contention in the Wild Card race.


8) Good college basketball tournament in Puerto Rico; finals Sunday will have the Butler-Temple winner against the Utah-Miami winner. Either way, good game.


7) Can't believe I'm typing this, but there are Interweb rumors that LSU might fire my man Les Miles. LSU is road dog at Ole Miss after losing to Alabama/Arkansas; would be a good game for the Mad Hatter to win.


6) Carson Palmer once forced a trade away from the Bengals, a divorce that helped both sides; now Palmer faces Cincinnati in what could be a Super Bowl preview.


5) North Carolina is visiting Northern Iowa Saturday, an odd bit of scheduling; UNC scored 87 ppg in winning its first three games, even without star G Paige.


4) Ohio State-Michigan State should be a good game; not sure why Buckeyes have to play Michigan State/Michigan back-back, not great scheduling.


3) Looks like Mark Sanchez gets the nod at QB for the Eagles, who at 4-5 are a big disappointment and have same record as the visiting Bucs, where people are happy with rookie QB Winston. Natives will be restless with Chip Kelly if he loses here.


2) USC-Oregon should be a fun game; road side won last three series games with an average total of 90.3. Ducks gained 730 yards in last meeting. Trojans won last four games overall. LY, Vernon Adams was QB for a I-AA team; this will be interesting.


1) If Atlanta and Jets win Sunday and they're both going up against backup QBs, the 4-6 Jacksonville Jaguars would be tied for first place in the AFC South. .

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Kings (4-9) at Magic (6-6)


Date: November 21, 2015 5:00 PM EDT

Even when the Orlando Magic aren't playing well offensively, their play on the other end is giving them a chance to win.


They'll aim for a seventh victory in 10 games Saturday night against the visiting Sacramento Kings.


The Magic (6-6) won 104-101 in overtime against Minnesota on Wednesday despite shooting 37.3 percent. They held the Timberwolves to 41 second-half points to force the extra period after trailing by 14 at halftime.


They've shot 39.1 percent or worse in three victories but hold opponents to 42.3 to rank among the league leaders.


Evan Fournier put Orlando ahead with a 3-pointer with 3.1 seconds left in overtime and was 5 of 7 from beyond the arc with 26 points. Fournier is averaging 19.4 points compared to 12.0 in 2014-15, the seventh-largest increase in the NBA this season.


Elfrid Payton added 24 points and six rebounds while fellow starters Victor Oladipo and Nikola Vucevic struggled. Oladipo was 0 for 6 with one point in 20 minutes after missing two games with a concussion, and Vucevic had eight points on 4-for-13 shooting.


Oladipo played seven minutes after halftime while Vucevic didn't see the floor at all over the final 29 minutes.


"I'm not trying to send messages," coach Scott Skiles said. "I mean, I get a fairly sizable check every two weeks to win games. That's what I'm trying to do. I felt like we got some good energy out of (backups)."


Orlando's bench also struggled, though, going 12 of 36 from the floor.


The Kings (4-9) showed improvement with a three-game winning streak but have since dropped back-to-back games at Atlanta and Miami.


DeMarcus Cousins will be back after serving a one-game suspension in Thursday's 116-109 loss to the Heat after his forearm shot to the head of Atlanta's Al Horford in Wednesday's defeat.


Sacramento fell to 0-5 without its All-Star big man, who is averaging 27.5 points and 11.1 rebounds. Rudy Gay also didn't return after suffering a shoulder injury on a drive to the basket in the third quarter, though he's expected to play.


"Our two superstars were out but guys stepped up when needed," Rajon Rondo said. "We were able to make a run at it but we weren't able to continue to get enough stops."


Rondo had 18 assists, 14 points and nine rebounds, narrowly missing a fifth triple-double in seven games.


"He's playing like Rondo," Miami's Dwyane Wade said. "As a fan of the game, I'm just happy to see him healthy and when he's healthy he's one of the top point guards in this league. He's back to proving that."


The Kings continue this five-game trip having gone 0-4 on the road after not taking much advantage of an early home-heavy schedule.


