Cnotes March Madness Hoops March 1st / Trends,Stats,News All You Need To Know !!

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Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- San Diego State 60, UNLV 58-- Referee David Hall worked his 89th game in 111 nights this college basketball season.

-- Eight of UNLV's last nine losses were by 6 or less points or in overtime.

-- Turns out that Jim Harbaugh is a big fan of Judge Judy's TV show; who knew?

-- Odd fact: Werner Ladder is the official ladder of the NCAA tournament.

-- Dodgers apparently have offered to pay about half of the $56M they owe Andre Ethier over the next three years, if some team will trade for him.

-- Leftfield bleachers in Wrigley Field won't be available until at least May 11; ones in rightfield not until June at the earliest, as renovations at the ballpark are dragging.



**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......

13) Hard to believe its been 25 years since Hank Gathers died. Young man was a star for Loyola Marymount; he had a heart attack on the court during the WCC tournament and passed away shortly thereafter. Very sad, seems like yesterday.

12) Irony of Reggie Jackson being called Mr October: first time one of teams he played for made the World Series, in 1972, Jackson didn't play in the series because he tore his hamstring sliding into home plate in Game 5 of the playoff series with Detroit. A's replaced him with George Hendrick/Angel Mangual in that series.

11) Exhibition baseball is therapeutic, but I watch highlights Tuesday and I see Josh Donaldson playing for Toronto, Yoenis Cespedes for Detroit and for those several minutes, it is not fun to be an A's fan. No one good ever stays.

10) This goes all the way back to New Years Eve, 1974; I was 15 and went bowling. Came home and turned the sports ticker channel on, the cool channel with a light blue screen that spouted out sports stuff whenever the stock market was closed.

That night, the channel delivered me bad news: Catfish Hunter had signed with the baseball team in the Bronx. My favorite player had left the A's for money, something that has repeated itself over and over and over for the last 40 years. It sucks.

9) Side note that I mentioned here once before: that bowling alley, Sunset Lanes, will soon be turned into a warehouse for the many Asian grocery stores and restaurants in this area. America needs more bowling alleys, not less. Not all change is positive.

8) While I'm complaining about things, selling Personal Seat Licenses to stadiums should be illegal. You build a stadium with taxpayer dollars, you charge fans a fee just to have the right to buy tickets for the games there; how is this not extortion?

7) There were 14,400 pitching changes in the major leagues last year, thats 5.94 per game, or roughly 2,500 more than in 1998. How long does a pitching change take, if it is done during a half-inning? 5-7 minutes? There are two main reasons baseball games are longer now than they were 20 years ago:
-- More commercials in between innings.
-- More pitching changs, a lot more.

6) Baseball fans don't care that games are a little longer; the media does and the media influences a lot of what the average fan thinks, so the things they bitch about become the things a lot of average fans bitch about. Its too bad.

5) Saw this somewhere today, maybe an ESPN magazine I was reading: the average number of balls in play during a 2014 baseball game: 52. There are obviously 54 outs in a 9-inning game if home team bats in 9th inning; subtract strikeouts, add in hits and errors and you get 52. I had never thought about it, but it is an interesting number.

4) Peyton Manning took a $4M pay cut for next year, will play for $15M, which is not pocket change, but it is less than his brother Eli makes.

3) Peyton Manning threw 21 TDs with only four INTs at home LY; he threw 18 TDs, 11 INTs on the road.

2) Virginia is expected to get Justin Anderson back for its next game at Louisville Saturday and more importantly, the ACC and NCAA tournaments. Anderson is their best player; would be curious to see the Cavaliers play Kentucky.

1) Underrated move: Buffalo Bills traded for Matt Cassel Wednesday. Cassel once led the Patriots to an 11-5 record when Tom Brady got hurt in the season opener. He never started a game at USC, backing up Carson Palmer/Matt Leinart.
 

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Long Sheet

Thursday, March 5

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WISCONSIN (26 - 3) at MINNESOTA (17 - 12) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 4-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TEMPLE (20 - 9) at E CAROLINA (13 - 16) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all home games this season.
E CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
TEMPLE is 181-142 ATS (+24.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 127-170 ATS (-60.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 119-161 ATS (-58.1 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 50-72 ATS (-29.2 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 62-87 ATS (-33.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 0-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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ARKANSAS (23 - 6) at S CAROLINA (14 - 14) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 61-108 ATS (-57.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 61-108 ATS (-57.8 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 61-109 ATS (-58.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 62-107 ATS (-55.7 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 23-48 ATS (-29.8 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
S CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
S CAROLINA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
S CAROLINA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
S CAROLINA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
S CAROLINA is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
S CAROLINA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
S CAROLINA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 3-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 2-2 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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W KENTUCKY (18 - 10) at CHARLOTTE (13 - 16) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
W KENTUCKY is 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
CHARLOTTE is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in March games since 1997.
CHARLOTTE is 50-77 ATS (-34.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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UAB (16 - 13) at FLA ATLANTIC (8 - 19) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
UAB is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
UAB is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MIDDLE TENN ST (15 - 14) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (13 - 16) - 3/5/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 3-2 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 4-1 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TEXAS ST (13 - 14) at APPALACHIAN ST (10 - 17) - 3/5/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS ST is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) in all games this season.
TEXAS ST is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
TEXAS ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
APPALACHIAN ST is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
APPALACHIAN ST is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
APPALACHIAN ST is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
APPALACHIAN ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
APPALACHIAN ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
APPALACHIAN ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
APPALACHIAN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TX-ARLINGTON (16 - 12) at GA SOUTHERN (20 - 7) - 3/5/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GA SOUTHERN is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
GA SOUTHERN is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
TX-ARLINGTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
GA SOUTHERN is 1-0 against the spread versus TX-ARLINGTON over the last 3 seasons
TX-ARLINGTON is 1-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons




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RICE (10 - 18) at TX-SAN ANTONIO (13 - 14) - 3/5/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 12-30 ATS (-21.0 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
RICE is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
TX-SAN ANTONIO is 1-1 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
TX-SAN ANTONIO is 1-1 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SOUTHERN MISS (9 - 19) at LOUISIANA TECH (23 - 7) - 3/5/2015, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-2 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-2 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MARSHALL (11 - 18) at OLD DOMINION (22 - 6) - 3/5/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 70-100 ATS (-40.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
MARSHALL is 68-98 ATS (-39.8 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
MARSHALL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 80-116 ATS (-47.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
OLD DOMINION is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
OLD DOMINION is 3-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
OLD DOMINION is 3-0 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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GEORGIA ST (20 - 9) at LA-MONROE (19 - 10) - 3/5/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA-MONROE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
GEORGIA ST is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA-MONROE is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
LA-MONROE is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA ST is 2-1 against the spread versus LA-MONROE over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA ST is 3-0 straight up against LA-MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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ARK-LITTLE ROCK (13 - 16) at LA-LAFAYETTE (17 - 12) - 3/5/2015, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LA-LAFAYETTE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA-LAFAYETTE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
LA-LAFAYETTE is 2-2 against the spread versus ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons
LA-LAFAYETTE is 3-2 straight up against ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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S ALABAMA (9 - 20) at ARKANSAS ST (11 - 16) - 3/5/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
ARKANSAS ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 5-0 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 5-0 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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N TEXAS (14 - 14) at UTEP (19 - 9) - 3/5/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTEP is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 2-0 against the spread versus N TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 2-0 straight up against N TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CALIFORNIA (17 - 12) at ARIZONA (26 - 3) - 3/5/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 39-27 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 39-27 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
ARIZONA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
CALIFORNIA is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-2 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 2-2 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MEMPHIS (17 - 12) at CONNECTICUT (17 - 11) - 3/5/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
MEMPHIS is 179-139 ATS (+26.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 216-173 ATS (+25.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 143-96 ATS (+37.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 2-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 3-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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VA COMMONWEALTH (21 - 8) at DAVIDSON (21 - 6) - 3/5/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games this season.
DAVIDSON is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
DAVIDSON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
DAVIDSON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all home games this season.
DAVIDSON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
DAVIDSON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
DAVIDSON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
DAVIDSON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
DAVIDSON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DAVIDSON is 78-43 ATS (+30.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 31-12 ATS (+17.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
DAVIDSON is 1-0 against the spread versus VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons
VA COMMONWEALTH is 1-0 straight up against DAVIDSON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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COLORADO (13 - 15) at WASHINGTON (15 - 13) - 3/5/2015, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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UC-RIVERSIDE (14 - 14) at CAL DAVIS (22 - 5) - 3/5/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAL DAVIS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games this season.
CAL DAVIS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
CAL DAVIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
CAL DAVIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all home games this season.
CAL DAVIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
CAL DAVIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CAL DAVIS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
CAL DAVIS is 3-2 against the spread versus UC-RIVERSIDE over the last 3 seasons
CAL DAVIS is 3-2 straight up against UC-RIVERSIDE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CS-NORTHRIDGE (9 - 22) at LONG BEACH ST (14 - 16) - 3/5/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games this season.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LONG BEACH ST is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in March games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
LONG BEACH ST is 3-3 against the spread versus CS-NORTHRIDGE over the last 3 seasons
LONG BEACH ST is 4-2 straight up against CS-NORTHRIDGE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CS-FULLERTON (9 - 20) at UC-IRVINE (17 - 11) - 3/5/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CS-FULLERTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games this season.
CS-FULLERTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
CS-FULLERTON is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
CS-FULLERTON is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CS-FULLERTON is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CS-FULLERTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CS-FULLERTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
CS-FULLERTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
CS-FULLERTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
UC-IRVINE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
UC-IRVINE is 5-0 against the spread versus CS-FULLERTON over the last 3 seasons
UC-IRVINE is 5-0 straight up against CS-FULLERTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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STANFORD (18 - 10) at ARIZONA ST (15 - 14) - 3/5/2015, 11:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 4-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 4-2 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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UTAH (22 - 6) at WASHINGTON ST (12 - 16) - 3/5/2015, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTAH is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 2-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 2-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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S ILLINOIS (11 - 20) vs. MISSOURI ST (11 - 19) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ILLINOIS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
S ILLINOIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
MISSOURI ST is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI ST is 5-2 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI ST is 5-2 straight up against S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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BRADLEY (8 - 23) vs. DRAKE (9 - 21) - 3/5/2015, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRADLEY is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games this season.
BRADLEY is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
BRADLEY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
BRADLEY is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
BRADLEY is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
BRADLEY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
BRADLEY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
BRADLEY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
BRADLEY is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BRADLEY is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
DRAKE is 4-3 against the spread versus BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
DRAKE is 5-2 straight up against BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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PORTLAND ST (14 - 12) at N ARIZONA (16 - 13) - 3/5/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ARIZONA is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
N ARIZONA is 5-0 against the spread versus PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
N ARIZONA is 4-1 straight up against PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SACRAMENTO ST (19 - 8) at SOUTHERN UTAH (9 - 18) - 3/5/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN UTAH is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) as an underdog this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO ST is 3-2 against the spread versus SOUTHERN UTAH over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO ST is 4-1 straight up against SOUTHERN UTAH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