Orlando shot 53.6 percent while winning both of last season's meetings. Oladipo played one of his best games as a pro in a 119-114 victory March 6, scoring 32 on 14-of-24 shooting with 10 assists.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA ATS


NBA > (703) MILWAUKEE@ (704) INDIANA | 2015-11-21 19:05:00 - 2015-11-21 19:05:00
Play ON INDIANA against the spread in All games in November games
The record is 28 Wins and 9 Losses for the last three seasons (+18.1 units)


NBA MONEYLINE


NBA > (703) MILWAUKEE@ (704) INDIANA | 2015-11-21 19:05:00 - 2015-11-21 19:05:00
Play AGAINST INDIANA using money line in All games on Saturday games
The record is 3 Wins and 12 Losses for the last two seasons (-17.35 units)


NBA > (711) NEW YORK@ (712) HOUSTON | 2015-11-21 20:05:00 - 2015-11-21 20:05:00
Play AGAINST NEW YORK using money line in All games in November games
The record is 9 Wins and 28 Losses for the last three seasons (-24.85 units)


NBA > (703) MILWAUKEE@ (704) INDIANA | 2015-11-21 19:05:00 - 2015-11-21 19:05:00
Play AGAINST INDIANA using money line in Home games on Saturday games
The record is 0 Wins and 7 Losses for the last two seasons (-15.45 units)


NBA > (709) WASHINGTON@ (710) DETROIT | 2015-11-21 19:35:00 - 2015-11-21 19:35:00
Play AGAINST DETROIT using money line in All games as a favorite
The record is 32 Wins and 32 Losses for the last three seasons (-42.55 units)


NBA > (711) NEW YORK@ (712) HOUSTON | 2015-11-21 20:05:00 - 2015-11-21 20:05:00
Play AGAINST HOUSTON using money line in All games as a favorite
The record is 3 Wins and 5 Losses for the this season (-18.6 units)

NBA > (707) PHILADELPHIA@ (708) MIAMI | 2015-11-21 20:05:00 - 2015-11-21 20:05:00
Play ON MIAMI using money line in All games against Atlantic division opponents
The record is 15 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (+13.15 units)


NBA > (705) ATLANTA@ (706) CLEVELAND | 2015-11-21 19:35:00 - 2015-11-21 19:35:00
Play ON CLEVELAND using money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 34 Wins and 17 Losses for the last two seasons (+18.25 units)


NBA > (701) SACRAMENTO@ (702) ORLANDO | 2015-11-21 17:05:00 - 2015-11-21 17:05:00
Play AGAINST SACRAMENTO using money line in All games against Southeast division opponents
The record is 33 Wins and 68 Losses for the since 1992 (-43.1 units)


NBA TOTALS


NBA > (713) MEMPHIS@ (714) SAN ANTONIO | 2015-11-21 20:35:00 - 2015-11-21 20:35:00
Play UNDER SAN ANTONIO on the totalin All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 46 Overs and 87 Unders for the last three seasons (+36.4 units)


NBA > (703) MILWAUKEE@ (704) INDIANA | 2015-11-21 19:05:00 - 2015-11-21 19:05:00
Play UNDER INDIANA on the totalin Home games in November games
The record is 3 Overs and 16 Unders for the last three seasons (+12.7 units)


NBA > (707) PHILADELPHIA@ (708) MIAMI | 2015-11-21 20:05:00 - 2015-11-21 20:05:00
Play UNDER MIAMI on the totalin All games after a non-conference game
The record is 9 Overs and 25 Unders for the last two seasons (+15.1 units)


NBA > (705) ATLANTA@ (706) CLEVELAND | 2015-11-21 19:35:00 - 2015-11-21 19:35:00
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the totalin All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game
The record is 31 Overs and 62 Unders for the last three seasons (+27.9 units)

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack


Some college football trends to ponder for today's games........


-- Michigan State is 11-3 vs spread in last 14 games as an underdog.


-- Oklahoma won/covered last five games, scoring 55.2 ppg.


-- Average total in last three USC-Oregon games is 90.3.


-- 10-0 Houston won last two games by combined total of four points.


-- K-State won seven games in row vs Iowa State, winning last four played in Little Apple by average score of 35-18.


-- Iowa is 10-0, but is 0-4 vs spread as Big 14 home favorite this year.


**********


Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud......


13) If you enjoy pro football and want to learn more about it, read this piece about how Carson Palmer prepared for a game against the Browns last month.


Interesting stuff about how NFL teams prepare for a game.


12) If you didn't use the link or it didn't work, article tells how Carson Palmer had to learn 171 plays (plus formations/blocking schemes) in five days in preparation for the Cardinals' game in Cleveland. Interesting look behind the scenes.


11) Miami 90, Utah 66-- Miami-Butler is good title game in Puerto Rico Sunday.