E WASHINGTON (21 - 8) at IDAHO ST (6 - 22) - 3/5/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO ST is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO ST is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
E WASHINGTON is 63-42 ATS (+16.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 161-203 ATS (-62.3 Units) in all games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 161-203 ATS (-62.3 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) in all home games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO ST is 3-2 against the spread versus E WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
E WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IDAHO (13 - 14) at WEBER ST (12 - 15) - 3/5/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WEBER ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
WEBER ST is 52-29 ATS (+20.1 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
IDAHO is 89-62 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
IDAHO is 88-55 ATS (+27.5 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
IDAHO is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
WEBER ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games this season.
WEBER ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
WEBER ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all home games this season.
WEBER ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
WEBER ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
WEBER ST is 0-0 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO is 1-0 straight up against WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NIAGARA (8 - 21) vs. SIENA (10 - 19) - 3/5/2015, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NIAGARA is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
SIENA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SIENA is 3-3 against the spread versus NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 4-3 straight up against NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FAIRFIELD (7 - 23) vs. ST PETERS (14 - 17) - 3/5/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 91-65 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
FAIRFIELD is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ST PETERS is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST PETERS is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ST PETERS is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
ST PETERS is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST PETERS is 4-3 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
ST PETERS is 4-4 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MARIST (6 - 24) vs. QUINNIPIAC (15 - 14) - 3/5/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARIST is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
QUINNIPIAC is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 4-0 against the spread versus QUINNIPIAC over the last 3 seasons
QUINNIPIAC is 3-1 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


USC UPSTATE (22 - 10) at FLA GULF COAST (22 - 9) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA GULF COAST is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 straight up against USC UPSTATE over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LIPSCOMB (14 - 16) at N FLORIDA (22 - 10) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
N FLORIDA is 5-1 straight up against LIPSCOMB over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BOSTON U (13 - 16) at LAFAYETTE (17 - 12) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON U is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
BOSTON U is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all lined games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON U is 2-0 against the spread versus LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON U is 4-1 straight up against LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HOLY CROSS (14 - 15) at BUCKNELL (18 - 13) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
BUCKNELL is 1-0 against the spread versus HOLY CROSS over the last 3 seasons
BUCKNELL is 4-2 straight up against HOLY CROSS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NAVY (14 - 17) at COLGATE (15 - 16) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 1-0 against the spread versus COLGATE over the last 3 seasons
COLGATE is 5-2 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


AMERICAN (15 - 15) at LEHIGH (15 - 13) - 3/5/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LEHIGH is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
LEHIGH is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
LEHIGH is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
LEHIGH is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
LEHIGH is 1-0 against the spread versus AMERICAN over the last 3 seasons
LEHIGH is 3-3 straight up against AMERICAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 5

Wisconsin (-14) beat Minnesota 63-53 at home in first meeting 12 days ago; Gophers took one foul shot in whole game (Wisconsin was 11-14). Badgers lost last road game at Maryland, are 3-4 as road favorites, with four of six road wins by 8+ points. Minnesota lost three of its last four games, covered three of last four as an underdog; Gophers are 4-3 in Big 14 home games, with losses by 2-2-6 points. Big 14 underdogs of 6 or less points are 10-7 vs spread.

Arkansas (-6.5) waxed South Carolina 75-55 at home Feb 3, holding them to 27.9% from floor, forcing 20 turnovers in game that was 35-28 at half. Razorbacks won seven of last eight games, are 5-3 on SEC road, with six of eight games decided by 5 or less points (1-3 as road favorite). Carolina won three of last four home games but is 1-7 as an underdog this season. Gamecocks split last six games after starting SEC play 2-9. SEC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 5-7 vs spread.

Memphis (-2) beat UConn 75-72 at home two weeks ago, despite giving up 19 offensive boards in game they led by 15 early in second half. Tigers lost last two games, are 4-3 on AAC road, 0-2 as road dogs, losing games on foreign soil by 14-18-11 points. UConn won last three games, is 2-5 as home favorite, winning last seven home games by 6+ points. Senior Night for Huskies' Boatright, key guy on national title team last season. AAC home favorites of 7 or less points are 14-6-1 vs spread.

VCU (-9) beat Davidson 71-65 Jan 7, forcing only 15 turnovers (+5) but Rams had defensive ace Weber then; VCU lost its last two games, is 3-4 in its last seven, losing two of last three road games. Davidson won last seven games; its Senior Night for Wildcat squad with only one senior in rotation- they're 7-1 as home favorites, with only loss to St Bonaventure. Davidson/Dayton are tied atop A-14; VCU can tie Davidson here. A-14 home favorites of more than 8 points are 12-15-1 vs spread.

Stanford (-6.5) beat Arizona State 89-70 at home Jan 24, leading 51-41 at half, scoring 1.29 ppp; Cardinal is just 3-5 in its last eight games though, losing last three road games by 1-16-6 points- they're 0-2 as Pac-12 dogs. ASU won its last three home games by total of ten points; they're 2-5 as Pac-12 favorite, 5-5 SU in last ten games. Stanford makes 38.3% on arc; Sun Devils are worst in Pac-12 defending the arc. Pac-12 home teams are 18-15 in games where spread was less than 5 points.

Sacramento State has game lead in Big Sky with two to play; if they win regular season title, they'll host Big Sky tourney for first time next week. Hornets won last three games by 7-8-13 points; they're 4-3 on Big sky road, with one win by more than seven points. Southern Utah won four of last six games after starting league play 2-8; they've covered six of last seven games, are 4-2 as home underdogs, with one loss at home by more than 4 points. Big Sky home underdogs of 4 or less points are 5-9.

MVC tournament, St Louis
Missouri State beat Southern Illinois twice this season, 53-50 (+3) Dec 31 on road, 52-46 (-3) at home a month later; Salukis shot 33% in both games, had 58-25 edge in FTs taken - they're 2-7 in MVC tourney last seven years. Missouri State is 5-5 in this event last five years; they lost six of last eight games overall, are 6-7-1 as Valley underdogs. Salukis lost nine of last eleven games, are 2-3 as MVC favorites. Bears were just 7-31 on arc in two wins over SIU.

Drake beat Bradley twice this season, 69-57 (+8) in Peoria Jan 28, then 60-54 (-2) at home two weeks late; Bulldogs made 18-36 on arc in those games, Bradley just 13-46. Drake lost four of last six games, but covered four of last six as an underdog; they're 2-5 in this event since winning it in '08. Bradley lost its last seven games (1-4-2 vs spread); they lost last four games in this event, three by 14+ points, are 0-4 as an MVC favorite this season. These are four worst teams in MVC, not lot to choose from. .

MAAC tournament, Albany
Siena swept Niagara this year, beating Eagles 79-69 (-8.5) here (ran out to 21-1 lead) Jan 11, then 74-70 (+2) on road a week later; they made 50%+ from floor in both games, but Siena comes in here on 5-game skid- they're 2-9 in last 11 games, 3-4-1 as MAAC favorite. Niagara won its last four games, with three wins by 4 or less points. after starting 3-13 in MAAC play; they're 5-3 as MAAC underdogs. Siena is 7-1 in first game of this tourney last eight years; Niagara is 5-1 the last six years.

Fairfield lost 12 of last 13 games; win was 57-43 (+3.5) over St Peter's 12 days ago, holding Peacocks to 29.6% from floor. Stags covered five of last six games overall; they won first game in this event five of last six years; St Peter's lost four of last five games, is 3-10 vs spread when favored this season; they're 2-5 in first tourney game last seven years. St Peter's beat Fairfield 69-58 (-5.5) in first meeting Feb 7; they were +8 in turnovers in that game.

Quinnipiac beat Marist twice this season, 66-54 (-13) in first meeting on Jan 11, then 72-71 (-6.5) at Marist a week later; Bobcats come in losing four of last five games- they're 4-3 against spread in last seven games as favorite. Marist lost six of last seven games but is 5-3 vs spread in last eight games as an underdog. Red Foxes lost their first tourney game last two years by 2-6 points. Quinnipiac ended last year on 1-4 skid; they're on another 1-4 skid now.

Ohio Valley tournament, Nashville
Tenn-Martin (-1.5) beat Morehead State 75-72 in OT at home Jan 10, in only meeting this season; Skyhawks were down four with 4:01 left that night. Martin lost two of last three games, covered one of last four when favored, but they had bye last night, while Morehead won tough game by 5 over SE Missouri State, with only one Eagle playing more than 27:00- they used three subs 13+ minutes. This is only third time in decade that Martin had winning record; they won first tourney game other times.

Over last nine years, Belmont is 19-3 in conference tourney games, with most of that damage done in Atlantic Sun; Bruins went 7-43 from arc in 74-63 loss at Eastern Illinois Jan 10, only meeting this season. EIU used two guys 33-38 minutes in win over Edwardsville last night; no one else played more than 29:00. Panthers lost by 19 to Belmont in only meeting LY. Bruins come in to this tourney winning last four games, covering five of last seven as a favorite.
 

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Thursday, March 5

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

5:00 PM
NIAGARA vs. SIENA
Niagara is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Siena
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Niagara's last 8 games when playing on the road against Siena
Siena is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Siena's last 7 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
ARKANSAS vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas's last 6 games on the road
Arkansas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
South Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arkansas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Carolina's last 5 games when playing Arkansas

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
UAB vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
UAB is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 6 games at home
Florida Atlantic is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
TEMPLE vs. EAST CAROLINA
Temple is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Temple is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. CHARLOTTE
Western Kentucky is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
FAIRFIELD vs. SAINT PETER'S
No trends available
Saint Peter's is 8-12-3 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Fairfield
Saint Peter's is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Fairfield

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
WISCONSIN vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Wisconsin's last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Wisconsin is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:05 PM
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS vs. MISSOURI STATE
No trends available
Missouri State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Southern Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Missouri State's last 6 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:30 PM
TEXAS STATE vs. APPALACHIAN STATE
Texas State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Appalachian State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Appalachian State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:30 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 7 games on the road
Middle Tennessee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Florida International is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Middle Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida International's last 6 games when playing at home against Middle Tennessee

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:30 PM
TEXAS-ARLINGTON vs. GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Texas-Arlington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas-Arlington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games
Georgia Southern is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 8:00 PM
MARSHALL vs. OLD DOMINION
Marshall is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marshall's last 6 games on the road
Old Dominion is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 5 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 8:00 PM
RICE vs. TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO
Rice is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Rice is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Texas-San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Texas-San Antonio is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 8:00 PM
SOUTHERN MISS vs. LOUISIANA TECH
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Southern Miss's last 8 games on the road
Southern Miss is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana Tech's last 6 games
Louisiana Tech is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 8:00 PM
GEORGIA STATE vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
Georgia State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Georgia State is 5-11-1 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 8:15 PM
ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas-Little Rock's last 5 games on the road
Arkansas-Little Rock is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arkansas-Little Rock
Louisiana-Lafayette is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arkansas-Little Rock

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 8:30 PM
PORTLAND STATE vs. NORTHERN ARIZONA
Portland State is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Portland State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Northern Arizona
Northern Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland State
Northern Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland State

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 8:30 PM
SOUTH ALABAMA vs. ARKANSAS STATE
South Alabama is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Arkansas State
South Alabama is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Arkansas State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 6 games
Arkansas State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
MARIST vs. QUINNIPIAC
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Quinnipiac's last 6 games
Quinnipiac is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
NORTH TEXAS vs. TEXAS EL PASO
North Texas is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Texas's last 6 games on the road
Texas El Paso is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas El Paso is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH vs. DAVIDSON
Virginia Commonwealth is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Virginia Commonwealth is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Davidson is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
Davidson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
COLORADO vs. WASHINGTON
Colorado is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
CALIFORNIA vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of California's last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
California is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing California
Arizona is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing California