10) Movie stuff: They're coming out with a new movie about Texas Longhorns called My All American- actor who plays coach Darrell Royal looked familiar to me, so I had to look him up. Guy's name is Aaron Eckhart-- turns out he played the assistant coach for the Sharks in Any Given Sunday, the movie where Al Pacino was coach, Cameron Diaz was the team's owner and Barry Switzer the TV announcer.


9) Hofstra 82, Florida State 77-- Hofstra dressed nine guys; three of them fouled out, a 4th guy had four fouls, but they made 10-22 from arc and held off Seminoles team that was 0-10 from arc in first half. Joe Mihalich is a very good coach.


8) Cavaliers' center Timofey Mozgov (deltoid injury) is out for next 10-14 days. he is a good player the Knicks stupidly traded in the Carmelo Anthony deal.


7) Knicks 93, Thunder 90-- That said, Phil Jackson has done good job re-building the Knicks. Not many people thought he would do it- still a ways to go, but they're fun to watch and should make the playoffs at least.


6) Tex-Arlington 73, Ohio State 68-- Thought this was a woman's score first time I saw it, but it was not; Buckeyes were 13-27 on foul line, got outrebounded by nine on a bad night for the Big 14 (Michigan lost to Xavier, Northwestern needed OT to beat Columbia of the Ivy League) and Duquesne beat Penn State by 26.


5) Cameron Maybin had a nice year for the Braves LY, his reward was getting dealt back to his original team the Tigers Friday, and Atlanta didn't get much for him. One of the fascinating things about baseball is how different people see the same things but draw different conclusions from them.


When Detroit got rid of Maybin ten years ago, he was part of the package that brought Miguel Cabrera to Motown, pretty good deal for the Tigers.


4) Rumors have Giants competing with the Dodgers for Zack Greinke's services in the free agent market; either that, or they're just trying to drive the price up, though the Dodgers seem to have an unlimited budget- they were paying $88M LY to guys who weren't even on their team.


3) A's signed 35-year old Rich Hill to a $6M contract for next year; Hill made zero big league starts from 2010-14, then started four games for Boston in September and went 2-1, 1.55, which paid off with a $6M deal from my favorite team. Oy.


2) Air Force 37, Boise State 30-- First time since 1993 Boise State lost home games on consecutive weekends.


1) Raptors beat Lakers last night, but Toronto center Jonas Valanciunas broke his hand and will miss some time......Golden State beat the Bulls; not sure if they're ever going to lose a game.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, November 21


Sacramento @ Orlando

Game 701-702
November 21, 2015 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
115.616
Orlando
114.722
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 1
191
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+2); N/A

Milwaukee @ Indiana

Game 703-704
November 21, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
116.312
Indiana
117.873
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 1 1/2
189
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 5
192 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+5); Under

Atlanta @ Cleveland

Game 705-706
November 21, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
117.151
Cleveland
125.533
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 8 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 5 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-5 1/2); N/A

Philadelphia @ Miami

Game 707-708
November 21, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
105.218
Miami
122.165
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 17
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 13 1/2
192 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-13 1/2); Over

Washington @ Detroit

Game 709-710
November 21, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
120.404
Detroit
119.012
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
194
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 3
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+3); N/A

New York @ Houston

Game 711-712
November 21, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
117.864
Houston
118.829
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 5
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+5); Under

Memphis @ San Antonio

Game 713-714
November 21, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
119.925
San Antonio
129.886
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 10
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 7 1/2
189 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-7 1/2); Over

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday, November 21


Hot teams
-- Magic won five of last seven games (0-2HF).
-- Pacers won seven of their last nine games (1-2HF).
-- Cavaliers are 6-0 at home, 3-3 as home favorites.
-- Wizards won last two games, by 10-29 points (0-2AU). Detroit won its last two games, by 5-10 (0-2HF).
-- Miami won four of its last five games (0-3 last three HF).
-- Knicks won last three games, covered last six (5-1AU).
-- Grizzlies won their last four games (1-2AU). Spurs won six of their last seven games (3-2HF).


Cold teams
-- Kings lost all four road games (2-2AU).
-- Milwaukee lost four of its last five games (3-3AU).
-- Hawks lost three of their last four games (1-0AU).
-- 76ers are 0-13, 3-3 as road underdogs.
-- Rockets lost five of their last six games (0-6HF).


Series records
-- Kings won five of last six games with Orlando.
-- Bucks lost eight of last ten games with Indiana.
-- Cavaliers swept Atlanta 4-0 in LY's playoffs (3-1 vs spread).
-- Wizards won four of last six games with Detroit.
-- Heat won three of last four games with Philly (2-1-1 vs spread).
-- Knicks lost last ten games with Houston (2-8 vs spread).
-- Spurs won eight of last ten games with Memphis.


Totals
-- Last three Orlando games went over total.
-- Last four Milwaukee games went over total.
-- Four of last five Atlanta games stayed under; six of Cavaliers' last seven games went over
-- Six of last eight Washington games went over.
-- Eight of last ten Miami games stayed under.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in New York's last ten games.
-- Three of last four Memphis games went over.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Saturday, November 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

5:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Sacramento's last 9 games on the road
Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Orlando is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. DETROIT
Washington is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
Washington is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Detroit is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Washington

7:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. CLEVELAND
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games when playing Atlanta
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MIAMI
Philadelphia is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games at home
Miami is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing Philadelphia

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. HOUSTON
New York is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
New York is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 13 games when playing New York

8:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. SAN ANTONIO
Memphis is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Saturday
November 21, 2015




ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Spurs are 12-0-1 ATS (12.50 ppg) since Jan 05, 2013 as a favorite with at most one day of rest off a loss that broke at least a three-game winning streak.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Pistons are 12-0 OU (14.46 ppg) since Apr 09, 2012 with at most one day of rest after a game in which they had fewer than fifteen assists.


PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Wizards are 11-0 OU (14.09 ppg) since Apr 08, 2015 after John Wall had a positive plus/minus.


CHOICE TREND:


-- The Cavaliers are 0-11-1 ATS (-6.21 ppg) since Mar 01, 2013 with at most one day of rest after a double digit win at home in which they scored 10 or fewer fast break points.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Grizzlies are 0-10 OU (-6.45 ppg) since Jan 27, 2015 after Marc Gasol had a double double in a win.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, November 21

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (4 - 9) at ORLANDO (6 - 6) - 11/21/2015, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 37-53 ATS (-21.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 41-64 ATS (-29.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 24-39 ATS (-18.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 119-89 ATS (+21.1 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
ORLANDO is 56-86 ATS (-38.6 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
ORLANDO is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 2-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 2-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (5 - 7) at INDIANA (7 - 5) - 11/21/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 131-175 ATS (-61.5 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 184-227 ATS (-65.7 Units) after a division game since 1996.
INDIANA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in November games this season.
INDIANA is 49-24 ATS (+22.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (9 - 5) at CLEVELAND (9 - 3) - 11/21/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 61-47 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in November games this season.
CLEVELAND is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-5 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-5 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (0 - 13) at MIAMI (7 - 4) - 11/21/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 109-144 ATS (-49.4 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 114-152 ATS (-53.2 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (5 - 4) at DETROIT (7 - 5) - 11/21/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 97-137 ATS (-53.7 Units) in November games since 1996.
DETROIT is 60-91 ATS (-40.1 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (7 - 6) at HOUSTON (5 - 8) - 11/21/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 292-230 ATS (+39.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (7 - 6) at SAN ANTONIO (9 - 3) - 11/21/2015, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 912-795 ATS (+37.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 722-613 ATS (+47.7 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 138-104 ATS (+23.6 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 464-386 ATS (+39.4 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 189-133 ATS (+42.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 128-90 ATS (+29.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 144-108 ATS (+25.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 21


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


SAC at ORL 05:00 PM

SAC +1.5 DOUBLE PLAY


O 209.0 DOUBLE PLAY




MIL at IND 07:00 PM


MIL +5.0


U 193.5




WAS at DET 07:30 PM


DET -3.0 DOUBLE PLAY


O 205.5




ATL at CLE 07:30 PM


ATL +5.5


O 198.5




PHI at MIA 08:00 PM


MIA -14.0


U 194.0




NY at HOU 08:00 PM


NY +4.5 TRIPLE PLAY


U 201.5




MEM at SA 08:30 PM


MEM +7.5 DOUBLE PLAY


U 190.5

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Westgate Super Contest (1,727 entrants-- prize pool is $2.5M)
six most popular picks in Week 11 season record: 30-29-2

6) Broncos +1 (404)-- Osweiler getting first NFL start in his fourth year.

5) Vikings -1 (409)-- Minnesota covered its last eight games.