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
IDAHO vs. WEBER STATE
Idaho is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Idaho is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Weber State's last 7 games at home
Weber State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
SACRAMENTO STATE vs. SOUTHERN UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento State's last 5 games on the road
Sacramento State is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Southern Utah is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Sacramento State
Southern Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento State

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. CONNECTICUT
Memphis is 3-11-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Memphis is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Connecticut is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:05 PM
EASTERN WASHINGTON vs. IDAHO STATE
Eastern Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Idaho State
Idaho State is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Eastern Washington
Idaho State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Eastern Washington

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:30 PM
BRADLEY vs. DRAKE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Drake's last 6 games
Drake is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 10:00 PM
UC RIVERSIDE vs. UC DAVIS
UC Riverside is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against UC Davis
UC Riverside is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against UC Davis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UC Davis's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UC Davis's last 7 games when playing UC Riverside

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 10:00 PM
CS NORTHRIDGE vs. LONG BEACH STATE
CS Northridge is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
CS Northridge is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Long Beach State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against CS Northridge
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Long Beach State's last 7 games when playing at home against CS Northridge

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 10:00 PM
CS FULLERTON vs. UC IRVINE
CS Fullerton is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
CS Fullerton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
UC Irvine is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing CS Fullerton
UC Irvine is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing CS Fullerton

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 11:00 PM
UTAH vs. WASHINGTON STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Utah's last 16 games on the road
Utah is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington State's last 5 games
Washington State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 11:00 PM
STANFORD vs. ARIZONA STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Stanford's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona State
Stanford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona State
Arizona State is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Stanford
Arizona State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
 

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Thursday, March 5


March Madness is NOW! Betting this week's NCAAB conference tournaments

For those that think March Madness doesn’t begin until the selection committee has their say on that tense Sunday in mid-March, we say “WRONG”.

The official and oft-forgotten kickoff to the NCAA postseason begins this week when 13 mid-major conferences open their respective conference tournaments. Starting Tuesday, these leagues will fill out the first outright selections of the national tournament and, along the way, likely burst the bubble of a few major conference programs on the NCAA fringe.

Chances are you haven’t paid attention to these little leagues during the course of the season, since many of their games go without odds. Hell, you may not know some of them even existed. So we’re giving you a head start when it comes to capping these conference tournaments, pointing out the favorites, value underdog bets and live long shots to win.

America East (March 4, 8, 14)

Favorite: Albany Great Danes (21-8, 15-1) – With the America East a campus-sites tournament – no host school – Albany has home court to the finals. The Great Danes give up just 59 points per game at home – ninth lowest in the country.

Underdog: Stony Brook Seawolves (21-10, 12-4) – The lone conference blemish on Albany’s resume comes courtesy of the Seawolves, who ride a six-game winning streak into the postseason. Momentum is worth its weight in gold come March.

Long Shot: New Hampshire Wildcats (18-11, 11-5) – The Wildcats lost twice to Albany by a combined three points and have a win over Stony Brook. New Hampshire can knock down the 3-pointer and defend against it – two very key stats for playoff basketball.

Atlantic Sun (March 3-8)

Favorite: North Florida Ospreys -130 (20-11, 12-2) – North Florida gets home-court throughout this tournament, and can pile on the points in a hurry – averaging 83 points per home game (fifth in the country). It won both meetings with Florida Gulf Coast, who many pick to win this tournament.

Underdog: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles +270 (21-9, 11-3) – The Eagles stumbled at the end of the year with two straight losses. Florida Gulf Coast is known more for its defense (39.1 FG% def) then the high-flying offense it wowed the nation with two years ago.

Long shot: South Carolina Upstate Spartans +370 (21-10, 8-6) – North Florida’s two conference losses came to the Spartans, who also played FGCU tough. South Carolina Upstate has a plus-5.4 scoring margin and the conference’s top scorer Ty Greene, who dropped 39 on North Florida and 31 on FGCU.

Big South (March 3-8)

Favorite: Charleston Southern Buccaneers (19-10, 13-5) – The Buccaneers locked up the No. 1 seed with a thrilling triple-overtime win against High Point Saturday. Charleston Southern can fill it up at home (averaging 80 points) and lives by the 3-pointer, and dies by the 3-pointer (27.4 3-pt attempts – second most).

Underdog: Radford Highlanders (21-10, 12-6) – Radford grabbed the No. 4 seed with a win in its season finale. The Highlanders have two wins over High Point and a road win at Charleston and boast a deep rotation with seven players averaging 5.9 points or more.

Long shot: Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs (18-13, 10-8) – The Bulldogs managed to win 18 games despite being ranked among the worst defensive programs in the country (74.2 points against). Gardner-Webb has been able to overwhelm the top teams in the conference with its explosive offense (75.1 points per game).

Colonial Athletic Association (March 6-9)

Favorite: James Madison Dukes +1,000 (19-12, 12-6) – Even though the Dukes are ranked No. 4 in the conference tournament, they take six wins in their last seven games (5-2 ATS) into the postseason. That momentum separates them from a deadlocked pack at the top of the conference. William & Mary are +200 faves to win the Colonial at the Superbook in Las Vegas but dropped three of its last five games of the season. The CAA is much more wide open than the odds would indicate.

Underdog: NC Wilmington Seahawks +600 (17-12, 12-6) – The Seahawks crapped the bed in the season finale, losing to Elon but has knocked off Northeastern and James Madison in recent weeks and sits No. 2 in the tournament seeding, and will play a banged-up Drexel team (missing CAA leading scorer Damion Lee) or a 8-23 College of Charleston squad.

Long shot: Elon Phoenix +1,200 (14-17, 6-12) – Elon came on late in the season with three straight wins to finish up, beating Northeastern and UNCW in that span. The Phoenix also beat No. 1-seed William & Mary earlier this year, who they will likely face in Round 2 of the CAA tournament.

Horizon League (March 3-10)

Favorite: Valparaiso Crusaders EVEN (26-5, 13-3) – Since Valpo won the league, it gets to host the tournament - a sweet deal for a team that went 13-1 at home. The Crusaders don’t budge much on defense and don’t give away second looks at the basket either, allowing just 7.5 offensive rebounds per game.

Underdog: Green Bay Phoenix +150 (23-7, 12-4) – Seeded No. 2, Green Bay avoided a potential meeting with Cleveland State in the semifinals (lost both games to the Vikings). The Phoenix won the regular season title last year but were upset in the opener. They’ll be cautious of a letdown this time around.

Long shot: Detroit Titans +350 (14-17, 7-9) – Detroit is sitting No. 5 in the tournament and no one ahead of them wants them to advance. The Titans have victories over Valparaiso, Cleveland State, and Oakland and was competitive in February with a 5-2 ATS record. Detroit is a dangerous 3-point threat at 39.1 percent in league games.

Metro Atlantic Athletic (March 5-9)

Favorite: Iona Gaels +120 (24-7, 17-3) – The Gaels can light up the scoreboard with an offense that posts 79.6 points per game – seventh in the country. Iona did, however, lay an egg in the season finale to St. Peter’s, marking the fourth straight game the Gaels have failed to cover.

Underdog: Rider Broncs +500 (21-10, 15-5) – Rider was one of the best bets during the regular season, going 17-9 ATS in its 26 lined games. The Broncs had a strong true road record at 11-4 and played some heavyweights in Kansas and Michigan State early in the year.

Long shot: Niagara Purple Eagles +300 (8-21, 7-13) – The Purple Eagles picked up half their wins in the final four games of the season, including a win over Rider, holding opponents to about 40 percent shooting. Niagara also played Iona to a one-point game, losing 80-79 at home. Momentum breeds upsets.

Missouri Valley Conference (March 5-8)

Favorite: Wichita State Shockers -300 (27-3, 17-1) – Wichita State is going dancing regardless of their tournament turnout. Wichita State proved it was top dog in the MVC with a convincing win over Northern Iowa and has covered in five straight heading into the postseason.

Underdog: Northern Iowa Panthers +250 (27-3, 16-2) – While UNI’s record is very close to WSU, Saturday’s 14-point defeat to the Shockers showed how much space is really between these programs. The Panthers give up just 54.6 points per game – fourth lowest in the country – and seemingly have an easier side of the bracket.

Long shot: Illinois State Redbirds +800 (15-15, 11-7) – With ranked rivals above them in the standings, Illinois State is giving great value in the MVC tournament. The Redbirds bring a four-game winning streak into the postseason and covered in both losses to Wichita State.

Northeast Conference (March 5,8,11)

Favorite: St. Francis (NY) Terriers (21-10, 15-3) – The Terriers limp into the postseason off a loss and a slim overtime victory in their final two games of the schedule. St. Francis has home court throughout the tournament, losing just one conference game in front of its fans.

Underdog: Robert Morris Colonials (16-14, 12-6) – Robert Morris takes a three-game roll into the tournament and was the lone Northeast team to come out of Peter Aquilone Court in Brooklyn with a victory. Rodney Pryor is playing the best basketball in the conference averaging 25.5 points in the last four games.

Long shot: Sacred Heart Pioneers (15-16, 9-9) – Sacred Heart closed the campaign with back-to-back wins and went 6-2 in its last eight games of the schedule. The Pioneers love to push the tempo, averaging 73.4 points on 72.3 possessions per game – running the 20th fastest tempo in college hoops.

Ohio Valley Conference (March 4-7)

Favorite: Murray State Racers -125 (26-4, 16-0) – The Racers were perfect in conference play but all that could be for nothing if Murray State can’t get the job done in the postseason. The Racers can put up the points - 78.8 per game – but do have flaws on defense and at the charity stripe.

Underdog: Belmont Bruins +260 (19-10, 11-5) – The Bruins earned the No. 3 seed in the tournament thanks to a late-season push that won four straight, including a victory over Eastern Kentucky. Belmont can also fill the stats sheet but hasn’t been its best away from home.

Long shot: Morehead State Eagles +260 (15-16, 10-6) – Morehead State also brings momentum into the postseason with three wins in a row. Those victories did come against the bottom half of the OVC East, but the Eagles have a swarming defense that turns mistakes into easy offense – forcing a league-high 14.9 turnovers per game.

Patriot League (March 3,5,8,11)

Favorite: Colgate Raiders +270 (15-16, 12-6) – Colgate finished as the No. 2 seed but has five wins in its last seven games, and those two losses have come by a combined three points. The Raiders also won both meetings with No. 1 Bucknell (+165) this season. This team can bring the rain from downtown, averaging 7.8 3-pointers per game on 40.2 percent shooting – ninth best in the country.

Underdog: Lehigh Mountain Hawks +425 (16-13, 10-8) – Lehigh takes on American U in Round 2, a team it beat in its last meeting, then would likely face Colgate in the semifinal. The Mountain Hawks have given the Raiders a tough go in their two clashes, and have a convincing win over No. 1 Bucknell. It could happen for the No. 3 seed.

Long shot: Lafayette Leopards +500 (17-12, 9-9) – The Leopards are dead eyes from downtown, shooting 40.3 percent from distance and knocking down almost eight 3-pointers per game. Lafayette ranks 26th in scoring at 75 points per game and took down Bucknell, Colgate and Lehigh this season.

Southern Conference (March 6-9)

Favorite: Wofford Terriers -125 (25-6, 16-2) – Wofford runs a very methodical offense, sucking almost every second off the shot clock. That’s helped the Terriers limit opponents to just 59.9 points per game. They bring a five-game winning streak into the postseason, going 4-1 ATS in that span.

Underdog: Chattanooga Mocs +300 (22-9, 15-3) – The Mocs run at a much quicker tempo than their Southern rivals, scoring 72.8 points per game. They won their last meeting at home versus Wofford and boast four players averaging double figures.

Long shot: Samford Bulldogs +1,500 (13-18, 6-12) – Samford has a tough slate of schedule to finish the season, playing five of its final seven games on the road. The Bulldogs went 3-4 in that span with a 5-2 ATS mark. Samford has a freshman star in Christen Cunningham, who is playing his best ball of the season.

Summit League (March 7-10)

Favorite: South Dakota State -110 /North Dakota State +500 (21-9, 12-4/20-9, 12-4) – Nearly identical records from these rivals. Since they’re seeding No. 1 and No. 2, there’s a very good chance we see them in the final. Both closed the regular season with a loss. They split the season series but No. 1 SDSU has the softer side of the bracket this March.

Underdog: Oral Roberts Golden Eagles +500 (17-13, 10-6) – Oral Roberts took a win over NDSU last week and closed with a victory over Denver. The Golden Eagles are without standout guard Korey Billbury, who was suspended at the end of the year. And while they’ve done OK without him in those two games, they will miss him in the backcourt when the postseason pressure builds.

Long shot: IUPU - Ft. Wayne Mastodons +500 (16-13, 9-7) – The Mastodons have resume wins over North and South Dakota State and come into the postseason on an 8-2 run, going 9-1 ATs in that stretch. IPFW can win with offense or lock teams down on defense.

West Coast Conference (March 5-10)

Favorite: Gonzaga Bulldogs -300 (29-2, 17-1) – The Bulldogs are coming off a loss to BYU in the season finale, which probably cost them a shot at a No. 1 seed in the NCAA tournament. Gonzaga gets it done on both ends of the floor and that loss to the Cougars is likely a wake-up call for Mark Few’s squad.

Underdog: BYU Cougars +300 (23-8, 13-5) – The Cougars may have just punched their ticket to the Big Dance with that win over Gonzaga, and run the risk of a letdown in their opener. Brigham Young is the top scoring team in the country but doesn’t play much in the way of defense.

Long shot: Pepperdine Waves +1,000 (17-12, 10-8) – Behind the Zags, St, Mary’s and BYU, Pepperdine is playing in the shadows of those WCC heavyweights. The Waves won both games with the Cougars, knocked off the Gaels and gave the Bulldogs fits. They’ve held their last four opponents to an average of just 54 points.
 

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Thursday, March 5


Five ways basketball bettors can size up NCAAB Cinderellas

Selection Sunday is less than two weeks away and college basketball bettors will be enthralled by a handful of Cinderella teams making improbable runs in the NCAA tournament. By that time though, it will be too late for said bettors to cash in on those surprise squads.

Hoops fans will look back to the regular season for signs of those teams turning the corner as contenders and wonder, “Why didn’t I see that coming?”

If you would rather be the guy saying “I told you so” and making money on those underdog runs, now is the time to start sizing up possible Cinderella teams. They can come from small mid-major leagues, like VCU in 2011, or could be under our nose the entire year in a major conference, like UConn in 2011 and again last March.

Here are a few things to look for when trying the glass slipper on a potential Cinderella team before the NCAA tournament tips off.

Non-conference success

Probable Cinderella teams can show their true colors as early as November by putting together a strong effort against non-conference foes. Many programs load up on major-conference competition in order to jack their RPI and strength of schedule, giving bettors an idea of how they’ll react against tougher and unknown opponents.

Teams playing in poor conferences that played a meaningless non-conference schedule likely will not come close to getting out of the first round. Teams like VCU (1st non-conf SOS), BYU (16th), Wofford (17th), William & Mary (47th) are potential Cinderella’s thanks to their stout non-conference calendar.

Experience and chemistry

Whether it be a roster packed with upperclassmen or past tournament success, experience is worth its weight in gold come March – especially when taking on some of the younger major-conference squads.

For instance, you can keep a close eye on Harvard (eight seniors), St. Francis (NY) (four seniors, five juniors), Charleston Southern (five seniors, five juniors), and UC Davis (four seniors, three juniors).

Defense

When talking to experts about what stands out most for potential Cinderellas, defense is the one attribute that comes up over and over again. All of them would take a lockdown defence over a potent offence any day of the week during March Madness.

One of the names being brought up is Northern Iowa out of the Missouri Valley Conference. The Panthers rank fourth in the country in points allowed (54.6), limiting opponents to just 39 percent shooting, including 31.2 percent from beyond the arc.

Momentum

The most dangerous team in the tournament is the hottest team, which we saw from UConn in 2011. Plenty of teams are rolling toward the postseason, but there could be added value behind under-the-radar streaks like Davidson winning seven in a row and BYU putting together six straight wins.

The pointspread is a great way to gauge just how well a team is playing heading into and during its conference tournament. The oddsmakers’ numbers give you an idea of the expectations on a team, and whether or not they are playing above or below that bar. The IUPU - Ft. Wayne Mastodons are long-shot contenders to win the Summit League tournament, but have covered in nine of their last 10 games (8-2 SU) heading in the postseason.

Silent superstars

The NCAA tournament has made household names out of unknown ballers. There are more and more pros coming out of smaller conferences each year. Past Cinderellas like Butler with Gordon Hayward, Davidson with Stephen Curry and Western Kentucky with Courtney Lee, have put their teams on their back come tourney time and given the favorites fits.

UC Davis has a sharp-shooting scorer in Corey Hawkins, who is averaging 20.2 points per game, BYU’s top-ranked offense is paced by Tyler Haws, who scores 0.69 points per minute, and David Laury leads an Iona attack that runs one of the fastest tempos in the country.
 

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Thursday, March 5


Top 25 roundup: Notre Dame wins at Louisville

LOUISVILLE, Ky. -- With eight days to prepare, Notre Dame coach Mike Brey said he had his team ready to rebound from a loss at home to Syracuse.

The 12th-ranked Irish shot 53.5 percent from the field and overcame nearly 10 minutes without a field goal in the second half to beat 16th-ranked Louisville 71-59 Wednesday in the KFC Yum! Center.

Sophomore guard Demetrius Jackson led four Irish players in double figures with 21 points and five rebounds, and freshman forward Bonzie Colson came off the bench for 17 points.

The Irish (25-5, 13-4 Atlantic Coast Conference) hit 23 of 43 shots from the field, including five of 16 3-point attempts.

Junior forward Montrezl Harrell led Louisville with 23 points and 12 rebounds. The Cardinals hit just 22 of 52 attempts from the field (42.3 percent) and had just two field goals in the final 11:43 of the game.

Ohio State 77, Penn State 67

STATE COLLEGE, Pa. -- Freshman phenom D'Angelo Russell scored 28 points and drained five 3-pointers, most of them during a huge second-half run that helped No. 23 Ohio State win at Penn State.

Penn State led 38-35 before Russell hit two free throws, then 3-pointers on three consecutive possessions to give the Buckeyes (22-8, 11-6 Big Ten) a 46-42 lead with 12:55 left. Just under two minutes later, the freshman made a steal in the Penn State backcourt and drove the floor for a layup and a free throw, extending the Ohio State lead to 50-42. Another 3-pointer with 9:07 left gave him 26 points and his team a 58-44 lead.

Forward Jae'Sean Tate and guard Shannon Scott finished with 13 points each as the Buckeyes, who scored 29 points in the first half, had 37 in the first 14 minutes of the second half and led by as many as 17.

Senior guard D.J. Newbill led the Nittany Lions (15-15, 3-14) with 17 points and senior forward Ross Travis added 14 points and eight rebounds. Penn State has dropped eight of its last nine games and lost 14 of 17 after a 12-1 start.

Providence 79, Seton Hall 66

NEWARK, N.J. -- No. 24 Providence used a strong second half to win its fifth game in the last six, defeating Seton Hall in a Big East game at the Prudential Center.

Providence (21-9, 11-6 Big East) was led by forward LaDontae Henton, ranked seventh in the country in scoring, and freshman forward Ben Bentil with 21 points each. Bentil also grabbed 10 rebounds and was 10 of 10 from the line.

Freshman guard Isaiah Whitehead and senior forward Brandon Mobley led Seton Hall (16-13, 6-11) with 13 points apiece. The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight games.

Duke 94, Wake Forest 51

DURHAM, N.C. -- Third-ranked Duke blew out Wake Forest from the start and freshman reserve guard Grayson Allen scored 27 points in the Blue Devils' home finale.

Duke (27-3, 14-3 Atlantic Coast Conference) wrapped up the No. 2 seed for next week's ACC Tournament. The Blue Devils hold a 10-game winning streak going into the regular-season finale Saturday night at rival North Carolina.

Guard Matt Jones tacked on 17 points and forward Justise Winslow and guard Quinn Cook scored 13 points apiece for Duke, which led by more than 30 points in the first half.

Wake Forest (13-17, 5-12) was locked into the No. 11 seed, but the outcome marked the second time in three games the Demon Deacons were blown out. Guard Codi Miller-McIntyre ended up with 20 points to pace Wake.
 

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Dunkel

Arkansas at South Carolina
The Razorbacks (23-6 SU) head to South Carolina tonight to face a Gamecocks team that is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games versus a team with a winning record. Arkansas is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Razorbacks favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-2). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

THURSDAY, MARCH 5

Game 505-506: Wisconsin at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 72.510; Minnesota 68.955
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+6 1/2)

Game 507-508: Temple at East Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 63.047; East Carolina 60.810
Dunkel Line: Temple by 2
Vegas Line: Temple by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+5 1/2)

Game 509-510: Arkansas at South Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 71.113; South Carolina 64.310
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 8
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-2)

Game 511-512: Western Kentucky at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 52.124; Charlotte 61.260
Dunkel Line: Charlotte by 9
Vegas Line: Charlotte by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-4 1/2)

Game 513-514: UAB at Florida Atlantic (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 56.978; Florida Atlantic 48.492
Dunkel Line: UAB by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: UAB by 5
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-5)

Game 515-516: Middle Tennessee State at Florida Internatinal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 55.229; Florida International 48.128
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 7
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-3 1/2)

Game 517-518: Texas State at Appalachian State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 48.090; Appalachian State 50.092
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 2
Vegas Line: Texas State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (+2)

Game 519-520: TX-Arlington at Georgia Southern (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 52.477; Georgia Southern 55.946
Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 6
Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (+6)

Game 521-522: Rice at TX-San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 51.175; TX-San Antonio 55.437
Dunkel Line: TX-San Antonio by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: TX=San Antonio by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+7 1/2)

Game 523-524: Southern Mississippi at Louisiana Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 47.482; Louisiana Tech 61.590
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 14
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 19
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (+19)

Game 525-526: Marshall at Old Dominion (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 46.288; Old Dominion 64.865
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (-15 1/2)

Game 527-528: Georgia State at UL-Monroe (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 62.816; UL-Monroe 52.915
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 10
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (-4 1/2)