4) Bengals +5 (410)-- Long trip on short week after first loss.

3) Packers +1 (414)-- Lot of opinions on this game, both ways.

2) Jets -2 (514)-- Fitzpatrick had left thumb operated on nine days ago.

1) Cowboys even (515)-- As you can tell, Romo is back at QB.

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday.......

13) Michigan State 17, Ohio State 14-- When was last time Buckeyes had five first downs in an entire game? Spartans held Ohio State to 132 yards on 45 plays; they've beaten Michigan/Ohio State without leading at any time before the last play. After the game, rats started jumping off the Ohio State ship (see quote above).

12) Baylor 45, Oklahoma State 35-- Bears hadn't won in Stillwater since 1939, but they were the dominant team in this game; It is interesting how a guy like RGIII was such a great player at Baylor but when he goes to the pros, he is useless; is Art Briles that great a coach that he puts his players in a position to win better than the coaches in the NFL? When the #3 QB comes in and looks like Dan Fouts......

11) Ole Miss 38, LSU 17-- Wheels have fallen off for the Tigers, who lost last three games and looked totally disorganized at times in this game- they've got 40 guys in the NFL, most of any school-- as a result are very, very young in some spots, their main weakness is at QB. How that kid still plays is beyond me; he isn't good.

10) Oregon 48, USC 28-- Vernon Adams threw six TDs, had five incompletions; that is usually a good sign you're going to win- they averaged over 16 ypa, while Trojans had 12 penalties for 124 yards.

9) North Carolina 30, Virginia Tech 27 OT-- When Tar Heels lost their opener to South Carolina, who would've thought UNC wouldn't lose again while Spurrier would not finish season? This was an emotional day in Blacksburg, Frank Beamer's last game at Virginia Tech after 29 years.

8) Northern Iowa 71, North Carolina 67-- Tar Heels' basketball team has a tradition of playing a road game near home of their older players- this game was for Marcus Paige, but he is hurt and hasn't played yet, which cost them here. Good win for MVC and for anyone who beats Northern Iowa this season, as far as power ratings go.

7) Some other basketball doings Saturday:
Davidson 82, Charleston 81-- Rick Barry's son Canyon had 31 for Charleston, is averaging 28 ppg.......Little Rock 49, San Diego State 43-- Ugly offense for Aztecs.

6) Northwestern 13, Wisconsin 7-- Not often a team is -5 in turnovers, goes 2-13 on third down and only loses 13-7. This game was so bad that Badger fans were throwing snowballs at the Wisconsin cheerleaders in the second half.

5) UConn 20, Houston 17-- Cougars raised their coach's salary 250% this week and then promptly lost for first time. Still amazes me that UConn and Houston are in the same league-- thats an NFL-length road trip for a game.

4) As for the SEC, why on God's green earth do they play I-AA teams? Alabama should be embarrassed to play a I-AA team, it is ripping off fans who pay to go to the games and it makes zero sense. Then South Carolina loses to The Citadel- no bueno.

Florida 20, Florida Atlantic 14 OT
Georgia 23, Georgia Southern 17 OT-- Whichever league is best is cyclical, lot of it depends on which teams don't lose guys early to the NFL, but I don't want to hear boo about how great the SEC is this year, because it isn't.

Their games are still lot of fun to watch on TV, but the quality of the QBs in the SEC stinks except for Prescott, Kelly and the kid at Arkansas. Going OT with teams from the Sun Belt and C-USA is embarrassing, though not nearly as bad as losing to I-AA Citadel, like South Carolina did.

3) Kansas State 38, Iowa State 35-- Cyclones had the ball and 35-28 lead with 1:31 left and K-State was down to one timeout. Any idiot knows you take a knee three times, punt the ball with less than 0:20 left and go home happy, but no, they run the ball and fumble. K-State ties the game, kicks off and Iowa State fumbles again. Oy.

I'm not a big "fire the coach" guy, but Paul Rhoads deserves to get the ziggy after this horrendous exhibition of coaching malpractice.

2) South Florida 65, Cincinnati 27-- Imagine betting on Cincinnati, laying 2.5 points and watching them trail 51-3 at the half? Tommy Tuberville expressed interest in the vacant Miami job; I'm guessing this will get his name scratched off that list.

1) Mississippi State 51, Arkansas 50-- Razorbacks scored 50+ points in three of last five games, didn't win any of them in regulation- they won twice in OT.