Game 529-530: AR-Little Rock at UL-Lafayette (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Little Rock 53.524; UL-Lafayette 52.899
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 1
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (+7 1/2)

Game 531-532: South Alabama at Arkansas State (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 46.954; Arkansas State 47.127
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 5
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+5)

Game 533-534: North Texas at UTEP (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 50.804; UTEP 64.956
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 14
Vegas Line: UTEP by 10
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-10)

Game 535-536: California at Arizona (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 58.533; Arizona 83.480
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 25
Vegas Line: Arizona by 19
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-19)

Game 537-538: Memphis at Connecticut (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 65.306; Connecticut 66.816
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+7 1/2)

Game 539-540: VCU at Davidson (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VCU 64.424; Davidson 63.510
Dunkel Line: VCU by 1
Vegas Line: Davidson by 4
Dunkel Pick: VCU (+4)

Game 541-542: Colorado at Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 543-544: UC-Riverside at UC-Davis (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Riverside 51.761; UC-Davis 64.357
Dunkel Line: UC-Davis by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Davis by 9
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (-9)

Game 545-546: CS-Northridge at Long Beach State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 50.189; Long Beach State 57.209
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 7
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick:CS-Northridge (+11 1/2)

Game 547-548: CS-Fullerton at UC-Irvine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 48.092; UC-Irvine 61.594
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (+15 1/2)

Game 549-550: Stanford at Arizona State (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 66.573; Arizona State 64.067
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Stanford

Game 551-552: Utah at Washington State (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 71.546; Washington State 61.073
Dunkel Line: Utah by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+13 1/2)

Game 553-554: Southern Illinois vs. Missouri State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 50.275; Missouri State 45.738
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (-2)

Game 555-556: Bradley vs. Drake (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 48.221; Drake 51.553
Dunkel Line: Drake by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Drake

Game 557-558: Portland State at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 49.312; Northern Arizona 53.619
Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Arizona by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (+7 1/2)

Game 559-560: Sacramento State at Southern Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 50.947; Southern Utah 49.853
Dunkel Line: Sacramento State by 1
Vegas Line: Sacramento State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (+3 1/2)

Game 561-562: Eastern Washington at Idaho State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 51.838; Idaho State 47.991
Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 4
Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 8
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+8)

Game 563-564: Idaho at Weber State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 49.299; Weber State 47.515
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 2
Vegas Line: Weber State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+2 1/2)

Game 565-566: Niagara vs. Siena (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 44.708; Siena 49.744
Dunkel Line: Siena by 5
Vegas Line: Siena by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Siena (-3 1/2)

Game 567-568: Fairfield vs. St. Peter's (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 45.729; St. Peter's 51.827
Dunkel Line: St. Peter's by 6
Vegas Line: St. Peter's by 4
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (-4)

Game 569-570: Marist vs. Quinnipiac (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 48.865; Quinnipiac 52.706
Dunkel Line: Quinnipiac by 4
Vegas Line: Quinnipiac by 7
Dunkel Pick: Maist (+7)

Game 571-572: Morehead State vs. Tennessee-Martin (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 573-574: Eastern Illinois vs. Belmont (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 581-582: USC Upstate at Florida Gulf Coast (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC Upstate 47.948; Florida Gulf Coast 50.547
Dunkel Line: Florida Gulf Coast by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida Gulf Coast by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC Upstate (+4 1/2)

Game 583-584: Lipscomb at North Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Lipscomb 46.795; North Florida 58.200
Dunkel Line: North Florida by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: North Florida by 13
Dunkel Pick: Lipscomb (+13)

Game 585-586: Boston U at Lafayette (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston U 51.710; Lafayette 50.438
Dunkel Line: Boston U by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Lafayette by 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston U (+5)

Game 587.588: Holy Cross at Bucknell (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Holy Cross 45.620; Bucknell 56.910
Dunkel Line: Bucknell by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Bucknell by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bucknell (-5 1/2)

Game 589-590: Navy at Colgate (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 46.150; Colgate 57.217
Dunkel Line: Colgate by 11
Vegas Line: Colgate by 7
Dunkel Pick: Colgate (-7)

Game 591-592: American at Lehigh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: American 48.749; Lehigh 56.168
Dunkel Line: Lehigh by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Lehigh by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Lehigh (-4 1/2)
 

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Wisconsin at Minnesota


March 5, 2015




Wisconsin can wrap up the Big Ten regular-season title with a win Thursday against Minnesota at The Barn. Most important, Bo Ryan's team wants to win its last two regular-season games (at Ohio St. this weekend) and the Big Ten Tournament and perhaps garner a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament.


As of late Wednesday afternoon, most books had the Badgers favored by six points.


Wisconsin (26-3 straight up, 14-14-1 against the spread) has failed to cover the spread in four consecutive games, including Sunday's 68-61 win over Michigan St. as a nine-point home 'chalk.' This was an especially painful defeat for UW backers, who had to be feeling confident with an 11-point halftime lead that was extended to as many as 22 in the second half.


Frank Kaminsky paced Wisconsin with a season-high 31 points on 11-of-17 shooting from the field. The senior center also had eight rebounds, three assists, three blocked shots and two steals. Nigel Hayes was also in double figures with 14 points.


Minnesota (17-12 SU, 11-14-1 ATS) has won 13 of 16 home game while going 7-6 versus the number. Richard Pitino's squad ended a three-game losing streak last Thursday at Breslin Center in East Lansing, where it captured a 96-90 win over the Spartans as an eight-point road underdog.


Carlos Morris was the catalyst for the winners, draining 4-of-5 shots from 3-point range en route to scoring a team-best 20 points. Joey King and Andre Hollins added 17 points apiece, while Maurice Walker finished with 15 points and eight rebounds.


Hollins is averaging a team-high 14.7 points per game while connecting on 42.5 percent of his attempts from long range. Walker averages 11.7 points and 6.3 rebounds per game, and he also has a team-best 38 blocked shots.


Kaminsky leads Wisconsin in scoring (18.1 PPG), rebounding (8.2 RPG), assists (2.5 APG), field-goal percentage (54.9%), steals (0.9 SPG) and blocked shots (1.6 BPG). Sam Dekker averages 12.9 points and 5.4 rebounds per game, while Hayes is scoring at a 12.1 PPG clip and pulling down 6.3 rebounds per contest.


When these teams met in Madison on Feb. 21, Wisconsin won its third straight in this rivalry by a 63-53 count. However, Minnesota took the cash as a 15-point underdog. In fact, the Gophers are 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven head-to-head encounters between these Big Ten adversaries. Kaminsky had 21 points in UW's win two Saturdays ago.


The 'under' is 17-12 overall for the Badgers, 5-5 in their 10 road assignments. The 'under' has cashed in six of their last seven games.


Totals have been an overall wash (11-11-1) for the Gophers, but they have watched the 'over' hit at a 7-2-1 clip in their home outings.


Tip-off on ESPN is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern.


**B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets**


-- For much of the last 2-3 weeks, most pundits have forecasted that the SEC will likely get at least five, and probably six, schools invited to the NCAA Tournament. Well, as we go into the last weekend of the regular season, at least two of those squads are in trouble. LSU, the team I've considered the third-best team in the SEC all year (on talent and potential), got smashed at home last night by a Tennessee squad that had lost five in a row and nine of its last 11. In short, a horrible loss for LSU, which waxed UT in Knoxville on Feb. 14.


-- The other SEC school in danger is certainly Texas A&M. The Aggies took a bad loss, yet somehow (actually, just downright atrocious free-throw shooting by Florida) found a way to get a backdoor cover in a loss at Florida that wasn't nearly as close as the score indicated. If I'm on the Selection Committee, any bubble team getting handled by the Gators is a team I have major doubts about in terms of an NCAA invite.


-- LSU wasn't the only bubble team to mess its bed last night. Count Tulsa and Pitt into that equation as well. The Panthers lost at home to a Miami team missing two of its top players. The Golden Hurricane lost at home to Cincinnati, which I actually think is the better team anyway. The Bearcats were only three-point road 'dogs, and this shouldn't be considered a shocker by any means even though Tulsa (#37) has a better RPI (Cincy: 50).


-- I've been saying it for weeks -- Georiga Tech and Alabama need to be all up in Archie Miller's agent's voice mail, texts, etc., etc., etc. (whatever the hell it takes!).


-- Despite trailing by eight at Seton Hall at halftime last night, Providence won and covered easily in a double-digit win over the Pirates. I'm just not impressed with Kevin Willard at all. As for Isaiah Whitehead, don't even get me started. This kid was supposed to be one of the top freshmen in America, and his skills, talent and size seem to indicate as much. But the dude is just a turnover/missed-shots machine -- and clearly a bad teammate. What a wasted season for The Hall, which at one point was 12-2 SU and 12-1 ATS.


-- Purdue just cashes tickets -- lots of 'em! The Boilermakers, who covered as seven-point underdogs in a six-point setback at Michigan St. last night, are now 9-2 ATS in their 11 games as 'dogs this year. They are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 outings.


-- East Carolina owns an 8-1-2 spread record in its last 11 games. The Pirates, who are 3-2 ATS with a pair of outright wins as home underdogs this season, will host a Temple team in dire need of a victory. The Owls are on the bubble and have failed to cover the number in three straight games. They opened as 5.5-point road favorites to ECU.


-- After injuring his knee in Tuesday's overtime win over West Va., Perry Ellis is expected to miss KU's regular-season finale at Oklahoma. However, Bill Self expects the veteran forward back in time for the Big 12 Tournament. Ellis is averaging 14.2 points and 7.0 rebounds per game for the Jayhawks.


-- Virginia leading scorer Justin Anderson might be able to return for the Cavs' regular-season finale this weekend. He has missed more than three weeks with a broken finger.
 

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Wisconsin at Minnesota

March 5, 2015


Wisconsin can wrap up the Big Ten regular-season title with a win Thursday against Minnesota at The Barn. Most important, Bo Ryan's team wants to win its last two regular-season games (at Ohio St. this weekend) and the Big Ten Tournament and perhaps garner a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament.

As of late Wednesday afternoon, most books had the Badgers favored by six points.

Wisconsin (26-3 straight up, 14-14-1 against the spread) has failed to cover the spread in four consecutive games, including Sunday's 68-61 win over Michigan St. as a nine-point home 'chalk.' This was an especially painful defeat for UW backers, who had to be feeling confident with an 11-point halftime lead that was extended to as many as 22 in the second half.

Frank Kaminsky paced Wisconsin with a season-high 31 points on 11-of-17 shooting from the field. The senior center also had eight rebounds, three assists, three blocked shots and two steals. Nigel Hayes was also in double figures with 14 points.

Minnesota (17-12 SU, 11-14-1 ATS) has won 13 of 16 home game while going 7-6 versus the number. Richard Pitino's squad ended a three-game losing streak last Thursday at Breslin Center in East Lansing, where it captured a 96-90 win over the Spartans as an eight-point road underdog.

Carlos Morris was the catalyst for the winners, draining 4-of-5 shots from 3-point range en route to scoring a team-best 20 points. Joey King and Andre Hollins added 17 points apiece, while Maurice Walker finished with 15 points and eight rebounds.

Hollins is averaging a team-high 14.7 points per game while connecting on 42.5 percent of his attempts from long range. Walker averages 11.7 points and 6.3 rebounds per game, and he also has a team-best 38 blocked shots.

Kaminsky leads Wisconsin in scoring (18.1 PPG), rebounding (8.2 RPG), assists (2.5 APG), field-goal percentage (54.9%), steals (0.9 SPG) and blocked shots (1.6 BPG). Sam Dekker averages 12.9 points and 5.4 rebounds per game, while Hayes is scoring at a 12.1 PPG clip and pulling down 6.3 rebounds per contest.

When these teams met in Madison on Feb. 21, Wisconsin won its third straight in this rivalry by a 63-53 count. However, Minnesota took the cash as a 15-point underdog. In fact, the Gophers are 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven head-to-head encounters between these Big Ten adversaries. Kaminsky had 21 points in UW's win two Saturdays ago.

The 'under' is 17-12 overall for the Badgers, 5-5 in their 10 road assignments. The 'under' has cashed in six of their last seven games.

Totals have been an overall wash (11-11-1) for the Gophers, but they have watched the 'over' hit at a 7-2-1 clip in their home outings.

Tip-off on ESPN is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets**

-- For much of the last 2-3 weeks, most pundits have forecasted that the SEC will likely get at least five, and probably six, schools invited to the NCAA Tournament. Well, as we go into the last weekend of the regular season, at least two of those squads are in trouble. LSU, the team I've considered the third-best team in the SEC all year (on talent and potential), got smashed at home last night by a Tennessee squad that had lost five in a row and nine of its last 11. In short, a horrible loss for LSU, which waxed UT in Knoxville on Feb. 14.

-- The other SEC school in danger is certainly Texas A&M. The Aggies took a bad loss, yet somehow (actually, just downright atrocious free-throw shooting by Florida) found a way to get a backdoor cover in a loss at Florida that wasn't nearly as close as the score indicated. If I'm on the Selection Committee, any bubble team getting handled by the Gators is a team I have major doubts about in terms of an NCAA invite.

-- LSU wasn't the only bubble team to mess its bed last night. Count Tulsa and Pitt into that equation as well. The Panthers lost at home to a Miami team missing two of its top players. The Golden Hurricane lost at home to Cincinnati, which I actually think is the better team anyway. The Bearcats were only three-point road 'dogs, and this shouldn't be considered a shocker by any means even though Tulsa (#37) has a better RPI (Cincy: 50).

-- I've been saying it for weeks -- Georiga Tech and Alabama need to be all up in Archie Miller's agent's voice mail, texts, etc., etc., etc. (whatever the hell it takes!).

-- Despite trailing by eight at Seton Hall at halftime last night, Providence won and covered easily in a double-digit win over the Pirates. I'm just not impressed with Kevin Willard at all. As for Isaiah Whitehead, don't even get me started. This kid was supposed to be one of the top freshmen in America, and his skills, talent and size seem to indicate as much. But the dude is just a turnover/missed-shots machine -- and clearly a bad teammate. What a wasted season for The Hall, which at one point was 12-2 SU and 12-1 ATS.

-- Purdue just cashes tickets -- lots of 'em! The Boilermakers, who covered as seven-point underdogs in a six-point setback at Michigan St. last night, are now 9-2 ATS in their 11 games as 'dogs this year. They are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 outings.

-- East Carolina owns an 8-1-2 spread record in its last 11 games. The Pirates, who are 3-2 ATS with a pair of outright wins as home underdogs this season, will host a Temple team in dire need of a victory. The Owls are on the bubble and have failed to cover the number in three straight games. They opened as 5.5-point road favorites to ECU.

-- After injuring his knee in Tuesday's overtime win over West Va., Perry Ellis is expected to miss KU's regular-season finale at Oklahoma. However, Bill Self expects the veteran forward back in time for the Big 12 Tournament. Ellis is averaging 14.2 points and 7.0 rebounds per game for the Jayhawks.

-- Virginia leading scorer Justin Anderson might be able to return for the Cavs' regular-season finale this weekend. He has missed more than three weeks with a broken finger.


 

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March totals


nba


*****....................................... 3 - 5
double play................................ 2 - 4
triple play.................................. 2 - 1 - 1
slam dunk..................................2 - 2
gom...........................................0 - 1


ncaabb


*****........................................13 - 5
double play.................................8 - 6
triple play...................................6 - 1
slam dunk..................................0 - 1
gom...........................................0 - 4


nhl


*****....................................2 - 4.........................- 3.22
double play.............................4 - 3.........................+ 0.32
triple play...............................3 - 0.........................+ 9.00
hat trick.................................3 - 1.........................+ 7.92
 

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NBA

Thursday, March 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: TNT NBA Thursday doubleheader
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Oklahoma City Thunder at Chicago Bulls (+4, 200.5)

The Chicago Bulls and the Oklahoma City Thunder are both dealing with injuries to All-Star players, and so far both are making the necessary adjustments. The Bulls will try to take advantage of a tired Thunder squad when they play host Thursday. Oklahoma City got Russell Westbrook back from a facial fracture on Wednesday, and he once again proved that he is a legitimate contender in the MVP race.

Westbrook went for a career-high 49 points and 16 rebounds while adding 10 assists to post his fourth straight triple-double in a 123-118 overtime victory over the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday while wearing a face mask. Westbrook’s heroics have helped cover for the loss of Kevin Durant (foot), who is slowly making his way back and is expected to be out at least another week. The Bulls are used to playing without Derrick Rose (knee), but also are dealing with the loss of All-Star Jimmy Butler (elbow), who sat out Tuesday’s win over Washington and will miss three to six weeks.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened the Bulls as 4-point dogs and the total at 200.5.

INJURY REPORT: Thunder - C Steven Adams (Questionable, hand), F Kevin Durant (Out indefinitely, foot), F Steve Novak (Out indefinitely, appendix). Bulls - F Taj Gibson (Mid March, ankle), G Jimmy Butler (Early April, elbow), G Derrick Rose (Mid April, knee).

ABOUT THE THUNDER (34-27 SU, 30-29-2 ATS, 27-34 O/U): Westbrook took a knee to the side of the head late in a loss at Portland on Friday, resulting in a dent in his face where the bone was fractured. The 26-year-old took one game off before coming back with the mask and became the first player since Michael Jordan in the 1988-89 season to post four straight triple-doubles when he picked apart the 76ers on Wednesday, leading to loud “M-V-P” chants from the home crowd while the reigning MVP, Durant, waved to the crowd for more from the bench. “For those of you, including myself, that thought Russell might need a few games to get used to the mask,” Oklahoma City coach Scott Brooks told reporters, “we were wrong.”

ABOUT THE BULLS (38-23 SU, 28-33 ATS, 28-32-1 O/U): Chicago needs players to step up and fill the scoring load vacated by Butler and Rose, and so far rookie forward Nikola Mirotic is up for the challenge. Mirotic is averaging 26 points and 8.5 rebounds over the last two games while playing more than 30 minutes off the bench in each contest. “We’ve just got to hold the fort down until (Rose and Butler) come back,” Bulls center Joakim Noah told reporters. “I think a lot of the young boys really stepped up in a big game (Tuesday against Washington).”

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Thunder are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
* Under is 4-1 in Bulls last five home games.



Dallas Mavericks at Portland Trail Blazers (-2.5, OFF)

The Portland Trail Blazers are fresh off an emotional comeback victory on the road and will be on the court again Thursday when they host the Dallas Mavericks. Portland faced a 10-point deficit with under three minutes left in regulation Wednesday before finishing with a flurry and notching a 98-93 overtime victory over the Los Angeles Clippers. The victory elevated the Trail Blazers to third place in the Western Conference, while the Mavericks are tied for fifth with the Clippers.

Dallas, which has split two games with Portland this season, is an unbelievable 30-0 when leading after three quarters. “We’ve been decent with leads,” forward Dirk Nowitzki told reporters. “We get in trouble when we have suspect first halves and we need to chase all game, and then we run out of gas in the fourth. But we’re usually pretty good when we take the lead.” Trail Blazers guard Damian Lillard collected a career-best 18 rebounds against the Clippers but had just five points on 1-of-13 to snap a streak of scoring in double figures in 58 straight games.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened the Blazers as 2.5-point faves.

INJURY REPORT: Mavericks - F Chandler Parsons (Questionable, ankle), C Tyson Chandler (Probable, hip). Blazers - N/A

ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (40-22 SU, 30-30-2 ATS, 25-36-1 O/U): Power forward Amar’e Stoudemire continues to adjust to his role and put forth a good effort during Monday’s win over the New Orleans Pelicans with 14 points in 23 minutes off the bench. It was his second 14-point outing in four games since joining Dallas, and Stoudemire expects his production to improve as he learns the system and his responsibilities. “It takes a lot of studying and it takes communication to be able to get things figured out,” Stoudemire told reporters. “But I think for the most part we’ve been able to work hand-in-hand, be positive throughout the entire situation and it’s been working for us.”

ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS (40-19 SU, 30-28-1 ATS, 26-32-1 O/U): Small forward Nicolas Batum was a late-game hero against the Clippers by draining the tying 3-pointer in regulation and then contributing five points, three assists and a blocked shot in overtime, including a 3-pointer that all but sealed the win with 21.1 seconds left. “My job with this coach with this team the last three years is I have to do a little bit of everything on the court,” Batum told reporters after the club’s fourth straight win. Batum was just 3-of-12 from the field over the previous two games before scoring 20 points and making 4-of-8 from 3-point range against Los Angeles to reach 20 for the first time since Feb. 5.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Under is 6-1 in Mavericks last seven road games.
* Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs. NBA Southwest.
* Mavericks are 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 vs. Western Conference.


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Back from vacation and ready to get on the saddle and ride to make some $$$$$........
 

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Big 12 Tournament Preview


March 8, 2015




March 11-14
All games played at Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO


TECH NOTES:
-- Favorites off BB SU losses are 6-13 ATS
-- Teams who are 3-0 SUATS L3 are 1-11 ATS with revenge and 2-12 ATS as dogs
-- Teams are 0-9 ATS w/DD SU revenge and 0-8 ATS w/ same season revenge
-- Dogs off BB SU wins are 2-9 ATS vs opp off SUATS loss
-- #1 seeds are 0-8 ATS w/3+ rest off SUATS win, 0-5 ATS off DD ATS win w/ 3+ rest and 1-6 ATS w/3+ rest vs opp off DD SU win
-- #2 seeds are 4-0 ATS w/same-season revenge, 7-1 ATS vs opp off DD SU & BB SUATS wins
-- #5 seeds are 5-1 ATS w/ same season double-revenge, 0-6 ATS L6 vs opp off SUATS win, 0-6 ATS L6 vs opp off SUATS win and 0-5 ATS vs opp off SU dog win
-- #6 seeds are 1-6 ATS w/revenge vs opp off SUATS win
-- #8 seeds are 6-0 ATS as DD dogs and 10-1 ATS vs an opp off SU win


PROJECTED FINAL FOUR: KANSAS, BAYLOR, OKLAHOMA, IOWA STATE


THE WAY WE SEE IT:
With each team in the conference having played one another, and only two teams owning a losing record, this is arguably the most talented loop in the land. They are, however, a far cry from the Big 12 that sported three 30-game winners – for only the 2nd time in NCAA history – two seasons ago.


Ten consecutive regular season championships makes KANSAS the overwhelming choice in this event. That and the fact they were the only team in the Big 12 with the possibility of finishing the season with a winning record on the conference road (check result at Oklahoma Saturday, 3/7). A loss to Iowa State in the semi’s last year prevented the Jayhawks from reaching the championship game for the 10th time since 1997. FYI: when they do arrive, they perform like Dorothy and her friends in Emerald City, going 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last ten title games…


BAYLOR opened (11-1 SU) and closed (5-1 ATS) the season on a strong foot, thus landing them the 2nd slot in our projected Final Four. A 13-2 SU and 6-3 ATS log this season against .666 or less opponents should get them to the semi’s and from there, who knows? What we do know is the Bears lost to Iowa State in the title game last season and will be anxious to make another appearance.


OKLAHOMA hit a bit of a spread wall coming down the stretch of the regular season (0-5 ATS at press time), and have failed miserably of late in this tourney (3-10 SU and 1-12 ATS last 13 games), but Sooners head coach Lon Kruger is conference tournament tested: 19-8 SU and 17-10 ATS versus sub .770 foes. Given the fact his troops are the 10th ranked team in the land in defensive field goal percentage, we’ll likely ‘buy’ rather than ‘sell’ the Sooners this go-round.


IOWA STATE returns as the defending champion knowing they were 1-9 SU in their previous ten games in this event prior to pulling off last year’s surprise. Carrying the weight of that bulls-eye may be asking too much, especially since the last time they managed to capture this tourney, they were bounced in the NCAA first round as 11.5-point favorites. Yikes.


THE SLEEPER: TEXAS
This former Top 10 squad was bit by the injury bug and lost its way as the season progressed. Yet they still managed to finish in the Top 10 in defensive field goal percentage and rebound margin (along with Kentucky and Virginia), the two staples when it comes to defining quality teams. Landing a 20th win in this tourney would go a long way toward an invite to the Big Dance.


KEY TOURNEY BEST BET: WEST VIRGINIA IN GAME ONE
At first glance this might look hard to swallow, given the Mountaineers’ one-game-and-out mark each of the past four Big 12 tourneys. Remember, though, none of those four squads owned a win percentage of greater than .666. In conference tourney games with greater-than .666 teams, Bob Huggins is 30-8 SU, including 14-2 SU in tourney openers. This year’s team can play.
 

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A-10 Tournament Preview


March 8, 2015




March 11-15
All games played at Barclays Center - Brooklyn, NY


TECH NOTES:
-- Favorites w/3+ days of rest are 13-2 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS losses
-- Favorites w/3+ days of rest are 13-3 ATS off BB SU losses
-- DD favorites are 2-5 ATS off a DD ATS win
-- Dogs are 14-30-2 ATS vs opp w/revenge
-- Dogs are 19-41-1 ATS off a SU dog win
-- #1 seeds are 0-4 ATS as dogs
-- #2 seeds are 11-1 ATS vs opp off SU dog win
-- #4 seeds are 15-3 ATS L18 as favorites
-- #5 seeds are 0-6 ATS as dogs off SUATS loss
-- #7 seeds are 5-1 ATS w/same-season double revenge, 5-0 ATS off DD SU loss and 6-1 dogs vs opp off SUATS loss


PROJECTED FINAL FOUR: VCU, DAVIDSON, DAYTON, RHODE ISLAND


THE WAY WE SEE IT: This revamped conference has delivered 11 teams to the Big Dance the past two seasons, including six last year, with Dayton making it to the Elite Eight. Last year’s champ, VCU, was a preseason Top 20 squad, only to underachieve this campaign. The Rams also own spotty performances in conference tourney play, most notably a 1-8 ATS mark as double-digit chalk. In addition, Shaka Smart’s crew showed a propensity to play down to the level of opposition this season, going just 6-10 ATS versus sub .666 opponents. Still, the Rams are very dangerous and if they play anywhere to their preseason potential, they could be cutting down the nets at the Barclays Center.


Newcomer DAVIDSON arrived as a perennial power from the Southern Conference and did not disappoint. The Wildcats have appeared in 12 NCAA (missed last year) and 6 NIT tourneys, while owning 12 conference tournament titles since 1966. Veteran Bob McKillop has been the Davidson head coach for each of the last 26 years. Color this team experienced and dangerous (20-4 ATS this season at press time)...


After being bounced by Florida in the Elite Eight, DAYTON played with renewed confidence this season. A 6-2 SUATS mark (at press time) against .500 or greater A-10 foes keeps the Flyers in a positive state of mind. RHODE ISLAND, the 3rd of four 20-win teams in this competitive conference, chewed up and spit out sub .666 foes this season, going 18-2 SU and 11-6 ATS. They stalled, however, with a 2-5 SUATS mark against anything better – all of which figures to earn them a win or two in this tourney.


THE SLEEPER: GEORGE WASHINGTON
The Colonials were pegged as the 2nd best team in this loop by the A-10 media before the first whistle sounded. And they played like it, bolting out to a 16-4 start before unraveling down the stretch. The feeling here is the lure of a 20-win season, coupled with a 16-7 ATS conference tourney record they bring to this party, is about to pay off as a 4-0 SU and 3-0 ATS record on neutral floors this season raises the bar.


KEY TOURNEY BEST BET: PLAY ON: NO. 1 SEED IN CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
As competitive as this league is and has been, top seeds have been like annuities when arriving to the championship games. That’s confirmed by our well-oiled machine as it notes No. 1 seeds are 10-2 SU and 9-2-1 ATS in title games when facing a No. 2 or lower seed, including 6-0 ATS as favorites of 5 or more points.
 

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AAC Tournament Preview


March 8, 2015




March 12-15
All games played at XL Center - Hartford, CT


TECH NOTES:
Teams off a DD SU win are 5-0 ATS
Teams are 4-1 ATS off a DD ATS win
Teams are 4-1 ATS vs opp off SU win w/ revenge


PROJECTED FINAL FOUR: SMU, TULSA, TEMPLE, CONNECTICUT


THE WAY WE SEE IT:
The 2nd year of this newbie conference tournament finds former one-year lessee Louisville now calling the ACC home.


Stepping in to fill their shoes is the Larry Brown-led SMU Mustangs, one of only two teams in the country to currently rank in the Top 10 in both offensive and defensive field goal percentage (Utah the other). Last year’s NIT runner-up, the Ponies rebounded from a sluggish 2-3 start to lead the charge on this conference. They’ll need to overcome a putrid 1-11 SU and 2-9-1 ATS recent conference tourney mark, including 9 straight losses...


Frank Haith is one of three new coaches in the loop this season, leaving Missouri for TULSA in a surprise move. The Hurricane returned eight rotation players from last year’s NCAA tournament team and were tied atop the conference with SMU prior to Sunday's loss. Haith’s sparkling 15-5 ATS record in conference tourney games jumps off the page, as does his 17-4-1 ATS career mark as a favorite in games against opponents off a double-digit win.


Last season TEMPLE became the first team in school history to lose 20 or more games in a single season. As a result, the Owls missed out on the NCAA tournament for only the 2nd time in Dunphy’s 8-year tenure with Temple. An influx of transfers, coupled with a tenacious brand of defense, has the Owls in prime contention to snap three straight one-and-outs in this tourney and head back to the dance floor... And then there is


CONNECTICUT, last year’s NCAA tournament champs. Kevin Ollie’s squad is certainly nowhere near last year’s level but you simply can’t ignore the Huskies’ postseason pedigree: 10-2 SU and 11-1 ATS in conference tourney play since 2011. Ollie’s 33-2 SU mark against sub .600 foes figures to find them advancing deep into this event.


THE SLEEPER: CINCINNATI
20-win Bearcats bowed out as the top seed in this event to UConn last season and loom as a legitimate threat. An impressive 5-1 SUATS mark in games this season versus .750 or greater opponents confirms that notion.


KEY TOURNEY BEST BET: PLAY AGAINST ANY TEAM OFF A DOUBLE-DIGIT WIN
In analyzing results from this fledgling conference tournament last season, it’s apparent that no one team stands heads and shoulders above another. A shocking 0-5 SUATS mark by teams performing in AAC tourney games off a double-digit victory is proof of that judgment.
 

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ACC Tournament Preview


March 8, 2015




March 10-14
All games at Greensboro Coliseum - Greensboro, NC


TECH NOTES:
-- Teams 6-1 ATS off DD ATS loss w/ DD SU revenge
-- Dogs off a SU favorite loss are 10-2-1 ATS
-- The SU winner of games in this tourney is 168-45-9 ATS since 1991
-- Favorites are 2-7 ATS w/same-season double-revenge
-- Teams 3-13 ATS off DD SU loss vs opp off BB SU wins
-- #2 seeds are 1-10-1 ATS L12 vs opp off SUATS win
-- #3 seeds are 7-1 ATS dogs off a DD SU win
-- #4 seeds are 1-6 ATS vs opp off SU dog win and 1-6 ATS vs opp w/ revenge
-- #5 seeds are 7-1-1 ATS L9 & 5-1-1 ATS L7 vs #1 seeds
-- #6 seeds are 9-1 ATS off SU dog win
-- #9 seeds are 9-2 ATS vs opp off SU win & 9-3 ATS as pick or dogs since 2003


PROJECTED FINAL FOUR: DUKE, VIRGINIA, NORTH CAROLINA, LOUISVILLE


THE WAY WE SEE IT:
Keep this in mind when March Madness comes calling next week: the ACC owns a 26-year streak of a non-losing record in the NCAA tournament dating back to 1987… the ACC also owns the best winning percentage of any conference in the NCAA tournament (.655). Meanwhile, DUKE has reached the title game of this tourney 12 of the last 17 years, winning this event 9 times in that span. The sharp-shooting Devils (No. 3 in the land in offensive field goal percentage) lost the title game to top-seeded Virginia last season. While previous year runner-ups are just 4-4 SU and 4-3-1 ATS in this event the following season, it should be noted that defending champions are 9-4 SU (but only 4-7-2 ATS) the following season...


Even better news for VIRGINIA is the fact that the top seed in this tourney has reached the title game 18 of the last 23 years. The defensively staunch Cavaliers rank No. 2 in the land in defensive field goal percentage and No. 7 overall in rebound margin. They also bring a superb 24-3 SU and 20-6-1 ATS mark in games away from Charlottesville since the 2014 calendar year into this fray. Yet, somehow, we’re not inclined to hop in bed with Virginia just yet.


Tar Heel nation is still in mourning after the loss of legendary NORTH CAROLINA coach Dean Smith this winter. Dedicating this tournament in his honor would be Roy Williams-esque and could likely lead them into the championship games. The problem is UNC went one-game-out last season and carries a rotten 4-17-4 ATS mark in its last 25 ACC tourney games, including 1-14-3 ATS when not favored by more than 11 points.


Rick Pitino’s LOUISVILLE vagabonds will be participating in their third different conference tournament over the last three years. It hasn’t fazed them one iota, though, as they arrive with a 10-0 SUATS conference tourney log in their last ten contests. And to say Pitino hasn’t made a career in these events would be an understatement, given his 38-8 SU and 30-15-1 ATS overall career mark – including 12 trips and 10 wins in the conference finals. Buying a ticket to ride on this Top 10-ranked defensive field goal percentage unit could provide a nice bankroll for the bigger tournament waiting on deck.


THE SLEEPER: NC STATE
The Pack has been on the attack during the stretch run of this season and it couldn’t come at a better time, given their outstanding 10-1-2 ATS mark of late in this event. In addition, NCSU brings along a sterling 13-3-1 ATS record in first games of this tourney. We know a live dog when we see one and this one’s got ‘best in show’ written all over it.


KEY TOURNEY BEST BET: PLAY AGAINST: VIRGINIA IN GAME ONE
It’s not difficult fading the methodical, low-scoring Cavaliers when laying heavy wood, a team that is 1-6 ATS as a conference favorite versus sub .444 opposition with head coach Tony Bennett. The real clincher, though, is the fact that the defending champion in the ACC tournament is 1-13 ATS in its first round game the following season. Ouch!
 

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Big 10 Tournament Preview


March 8, 2015




March 11-15
All games played at United Center - Chicago, IL


TECH NOTES:
-- Teams are 8-1 ATS w/DD SU revenge, dogs 6-1 ATS off BB SU wins vs opp off BB SU wins w/revenge
-- DD dogs off a DD SU loss are 5-2 ATS
-- Teams off BB SU losses are 8-2 ATS w/same-season revenge
-- Teams off a SU dog win are 1-5 ATS vs opp off a SU favorite loss
-- #1 seeds are 8-2 ATS S’07 vs #6 seeds or lower opp off SU win
-- #2 seeds are 5-1 ATS off 3 SUATS wins
-- #3 seeds are 2-8 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins and 1-4 ATS off DD ATS win
-- #5 seeds are 7-0 ATS off a SU dog win
-- #7 seeds are 5-0 ATS w/revenge, 0-7 ATS off SU loss vs opp w/revenge
-- #10 seeds are 6-0 ATS vs opp off BB SU losses, 7-1 ATS off BB SU losses and 8-2 ATS off SU loss


PROJECTED FINAL FOUR: WISCONSIN, MARYLAND, OHIO STATE, MICHIGAN STATE


THE WAY WE SEE IT: The NCAA Tournament committee will have its hands full trying to decide which teams to leave home from the powerful Big Ten conference with as many as nine teams in the loop likely to have 20 wins by the time the nets are cut down in this tourney.


WISCONSIN is the most likely choice to capture a No. 1 seed, and deservedly so. Only Kentucky and Virginia own fewer losses away from home at press time this season. While 12 of their 16 tourney wins have been by double-digit margins, the Badgers have been anything but money winners in conference play the past two seasons (13-22-2 ATS overall), and last won this title in 2008 – as a No. 1 seed.


MARYLAND, slotted into the 10th spot by preseason poll beat writers, was a major overachiever thanks to a dominating 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS mark in games versus greater-than .777 foes this season. But a 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS record against No. 1 seeds in conference tourney games may end up biting the Turtles in the end.


Ranked 15th in the preseason polls, OHIO STATE disappointed despite an offense that ranked in the Top 10 in offensive field goal percentage. A 3-7 SU and 2-7-1 ATS mark in games away from Columbus does not bode well. However, an 18-4 SU record in this event since 2007, with 6 title game appearances, could prove to be the perfect placebo needed.


And speaking of strong Big Ten tourney history, last year’s champ MICHIGAN STATE brings a sparkling 22-12 SU record into this event since 1999. And when it comes to title games, Tom Izzo’s troops are a spotless 4-0 SUATS in Big Ten championship games. Can’t fade that.


THE SLEEPER: IOWA
The Hawkeyes earned their stripes as a visiting team this season with an 8-3 SU and 7-3 ATS record. They were also outstanding in games versus sub .850 opposition, going 18-5 SU and 12-6-1 ATS. All of which leads us to Iowa’s 19-8 ATS mark in this tourney, including 12-1 ATS off back-to-back wins. Under most circumstances, a resumé like that would earn most teams Final Four status in events like this.


KEY TOURNEY BEST BET: PLAY ON MICHIGAN STATE WITH REVENGE
Once again we’ll take a leap of faith with Tom Izzo – not all that hard, actually – and back them with revenge in this affair. It would serve you well to note that the Spartans are 29-10 SU and 28-8-1 ATS with same-season conference revenge since 2000 – including 22-0 SU and 19-2-1 ATS when favored by 4 or more points – and 6-0 ATS in this tourney. Enough said.
 

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Big East Tournament Preview


March 9, 2015



March 11-14
All games played at Madison Square Garden, New York, NY


TECH NOTES:
-- Teams are 6-1 ATS off BB SUATS wins vs opp off BB SUATS losses
-- Teams w/revenge are 12-3 ATS off DD SU loss since 2000
-- Teams have won 11-3 ATS L14 off BB SU wins w/same season double-revenge vs opp off BB SU wins
-- Favorites off BB SU dog wins are 1-4 ATS
-- Teams with w/ 3+ rest are 3-10 ATS vs opp off DD SU loss w/ revenge
-- #3 seeds are 5-1 ATS off DD ATS loss and 2-7 ATS as favorites off BB SU wins
-- #4 seeds are 1-6 ATS off BB SUATS wins vs opp off DD SU win
-- #5 seeds are 8-1 ATS vs opp off BB SU losses, 6-1 ATS off DD SU loss and 9-2 ATS as dogs of < 3 points
-- #11 seeds are 1-7-1 ATS off BB SUATS wins, 2-9 ATS w/SS DBL revenge and 3-9-1 as DD dogs or lower seeded


PROJECTED FINAL FOUR: VILLANOVA, PROVIDENCE, GEORGETOWN, BUTLER


THE WAY WE SEE IT:
Standing head and shoulders above all else in this conference, VILLANOVA has the look of an NCAA Final Four team. The Wildcats rewarded their backers better than an 8-for-1 Apple stock split, cashing 75% of their games, including an eye-popping 10-1 ATS run at press time. However, they will need to overcome recent 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS woes in this tourney before we pony up with them, especially at this inflated price…


Last year’s tourney champs, PROVIDENCE has posted back-to-back 20 win seasons and will carry plenty of confidence into this competition. Especially adept at knocking teams off their high horses in conference tourneys, the Friars stand 11-3 ATS in these postseason scrums when facing an opponent off back-to-back wins…


An 11-0 SU mark in games versus sub .650 opponents this season virtually guarantees GEORGETOWN at ticket the semi’s. Incredibly, the Hoyas were booted from this tourney in the 1st round as 11-point favorites against DePaul, dropping their Game One log to 19-4 SU. We can take points with this team (3-1 ATS as a dog in this tourney since 2005), but can’t lay them (3-11 ATS as tourney favorites, including 1-7 ATS versus sub .640 foes)…


BUTLER showed its mettle, dropping back-to-back games on only one occasion this season. Like Villanova and Georgetown, the Bulldogs were sent packing in the opening round last year and will be highly motivated to improve on an 8-2 ATS conference tourney log. Note: a 4-0 SUATS mark in tourneys when playing off a loss could make them worth a look in the opening round.


THE SLEEPER: ST. JOHN’S
Despite being bounced in the first round each of the last three years in this tournament, it’s hard to look past the 20-win Red Storm on this friendly home court. With only Villanova and Butler sporting winning records as visitors this season, look for the worm to turn.


KEY TOURNEY BEST BET: PLAY AGAINST VILLANOVA IN GAME TWO As we alluded to above, the Cats have struggled at the pay window in this event. Not only have they been bounced out in the first round three of the last five years (lost as 11-point chalk to Seton Hall last year), they’ve been especially atrocious in Game Two’s after escaping opening-round jitters, going 0-7 ATS. In fact, the last time they made it to the semi-finals in this tourney was back in 2003. Where’s Rollie Massimino when you need him?
 

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Big West Tournament Preview


March 9, 2015




March 12-14
All games played at Honda Center, Anaheim, CA


TECH NOTES:
-- DD dogs are 7-1 ATS off SU dog win
-- Teams w/ revenge off a SU fav loss are 0-6 ATS
-- DD favs are 1-6 ATS off a DD SU win vs opp off SUATS win
-- Teams off BB SU wins are 3-13-1 ATS vs opp off DD SU loss
-- Teams w/same-season single revenge are 2-10 ATS
-- #1 seeds are 7-1 ATS off SU loss, 1-6 ATS as DD favorites off a SUATS win and 2-11 ATS off BB SUATS wins vs opp off SU win
-- #2 seeds are 0-5 ATS L5 as dogs, 1-8 ATS L9 and 2-7 ATS as favorites vs opp off BB SUATS wins
-- #3 seeds are 6-0 ATS L6 vs opp off SU loss and #3 seeds on a 3-0 SUATS streak are 0-5 ATS L5 games
-- #4 seeds w/same-season revenge are 1-5-2 ATS
-- #6 seeds are 1-9 ATS L10 but 5-1 ATS off BB SUATS wins
-- #8 seeds are 1-7-1 ATS vs opp off SU loss


PROJECTED FINAL FOUR: CAL DAVIS, CAL IRVINE, CAL SANTA BARBARA, HAWAII


THE WAY WE SEE IT:
When Cal Poly managed to cut down the nets as a No. 7 seed in this event last year, it meant the last team to win back-to-back Big West titles was Cal Santa Barbara in 2011. Before that it was Utah State in 2001, and UNLV in 1991. And since it’s not yet 2021, it’s probably safe to assume the Poly Technicians will not be climbing ladders at the Honda Civic Center his year. Instead, we look for CAL DAVIS to do the honors. The only team in the conference to sport a winning record away form home this season, the Aggies are lead by Corey Hawkins, the team leader in scoring, rebounding, steals and assists. UCD’s sharpshooters top the nation in 3-point field goal percentage (45.6), while ranking No. 4 overall in offensive field goal percentage (49.9). It’s a large reason why Davis has dropped the money in only 5 contests at press time this season…


After a sluggish 7-8 start, CAL IRVINE appears to be hitting its stride at the right time. The Anteaters will rely on a stingy Top 40 defense (39.5 defensive field goal percentage) and a solid Top 40 offense (46.9 offensive field goal percentage) in this tourney. Color them dangerous…


CAL SANTA BARBARA will rely on C Alan Williams and G Michael Bryson to improve on a 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS recent run in this event. Keep a close on their opponent as the Gauchos are a jaw-dropping 13-2 SU and 13-1-1 ATS when seeking conference revenge…


HAWAII was a newcomer to the conference last season and has acquitted itself well. New coach Benjy Taylor did a nice job taking over for Gib Arnold, who was fired in late October this year amid investigations into player processing. The Rainbow Warriors were 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS as favorites of more than 4 points this season but have struggled in conference tourney play of late, going just 2-11 SU and 3-9-1 ATS.


THE SLEEPER: LONG BEACH STATE
The Beach Boys were sitting chilly at 13-11 until a 0-5 rough patch hit them in February. They will now need every win they can muster to salvage a winning season and land a postseason bid in a minor tournament. You will do well to note: in this tourney, the surfer dudes sport an 8-3-1 ATS mark as tourney favorites of more than 4 points. They are also 3-0 ATS versus .777 or greater foes.


KEY TOURNEY BEST BET: PLAY AGAINST THE NO. 2 SEED IN THE SEMI-FINAL ROUND
Try as they may, No. 2 seeds arrive into semi-final rounds with a lump in their throat in this event. Maybe it’s the realization that they are two wins removed from an invite to the Big Dance, or they’re disappointed in not being the top banana. Whatever the case, No. 2 seeds are 5-15 ATS all-time in this round, including 0-6 ATS as dogs of 3 or more points.
 

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